Ohio def. Mercyhurst 3–1
Ohio beat visiting Mercyhurst 3-1 (25-22, 25-16, 16-25, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Ohio's Torre Kildow led with 14 kills.
Data through · final Sep 19
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MERCYH | 22 | 16 | 25 | 20 | 1 |
| OHIO | 25 | 25 | 16 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 2.0% to Mercyhurst — set 4, MERCYH 14-11 OHIO. Attack error by Emily Waddell. OHIO win probability 93% → 91%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Mercyhurst wins
Ohio wins
- MERCYH break %
- 34.8% vs this opp
- OHIO break %
- 49.7% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Emily WaddellAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Emily Waddell
Set 4 · MERCYH 14-11 OHIO · MERCYH 7% → 9%
- 02
- 03MercyhurstAce+1.6%
Mercyhurst ace
Set 4 · MERCYH 9-2 OHIO · MERCYH 11% → 12%
- 04Rose MahinKill+1.6%
Kill by Rose Mahin (set by Rowan Kelly)
Set 4 · MERCYH 14-13 OHIO · OHIO 92% → 94%
- 05MercyhurstAce+1.6%
Mercyhurst ace on Gentry Brown
Set 4 · MERCYH 7-0 OHIO · MERCYH 10% → 11%
- 06
- 07
- 08Torre KildowKill+1.5%
Kill by Torre Kildow (set by Darbi Ricketts)
Set 4 · MERCYH 18-20 OHIO · OHIO 96% → 98%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 4 | 26 | .346 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 4 | 10 | 3 | 34 | .206 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | .091 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -.056 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -.200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 44 | 21 | 127 | .181 | 41 | 4 | 9 | 48 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 83 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 14 | 4 | 29 | .345 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 3 | 20 | .400 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 22 | .273 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | |
| 4 | 7 | 7 | 32 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 5 | 1 | 10 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 18 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | .077 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | .400 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -.200 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 54 | 24 | 136 | .221 | 48 | 3 | 8 | 50 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 91 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
22-25
Set 2
16-25
Set 3
25-16
Set 4
20-25
Bars above the line = Ohio leads, below = Mercyhurst leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Mercyhurst
No clean sets to split.
Ohio
No clean sets to split.
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
174 rallies
| # | MERCYH-OHIO | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | OHIO | OHIO | Kill | Olivia Gardner | set Lillie Meinhart | +0.3 |
| 2 | 0-2 | OHIO | OHIO | Kill | Bailey Blair | set Lillie Meinhart | +0.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | OHIO | MERCYH×3 | Serve err | Ohio | +0.2 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Attack err | Bailey Blair | +0.4 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Attack err | Torre Kildow | +0.4 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Olivia Gardner | set Lillie Meinhart | +0.3 |
| 7 | 4-3 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +0.4 |
| 8 | 4-4 | MERCYH | OHIO×4 | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +0.3 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | OHIO | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.4 | |||
| 10 | 4-6 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Kill | Madison Miner | +0.3 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Kill | Torre Kildow | +0.3 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | OHIO | MERCYH | Serve err | Ohio | +0.2 | |
| 13–14 | 6-8 | MERCYH · OHIO | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | · | |||
| 15 | 6-9 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Emily Waddell | set Mya Comer | +0.2 |
| 16 | 7-9 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Madison Miner | +0.2 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Kill | Payton Melin | set Mya Comer | +0.4 |
| 18 | 8-10 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Rowan Kelly | set Kendall Hickey | +0.3 |
| 19 | 9-10 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Mia Mattingly | set Mya Comer | +0.3 |
| 20 | 9-11 | MERCYH | OHIO | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +0.3 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | OHIO | MERCYH | Attack err | Rose Mahin | set Lillie Meinhart | +0.3 |
| 22 | 10-12 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Olivia Gardner | set Lillie Meinhart | +0.3 |
| 23 | 11-12 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Roslyn Guerra | set Sydney Forcht | +0.3 |
| 24 | 11-13 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Rose Mahin | +0.3 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | OHIO | MERCYH | Blocked | Bailey Blair | blk Madison Miner, Ava Carney | +0.4 |
| 26 | 12-14 | MERCYH | OHIO | Blocked | Julia Shepherd | blk Torre Kildow, Emily Waddell | +0.3 |
| 27 | 12-15 | OHIO | OHIO | Kill | Torre Kildow | set Rowan Kelly | +0.4 |
| 28 | 13-15 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Madison Miner | set Alyssa Krause | +0.3 |
| 29 | 13-16 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Torre Kildow | set Rowan Kelly | +0.3 |
| 30 | 14-16 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Mia Mattingly | set Mya Comer | +0.3 |
| 31 | 14-17 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Emily Waddell | set Rowan Kelly | +0.3 |
| 32 | 15-17 | OHIO | MERCYH | Blocked | Olivia Gardner | blk Roslyn Guerra | +0.3 |
| 33 | 16-17 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Attack err | Rose Mahin | +0.6 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Rose Mahin | set Rowan Kelly | +0.4 |
| 35 | 17-18 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Ava Carney | set Mya Comer | +0.5 |
| 36 | 18-18 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +0.9 |
| 37 | 18-19 | MERCYH | OHIO | Blocked | Roslyn Guerra | blk Rose Mahin | +0.6 |
| 38 | 19-19 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Ava Carney | set Alyssa Krause | +0.8 |
| 39 | 19-20 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Torre Kildow | set Lillie Meinhart | +0.7 |
| 40 | 19-21 | OHIO | OHIO | Blocked | Julia Shepherd | blk Torre Kildow | +0.8 |
| 41 | 20-21 | OHIO | MERCYH | Serve err | Ohio | +0.6 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Torre Kildow | set Lillie Meinhart | +0.6 |
| 43 | 21-22 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Madison Miner | +0.6 | |
| 44 | 21-23 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Torre Kildow | set Rowan Kelly | +0.7 |
| 45 | 22-23 | MERCYH | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.6 | |||
| 46 | 22-24 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Emily Waddell | set Rowan Kelly | +0.9 |
| 47 | 22-25 | OHIO | OHIO | Blocked | Roslyn Guerra | blk Olivia Gardner, Rowan Kelly | +0.5 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Cienna Lapsley | +0.1 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | OHIO | OHIO | Blocked | Ava Carney | blk Cienna Lapsley | +0.2 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MERCYH | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.1 | |||
| 4 | 2-2 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Kill | Roslyn Guerra | set Alyssa Krause | +0.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | MERCYH | OHIO×4 | Attack err | Roslyn Guerra | set Bailey Blair | +0.1 |
| 6 | 2-4 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Attack err | Roslyn Guerra | +0.2 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Blocked | Julia Shepherd | blk Bailey Blair, Cienna Lapsley | +0.1 |
| 8 | 2-6 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Kill | Bailey Blair | set Lillie Meinhart | +0.1 |
| 9 | 3-6 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Roslyn Guerra | set Alyssa Krause | +0.1 |
| 10 | 3-7 | MERCYH | OHIO | Blocked | Madison Miner | blk Bailey Blair | +0.1 |
| 11 | 4-7 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +0.1 |
| 12 | 4-8 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Bailey Blair | set Lillie Meinhart | +0.1 |
| 13 | 5-8 | OHIO | MERCYH×3 | Serve err | Ohio | +0.1 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Attack err | Torre Kildow | +0.2 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Ace | Mercyhurst | aced Rose Mahin | +0.2 |
| 16 | 7-9 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Emily Waddell | set Rowan Kelly | +0.2 |
| 17 | 8-9 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Madison Miner | set Mya Comer | +0.2 |
| 18 | 9-9 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Blocked | Emily Waddell | blk Mia Mattingly, Roslyn Guerra | +0.3 |
| 19 | 9-10 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Rose Mahin | +0.2 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | OHIO | OHIO | Attack err | Madison Miner | +0.3 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Roslyn Guerra | set Mya Comer | +0.2 |
| 22 | 10-12 | MERCYH | OHIO | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +0.2 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | OHIO | OHIO | Attack err | Roslyn Guerra | +0.2 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Madison Miner | +0.2 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +0.3 |
| 26 | 12-14 | MERCYH | OHIO×3 | Kill | Bailey Blair | set Gentry Brown | +0.2 |
| 27 | 12-15 | OHIO | OHIO×3 | Blocked | Ava Carney | blk Cienna Lapsley | +0.2 |
| 28 | 12-16 | OHIO | OHIO×3 | Kill | Bailey Blair | set Lillie Meinhart | +0.2 |
| 29 | 13-16 | OHIO | MERCYH | Serve err | Ohio | +0.1 | |
| 30 | 13-17 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Bailey Blair | set Lillie Meinhart | +0.1 |
| 31 | 13-18 | OHIO | OHIO | Kill | Torre Kildow | set Lillie Meinhart | +0.1 |
| 32 | 14-18 | OHIO | MERCYH | Attack err | Emily Waddell | set Lillie Meinhart | +0.1 |
| 33 | 14-19 | MERCYH | OHIO | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +0.1 | |
| 34 | 14-20 | OHIO | OHIO | Attack err | Mia Mattingly | +0.1 | |
| 35 | 15-20 | OHIO | MERCYH | Attack err | Rowan Kelly | set Torre Kildow | · |
| 36 | 15-21 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Torre Kildow | set Rowan Kelly | · |
| 37 | 16-21 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Madison Miner | set Mya Comer | · |
| 38 | 16-22 | MERCYH | OHIO×4 | Kill | Emily Waddell | set Rowan Kelly | · |
| 39 | 16-23 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Kill | Cienna Lapsley | set Rowan Kelly | · |
| 40 | 16-24 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Kill | Rose Mahin | set Rowan Kelly | · |
| 41 | 16-25 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Attack err | Payton Melin | · | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | OHIO | MERCYH×4 | Attack err | Torre Kildow | +0.1 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | MERCYH | MERCYH×4 | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Kelsie Gaiter-davis | +0.1 |
| 3 | 3-0 | MERCYH | MERCYH×4 | Attack err | Cienna Lapsley | +0.2 | |
| 4 | 4-0 | MERCYH | MERCYH×4 | Ace | Mercyhurst | aced Torre Kildow | +0.2 |
| 5 | 4-1 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Cienna Lapsley | set Lillie Meinhart | +0.1 |
| 6 | 5-1 | OHIO | MERCYH×4 | Serve err | Ohio | +0.1 | |
| 7 | 6-1 | MERCYH | MERCYH×4 | Attack err | Torre Kildow | +0.2 | |
| 8 | 7-1 | MERCYH | MERCYH×4 | Kill | Kelsie Gaiter-davis | +0.2 | |
| 9 | 8-1 | MERCYH | MERCYH×4 | Kill | Ava Carney | set Alyssa Krause | +0.2 |
| 10 | 8-2 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Cienna Lapsley | set Lillie Meinhart | +0.1 |
| 11 | 9-2 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +0.2 |
| 12 | 9-3 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Torre Kildow | set Lillie Meinhart | +0.1 |
| 13 | 10-3 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Madison Miner | set Sydney Forcht | +0.2 |
| 14 | 10-4 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Emily Waddell | set Rowan Kelly | +0.1 |
| 15 | 11-4 | OHIO | MERCYH | Blocked | Rose Mahin | blk Payton Melin | +0.2 |
| 16 | 12-4 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Attack err | Gentry Brown | +0.2 | |
| 17 | 12-5 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Emily Waddell | set Rowan Kelly | +0.1 |
| 18 | 13-5 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Payton Melin | set Aliyah Angelici | +0.2 |
| 19 | 14-5 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Attack err | Cienna Lapsley | +0.2 | |
| 20 | 14-6 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Rose Mahin | set Rowan Kelly | +0.1 |
| 21 | 15-6 | OHIO | MERCYH×3 | Attack err | Bailey Blair | set Gentry Brown | +0.1 |
| 22 | 16-6 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Blocked | Cienna Lapsley | blk Kalyani Olive, Ava Carney | +0.1 |
| 23 | 17-6 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Attack err | Rose Mahin | +0.1 | |
| 24 | 17-7 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Rose Mahin | set Lillie Meinhart | · |
| 25 | 18-7 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Ava Carney | set Alyssa Krause | +0.1 |
| 26 | 18-8 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Bailey Blair | set Lillie Meinhart | · |
| 27 | 19-8 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Ava Carney | set Alyssa Krause | · |
| 28–29 | 20-9 | MERCYH · OHIO | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | · | |||
| 30 | 20-10 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Gentry Brown | set Rose Mahin | · |
| 31 | 21-10 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Madison Miner | · | |
| 32 | 21-11 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Emily Waddell | set Bryn Janke | · |
| 33 | 21-12 | OHIO | OHIO | Attack err | Mia Mattingly | · | |
| 34 | 22-12 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Payton Melin | set Aliyah Angelici | · |
| 35 | 22-13 | MERCYH | OHIO×3 | Kill | Olivia Gardner | set Bryn Janke | · |
| 36 | 22-14 | OHIO | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | · | |||
| 37 | 22-15 | OHIO | OHIO×3 | Blocked | Kalyani Olive | blk Cienna Lapsley | · |
| 38 | 23-15 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Alyssa Krause | set Madison Miner | +0.1 |
| 39 | 23-16 | MERCYH | OHIO | Serve err | Mercyhurst | · | |
| 40 | 24-16 | OHIO | MERCYH | Blocked | Gentry Brown | blk Ava Carney, Kalyani Olive | · |
| 41 | 25-16 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Kill | Madison Miner | set Alyssa Krause | · |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MERCYH | MERCYH×7 | Attack err | Rose Mahin | set Darbi Ricketts | +0.8 |
| 2 | 2-0 | MERCYH | MERCYH×7 | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +1.0 |
| 3 | 3-0 | MERCYH | MERCYH×7 | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Kelsie Gaiter-davis | +1.2 |
| 4 | 4-0 | MERCYH | MERCYH×7 | Ball handling | Lillie Meinhart | +1.3 | |
| 5 | 5-0 | MERCYH | MERCYH×7 | Kill | Anna Logan | set Alyssa Krause | +1.5 |
| 6 | 6-0 | MERCYH | MERCYH×7 | Attack err | Rose Mahin | +1.5 | |
| 7 | 7-0 | MERCYH | MERCYH×7 | Ace | Mercyhurst | aced Gentry Brown | +1.6 |
| 8 | 7-1 | MERCYH | OHIO | Blocked | Julia Shepherd | blk Bailey Blair, Olivia Gardner | +0.8 |
| 9 | 7-2 | OHIO | OHIO | Attack err | Anna Logan | +1.2 | |
| 10 | 8-2 | OHIO | MERCYH×3 | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +1.2 |
| 11 | 9-2 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Ace | Mercyhurst | +1.6 | |
| 12 | 10-2 | MERCYH | MERCYH×3 | Kill | Madison Miner | +1.6 | |
| 13 | 10-3 | MERCYH | OHIO | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +0.8 | |
| 14 | 11-3 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +1.2 |
| 15 | 11-4 | MERCYH | OHIO×4 | Kill | Bailey Blair | set Rowan Kelly | +0.7 |
| 16 | 11-5 | OHIO | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.2 | |||
| 17 | 11-6 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Kill | Torre Kildow | set Rowan Kelly | +1.3 |
| 18 | 11-7 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Kill | Torre Kildow | set Rowan Kelly | +1.4 |
| 19 | 12-7 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +1.4 |
| 20 | 12-8 | MERCYH | OHIO×4 | Kill | Emily Waddell | set Rowan Kelly | +1.0 |
| 21 | 12-9 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Kill | Rowan Kelly | set Mya Comer | +1.5 |
| 22 | 12-10 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Attack err | Madison Miner | +1.5 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | OHIO | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.4 | |||
| 24 | 13-11 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Mia Mattingly | set Mya Comer | +1.3 |
| 25 | 14-11 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Attack err | Emily Waddell | +2.0 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | MERCYH | OHIO×4 | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +1.1 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Kill | Rose Mahin | set Rowan Kelly | +1.6 |
| 28 | 14-14 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Ace | Ohio | aced Kalyani Olive | +1.5 |
| 29 | 14-15 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Ace | Ohio | aced Sydney Forcht | +1.3 |
| 30 | 15-15 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Rose Mahin | +1.1 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | MERCYH | OHIO | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +1.0 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | OHIO | OHIO | Blocked | Ava Carney | blk Olivia Gardner | +1.2 |
| 33 | 16-17 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Roslyn Guerra | set Mya Comer | +0.9 |
| 34 | 17-17 | MERCYH | MERCYH | Attack err | Rose Mahin | +1.7 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | MERCYH | OHIO | Blocked | Roslyn Guerra | blk Olivia Gardner, Rose Mahin | +1.2 |
| 36 | 18-18 | OHIO | MERCYH | Bad set | Rowan Kelly | +1.4 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | MERCYH | OHIO | Kill | Olivia Gardner | set Rowan Kelly | +1.3 |
| 38 | 18-20 | OHIO | OHIO | Kill | Torre Kildow | set Darbi Ricketts | +1.5 |
| 39 | 19-20 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +1.1 |
| 40 | 19-21 | MERCYH | OHIO | Serve err | Mercyhurst | +1.2 | |
| 41 | 20-21 | OHIO | MERCYH | Kill | Julia Shepherd | set Alyssa Krause | +1.1 |
| 42 | 20-22 | MERCYH | OHIO×4 | Kill | Emily Waddell | set Rowan Kelly | +1.3 |
| 43 | 20-23 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Ball handling | Mya Comer | +1.2 | |
| 44 | 20-24 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Kill | Emily Waddell | set Mya Comer | +0.5 |
| 45 | 20-25 | OHIO | OHIO×4 | Kill | Rose Mahin | set Rowan Kelly | +0.1 |
Score shown after each rally, Mercyhurst first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).