San Jose State vs Air Force Volleyball: Air Force Wins 3-0

FinalThu, Sep 24, 2026MW+

0:3

Air Force beat visiting San Jose St. 3-0 (25-16, 27-25, 25-15) on Thu, Sep 24, 2026. Air Force's Annamaria Ramos led with 13 kills, and Ella Vogel added 17 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 1:45 PM CT · final Sep 24

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SJSU	16	25	15	0
AIRFOR	25	27	25	3

Win probability

Air Force above 50 · San Jose St. below

Biggest swing: 6.8% to San Jose St. — set 2, SJSU 24-24 AIRFOR. Attack error by Alysa Walker. AIRFOR win probability 90% → 83%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SJSU 28.0%72.0% AIRFOR

San Jose St. wins

3-0

5.2%

3-1

9.7%

3-2

13.1%

Air Force wins

3-0

24.7%

3-1

27.6%

3-2

19.7%

SJSU break %: 39.5% vs this opp
AIRFOR break %: 43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Alysa WalkerAttack error+6.8%
Attack error by Alysa Walker
Set 2 · SJSU 24-24 AIRFOR · SJSU 10% → 17%
02
Morgan GravesAttack error+6.3%
Attack error by Morgan Graves
Set 2 · SJSU 25-27 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 88% → 94%
03
Sonia Okpara&Jenness OrcuttBlock+4.9%
Devon DeNecochea stuffed by Sonia Okpara & Jenness Orcutt
Set 2 · SJSU 24-25 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 83% → 88%
04
Morgan GravesKill+4.9%
Kill by Morgan Graves (set by Fatimah Hall)
Set 2 · SJSU 25-25 AIRFOR · SJSU 12% → 17%
05
Annamaria RamosKill+4.9%
Kill by Annamaria Ramos (set by Samantha Pope)
Set 2 · SJSU 25-26 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 83% → 88%
06
Zuzana KosikovaAttack error+4.7%
Attack error by Zuzana Kosikova
Set 2 · SJSU 21-22 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 82% → 87%
07
Ava HewittAttack error+4.3%
Attack error by Ava Hewitt
Set 2 · SJSU 21-21 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 78% → 82%
08
Lainie Stapleton&Sonia OkparaBlock+4.2%
Lolo Fonua stuffed by Lainie Stapleton & Sonia Okpara
Set 2 · SJSU 21-23 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 87% → 91%

Box score

Official NCAA box

San Jose St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Zuzana KosikovaOH	3	7	5	23	.087	0	1	5	3	0	0	0	7
24Naima FosterOH	3	6	1	17	.294	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
3Lolo FonuaOH	3	4	2	14	.143	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	4
9Ava HewittMB	3	3	4	8	-.125	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
18Hanna DarvasS	3	0	1	3	-.333	14	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
19Aniyah HallMB	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
7Devon DeNecocheaOPP	3	7	2	15	.333	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
11Learden LeeMB	3	3	0	5	.600	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	3
1Fatimah HallS	3	0	0	1	.000	17	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
0Orian DroreL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	10	1	0	0	0	0
8Kylee SellsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
16Morgan GravesOH	2	6	1	13	.385	1	1	9	1	1	0	1	7
13Eva VostrackaOPP	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Mariana BuchananOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
10Tatiana RobinsonOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	16	102	.196	35	6	39	8	1	4	3	56

Air Forcehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Annamaria RamosOH	3	13	1	28	.429	0	1	1	3	0	1	0.5	14.5
44Grace FiaseuMB	3	11	1	15	.667	0	0	3	0	2	1	2.5	13.5
3Alysa WalkerOH	3	12	6	28	.214	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	12
5Sonia OkparaMB	3	7	0	14	.500	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	8
8Lainie StapletonOH	3	1	1	5	.000	1	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	1.5
11Mia LoydS	3	0	0	1	.000	16	1	1	5	0	0	0	1
23Samantha PopeS	3	0	0	2	.000	20	3	0	6	0	0	0	3
1Aylani CorreaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	3
13Jenness OrcuttOH	3	2	3	14	-.071	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
40Ella VogelL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	17	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	12	107	.318	41	8	7	42	2	6	5	77

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

San Jose St. vs Air Force

Season series · Air Force leads 2-0

Thu, Sep 24, 2026San Jose St. at Air Force · Air Force won 3-0This match
Sat, Sep 26, 2026San Jose St. at Air Force · Air Force won 3-2Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SJSU · AIRFOR 5

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 3 SJSUAIRFOR 4

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 4 SJSUAIRFOR 4

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 3 SJSUAIRFOR 5

Bars above the line = Air Force leads, below = San Jose St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

San Jose St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%5/9	0%0/4
2	50%5/10	44%4/9
3	63%5/8	29%2/7
4	56%5/9	38%3/8
5	25%3/12	50%5/10
6	100%3/3	0%0/3
All	51%26/51	34%14/41

Air Force

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	71%5/7	0%0/4
2	63%5/8	62%8/13
3	56%5/9	38%3/8
4	63%5/8	44%4/9
5	67%4/6	43%3/7
6	100%3/3	70%7/10
All	66%27/41	49%25/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#	SJSU-AIRFOR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	SJSU	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Orian Drore	+2.2
2	2-0	SJSU	SJSU	Kill	Naima Foster	set Hanna Darvas	+2.3
3	2-1	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Mia Loyd	+1.6
4	3-1	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Naima Foster	set Hanna Darvas	+1.7
5	3-2	SJSU	AIRFOR	Serve err	San Jose St.		+1.6
6	4-2	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Hanna Darvas	+1.8
7	4-3	SJSU	AIRFOR×3	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Mia Loyd	+1.6
8	4-4		AIRFOR	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+2.3
9	4-5	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×3	Attack err	Lolo Fonua		+2.3
10	5-5	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Ava Hewitt	set Hanna Darvas	+1.7
11	5-6	SJSU	AIRFOR×3	Serve err	San Jose St.		+1.6
12	5-7	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×3	Attack err	Zuzana Kosikova		+2.2
13	5-8	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×3	Kill	Sonia Okpara	set Fatimah Hall	+2.0
14	6-8	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Ava Hewitt	+1.4
15	6-9	SJSU	AIRFOR×4	Kill	Sonia Okpara	set Samantha Pope	+1.4
16	6-10	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Ace	Air Force	aced Zuzana Kosikova	+1.8
17	6-11	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Kill	Jenness Orcutt	set Aylani Correa	+1.5
18	6-12	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Attack err	Hanna Darvas		+1.1
19	7-12	AIRFOR	SJSU	Attack err	Jenness Orcutt		+0.7
20	7-13	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Samantha Pope	+0.8
21	7-14	AIRFOR	AIRFOR	Blocked	Devon DeNecochea	blk Grace Fiaseu, Annamaria Ramos	+0.8
22	8-14	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Fatimah Hall	+0.4
23	8-15	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Mia Loyd	+0.6
24	9-15	AIRFOR	SJSU	Serve err	Air Force		+0.4
25	9-16	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Grace Fiaseu	set Mia Loyd	+0.5
26	10-16	AIRFOR	SJSU	Serve err	Air Force		+0.4
27	10-17	SJSU	AIRFOR×3	Kill	Sonia Okpara	set Mia Loyd	+0.5
28	10-18	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×3	Kill	Sonia Okpara		+0.4
29	10-19	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×3	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Samantha Pope	+0.2
30	11-19	AIRFOR	SJSU×3	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Hanna Darvas	+0.1
31	12-19	SJSU	SJSU×3	Attack err	Alysa Walker		+0.2
32	13-19	SJSU	SJSU×3	Blocked	Alysa Walker	blk Devon DeNecochea, Ava Hewitt	+0.4
33	13-20	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Jenness Orcutt	set Samantha Pope	+0.4
34	14-20	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Fatimah Hall	+0.2
35	14-21	SJSU	AIRFOR	Serve err	San Jose St.		+0.4
36	15-21	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Learden Lee	set Fatimah Hall	+0.2
37	15-22	SJSU	AIRFOR×3	Kill	Grace Fiaseu	set Samantha Pope	+0.3
38	15-23	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×3	Ace	Air Force	aced Zuzana Kosikova	+0.1
39	15-24	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×3	Kill	Aniyah Hall	set Fatimah Hall	·
40	16-24	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Fatimah Hall	·
41	16-25	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Grace Fiaseu	set Mia Loyd	·
Set 2
1	1-0	AIRFOR	SJSU	Serve err	Air Force		+1.3
2	1-1	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Grace Fiaseu	set Mia Loyd	+1.2
3	2-1	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Naima Foster	set Hanna Darvas	+1.3
4	3-1	SJSU	SJSU	Kill	Naima Foster	set Learden Lee	+1.9
5	3-2	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Grace Fiaseu	set Mia Loyd	+1.3
6	4-2	AIRFOR	SJSU×3	Serve err	Air Force		+1.4
7	5-2	SJSU	SJSU×3	Kill	Ava Hewitt	set Morgan Graves	+2.0
8	6-2	SJSU	SJSU×3	Attack err	Mia Loyd		+2.0
9	6-3	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Sonia Okpara	set Samantha Pope	+1.2
10	7-3	AIRFOR	SJSU×4	Serve err	Air Force		+1.5
11	8-3	SJSU	SJSU×4	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Fatimah Hall	+1.9
12	9-3	SJSU	SJSU×4	Blocked	Jenness Orcutt	blk Morgan Graves	+1.7
13	10-3	SJSU	SJSU×4	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Fatimah Hall	+1.5
14	10-4	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Samantha Pope	+0.8
15	11-4	AIRFOR	SJSU	Serve err	Air Force		+1.1
16	11-5	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Grace Fiaseu	set Samantha Pope	+0.8
17	12-5	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Hanna Darvas	+1.0
18	12-6	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Grace Fiaseu	set Mia Loyd	+0.7
19	13-6	AIRFOR	SJSU×3	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Orian Drore	+1.0
20	14-6	SJSU	SJSU×3	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Hanna Darvas	+1.1
21	15-6	SJSU	SJSU×3	Attack err	Alysa Walker		+0.8
22	15-7	SJSU	AIRFOR	Serve err	San Jose St.		+0.3
23	15-8	AIRFOR	AIRFOR	Attack err	Zuzana Kosikova		+0.7
24	16-8	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Naima Foster	set Hanna Darvas	+0.7
25	16-9	SJSU	AIRFOR×3	Kill	Sonia Okpara	set Mia Loyd	+0.4
26	16-10	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×3	Ace	Air Force		+0.9
27	16-11	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×3	Ace	Air Force	aced Orian Drore	+1.2
28	17-11	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Ava Hewitt	set Fatimah Hall	+1.2
29	17-12	SJSU	AIRFOR×4	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Samantha Pope	+0.8
30	17-13	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Samantha Pope	+1.5
31	17-14	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Bad set	Fatimah Hall		+1.9
32	17-15	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Kill	Sonia Okpara		+2.4
33	18-15	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Fatimah Hall	+2.2
34	18-16	SJSU	AIRFOR	Serve err	San Jose St.		+1.7
35	18-17	AIRFOR	AIRFOR	Ace	Air Force	aced Zuzana Kosikova	+2.9
36	19-17	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Fatimah Hall	+2.6
37	19-18	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Grace Fiaseu	set Samantha Pope	+2.2
38	20-18	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Hanna Darvas	+2.8
39	20-19	SJSU	AIRFOR	Serve err	San Jose St.		+2.3
40	21-19	AIRFOR	SJSU	Attack err	Lainie Stapleton		+3.0
41	21-20	SJSU	AIRFOR×4	Attack err	Ava Hewitt		+2.4
42	21-21	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Attack err	Ava Hewitt		+4.3
43	21-22	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Attack err	Zuzana Kosikova		+4.7
44	21-23	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Blocked	Lolo Fonua	blk Lainie Stapleton, Sonia Okpara	+4.2
45	22-23	AIRFOR	SJSU	Serve err	Air Force		+2.2
46	22-24	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Lainie Stapleton	+3.4
47	23-24	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Fatimah Hall	+1.9
48	24-24	SJSU	SJSU	Attack err	Alysa Walker		+6.8
49	24-25	SJSU	AIRFOR	Blocked	Devon DeNecochea	blk Sonia Okpara, Jenness Orcutt	+4.9
50	25-25	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Fatimah Hall	+4.9
51	25-26	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Samantha Pope	+4.9
52	25-27	AIRFOR	AIRFOR	Attack err	Morgan Graves		+6.3
Set 3
1	0-1	SJSU	AIRFOR×5	Kill	Lainie Stapleton	set Mia Loyd	+0.7
2	0-2	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×5	Blocked	Zuzana Kosikova	blk Grace Fiaseu	+0.9
3	0-3	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×5	Ace	Air Force	aced Morgan Graves	+0.8
4	0-4	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×5	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Mia Loyd	+0.7
5	0-5	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×5	Attack err	Ava Hewitt		+0.6
6	1-5	AIRFOR	SJSU×3	Attack err	Alysa Walker		+0.4
7	2-5	SJSU	SJSU×3	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Fatimah Hall	+0.7
8	3-5	SJSU	SJSU×3	Attack err	Grace Fiaseu		+0.8
9	3-6	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Grace Fiaseu	set Mia Loyd	+0.6
10	4-6	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Fatimah Hall	+0.6
11	5-6	SJSU	SJSU	Attack err	Alysa Walker		+1.0
12	5-7	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Mia Loyd	+0.7
13	6-7	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Fatimah Hall	+0.7
14	6-8	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Samantha Pope	+0.7
15	7-8	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Hanna Darvas	+0.7
16	8-8	SJSU	SJSU	Attack err	Jenness Orcutt		+1.1
17	8-9	SJSU	AIRFOR×4	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Samantha Pope	+0.8
18	8-10	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Blocked	Zuzana Kosikova	blk Grace Fiaseu	+1.1
19	8-11	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Kill	Grace Fiaseu	set Samantha Pope	+1.0
20	8-12	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Samantha Pope	+0.8
21	9-12	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Naima Foster	set Hanna Darvas	+0.5
22	9-13	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Samantha Pope	+0.6
23	10-13	AIRFOR	SJSU	Blocked	Annamaria Ramos	blk Naima Foster, Ava Hewitt	+0.5
24	10-14	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Grace Fiaseu	set Alysa Walker	+0.6
25	11-14	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Fatimah Hall	+0.5
26	11-15	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Mia Loyd	+0.6
27	11-16	AIRFOR	AIRFOR	Attack err	Ava Hewitt		+0.7
28	12-16	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Fatimah Hall	+0.4
29	12-17	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Mia Loyd	+0.5
30	12-18	AIRFOR	AIRFOR	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Samantha Pope	+0.5
31	13-18	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Learden Lee	set Fatimah Hall	+0.2
32	13-19	SJSU	AIRFOR	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Samantha Pope	+0.3
33	13-20	AIRFOR	AIRFOR	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Samantha Pope	+0.3
34	14-20	AIRFOR	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Hanna Darvas	+0.1
35	15-20	SJSU	SJSU	Kill	Learden Lee	set Hanna Darvas	+0.2
36	15-21	SJSU	AIRFOR×5	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Ella Vogel	+0.3
37	15-22	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×5	Ace	Air Force	aced Mariana Buchanan	+0.2
38	15-23	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×5	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Aylani Correa	+0.1
39	15-24	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×5	Kill	Annamaria Ramos		·
40	15-25	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×5	Attack err	Naima Foster		·

Score shown after each rally, San Jose St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Air Force def. San Jose St. 3–0