Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 26, 2026Watch on MW+

Air Force def. San Jose St. 3–2

Air Force beat visiting San Jose St. 3-2 (23-25, 25-20, 15-25, 25-19, 15-13) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Air Force's Grace Fiaseu led with 18 kills.

Data through · final Sep 26

Set12345Sets
SJSU25202519132
AIRFOR23251525153

Win probability

Air Force above 50 · San Jose St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+18.0% AIRFORrally 205 · set 5

Biggest swing: 18.0% to Air Force — set 5, SJSU 12-14 AIRFOR. Attack error by Naima Foster. AIRFOR win probability 73% → 91%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SJSU 28.0%72.0% AIRFOR

San Jose St. wins

3-0
5.2%
3-1
9.7%
3-2
13.1%

Air Force wins

3-0
24.7%
3-1
27.6%
3-2
19.7%
SJSU break %
39.5% vs this opp
AIRFOR break %
43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Naima FosterAttack error+18.0%

    Attack error by Naima Foster

    Set 5 · SJSU 12-14 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 73% → 91%

  2. 02

    Mariana Buchanan stuffed by Grace Fiaseu & Annamaria Ramos

    Set 5 · SJSU 11-12 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 53% → 71%

  3. 03
    San Jose St.Service error+16.3%

    San Jose St. service error

    Set 5 · SJSU 13-15 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 84% → 100%

  4. 04

    Learden Lee stuffed by Grace Fiaseu & Annamaria Ramos

    Set 5 · SJSU 11-11 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 38% → 53%

  5. 05
    San Jose St.Service error+14.4%

    San Jose St. service error

    Set 5 · SJSU 12-13 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 58% → 73%

  6. 06
    Ava HewittBlock+13.1%

    Alysa Walker stuffed by Ava Hewitt

    Set 5 · SJSU 9-7 AIRFOR · SJSU 53% → 66%

  7. 07
    Annamaria RamosKill+12.5%

    Kill by Annamaria Ramos (set by Mia Loyd)

    Set 5 · SJSU 11-10 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 25% → 38%

  8. 08
    Ava HewittKill+12.5%

    Kill by Ava Hewitt (set by Hanna Darvas)

    Set 5 · SJSU 8-7 AIRFOR · SJSU 41% → 53%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516836.2221026112218
57316.25012400536.515.5
511218.50000010313.514.5
59639.077201130010.59.5
59325.24050030010.59.5
5104.25024011000001
512426.3080003000012
5002.0002320600002
5000–111500001
5012-.5005001710000
4104.250130910004
2115.000000100001
1000–000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals6728177.220638107439813102
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518431.45200170254.522.5
516546.2390007204218
510948.021101140010.510.5
54112.25000040233.57.5
5429.22200000031.55.5
5001.0003010900001
5000–1721800002
5000–101010000
5000–4001440000
47115.400000201018
2104.250100100001
1001.000000100000
Team totals6022167.228543467851613103

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

San Jose St. vs Air Force

Season series · Air Force leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 SJSU · AIRFOR 6

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 SJSUAIRFOR 3

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 2 SJSUAIRFOR 3

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 6 SJSUAIRFOR 3

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 SJSUAIRFOR 6

Set 5

13-15

Longest run 5 SJSUAIRFOR 4

Bars above the line = Air Force leads, below = San Jose St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

San Jose St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%12/22
27%4/15
2
61%11/18
33%6/18
3
63%10/16
39%7/18
4
59%10/17
44%8/18
5
73%8/11
62%13/21
6
44%8/18
38%5/13
All
58%59/102
42%43/103

Air Force

SlotSideout %Break %
1
68%13/19
50%10/20
2
67%12/18
43%9/21
3
52%11/21
42%8/19
4
38%8/21
29%4/14
5
80%8/10
50%8/16
6
57%8/14
33%4/12
All
58%60/103
42%43/102

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

205 rallies

#SJSU-AIRFORSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0AIRFORSJSUBlockedAnnamaria Ramosblk Ava Hewitt, Tatiana Robinson+1.6
21-1SJSUAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Mia Loyd+1.5
32-1AIRFORSJSUAttack errAnnamaria Ramos+1.6
43-1SJSUSJSUAttack errAlysa Walker+2.4
53-2SJSUAIRFORServe errSan Jose St.+1.6
64-2AIRFORSJSUServe errAir Force+1.8
74-3SJSUAIRFORBlockedMorgan Gravesblk Lainie Stapleton+1.6
85-3AIRFORSJSUKillTatiana Robinsonset Fatimah Hall+1.8
95-4SJSUAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Samantha Pope+1.7
106-4AIRFORSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Tatiana Robinson+1.9
116-5SJSUAIRFORServe errSan Jose St.+1.7
127-5AIRFORSJSUKillMariana Buchananset Tatiana Robinson+1.9
138-5SJSUSJSUKillMariana Buchananset Learden Lee+2.7
148-6SJSUAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Samantha Pope+1.7
158-7AIRFORAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseu+2.5
169-7AIRFORSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Tatiana Robinson+2.0
179-8SJSUAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+1.8
1810-8AIRFORSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+2.1
1910-9SJSUAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+1.9
2011-9AIRFORSJSU×3KillTatiana Robinsonset Fatimah Hall+2.2
2112-9SJSUSJSU×3BlockedAlysa Walkerblk Learden Lee+3.0
2213-9SJSUSJSU×3BlockedLainie Stapletonblk Morgan Graves+2.8
2313-10SJSUAIRFORServe errSan Jose St.+1.6
2413-11AIRFORAIRFORKillLainie Stapletonset Fatimah Hall+2.7
2514-11AIRFORSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Tatiana Robinson+2.3
2615-11SJSUSJSUKillLearden Leeset Fatimah Hall+2.9
2715-12SJSUAIRFOR×3KillAlysa Walkerset Samantha Pope+1.7
2815-13AIRFORAIRFOR×3KillAnnamaria Ramos+2.8
2915-14AIRFORAIRFOR×3KillAnnamaria Ramosset Jenness Orcutt+3.2
3016-14AIRFORSJSUServe errAir Force+2.7
3116-15SJSUAIRFOR×3KillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+2.3
3216-16AIRFORAIRFOR×3Bad setHanna Darvas+3.6
3316-17AIRFORAIRFOR×3BlockedMariana Buchananblk Grace Fiaseu+3.6
3417-17AIRFORSJSUKillMariana Buchananset Hanna Darvas+2.6
3517-18SJSUAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+2.7
3617-19AIRFORAIRFORBlockedNaima Fosterblk Grace Fiaseu, Lainie Stapleton+3.6
3718-19AIRFORSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Hanna Darvas+2.3
3819-19SJSUSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Tatiana Robinson+4.1
3919-20SJSUAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+3.2
4020-20AIRFORSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+3.3
4120-21SJSUAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+3.5
4220-22AIRFORAIRFORAttack errTatiana Robinson+4.6
4321-22AIRFORSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+2.6
4421-23SJSUAIRFORKillSonia Okparaset Mia Loyd+3.6
4522-23AIRFORSJSU×4KillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+2.7
4623-23SJSUSJSU×4KillMariana Buchananset Hanna Darvas+6.4
4724-23SJSUSJSU×4KillMorgan Gravesset Orian Drore+9.2
4825-23SJSUSJSU×4KillLearden Leeset Hanna Darvas+10.2
Set 2
11-0SJSUSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+2.9
21-1SJSUAIRFOR×3KillAnnamaria Ramosset Mia Loyd+2.0
31-2AIRFORAIRFOR×3BlockedMorgan Gravesblk Grace Fiaseu, Lainie Stapleton+2.8
41-3AIRFORAIRFOR×3Attack errOrian Drore+2.6
52-3AIRFORSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+1.9
62-4SJSUAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+1.9
72-5AIRFORAIRFORKillSonia Okparaset Fatimah Hall+2.4
83-5AIRFORSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+1.7
93-6SJSUAIRFOR×3Attack errMorgan Graves+1.8
103-7AIRFORAIRFOR×3AceAir Forceaced Morgan Graves+2.2
113-8AIRFORAIRFOR×3AceAir Forceaced Orian Drore+1.8
124-8AIRFORSJSUBlockedAlysa Walkerblk Learden Lee, Morgan Graves+1.2
135-8SJSUSJSUBlockedAlysa Walkerblk Learden Lee, Naima Foster+2.0
145-9SJSUAIRFORServe errSan Jose St.+1.6
155-10AIRFORAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Samantha Pope+1.9
166-10AIRFORSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Hanna Darvas+1.2
177-10SJSUSJSUAceSan Jose St.aced Ella Vogel+2.1
187-11SJSUAIRFORServe errSan Jose St.+1.7
198-11AIRFORSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Hanna Darvas+1.5
209-11SJSUSJSUKillTatiana Robinsonset Orian Drore+2.6
219-12SJSUAIRFORBad setFatimah Hall+2.1
229-13AIRFORAIRFORAttack errAva Hewitt+2.5
2310-13AIRFORSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Orian Drore+1.5
2411-13SJSUSJSUAttack errGrace Fiaseu+2.7
2511-14SJSUAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Ella Vogel+2.2
2611-15AIRFORAIRFORBlockedMorgan Gravesblk Lainie Stapleton+2.6
2712-15AIRFORSJSUBlockedAlysa Walkerblk Ava Hewitt+1.6
2812-16SJSUAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+1.9
2913-16AIRFORSJSUKillTatiana Robinson+1.6
3014-16SJSUSJSUKillMariana Buchananset Hanna Darvas+2.9
3114-17SJSUAIRFORAttack errLearden Lee+2.4
3214-18AIRFORAIRFORAttack errMorgan Graves+2.7
3315-18AIRFORSJSUKillMariana Buchananset Orian Drore+1.5
3416-18SJSUSJSUBlockedAlysa Walkerblk Learden Lee+3.0
3516-19SJSUAIRFOR×3KillBella Christensenset Samantha Pope+2.7
3616-20AIRFORAIRFOR×3BlockedMariana Buchananblk Sonia Okpara+2.8
3716-21AIRFORAIRFOR×3Attack errNaima Foster+1.8
3817-21AIRFORSJSUKillLearden Leeset Hanna Darvas+0.8
3918-21SJSUSJSUAceSan Jose St.aced Annamaria Ramos+1.8
4018-22SJSUAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+2.0
4119-22AIRFORSJSUServe errAir Force+1.1
4219-23SJSUAIRFORKillBella Christensenset Samantha Pope+1.9
4319-24AIRFORAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Ella Vogel+1.1
4420-24AIRFORSJSUKillLolo Fonuaset Fatimah Hall+0.2
4520-25SJSUAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Mia Loyd+0.4
Set 3
10-1AIRFORAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+2.9
21-1AIRFORSJSUKillTatiana Robinsonset Fatimah Hall+2.2
31-2SJSUAIRFOR×3KillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+2.1
41-3AIRFORAIRFOR×3Attack errAva Hewitt+2.8
51-4AIRFORAIRFOR×3KillAlysa Walkerset Fatimah Hall+2.6
62-4AIRFORSJSUKillTatiana Robinsonset Fatimah Hall+1.8
72-5SJSUAIRFOR×3KillLainie Stapletonset Mia Loyd+1.9
82-6AIRFORAIRFOR×3BlockedTatiana Robinsonblk Alysa Walker+2.3
92-7AIRFORAIRFOR×3KillAlysa Walkerset Samantha Pope+2.0
103-7AIRFORSJSU×3KillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+1.3
114-7SJSUSJSU×3Attack errSonia Okpara+2.1
125-7SJSUSJSU×3AceSan Jose St.+2.6
135-8SJSUAIRFORKillBella Christensenset Samantha Pope+2.0
146-8AIRFORSJSU×6KillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+1.9
157-8SJSUSJSU×6KillMariana Buchananset Hanna Darvas+3.1
168-8SJSUSJSU×6AceSan Jose St.aced Ella Vogel+3.6
179-8SJSUSJSU×6KillNaima Fosterset Hanna Darvas+3.9
1810-8SJSUSJSU×6AceSan Jose St.aced Aylani Correa+4.1
1911-8SJSUSJSU×6BlockedAnnamaria Ramosblk Learden Lee+4.1
2011-9SJSUAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Ella Vogel+2.6
2112-9AIRFORSJSUKillLearden Leeset Hanna Darvas+3.1
2212-10SJSUAIRFORServe errSan Jose St.+2.6
2312-11AIRFORAIRFORBlockedMariana Buchananblk Annamaria Ramos, Grace Fiaseu+4.1
2413-11AIRFORSJSUKillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+3.3
2513-12SJSUAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+3.0
2614-12AIRFORSJSU×3BlockedAlysa Walkerblk Ava Hewitt+3.5
2715-12SJSUSJSU×3KillMorgan Gravesset Orian Drore+4.7
2816-12SJSUSJSU×3Attack errGrace Fiaseu+4.3
2916-13SJSUAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+2.4
3017-13AIRFORSJSU×3KillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+3.2
3118-13SJSUSJSU×3KillTatiana Robinsonset Kylee Sells+3.6
3219-13SJSUSJSU×3Attack errAlysa Walker+2.7
3319-14SJSUAIRFORKillSonia Okparaset Mia Loyd+1.1
3420-14AIRFORSJSU×3KillMorgan Gravesset Naima Foster+1.8
3521-14SJSUSJSU×3KillMariana Buchananset Hanna Darvas+1.5
3622-14SJSUSJSU×3Attack errSonia Okpara+0.7
3722-15SJSUAIRFORAttack errMorgan Graves+0.2
3823-15AIRFORSJSU×3KillMariana Buchananset Hanna Darvas+0.4
3924-15SJSUSJSU×3AceSan Jose St.aced Ella Vogel+0.1
4025-15SJSUSJSU×3KillMariana Buchananset Hanna Darvas·
Set 4
11-0SJSUSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Fatimah Hall+4.0
21-1SJSUAIRFORAttack errNaima Foster+2.8
32-1AIRFORSJSU×3KillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+3.0
43-1SJSUSJSU×3BlockedGrace Fiaseublk Learden Lee+4.3
54-1SJSUSJSU×3AceSan Jose St.aced Ella Vogel+4.4
64-2SJSUAIRFORKillLainie Stapletonset Mia Loyd+2.8
74-3AIRFORAIRFORAttack errTatiana Robinson+4.2
85-3AIRFORSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+3.3
95-4SJSUAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Mia Loyd+3.0
106-4AIRFORSJSUBlockedAnnamaria Ramosblk Learden Lee, Morgan Graves+3.4
116-5SJSUAIRFORAttack errNaima Foster+3.1
126-6AIRFORAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Ella Vogel+4.4
137-6AIRFORSJSUKillLearden Leeset Hanna Darvas+3.4
147-7SJSUAIRFORServe errSan Jose St.+3.2
158-7AIRFORSJSUKillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+3.5
168-8SJSUAIRFORKillBella Christensenset Samantha Pope+3.3
179-8AIRFORSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+3.6
189-9SJSUAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+3.4
199-10AIRFORAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramos+4.8
2010-10AIRFORSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Naima Foster+3.5
2111-10SJSUSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Learden Lee+5.3
2211-11SJSUAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Mia Loyd+3.7
2312-11AIRFORSJSU×3KillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+4.0
2413-11SJSUSJSU×3Bad setMia Loyd+5.8
2514-11SJSUSJSU×3AceSan Jose St.aced Annamaria Ramos+5.8
2614-12SJSUAIRFORBlockedLearden Leeblk Sonia Okpara, Lainie Stapleton+3.5
2715-12AIRFORSJSUServe errAir Force+4.3
2815-13SJSUAIRFORBlockedNaima Fosterblk Bella Christensen+3.6
2915-14AIRFORAIRFORKillBella Christensenset Samantha Pope+5.7
3016-14AIRFORSJSUAttack errBella Christensen+4.8
3116-15SJSUAIRFORServe errSan Jose St.+4.2
3216-16AIRFORAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Aylani Correa+6.5
3317-16AIRFORSJSUKillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+5.1
3417-17SJSUAIRFOR×6KillGrace Fiaseuset Samantha Pope+4.8
3517-18AIRFORAIRFOR×6KillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+7.0
3617-19AIRFORAIRFOR×6AceAir Forceaced Zuzana Kosikova+6.5
3717-20AIRFORAIRFOR×6KillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+5.4
3817-21AIRFORAIRFOR×6KillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+3.9
3917-22AIRFORAIRFOR×6BlockedLolo Fonuablk Grace Fiaseu+2.3
4018-22AIRFORSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall+0.8
4118-23SJSUAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+1.4
4219-23AIRFORSJSUKillTatiana Robinsonset Fatimah Hall+0.6
4319-24SJSUAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+1.1
4419-25AIRFORAIRFORAttack errMorgan Graves+1.5
Set 5
10-1SJSUAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+5.8
21-1AIRFORSJSUAttack errGrace Fiaseu+6.0
31-2SJSUAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+6.0
41-3AIRFORAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Alysa Walker+8.0
52-3AIRFORSJSUKillLearden Leeset Fatimah Hall+5.6
63-3SJSUSJSUBlockedAnnamaria Ramosblk Learden Lee+9.0
73-4SJSUAIRFORKillLainie Stapletonset Mia Loyd+6.5
84-4AIRFORSJSUKillLearden Leeset Fatimah Hall+6.8
94-5SJSUAIRFORKillBella Christensenset Samantha Pope+6.9
104-6AIRFORAIRFORAttack errMorgan Graves+9.1
115-6AIRFORSJSUKillTatiana Robinsonset Morgan Graves+6.2
125-7SJSUAIRFORKillSonia Okparaset Samantha Pope+6.8
136-7AIRFORSJSU×5KillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+6.4
147-7SJSUSJSU×5KillMariana Buchananset Hanna Darvas+11.0
158-7SJSUSJSU×5KillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+12.5
169-7SJSUSJSU×5BlockedAlysa Walkerblk Ava Hewitt+13.1
1710-7SJSUSJSU×5KillNaima Fosterset Zuzana Kosikova+12.2
1810-8SJSUAIRFORKillBella Christensenset Samantha Pope+6.5
1911-8AIRFORSJSUKillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+9.3
2011-9SJSUAIRFOR×4KillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+6.4
2111-10AIRFORAIRFOR×4KillAnnamaria Ramosset Mia Loyd+12.5
2211-11AIRFORAIRFOR×4BlockedLearden Leeblk Grace Fiaseu, Annamaria Ramos+15.7
2311-12AIRFORAIRFOR×4BlockedMariana Buchananblk Grace Fiaseu, Annamaria Ramos+17.3
2412-12AIRFORSJSUKillMariana Buchananset Hanna Darvas+12.2
2512-13SJSUAIRFORServe errSan Jose St.+14.4
2612-14AIRFORAIRFORAttack errNaima Foster+18.0
2713-14AIRFORSJSUKillFatimah Hallset Grace Fiaseu+7.2
2813-15SJSUAIRFORServe errSan Jose St.+16.3

Score shown after each rally, San Jose St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).