FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwaySWAC

0:3

HomeOVC

UT Martin def. Ark.-Pine Bluff 3–0

(25-10, 25-15, 28-26)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ARK PB	10	15	26	0
UT MAR	25	25	28	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UT MAR above 50 · ARK PB below

Biggest swing: 1.9% to UT Martin — set 3, ARK PB 24-24 UT MAR. UT Martin ace on Ngozi Nwosu. UT MAR win probability 95% → 97%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ARK PB 9.8%90.2% UT MAR

Ark.-Pine Bluff wins

3-0

1.3%

3-1

3.0%

3-2

5.5%

UT Martin wins

3-0

44.8%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

13.8%

ARK PB break %: 41.7% vs this opp
UT MAR break %: 51.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
UT MAR serverAce+1.9%
UT Martin ace on Ngozi Nwosu
Set 3 · ARK PB 24-24 UT MAR · UT MAR 95% → 97%
02
ARK PB serverAce+1.8%
Ark.-Pine Bluff ace on Penny Kirkham
Set 3 · ARK PB 26-25 UT MAR · ARK PB 3% → 4%
03
Luli ArcucciKill+1.6%
Kill by Luli Arcucci (set by Dylan Sulcer)
Set 3 · ARK PB 26-26 UT MAR · UT MAR 96% → 97%
04
ARK PB serverAce+1.6%
Ark.-Pine Bluff ace on Lauren Mariscal
Set 3 · ARK PB 24-22 UT MAR · ARK PB 4% → 5%
05
UT MAR serverAce+1.5%
UT Martin ace on Ngozi Nwosu
Set 3 · ARK PB 24-25 UT MAR · UT MAR 97% → 99%
06
Karli GloverAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Karli Glover
Set 3 · ARK PB 26-27 UT MAR · UT MAR 97% → 99%
07
Ngozi NwosuKill+1.3%
Kill by Ngozi Nwosu (set by Ava Miller)
Set 3 · ARK PB 25-25 UT MAR · ARK PB 1% → 3%
08
UT MAR serverService error+1.2%
UT Martin service error
Set 3 · ARK PB 23-22 UT MAR · ARK PB 3% → 4%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Ark.-Pine Bluffaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Ashanti ButlerMB	3	5	5	17	.000	0	0	2	2	1	1	1	1.5	6.5
22Karli GloverOH	3	4	5	21	-.048	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	4
20Kennedy AdamsMB	3	2	2	9	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	4
8Zuzanna ZietekOPP	3	1	1	7	.000	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	1
5Martyna LubowiczS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Trinity GibbsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
14Ngozi NwosuMB	3	2	1	7	.143	0	1	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	3.5
2Haley ReevesOH	3	3	5	19	-.105	1	0	0	7	3	0	0	0	3
7London KingMB	3	2	0	2	1.000	6	1	0	7	0	0	0	0	3
11Marlina AndersonOH	3	2	3	8	-.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
12Kaylen RobinsonOH	3	2	0	7	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
13Ava MillerS	3	0	0	0	–	8	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
3J'nyah OdomMB	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Desiree KeplerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Jnireah HenryL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Kinsley HooperL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	14	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		23	22	98	.010	21	3	2	41	10	2	4	4	51

UT Martinhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
15Luli ArcucciMB	3	11	3	18	.444	4	0	1	15	0	1	0.5	11.5
10Sophie DioufMB	3	10	3	30	.233	1	0	0	2	0	2	1	11
9Rylee KeyMB	3	8	2	15	.400	0	0	0	3	0	2	1	9
7Dylan SulcerL/DS	3	6	1	9	.556	32	0	1	2	0	1	0.5	6.5
22Carly MuellerMB	3	4	2	15	.133	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
6Abby FreundL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	1	10	0	0	0	2
11Chyler MartinOH	3	4	4	18	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
21Mari HaasOH	3	0	2	3	-.667	0	4	1	1	0	0	0	4
3Lauren MariscalL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	3	1	15	1	0	0	3
1Penny KirkhamL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	3	3	1	0	0	1
13Addie RosalesS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Dyyanna WadeOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24Ida WiszomirskaS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Maddy GladsonOPP	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Mia SaenzMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Reagan HammS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Riley RushingOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	17	108	.241	40	10	8	51	3	10	5	78

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 ARK PB · UT MAR 11

Set 1

10-25

Longest run 3 ARK PBUT MAR 11

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 5 ARK PBUT MAR 8

Set 3

26-28

Longest run 4 ARK PBUT MAR 4

Bars above the line = UT Martin leads, below = Ark.-Pine Bluff leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Ark.-Pine Bluff

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%7/15	17%1/6
2	30%6/20	50%7/14
3	29%5/17	0%0/6
4	56%5/9	55%6/11
5	63%5/8	38%3/8
6	50%4/8	29%2/7
All	42%32/77	37%19/52

UT Martin

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	63%10/16
2	100%6/6	65%11/17
3	75%6/8	50%6/12
4	50%5/10	69%11/16
5	63%5/8	50%5/10
6	67%4/6	33%2/6
All	63%33/52	58%45/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

129 rallies

Rally log

#	ARK PB-UT MAR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UT MAR	UT MAR×6	Attack err	Karli Glover		+0.9
2	0-2	UT MAR	UT MAR×6	Attack err	Karli Glover		+0.8
3	0-3	UT MAR	UT MAR×6	Ace	UT MAR server	aced Zuzanna Zietek	+0.7
4	0-4	UT MAR	UT MAR×6	Kill	Dylan Sulcer	set Sophie Diouf	+0.6
5	0-5	UT MAR	UT MAR×6	Attack err	Karli Glover	blk Carly Mueller, Dylan Sulcer	+0.5
6	0-6	UT MAR	UT MAR×6	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.4
7	1-6	UT MAR	ARK PB	Attack err	Sophie Diouf	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.3
8	1-7	ARK PB	UT MAR	Attack err	Ashanti Butler	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.4
9	2-7	UT MAR	ARK PB	Kill	Zuzanna Zietek	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.3
10	2-8	ARK PB	UT MAR	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.4
11	3-8	UT MAR	ARK PB	Attack err	Sophie Diouf	set Lauren Mariscal	+0.3
12	3-9	ARK PB	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf		+0.4
13	4-9	UT MAR	ARK PB	Kill	Kennedy Adams	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.3
14	4-10	ARK PB	UT MAR	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.4
15	5-10	UT MAR	ARK PB	Attack err	Chyler Martin	set Lauren Mariscal	+0.3
16	5-11	ARK PB	UT MAR	Kill	Chyler Martin	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.4
17	6-11	UT MAR	ARK PB	Serve err	UT MAR server		+0.3
18	7-11	ARK PB	ARK PB	Attack err	Carly Mueller	blk Ashanti Butler, Kennedy Adams	+0.5
19	7-12	ARK PB	UT MAR×3	Kill	Dylan Sulcer	set Penny Kirkham	+0.5
20	7-13	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Attack err	Karli Glover		+0.4
21	7-14	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Attack err	Ashanti Butler		+0.3
22	8-14	UT MAR	ARK PB×3	Serve err	UT MAR server		+0.2
23	9-14	ARK PB	ARK PB×3	Kill	Haley Reeves	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.4
24	10-14	ARK PB	ARK PB×3	Attack err	Carly Mueller	blk Ashanti Butler	+0.5
25	10-15	ARK PB	UT MAR×11	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.5
26	10-16	UT MAR	UT MAR×11	Ace	UT MAR server	aced Haley Reeves	+0.5
27	10-17	UT MAR	UT MAR×11	Attack err	Ashanti Butler		+0.3
28	10-18	UT MAR	UT MAR×11	Attack err	Zuzanna Zietek		+0.2
29	10-19	UT MAR	UT MAR×11	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Luli Arcucci	+0.1
30	10-20	UT MAR	UT MAR×11	Attack err	Ashanti Butler		+0.1
31	10-21	UT MAR	UT MAR×11	Kill	Dylan Sulcer	set Luli Arcucci	+0.0
32	10-22	UT MAR	UT MAR×11	Ace	UT MAR server	aced Trinity Gibbs	+0.0
33	10-23	UT MAR	UT MAR×11	Attack err	Haley Reeves		+0.0
34	10-24	UT MAR	UT MAR×11	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.0
35	10-25	UT MAR	UT MAR×11	Ace	UT MAR server	aced Kinsley Hooper	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	ARK PB	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.5
2	1-1	UT MAR	ARK PB	Serve err	UT MAR server		+0.6
3	1-2	ARK PB	UT MAR	Kill	Dylan Sulcer	set Abby Freund	+0.5
4	1-3	UT MAR	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf		+0.6
5	2-3	UT MAR	ARK PB	Attack err	Sophie Diouf	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.5
6	2-4	ARK PB	UT MAR×8	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.5
7	2-5	UT MAR	UT MAR×8	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.5
8	2-6	UT MAR	UT MAR×8	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.4
9	2-7	UT MAR	UT MAR×8	Kill	Chyler Martin	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.4
10	2-8	UT MAR	UT MAR×8	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.3
11	2-9	UT MAR	UT MAR×8	Kill	Chyler Martin	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.2
12	2-10	UT MAR	UT MAR×8	Attack err	Kennedy Adams		+0.2
13	2-11	UT MAR	UT MAR×8	Kill	Rylee Key		+0.1
14	3-11	UT MAR	ARK PB×5	Serve err	UT MAR server		+0.1
15	4-11	ARK PB	ARK PB×5	Attack err	Chyler Martin		+0.1
16	5-11	ARK PB	ARK PB×5	Attack err	Luli Arcucci	blk Ngozi Nwosu, Kennedy Adams	+0.2
17	6-11	ARK PB	ARK PB×5	Attack err	Chyler Martin		+0.3
18	7-11	ARK PB	ARK PB×5	Attack err	Rylee Key		+0.4
19	7-12	ARK PB	UT MAR×3	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.3
20	7-13	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Ace	UT MAR server	aced Ngozi Nwosu	+0.3
21	7-14	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Kill	Luli Arcucci		+0.2
22	8-14	UT MAR	ARK PB×3	Kill	Ngozi Nwosu	set Ava Miller	+0.2
23	9-14	ARK PB	ARK PB×3	Attack err	Luli Arcucci	blk Kennedy Adams	+0.3
24	10-14	ARK PB	ARK PB×3	Attack err	Luli Arcucci		+0.4
25	10-15	ARK PB	UT MAR	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.4
26	11-15	UT MAR	ARK PB	Kill	Kaylen Robinson	set Ava Miller	+0.3
27	12-15	ARK PB	ARK PB	Attack err	Chyler Martin		+0.5
28	12-16	ARK PB	UT MAR×3	Kill	Chyler Martin	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.5
29	12-17	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.4
30	12-18	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Ace	UT MAR server	aced Ashanti Butler	+0.3
31	13-18	UT MAR	ARK PB	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set Ava Miller	+0.2
32	13-19	ARK PB	UT MAR	Kill	Dylan Sulcer	set Luli Arcucci	+0.3
33	14-19	UT MAR	ARK PB	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.2
34	14-20	ARK PB	UT MAR×3	Kill	Sophie Diouf		+0.2
35	14-21	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Attack err	Ashanti Butler		+0.2
36	14-22	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Attack err	Haley Reeves	blk Rylee Key, Luli Arcucci	+0.1
37	15-22	UT MAR	ARK PB	Serve err	UT MAR server		+0.0
38	15-23	ARK PB	UT MAR×3	Serve err	ARK PB server		+0.0
39	15-24	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Ace	UT MAR server	aced Haley Reeves	+0.0
40	15-25	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Attack err	Ngozi Nwosu		+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	UT MAR	ARK PB×4	Attack err	Mari Haas	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.3
2	2-0	ARK PB	ARK PB×4	Ace	ARK PB server	aced TEAM	+0.4
3	3-0	ARK PB	ARK PB×4	Attack err	Dylan Sulcer		+0.4
4	4-0	ARK PB	ARK PB×4	Attack err	Mari Haas		+0.4
5	4-1	ARK PB	UT MAR	Attack err	Marlina Anderson	set London King	+0.3
6	4-2	UT MAR	UT MAR	Ace	UT MAR server	aced Haley Reeves	+0.4
7	5-2	UT MAR	ARK PB	Kill	Karli Glover	set London King	+0.4
8	5-3	ARK PB	UT MAR×4	Kill	Dylan Sulcer	set Luli Arcucci	+0.3
9	5-4	UT MAR	UT MAR×4	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.4
10	5-5	UT MAR	UT MAR×4	Attack err	Marlina Anderson	blk Sophie Diouf, Rylee Key	+0.4
11	5-6	UT MAR	UT MAR×4	Attack err	Haley Reeves		+0.3
12	6-6	UT MAR	ARK PB	Kill	London King	set Karli Glover	+0.3
13	7-6	ARK PB	ARK PB	Kill	Marlina Anderson		+0.4
14	7-7	ARK PB	UT MAR	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.3
15	8-7	UT MAR	ARK PB	Serve err	UT MAR server		+0.4
16	8-8	ARK PB	UT MAR	Attack err	Kennedy Adams	set Lauren Mariscal	+0.4
17	9-8	UT MAR	ARK PB	Serve err	UT MAR server		+0.4
18	9-9	ARK PB	UT MAR	Bad set	Karli Glover		+0.4
19	10-9	UT MAR	ARK PB	Kill	Kennedy Adams		+0.4
20	10-10	ARK PB	UT MAR	Kill	Carly Mueller		+0.4
21	11-10	UT MAR	ARK PB	Kill	Karli Glover	set Ava Miller	+0.4
22	12-10	ARK PB	ARK PB	Kill	Karli Glover	set London King	+0.6
23	12-11	ARK PB	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Lauren Mariscal	+0.4
24	13-11	UT MAR	ARK PB	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set London King	+0.5
25	13-12	ARK PB	UT MAR	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.4
26	14-12	UT MAR	ARK PB	Attack err	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.5
27	15-12	ARK PB	ARK PB	Kill	Haley Reeves	set London King	+0.7
28	15-13	ARK PB	UT MAR	Serve err	ARK PB server		+0.5
29	15-14	UT MAR	UT MAR	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.6
30	16-14	UT MAR	ARK PB	Kill	Marlina Anderson	set London King	+0.6
31	16-15	ARK PB	UT MAR	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.5
32	16-16	UT MAR	UT MAR	Attack err	Haley Reeves	blk Carly Mueller, Chyler Martin	+0.6
33	17-16	UT MAR	ARK PB	Kill	Haley Reeves	set Ava Miller	+0.6
34	17-17	ARK PB	UT MAR	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.6
35	18-17	UT MAR	ARK PB	Kill	Kaylen Robinson	set Ava Miller	+0.7
36	18-18	ARK PB	UT MAR	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.6
37	19-18	UT MAR	ARK PB	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set Ava Miller	+0.7
38	20-18	ARK PB	ARK PB	Kill	Karli Glover	set Kinsley Hooper	+0.9
39	20-19	ARK PB	UT MAR	Attack err	Marlina Anderson	blk Carly Mueller, Sophie Diouf	+0.7
40	21-19	UT MAR	ARK PB	Kill	London King	set Haley Reeves	+0.9
41	21-20	ARK PB	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf		+0.7
42	22-20	UT MAR	ARK PB	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set London King	+1.0
43	22-21	ARK PB	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.8
44	22-22	UT MAR	UT MAR	Attack err	Haley Reeves		+1.1
45	23-22	UT MAR	ARK PB	Serve err	UT MAR server		+1.2
46	24-22	ARK PB	ARK PB	Ace	ARK PB server	aced Lauren Mariscal	+1.6
47	24-23	ARK PB	UT MAR×3	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.8
48	24-24	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Ace	UT MAR server	aced Ngozi Nwosu	+1.9
49	24-25	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Ace	UT MAR server	aced Ngozi Nwosu	+1.5
50	25-25	UT MAR	ARK PB	Kill	Ngozi Nwosu	set Ava Miller	+1.3
51	26-25	ARK PB	ARK PB	Ace	ARK PB server	aced Penny Kirkham	+1.8
52	26-26	ARK PB	UT MAR×3	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.6
53	26-27	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Attack err	Karli Glover		+1.5
54	26-28	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.2

Score shown after each rally, Ark.-Pine Bluff first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.