Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayIVY-LEAGUE

3:1

HomeNEC

Columbia def. Mercyhurst 3–1

(25-20, 20-25, 25-23, 26-24)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
COLUMB	25	20	25	26	3
MERCYH	20	25	23	24	1

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MERCYH above 50 · COLUMB below

Biggest swing: 11.6% to Columbia — set 3, COLUMB 25-23 MERCYH. Ava Carney stuffed by Alexia Cornea. MERCYH win probability 30% → 18%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

COLUMB 65.3%34.7% MERCYH

Columbia wins

3-0

20.2%

3-1

25.0%

3-2

20.0%

Mercyhurst wins

3-0

7.1%

3-1

12.4%

3-2

15.2%

COLUMB break %: 46.5% vs this opp
MERCYH break %: 43.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ava CarneyAttack error+11.6%
Ava Carney stuffed by Alexia Cornea
Set 3 · COLUMB 25-23 MERCYH · COLUMB 70% → 82%
02
Mia MattinglyKill+10.8%
Kill by Mia Mattingly (set by Alyssa Krause)
Set 4 · COLUMB 24-24 MERCYH · MERCYH 8% → 19%
03
Julia ShepherdAttack error+10.3%
Attack error by Julia Shepherd
Set 4 · COLUMB 26-24 MERCYH · COLUMB 90% → 100%
04
Julia ShepherdAttack error+10.1%
Julia Shepherd stuffed by Maria Happ & Alexia Cornea
Set 3 · COLUMB 24-23 MERCYH · COLUMB 60% → 70%
05
Anna LoganAttack error+8.9%
Anna Logan stuffed by Charlotte Gravlee
Set 4 · COLUMB 25-24 MERCYH · COLUMB 81% → 90%
06
Clara YuAttack error+8.0%
Clara Yu stuffed by Roslyn Guerra & Ava Carney
Set 3 · COLUMB 22-22 MERCYH · MERCYH 32% → 40%
07
Avery JonesKill+7.8%
Kill by Avery Jones (set by Maria Happ)
Set 3 · COLUMB 23-22 MERCYH · COLUMB 60% → 68%
08
Julia ShepherdKill+7.7%
Kill by Julia Shepherd (set by Alyssa Krause)
Set 3 · COLUMB 23-23 MERCYH · MERCYH 32% → 40%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Columbiaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
33Alexia CorneaOH	4	13	3	29	.345	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	15
9Elena MaynuletOH	4	12	5	32	.219	1	1	0	8	2	0	0	0	13
14Avery JonesOPP	4	6	1	17	.294	0	0	0	4	0	1	1	1.5	7.5
13Charlotte GravleeOPP	4	4	1	13	.231	2	1	1	3	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
16Clara YuS	4	0	1	11	-.091	17	3	1	2	0	0	0	0	3
12Maria HappMB	3	3	1	7	.286	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	2.5	5.5
8Madison HsiehL/DS	4	0	1	3	-.333	0	4	3	6	0	0	0	0	4
11Delaney SeamanS	4	1	0	4	.250	2	1	3	16	1	0	0	0	2
15Claire MoS	4	0	1	6	-.167	17	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
25Kylee EzeOPP	3	4	3	9	.111	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
3Josie ZynczakOH	1	3	0	3	1.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
5Allie AbernathyMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Ava WangL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	17	135	.215	42	10	8	42	4	4	8	8	96

Mercyhursthome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Julia ShepherdOPP	4	18	5	29	.448	0	0	0	5	0	0	3	1.5	19.5
23Ava CarneyMB	4	9	4	18	.278	0	0	0	1	0	1	5	3.5	12.5
13Mia MattinglyMB	4	9	2	18	.389	0	0	2	3	0	0	2	1	10
8Madison MinerOH	4	8	2	18	.333	0	0	1	4	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
26Anna LoganDS	4	0	2	5	-.400	0	2	4	6	1	0	0	0	2
21Alyssa KrauseDS	4	0	0	8	.000	33	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	1
1Roslyn GuerraOH	4	12	5	21	.333	1	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	13
9Payton MelinOPP	4	3	1	12	.167	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
4Aliyah AngeliciS	4	0	0	4	.000	14	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
11Kelsie Gaiter-DavisDS	4	0	0	5	.000	3	0	5	17	4	0	0	0	0
7Kalyani OliveOH	3	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Sydney ForchtL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		59	21	141	.270	52	4	13	49	10	1	14	8	92

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 COLUMB · MERCYH 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 6 COLUMBMERCYH 3

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 COLUMBMERCYH 5

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 6 COLUMBMERCYH 3

Set 4

26-24

Longest run 3 COLUMBMERCYH 4

Bars above the line = Mercyhurst leads, below = Columbia leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Columbia

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%11/22	61%14/23
2	61%11/18	15%2/13
3	71%10/14	47%9/19
4	43%9/21	25%3/12
5	100%7/7	50%8/16
6	64%7/11	42%5/12
All	59%55/93	43%41/95

Mercyhurst

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	61%11/18	25%3/12
2	63%10/16	50%11/22
3	69%9/13	41%7/17
4	53%9/17	31%4/13
5	62%8/13	50%9/18
6	39%7/18	36%4/11
All	57%54/95	41%38/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

188 rallies

Rally log

#	COLUMB-MERCYH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MERCYH	COLUMB	Attack err	Maria Happ		+1.7
2	1-1	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+1.8
3	2-1	MERCYH	COLUMB×3	Attack err	Maria Happ		+1.8
4	3-1	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Kill	Avery Jones	set Clara Yu	+2.1
5	4-1	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Bad set	Ava Carney		+2.0
6	4-2	COLUMB	MERCYH	Bad set	Clara Yu		+1.6
7	5-2	MERCYH	COLUMB	Serve err	MERCYH server		+1.6
8	5-3	COLUMB	MERCYH×3	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+1.6
9	5-4	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Kylee Eze		+2.2
10	5-5	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Kylee Eze		+2.4
11	6-5	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Charlotte Gravlee	set Claire Mo	+2.0
12	6-6	COLUMB	MERCYH	Attack err	Elena Maynulet		+2.0
13	7-6	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Kylee Eze	set Claire Mo	+2.0
14	8-6	COLUMB	COLUMB	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+2.4
15	8-7	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.9
16	8-8	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Kylee Eze		+2.6
17	9-8	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Claire Mo	+2.1
18	9-9	COLUMB	MERCYH	Serve err	COLUMB server		+2.2
19	10-9	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Clara Yu	+2.2
20	10-10	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+2.3
21	11-10	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Avery Jones	set Clara Yu	+2.3
22	11-11	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+2.4
23	11-12	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+3.1
24	12-12	MERCYH	COLUMB	Serve err	MERCYH server		+2.4
25	12-13	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+2.6
26	12-14	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Alexia Cornea		+3.3
27	13-14	MERCYH	COLUMB×6	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Claire Mo	+2.5
28	14-14	COLUMB	COLUMB×6	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Team	+3.3
29	15-14	COLUMB	COLUMB×6	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Team	+3.3
30	16-14	COLUMB	COLUMB×6	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Sydney Forcht	+3.2
31	17-14	COLUMB	COLUMB×6	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+2.9
32	18-14	COLUMB	COLUMB×6	Kill	Charlotte Gravlee	set Delaney Seaman	+2.4
33	18-15	COLUMB	MERCYH	Serve err	COLUMB server		+1.6
34	19-15	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Kylee Eze	set Claire Mo	+2.0
35	19-16	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.5
36	20-16	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Claire Mo	+2.0
37	20-17	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.5
38	21-17	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Alyssa Krause	+2.0
39	21-18	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+1.4
40	21-19	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.6
41	22-19	MERCYH	COLUMB×3	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Clara Yu	+3.0
42	23-19	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Elena Maynulet	+2.4
43	24-19	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Clara Yu	+1.2
44	24-20	COLUMB	MERCYH	Serve err	COLUMB server		+0.3
45	25-20	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Clara Yu	+0.6
Set 2
1	1-0	COLUMB	COLUMB	Kill	Avery Jones	set Clara Yu	+1.8
2	1-1	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Julia Shepherd	+1.5
3	1-2	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+2.0
4	2-2	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Clara Yu	+1.6
5	3-2	COLUMB	COLUMB	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+1.9
6	3-3	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+1.6
7	3-4	MERCYH	MERCYH	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Elena Maynulet	+2.1
8	4-4	MERCYH	COLUMB×4	Serve err	MERCYH server		+1.7
9	5-4	COLUMB	COLUMB×4	Attack err	Julia Shepherd	blk Alexia Cornea, Charlotte Gravlee	+2.0
10	6-4	COLUMB	COLUMB×4	Attack err	Madison Miner		+2.0
11	7-4	COLUMB	COLUMB×4	Bad set	Kelsie Gaiter-Davis		+1.8
12	7-5	COLUMB	MERCYH	Serve err	COLUMB server		+1.4
13	8-5	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Charlotte Gravlee	set Clara Yu	+1.5
14	8-6	COLUMB	MERCYH×3	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+1.5
15	8-7	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Delaney Seaman	+2.0
16	8-8	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Payton Melin	set Claire Mo	+2.2
17	9-8	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Delaney Seaman	set Claire Mo	+1.8
18	9-9	COLUMB	MERCYH	Serve err	COLUMB server		+1.9
19	10-9	MERCYH	COLUMB	Serve err	MERCYH server		+1.9
20	11-9	COLUMB	COLUMB	Kill	Kylee Eze	set Claire Mo	+2.3
21	11-10	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.8
22	12-10	MERCYH	COLUMB×3	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Claire Mo	+1.9
23	13-10	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Kill	Avery Jones	set Delaney Seaman	+2.1
24	14-10	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Team	+1.9
25	14-11	COLUMB	MERCYH×5	Kill	Ava Carney	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.3
26	14-12	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.0
27	14-13	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+2.4
28	14-14	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Julia Shepherd	+2.8
29	14-15	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Attack err	Elena Maynulet	blk Roslyn Guerra, Ava Carney	+3.0
30	15-15	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Clara Yu	+2.4
31	15-16	COLUMB	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+2.6
32	15-17	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+3.3
33	15-18	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Alexia Cornea	blk Julia Shepherd, Ava Carney	+3.1
34	16-18	MERCYH	COLUMB	Serve err	MERCYH server		+2.1
35	17-18	COLUMB	COLUMB	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Anna Logan	+3.1
36	17-19	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+3.1
37	18-19	MERCYH	COLUMB	Serve err	MERCYH server		+2.7
38	19-19	COLUMB	COLUMB	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Claire Mo	+3.8
39	19-20	COLUMB	MERCYH×5	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+3.5
40	19-21	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Attack err	Claire Mo		+4.3
41	19-22	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Aliyah Angelici	+3.9
42	19-23	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Payton Melin	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.8
43	19-24	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Attack err	Charlotte Gravlee		+1.5
44	20-24	MERCYH	COLUMB	Serve err	MERCYH server		+0.3
45	20-25	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Aliyah Angelici	+0.7
Set 3
1	1-0	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Maria Happ	set Clara Yu	+2.4
2	2-0	COLUMB	COLUMB	Kill	Avery Jones	set Alyssa Krause	+2.8
3	2-1	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.3
4	3-1	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Maria Happ	set Clara Yu	+2.4
5	3-2	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+2.4
6	4-2	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Julia Shepherd	+2.4
7	4-3	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+2.4
8	5-3	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Charlotte Gravlee	+2.5
9	5-4	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.5
10	6-4	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Kylee Eze	set Claire Mo	+2.5
11	7-4	COLUMB	COLUMB	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Madison Miner	+2.9
12	7-5	COLUMB	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.3
13	7-6	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Elena Maynulet	blk Ava Carney, Payton Melin	+3.1
14	7-7	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Serve err	MERCYH server		+3.5
15	8-7	MERCYH	COLUMB×6	Serve err	MERCYH server		+2.8
16	9-7	COLUMB	COLUMB×6	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Clara Yu	+3.4
17	10-7	COLUMB	COLUMB×6	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+3.1
18	11-7	COLUMB	COLUMB×6	Attack err	Ava Carney	blk Maria Happ	+2.8
19	12-7	COLUMB	COLUMB×6	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+2.4
20	13-7	COLUMB	COLUMB×6	Kill	Maria Happ	set Elena Maynulet	+1.9
21	13-8	COLUMB	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+1.3
22	13-9	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Elena Maynulet	blk Ava Carney, Julia Shepherd	+2.0
23	13-10	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Maria Happ	blk Ava Carney	+2.6
24	14-10	MERCYH	COLUMB	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+2.4
25	14-11	COLUMB	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+2.1
26	14-12	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Maria Happ	+3.2
27	14-13	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Clara Yu	+3.9
28	15-13	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Clara Yu	+3.4
29	15-14	COLUMB	MERCYH×3	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+3.3
30	15-15	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Payton Melin	set Alexia Cornea	+4.6
31	15-16	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+5.1
32	16-16	MERCYH	COLUMB	Serve err	MERCYH server		+4.0
33	16-17	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+4.4
34	17-17	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Claire Mo	+4.3
35	17-18	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Aliyah Angelici	+4.7
36	18-18	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Claire Mo	+4.6
37	18-19	COLUMB	MERCYH	Serve err	COLUMB server		+5.1
38	18-20	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Madison Hsieh		+6.4
39	19-20	MERCYH	COLUMB×4	Attack err	Ava Carney	blk Kylee Eze, Maria Happ	+4.5
40	20-20	COLUMB	COLUMB×4	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+6.6
41	21-20	COLUMB	COLUMB×4	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra	blk Avery Jones, Maria Happ	+7.1
42	22-20	COLUMB	COLUMB×4	Attack err	Payton Melin		+6.7
43	22-21	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Payton Melin	+4.6
44	22-22	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Clara Yu	blk Roslyn Guerra, Ava Carney	+8.0
45	23-22	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Avery Jones	set Maria Happ	+7.8
46	23-23	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+7.7
47	24-23	MERCYH	COLUMB	Attack err	Julia Shepherd	blk Maria Happ, Alexia Cornea	+10.1
48	25-23	COLUMB	COLUMB	Attack err	Ava Carney	blk Alexia Cornea	+11.6
Set 4
1	1-0	COLUMB	COLUMB	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+2.6
2	1-1	COLUMB	MERCYH×4	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Roslyn Guerra	+2.2
3	1-2	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Attack err	Elena Maynulet		+2.8
4	1-3	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+2.9
5	1-4	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Elena Maynulet	+2.9
6	2-4	MERCYH	COLUMB	Bad set	Alyssa Krause		+2.2
7	2-5	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+2.4
8	2-6	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+2.9
9	3-6	MERCYH	COLUMB	Serve err	MERCYH server		+2.1
10	3-7	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.4
11	4-7	MERCYH	COLUMB	Attack err	Madison Miner	blk Avery Jones	+2.1
12	5-7	COLUMB	COLUMB	Attack err	Mia Mattingly		+2.8
13	5-8	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+2.6
14	5-9	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Charlotte Gravlee		+3.1
15	6-9	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Charlotte Gravlee	set Claire Mo	+2.2
16	6-10	COLUMB	MERCYH	Serve err	COLUMB server		+2.6
17	7-10	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Josie Zynczak	set Charlotte Gravlee	+2.2
18	7-11	COLUMB	MERCYH	Bad set	Josie Zynczak		+2.6
19	8-11	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Josie Zynczak	+2.2
20	8-12	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.7
21	9-12	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Clara Yu	+2.3
22	9-13	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+2.8
23	10-13	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Alexia Cornea	+2.3
24	10-14	COLUMB	MERCYH	Serve err	COLUMB server		+2.8
25	10-15	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Avery Jones	blk Mia Mattingly, Madison Miner	+3.0
26	11-15	MERCYH	COLUMB	Serve err	MERCYH server		+1.9
27	11-16	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+2.5
28	12-16	MERCYH	COLUMB×3	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Claire Mo	+1.9
29	13-16	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Attack err	Anna Logan		+2.9
30	14-16	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Kill	Josie Zynczak	set Claire Mo	+3.5
31	14-17	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Aliyah Angelici	+3.5
32	15-17	MERCYH	COLUMB×3	Kill	Josie Zynczak	set Claire Mo	+2.9
33	16-17	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Attack err	Mia Mattingly		+4.2
34	17-17	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Bad set	Roslyn Guerra		+4.6
35	17-18	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Aliyah Angelici	+4.2
36	18-18	MERCYH	COLUMB×3	Serve err	MERCYH server		+4.0
37	19-18	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Attack err	Ava Carney		+5.2
38	20-18	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+4.9
39	20-19	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+3.6
40	21-19	MERCYH	COLUMB	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+4.4
41	21-20	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+3.8
42	22-20	MERCYH	COLUMB	Serve err	MERCYH server		+4.8
43	22-21	COLUMB	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+4.0
44	23-21	MERCYH	COLUMB	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Clara Yu	+5.5
45	24-21	COLUMB	COLUMB	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Clara Yu	+4.8
46	24-22	COLUMB	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Alexia Cornea	blk Mia Mattingly, Julia Shepherd	+1.7
47	24-23	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+4.7
48	24-24	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+10.8
49	25-24	MERCYH	COLUMB	Attack err	Anna Logan	blk Charlotte Gravlee	+8.9
50	26-24	COLUMB	COLUMB	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+10.3

Score shown after each rally, Columbia first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.