Mercyhurst vs Canisius Volleyball: Mercyhurst Wins 3-2

Final · 5 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026 · Neutral site

3:2

Mercyhurst beat Canisius 3-2 (25-15, 25-19, 20-25, 25-27, 15-12) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026 at a neutral site. Roslyn Guerra led Mercyhurst with 16 kills; Canisius' Emma Isroff had a match-high 18.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Aug 28

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
MERCYH	25	25	20	25	15	3
CANISI	15	19	25	27	12	2

Win probability

Canisius above 50 · Mercyhurst below

Biggest swing: 11.5% to Canisius — set 4, MERCYH 25-27 CANISI. Kill by Hannah Kos (set by Anna Rich). CANISI win probability 30% → 41%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERCYH 67.5%32.5% CANISI

Mercyhurst wins

3-0

21.6%

3-1

25.9%

3-2

20.0%

Canisius wins

3-0

6.4%

3-1

11.5%

3-2

14.6%

MERCYH break %: 46.2% vs this opp
CANISI break %: 42.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Hannah KosKill+11.5%
Kill by Hannah Kos (set by Anna Rich)
Set 4 · MERCYH 25-27 CANISI · CANISI 30% → 41%
02
CanisiusAce+11.4%
Canisius ace on Madison Miner
Set 4 · MERCYH 25-26 CANISI · CANISI 18% → 30%
03
Julia Lenik&Emily HelmersBlock+10.5%
Julia Shepherd stuffed by Julia Lenik & Emily Helmers
Set 4 · MERCYH 24-24 CANISI · CANISI 8% → 18%
04
Mia MattinglyKill+8.5%
Kill by Mia Mattingly (set by Alyssa Krause)
Set 4 · MERCYH 25-24 CANISI · MERCYH 82% → 90%
05
Julia LenikKill+8.5%
Kill by Julia Lenik (set by Madison Cowan)
Set 4 · MERCYH 25-25 CANISI · CANISI 10% → 18%
06
Emily HelmersKill+8.2%
Kill by Emily Helmers
Set 5 · MERCYH 5-4 CANISI · CANISI 25% → 33%
07
CanisiusService error+8.0%
Canisius service error
Set 5 · MERCYH 15-12 CANISI · MERCYH 92% → 100%
08
Roslyn GuerraKill+8.0%
Kill by Roslyn Guerra (set by Kelsie Gaiter-Davis)
Set 5 · MERCYH 7-4 CANISI · MERCYH 74% → 82%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Mercyhurstaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Julia ShepherdOPP	5	15	3	30	.400	0	0	0	5	0	5	2.5	17.5
23Ava CarneyMB	5	13	2	22	.500	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	14.5
8Madison MinerOH	5	6	3	18	.167	2	2	0	8	3	0	0	8
21Alyssa KrauseDS	5	1	0	1	1.000	30	2	3	11	0	0	0	3
26Anna LoganDS	5	0	0	2	.000	0	2	1	4	2	0	0	2
13Mia MattinglyMB	4	8	0	11	.727	2	1	2	1	0	3	1.5	10.5
1Roslyn GuerraOH	5	16	7	37	.243	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	16
7Kalyani OliveOH	5	1	1	13	.000	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	2.5
4Aliyah AngeliciS	5	0	0	0	–	19	1	1	8	0	0	0	1
11Kelsie Gaiter-DavisDS	5	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	10	2	0	0	1
22Sydney ForchtL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	5	0	0	0
16Sarah BarnumMB	2	0	1	1	-1.000	0	1	0	1	0	2	1	2
6Camryn KetronDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		60	17	135	.319	55	10	9	56	13	16	8	110

Canisiushome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
16Emma IsroffOH	5	18	0	32	.563	1	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	19.5
5Madison CowanOH	5	13	9	40	.100	2	2	2	4	3	1	0.5	15.5
7Julia LenikOH	5	9	8	35	.029	2	1	3	13	2	2	1	11
9Emily HelmersMB	5	6	3	16	.188	0	2	2	3	0	2	1	9
19Kenslie WarmbrodtS	5	1	0	2	.500	26	3	0	4	0	0	0	4
20McKenna CorcoranMB	2	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
12Hannah KosOH	5	11	4	21	.333	0	1	0	3	0	2	1	13
11Brenda ReynagaL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	3	3	5	20	4	0	0	3
4Anna RichS	5	0	0	0	–	21	1	1	2	0	0	0	1
3Hayden SiebenalerMB	3	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	1.5
18Alli FarmerOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		58	26	153	.209	55	13	13	51	10	15	7.5	98

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MERCYH · CANISI 6

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 3 MERCYHCANISI 2

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 3 MERCYHCANISI 3

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 5 MERCYHCANISI 6

Set 4

25-27

Longest run 4 MERCYHCANISI 4

Set 5

15-12

Longest run 6 MERCYHCANISI 4

Bars above the line = Canisius leads, below = Mercyhurst leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mercyhurst

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%12/24	53%10/19
2	85%11/13	48%10/21
3	52%11/21	54%13/24
4	53%9/17	29%4/14
5	73%8/11	47%8/17
6	62%8/13	43%6/14
All	60%59/99	47%51/109

Canisius

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%11/22	27%4/15
2	46%11/24	45%9/20
3	59%10/17	31%5/16
4	50%9/18	57%12/21
5	75%9/12	36%5/14
6	50%8/16	38%5/13
All	53%58/109	40%40/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

208 rallies

#	MERCYH-CANISI	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.8
2	1-1	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+1.7
3	2-1	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Mia Mattingly	+2.1
4	2-2	MERCYH	CANISI	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+1.8
5	3-2	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+1.7
6	3-3	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Anna Rich	+1.8
7	4-3	CANISI	MERCYH×3	Serve err	Canisius		+1.8
8	5-3	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Ava Carney	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.1
9	6-3	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Brenda Reynaga	+2.0
10	6-4	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Madison Cowan	set Anna Rich	+1.5
11	6-5	CANISI	CANISI	Ace	Canisius	aced Madison Miner	+2.2
12	7-5	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.8
13	7-6	MERCYH	CANISI	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+1.8
14	8-6	CANISI	MERCYH×3	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.8
15	9-6	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Julia Shepherd	+2.1
16	10-6	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Madison Cowan	+1.9
17	10-7	MERCYH	CANISI	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+1.4
18	11-7	CANISI	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+1.5
19	12-7	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Blocked	Julia Lenik	blk Mia Mattingly, Julia Shepherd	+1.6
20	13-7	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Brenda Reynaga	+1.3
21	13-8	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+0.8
22	13-9	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.4
23	14-9	CANISI	MERCYH	Serve err	Canisius		+1.3
24	15-9	MERCYH	MERCYH	Blocked	Emily Helmers	blk Julia Shepherd, Ava Carney	+1.3
25	15-10	MERCYH	CANISI	Attack err	Ava Carney		+0.8
26	16-10	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+1.0
27	17-10	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Aliyah Angelici	+0.9
28	17-11	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+0.5
29	18-11	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Kalyani Olive	set Anna Logan	+0.7
30	18-12	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Madison Cowan	set Julia Lenik	+0.5
31	18-13	CANISI	CANISI	Ace	Canisius	aced Sydney Forcht	+0.9
32	19-13	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner		+0.9
33	19-14	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+0.6
34	20-14	CANISI	MERCYH×3	Blocked	Madison Cowan	blk Mia Mattingly, Kalyani Olive	+0.9
35	21-14	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+0.6
36	22-14	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Julia Lenik	+0.3
37	22-15	MERCYH	CANISI	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+0.1
38	23-15	CANISI	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Madison Miner	+0.2
39	24-15	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+0.1
40	25-15	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	·
Set 2
1	1-0	CANISI	MERCYH	Serve err	Canisius		+1.4
2	1-1	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Kenslie Warmbrodt	set Emma Isroff	+1.5
3	2-1	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+1.4
4	2-2	MERCYH	CANISI	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+1.5
5	3-2	CANISI	MERCYH	Serve err	Canisius		+1.5
6	4-2	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Julia Lenik		+1.8
7	4-3	MERCYH	CANISI×3	Kill	Madison Cowan	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.4
8	4-4	CANISI	CANISI×3	Ace	Canisius	aced Sydney Forcht	+1.9
9	4-5	CANISI	CANISI×3	Attack err	Madison Miner		+2.1
10	5-5	CANISI	MERCYH	Serve err	Canisius		+1.6
11	6-5	MERCYH	MERCYH	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Madison Cowan	+2.0
12	6-6	MERCYH	CANISI	Blocked	Roslyn Guerra	blk Emma Isroff, Emily Helmers	+1.6
13	7-6	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.6
14	8-6	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Hannah Kos		+2.0
15	8-7	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+1.6
16	9-7	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.6
17	9-8	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+1.6
18	9-9	CANISI	CANISI	Blocked	Roslyn Guerra	blk McKenna Corcoran, Hannah Kos	+2.2
19	10-9	CANISI	MERCYH	Serve err	Canisius		+1.8
20	11-9	MERCYH	MERCYH	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Julia Lenik	+2.2
21	11-10	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Madison Cowan	set Julia Lenik	+1.7
22	12-10	CANISI	MERCYH×3	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+1.8
23	13-10	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+2.0
24	14-10	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Brenda Reynaga	+1.8
25	14-11	MERCYH	CANISI×3	Attack err	Ava Carney		+1.2
26	14-12	CANISI	CANISI×3	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Brenda Reynaga	+1.9
27	14-13	CANISI	CANISI×3	Kill	Emma Isroff		+2.3
28	15-13	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+2.0
29	16-13	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	McKenna Corcoran		+2.3
30	16-14	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.6
31	17-14	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.9
32	17-15	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Emily Helmers	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.7
33	18-15	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.9
34	18-16	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Emily Helmers	set Anna Rich	+1.7
35	19-16	CANISI	MERCYH	Attack err	Madison Cowan		+2.0
36	20-16	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+2.0
37	20-17	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Emily Helmers	set Anna Rich	+1.2
38	21-17	CANISI	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+1.6
39	22-17	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+1.3
40	23-17	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Hannah Kos		+0.6
41	23-18	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Madison Cowan	+0.2
42	24-18	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+0.4
43	24-19	MERCYH	CANISI	Blocked	Madison Miner	blk McKenna Corcoran, Emma Isroff	+0.1
44	25-19	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+0.2
Set 3
1	1-0	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+1.0
2	2-0	MERCYH	MERCYH	Blocked	Hayden Siebenaler	blk Julia Shepherd, Sarah Barnum	+1.0
3	2-1	MERCYH	CANISI×3	Blocked	Julia Shepherd	blk Hayden Siebenaler, Madison Cowan	+0.8
4	2-2	CANISI	CANISI×3	Ace	Canisius	aced Madison Miner	+1.0
5	2-3	CANISI	CANISI×3	Bad set	Alyssa Krause		+1.1
6	3-3	CANISI	MERCYH×4	Attack err	Madison Cowan		+0.9
7	4-3	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Brenda Reynaga	+1.1
8	5-3	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+1.0
9	6-3	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Attack err	Madison Cowan		+1.0
10	6-4	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+0.7
11	7-4	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+0.8
12	7-5	MERCYH	CANISI×3	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+0.7
13	7-6	CANISI	CANISI×3	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.1
14	7-7	CANISI	CANISI×3	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.2
15	8-7	CANISI	MERCYH	Serve err	Canisius		+0.9
16	8-8	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.0
17	9-8	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.0
18	9-9	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Anna Rich	+1.0
19	10-9	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.0
20	10-10	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Madison Cowan	set Anna Rich	+1.0
21	11-10	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+1.0
22	11-11	MERCYH	CANISI×6	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+1.1
23	11-12	CANISI	CANISI×6	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.5
24	11-13	CANISI	CANISI×6	Attack err	Sarah Barnum		+1.5
25	11-14	CANISI	CANISI×6	Ace	Canisius		+1.5
26	11-15	CANISI	CANISI×6	Kill	Madison Cowan	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.4
27	11-16	CANISI	CANISI×6	Kill	Madison Cowan	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.2
28	12-16	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+0.7
29	12-17	MERCYH	CANISI	Blocked	Madison Miner	blk Emma Isroff, Hayden Siebenaler	+1.0
30	12-18	CANISI	CANISI	Ace	Canisius	aced Anna Logan	+1.0
31	13-18	CANISI	MERCYH×5	Attack err	Julia Lenik		+0.5
32	14-18	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Attack err	Julia Lenik		+0.9
33	15-18	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Ace	Mercyhurst		+1.1
34	16-18	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Attack err	Julia Lenik		+1.4
35	17-18	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Madison Miner	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.7
36	17-19	MERCYH	CANISI×5	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+1.6
37	17-20	CANISI	CANISI×5	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.9
38	17-21	CANISI	CANISI×5	Ace	Canisius	aced Sydney Forcht	+1.6
39	17-22	CANISI	CANISI×5	Kill	Emily Helmers	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.1
40	17-23	CANISI	CANISI×5	Ace	Canisius	aced Sydney Forcht	+0.6
41	18-23	CANISI	MERCYH	Serve err	Canisius		+0.2
42	18-24	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+0.4
43	19-24	CANISI	MERCYH	Serve err	Canisius		+0.1
44	20-24	MERCYH	MERCYH	Blocked	Julia Lenik	blk Kalyani Olive, Sarah Barnum	+0.2
45	20-25	MERCYH	CANISI	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+0.4
Set 4
1	0-1	CANISI	CANISI	Ace	Canisius	aced Sydney Forcht	+2.7
2	1-1	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Alyssa Krause	set Madison Miner	+2.1
3	1-2	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.2
4	2-2	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+2.1
5	2-3	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Brenda Reynaga	+2.3
6	2-4	CANISI	CANISI	Ace	Canisius	aced Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+2.9
7	3-4	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+2.2
8	3-5	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+2.4
9	4-5	CANISI	MERCYH	Attack err	Madison Cowan		+2.3
10	4-6	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Emily Helmers	set Anna Rich	+2.5
11	5-6	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.3
12	5-7	MERCYH	CANISI×4	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+2.5
13	5-8	CANISI	CANISI×4	Kill	Madison Cowan	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+3.2
14	5-9	CANISI	CANISI×4	Kill	Madison Cowan	set Brenda Reynaga	+3.1
15	5-10	CANISI	CANISI×4	Ace	Canisius	aced Anna Logan	+2.8
16	6-10	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.9
17	7-10	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.7
18	7-11	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Madison Cowan	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.6
19	8-11	CANISI	MERCYH×3	Kill	Ava Carney	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.2
20	9-11	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Blocked	Julia Lenik	blk Kalyani Olive, Mia Mattingly	+3.1
21	10-11	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Madison Cowan	+3.3
22	10-12	MERCYH	CANISI	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+3.0
23	10-13	CANISI	CANISI	Attack err	Kalyani Olive		+3.6
24	11-13	CANISI	MERCYH×4	Serve err	Canisius		+2.6
25	12-13	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+3.5
26	13-13	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Mia Mattingly		+3.7
27	14-13	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Attack err	Emily Helmers		+3.8
28	14-14	MERCYH	CANISI	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+3.1
29	15-14	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+3.1
30	15-15	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Anna Rich	+3.2
31	15-16	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Madison Cowan	set Anna Rich	+4.4
32	16-16	CANISI	MERCYH	Serve err	Canisius		+3.4
33	17-16	MERCYH	MERCYH	Blocked	Madison Cowan	blk Julia Shepherd, Ava Carney	+4.4
34	17-17	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+3.6
35	18-17	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+3.7
36	18-18	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+3.8
37	18-19	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Madison Cowan	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+5.4
38	19-19	CANISI	MERCYH×3	Kill	Ava Carney	set Aliyah Angelici	+4.2
39	20-19	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Madison Cowan		+5.5
40	21-19	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Madison Cowan		+5.2
41	21-20	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+3.6
42	21-21	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+6.1
43	22-21	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+5.6
44	22-22	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+5.6
45	23-22	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+6.6
46	24-22	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Emily Helmers		+7.6
47	24-23	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+3.6
48	24-24	CANISI	CANISI	Blocked	Julia Shepherd	blk Julia Lenik, Emily Helmers	+10.5
49	25-24	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+8.5
50	25-25	MERCYH	CANISI×3	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Madison Cowan	+8.5
51	25-26	CANISI	CANISI×3	Ace	Canisius	aced Madison Miner	+11.4
52	25-27	CANISI	CANISI×3	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+11.5
Set 5
1	1-0	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+6.3
2	1-1	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+6.5
3	2-1	CANISI	MERCYH×3	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+6.5
4	3-1	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Blocked	Julia Lenik	blk Julia Shepherd, Ava Carney	+7.9
5	4-1	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Madison Miner	set Mia Mattingly	+7.1
6	4-2	MERCYH	CANISI	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+5.2
7	5-2	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+5.9
8	5-3	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Anna Rich	+5.4
9	5-4	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Emily Helmers		+8.2
10	6-4	CANISI	MERCYH×6	Serve err	Canisius		+7.1
11	7-4	MERCYH	MERCYH×6	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+8.0
12	8-4	MERCYH	MERCYH×6	Attack err	Hannah Kos		+6.5
13	9-4	MERCYH	MERCYH×6	Kill	Ava Carney		+4.9
14	10-4	MERCYH	MERCYH×6	Bad set	Anna Rich		+3.2
15	11-4	MERCYH	MERCYH×6	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.9
16	11-5	MERCYH	CANISI×4	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+0.8
17	11-6	CANISI	CANISI×4	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+1.7
18	11-7	CANISI	CANISI×4	Kill	Madison Cowan	set Anna Rich	+2.8
19	11-8	CANISI	CANISI×4	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+4.6
20	12-8	CANISI	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Aliyah Angelici	+5.4
21	13-8	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Hannah Kos		+3.9
22	13-9	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+1.3
23	13-10	CANISI	CANISI	Ace	Canisius	aced Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+3.3
24	14-10	CANISI	MERCYH	Attack err	Madison Cowan		+4.7
25	14-11	MERCYH	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.6
26	14-12	CANISI	CANISI	Blocked	Roslyn Guerra	blk Hayden Siebenaler, Julia Lenik	+4.6
27	15-12	CANISI	MERCYH	Serve err	Canisius		+8.0

Score shown after each rally, Mercyhurst first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Mercyhurst def. Canisius 3–2