CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026
1:3
UNC Asheville logo

HomeBIG-SOUTH

UNC Asheville def. Mercyhurst 31

(25-19, 22-25, 25-23, 25-18)
Set1234Sets
MERCYH192523181
UNC A252225253

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UNC A above 50 · MERCYH below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100UNC AMERCYHBiggest swing +7.7% UNC A · S3 23-24rally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.7% to UNC Asheville — set 3, MERCYH 23-24 UNC A. Attack error by Madison Miner. UNC A win probability 82%90%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MERCYH 5.8%94.2% UNC A

Mercyhurst wins

3-0
0.7%
3-1
1.6%
3-2
3.5%

UNC Asheville wins

3-0
53.3%
3-1
30.3%
3-2
10.7%
MERCYH break %
37.9% vs this opp
UNC A break %
50.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Madison MinerAttack error+7.7%

    Attack error by Madison Miner

    Set 3 · MERCYH 23-24 UNC A · UNC A 82%90%

  2. 02
    Madison MinerKill+7.4%

    Kill by Madison Miner (set by Anna Logan)

    Set 3 · MERCYH 23-22 UNC A · MERCYH 16%23%

  3. 03

    Kill by Albertine van der Goot

    Set 3 · MERCYH 23-25 UNC A · UNC A 90%95%

  4. 04

    Kill by Addie Brookbank (set by Olivia Callipo)

    Set 3 · MERCYH 23-23 UNC A · UNC A 77%82%

  5. 05
    Olivia CallipoAttack error+4.5%

    Attack error by Olivia Callipo

    Set 3 · MERCYH 21-21 UNC A · MERCYH 11%16%

  6. 06
    Julia ShepherdAttack error+4.1%

    Attack error by Julia Shepherd

    Set 3 · MERCYH 22-22 UNC A · MERCYH 12%16%

  7. 07

    Kill by Albertine van der Goot (set by Catherine Hubiak)

    Set 3 · MERCYH 19-20 UNC A · UNC A 84%88%

  8. 08

    Kill by Sarah Wadsworth (set by Olivia Callipo)

    Set 3 · MERCYH 21-22 UNC A · UNC A 84%88%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413838.1320002100013
410427.2220003000010
46428.0710201330008
45113.30800210132.57.5
44210.20011010111.56.5
4001.0001404600000
4119.000100100423
4002.000312300001
4001.000113510001
40003001000000
3102.500921500003
1000011000001
1000600200000
1000001000000
1000000010000
Team totals4020131.15338814521128685
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421344.4090358200024
410222.36400040233.513.5
46727-.037033100010.59.5
46112.417000200006
4119.000012401435
4136-.3332231600004
46110.500100100006
40002011400001
3011-1.0002011000000
3000401920000
1000000200000
Team totals5119131.24449111460838797

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 MERCYH · UNC A 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 MERCYHUNC A 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 MERCYHUNC A 4

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 MERCYHUNC A 4

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 3 MERCYHUNC A 6

Bars above the line = UNC Asheville leads, below = Mercyhurst leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Mercyhurst

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%11/25
18%2/11
2
71%10/14
45%9/20
3
57%8/14
25%3/12
4
53%8/15
38%5/13
5
57%8/14
56%10/18
6
50%7/14
33%4/12
All
54%52/96
38%33/86

UNC Asheville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
61%14/23
2
67%10/15
41%7/17
3
67%8/12
31%4/13
4
53%8/15
27%3/11
5
50%8/16
58%11/19
6
73%8/11
38%5/13
All
62%53/86
46%44/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

182 rallies

Rally log

#MERCYH-UNC ASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UNC AUNC A×3Attack errRoslyn Guerrablk Albertine van der Goot+0.6
20-2UNC AUNC A×3Attack errAva Carneyblk Lydia Pate+0.5
30-3UNC AUNC A×3AceUNC A serveraced Team+0.5
41-3UNC AMERCYHAttack errAlbertine van der Goot+0.4
52-3MERCYHMERCYHAttack errAlbertine van der Gootblk Ava Carney+0.6
62-4MERCYHUNC AServe errMERCYH server+0.4
72-5UNC AUNC AAceUNC A serveraced Team+0.5
83-5UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC A server+0.4
93-6MERCYHUNC AServe errMERCYH server+0.4
103-7UNC AUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+0.4
114-7UNC AMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+0.3
125-7MERCYHMERCYHAttack errOlivia Callipo+0.5
135-8MERCYHUNC AServe errMERCYH server+0.4
146-8UNC AMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Aliyah Angelici+0.4
157-8MERCYHMERCYHAttack errAddie Brookbank+0.7
167-9MERCYHUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+0.5
178-9UNC AMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Aliyah Angelici+0.6
189-9MERCYHMERCYHAttack errSarah Wadsworthblk Mia Mattingly, Payton Melin+0.9
199-10MERCYHUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Lily Bannister+0.7
209-11UNC AUNC A×3Attack errRoslyn Guerra+0.8
219-12UNC AUNC A×3Attack errMia Mattingly+0.6
2210-12UNC AMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Aliyah Angelici+0.5
2310-13MERCYHUNC A×4Serve errMERCYH server+0.5
2410-14UNC AUNC A×4KillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+0.5
2510-15UNC AUNC A×4AceUNC A serveraced Team+0.4
2610-16UNC AUNC A×4Attack errAva Carney+0.3
2711-16UNC AMERCYH×3KillRoslyn Guerraset Aliyah Angelici+0.2
2812-16MERCYHMERCYH×3KillRoslyn Guerraset Ava Carney+0.3
2913-16MERCYHMERCYH×3KillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+0.5
3013-17MERCYHUNC AServe errMERCYH server+0.4
3114-17UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC A server+0.4
3214-18MERCYHUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Philpot+0.5
3315-18UNC AMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Sydney Forcht+0.4
3415-19MERCYHUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+0.5
3516-19UNC AMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+0.4
3616-20MERCYHUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+0.5
3717-20UNC AMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Aliyah Angelici+0.4
3817-21MERCYHUNC AAttack errRoslyn Guerra+0.5
3918-21UNC AMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Aliyah Angelici+0.4
4018-22MERCYHUNC AServe errMERCYH server+0.5
4118-23UNC AUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Aliyah Angelici+0.3
4219-23UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC A server+0.1
4319-24MERCYHUNC AKillLydia Pateset Olivia Callipo+0.2
4419-25UNC AUNC AAttack errJulia Shepherd+0.1
Set 2
11-0MERCYHMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+0.5
21-1MERCYHUNC AServe errMERCYH server+0.4
32-1UNC AMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+0.4
42-2MERCYHUNC AServe errMERCYH server+0.4
52-3UNC AUNC AAceUNC A serveraced Madison Miner+0.4
63-3UNC AMERCYHBad setOlivia Callipo+0.4
74-3MERCYHMERCYHAttack errAddie Brookbankblk Mia Mattingly+0.6
84-4MERCYHUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+0.4
94-5UNC AUNC AKillOlivia Calliposet Olivia Philpot+0.5
105-5UNC AMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Anna Logan+0.4
115-6MERCYHUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+0.4
126-6UNC AMERCYH×3KillMadison Minerset Mya Comer+0.4
137-6MERCYHMERCYH×3AceMERCYH serveraced Olivia Philpot+0.6
148-6MERCYHMERCYH×3AceMERCYH serveraced Team+0.7
158-7MERCYHUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+0.5
169-7UNC AMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Mya Comer+0.6
179-8MERCYHUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+0.5
1810-8UNC AMERCYHAttack errAddie Brookbank+0.6
1910-9MERCYHUNC AAttack errRoslyn Guerra+0.5
2011-9UNC AMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Alyssa Krause+0.7
2111-10MERCYHUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+0.6
2212-10UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC A server+0.7
2312-11MERCYHUNC AAttack errMadison Minerblk Albertine van der Goot+0.6
2413-11UNC AMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+0.7
2514-11MERCYHMERCYHAttack errLily Bannister+1.0
2614-12MERCYHUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+0.6
2714-13UNC AUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Philpot+0.9
2815-13UNC AMERCYH×4Serve errUNC A server+0.8
2916-13MERCYHMERCYH×4Attack errSarah Wadsworth+1.1
3017-13MERCYHMERCYH×4KillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+1.1
3118-13MERCYHMERCYH×4KillRoslyn Guerraset Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+1.1
3218-14MERCYHUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Olivia Callipo+0.5
3319-14UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC A server+0.9
3419-15MERCYHUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+0.5
3519-16UNC AUNC A×3Attack errRoslyn Guerrablk Lydia Pate, Albertine van der Goot+0.9
3619-17UNC AUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.0
3720-17UNC AMERCYHBad setOlivia Callipo+1.1
3820-18MERCYHUNC A×4KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Philpot+0.8
3920-19UNC AUNC A×4KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.2
4020-20UNC AUNC A×4AceUNC A serveraced Team+1.3
4120-21UNC AUNC A×4AceUNC A serveraced Sydney Forcht+1.3
4221-21UNC AMERCYH×4KillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+1.1
4322-21MERCYHMERCYH×4Attack errAddie Brookbank+1.8
4423-21MERCYHMERCYH×4KillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+2.2
4524-21MERCYHMERCYH×4AceMERCYH serveraced Olivia Philpot+1.9
4624-22MERCYHUNC AServe errMERCYH server+0.6
4725-22UNC AMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+1.5
Set 3
11-0UNC AMERCYHBad setAddie Brookbank+1.3
22-0MERCYHMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+1.9
32-1MERCYHUNC AServe errMERCYH server+1.3
42-2UNC AUNC AAttack errRoslyn Guerra+1.6
53-2UNC AMERCYHAttack errLydia Pate+1.4
63-3MERCYHUNC AAttack errJulia Shepherdblk Addie Brookbank, Lydia Pate+1.3
74-3UNC AMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Alyssa Krause+1.5
84-4MERCYHUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+1.3
95-4UNC AMERCYH×4Attack errAddie Brookbank+1.6
106-4MERCYHMERCYH×4Attack errAddie Brookbankblk Payton Melin, Mia Mattingly+2.2
117-4MERCYHMERCYH×4AceMERCYH serveraced Team+2.5
128-4MERCYHMERCYH×4AceMERCYH serveraced Team+2.7
138-5MERCYHUNC A×4Serve errMERCYH server+1.7
148-6UNC AUNC A×4Bad setMadison Miner+2.3
158-7UNC AUNC A×4KillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+2.2
168-8UNC AUNC A×4Attack errPayton Melin+2.0
179-8UNC AMERCYHAttack errOlivia Callipoblk Mia Mattingly, Payton Melin+1.8
1810-8MERCYHMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+2.6
1910-9MERCYHUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+1.8
2011-9UNC AMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+2.2
2112-9MERCYHMERCYHAceMERCYH serveraced Sarah Wadsworth+3.1
2212-10MERCYHUNC AServe errMERCYH server+2.0
2312-11UNC AUNC AAceUNC A serveraced Roslyn Guerra+2.6
2413-11UNC AMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+2.5
2513-12MERCYHUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+2.1
2614-12UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC A server+2.6
2714-13MERCYHUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+2.2
2815-13UNC AMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+2.8
2916-13MERCYHMERCYHAceMERCYH serveraced Team+3.7
3016-14MERCYHUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Olivia Callipo+2.3
3117-14UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC A server+3.2
3217-15MERCYHUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+2.4
3317-16UNC AUNC AAttack errMadison Miner+3.4
3418-16UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC A server+3.4
3518-17MERCYHUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+2.7
3618-18UNC AUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Catherine Hubiak+3.6
3719-18UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC A server+3.4
3819-19MERCYHUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+3.0
3919-20UNC AUNC A×3KillAlbertine van der Gootset Catherine Hubiak+3.8
4019-21UNC AUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+3.2
4120-21UNC AMERCYHAttack errSarah Wadsworthblk Ava Carney, Payton Melin+2.3
4221-21MERCYHMERCYHAttack errOlivia Callipo+4.5
4321-22MERCYHUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+3.7
4422-22UNC AMERCYHAttack errJulia Shepherd+4.1
4523-22MERCYHMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Anna Logan+7.4
4623-23MERCYHUNC A×3KillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+5.3
4723-24UNC AUNC A×3Attack errMadison Miner+7.7
4823-25UNC AUNC A×3KillAlbertine van der Goot+5.8
Set 4
10-1MERCYHUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+0.7
21-1UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC A server+0.8
31-2MERCYHUNC AAttack errMadison Minerblk Lydia Pate, Albertine van der Goot+0.8
42-2UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC A server+0.9
52-3MERCYHUNC A×3KillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+0.8
62-4UNC AUNC A×3Attack errJulia Shepherd+0.9
72-5UNC AUNC A×3AceUNC A serveraced Madison Miner+0.8
83-5UNC AMERCYH×3KillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+0.6
94-5MERCYHMERCYH×3KillMadison Minerset Payton Melin+1.0
105-5MERCYHMERCYH×3Attack errCadence Nichols+1.2
115-6MERCYHUNC A×6KillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+0.9
125-7UNC AUNC A×6KillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+1.0
135-8UNC AUNC A×6AceUNC A serveraced Madison Miner+0.9
145-9UNC AUNC A×6KillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+0.7
155-10UNC AUNC A×6KillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+0.5
165-11UNC AUNC A×6AceUNC A serveraced Kalyani Olive+0.4
176-11UNC AMERCYHKillMya Comerset Anna Logan+0.3
187-11MERCYHMERCYHKillPayton Melin+0.5
197-12MERCYHUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+0.4
208-12UNC AMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+0.4
219-12MERCYHMERCYHBad setElise Jensen+0.7
229-13MERCYHUNC AAttack errRoslyn Guerra+0.6
2310-13UNC AMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Mya Comer+0.6
2410-14MERCYHUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+0.6
2510-15UNC AUNC AAttack errJulia Shepherdblk Albertine van der Goot, Lydia Pate+0.6
2611-15UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC A server+0.4
2712-15MERCYHMERCYHAttack errAddie Brookbank+0.8
2812-16MERCYHUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+0.7
2913-16UNC AMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Alyssa Krause+0.6
3014-16MERCYHMERCYHAceMERCYH serveraced Sarah Wadsworth+1.1
3114-17MERCYHUNC AServe errMERCYH server+1.0
3215-17UNC AMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+0.9
3315-18MERCYHUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+1.0
3415-19UNC AUNC AAceUNC A serveraced Team+1.0
3516-19UNC AMERCYHServe errUNC A server+0.6
3616-20MERCYHUNC A×3KillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+0.8
3716-21UNC AUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+0.6
3816-22UNC AUNC A×3KillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+0.3
3917-22UNC AMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+0.1
4018-22MERCYHMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Mya Comer+0.3
4118-23MERCYHUNC A×3Serve errMERCYH server+0.4
4218-24UNC AUNC A×3Attack errRoslyn Guerra+0.2
4318-25UNC AUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Mercyhurst first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.