Ark.-Pine Bluff at UT Martin

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

ARK PB 12.4%87.6% UT MAR

Ark.-Pine Bluff wins

3-0

1.8%

3-1

3.9%

3-2

6.8%

UT Martin wins

3-0

40.6%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.4%

ARK PB break %: 42.2% vs this opp
UT MAR break %: 51.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.