Cal Poly vs Long Beach State Volleyball: Cal Poly Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Oct 10, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Cal Poly 51.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 7:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Cal Poly won at Long Beach St. 3-0 (25-12, 25-17, 25-22) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Cal Poly's Emma Fredrick led with 15 kills, and Alexis Haury added 15 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 8:35 PM CT · final Oct 10

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CALPLY	25	25	25	3
LBSU	12	17	22	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Emma Fredrick needed just 3 sets for 15 kills. Cal Poly swept Long Beach St.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.8 points. Long Beach St. peaked at 51% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Cal Poly 51% before first serve.

Cal PolyLong Beach St.

Break %+23.1 pts
50.026.9
On serve: 37/74 against 14/52 (Long Beach St. sideout 50.0%).
Hitting+.238
.378.140
48 K / 11 E against 32 K / 17 E.
Longest run+2
53
5 straight Cal Poly points in the first set broke an 8–8 tie and made it 13–8. The set finished 25–12.

Long Beach St. above 50Cal Poly belowMax swing 3.8%

Cal PolyLong Beach St.

Aces: Cal Poly 4·Long Beach St. 3
Serve err: Cal Poly 5·Long Beach St. 6
Blocks: Cal Poly 7.5·Long Beach St. 52 BS · 11 BA vs 0 BS · 10 BA
Digs: Cal Poly 46·Long Beach St. 31

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Long Beach St. above 50 · Cal Poly below

Biggest swing: 3.8% to Cal Poly — set 3, CALPLY 22-20 LBSU. Kill by Charlotte Kelly (set by Alexis Haury). LBSU win probability 9% → 5%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CALPLY 57.1%42.9% LBSU

Cal Poly wins

3-0

15.7%

3-1

21.7%

3-2

19.7%

Long Beach St. wins

3-0

9.8%

3-1

15.8%

3-2

17.4%

CALPLY break %: 40.9% vs this opp
LBSU break %: 39.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Charlotte KellyKill+3.8%
Kill by Charlotte Kelly (set by Alexis Haury)
Set 3 · CALPLY 22-20 LBSU · CALPLY 91% → 95%
02
Breklyn PullingBlock+3.8%
Madi Maxwell stuffed by Breklyn Pulling
Set 2 · CALPLY 15-13 LBSU · CALPLY 73% → 77%
03
Breklyn Pulling&Kayla MurdochBlock+3.7%
Kyler Birkelbach stuffed by Breklyn Pulling & Kayla Murdoch
Set 2 · CALPLY 13-12 LBSU · CALPLY 69% → 73%
04
Sidney HamakerAttack error+3.5%
Attack error by Sidney Hamaker
Set 2 · CALPLY 16-13 LBSU · CALPLY 77% → 80%
05
Charlotte KellyKill+3.4%
Kill by Charlotte Kelly (set by Alexis Haury)
Set 2 · CALPLY 11-11 LBSU · CALPLY 66% → 69%
06
Kendall BeshearKill+3.2%
Kill by Kendall Beshear (set by Elif Hurriyet)
Set 1 · CALPLY 10-8 LBSU · CALPLY 54% → 57%
07
Emma FredrickKill+3.1%
Kill by Emma Fredrick (set by Elif Hurriyet)
Set 2 · CALPLY 10-11 LBSU · CALPLY 62% → 66%
08
Sidney HamakerKill+3.0%
Kill by Sidney Hamaker (set by Anna Jelinek)
Set 1 · CALPLY 7-7 LBSU · LBSU 45% → 48%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Cal Polyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Emma FredrickOH	3	15	4	28	.393	2	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
13Kendall BeshearOH	3	10	3	31	.226	0	0	2	7	2	0	0	0	10
15Charlotte KellyMB	3	8	0	10	.800	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
12Breklyn PullingMB	3	4	0	8	.500	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	3	7
8Alexis HauryS	3	1	1	4	.000	34	1	1	15	0	0	0	0	2
7Noelle VanachtL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	7	0	0	0	0	2
16Kayla MurdochOH	3	10	3	17	.412	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	12.5
53Ella ScottL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
21Elif HurriyetL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	8	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	0
6Maren O'FarrellL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	11	98	.378	45	4	5	46	3	2	11	7.5	75

Long Beach St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
13Sidney HamakerOH	3	14	6	37	.216	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	15
11Madi MaxwellS	3	5	3	11	.182	21	1	0	10	0	4	2	8
3Pola BujnarowskaMB	3	2	1	11	.091	0	1	1	1	0	4	2	5
6Chloe JohnsonOH	3	3	4	19	-.053	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	3
4Laurel BarsocchiniL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	3	1	0	0	0
24Reagan HopeMB	2	3	1	7	.286	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
77Kendal MurphyOH	3	4	1	17	.176	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
10Kyler BirkelbachMB	3	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
0Anna JelinekOH	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	8	0	0	0	0
1Izzy MahaffeyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	4	2	0	0	0
12Kinga ZiolkowskaS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Anabel KotzakovOH	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
63Madi CollinsS	2	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	17	107	.140	30	3	6	31	4	10	5	51

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Cal Poly vs Long Beach St.

Season series · Cal Poly leads 1-0

Sat, Oct 10, 2026Cal Poly at Long Beach St. · Cal Poly won 3-0This match
Fri, Nov 6, 2026Long Beach St. at Cal PolyPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 CALPLY · LBSU 3

Set 1

25-12

Longest run 5 CALPLYLBSU 2

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 5 CALPLYLBSU 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 CALPLYLBSU 3

Bars above the line = Long Beach St. leads, below = Cal Poly leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Cal Poly

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%4/4	57%4/7
2	100%4/4	64%7/11
3	67%4/6	56%5/9
4	67%4/6	60%6/10
5	80%4/5	0%0/4
6	60%3/5	63%5/8
All	77%23/30	55%27/49

Long Beach St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%4/7	25%1/4
2	44%4/9	0%0/4
3	36%4/11	33%2/6
4	57%4/7	33%2/6
5	67%4/6	20%1/5
6	22%2/9	20%1/5
All	45%22/49	23%7/30

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#	CALPLY-LBSU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CALPLY	LBSU	Serve err	Cal Poly		+1.7
2	1-1	LBSU	CALPLY	Serve err	Long Beach St.		+1.7
3	1-2	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+1.8
4	2-2	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+1.7
5	3-2	CALPLY	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+2.8
6	3-3	CALPLY	LBSU	Serve err	Cal Poly		+1.8
7	4-3	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+1.8
8	5-3	CALPLY	CALPLY	Attack err	Reagan Hope		+2.8
9	5-4	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+1.7
10	6-4	LBSU	CALPLY	Serve err	Long Beach St.		+1.9
11	6-5	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Sidney Hamaker	+1.8
12	7-5	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Elif Hurriyet	+1.9
13	7-6	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+1.8
14	7-7	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Anna Jelinek	+3.0
15	8-7	LBSU	CALPLY	Serve err	Long Beach St.		+2.0
16	8-8	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Madi Maxwell	+2.0
17	9-8	LBSU	CALPLY×5	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Elif Hurriyet	+2.1
18	10-8	CALPLY	CALPLY×5	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Elif Hurriyet	+3.2
19	11-8	CALPLY	CALPLY×5	Blocked	Chloe Johnson	blk Kayla Murdoch, Charlotte Kelly	+3.0
20	12-8	CALPLY	CALPLY×5	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+2.7
21	13-8	CALPLY	CALPLY×5	Attack err	Sidney Hamaker		+2.2
22	13-9	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+1.1
23	14-9	LBSU	CALPLY×4	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+1.4
24	15-9	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Elif Hurriyet	+1.7
25	16-9	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+1.2
26	17-9	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Attack err	Chloe Johnson		+0.8
27	17-10	CALPLY	LBSU	Attack err	Kayla Murdoch		+0.3
28	18-10	LBSU	CALPLY×3	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Elif Hurriyet	+0.4
29	19-10	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Attack err	Madi Maxwell		+0.4
30	20-10	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Madi Collins	+0.2
31	20-11	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach	set Madi Collins	·
32	21-11	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+0.1
33	21-12	CALPLY	LBSU	Blocked	Emma Fredrick	blk Pola Bujnarowska, Madi Maxwell	·
34	22-12	LBSU	CALPLY×4	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+0.1
35	23-12	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Attack err	Kendal Murphy		·
36	24-12	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Emma Fredrick	·
37	25-12	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Sidney Hamaker	·
Set 2
1	1-0	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+1.7
2	2-0	CALPLY	CALPLY	Blocked	Chloe Johnson	blk Kayla Murdoch, Charlotte Kelly	+2.6
3	2-1	CALPLY	LBSU	Attack err	Kendall Beshear		+1.6
4	3-1	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+1.7
5	3-2	CALPLY	LBSU×3	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+1.7
6	3-3	LBSU	LBSU×3	Attack err	Emma Fredrick		+2.7
7	3-4	LBSU	LBSU×3	Ace	Long Beach St.	aced Kendall Beshear	+2.8
8	4-4	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+1.8
9	5-4	CALPLY	CALPLY	Ace	Cal Poly	aced Chloe Johnson	+2.9
10	5-5	CALPLY	LBSU×3	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+1.8
11	5-6	LBSU	LBSU×3	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+3.0
12	5-7	LBSU	LBSU×3	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Izzy Mahaffey	+2.9
13	6-7	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+1.8
14	6-8	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Madi Maxwell	+2.0
15	6-9	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Alexis Haury		+2.9
16	7-9	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Breklyn Pulling	set Alexis Haury	+1.7
17	7-10	CALPLY	LBSU	Blocked	Kendall Beshear	blk Pola Bujnarowska, Madi Maxwell	+1.9
18	8-10	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Alexis Haury	+1.7
19	8-11	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+2.0
20	9-11	LBSU	CALPLY×3	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+1.7
21	10-11	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Elif Hurriyet	+3.1
22	11-11	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Alexis Haury	+3.4
23	11-12	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+2.3
24	12-12	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Alexis Haury	+2.3
25	13-12	CALPLY	CALPLY	Blocked	Kyler Birkelbach	blk Breklyn Pulling, Kayla Murdoch	+3.7
26	13-13	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+2.4
27	14-13	LBSU	CALPLY×3	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+2.5
28	15-13	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Blocked	Madi Maxwell	blk Breklyn Pulling	+3.8
29	16-13	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Attack err	Sidney Hamaker		+3.5
30	16-14	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Madi Collins	+1.9
31	17-14	LBSU	CALPLY	Serve err	Long Beach St.		+2.3
32	17-15	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Madi Collins	+1.9
33	18-15	LBSU	CALPLY×3	Kill	Breklyn Pulling	set Alexis Haury	+2.4
34	19-15	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Alexis Haury	+3.0
35	20-15	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Attack err	Pola Bujnarowska		+2.0
36	20-16	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Madi Collins	+0.8
37	20-17	LBSU	LBSU	Ace	Long Beach St.		+1.9
38	21-17	LBSU	CALPLY×5	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Alexis Haury	+1.9
39	22-17	CALPLY	CALPLY×5	Blocked	Sidney Hamaker	blk Kayla Murdoch, Charlotte Kelly	+1.8
40	23-17	CALPLY	CALPLY×5	Attack err	Madi Maxwell		+0.8
41	24-17	CALPLY	CALPLY×5	Attack err	Sidney Hamaker		+0.2
42	25-17	CALPLY	CALPLY×5	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Elif Hurriyet	·
Set 3
1	0-1	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+1.1
2	0-2	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Anna Jelinek	+1.7
3	1-2	LBSU	CALPLY	Serve err	Long Beach St.		+1.0
4	1-3	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+1.1
5	1-4	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Kayla Murdoch		+1.7
6	2-4	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Alexis Haury	+1.0
7	2-5	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+1.1
8	3-5	LBSU	CALPLY×3	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+1.0
9	4-5	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Maren O'Farrell	+1.7
10	5-5	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Attack err	Chloe Johnson		+1.8
11	5-6	CALPLY	LBSU	Blocked	Emma Fredrick	blk Madi Maxwell, Pola Bujnarowska	+1.2
12	6-6	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Elif Hurriyet	+1.2
13	6-7	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+1.3
14	7-7	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Breklyn Pulling	set Alexis Haury	+1.2
15	8-7	CALPLY	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+2.0
16	8-8	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+1.3
17	9-8	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Breklyn Pulling	set Alexis Haury	+1.3
18	9-9	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+1.3
19	10-9	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+1.4
20	10-10	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+1.4
21	10-11	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+2.2
22	11-11	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+1.4
23	11-12	CALPLY	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+1.5
24	12-12	LBSU	CALPLY×3	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+1.5
25	13-12	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Blocked	Sidney Hamaker	blk Breklyn Pulling, Emma Fredrick, Kayla Murdoch	+2.4
26	14-12	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+2.3
27	14-13	CALPLY	LBSU×3	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Madi Maxwell	+1.4
28	14-14	LBSU	LBSU×3	Blocked	Kayla Murdoch	blk Pola Bujnarowska, Kendal Murphy	+2.4
29	14-15	LBSU	LBSU×3	Attack err	Emma Fredrick		+2.6
30	15-15	LBSU	CALPLY×4	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Emma Fredrick	+1.7
31	16-15	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Ace	Cal Poly	aced Izzy Mahaffey	+2.7
32	17-15	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Blocked	Sidney Hamaker	blk Breklyn Pulling	+2.7
33	18-15	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Kill	Alexis Haury	set Breklyn Pulling	+2.4
34	18-16	CALPLY	LBSU×3	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Madi Maxwell	+1.2
35	18-17	LBSU	LBSU×3	Ace	Long Beach St.	aced Kendall Beshear	+2.5
36	18-18	LBSU	LBSU×3	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Kendall Beshear	+3.0
37	19-18	LBSU	CALPLY	Serve err	Long Beach St.		+2.1
38	19-19	CALPLY	LBSU	Blocked	Kendall Beshear	blk Kyler Birkelbach, Madi Maxwell	+2.1
39	20-19	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+2.3
40–41	21-20		CALPLY · LBSU	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.3
42	22-20	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Alexis Haury	+3.8
43	23-20	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Ace	Cal Poly	aced Laurel Barsocchini	+2.9
44	23-21	CALPLY	LBSU	Serve err	Cal Poly		+1.0
45	24-21	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+1.9
46	24-22	CALPLY	LBSU	Serve err	Cal Poly		+0.6
47	25-22	LBSU	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+1.6

Score shown after each rally, Cal Poly first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Cal Poly def. Long Beach St. 3–0

Emma Fredrick needed just 3 sets for 15 kills. Cal Poly swept Long Beach St.