Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026 · Neutral site

UNC Asheville def. Mercyhurst 3–1

UNC Asheville beat Mercyhurst 3-1 (25-19, 22-25, 25-23, 25-18) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026 at a neutral site. UNC Asheville's Sarah Wadsworth led with 21 kills.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set1234Sets
MERCYH192523181
UNC A252225253

Win probability

UNC Asheville above 50 · Mercyhurst below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+8.3% UNC Arally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.3% to UNC Asheville — set 3, MERCYH 23-24 UNC A. Attack error by Madison Miner. UNC A win probability 80% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERCYH 7.2%92.8% UNC A

Mercyhurst wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.1%
3-2
4.2%

UNC Asheville wins

3-0
49.9%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
12.0%
MERCYH break %
37.8% vs this opp
UNC A break %
49.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Madison MinerAttack error+8.3%

    Attack error by Madison Miner

    Set 3 · MERCYH 23-24 UNC A · UNC A 80% → 88%

  2. 02
    Madison MinerKill+7.8%

    Kill by Madison Miner (set by Anna Logan)

    Set 3 · MERCYH 23-22 UNC A · MERCYH 18% → 25%

  3. 03

    Kill by Albertine van der Goot

    Set 3 · MERCYH 23-25 UNC A · UNC A 88% → 95%

  4. 04

    Kill by Addie Brookbank (set by Olivia Callipo)

    Set 3 · MERCYH 23-23 UNC A · UNC A 75% → 80%

  5. 05
    Olivia CallipoAttack error+4.8%

    Attack error by Olivia Callipo

    Set 3 · MERCYH 21-21 UNC A · MERCYH 13% → 17%

  6. 06
    Julia ShepherdAttack error+4.3%

    Attack error by Julia Shepherd

    Set 3 · MERCYH 22-22 UNC A · MERCYH 13% → 18%

  7. 07

    Kill by Albertine van der Goot (set by Catherine Hubiak)

    Set 3 · MERCYH 19-20 UNC A · UNC A 82% → 86%

  8. 08

    Kill by Sarah Wadsworth (set by Olivia Callipo)

    Set 3 · MERCYH 21-22 UNC A · UNC A 83% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413838.1320002100013
410427.2220003000010
46428.0710201330008
45113.30800210132.57.5
44210.20011010111.56.5
4001.0001404600000
4119.000100100423
4002.000312300001
4001.000113510001
4000–3001000000
3102.500921500003
1000–011000001
1000–600200000
1000–001000000
1000–000010000
Team totals4020131.15338814521128685
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421344.4090358200024
410222.36400040233.513.5
46727-.037033100010.59.5
46112.417000200006
4119.000012401435
4136-.3332231600004
46110.500100100006
4000–2011400001
3011-1.0002011000000
3000–401920000
1000–000200000
Team totals5119131.24449111460838797

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MERCYH · UNC A 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 MERCYHUNC A 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 MERCYHUNC A 4

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 MERCYHUNC A 4

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 3 MERCYHUNC A 6

Bars above the line = UNC Asheville leads, below = Mercyhurst leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mercyhurst

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%11/25
18%2/11
2
71%10/14
45%9/20
3
57%8/14
25%3/12
4
53%8/15
38%5/13
5
57%8/14
56%10/18
6
50%7/14
33%4/12
All
54%52/96
38%33/86

UNC Asheville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
61%14/23
2
67%10/15
41%7/17
3
67%8/12
31%4/13
4
53%8/15
27%3/11
5
50%8/16
58%11/19
6
73%8/11
38%5/13
All
62%53/86
46%44/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#MERCYH-UNC ASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UNC AUNC A×3BlockedRoslyn Guerrablk Albertine van der Goot+0.7
20-2UNC AUNC A×3BlockedAva Carneyblk Lydia Pate+0.7
30-3UNC AUNC A×3AceUNC Asheville+0.6
41-3UNC AMERCYHAttack errAlbertine van der Goot+0.4
52-3MERCYHMERCYHBlockedAlbertine van der Gootblk Ava Carney+0.7
62-4MERCYHUNC AServe errMercyhurst+0.5
72-5UNC AUNC AAceUNC Asheville+0.6
83-5UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC Asheville+0.5
93-6MERCYHUNC AServe errMercyhurst+0.5
103-7UNC AUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+0.5
114-7UNC AMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+0.4
125-7MERCYHMERCYHAttack errOlivia Callipo+0.6
135-8MERCYHUNC AServe errMercyhurst+0.5
146-8UNC AMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Aliyah Angelici+0.5
157-8MERCYHMERCYHAttack errAddie Brookbank+0.8
167-9MERCYHUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+0.6
178-9UNC AMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Aliyah Angelici+0.7
189-9MERCYHMERCYHBlockedSarah Wadsworthblk Mia Mattingly, Payton Melin+1.1
199-10MERCYHUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Lily Bannister+0.8
209-11UNC AUNC A×3Attack errRoslyn Guerra+0.9
219-12UNC AUNC A×3Attack errMia Mattingly+0.8
2210-12UNC AMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Aliyah Angelici+0.6
2310-13MERCYHUNC A×4Serve errMercyhurst+0.6
2410-14UNC AUNC A×4KillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+0.6
2510-15UNC AUNC A×4AceUNC Asheville+0.5
2610-16UNC AUNC A×4Attack errAva Carney+0.3
2711-16UNC AMERCYH×3KillRoslyn Guerraset Aliyah Angelici+0.2
2812-16MERCYHMERCYH×3KillRoslyn Guerraset Ava Carney+0.4
2913-16MERCYHMERCYH×3KillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+0.6
3013-17MERCYHUNC AServe errMercyhurst+0.5
3114-17UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC Asheville+0.5
3214-18MERCYHUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Philpot+0.5
3315-18UNC AMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Sydney Forcht+0.5
3415-19MERCYHUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+0.5
3516-19UNC AMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+0.5
3616-20MERCYHUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+0.6
3717-20UNC AMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Aliyah Angelici+0.4
3817-21MERCYHUNC AAttack errRoslyn Guerra+0.6
3918-21UNC AMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Aliyah Angelici+0.4
4018-22MERCYHUNC AServe errMercyhurst+0.6
4118-23UNC AUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Aliyah Angelici+0.4
4219-23UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC Asheville+0.1
4319-24MERCYHUNC AKillLydia Pateset Olivia Callipo+0.2
4419-25UNC AUNC AAttack errJulia Shepherd+0.1
Set 2
11-0MERCYHMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+0.6
21-1MERCYHUNC AServe errMercyhurst+0.4
32-1UNC AMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+0.5
42-2MERCYHUNC AServe errMercyhurst+0.4
52-3UNC AUNC AAceUNC Ashevilleaced Madison Miner+0.5
63-3UNC AMERCYHBad setOlivia Callipo+0.5
74-3MERCYHMERCYHBlockedAddie Brookbankblk Mia Mattingly+0.7
84-4MERCYHUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+0.5
94-5UNC AUNC AKillOlivia Calliposet Olivia Philpot+0.6
105-5UNC AMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Anna Logan+0.5
115-6MERCYHUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+0.4
126-6UNC AMERCYH×3KillMadison Minerset Mya Comer+0.5
137-6MERCYHMERCYH×3AceMercyhurstaced Olivia Philpot+0.8
148-6MERCYHMERCYH×3AceMercyhurst+0.9
158-7MERCYHUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+0.6
169-7UNC AMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Mya Comer+0.7
179-8MERCYHUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+0.6
1810-8UNC AMERCYHAttack errAddie Brookbank+0.7
1910-9MERCYHUNC AAttack errRoslyn Guerra+0.6
2011-9UNC AMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Alyssa Krause+0.8
2111-10MERCYHUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+0.7
2212-10UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC Asheville+0.8
2312-11MERCYHUNC ABlockedMadison Minerblk Albertine van der Goot+0.7
2413-11UNC AMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+0.9
2514-11MERCYHMERCYHAttack errLily Bannister+1.2
2614-12MERCYHUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+0.7
2714-13UNC AUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Philpot+1.0
2815-13UNC AMERCYH×4Serve errUNC Asheville+1.0
2916-13MERCYHMERCYH×4Attack errSarah Wadsworth+1.3
3017-13MERCYHMERCYH×4KillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+1.3
3118-13MERCYHMERCYH×4KillRoslyn Guerraset Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+1.2
3218-14MERCYHUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Olivia Callipo+0.6
3319-14UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC Asheville+0.9
3419-15MERCYHUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+0.6
3519-16UNC AUNC A×3BlockedRoslyn Guerrablk Lydia Pate, Albertine van der Goot+1.0
3619-17UNC AUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.2
3720-17UNC AMERCYHBad setOlivia Callipo+1.3
3820-18MERCYHUNC A×4KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Philpot+0.9
3920-19UNC AUNC A×4KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.4
4020-20UNC AUNC A×4AceUNC Asheville+1.6
4120-21UNC AUNC A×4AceUNC Ashevilleaced Sydney Forcht+1.5
4221-21UNC AMERCYH×4KillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+1.2
4322-21MERCYHMERCYH×4Attack errAddie Brookbank+2.1
4423-21MERCYHMERCYH×4KillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+2.5
4524-21MERCYHMERCYH×4AceMercyhurstaced Olivia Philpot+2.1
4624-22MERCYHUNC AServe errMercyhurst+0.6
4725-22UNC AMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+1.7
Set 3
11-0UNC AMERCYHBad setAddie Brookbank+1.5
22-0MERCYHMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+2.1
32-1MERCYHUNC AServe errMercyhurst+1.4
42-2UNC AUNC AAttack errRoslyn Guerra+1.8
53-2UNC AMERCYHAttack errLydia Pate+1.6
63-3MERCYHUNC ABlockedJulia Shepherdblk Addie Brookbank, Lydia Pate+1.4
74-3UNC AMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Alyssa Krause+1.6
84-4MERCYHUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+1.4
95-4UNC AMERCYH×4Attack errAddie Brookbank+1.7
106-4MERCYHMERCYH×4BlockedAddie Brookbankblk Payton Melin, Mia Mattingly+2.4
117-4MERCYHMERCYH×4AceMercyhurst+2.7
128-4MERCYHMERCYH×4AceMercyhurst+2.9
138-5MERCYHUNC A×4Serve errMercyhurst+1.8
148-6UNC AUNC A×4Bad setMadison Miner+2.4
158-7UNC AUNC A×4KillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+2.4
168-8UNC AUNC A×4Attack errPayton Melin+2.3
179-8UNC AMERCYHBlockedOlivia Callipoblk Mia Mattingly, Payton Melin+2.0
1810-8MERCYHMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+2.9
1910-9MERCYHUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+1.9
2011-9UNC AMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+2.4
2112-9MERCYHMERCYHAceMercyhurstaced Sarah Wadsworth+3.3
2212-10MERCYHUNC AServe errMercyhurst+2.1
2312-11UNC AUNC AAceUNC Ashevilleaced Roslyn Guerra+2.8
2413-11UNC AMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+2.6
2513-12MERCYHUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+2.2
2614-12UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC Asheville+2.7
2714-13MERCYHUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+2.3
2815-13UNC AMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+2.9
2916-13MERCYHMERCYHAceMercyhurst+4.0
3016-14MERCYHUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Olivia Callipo+2.4
3117-14UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC Asheville+3.3
3217-15MERCYHUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+2.5
3317-16UNC AUNC AAttack errMadison Miner+3.6
3418-16UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC Asheville+3.5
3518-17MERCYHUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+2.8
3618-18UNC AUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Catherine Hubiak+3.9
3719-18UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC Asheville+3.6
3819-19MERCYHUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+3.2
3919-20UNC AUNC A×3KillAlbertine van der Gootset Catherine Hubiak+4.1
4019-21UNC AUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+3.5
4120-21UNC AMERCYHBlockedSarah Wadsworthblk Ava Carney, Payton Melin+2.5
4221-21MERCYHMERCYHAttack errOlivia Callipo+4.8
4321-22MERCYHUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+4.0
4422-22UNC AMERCYHAttack errJulia Shepherd+4.3
4523-22MERCYHMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Anna Logan+7.8
4623-23MERCYHUNC A×3KillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+5.5
4723-24UNC AUNC A×3Attack errMadison Miner+8.3
4823-25UNC AUNC A×3KillAlbertine van der Goot+6.4
Set 4
10-1MERCYHUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+0.8
21-1UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC Asheville+0.9
31-2MERCYHUNC ABlockedMadison Minerblk Lydia Pate, Albertine van der Goot+0.9
42-2UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC Asheville+1.0
52-3MERCYHUNC A×3KillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+0.9
62-4UNC AUNC A×3Attack errJulia Shepherd+1.0
72-5UNC AUNC A×3AceUNC Ashevilleaced Madison Miner+0.9
83-5UNC AMERCYH×3KillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+0.7
94-5MERCYHMERCYH×3KillMadison Minerset Payton Melin+1.1
105-5MERCYHMERCYH×3Attack errCadence Nichols+1.4
115-6MERCYHUNC A×6KillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+1.0
125-7UNC AUNC A×6KillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+1.2
135-8UNC AUNC A×6AceUNC Ashevilleaced Madison Miner+1.0
145-9UNC AUNC A×6KillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+0.8
155-10UNC AUNC A×6KillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+0.6
165-11UNC AUNC A×6AceUNC Ashevilleaced Kalyani Olive+0.5
176-11UNC AMERCYHKillMya Comerset Anna Logan+0.3
187-11MERCYHMERCYHKillPayton Melin+0.6
197-12MERCYHUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+0.5
208-12UNC AMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+0.5
219-12MERCYHMERCYHBad setElise Jensen+0.8
229-13MERCYHUNC AAttack errRoslyn Guerra+0.7
2310-13UNC AMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Mya Comer+0.7
2410-14MERCYHUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+0.7
2510-15UNC AUNC ABlockedJulia Shepherdblk Albertine van der Goot, Lydia Pate+0.7
2611-15UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC Asheville+0.5
2712-15MERCYHMERCYHAttack errAddie Brookbank+0.9
2812-16MERCYHUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+0.7
2913-16UNC AMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Alyssa Krause+0.7
3014-16MERCYHMERCYHAceMercyhurstaced Sarah Wadsworth+1.3
3114-17MERCYHUNC AServe errMercyhurst+1.1
3215-17UNC AMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+1.0
3315-18MERCYHUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+1.1
3415-19UNC AUNC AAceUNC Asheville+1.1
3516-19UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC Asheville+0.7
3616-20MERCYHUNC A×3KillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+0.8
3716-21UNC AUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+0.7
3816-22UNC AUNC A×3KillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+0.3
3917-22UNC AMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+0.1
4018-22MERCYHMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+0.3
4118-23MERCYHUNC A×3Serve errMercyhurst+0.4
4218-24UNC AUNC A×3Attack errRoslyn Guerra+0.2
4318-25UNC AUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo·

Score shown after each rally, Mercyhurst first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).