Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

Columbia def. Mercyhurst 3–1

Columbia won at Mercyhurst 3-1 (25-20, 20-25, 25-23, 26-24) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Alexia Cornea led Columbia with 13 kills; Mercyhurst's Julia Shepherd had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set1234Sets
COLUMB252025263
MERCYH202523241

Win probability

Mercyhurst above 50 · Columbia below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+12.2% COLUMBrally 188 · set 4

Biggest swing: 12.2% to Columbia — set 3, COLUMB 25-23 MERCYH. Ava Carney stuffed by Alexia Cornea. MERCYH win probability 32% → 20%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

COLUMB 61.0%39.0% MERCYH

Columbia wins

3-0
17.7%
3-1
23.3%
3-2
19.9%

Mercyhurst wins

3-0
8.4%
3-1
14.2%
3-2
16.4%
COLUMB break %
45.1% vs this opp
MERCYH break %
43.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Alexia CorneaBlock+12.2%

    Ava Carney stuffed by Alexia Cornea

    Set 3 · COLUMB 25-23 MERCYH · COLUMB 68% → 80%

  2. 02
    Mia MattinglyKill+11.6%

    Kill by Mia Mattingly (set by Alyssa Krause)

    Set 4 · COLUMB 24-24 MERCYH · MERCYH 9% → 20%

  3. 03
    Julia ShepherdAttack error+11.1%

    Attack error by Julia Shepherd

    Set 4 · COLUMB 26-24 MERCYH · COLUMB 89% → 100%

  4. 04

    Julia Shepherd stuffed by Maria Happ & Alexia Cornea

    Set 3 · COLUMB 24-23 MERCYH · COLUMB 58% → 68%

  5. 05

    Anna Logan stuffed by Charlotte Gravlee

    Set 4 · COLUMB 25-24 MERCYH · COLUMB 80% → 89%

  6. 06

    Clara Yu stuffed by Roslyn Guerra & Ava Carney

    Set 3 · COLUMB 22-22 MERCYH · MERCYH 34% → 42%

  7. 07
    Avery JonesKill+7.8%

    Kill by Avery Jones (set by Maria Happ)

    Set 3 · COLUMB 23-22 MERCYH · COLUMB 58% → 65%

  8. 08

    Kill by Julia Shepherd (set by Alyssa Krause)

    Set 3 · COLUMB 23-23 MERCYH · MERCYH 35% → 42%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413329.3451001012215
412532.2191108200013
46117.29400040111.57.5
44113.23121130111.56.5
40111-.0911731200003
3317.28610001132.55.5
4013-.333043600004
4104.2502131610002
4016-.1671700200000
3439.11100000010.54.5
13031.000100000003
1001.000000000000
19Ava WangL/DS
1000–000000000
Team totals4617135.2154210842448896
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418529.44800050031.519.5
49418.27800010153.512.5
49218.3890023002110
48218.33300141010.58.5
4025-.400024610002
4008.0003310500001
412521.3331002002113
43112.16710020010.53.5
4004.0001411400001
4005.0003051740000
3003.000000000000
2000–000010000
Team totals5921141.270524134910114892

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 COLUMB · MERCYH 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 6 COLUMBMERCYH 3

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 COLUMBMERCYH 5

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 6 COLUMBMERCYH 3

Set 4

26-24

Longest run 3 COLUMBMERCYH 4

Bars above the line = Mercyhurst leads, below = Columbia leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Columbia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%11/22
61%14/23
2
61%11/18
15%2/13
3
71%10/14
47%9/19
4
43%9/21
25%3/12
5
100%7/7
50%8/16
6
64%7/11
42%5/12
All
59%55/93
43%41/95

Mercyhurst

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
25%3/12
2
63%10/16
50%11/22
3
69%9/13
41%7/17
4
53%9/17
31%4/13
5
62%8/13
50%9/18
6
39%7/18
36%4/11
All
57%54/95
41%38/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

188 rallies

#COLUMB-MERCYHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MERCYHCOLUMBAttack errMaria Happ+1.8
21-1COLUMBMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+1.8
32-1MERCYHCOLUMB×3Attack errMaria Happ+1.8
43-1COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillAvery Jonesset Clara Yu+2.3
54-1COLUMBCOLUMB×3Bad setAva Carney+2.1
64-2COLUMBMERCYHBad setClara Yu+1.6
75-2MERCYHCOLUMBServe errMercyhurst+1.7
85-3COLUMBMERCYH×3KillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+1.6
95-4MERCYHMERCYH×3Attack errKylee Eze+2.3
105-5MERCYHMERCYH×3Attack errKylee Eze+2.5
116-5MERCYHCOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Claire Mo+2.0
126-6COLUMBMERCYHAttack errElena Maynulet+2.1
137-6MERCYHCOLUMBKillKylee Ezeset Claire Mo+2.1
148-6COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errRoslyn Guerra+2.6
158-7COLUMBMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Aliyah Angelici+2.0
168-8MERCYHMERCYHAttack errKylee Eze+2.7
179-8MERCYHCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+2.2
189-9COLUMBMERCYHServe errColumbia+2.2
1910-9MERCYHCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+2.3
2010-10COLUMBMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Alyssa Krause+2.3
2111-10MERCYHCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Clara Yu+2.3
2211-11COLUMBMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Alyssa Krause+2.4
2311-12MERCYHMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Alyssa Krause+3.2
2412-12MERCYHCOLUMBServe errMercyhurst+2.5
2512-13COLUMBMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+2.7
2612-14MERCYHMERCYHAttack errAlexia Cornea+3.4
2713-14MERCYHCOLUMB×6KillAlexia Corneaset Claire Mo+2.5
2814-14COLUMBCOLUMB×6AceColumbia+3.4
2915-14COLUMBCOLUMB×6AceColumbia+3.5
3016-14COLUMBCOLUMB×6AceColumbiaaced Sydney Forcht+3.4
3117-14COLUMBCOLUMB×6AceColumbiaaced Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+3.1
3218-14COLUMBCOLUMB×6KillCharlotte Gravleeset Delaney Seaman+2.6
3318-15COLUMBMERCYHServe errColumbia+1.6
3419-15MERCYHCOLUMBKillKylee Ezeset Claire Mo+2.0
3519-16COLUMBMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Aliyah Angelici+1.6
3620-16MERCYHCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+2.1
3720-17COLUMBMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Aliyah Angelici+1.5
3821-17MERCYHCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Alyssa Krause+2.1
3921-18COLUMBMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+1.4
4021-19MERCYHMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+2.8
4122-19MERCYHCOLUMB×3KillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+3.0
4223-19COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillAlexia Corneaset Elena Maynulet+2.6
4324-19COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+1.2
4424-20COLUMBMERCYHServe errColumbia+0.3
4525-20MERCYHCOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+0.6
Set 2
11-0COLUMBCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Clara Yu+2.0
21-1COLUMBMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Julia Shepherd+1.6
31-2MERCYHMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+2.2
42-2MERCYHCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+1.7
53-2COLUMBCOLUMBAceColumbiaaced Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+2.1
63-3COLUMBMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+1.7
73-4MERCYHMERCYHAceMercyhurstaced Elena Maynulet+2.3
84-4MERCYHCOLUMB×4Serve errMercyhurst+1.8
95-4COLUMBCOLUMB×4BlockedJulia Shepherdblk Alexia Cornea, Charlotte Gravlee+2.2
106-4COLUMBCOLUMB×4Attack errMadison Miner+2.2
117-4COLUMBCOLUMB×4Bad setKelsie Gaiter-Davis+2.1
127-5COLUMBMERCYHServe errColumbia+1.5
138-5MERCYHCOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Clara Yu+1.6
148-6COLUMBMERCYH×3KillMadison Minerset Alyssa Krause+1.6
158-7MERCYHMERCYH×3AceMercyhurstaced Delaney Seaman+2.2
168-8MERCYHMERCYH×3KillPayton Melinset Claire Mo+2.5
179-8MERCYHCOLUMBKillDelaney Seamanset Claire Mo+2.0
189-9COLUMBMERCYHServe errColumbia+2.0
1910-9MERCYHCOLUMBServe errMercyhurst+2.0
2011-9COLUMBCOLUMBKillKylee Ezeset Claire Mo+2.5
2111-10COLUMBMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Aliyah Angelici+1.9
2212-10MERCYHCOLUMB×3KillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+2.0
2313-10COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillAvery Jonesset Delaney Seaman+2.4
2414-10COLUMBCOLUMB×3AceColumbia+2.1
2514-11COLUMBMERCYH×5KillAva Carneyset Aliyah Angelici+1.4
2614-12MERCYHMERCYH×5KillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+2.2
2714-13MERCYHMERCYH×5KillJulia Shepherdset Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+2.7
2814-14MERCYHMERCYH×5KillRoslyn Guerraset Julia Shepherd+3.0
2914-15MERCYHMERCYH×5BlockedElena Maynuletblk Roslyn Guerra, Ava Carney+3.3
3015-15MERCYHCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+2.5
3115-16COLUMBMERCYH×3KillRoslyn Guerraset Alyssa Krause+2.7
3215-17MERCYHMERCYH×3KillMadison Minerset Alyssa Krause+3.5
3315-18MERCYHMERCYH×3BlockedAlexia Corneablk Julia Shepherd, Ava Carney+3.3
3416-18MERCYHCOLUMBServe errMercyhurst+2.1
3517-18COLUMBCOLUMBAceColumbiaaced Anna Logan+3.3
3617-19COLUMBMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+3.1
3718-19MERCYHCOLUMBServe errMercyhurst+2.7
3819-19COLUMBCOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Claire Mo+4.1
3919-20COLUMBMERCYH×5KillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+3.6
4019-21MERCYHMERCYH×5Attack errClaire Mo+4.6
4119-22MERCYHMERCYH×5KillMia Mattinglyset Aliyah Angelici+4.0
4219-23MERCYHMERCYH×5KillPayton Melinset Aliyah Angelici+2.8
4319-24MERCYHMERCYH×5Attack errCharlotte Gravlee+1.4
4420-24MERCYHCOLUMBServe errMercyhurst+0.3
4520-25COLUMBMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Aliyah Angelici+0.7
Set 3
11-0MERCYHCOLUMBKillMaria Happset Clara Yu+2.4
22-0COLUMBCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Alyssa Krause+3.0
32-1COLUMBMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+2.3
43-1MERCYHCOLUMBKillMaria Happset Clara Yu+2.4
53-2COLUMBMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+2.4
64-2MERCYHCOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Julia Shepherd+2.5
74-3COLUMBMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+2.4
85-3MERCYHCOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Charlotte Gravlee+2.5
95-4COLUMBMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Aliyah Angelici+2.5
106-4MERCYHCOLUMBKillKylee Ezeset Claire Mo+2.6
117-4COLUMBCOLUMBAceColumbiaaced Madison Miner+3.1
127-5COLUMBMERCYH×3KillRoslyn Guerraset Aliyah Angelici+2.3
137-6MERCYHMERCYH×3BlockedElena Maynuletblk Ava Carney, Payton Melin+3.3
147-7MERCYHMERCYH×3Serve errMercyhurst+3.6
158-7MERCYHCOLUMB×6Serve errMercyhurst+2.9
169-7COLUMBCOLUMB×6KillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+3.6
1710-7COLUMBCOLUMB×6Attack errJulia Shepherd+3.3
1811-7COLUMBCOLUMB×6BlockedAva Carneyblk Maria Happ+3.0
1912-7COLUMBCOLUMB×6AceColumbiaaced Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+2.5
2013-7COLUMBCOLUMB×6KillMaria Happset Elena Maynulet+2.1
2113-8COLUMBMERCYH×3KillRoslyn Guerraset Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+1.3
2213-9MERCYHMERCYH×3BlockedElena Maynuletblk Ava Carney, Julia Shepherd+2.1
2313-10MERCYHMERCYH×3BlockedMaria Happblk Ava Carney+2.7
2414-10MERCYHCOLUMBAttack errJulia Shepherd+2.5
2514-11COLUMBMERCYH×3KillRoslyn Guerraset Alyssa Krause+2.2
2614-12MERCYHMERCYH×3AceMercyhurstaced Maria Happ+3.4
2714-13MERCYHMERCYH×3KillJulia Shepherdset Clara Yu+4.0
2815-13MERCYHCOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+3.5
2915-14COLUMBMERCYH×3KillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+3.3
3015-15MERCYHMERCYH×3KillPayton Melinset Alexia Cornea+4.8
3115-16MERCYHMERCYH×3KillMadison Minerset Alyssa Krause+5.2
3216-16MERCYHCOLUMBServe errMercyhurst+4.0
3316-17COLUMBMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+4.4
3417-17MERCYHCOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Claire Mo+4.2
3517-18COLUMBMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Aliyah Angelici+4.7
3618-18MERCYHCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+4.5
3718-19COLUMBMERCYHServe errColumbia+5.0
3818-20MERCYHMERCYHAttack errMadison Hsieh+6.4
3919-20MERCYHCOLUMB×4BlockedAva Carneyblk Kylee Eze, Maria Happ+4.4
4020-20COLUMBCOLUMB×4Attack errRoslyn Guerra+6.8
4121-20COLUMBCOLUMB×4BlockedRoslyn Guerrablk Avery Jones, Maria Happ+7.4
4222-20COLUMBCOLUMB×4Attack errPayton Melin+7.1
4322-21COLUMBMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Payton Melin+4.5
4422-22MERCYHMERCYHBlockedClara Yublk Roslyn Guerra, Ava Carney+8.3
4523-22MERCYHCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Maria Happ+7.8
4623-23COLUMBMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+7.7
4724-23MERCYHCOLUMBBlockedJulia Shepherdblk Maria Happ, Alexia Cornea+10.0
4825-23COLUMBCOLUMBBlockedAva Carneyblk Alexia Cornea+12.2
Set 4
11-0COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errRoslyn Guerra+2.8
21-1COLUMBMERCYH×4KillJulia Shepherdset Roslyn Guerra+2.3
31-2MERCYHMERCYH×4Attack errElena Maynulet+3.0
41-3MERCYHMERCYH×4KillRoslyn Guerraset Alyssa Krause+3.1
51-4MERCYHMERCYH×4AceMercyhurstaced Elena Maynulet+3.0
62-4MERCYHCOLUMBBad setAlyssa Krause+2.2
72-5COLUMBMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+2.5
82-6MERCYHMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Alyssa Krause+3.0
93-6MERCYHCOLUMBServe errMercyhurst+2.1
103-7COLUMBMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+2.4
114-7MERCYHCOLUMBBlockedMadison Minerblk Avery Jones+2.1
125-7COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errMia Mattingly+3.0
135-8COLUMBMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+2.6
145-9MERCYHMERCYHAttack errCharlotte Gravlee+3.2
156-9MERCYHCOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Claire Mo+2.2
166-10COLUMBMERCYHServe errColumbia+2.5
177-10MERCYHCOLUMBKillJosie Zynczakset Charlotte Gravlee+2.2
187-11COLUMBMERCYHBad setJosie Zynczak+2.6
198-11MERCYHCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Josie Zynczak+2.2
208-12COLUMBMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Aliyah Angelici+2.7
219-12MERCYHCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+2.2
229-13COLUMBMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+2.7
2310-13MERCYHCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Alexia Cornea+2.3
2410-14COLUMBMERCYHServe errColumbia+2.8
2510-15MERCYHMERCYHBlockedAvery Jonesblk Mia Mattingly, Madison Miner+3.0
2611-15MERCYHCOLUMBServe errMercyhurst+1.9
2711-16COLUMBMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+2.4
2812-16MERCYHCOLUMB×3KillAlexia Corneaset Claire Mo+1.8
2913-16COLUMBCOLUMB×3Attack errAnna Logan+3.0
3014-16COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillJosie Zynczakset Claire Mo+3.6
3114-17COLUMBMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Aliyah Angelici+3.5
3215-17MERCYHCOLUMB×3KillJosie Zynczakset Claire Mo+2.9
3316-17COLUMBCOLUMB×3Attack errMia Mattingly+4.4
3417-17COLUMBCOLUMB×3Bad setRoslyn Guerra+4.9
3517-18COLUMBMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Aliyah Angelici+4.3
3618-18MERCYHCOLUMB×3Serve errMercyhurst+4.1
3719-18COLUMBCOLUMB×3Attack errAva Carney+5.6
3820-18COLUMBCOLUMB×3AceColumbiaaced Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+5.4
3920-19COLUMBMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Alyssa Krause+3.7
4021-19MERCYHCOLUMBAttack errRoslyn Guerra+4.6
4121-20COLUMBMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+3.9
4222-20MERCYHCOLUMBServe errMercyhurst+5.0
4322-21COLUMBMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+4.1
4423-21MERCYHCOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+5.7
4524-21COLUMBCOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+5.1
4624-22COLUMBMERCYH×3BlockedAlexia Corneablk Mia Mattingly, Julia Shepherd+1.7
4724-23MERCYHMERCYH×3KillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+5.0
4824-24MERCYHMERCYH×3KillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+11.6
4925-24MERCYHCOLUMBBlockedAnna Loganblk Charlotte Gravlee+9.1
5026-24COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errJulia Shepherd+11.1

Score shown after each rally, Columbia first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).