Columbia def. Mercyhurst 3–1
Columbia won at Mercyhurst 3-1 (25-20, 20-25, 25-23, 26-24) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Alexia Cornea led Columbia with 13 kills; Mercyhurst's Julia Shepherd had a match-high 18.
Data through · final Sep 11
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLUMB | 25 | 20 | 25 | 26 | 3 |
| MERCYH | 20 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 12.2% to Columbia — set 3, COLUMB 25-23 MERCYH. Ava Carney stuffed by Alexia Cornea. MERCYH win probability 32% → 20%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Columbia wins
Mercyhurst wins
- COLUMB break %
- 45.1% vs this opp
- MERCYH break %
- 43.0% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Alexia CorneaBlock+12.2%
Ava Carney stuffed by Alexia Cornea
Set 3 · COLUMB 25-23 MERCYH · COLUMB 68% → 80%
- 02Mia MattinglyKill+11.6%
Kill by Mia Mattingly (set by Alyssa Krause)
Set 4 · COLUMB 24-24 MERCYH · MERCYH 9% → 20%
- 03Julia ShepherdAttack error+11.1%
Attack error by Julia Shepherd
Set 4 · COLUMB 26-24 MERCYH · COLUMB 89% → 100%
- 04Maria Happ&Alexia CorneaBlock+10.0%
Julia Shepherd stuffed by Maria Happ & Alexia Cornea
Set 3 · COLUMB 24-23 MERCYH · COLUMB 58% → 68%
- 05Charlotte GravleeBlock+9.1%
Anna Logan stuffed by Charlotte Gravlee
Set 4 · COLUMB 25-24 MERCYH · COLUMB 80% → 89%
- 06Roslyn Guerra&Ava CarneyBlock+8.3%
Clara Yu stuffed by Roslyn Guerra & Ava Carney
Set 3 · COLUMB 22-22 MERCYH · MERCYH 34% → 42%
- 07Avery JonesKill+7.8%
Kill by Avery Jones (set by Maria Happ)
Set 3 · COLUMB 23-22 MERCYH · COLUMB 58% → 65%
- 08Julia ShepherdKill+7.7%
Kill by Julia Shepherd (set by Alyssa Krause)
Set 3 · COLUMB 23-23 MERCYH · MERCYH 35% → 42%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 3 | 29 | .345 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | |
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 32 | .219 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 4 | 6 | 1 | 17 | .294 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | .231 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -.091 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | .286 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 5.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -.167 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | .111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1.000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 46 | 17 | 135 | .215 | 42 | 10 | 8 | 42 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 96 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 18 | 5 | 29 | .448 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 19.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 18 | .278 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 2 | 18 | .389 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 4 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -.400 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .000 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 21 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | .167 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 59 | 21 | 141 | .270 | 52 | 4 | 13 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 92 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-20
Set 2
20-25
Set 3
25-23
Set 4
26-24
Bars above the line = Mercyhurst leads, below = Columbia leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Columbia
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%11/22 | 61%14/23 |
| 2 | 61%11/18 | 15%2/13 |
| 3 | 71%10/14 | 47%9/19 |
| 4 | 43%9/21 | 25%3/12 |
| 5 | 100%7/7 | 50%8/16 |
| 6 | 64%7/11 | 42%5/12 |
| All | 59%55/93 | 43%41/95 |
Mercyhurst
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 61%11/18 | 25%3/12 |
| 2 | 63%10/16 | 50%11/22 |
| 3 | 69%9/13 | 41%7/17 |
| 4 | 53%9/17 | 31%4/13 |
| 5 | 62%8/13 | 50%9/18 |
| 6 | 39%7/18 | 36%4/11 |
| All | 57%54/95 | 41%38/93 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
188 rallies
| # | COLUMB-MERCYH | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Attack err | Maria Happ | +1.8 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Ava Carney | set Alyssa Krause | +1.8 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MERCYH | COLUMB×3 | Attack err | Maria Happ | +1.8 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | COLUMB | COLUMB×3 | Kill | Avery Jones | set Clara Yu | +2.3 |
| 5 | 4-1 | COLUMB | COLUMB×3 | Bad set | Ava Carney | +2.1 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Bad set | Clara Yu | +1.6 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +1.7 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | COLUMB | MERCYH×3 | Kill | Mia Mattingly | set Alyssa Krause | +1.6 |
| 9 | 5-4 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Attack err | Kylee Eze | +2.3 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Attack err | Kylee Eze | +2.5 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Charlotte Gravlee | set Claire Mo | +2.0 |
| 12 | 6-6 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Attack err | Elena Maynulet | +2.1 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Kylee Eze | set Claire Mo | +2.1 |
| 14 | 8-6 | COLUMB | COLUMB | Attack err | Roslyn Guerra | +2.6 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Mia Mattingly | set Aliyah Angelici | +2.0 |
| 16 | 8-8 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Attack err | Kylee Eze | +2.7 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Elena Maynulet | set Claire Mo | +2.2 |
| 18 | 9-9 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Serve err | Columbia | +2.2 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Elena Maynulet | set Clara Yu | +2.3 |
| 20 | 10-10 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Roslyn Guerra | set Alyssa Krause | +2.3 |
| 21 | 11-10 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Avery Jones | set Clara Yu | +2.3 |
| 22 | 11-11 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Madison Miner | set Alyssa Krause | +2.4 |
| 23 | 11-12 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Kill | Madison Miner | set Alyssa Krause | +3.2 |
| 24 | 12-12 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +2.5 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +2.7 |
| 26 | 12-14 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Attack err | Alexia Cornea | +3.4 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | MERCYH | COLUMB×6 | Kill | Alexia Cornea | set Claire Mo | +2.5 |
| 28 | 14-14 | COLUMB | COLUMB×6 | Ace | Columbia | +3.4 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | COLUMB | COLUMB×6 | Ace | Columbia | +3.5 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | COLUMB | COLUMB×6 | Ace | Columbia | aced Sydney Forcht | +3.4 |
| 31 | 17-14 | COLUMB | COLUMB×6 | Ace | Columbia | aced Kelsie Gaiter-Davis | +3.1 |
| 32 | 18-14 | COLUMB | COLUMB×6 | Kill | Charlotte Gravlee | set Delaney Seaman | +2.6 |
| 33 | 18-15 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Serve err | Columbia | +1.6 | |
| 34 | 19-15 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Kylee Eze | set Claire Mo | +2.0 |
| 35 | 19-16 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Roslyn Guerra | set Aliyah Angelici | +1.6 |
| 36 | 20-16 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Elena Maynulet | set Claire Mo | +2.1 |
| 37 | 20-17 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Ava Carney | set Aliyah Angelici | +1.5 |
| 38 | 21-17 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Elena Maynulet | set Alyssa Krause | +2.1 |
| 39 | 21-18 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +1.4 |
| 40 | 21-19 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Kill | Ava Carney | set Alyssa Krause | +2.8 |
| 41 | 22-19 | MERCYH | COLUMB×3 | Kill | Alexia Cornea | set Clara Yu | +3.0 |
| 42 | 23-19 | COLUMB | COLUMB×3 | Kill | Alexia Cornea | set Elena Maynulet | +2.6 |
| 43 | 24-19 | COLUMB | COLUMB×3 | Kill | Alexia Cornea | set Clara Yu | +1.2 |
| 44 | 24-20 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Serve err | Columbia | +0.3 | |
| 45 | 25-20 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Alexia Cornea | set Clara Yu | +0.6 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | COLUMB | COLUMB | Kill | Avery Jones | set Clara Yu | +2.0 |
| 2 | 1-1 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Roslyn Guerra | set Julia Shepherd | +1.6 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +2.2 |
| 4 | 2-2 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Elena Maynulet | set Clara Yu | +1.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | COLUMB | COLUMB | Ace | Columbia | aced Kelsie Gaiter-Davis | +2.1 |
| 6 | 3-3 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Ava Carney | set Alyssa Krause | +1.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Ace | Mercyhurst | aced Elena Maynulet | +2.3 |
| 8 | 4-4 | MERCYH | COLUMB×4 | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +1.8 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | COLUMB | COLUMB×4 | Blocked | Julia Shepherd | blk Alexia Cornea, Charlotte Gravlee | +2.2 |
| 10 | 6-4 | COLUMB | COLUMB×4 | Attack err | Madison Miner | +2.2 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | COLUMB | COLUMB×4 | Bad set | Kelsie Gaiter-Davis | +2.1 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Serve err | Columbia | +1.5 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Charlotte Gravlee | set Clara Yu | +1.6 |
| 14 | 8-6 | COLUMB | MERCYH×3 | Kill | Madison Miner | set Alyssa Krause | +1.6 |
| 15 | 8-7 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Ace | Mercyhurst | aced Delaney Seaman | +2.2 |
| 16 | 8-8 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Kill | Payton Melin | set Claire Mo | +2.5 |
| 17 | 9-8 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Delaney Seaman | set Claire Mo | +2.0 |
| 18 | 9-9 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Serve err | Columbia | +2.0 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +2.0 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | COLUMB | COLUMB | Kill | Kylee Eze | set Claire Mo | +2.5 |
| 21 | 11-10 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Roslyn Guerra | set Aliyah Angelici | +1.9 |
| 22 | 12-10 | MERCYH | COLUMB×3 | Kill | Elena Maynulet | set Claire Mo | +2.0 |
| 23 | 13-10 | COLUMB | COLUMB×3 | Kill | Avery Jones | set Delaney Seaman | +2.4 |
| 24 | 14-10 | COLUMB | COLUMB×3 | Ace | Columbia | +2.1 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | COLUMB | MERCYH×5 | Kill | Ava Carney | set Aliyah Angelici | +1.4 |
| 26 | 14-12 | MERCYH | MERCYH×5 | Kill | Ava Carney | set Alyssa Krause | +2.2 |
| 27 | 14-13 | MERCYH | MERCYH×5 | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Kelsie Gaiter-Davis | +2.7 |
| 28 | 14-14 | MERCYH | MERCYH×5 | Kill | Roslyn Guerra | set Julia Shepherd | +3.0 |
| 29 | 14-15 | MERCYH | MERCYH×5 | Blocked | Elena Maynulet | blk Roslyn Guerra, Ava Carney | +3.3 |
| 30 | 15-15 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Elena Maynulet | set Clara Yu | +2.5 |
| 31 | 15-16 | COLUMB | MERCYH×3 | Kill | Roslyn Guerra | set Alyssa Krause | +2.7 |
| 32 | 15-17 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Kill | Madison Miner | set Alyssa Krause | +3.5 |
| 33 | 15-18 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Blocked | Alexia Cornea | blk Julia Shepherd, Ava Carney | +3.3 |
| 34 | 16-18 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +2.1 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | COLUMB | COLUMB | Ace | Columbia | aced Anna Logan | +3.3 |
| 36 | 17-19 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +3.1 |
| 37 | 18-19 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +2.7 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | COLUMB | COLUMB | Kill | Alexia Cornea | set Claire Mo | +4.1 |
| 39 | 19-20 | COLUMB | MERCYH×5 | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +3.6 |
| 40 | 19-21 | MERCYH | MERCYH×5 | Attack err | Claire Mo | +4.6 | |
| 41 | 19-22 | MERCYH | MERCYH×5 | Kill | Mia Mattingly | set Aliyah Angelici | +4.0 |
| 42 | 19-23 | MERCYH | MERCYH×5 | Kill | Payton Melin | set Aliyah Angelici | +2.8 |
| 43 | 19-24 | MERCYH | MERCYH×5 | Attack err | Charlotte Gravlee | +1.4 | |
| 44 | 20-24 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +0.3 | |
| 45 | 20-25 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Mia Mattingly | set Aliyah Angelici | +0.7 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Maria Happ | set Clara Yu | +2.4 |
| 2 | 2-0 | COLUMB | COLUMB | Kill | Avery Jones | set Alyssa Krause | +3.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Ava Carney | set Alyssa Krause | +2.3 |
| 4 | 3-1 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Maria Happ | set Clara Yu | +2.4 |
| 5 | 3-2 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +2.4 |
| 6 | 4-2 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Alexia Cornea | set Julia Shepherd | +2.5 |
| 7 | 4-3 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Kelsie Gaiter-Davis | +2.4 |
| 8 | 5-3 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Alexia Cornea | set Charlotte Gravlee | +2.5 |
| 9 | 5-4 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Madison Miner | set Aliyah Angelici | +2.5 |
| 10 | 6-4 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Kylee Eze | set Claire Mo | +2.6 |
| 11 | 7-4 | COLUMB | COLUMB | Ace | Columbia | aced Madison Miner | +3.1 |
| 12 | 7-5 | COLUMB | MERCYH×3 | Kill | Roslyn Guerra | set Aliyah Angelici | +2.3 |
| 13 | 7-6 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Blocked | Elena Maynulet | blk Ava Carney, Payton Melin | +3.3 |
| 14 | 7-7 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +3.6 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | MERCYH | COLUMB×6 | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +2.9 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | COLUMB | COLUMB×6 | Kill | Elena Maynulet | set Clara Yu | +3.6 |
| 17 | 10-7 | COLUMB | COLUMB×6 | Attack err | Julia Shepherd | +3.3 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | COLUMB | COLUMB×6 | Blocked | Ava Carney | blk Maria Happ | +3.0 |
| 19 | 12-7 | COLUMB | COLUMB×6 | Ace | Columbia | aced Kelsie Gaiter-Davis | +2.5 |
| 20 | 13-7 | COLUMB | COLUMB×6 | Kill | Maria Happ | set Elena Maynulet | +2.1 |
| 21 | 13-8 | COLUMB | MERCYH×3 | Kill | Roslyn Guerra | set Kelsie Gaiter-Davis | +1.3 |
| 22 | 13-9 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Blocked | Elena Maynulet | blk Ava Carney, Julia Shepherd | +2.1 |
| 23 | 13-10 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Blocked | Maria Happ | blk Ava Carney | +2.7 |
| 24 | 14-10 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Attack err | Julia Shepherd | +2.5 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | COLUMB | MERCYH×3 | Kill | Roslyn Guerra | set Alyssa Krause | +2.2 |
| 26 | 14-12 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Ace | Mercyhurst | aced Maria Happ | +3.4 |
| 27 | 14-13 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Clara Yu | +4.0 |
| 28 | 15-13 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Alexia Cornea | set Clara Yu | +3.5 |
| 29 | 15-14 | COLUMB | MERCYH×3 | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +3.3 |
| 30 | 15-15 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Kill | Payton Melin | set Alexia Cornea | +4.8 |
| 31 | 15-16 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Kill | Madison Miner | set Alyssa Krause | +5.2 |
| 32 | 16-16 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +4.0 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +4.4 |
| 34 | 17-17 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Alexia Cornea | set Claire Mo | +4.2 |
| 35 | 17-18 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Madison Miner | set Aliyah Angelici | +4.7 |
| 36 | 18-18 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Elena Maynulet | set Claire Mo | +4.5 |
| 37 | 18-19 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Serve err | Columbia | +5.0 | |
| 38 | 18-20 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Attack err | Madison Hsieh | +6.4 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | MERCYH | COLUMB×4 | Blocked | Ava Carney | blk Kylee Eze, Maria Happ | +4.4 |
| 40 | 20-20 | COLUMB | COLUMB×4 | Attack err | Roslyn Guerra | +6.8 | |
| 41 | 21-20 | COLUMB | COLUMB×4 | Blocked | Roslyn Guerra | blk Avery Jones, Maria Happ | +7.4 |
| 42 | 22-20 | COLUMB | COLUMB×4 | Attack err | Payton Melin | +7.1 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Roslyn Guerra | set Payton Melin | +4.5 |
| 44 | 22-22 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Blocked | Clara Yu | blk Roslyn Guerra, Ava Carney | +8.3 |
| 45 | 23-22 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Avery Jones | set Maria Happ | +7.8 |
| 46 | 23-23 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +7.7 |
| 47 | 24-23 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Blocked | Julia Shepherd | blk Maria Happ, Alexia Cornea | +10.0 |
| 48 | 25-23 | COLUMB | COLUMB | Blocked | Ava Carney | blk Alexia Cornea | +12.2 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | COLUMB | COLUMB | Attack err | Roslyn Guerra | +2.8 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | COLUMB | MERCYH×4 | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Roslyn Guerra | +2.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MERCYH | MERCYH×4 | Attack err | Elena Maynulet | +3.0 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | MERCYH | MERCYH×4 | Kill | Roslyn Guerra | set Alyssa Krause | +3.1 |
| 5 | 1-4 | MERCYH | MERCYH×4 | Ace | Mercyhurst | aced Elena Maynulet | +3.0 |
| 6 | 2-4 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Bad set | Alyssa Krause | +2.2 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +2.5 |
| 8 | 2-6 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Kill | Madison Miner | set Alyssa Krause | +3.0 |
| 9 | 3-6 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +2.1 | |
| 10 | 3-7 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Ava Carney | set Alyssa Krause | +2.4 |
| 11 | 4-7 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Blocked | Madison Miner | blk Avery Jones | +2.1 |
| 12 | 5-7 | COLUMB | COLUMB | Attack err | Mia Mattingly | +3.0 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +2.6 |
| 14 | 5-9 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Attack err | Charlotte Gravlee | +3.2 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Charlotte Gravlee | set Claire Mo | +2.2 |
| 16 | 6-10 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Serve err | Columbia | +2.5 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Josie Zynczak | set Charlotte Gravlee | +2.2 |
| 18 | 7-11 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Bad set | Josie Zynczak | +2.6 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Elena Maynulet | set Josie Zynczak | +2.2 |
| 20 | 8-12 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Ava Carney | set Aliyah Angelici | +2.7 |
| 21 | 9-12 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Elena Maynulet | set Clara Yu | +2.2 |
| 22 | 9-13 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +2.7 |
| 23 | 10-13 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Elena Maynulet | set Alexia Cornea | +2.3 |
| 24 | 10-14 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Serve err | Columbia | +2.8 | |
| 25 | 10-15 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Blocked | Avery Jones | blk Mia Mattingly, Madison Miner | +3.0 |
| 26 | 11-15 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +1.9 | |
| 27 | 11-16 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Mia Mattingly | set Alyssa Krause | +2.4 |
| 28 | 12-16 | MERCYH | COLUMB×3 | Kill | Alexia Cornea | set Claire Mo | +1.8 |
| 29 | 13-16 | COLUMB | COLUMB×3 | Attack err | Anna Logan | +3.0 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | COLUMB | COLUMB×3 | Kill | Josie Zynczak | set Claire Mo | +3.6 |
| 31 | 14-17 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Mia Mattingly | set Aliyah Angelici | +3.5 |
| 32 | 15-17 | MERCYH | COLUMB×3 | Kill | Josie Zynczak | set Claire Mo | +2.9 |
| 33 | 16-17 | COLUMB | COLUMB×3 | Attack err | Mia Mattingly | +4.4 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | COLUMB | COLUMB×3 | Bad set | Roslyn Guerra | +4.9 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Mia Mattingly | set Aliyah Angelici | +4.3 |
| 36 | 18-18 | MERCYH | COLUMB×3 | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +4.1 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | COLUMB | COLUMB×3 | Attack err | Ava Carney | +5.6 | |
| 38 | 20-18 | COLUMB | COLUMB×3 | Ace | Columbia | aced Kelsie Gaiter-Davis | +5.4 |
| 39 | 20-19 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Roslyn Guerra | set Alyssa Krause | +3.7 |
| 40 | 21-19 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Attack err | Roslyn Guerra | +4.6 | |
| 41 | 21-20 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +3.9 |
| 42 | 22-20 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +5.0 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | COLUMB | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +4.1 |
| 44 | 23-21 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Kill | Alexia Cornea | set Clara Yu | +5.7 |
| 45 | 24-21 | COLUMB | COLUMB | Kill | Alexia Cornea | set Clara Yu | +5.1 |
| 46 | 24-22 | COLUMB | MERCYH×3 | Blocked | Alexia Cornea | blk Mia Mattingly, Julia Shepherd | +1.7 |
| 47 | 24-23 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Kill | Mia Mattingly | set Alyssa Krause | +5.0 |
| 48 | 24-24 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Kill | Mia Mattingly | set Alyssa Krause | +11.6 |
| 49 | 25-24 | MERCYH | COLUMB | Blocked | Anna Logan | blk Charlotte Gravlee | +9.1 |
| 50 | 26-24 | COLUMB | COLUMB | Attack err | Julia Shepherd | +11.1 | |
Score shown after each rally, Columbia first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).