Air Force def. San Jose St. 3–2
Air Force beat visiting San Jose St. 3-2 (23-25, 25-20, 15-25, 25-19, 15-13) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Air Force's Grace Fiaseu led with 18 kills.
Data through · final Sep 26
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJSU | 25 | 20 | 25 | 19 | 13 | 2 |
| AIRFOR | 23 | 25 | 15 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 18.0% to Air Force — set 5, SJSU 12-14 AIRFOR. Attack error by Naima Foster. AIRFOR win probability 73% → 91%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
San Jose St. wins
Air Force wins
- SJSU break %
- 39.5% vs this opp
- AIRFOR break %
- 43.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Naima FosterAttack error+18.0%
Attack error by Naima Foster
Set 5 · SJSU 12-14 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 73% → 91%
- 02Grace Fiaseu&Annamaria RamosBlock+17.3%
Mariana Buchanan stuffed by Grace Fiaseu & Annamaria Ramos
Set 5 · SJSU 11-12 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 53% → 71%
- 03San Jose St.Service error+16.3%
San Jose St. service error
Set 5 · SJSU 13-15 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 84% → 100%
- 04Grace Fiaseu&Annamaria RamosBlock+15.7%
Learden Lee stuffed by Grace Fiaseu & Annamaria Ramos
Set 5 · SJSU 11-11 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 38% → 53%
- 05San Jose St.Service error+14.4%
San Jose St. service error
Set 5 · SJSU 12-13 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 58% → 73%
- 06
- 07Annamaria RamosKill+12.5%
Kill by Annamaria Ramos (set by Mia Loyd)
Set 5 · SJSU 11-10 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 25% → 38%
- 08Ava HewittKill+12.5%
Kill by Ava Hewitt (set by Hanna Darvas)
Set 5 · SJSU 8-7 AIRFOR · SJSU 41% → 53%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 16 | 8 | 36 | .222 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 16 | .250 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6.5 | 15.5 | |
| 5 | 11 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3.5 | 14.5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 39 | .077 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .240 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 12 | 4 | 26 | .308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 67 | 28 | 177 | .220 | 63 | 8 | 10 | 74 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 102 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 18 | 4 | 31 | .452 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4.5 | 22.5 | |
| 5 | 16 | 5 | 46 | .239 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 9 | 48 | .021 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 12 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 7.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 9 | .222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 17 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 7 | 1 | 15 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 60 | 22 | 167 | .228 | 54 | 3 | 4 | 67 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 103 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
San Jose St. vs Air Force
Season series · Air Force leads 2-0
- Thu, Sep 24, 2026San Jose St. at Air Force · Air Force won 3-0Result →
- Sat, Sep 26, 2026San Jose St. at Air Force · Air Force won 3-2This match
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-23
Set 2
20-25
Set 3
25-15
Set 4
19-25
Set 5
13-15
Bars above the line = Air Force leads, below = San Jose St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
San Jose St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 55%12/22 | 27%4/15 |
| 2 | 61%11/18 | 33%6/18 |
| 3 | 63%10/16 | 39%7/18 |
| 4 | 59%10/17 | 44%8/18 |
| 5 | 73%8/11 | 62%13/21 |
| 6 | 44%8/18 | 38%5/13 |
| All | 58%59/102 | 42%43/103 |
Air Force
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 68%13/19 | 50%10/20 |
| 2 | 67%12/18 | 43%9/21 |
| 3 | 52%11/21 | 42%8/19 |
| 4 | 38%8/21 | 29%4/14 |
| 5 | 80%8/10 | 50%8/16 |
| 6 | 57%8/14 | 33%4/12 |
| All | 58%60/103 | 42%43/102 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
205 rallies
| # | SJSU-AIRFOR | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Blocked | Annamaria Ramos | blk Ava Hewitt, Tatiana Robinson | +1.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Annamaria Ramos | set Mia Loyd | +1.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Attack err | Annamaria Ramos | +1.6 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | SJSU | SJSU | Attack err | Alysa Walker | +2.4 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Serve err | San Jose St. | +1.6 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Serve err | Air Force | +1.8 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Blocked | Morgan Graves | blk Lainie Stapleton | +1.6 |
| 8 | 5-3 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Tatiana Robinson | set Fatimah Hall | +1.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Alysa Walker | set Samantha Pope | +1.7 |
| 10 | 6-4 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Morgan Graves | set Tatiana Robinson | +1.9 |
| 11 | 6-5 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Serve err | San Jose St. | +1.7 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Mariana Buchanan | set Tatiana Robinson | +1.9 |
| 13 | 8-5 | SJSU | SJSU | Kill | Mariana Buchanan | set Learden Lee | +2.7 |
| 14 | 8-6 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Samantha Pope | +1.7 |
| 15 | 8-7 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | +2.5 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Naima Foster | set Tatiana Robinson | +2.0 |
| 17 | 9-8 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +1.8 |
| 18 | 10-8 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Ava Hewitt | set Fatimah Hall | +2.1 |
| 19 | 10-9 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +1.9 |
| 20 | 11-9 | AIRFOR | SJSU×3 | Kill | Tatiana Robinson | set Fatimah Hall | +2.2 |
| 21 | 12-9 | SJSU | SJSU×3 | Blocked | Alysa Walker | blk Learden Lee | +3.0 |
| 22 | 13-9 | SJSU | SJSU×3 | Blocked | Lainie Stapleton | blk Morgan Graves | +2.8 |
| 23 | 13-10 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Serve err | San Jose St. | +1.6 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Lainie Stapleton | set Fatimah Hall | +2.7 |
| 25 | 14-11 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Morgan Graves | set Tatiana Robinson | +2.3 |
| 26 | 15-11 | SJSU | SJSU | Kill | Learden Lee | set Fatimah Hall | +2.9 |
| 27 | 15-12 | SJSU | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Alysa Walker | set Samantha Pope | +1.7 |
| 28 | 15-13 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Annamaria Ramos | +2.8 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Annamaria Ramos | set Jenness Orcutt | +3.2 |
| 30 | 16-14 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Serve err | Air Force | +2.7 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | SJSU | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Annamaria Ramos | set Samantha Pope | +2.3 |
| 32 | 16-16 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Bad set | Hanna Darvas | +3.6 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Blocked | Mariana Buchanan | blk Grace Fiaseu | +3.6 |
| 34 | 17-17 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Mariana Buchanan | set Hanna Darvas | +2.6 |
| 35 | 17-18 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Annamaria Ramos | set Samantha Pope | +2.7 |
| 36 | 17-19 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Blocked | Naima Foster | blk Grace Fiaseu, Lainie Stapleton | +3.6 |
| 37 | 18-19 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Naima Foster | set Hanna Darvas | +2.3 |
| 38 | 19-19 | SJSU | SJSU | Kill | Naima Foster | set Tatiana Robinson | +4.1 |
| 39 | 19-20 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +3.2 |
| 40 | 20-20 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Ava Hewitt | set Fatimah Hall | +3.3 |
| 41 | 20-21 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +3.5 |
| 42 | 20-22 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Attack err | Tatiana Robinson | +4.6 | |
| 43 | 21-22 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Morgan Graves | set Fatimah Hall | +2.6 |
| 44 | 21-23 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Sonia Okpara | set Mia Loyd | +3.6 |
| 45 | 22-23 | AIRFOR | SJSU×4 | Kill | Morgan Graves | set Fatimah Hall | +2.7 |
| 46 | 23-23 | SJSU | SJSU×4 | Kill | Mariana Buchanan | set Hanna Darvas | +6.4 |
| 47 | 24-23 | SJSU | SJSU×4 | Kill | Morgan Graves | set Orian Drore | +9.2 |
| 48 | 25-23 | SJSU | SJSU×4 | Kill | Learden Lee | set Hanna Darvas | +10.2 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SJSU | SJSU | Kill | Ava Hewitt | set Fatimah Hall | +2.9 |
| 2 | 1-1 | SJSU | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Annamaria Ramos | set Mia Loyd | +2.0 |
| 3 | 1-2 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Blocked | Morgan Graves | blk Grace Fiaseu, Lainie Stapleton | +2.8 |
| 4 | 1-3 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Attack err | Orian Drore | +2.6 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Ava Hewitt | set Fatimah Hall | +1.9 |
| 6 | 2-4 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +1.9 |
| 7 | 2-5 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Sonia Okpara | set Fatimah Hall | +2.4 |
| 8 | 3-5 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Morgan Graves | set Fatimah Hall | +1.7 |
| 9 | 3-6 | SJSU | AIRFOR×3 | Attack err | Morgan Graves | +1.8 | |
| 10 | 3-7 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Ace | Air Force | aced Morgan Graves | +2.2 |
| 11 | 3-8 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Ace | Air Force | aced Orian Drore | +1.8 |
| 12 | 4-8 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Blocked | Alysa Walker | blk Learden Lee, Morgan Graves | +1.2 |
| 13 | 5-8 | SJSU | SJSU | Blocked | Alysa Walker | blk Learden Lee, Naima Foster | +2.0 |
| 14 | 5-9 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Serve err | San Jose St. | +1.6 | |
| 15 | 5-10 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Jenness Orcutt | set Samantha Pope | +1.9 |
| 16 | 6-10 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Naima Foster | set Hanna Darvas | +1.2 |
| 17 | 7-10 | SJSU | SJSU | Ace | San Jose St. | aced Ella Vogel | +2.1 |
| 18 | 7-11 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Serve err | San Jose St. | +1.7 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Naima Foster | set Hanna Darvas | +1.5 |
| 20 | 9-11 | SJSU | SJSU | Kill | Tatiana Robinson | set Orian Drore | +2.6 |
| 21 | 9-12 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Bad set | Fatimah Hall | +2.1 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Attack err | Ava Hewitt | +2.5 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Naima Foster | set Orian Drore | +1.5 |
| 24 | 11-13 | SJSU | SJSU | Attack err | Grace Fiaseu | +2.7 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Annamaria Ramos | set Ella Vogel | +2.2 |
| 26 | 11-15 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Blocked | Morgan Graves | blk Lainie Stapleton | +2.6 |
| 27 | 12-15 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Blocked | Alysa Walker | blk Ava Hewitt | +1.6 |
| 28 | 12-16 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +1.9 |
| 29 | 13-16 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Tatiana Robinson | +1.6 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | SJSU | SJSU | Kill | Mariana Buchanan | set Hanna Darvas | +2.9 |
| 31 | 14-17 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Attack err | Learden Lee | +2.4 | |
| 32 | 14-18 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Attack err | Morgan Graves | +2.7 | |
| 33 | 15-18 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Mariana Buchanan | set Orian Drore | +1.5 |
| 34 | 16-18 | SJSU | SJSU | Blocked | Alysa Walker | blk Learden Lee | +3.0 |
| 35 | 16-19 | SJSU | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Bella Christensen | set Samantha Pope | +2.7 |
| 36 | 16-20 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Blocked | Mariana Buchanan | blk Sonia Okpara | +2.8 |
| 37 | 16-21 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Attack err | Naima Foster | +1.8 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Learden Lee | set Hanna Darvas | +0.8 |
| 39 | 18-21 | SJSU | SJSU | Ace | San Jose St. | aced Annamaria Ramos | +1.8 |
| 40 | 18-22 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Annamaria Ramos | set Samantha Pope | +2.0 |
| 41 | 19-22 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Serve err | Air Force | +1.1 | |
| 42 | 19-23 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Bella Christensen | set Samantha Pope | +1.9 |
| 43 | 19-24 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Annamaria Ramos | set Ella Vogel | +1.1 |
| 44 | 20-24 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Lolo Fonua | set Fatimah Hall | +0.2 |
| 45 | 20-25 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Annamaria Ramos | set Mia Loyd | +0.4 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +2.9 |
| 2 | 1-1 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Tatiana Robinson | set Fatimah Hall | +2.2 |
| 3 | 1-2 | SJSU | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +2.1 |
| 4 | 1-3 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Attack err | Ava Hewitt | +2.8 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Alysa Walker | set Fatimah Hall | +2.6 |
| 6 | 2-4 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Tatiana Robinson | set Fatimah Hall | +1.8 |
| 7 | 2-5 | SJSU | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Lainie Stapleton | set Mia Loyd | +1.9 |
| 8 | 2-6 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Blocked | Tatiana Robinson | blk Alysa Walker | +2.3 |
| 9 | 2-7 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Alysa Walker | set Samantha Pope | +2.0 |
| 10 | 3-7 | AIRFOR | SJSU×3 | Kill | Morgan Graves | set Fatimah Hall | +1.3 |
| 11 | 4-7 | SJSU | SJSU×3 | Attack err | Sonia Okpara | +2.1 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | SJSU | SJSU×3 | Ace | San Jose St. | +2.6 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Bella Christensen | set Samantha Pope | +2.0 |
| 14 | 6-8 | AIRFOR | SJSU×6 | Kill | Morgan Graves | set Hanna Darvas | +1.9 |
| 15 | 7-8 | SJSU | SJSU×6 | Kill | Mariana Buchanan | set Hanna Darvas | +3.1 |
| 16 | 8-8 | SJSU | SJSU×6 | Ace | San Jose St. | aced Ella Vogel | +3.6 |
| 17 | 9-8 | SJSU | SJSU×6 | Kill | Naima Foster | set Hanna Darvas | +3.9 |
| 18 | 10-8 | SJSU | SJSU×6 | Ace | San Jose St. | aced Aylani Correa | +4.1 |
| 19 | 11-8 | SJSU | SJSU×6 | Blocked | Annamaria Ramos | blk Learden Lee | +4.1 |
| 20 | 11-9 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Annamaria Ramos | set Ella Vogel | +2.6 |
| 21 | 12-9 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Learden Lee | set Hanna Darvas | +3.1 |
| 22 | 12-10 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Serve err | San Jose St. | +2.6 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Blocked | Mariana Buchanan | blk Annamaria Ramos, Grace Fiaseu | +4.1 |
| 24 | 13-11 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Ava Hewitt | set Hanna Darvas | +3.3 |
| 25 | 13-12 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +3.0 |
| 26 | 14-12 | AIRFOR | SJSU×3 | Blocked | Alysa Walker | blk Ava Hewitt | +3.5 |
| 27 | 15-12 | SJSU | SJSU×3 | Kill | Morgan Graves | set Orian Drore | +4.7 |
| 28 | 16-12 | SJSU | SJSU×3 | Attack err | Grace Fiaseu | +4.3 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +2.4 |
| 30 | 17-13 | AIRFOR | SJSU×3 | Kill | Morgan Graves | set Fatimah Hall | +3.2 |
| 31 | 18-13 | SJSU | SJSU×3 | Kill | Tatiana Robinson | set Kylee Sells | +3.6 |
| 32 | 19-13 | SJSU | SJSU×3 | Attack err | Alysa Walker | +2.7 | |
| 33 | 19-14 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Sonia Okpara | set Mia Loyd | +1.1 |
| 34 | 20-14 | AIRFOR | SJSU×3 | Kill | Morgan Graves | set Naima Foster | +1.8 |
| 35 | 21-14 | SJSU | SJSU×3 | Kill | Mariana Buchanan | set Hanna Darvas | +1.5 |
| 36 | 22-14 | SJSU | SJSU×3 | Attack err | Sonia Okpara | +0.7 | |
| 37 | 22-15 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Attack err | Morgan Graves | +0.2 | |
| 38 | 23-15 | AIRFOR | SJSU×3 | Kill | Mariana Buchanan | set Hanna Darvas | +0.4 |
| 39 | 24-15 | SJSU | SJSU×3 | Ace | San Jose St. | aced Ella Vogel | +0.1 |
| 40 | 25-15 | SJSU | SJSU×3 | Kill | Mariana Buchanan | set Hanna Darvas | · |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SJSU | SJSU | Kill | Naima Foster | set Fatimah Hall | +4.0 |
| 2 | 1-1 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Attack err | Naima Foster | +2.8 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | AIRFOR | SJSU×3 | Kill | Morgan Graves | set Fatimah Hall | +3.0 |
| 4 | 3-1 | SJSU | SJSU×3 | Blocked | Grace Fiaseu | blk Learden Lee | +4.3 |
| 5 | 4-1 | SJSU | SJSU×3 | Ace | San Jose St. | aced Ella Vogel | +4.4 |
| 6 | 4-2 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Lainie Stapleton | set Mia Loyd | +2.8 |
| 7 | 4-3 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Attack err | Tatiana Robinson | +4.2 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Morgan Graves | set Fatimah Hall | +3.3 |
| 9 | 5-4 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Annamaria Ramos | set Mia Loyd | +3.0 |
| 10 | 6-4 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Blocked | Annamaria Ramos | blk Learden Lee, Morgan Graves | +3.4 |
| 11 | 6-5 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Attack err | Naima Foster | +3.1 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Alysa Walker | set Ella Vogel | +4.4 |
| 13 | 7-6 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Learden Lee | set Hanna Darvas | +3.4 |
| 14 | 7-7 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Serve err | San Jose St. | +3.2 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Ava Hewitt | set Hanna Darvas | +3.5 |
| 16 | 8-8 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Bella Christensen | set Samantha Pope | +3.3 |
| 17 | 9-8 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Ava Hewitt | set Fatimah Hall | +3.6 |
| 18 | 9-9 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +3.4 |
| 19 | 9-10 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Annamaria Ramos | +4.8 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Morgan Graves | set Naima Foster | +3.5 |
| 21 | 11-10 | SJSU | SJSU | Kill | Morgan Graves | set Learden Lee | +5.3 |
| 22 | 11-11 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Annamaria Ramos | set Mia Loyd | +3.7 |
| 23 | 12-11 | AIRFOR | SJSU×3 | Kill | Morgan Graves | set Fatimah Hall | +4.0 |
| 24 | 13-11 | SJSU | SJSU×3 | Bad set | Mia Loyd | +5.8 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | SJSU | SJSU×3 | Ace | San Jose St. | aced Annamaria Ramos | +5.8 |
| 26 | 14-12 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Blocked | Learden Lee | blk Sonia Okpara, Lainie Stapleton | +3.5 |
| 27 | 15-12 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Serve err | Air Force | +4.3 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Blocked | Naima Foster | blk Bella Christensen | +3.6 |
| 29 | 15-14 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Bella Christensen | set Samantha Pope | +5.7 |
| 30 | 16-14 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Attack err | Bella Christensen | +4.8 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Serve err | San Jose St. | +4.2 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Alysa Walker | set Aylani Correa | +6.5 |
| 33 | 17-16 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Ava Hewitt | set Hanna Darvas | +5.1 |
| 34 | 17-17 | SJSU | AIRFOR×6 | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Samantha Pope | +4.8 |
| 35 | 17-18 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×6 | Kill | Alysa Walker | set Mia Loyd | +7.0 |
| 36 | 17-19 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×6 | Ace | Air Force | aced Zuzana Kosikova | +6.5 |
| 37 | 17-20 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×6 | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +5.4 |
| 38 | 17-21 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×6 | Kill | Alysa Walker | set Mia Loyd | +3.9 |
| 39 | 17-22 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×6 | Blocked | Lolo Fonua | blk Grace Fiaseu | +2.3 |
| 40 | 18-22 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Zuzana Kosikova | set Fatimah Hall | +0.8 |
| 41 | 18-23 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Alysa Walker | set Mia Loyd | +1.4 |
| 42 | 19-23 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Tatiana Robinson | set Fatimah Hall | +0.6 |
| 43 | 19-24 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +1.1 |
| 44 | 19-25 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Attack err | Morgan Graves | +1.5 | |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Alysa Walker | set Mia Loyd | +5.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Attack err | Grace Fiaseu | +6.0 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +6.0 |
| 4 | 1-3 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Annamaria Ramos | set Alysa Walker | +8.0 |
| 5 | 2-3 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Learden Lee | set Fatimah Hall | +5.6 |
| 6 | 3-3 | SJSU | SJSU | Blocked | Annamaria Ramos | blk Learden Lee | +9.0 |
| 7 | 3-4 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Lainie Stapleton | set Mia Loyd | +6.5 |
| 8 | 4-4 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Learden Lee | set Fatimah Hall | +6.8 |
| 9 | 4-5 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Bella Christensen | set Samantha Pope | +6.9 |
| 10 | 4-6 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Attack err | Morgan Graves | +9.1 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Tatiana Robinson | set Morgan Graves | +6.2 |
| 12 | 5-7 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Sonia Okpara | set Samantha Pope | +6.8 |
| 13 | 6-7 | AIRFOR | SJSU×5 | Kill | Ava Hewitt | set Hanna Darvas | +6.4 |
| 14 | 7-7 | SJSU | SJSU×5 | Kill | Mariana Buchanan | set Hanna Darvas | +11.0 |
| 15 | 8-7 | SJSU | SJSU×5 | Kill | Ava Hewitt | set Hanna Darvas | +12.5 |
| 16 | 9-7 | SJSU | SJSU×5 | Blocked | Alysa Walker | blk Ava Hewitt | +13.1 |
| 17 | 10-7 | SJSU | SJSU×5 | Kill | Naima Foster | set Zuzana Kosikova | +12.2 |
| 18 | 10-8 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Kill | Bella Christensen | set Samantha Pope | +6.5 |
| 19 | 11-8 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Ava Hewitt | set Hanna Darvas | +9.3 |
| 20 | 11-9 | SJSU | AIRFOR×4 | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +6.4 |
| 21 | 11-10 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×4 | Kill | Annamaria Ramos | set Mia Loyd | +12.5 |
| 22 | 11-11 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×4 | Blocked | Learden Lee | blk Grace Fiaseu, Annamaria Ramos | +15.7 |
| 23 | 11-12 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×4 | Blocked | Mariana Buchanan | blk Grace Fiaseu, Annamaria Ramos | +17.3 |
| 24 | 12-12 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Mariana Buchanan | set Hanna Darvas | +12.2 |
| 25 | 12-13 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Serve err | San Jose St. | +14.4 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Attack err | Naima Foster | +18.0 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | AIRFOR | SJSU | Kill | Fatimah Hall | set Grace Fiaseu | +7.2 |
| 28 | 13-15 | SJSU | AIRFOR | Serve err | San Jose St. | +16.3 | |
Score shown after each rally, San Jose St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).