Long Beach State def. CSU Bakersfield 3-0 (Oct 30)

FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Long Beach St. 94.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 8:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Long Beach St. beat visiting CSU Bakersfield 3-0 (25-13, 25-22, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Long Beach St.'s Madi Maxwell led with 9 kills, and Izzy Mahaffey added 11 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 8:35 PM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CSUBAK	13	22	16	0
LBSU	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Long Beach St. broke it open with an 8–0 run in the first set.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.2 points, and CSU Bakersfield's high was 8% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Long Beach St. went in as RallyIQ's 95% pick.

CSU BakersfieldLong Beach St.

Break %+21.3 pts
32.153.4
39 of 73 on serve vs 17 of 53, so CSU Bakersfield's sideout was 46.6%.
Hitting+.194
.048.242
34 K / 11 E against 29 K / 24 E.
Longest run+5
38
8 straight Long Beach St. points in the first set stretched a 16–12 lead to 24–12. That set ended 25–13.

Long Beach St. above 50CSU Bakersfield belowMax swing 1.2%

CSU BakersfieldLong Beach St.

Aces: CSU Bakersfield 2·Long Beach St. 4
Serve err: CSU Bakersfield 13·Long Beach St. 7
Blocks: CSU Bakersfield 5·Long Beach St. 71 BS · 8 BA vs 2 BS · 10 BA
Digs: CSU Bakersfield 41·Long Beach St. 40

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Long Beach St. above 50 · CSU Bakersfield below

Biggest swing: 1.2% to CSU Bakersfield — set 2, CSUBAK 18-15 LBSU. Attack error by Sidney Hamaker. LBSU win probability 95% → 93%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CSUBAK 4.5%95.5% LBSU

CSU Bakersfield wins

3-0

0.5%

3-1

1.2%

3-2

2.7%

Long Beach St. wins

3-0

57.1%

3-1

29.2%

3-2

9.3%

CSUBAK break %: 36.4% vs this opp
LBSU break %: 49.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Sidney HamakerAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Sidney Hamaker
Set 2 · CSUBAK 18-15 LBSU · CSUBAK 5% → 7%
02
Leylah DuranKill+1.1%
Kill by Leylah Duran
Set 2 · CSUBAK 17-15 LBSU · CSUBAK 4% → 5%
03
Reagan HopeKill+1.1%
Kill by Reagan Hope (set by Madi Maxwell)
Set 2 · CSUBAK 18-18 LBSU · LBSU 95% → 96%
04
Reagan HopeKill+1.0%
Kill by Reagan Hope (set by Madi Maxwell)
Set 2 · CSUBAK 18-17 LBSU · LBSU 94% → 95%
05
Ana Franca BenjaminKill+1.0%
Kill by Ana Franca Benjamin (set by Analiese Gagliano)
Set 1 · CSUBAK 4-1 LBSU · CSUBAK 7% → 8%
06
Defne YanikKill+1.0%
Kill by Defne Yanik (set by Kinga Ziolkowska)
Set 1 · CSUBAK 6-4 LBSU · CSUBAK 6% → 7%
07
Sidney HamakerKill+1.0%
Kill by Sidney Hamaker (set by Izzy Mahaffey)
Set 2 · CSUBAK 18-19 LBSU · LBSU 96% → 97%
08
Sidney HamakerKill+1.0%
Kill by Sidney Hamaker (set by Kinga Ziolkowska)
Set 2 · CSUBAK 22-24 LBSU · LBSU 98% → 99%

Box score

Official NCAA box

CSU Bakersfieldaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
20Jordyn Waite-WardMB	3	6	3	20	.150	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	7
7Suelen LimaOH	3	6	1	16	.313	0	0	1	3	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
14Defne YanikMB	3	5	8	16	-.188	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
3Ana Franca BenjaminOH	3	3	5	21	-.095	0	1	2	5	3	0	1	0.5	4.5
1Luiza Da CruzS	3	0	1	2	-.500	7	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
9Nele BroszatMB	1	0	2	3	-.667	0	1	0	3	0	0	2	1	2
19Leylah DuranMB	3	5	2	16	.188	2	0	3	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
5Analiese GaglianoL/DS	3	2	0	2	1.000	2	0	2	12	0	0	0	0	2
15Samantha CapinpinS	3	0	0	1	.000	11	0	2	6	0	0	0	0	0
11Boden LiljedahlL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	0
6Anna BacchinOH	2	2	2	7	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3
2Torrin HigginbothamOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	24	104	.048	24	2	13	41	4	1	8	5	51

Long Beach St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Madi MaxwellS	3	9	2	24	.292	9	1	0	7	0	0	2	1	11
13Sidney HamakerOH	3	7	3	24	.167	0	2	3	5	0	0	0	0	9
10Kyler BirkelbachMB	3	5	2	11	.273	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
24Reagan HopeMB	3	5	1	15	.267	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	6
3Pola BujnarowskaMB	3	3	1	8	.250	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	5
0Anna JelinekOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
77Kendal MurphyOH	3	5	1	11	.364	0	0	1	2	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
12Kinga ZiolkowskaS	3	0	0	0	–	10	1	1	10	0	0	0	0	1
1Izzy MahaffeyL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	7	0	1	11	0	0	0	0	0
9Preslie YatesMB	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Laurel BarsocchiniL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
63Madi CollinsS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	11	95	.242	28	4	7	40	2	2	10	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

CSU Bakersfield vs Long Beach St.

Season series · Long Beach St. leads 2-0

Sat, Oct 3, 2026Long Beach St. at CSU Bakersfield · Long Beach St. won 3-0Result →
Fri, Oct 30, 2026CSU Bakersfield at Long Beach St. · Long Beach St. won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 CSUBAK · LBSU 8

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 3 CSUBAKLBSU 8

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 CSUBAKLBSU 6

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 CSUBAKLBSU 4

Bars above the line = Long Beach St. leads, below = CSU Bakersfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

CSU Bakersfield

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	33%5/15	50%5/10
2	71%5/7	17%1/6
3	50%4/8	29%2/7
4	44%4/9	43%3/7
5	67%4/6	0%0/4
6	100%4/4	20%1/5
All	53%26/49	31%12/39

Long Beach St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%6/8	50%5/10
2	71%5/7	58%7/12
3	80%4/5	33%2/6
4	67%4/6	43%3/7
5	100%4/4	56%5/9
6	44%4/9	20%1/5
All	69%27/39	47%23/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#	CSUBAK-LBSU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0		CSUBAK	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.7
2	1-1	CSUBAK	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Izzy Mahaffey	+0.5
3	2-1	LBSU	CSUBAK×3	Blocked	Kyler Birkelbach	blk Jordyn Waite-Ward, Defne Yanik	+0.6
4	3-1	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Bad set	Sidney Hamaker		+0.9
5	4-1	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Analiese Gagliano	+1.0
6	4-2	CSUBAK	LBSU×3	Attack err	Leylah Duran		+0.6
7	4-3	LBSU	LBSU×3	Attack err	Leylah Duran		+0.8
8	4-4	LBSU	LBSU×3	Blocked	Defne Yanik	blk Kyler Birkelbach	+0.8
9	5-4	LBSU	CSUBAK	Serve err	Long Beach St.		+0.7
10	6-4	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+1.0
11	6-5	CSUBAK	LBSU×6	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Izzy Mahaffey	+0.7
12	6-6	LBSU	LBSU×6	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+0.8
13	6-7	LBSU	LBSU×6	Kill	Kendal Murphy		+0.8
14	6-8	LBSU	LBSU×6	Serve err	Sidney Hamaker		+0.7
15	6-9	LBSU	LBSU×6	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Izzy Mahaffey	+0.5
16	6-10	LBSU	LBSU×6	Ace	Long Beach St.	aced Ana Franca Benjamin	+0.4
17	7-10	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.3
18	7-11	CSUBAK	LBSU	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+0.3
19	7-12		LBSU	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.3
20	8-12	LBSU	CSUBAK	Blocked	Madi Maxwell	blk Nele Broszat, Suelen Lima	+0.2
21	9-12	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Sidney Hamaker		+0.4
22	9-13	CSUBAK	LBSU	Attack err	Nele Broszat		+0.3
23	10-13	LBSU	CSUBAK	Bad set	Kendal Murphy		+0.3
24	10-14	CSUBAK	LBSU	Blocked	Nele Broszat	blk Pola Bujnarowska	+0.4
25	11-14	LBSU	CSUBAK	Blocked	Reagan Hope	blk Ana Franca Benjamin, Nele Broszat	+0.3
26	11-15	CSUBAK	LBSU	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+0.4
27	11-16	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach	set Madi Maxwell	+0.4
28	12-16	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.2
29	12-17	CSUBAK	LBSU×8	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+0.3
30	12-18	LBSU	LBSU×8	Attack err	Defne Yanik		+0.2
31	12-19	LBSU	LBSU×8	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Analiese Gagliano	+0.1
32	12-20	LBSU	LBSU×8	Attack err	Defne Yanik		+0.1
33	12-21	LBSU	LBSU×8	Blocked	Defne Yanik	blk Kyler Birkelbach, Madi Maxwell	·
34	12-22	LBSU	LBSU×8	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Izzy Mahaffey	·
35	12-23	LBSU	LBSU×8	Ace	Long Beach St.	aced Suelen Lima	·
36	12-24	LBSU	LBSU×8	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Izzy Mahaffey	·
37	13-24	LBSU	CSUBAK	Attack err	Preslie Yates		·
38	13-25	CSUBAK	LBSU	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		·
Set 2
1	1-0	LBSU	CSUBAK	Attack err	Kyler Birkelbach		+0.4
2	2-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.6
3	2-1	CSUBAK	LBSU	Attack err	Ana Franca Benjamin		+0.4
4	2-2	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Ana Franca Benjamin		+0.5
5	3-2	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.4
6	3-3	CSUBAK	LBSU	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+0.3
7	4-3	LBSU	CSUBAK	Serve err	Long Beach St.		+0.4
8	5-3	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Ace	CSU Bakersfield	aced Kendal Murphy	+0.6
9	5-4	CSUBAK	LBSU	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.4
10	5-5	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+0.5
11	6-5	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.4
12	6-6	CSUBAK	LBSU	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.4
13	7-6	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.5
14	7-7	CSUBAK	LBSU	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.4
15	8-7	LBSU	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.5
16	9-7	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Madi Maxwell	+0.7
17	10-7	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Pola Bujnarowska		+0.8
18	10-8	CSUBAK	LBSU	Attack err	Luiza Da Cruz		+0.5
19	11-8	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Analiese Gagliano	set Leylah Duran	+0.7
20	11-9	CSUBAK	LBSU	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+0.5
21	12-9	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+0.7
22	12-10	CSUBAK	LBSU	Attack err	Sidney Hamaker		+0.5
23	12-11	LBSU	LBSU	Blocked	Ana Franca Benjamin	blk Kyler Birkelbach, Madi Maxwell	+0.8
24	13-11	LBSU	CSUBAK	Serve err	Long Beach St.		+0.7
25	13-12	CSUBAK	LBSU	Attack err	Defne Yanik		+0.6
26	14-12	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Analiese Gagliano	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.7
27	14-13	CSUBAK	LBSU	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+0.6
28	14-14	LBSU	LBSU	Ace	Long Beach St.	aced Ana Franca Benjamin	+0.8
29	15-14	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.7
30	15-15	CSUBAK	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+0.6
31	16-15	LBSU	CSUBAK×3	Serve err	Long Beach St.		+0.7
32	17-15	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Leylah Duran		+1.1
33	18-15	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Sidney Hamaker		+1.2
34	18-16	CSUBAK	LBSU×6	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.7
35	18-17	LBSU	LBSU×6	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+1.0
36	18-18	LBSU	LBSU×6	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+1.1
37	18-19	LBSU	LBSU×6	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Izzy Mahaffey	+1.0
38	18-20	LBSU	LBSU×6	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+0.8
39	18-21	LBSU	LBSU×6	Blocked	Ana Franca Benjamin	blk Kyler Birkelbach, Reagan Hope	+0.6
40	19-21	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.4
41	19-22	CSUBAK	LBSU	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.5
42	19-23	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+0.4
43	20-23	LBSU	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.1
44	21-23	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Sidney Hamaker		+0.4
45	22-23	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Blocked	Madi Maxwell	blk Anna Bacchin	+0.9
46	22-24	CSUBAK	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+1.0
47	22-25	LBSU	LBSU	Ace	Long Beach St.	aced Ana Franca Benjamin	+0.6
Set 3
1	1-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Jordyn Waite-Ward	+0.2
2	1-1	CSUBAK	LBSU×3	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+0.1
3	1-2	LBSU	LBSU×3	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+0.2
4	1-3	LBSU	LBSU×3	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Izzy Mahaffey	+0.2
5	2-3	LBSU	CSUBAK	Serve err	Long Beach St.		+0.1
6	2-4	CSUBAK	LBSU	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.1
7	3-4	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Jordyn Waite-Ward	+0.1
8	3-5	CSUBAK	LBSU×3	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.1
9	3-6	LBSU	LBSU×3	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach	set Anna Bacchin	+0.1
10	3-7	LBSU	LBSU×3	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+0.1
11	4-7	LBSU	CSUBAK	Serve err	Long Beach St.		+0.1
12	4-8	CSUBAK	LBSU×3	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.1
13	4-9	LBSU	LBSU×3	Blocked	Anna Bacchin	blk Pola Bujnarowska, Kendal Murphy	+0.1
14	4-10	LBSU	LBSU×3	Attack err	Ana Franca Benjamin		+0.1
15	5-10	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Kyler Birkelbach	·
16	5-11	CSUBAK	LBSU	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		·
17	6-11	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Samantha Capinpin	·
18	6-12	CSUBAK	LBSU	Kill	Madi Maxwell		·
19	7-12	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Analiese Gagliano	·
20	7-13	CSUBAK	LBSU×4	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.1
21	7-14	LBSU	LBSU×4	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach	set Madi Maxwell	·
22	7-15	LBSU	LBSU×4	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		·
23	7-16	LBSU	LBSU×4	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach	set Izzy Mahaffey	·
24	8-16	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Leylah Duran	·
25	8-17	CSUBAK	LBSU	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		·
26	9-17	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	·
27	9-18	CSUBAK	LBSU	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		·
28	10-18	LBSU	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	·
29	11-18	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	·
30	12-18	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	·
31	12-19	CSUBAK	LBSU×3	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach	set Kinga Ziolkowska	·
32	12-20	LBSU	LBSU×3	Attack err	Anna Bacchin		·
33	12-21	LBSU	LBSU×3	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Kinga Ziolkowska	·
34	13-21	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Samantha Capinpin	·
35	13-22	CSUBAK	LBSU	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Kinga Ziolkowska	·
36	13-23	LBSU	LBSU	Blocked	Defne Yanik	blk Reagan Hope, Pola Bujnarowska	·
37	14-23	LBSU	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	·
38	15-23	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Blocked	Kendal Murphy	blk Leylah Duran, Jordyn Waite-Ward	·
39	15-24	CSUBAK	LBSU	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Madi Collins	·
40	16-24	LBSU	CSUBAK	Serve err	Long Beach St.		·
41	16-25	CSUBAK	LBSU	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Madi Collins	·

Score shown after each rally, CSU Bakersfield first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Long Beach St. def. CSU Bakersfield 3–0

Long Beach St. broke it open with an 8–0 run in the first set.