CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026
1:3
UIW logo

HomeSOUTHLAND

UIW def. Tarleton St. 31

(25-14, 20-25, 25-21, 25-22)
Set1234Sets
TARLET142521221
INCWRD252025253

RallyIQ model

Win probability

INCWRD above 50 · TARLET below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100INCWRDTARLETBiggest swing +6.5% INCWRD · S3 20-21rally 177 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.5% to UIW — set 3, TARLET 20-21 INCWRD. Kill by Vanessa Eregie (set by Calissa Allison). INCWRD win probability 66%73%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TARLET 24.9%75.1% INCWRD

Tarleton St. wins

3-0
4.4%
3-1
8.5%
3-2
12.0%

UIW wins

3-0
27.2%
3-1
28.7%
3-2
19.3%
TARLET break %
42.5% vs this opp
INCWRD break %
47.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01

    Kill by Vanessa Eregie (set by Calissa Allison)

    Set 3 · TARLET 20-21 INCWRD · INCWRD 66%73%

  2. 02

    Kill by Madison Natori Rice-Locket (set by Kingsley Minus)

    Set 3 · TARLET 20-18 INCWRD · TARLET 38%44%

  3. 03

    Kill by Vanessa Eregie (set by Calissa Allison)

    Set 3 · TARLET 20-20 INCWRD · INCWRD 60%66%

  4. 04
    Lilly RoachKill+6.0%

    Kill by Lilly Roach (set by Ashton Rogers)

    Set 3 · TARLET 20-22 INCWRD · INCWRD 73%79%

  5. 05
    INCWRD serverAce+4.9%

    UIW ace on LaNeah Lara

    Set 3 · TARLET 17-17 INCWRD · INCWRD 62%67%

  6. 06
    Vanessa EregieAttack error+4.9%

    Attack error by Vanessa Eregie

    Set 3 · TARLET 19-18 INCWRD · TARLET 33%38%

  7. 07
    INCWRD serverAce+4.6%

    UIW ace on Alexa Earle

    Set 3 · TARLET 20-23 INCWRD · INCWRD 79%83%

  8. 08
    INCWRD serverAce+4.6%

    UIW ace on LaNeah Lara

    Set 3 · TARLET 17-16 INCWRD · INCWRD 58%62%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410527.18510074010.510.5
49120.40000010111.510.5
4419.33311020031.56.5
4001.0002302600000
2328.125000020003
2023-.667000000000
48425.16000010010.58.5
40001311610003
41216-.063000200212
400017101500001
4001.000100910000
315442.2620017000015
Team totals5021152.191445466918582
UIWhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414437.2700003130317
411115.6670012004213
410120.45000020111.511.5
48437.1081113110110
48622.091100200219
43316.0003520151031.56.5
4000031800003
4218.125000210002
4000921600002
4001.0004112310001
1001.000000000000
Team totals5620157.22950956655101095

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 TARLET · INCWRD 7

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 TARLETINCWRD 7

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 6 TARLETINCWRD 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 TARLETINCWRD 5

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 4 TARLETINCWRD 5

Bars above the line = UIW leads, below = Tarleton St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Tarleton St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%9/22
36%4/11
2
44%8/18
36%5/14
3
57%8/14
43%6/14
4
53%8/15
53%9/17
5
62%8/13
27%3/11
6
50%6/12
50%8/16
All
50%47/94
42%35/83

UIW

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
65%15/23
2
67%8/12
56%10/18
3
47%8/17
27%3/11
4
62%8/13
56%10/18
5
57%8/14
47%7/15
6
54%7/13
22%2/9
All
58%48/83
50%47/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

177 rallies

Rally log

#TARLET-INCWRDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1INCWRDINCWRD×4KillAlex Beauchampset Ashton Rogers+1.8
20-2INCWRDINCWRD×4Attack errBreannah Peterson+1.7
30-3INCWRDINCWRD×4AceINCWRD serveraced LaNeah Lara+1.5
40-4INCWRDINCWRD×4KillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+1.4
51-4INCWRDTARLET×3KillJacqui McClainset Alexis Massey+1.1
62-4TARLETTARLET×3KillAlyssa Dinh+1.5
73-4TARLETTARLET×3Attack errLilly Roach+1.8
83-5TARLETINCWRD×7KillAlex Beauchampset Calissa Allison+1.5
93-6INCWRDINCWRD×7KillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+1.6
103-7INCWRDINCWRD×7Attack errBreannah Petersonblk Kitana Tuufuli+1.5
113-8INCWRDINCWRD×7Attack errVanessa Eregie+1.2
123-9INCWRDINCWRD×7Attack errAlyssa Dinh+1.0
133-10INCWRDINCWRD×7Attack errJacqui McClainblk Lilly Roach, Vanessa Eregie+0.8
143-11INCWRDINCWRD×7AceINCWRD serveraced Team+0.6
154-11INCWRDTARLETKillJacqui McClainset Alexis Massey+0.4
164-12TARLETINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+0.5
175-12INCWRDTARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Madison Frank+0.4
185-13TARLETINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+0.5
195-14INCWRDINCWRDAceINCWRD serveraced Jacqui McClain+0.4
206-14INCWRDTARLETKillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+0.2
216-15TARLETINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.3
226-16INCWRDINCWRDAceINCWRD serveraced Jacqui McClain+0.2
237-16INCWRDTARLETAttack errCalissa Allison+0.1
248-16TARLETTARLETKillTaylynn Biggsset Kingsley Minus+0.2
258-17TARLETINCWRDAttack errJacqui McClainblk Sofia Grimm, Calissa Allison+0.3
268-18INCWRDINCWRDAttack errOnita Davisblk Vanessa Eregie+0.2
279-18INCWRDTARLETKillTaylynn Biggsset Kingsley Minus+0.1
289-19TARLETINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Hall+0.1
299-20INCWRDINCWRDAttack errTaylynn Biggsblk Alex Beauchamp+0.1
3010-20INCWRDTARLETAttack errLilly Roachblk Alyssa Dinh+0.0
3110-21TARLETINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Calissa Allison+0.0
3211-21INCWRDTARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Alexis Massey+0.0
3311-22TARLETINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+0.0
3412-22INCWRDTARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Alexis Massey+0.0
3512-23TARLETINCWRDBad setAlexis Massey+0.0
3613-23INCWRDTARLETKillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+0.0
3713-24TARLETINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Victoria Hall+0.0
3814-24INCWRDTARLETKillLaNeah Laraset Kingsley Minus+0.0
3914-25TARLETINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Victoria Hall+0.0
Set 2
10-1TARLETINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+1.1
21-1INCWRDTARLETServe errINCWRD server+1.2
32-1TARLETTARLETAttack errLilly Roach+1.6
42-2TARLETINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+1.2
53-2INCWRDTARLETAttack errLilly Roach+1.4
63-3TARLETINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Lilly Roach+1.3
74-3INCWRDTARLETKillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+1.4
84-4TARLETINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Victoria Hall+1.3
94-5INCWRDINCWRDKillSofia Grimm+1.6
105-5INCWRDTARLET×3Serve errINCWRD server+1.3
116-5TARLETTARLET×3Bad setAlex Beauchamp+1.8
127-5TARLETTARLET×3KillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Kingsley Minus+1.9
137-6TARLETINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Victoria Hall+1.4
148-6INCWRDTARLET×3KillTaylynn Biggsset Kingsley Minus+1.6
159-6TARLETTARLET×3AceTARLET serveraced Alex Beauchamp+2.0
1610-6TARLETTARLET×3Attack errCalissa Allison+1.9
1710-7TARLETINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Victoria Hall+1.4
1810-8INCWRDINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+1.8
1911-8INCWRDTARLETKillTaylynn Biggsset Kingsley Minus+1.7
2011-9TARLETINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+1.5
2112-9INCWRDTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Alexis Massey+1.8
2212-10TARLETINCWRD×3KillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+1.5
2312-11INCWRDINCWRD×3AceINCWRD serveraced Leddy Rae Guinn+2.0
2412-12INCWRDINCWRD×3Attack errMadison Frankblk Kitana Tuufuli+2.1
2513-12INCWRDTARLET×3KillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+1.9
2614-12TARLETTARLET×3AceTARLET serveraced Calissa Allison+2.4
2715-12TARLETTARLET×3AceTARLET serveraced Kitana Tuufuli+2.4
2815-13TARLETINCWRD×3Serve errTARLET server+1.7
2915-14INCWRDINCWRD×3KillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+2.3
3015-15INCWRDINCWRD×3KillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+2.4
3116-15INCWRDTARLET×6KillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+2.2
3217-15TARLETTARLET×6KillTaylynn Biggsset Leddy Rae Guinn+2.8
3318-15TARLETTARLET×6AceTARLET serveraced Ashton Rogers+2.7
3419-15TARLETTARLET×6Bad setVictoria Hall+2.4
3520-15TARLETTARLET×6Attack errKitana Tuufuli+2.0
3621-15TARLETTARLET×6KillTaylynn Biggsset LaNeah Lara+1.4
3721-16TARLETINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.6
3821-17INCWRDINCWRDAttack errLaNeah Larablk Sofia Grimm, Calissa Allison+1.1
3922-17INCWRDTARLETKillTaylynn Biggsset Kingsley Minus+1.5
4023-17TARLETTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Kingsley Minus+1.0
4123-18TARLETINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Alex Beauchamp+0.3
4223-19INCWRDINCWRDAttack errMadison Natori Rice-Locket+0.7
4324-19INCWRDTARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+1.1
4424-20TARLETINCWRDAttack errTaylynn Biggs+0.3
4525-20INCWRDTARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Leddy Rae Guinn+0.7
Set 3
11-0INCWRDTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Alexis Massey+2.4
21-1TARLETINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+2.2
32-1INCWRDTARLETKillMadison Frankset Alexis Massey+2.4
43-1TARLETTARLETAttack errKitana Tuufuli+3.1
53-2TARLETINCWRDServe errTARLET server+2.4
64-2INCWRDTARLET×4Serve errINCWRD server+2.6
75-2TARLETTARLET×4KillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+3.3
86-2TARLETTARLET×4KillLaNeah Lara+3.3
97-2TARLETTARLET×4AceTARLET serveraced Teddy-Raye Ewers+3.2
107-3TARLETINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+2.2
117-4INCWRDINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Alexis Massey+2.9
128-4INCWRDTARLETKillOnita Davisset Alexis Massey+2.8
138-5TARLETINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+2.4
148-6INCWRDINCWRDAttack errLaNeah Lara+3.2
159-6INCWRDTARLET×3Attack errAlex Beauchampblk LaNeah Lara, Onita Davis+3.0
1610-6TARLETTARLET×3KillOnita Davisset Calissa Allison+3.6
1711-6TARLETTARLET×3Attack errAlex Beauchampblk Taylynn Biggs, Onita Davis+3.4
1811-7TARLETINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+2.3
1912-7INCWRDTARLETKillTaylynn Biggsset Kingsley Minus+2.9
2012-8TARLETINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Ashton Rogers+2.3
2112-9INCWRDINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Ashton Rogers+3.2
2213-9INCWRDTARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Kingsley Minus+3.2
2313-10TARLETINCWRDServe errTARLET server+2.6
2414-10INCWRDTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Alexis Massey+3.3
2514-11TARLETINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+2.7
2615-11INCWRDTARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Alexis Massey+3.4
2716-11TARLETTARLETAttack errLilly Roach+3.6
2816-12TARLETINCWRD×3KillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+2.2
2916-13INCWRDINCWRD×3Attack errLaNeah Larablk Sofia Grimm, Calissa Allison+3.3
3016-14INCWRDINCWRD×3KillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+3.9
3117-14INCWRDTARLETServe errINCWRD server+4.0
3217-15TARLETINCWRD×3KillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+3.3
3317-16INCWRDINCWRD×3AceINCWRD serveraced LaNeah Lara+4.6
3417-17INCWRDINCWRD×3AceINCWRD serveraced LaNeah Lara+4.9
3518-17INCWRDTARLETAttack errCalissa Allison+4.5
3618-18TARLETINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Calissa Allison+4.3
3719-18INCWRDTARLETAttack errVanessa Eregie+4.9
3820-18TARLETTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Kingsley Minus+6.2
3920-19TARLETINCWRD×5KillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+4.3
4020-20INCWRDINCWRD×5KillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+6.2
4120-21INCWRDINCWRD×5KillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+6.5
4220-22INCWRDINCWRD×5KillLilly Roachset Ashton Rogers+6.0
4320-23INCWRDINCWRD×5AceINCWRD serveraced Alexa Earle+4.6
4421-23INCWRDTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Kingsley Minus+2.3
4521-24TARLETINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+3.8
4621-25INCWRDINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+1.9
Set 4
11-0TARLETTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Alexis Massey+2.4
22-0TARLETTARLETAttack errKitana Tuufuli+2.5
32-1TARLETINCWRD×3Serve errTARLET server+1.9
42-2INCWRDINCWRD×3Attack errMadison Natori Rice-Locket+2.3
52-3INCWRDINCWRD×3Bad setAlexis Massey+2.3
63-3INCWRDTARLET×3KillAlyssa Dinhset Alexis Massey+1.9
74-3TARLETTARLET×3Attack errAlex Beauchamp+2.5
85-3TARLETTARLET×3Attack errLilly Roach+2.7
95-4TARLETINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Calissa Allison+2.1
105-5INCWRDINCWRDAttack errLaNeah Larablk Lilly Roach, Sofia Grimm+2.5
116-5INCWRDTARLETAttack errAlex Beauchampblk Alyssa Dinh, Madison Frank+2.2
126-6TARLETINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+2.1
136-7INCWRDINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+2.5
147-7INCWRDTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Alexis Massey+2.2
157-8TARLETINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+2.1
167-9INCWRDINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuli+2.4
178-9INCWRDTARLETAttack errKitana Tuufuli+2.0
188-10TARLETINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+2.0
199-10INCWRDTARLET×3Serve errINCWRD server+2.1
2010-10TARLETTARLET×3KillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Onita Davis+2.9
2111-10TARLETTARLET×3KillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Kingsley Minus+3.2
2211-11TARLETINCWRD×5KillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+2.5
2311-12INCWRDINCWRD×5Attack errTaylynn Biggsblk Kitana Tuufuli+3.0
2411-13INCWRDINCWRD×5Bad setKingsley Minus+2.8
2511-14INCWRDINCWRD×5Attack errMadison Natori Rice-Locket+2.5
2611-15INCWRDINCWRD×5KillKitana Tuufuliset Ashton Rogers+2.1
2712-15INCWRDTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Kingsley Minus+1.5
2813-15TARLETTARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Alexis Massey+2.4
2913-16TARLETINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+2.2
3013-17INCWRDINCWRDBad setAlexis Massey+2.2
3114-17INCWRDTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Alexis Massey+1.5
3214-18TARLETINCWRDKillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Calissa Allison+1.9
3315-18INCWRDTARLET×4Attack errSofia Grimm+1.5
3416-18TARLETTARLET×4KillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+2.6
3517-18TARLETTARLET×4KillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+3.4
3618-18TARLETTARLET×4Attack errTeddy-Raye Ewersblk Onita Davis, Madison Frank+4.2
3718-19TARLETINCWRD×4KillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+3.6
3818-20INCWRDINCWRD×4Attack errLaNeah Lara+4.1
3918-21INCWRDINCWRD×4AceINCWRD serveraced LaNeah Lara+3.4
4018-22INCWRDINCWRD×4Attack errMadison Frank+2.4
4119-22INCWRDTARLETKillOnita Davisset Alexis Massey+1.2
4219-23TARLETINCWRDKillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Calissa Allison+1.9
4320-23INCWRDTARLETKillJacqui McClainset Kingsley Minus+1.0
4420-24TARLETINCWRDAttack errTaylynn Biggs+1.7
4521-24INCWRDTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Kingsley Minus+0.6
4622-24TARLETTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Alexa Earle+1.7
4722-25TARLETINCWRDAttack errMadison Natori Rice-Locket+2.9

Score shown after each rally, Tarleton St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.