Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026

Saint Peter's def. Canisius 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Saint Peter's 63.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Saint Peter's beat visiting Canisius 3-1 (25-19, 22-25, 25-16, 26-24) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Saint Peter's' Victoria Pruvost led with 16 kills, and Ioanna Ververaki added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set1234Sets
CANISI192516241
ST PTR252225263

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.500 on 26 swings: Victoria Pruvost and Saint Peter's edged Canisius.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Saint Peter's's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Saint Peter's at 63%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Canisius 3–1 Saint Peter's

    6 straight Saint Peter's points turned a 1–3 deficit into a 7–3 lead.

    Saint Peter's 54% → 72%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Canisius 23–23 Saint Peter's

    Saint Peter's won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 26–24 and win the match 3–1.

    Saint Peter's 81% → >99%

Saint Peter's above 50Canisius belowMax swing 10.7%

CanisiusSaint Peter's

Sideout %
Canisius 54.6·Saint Peter's 63.5
Break %
Canisius 36.5·Saint Peter's 45.4
Hitting
Canisius .208·Saint Peter's .295
Longest run
Canisius 3·Saint Peter's 6

Victoria Pruvost
16 kills on .500, 17 points; 4 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Saint Peter's above 50 · Canisius below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.7% ST PTRrally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.7% to Saint Peter's — set 4, CANISI 24-26 ST PTR. Julia Lenik stuffed by Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez & Alondra Fargas. ST PTR win probability 89% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CANISI 38.2%61.8% ST PTR

Canisius wins

3-0
8.1%
3-1
13.8%
3-2
16.2%

Saint Peter's wins

3-0
18.2%
3-1
23.6%
3-2
20.0%
CANISI break %
42.0% vs this opp
ST PTR break %
44.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Julia Lenik stuffed by Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez & Alondra Fargas

    Set 4 · CANISI 24-26 ST PTR · ST PTR 89% → 100%

  2. 02

    Kill by Victoria Pruvost (set by Alondra Fargas)

    Set 4 · CANISI 23-24 ST PTR · ST PTR 81% → 89%

  3. 03
    Julia LenikKill+8.7%

    Kill by Julia Lenik (set by Kenslie Warmbrodt)

    Set 4 · CANISI 24-24 ST PTR · CANISI 11% → 19%

  4. 04

    Kill by Victoria Pruvost (set by Alondra Fargas)

    Set 4 · CANISI 24-25 ST PTR · ST PTR 81% → 89%

  5. 05

    Kill by Victoria Pruvost (set by Alondra Fargas)

    Set 4 · CANISI 22-23 ST PTR · ST PTR 80% → 87%

  6. 06
    Emma IsroffKill+6.6%

    Kill by Emma Isroff (set by Kenslie Warmbrodt)

    Set 4 · CANISI 23-23 ST PTR · CANISI 13% → 19%

  7. 07
    Anna RichKill+6.6%

    Kill by Anna Rich (set by Hannah Kos)

    Set 4 · CANISI 21-21 ST PTR · CANISI 13% → 20%

  8. 08
    CanisiusService error+5.7%

    Canisius service error

    Set 4 · CANISI 21-22 ST PTR · ST PTR 80% → 86%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414425.4000241000016
415225.520000101010.515.5
47315.2670031014310
47533.061002113010.57.5
41011.0002200200001
2126-.167100000001
44622-.091114400216
4000–3201300002
41011.000220030010.51.5
2001.00000000010.50.5
2011-1.000000100000
Team totals5023130.20849513464110684
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416326.5001002002117
414434.2941127010116
412432.25000050111.513.5
48215.40020030031.59.5
4315.400000210214
4000–291190010.51.5
4000–4011410000
3000–011000001
3000–101100000
2236-.16700000010.52.5
2000–612300001
2011-1.000800200000
2000–200130000
1224.000000000002
1106.167100100001
Team totals5820129.2955548505210798

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Canisius vs Saint Peter's

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 CANISI · ST PTR 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 CANISIST PTR 5

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 2 CANISIST PTR 4

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 CANISIST PTR 6

Set 4

24-26

Longest run 3 CANISIST PTR 3

Bars above the line = Saint Peter's leads, below = Canisius leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Canisius

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%11/26
18%2/11
2
77%10/13
31%5/16
3
45%9/20
29%4/14
4
62%8/13
38%5/13
5
67%8/12
38%5/13
6
54%7/13
56%10/18
All
55%53/97
36%31/85

Saint Peter's

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
63%15/24
2
77%10/13
23%3/13
3
71%10/14
52%11/21
4
57%8/14
31%4/13
5
53%8/15
43%6/14
6
54%7/13
42%5/12
All
64%54/85
45%44/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#CANISI-ST PTRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ST PTRST PTRKillValeria Pagan Munozset Alondra Fargas+2.3
20-2ST PTRST PTRAttack errJulia Lenik+2.2
31-2ST PTRCANISIServe errSaint Peter's+1.7
41-3CANISIST PTRKillAddison Baglioset Alondra Fargas+1.7
52-3ST PTRCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Brenda Reynaga+1.7
62-4CANISIST PTRServe errCanisius+1.7
72-5ST PTRST PTRAttack errEmily Helmers+2.1
83-5ST PTRCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Anna Rich+1.6
94-5CANISICANISIKillHannah Kosset Brenda Reynaga+2.3
104-6CANISIST PTRKillAddison Baglioset Drew Leonardis+1.8
115-6ST PTRCANISIServe errSaint Peter's+1.8
126-6CANISICANISIBlockedValeria Pagan Munozblk Hannah Kos, McKenna Corcoran+2.6
136-7CANISIST PTRKillAddison Baglioset Indira T. Benitez Dumeng+2.0
147-7ST PTRCANISI×3BlockedValeria Pagan Munozblk McKenna Corcoran, Hannah Kos+2.0
158-7CANISICANISI×3KillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+2.8
169-7CANISICANISI×3KillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+2.9
179-8CANISIST PTR×3Serve errCanisius+2.1
189-9ST PTRST PTR×3Attack errEmma Isroff+2.8
199-10ST PTRST PTR×3Attack errJulia Lenik+2.9
2010-10ST PTRCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.2
2110-11CANISIST PTR×5KillValeria Pagan Munozset Alondra Fargas+2.2
2210-12ST PTRST PTR×5KillAddison Baglioset Valeria Pagan Munoz+2.9
2310-13ST PTRST PTR×5AceSaint Peter'saced Julia Lenik+2.6
2410-14ST PTRST PTR×5KillAddison Baglioset Ioanna Ververaki+2.3
2510-15ST PTRST PTR×5KillVictoria Pruvostset Alondra Fargas+1.8
2611-15ST PTRCANISI×3KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.1
2712-15CANISICANISI×3KillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.9
2813-15CANISICANISI×3Attack errAddison Baglio+2.5
2913-16CANISIST PTRServe errCanisius+2.2
3014-16ST PTRCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.0
3114-17CANISIST PTR×3KillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Alondra Fargas+2.3
3214-18ST PTRST PTR×3KillAddison Baglioset Meleksu Ozmen+2.5
3314-19ST PTRST PTR×3KillAddison Baglioset Meleksu Ozmen+1.8
3415-19ST PTRCANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+1.0
3515-20CANISIST PTRBlockedHannah Kosblk Addison Baglio+1.4
3616-20ST PTRCANISIKillEmily Helmersset Anna Rich+0.9
3717-20CANISICANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+1.8
3817-21CANISIST PTR×3KillValeria Pagan Munozset Meleksu Ozmen+1.9
3917-22ST PTRST PTR×3KillValeria Pagan Munozset Meleksu Ozmen+1.6
4017-23ST PTRST PTR×3KillIndira T. Benitez Dumengset Meleksu Ozmen+0.8
4118-23ST PTRCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Anna Rich+0.2
4219-23CANISICANISIBlockedValeria Pagan Munozblk Anna Rich, McKenna Corcoran+0.6
4319-24CANISIST PTRServe errCanisius+0.9
4419-25ST PTRST PTRKillValeria Pagan Munozset Alondra Fargas+0.3
Set 2
10-1CANISIST PTRAttack errHannah Kos+1.5
21-1ST PTRCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+1.5
32-1CANISICANISIAttack errVictoria Pruvost+2.1
42-2CANISIST PTRKillValeria Pagan Munozset Drew Leonardis+1.6
52-3ST PTRST PTRKillJulia Whaleyset Victoria Pruvost+2.1
63-3ST PTRCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Anna Rich+1.6
73-4CANISIST PTRServe errCanisius+1.6
84-4ST PTRCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.7
95-4CANISICANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.3
105-5CANISIST PTR×4KillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Alondra Fargas+1.7
115-6ST PTRST PTR×4Attack errEmma Isroff+2.2
125-7ST PTRST PTR×4KillNatasha Tejada+2.2
135-8ST PTRST PTR×4Attack errEmma Isroff+2.0
146-8ST PTRCANISIAttack errNatasha Tejada+1.5
157-8CANISICANISIAttack errMeleksu Ozmen+2.2
167-9CANISIST PTRServe errCanisius+1.7
178-9ST PTRCANISIServe errSaint Peter's+1.7
189-9CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Drew Leonardis+2.5
199-10CANISIST PTR×3Serve errCanisius+1.9
209-11ST PTRST PTR×3Attack errHannah Kos+2.4
219-12ST PTRST PTR×3Attack errEmily Helmers+2.2
2210-12ST PTRCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Emily Helmers+1.6
2311-12CANISICANISIBad setMeleksu Ozmen+2.4
2411-13CANISIST PTRServe errCanisius+2.0
2512-13ST PTRCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+1.9
2613-13CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Drew Leonardis+2.8
2713-14CANISIST PTRKillValeria Pagan Munozset Alondra Fargas+2.2
2814-14ST PTRCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Anna Rich+2.3
2915-14CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Drew Leonardis+3.2
3015-15CANISIST PTRKillJulia Whaleyset Alondra Fargas+2.4
3116-15ST PTRCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.6
3217-15CANISICANISIAttack errVictoria Pruvost+3.5
3317-16CANISIST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Alondra Fargas+2.4
3418-16ST PTRCANISIBlockedNatasha Tejadablk Julia Lenik, McKenna Corcoran+2.8
3518-17CANISIST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Meleksu Ozmen+2.5
3619-17ST PTRCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+3.0
3720-17CANISICANISIKillKenslie Warmbrodtset Brenda Reynaga+3.6
3820-18CANISIST PTRKillValeria Pagan Munozset Meleksu Ozmen+2.1
3921-18ST PTRCANISIAttack errValeria Pagan Munoz+2.9
4021-19CANISIST PTRKillNatasha Tejadaset Meleksu Ozmen+2.1
4121-20ST PTRST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Ioanna Ververaki+3.8
4222-20ST PTRCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+3.9
4322-21CANISIST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Anna Rich+3.0
4423-21ST PTRCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+4.4
4523-22CANISIST PTRKillAddison Baglioset Alondra Fargas+3.1
4624-22ST PTRCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Kenslie Warmbrodt+5.2
4725-22CANISICANISIAttack errKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendez+4.1
Set 3
11-0ST PTRCANISIAttack errJulia Whaley+2.5
21-1CANISIST PTRBlockedHannah Kosblk Valeria Pagan Munoz+2.4
32-1ST PTRCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+2.5
43-1CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Julia Whaley+3.4
53-2CANISIST PTR×6KillAddison Baglioset Alondra Fargas+2.5
63-3ST PTRST PTR×6Attack errMcKenna Corcoran+3.3
73-4ST PTRST PTR×6KillAddison Baglioset Alondra Fargas+3.3
83-5ST PTRST PTR×6KillVictoria Pruvostset Ioanna Ververaki+3.2
93-6ST PTRST PTR×6KillVictoria Pruvostset Alondra Fargas+3.0
103-7ST PTRST PTR×6Attack errMcKenna Corcoran+2.7
114-7ST PTRCANISIServe errSaint Peter's+1.9
124-8CANISIST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Alondra Fargas+2.1
135-8ST PTRCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.9
145-9CANISIST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Zumra Yavuz+2.1
156-9ST PTRCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.9
166-10CANISIST PTRServe errCanisius+2.2
177-10ST PTRCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.0
187-11CANISIST PTR×3Serve errCanisius+2.2
197-12ST PTRST PTR×3Attack errHannah Kos+2.5
207-13ST PTRST PTR×3KillVictoria Pruvostset Alondra Fargas+2.0
218-13ST PTRCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Anna Rich+1.2
228-14CANISIST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Alondra Fargas+1.5
239-14ST PTRCANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+1.2
249-15CANISIST PTRKillAddison Baglioset Alondra Fargas+1.5
2510-15ST PTRCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+1.1
2610-16CANISIST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Hannah Kos+1.5
2710-17ST PTRST PTRBlockedEmma Isroffblk Addison Baglio, Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez+1.3
2811-17ST PTRCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.7
2911-18CANISIST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Zumra Yavuz+1.0
3012-18ST PTRCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.6
3113-18CANISICANISIAttack errAddison Baglio+1.2
3213-19CANISIST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Zumra Yavuz+1.3
3314-19ST PTRCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.9
3414-20CANISIST PTR×5Serve errCanisius+1.3
3514-21ST PTRST PTR×5AceSaint Peter'saced Julia Lenik+0.9
3614-22ST PTRST PTR×5KillVictoria Pruvostset Alondra Fargas+0.4
3714-23ST PTRST PTR×5BlockedAlli Farmerblk Julia Whaley, Victoria Pruvost+0.2
3814-24ST PTRST PTR×5KillValeria Pagan Munozset Alondra Fargas·
3915-24ST PTRCANISIServe errSaint Peter's·
4016-24CANISICANISIBlockedVictoria Pruvostblk Hayden Siebenaler, Azoria Davis·
4116-25CANISIST PTRKillValeria Pagan Munozset Ioanna Ververaki·
Set 4
11-0CANISICANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.9
21-1CANISIST PTRKillValeria Pagan Munozset Alondra Fargas+2.2
31-2ST PTRST PTRAttack errJulia Lenik+2.8
42-2ST PTRCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.2
52-3CANISIST PTR×3KillVictoria Pruvostset Alondra Fargas+2.2
62-4ST PTRST PTR×3BlockedJulia Lenikblk Victoria Pruvost, Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez+2.8
72-5ST PTRST PTR×3KillValeria Pagan Munozset Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez+2.6
83-5ST PTRCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.9
94-5CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Ioanna Ververaki+2.8
104-6CANISIST PTRKillAddison Baglioset Alondra Fargas+2.2
114-7ST PTRST PTRAceSaint Peter'saced Azoria Davis+2.7
125-7ST PTRCANISIServe errSaint Peter's+2.0
136-7CANISICANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+2.9
146-8CANISIST PTRServe errCanisius+2.3
157-8ST PTRCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+2.3
167-9CANISIST PTRKillValeria Pagan Munozset Zumra Yavuz+2.4
177-10ST PTRST PTRKillMarkela Tsagkopoulouset Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez+2.9
188-10ST PTRCANISI×3KillMcKenna Corcoranset Anna Rich+2.1
199-10CANISICANISI×3Attack errMarkela Tsagkopoulou+3.2
2010-10CANISICANISI×3KillMcKenna Corcoranset Anna Rich+3.5
2110-11CANISIST PTRKillJulia Whaleyset Zumra Yavuz+2.8
2210-12ST PTRST PTRAttack errMcKenna Corcoran+3.5
2311-12ST PTRCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.6
2411-13CANISIST PTRKillValeria Pagan Munozset Alondra Fargas+2.8
2511-14ST PTRST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Kylee Gilbert+3.3
2612-14ST PTRCANISIServe errSaint Peter's+2.3
2712-15CANISIST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Alondra Fargas+2.6
2813-15ST PTRCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.3
2914-15CANISICANISIAttack errAddison Baglio+3.7
3014-16CANISIST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Alondra Fargas+3.1
3114-17ST PTRST PTRAttack errHannah Kos+3.7
3215-17ST PTRCANISIServe errSaint Peter's+2.4
3315-18CANISIST PTRAttack errAzoria Davis+2.9
3415-19ST PTRST PTRAceSaint Peter'saced Julia Lenik+3.1
3516-19ST PTRCANISI×3KillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+1.8
3617-19CANISICANISI×3Attack errKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendez+3.3
3718-19CANISICANISI×3BlockedAddison Baglioblk McKenna Corcoran+4.4
3818-20CANISIST PTRKillMarkela Tsagkopoulouset Zumra Yavuz+4.0
3918-21ST PTRST PTRBlockedAzoria Davisblk Julia Whaley, Markela Tsagkopoulou+4.4
4019-21ST PTRCANISI×3Attack errMarkela Tsagkopoulou+2.5
4120-21CANISICANISI×3Attack errMarkela Tsagkopoulou+4.8
4221-21CANISICANISI×3KillAnna Richset Hannah Kos+6.6
4321-22CANISIST PTRServe errCanisius+5.7
4422-22ST PTRCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+5.7
4522-23CANISIST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Alondra Fargas+6.8
4623-23ST PTRCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+6.6
4723-24CANISIST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Alondra Fargas+8.7
4824-24ST PTRCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+8.7
4924-25CANISIST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Alondra Fargas+8.7
5024-26ST PTRST PTRBlockedJulia Lenikblk Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez, Alondra Fargas+10.7

Score shown after each rally, Canisius first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).