Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

Kent St. def. Mercyhurst 3–2

Kent St. won at Mercyhurst 3-2 (25-15, 25-23, 23-25, 20-25, 15-9) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Macie Moreland led Kent St. with 14 kills; Mercyhurst's Julia Shepherd had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set12345Sets
KENT25252320153
MERCYH1523252592

Win probability

Mercyhurst above 50 · Kent St. below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+11.1% MERCYHrally 205 · set 5

Biggest swing: 11.1% to Mercyhurst — set 5, KENT 5-7 MERCYH. Kill by Mia Mattingly (set by Mya Comer). MERCYH win probability 46% → 57%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

KENT 82.5%17.5% MERCYH

Kent St. wins

3-0
34.1%
3-1
30.8%
3-2
17.5%

Mercyhurst wins

3-0
2.7%
3-1
5.7%
3-2
9.1%
KENT break %
48.8% vs this opp
MERCYH break %
41.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Mia MattinglyKill+11.1%

    Kill by Mia Mattingly (set by Mya Comer)

    Set 5 · KENT 5-7 MERCYH · MERCYH 46% → 57%

  2. 02
    Payton MelinAttack error+10.4%

    Attack error by Payton Melin

    Set 5 · KENT 7-7 MERCYH · KENT 51% → 61%

  3. 03
    Macie MorelandKill+10.3%

    Kill by Macie Moreland (set by Christina Vigil)

    Set 5 · KENT 8-7 MERCYH · KENT 61% → 71%

  4. 04

    Mercedez Brown stuffed by Julia Shepherd & Mia Mattingly

    Set 5 · KENT 4-5 MERCYH · MERCYH 35% → 45%

  5. 05

    Kill by Macie Moreland (set by Lesley Furuta)

    Set 5 · KENT 9-7 MERCYH · KENT 71% → 81%

  6. 06
    Kalyani OliveKill+9.1%

    Kill by Kalyani Olive (set by Alyssa Krause)

    Set 5 · KENT 1-3 MERCYH · MERCYH 42% → 51%

  7. 07

    Kill by Julia Shepherd (set by Alyssa Krause)

    Set 5 · KENT 5-6 MERCYH · MERCYH 38% → 46%

  8. 08
    Kalyani OliveAttack error+8.4%

    Attack error by Kalyani Olive

    Set 5 · KENT 3-3 MERCYH · KENT 55% → 64%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
511836.083112170031.513.5
510222.3640224002113
511222.40900030010.511.5
52130.0333702400213
5008.000111510001
2114.00000040010.51.5
514538.23700090031.515.5
5007.0007411810004
5003.000100800000
45313.154000200638
1000–000000000
Team totals5422183.17547887420189108
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517539.30810110031.518.5
511428.2500127014315
58117.41210150031.59.5
51013.07728011000001
5106.1671011210001
1116.000000110001
512531.2260002110113
55417.059000300216
50210-.20011240010.51.5
5029-.222100510000
5005.0004021000000
45315.13310000010.55.5
4106.16717001100001
1000–202000000
Team totals6227202.17357212718214997

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 KENT · MERCYH 8

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 5 KENTMERCYH 3

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 KENTMERCYH 4

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 KENTMERCYH 5

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 5 KENTMERCYH 8

Set 5

15-9

Longest run 7 KENTMERCYH 2

Bars above the line = Mercyhurst leads, below = Kent St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Kent St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%7/16
64%9/14
2
70%7/10
56%9/16
3
40%6/15
36%4/11
4
43%6/14
60%9/15
5
55%6/11
60%9/15
6
56%5/9
55%6/11
All
49%37/75
56%46/82

Mercyhurst

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
57%8/14
2
54%7/13
22%2/9
3
58%7/12
42%5/12
4
32%6/19
54%7/13
5
63%5/8
67%12/18
6
31%4/13
44%4/9
All
44%36/82
51%38/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

205 rallies

#KENT-MERCYHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MERCYHMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+1.6
20-2MERCYHMERCYHAttack errAdalynn Ginley+1.8
31-2MERCYHKENT×4Serve errMercyhurst+1.3
42-2KENTKENT×4KillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+1.6
53-2KENTKENT×4Attack errMercedez Brown+1.5
64-2KENTKENT×4AceKent St.aced Madison Miner+1.4
74-3KENTMERCYHKillAnna Loganset Alyssa Krause+1.2
85-3MERCYHKENTServe errMercyhurst+1.2
96-3KENTKENTAttack errJulia Shepherd+1.3
106-4KENTMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+1.1
117-4MERCYHKENTKillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+1.1
127-5KENTMERCYHServe errKent St.+1.1
138-5MERCYHKENTServe errMercyhurst+1.1
148-6KENTMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Aliyah Angelici+1.1
159-6MERCYHKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Christina Vigil+1.1
169-7KENTMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Aliyah Angelici+1.1
1710-7MERCYHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+1.2
1810-8KENTMERCYHServe errKent St.+1.2
1911-8MERCYHKENTKillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+1.2
2011-9KENTMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Ava Carney+1.2
2112-9MERCYHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+1.2
2212-10KENTMERCYH×3KillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+1.2
2312-11MERCYHMERCYH×3KillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+1.8
2412-12MERCYHMERCYH×3KillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+2.1
2513-12MERCYHKENT×5KillLiliana Mechuraset Madison Miner+1.7
2614-12KENTKENT×5AceKent St.+2.0
2715-12KENTKENT×5BlockedJulia Shepherdblk Macie Moreland, Liliana Mechura+1.7
2816-12KENTKENT×5Attack errSydney Forcht+1.4
2917-12KENTKENT×5Attack errMadison Miner+1.1
3017-13KENTMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+0.7
3118-13MERCYHKENTServe errMercyhurst+0.9
3219-13KENTKENTKillChristina Vigilset Sydney Forcht+0.7
3319-14KENTMERCYHBlockedAdalynn Ginleyblk Mia Mattingly+0.4
3420-14MERCYHKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Christina Vigil+0.6
3521-14KENTKENTAttack errMia Mattingly+0.4
3621-15KENTMERCYHServe errKent St.+0.2
3722-15MERCYHKENT×4Serve errMercyhurst+0.3
3823-15KENTKENT×4Serve errKent St.+0.1
3924-15KENTKENT×4KillAdalynn Ginleyset Christina Vigil·
4025-15KENTKENT×4AceKent St.·
Set 2
10-1KENTMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+1.0
21-1MERCYHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+0.9
31-2KENTMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+1.0
42-2MERCYHKENTServe errMercyhurst+1.0
52-3KENTMERCYH×4KillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+1.1
62-4MERCYHMERCYH×4Attack errNadia Miller+1.4
72-5MERCYHMERCYH×4BlockedNadia Millerblk Mia Mattingly, Kalyani Olive+1.4
82-6MERCYHMERCYH×4KillKalyani Oliveset Anna Logan+1.5
93-6MERCYHKENTKillNadia Millerset Mia Mattingly+1.0
104-6KENTKENTKillChristina Vigilset Catie Patterson+1.3
114-7KENTMERCYH×3Serve errKent St.+1.3
124-8MERCYHMERCYH×3Bad setMercedez Brown+1.6
134-9MERCYHMERCYH×3Attack errMacie Moreland+1.5
145-9MERCYHKENTAttack errRoslyn Guerra+1.0
156-9KENTKENTKillMacie Morelandset Mercedez Brown+1.4
166-10KENTMERCYHAttack errMercedez Brown+1.4
17–187-11KENT · MERCYH
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
198-11KENTKENTKillMacie Moreland+1.4
208-12KENTMERCYHAttack errMercedez Brown+1.4
219-12MERCYHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+1.2
2210-12KENTKENTBlockedJulia Shepherdblk Vanessa Imoh, Adalynn Ginley+1.6
2310-13KENTMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+1.5
2411-13MERCYHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+1.3
2512-13KENTKENTAttack errKalyani Olive+1.7
2612-14KENTMERCYHServe errKent St.+1.6
2713-14MERCYHKENTKillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+1.4
2813-15KENTMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+1.7
2914-15MERCYHKENT×4BlockedPayton Melinblk Nadia Miller, Mercedez Brown+1.5
3015-15KENTKENT×4KillMacie Morelandset Lesley Furuta+1.9
3116-15KENTKENT×4Attack errKalyani Olive+1.8
3217-15KENTKENT×4Attack errMia Mattingly+1.7
3317-16KENTMERCYHAttack errNadia Miller+1.4
3418-16MERCYHKENT×3BlockedPayton Melinblk Nadia Miller, Macie Moreland+1.5
3519-16KENTKENT×3KillAdalynn Ginleyset Christina Vigil+1.5
3620-16KENTKENT×3KillAdalynn Ginley+1.1
3720-17KENTMERCYH×3KillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+0.7
3820-18MERCYHMERCYH×3BlockedChristina Vigilblk Roslyn Guerra+1.3
3920-19MERCYHMERCYH×3KillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+1.9
4021-19MERCYHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+1.8
4121-20KENTMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+1.7
4222-20MERCYHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+2.0
4322-21KENTMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Alyssa Krause+1.8
4423-21MERCYHKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Lesley Furuta+2.3
4523-22KENTMERCYHServe errKent St.+1.8
4624-22MERCYHKENTServe errMercyhurst+2.7
4724-23KENTMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+1.7
4825-23MERCYHKENTServe errMercyhurst+3.4
Set 3
10-1MERCYHMERCYH×3KillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+0.6
20-2MERCYHMERCYH×3KillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+0.7
30-3MERCYHMERCYH×3BlockedVanessa Imohblk Ava Carney, Trinity Tatupu+0.7
41-3MERCYHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+0.5
52-3KENTKENTBlockedJulia Shepherdblk Nadia Miller, Mercedez Brown+0.6
62-4KENTMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+0.6
73-4MERCYHKENTKillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+0.5
83-5KENTMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+0.6
94-5MERCYHKENTKillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+0.5
105-5KENTKENTKillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+0.7
115-6KENTMERCYHAttack errMacie Moreland+0.6
126-6MERCYHKENTServe errMercyhurst+0.5
136-7KENTMERCYH×4Attack errMacie Moreland+0.6
146-8MERCYHMERCYH×4AceMercyhurstaced Lesley Furuta+0.8
156-9MERCYHMERCYH×4KillPayton Melinset Mya Comer+0.8
166-10MERCYHMERCYH×4KillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+0.8
177-10MERCYHKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Christina Vigil+0.6
187-11KENTMERCYH×5KillAva Carneyset Mya Comer+0.7
197-12MERCYHMERCYH×5BlockedMercedez Brownblk Julia Shepherd, Ava Carney+0.8
207-13MERCYHMERCYH×5KillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+0.8
217-14MERCYHMERCYH×5Attack errMacie Moreland+0.6
227-15MERCYHMERCYH×5Attack errMacie Moreland+0.5
238-15MERCYHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+0.3
248-16KENTMERCYH×3KillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+0.4
258-17MERCYHMERCYH×3KillJulia Shepherdset Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+0.4
268-18MERCYHMERCYH×3KillJulia Shepherd+0.2
279-18MERCYHKENT×4KillMercedez Brownset Lesley Furuta+0.1
2810-18KENTKENT×4Bad setKalyani Olive+0.2
2911-18KENTKENT×4KillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+0.3
3012-18KENTKENT×4AceKent St.aced Sydney Forcht+0.4
3112-19KENTMERCYHKillKalyani Oliveset Julia Shepherd+0.5
3213-19MERCYHKENTServe errMercyhurst+0.3
3314-19KENTKENTKillMercedez Brownset Hailey Brenner+0.5
3414-20KENTMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+0.6
3515-20MERCYHKENTKillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+0.3
3615-21KENTMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Mya Comer+0.5
3716-21MERCYHKENT×3Attack errRoslyn Guerra+0.3
3817-21KENTKENT×3AceKent St.aced Roslyn Guerra+0.5
3918-21KENTKENT×3AceKent St.+0.7
4018-22KENTMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Mya Comer+1.0
4118-23MERCYHMERCYHKillPayton Melinset Mya Comer+0.8
4219-23MERCYHKENTServe errMercyhurst+0.3
4319-24KENTMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+0.5
4420-24MERCYHKENT×4Attack errJulia Shepherd+0.1
4521-24KENTKENT×4KillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+0.3
4622-24KENTKENT×4KillVanessa Imohset Lesley Furuta+0.7
4723-24KENTKENT×4Attack errRoslyn Guerra+1.4
4823-25KENTMERCYHKillAlyssa Krauseset Vanessa Imoh+2.8
Set 4
11-0KENTKENTAceKent St.+1.8
21-1KENTMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+1.5
31-2MERCYHMERCYHKillJulia Shepherd+2.1
42-2MERCYHKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Christina Vigil+1.6
52-3KENTMERCYHServe errKent St.+1.8
63-3MERCYHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+1.6
73-4KENTMERCYH×4KillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+1.8
83-5MERCYHMERCYH×4KillMya Comerset Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+2.4
93-6MERCYHMERCYH×4BlockedMercedez Brownblk Mia Mattingly, Payton Melin+2.5
103-7MERCYHMERCYH×4KillMia Mattinglyset Mya Comer+2.5
114-7MERCYHKENT×5KillAdalynn Ginleyset Mercedez Brown+1.8
125-7KENTKENT×5Attack errMia Mattingly+2.3
136-7KENTKENT×5Attack errTrinity Tatupu+2.3
147-7KENTKENT×5Attack errTrinity Tatupu+2.3
158-7KENTKENT×5Serve errKent St.+2.2
168-8KENTMERCYH×8KillPayton Melinset Mya Comer+1.9
178-9MERCYHMERCYH×8AceMercyhurstaced Hailey Brenner+2.6
188-10MERCYHMERCYH×8Bad setNadia Miller+2.8
198-11MERCYHMERCYH×8Attack errMercedez Brown+2.9
208-12MERCYHMERCYH×8KillPayton Melinset Mya Comer+2.9
218-13MERCYHMERCYH×8BlockedMercedez Brownblk Payton Melin, Mia Mattingly+2.7
228-14MERCYHMERCYH×8KillRoslyn Guerraset Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+2.5
238-15MERCYHMERCYH×8Attack errLiliana Mechura+2.1
249-15MERCYHKENTKillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+1.2
259-16KENTMERCYHKillPayton Melinset Mya Comer+1.7
2610-16MERCYHKENT×4KillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+1.1
2711-16KENTKENT×4BlockedAva Carneyblk Nadia Miller, Christina Vigil+1.7
2812-16KENTKENT×4Bad setPayton Melin+2.2
2913-16KENTKENT×4KillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+2.6
3013-17KENTMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Sydney Forcht+2.8
3114-17MERCYHKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Lesley Furuta+2.1
3215-17KENTKENT×3Attack errSydney Forcht+3.0
3316-17KENTKENT×3Attack errChristina Vigil+3.4
3416-18KENTMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Alyssa Krause+3.4
3517-18MERCYHKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+2.9
3618-18KENTKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+3.8
3719-18KENTKENT×3KillAdalynn Ginleyset Christina Vigil+3.8
3819-19KENTMERCYH×3KillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+3.3
3919-20MERCYHMERCYH×3Attack errKalyani Olive+4.7
4019-21MERCYHMERCYH×3KillMia Mattinglyset Kalyani Olive+5.1
4120-21MERCYHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+3.5
4220-22KENTMERCYH×4KillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+4.8
4320-23MERCYHMERCYH×4Attack errMercedez Brown+5.2
4420-24MERCYHMERCYH×4KillKalyani Oliveset Mya Comer+3.4
4520-25MERCYHMERCYH×4KillKalyani Oliveset Mya Comer+0.6
Set 5
10-1MERCYHMERCYHBlockedVanessa Imohblk Ava Carney, Julia Shepherd+8.1
21-1MERCYHKENTKillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+6.3
31-2KENTMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+7.0
41-3MERCYHMERCYHKillKalyani Oliveset Alyssa Krause+9.1
52-3MERCYHKENT×3KillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+6.7
63-3KENTKENT×3Attack errKalyani Olive+8.4
74-3KENTKENT×3BlockedJulia Shepherdblk Nadia Miller, Mercedez Brown+8.1
84-4KENTMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+7.1
94-5MERCYHMERCYHBlockedMercedez Brownblk Julia Shepherd, Mia Mattingly+9.7
105-5MERCYHKENTKillMercedez Brownset Lesley Furuta+7.5
115-6KENTMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+8.6
125-7MERCYHMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Mya Comer+11.1
136-7MERCYHKENT×7BlockedPayton Melinblk Macie Moreland, Nadia Miller+8.0
147-7KENTKENT×7Attack errPayton Melin+10.4
158-7KENTKENT×7KillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+10.3
169-7KENTKENT×7KillMacie Morelandset Lesley Furuta+9.4
1710-7KENTKENT×7AceKent St.aced Anna Logan+7.7
1811-7KENTKENT×7KillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+5.6
1912-7KENTKENT×7Attack errMia Mattingly+3.5
2012-8KENTMERCYHServe errKent St.+1.6
2112-9MERCYHMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+3.6
2213-9MERCYHKENT×3BlockedRoslyn Guerrablk Adalynn Ginley, Christina Vigil+4.5
2314-9KENTKENT×3KillVanessa Imohset Sydney Forcht+2.5
2415-9KENTKENT×3Attack errRoslyn Guerra+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Kent St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).