Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UT Martin def. Eastern Ill. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Eastern Ill. 82.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UT Martin beat visiting Eastern Ill. 3-1 (20-25, 26-24, 25-22, 25-12) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Sophie Diouf led UT Martin with 12 kills; Eastern Ill.'s Katie Kopshever had a match-high 23.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set1234Sets
E ILL252422121
UT MAR202625253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

UT Martin beat Eastern Ill. from a 18% pre-match call.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows UT Martin's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, Eastern Ill. was RallyIQ's 82% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Eastern Ill. 23–20 UT Martin

    The bottom for UT Martin, then 6 of the next 7 rallies and the set, 26–24.

    UT Martin 4% → 24%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Eastern Ill. 11–11 UT Martin

    From 11–11, UT Martin scored 7 straight to lead 18–11. The match swung to UT Martin.

    UT Martin 26% → 51%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · Eastern Ill. 21–22 UT Martin

    UT Martin won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–22 and lead 2–1. The match swung to UT Martin.

    UT Martin 36% → 55%

UT Martin above 50Eastern Ill. belowMax swing 8.8%

Eastern Ill.UT Martin

Sideout %
Eastern Ill. 43.2·UT Martin 50.0
Break %
Eastern Ill. 50.0·UT Martin 56.8
Hitting
Eastern Ill. .098·UT Martin .218
Longest run
Eastern Ill. 5·UT Martin 7

Sophie Diouf
3 of her kills came in the stretches above. 12 K, .345, 13.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UT Martin above 50 · Eastern Ill. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+8.8% UT MARrally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.8% to UT Martin — set 3, E ILL 21-23 UT MAR. Kill by Carly Mueller (set by Dylan Sulcer). UT MAR win probability 36% → 44%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

E ILL 71.4%28.6% UT MAR

Eastern Ill. wins

3-0
24.3%
3-1
27.4%
3-2
19.8%

UT Martin wins

3-0
5.3%
3-1
10.0%
3-2
13.3%
E ILL break %
45.6% vs this opp
UT MAR break %
41.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Carly MuellerKill+8.8%

    Kill by Carly Mueller (set by Dylan Sulcer)

    Set 3 · E ILL 21-23 UT MAR · UT MAR 36% → 44%

  2. 02
    Mirea ThederahnAttack error+7.0%

    Attack error by Mirea Thederahn

    Set 3 · E ILL 21-24 UT MAR · UT MAR 44% → 52%

  3. 03
    Jorah RutterKill+6.9%

    Kill by Jorah Rutter (set by Hannah Hawkins)

    Set 3 · E ILL 21-21 UT MAR · E ILL 64% → 70%

  4. 04
    Kaeden FoxxAttack error+6.8%

    Attack error by Kaeden Foxx

    Set 2 · E ILL 24-26 UT MAR · UT MAR 17% → 24%

  5. 05
    Maddy GladsonKill+6.1%

    Kill by Maddy Gladson (set by Dylan Sulcer)

    Set 3 · E ILL 21-22 UT MAR · UT MAR 30% → 36%

  6. 06
    Luli ArcucciKill+5.7%

    Kill by Luli Arcucci (set by Dylan Sulcer)

    Set 2 · E ILL 24-25 UT MAR · UT MAR 11% → 17%

  7. 07

    Kill by Katie Kopshever (set by Anna McEwen)

    Set 3 · E ILL 19-20 UT MAR · E ILL 59% → 65%

  8. 08
    Eastern Ill.Service error+5.2%

    Eastern Ill. service error

    Set 3 · E ILL 19-21 UT MAR · UT MAR 35% → 40%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
423749.327031120111.527.5
48925-.040000100008
43111.18201100031.55.5
43523-.08700041010.53.5
42214.00000000010.52.5
4000–2622700002
47521.095000100218
4001.000111910001
4001.0005122110001
4000–1411800001
2012-.500000100000
2000–000000000
1112.000000000001
1013-.333000000000
1001.000000000000
Team totals4732153.098469864318583
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411433.21212242031.514.5
412229.34500040031.513.5
410631.12910231031.511.5
49422.22700010052.511.5
46013.4623400141031.57.5
2126-.16711000010.52.5
4000–3011630000
4000–9001810000
4000–100710000
33213.077100100636
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5220147.21851356890241296

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Eastern Ill. vs UT Martin

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 E ILL · UT MAR 7

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 E ILLUT MAR 4

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 4 E ILLUT MAR 7

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 E ILLUT MAR 7

Set 4

12-25

Longest run 3 E ILLUT MAR 5

Bars above the line = UT Martin leads, below = Eastern Ill. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Eastern Ill.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
30%8/27
50%6/12
2
78%7/9
56%10/18
3
41%7/17
59%10/17
4
64%7/11
56%9/16
5
47%7/15
36%4/11
6
31%5/16
30%3/10
All
43%41/95
50%42/84

UT Martin

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
65%11/17
2
47%8/17
60%12/20
3
47%7/15
46%6/13
4
54%7/13
53%8/15
5
64%7/11
42%5/12
6
42%5/12
67%12/18
All
50%42/84
57%54/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#E ILL-UT MARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UT MARE ILLKillAnaya Rawlinsonset Alanys Nieves+1.1
21-1E ILLUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Maddy Gladson+1.2
32-1UT MARE ILLServe errUT Martin+1.1
42-2E ILLUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Lauren Mariscal+1.2
52-3UT MARUT MARAttack errKatie Kopshever+1.8
63-3UT MARE ILLAttack errCarly Mueller+1.3
73-4E ILLUT MARKillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+1.4
84-4UT MARE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Hannah Hawkins+1.3
94-5E ILLUT MARServe errEastern Ill.+1.4
105-5UT MARE ILLServe errUT Martin+1.3
115-6E ILLUT MAR×4KillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+1.5
125-7UT MARUT MAR×4Attack errMirea Thederahn+2.2
135-8UT MARUT MAR×4KillDylan Sulcerset Lauren Mariscal+2.3
145-9UT MARUT MAR×4BlockedJorah Rutterblk Luli Arcucci, Rylee Key+2.3
156-9UT MARE ILLAttack errLuli Arcucci+1.4
167-9E ILLE ILLBad setDylan Sulcer+2.1
177-10E ILLUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+1.8
188-10UT MARE ILL×5BlockedSophie Dioufblk Mirea Thederahn, Anaya Rawlinson+1.5
199-10E ILLE ILL×5KillAbana Teranset Alanys Nieves+2.2
2010-10E ILLE ILL×5KillKatie Kopsheverset Ariadna Pereles+2.2
2111-10E ILLE ILL×5KillAnaya Rawlinson+2.1
2212-10E ILLE ILL×5Attack errRylee Key+1.9
2312-11E ILLUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+1.4
2413-11UT MARE ILL×4Attack errMaddy Gladson+1.4
2514-11E ILLE ILL×4AceEastern Ill.aced Luli Arcucci+1.7
2615-11E ILLE ILL×4Attack errSophie Diouf+1.4
2716-11E ILLE ILL×4Attack errLuli Arcucci+1.0
2816-12E ILLUT MAR×4KillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+0.6
2916-13UT MARUT MAR×4Attack errAbana Teran+1.2
3016-14UT MARUT MAR×4KillSophie Dioufset Rylee Key+1.6
3116-15UT MARUT MAR×4AceUT Martinaced Anna McEwen+2.2
3217-15UT MARE ILL×3KillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+1.7
3318-15E ILLE ILL×3AceEastern Ill.aced Luli Arcucci+2.0
3419-15E ILLE ILL×3BlockedCarly Muellerblk Emma Hanson, Jorah Rutter+1.5
3519-16E ILLUT MAR×3BlockedJorah Rutterblk Carly Mueller, Maddy Gladson+0.8
3619-17UT MARUT MAR×3KillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+1.7
3719-18UT MARUT MAR×3KillDylan Sulcerset Abby Freund+2.5
3820-18UT MARE ILLServe errUT Martin+2.1
3920-19E ILLUT MARAttack errMirea Thederahn+2.0
4021-19UT MARE ILLKillEmma Hansonset Hannah Hawkins+2.3
4121-20E ILLUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+2.0
4222-20UT MARE ILL×4KillMirea Thederahnset Ariadna Pereles+2.5
4323-20E ILLE ILL×4KillAbana Teranset Ariadna Pereles+2.5
4424-20E ILLE ILL×4AceEastern Ill.aced Dylan Sulcer+1.3
4525-20E ILLE ILL×4KillMirea Thederahnset Alanys Nieves+0.3
Set 2
11-0E ILLE ILLAceEastern Ill.aced Maddy Gladson+1.1
21-1E ILLUT MAR×7KillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+0.9
31-2UT MARUT MAR×7Attack errAbana Teran+1.3
41-3UT MARUT MAR×7AceUT Martinaced Mirea Thederahn+1.4
51-4UT MARUT MAR×7Attack errAbana Teran+1.5
61-5UT MARUT MAR×7AceUT Martinaced Ariadna Pereles+1.5
71-6UT MARUT MAR×7KillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+1.5
81-7UT MARUT MAR×7Attack errAnaya Rawlinson+1.4
92-7UT MARE ILLKillMirea Thederahnset Alanys Nieves+0.8
103-7E ILLE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+1.3
113-8E ILLUT MARKillMia Saenzset Dylan Sulcer+1.2
124-8UT MARE ILLKillAbana Teranset Alanys Nieves+0.9
135-8E ILLE ILLBad setDylan Sulcer+1.4
145-9E ILLUT MARServe errEastern Ill.+1.3
156-9UT MARE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+1.0
167-9E ILLE ILLBlockedMaddy Gladsonblk Emma Hanson, Jorah Rutter+1.5
177-10E ILLUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+1.3
188-10UT MARE ILLBlockedMaddy Gladsonblk Katie Kopshever+1.1
199-10E ILLE ILLAceEastern Ill.aced Abby Freund+1.6
209-11E ILLUT MARKillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+1.4
219-12UT MARUT MARKillDylan Sulcerset Penny Kirkham+1.9
2210-12UT MARE ILLKillEmma Hansonset Hannah Hawkins+1.2
2311-12E ILLE ILLAttack errMia Saenz+1.7
2411-13E ILLUT MARServe errEastern Ill.+1.5
2512-13UT MARE ILLKillJorah Rutterset Hannah Hawkins+1.3
2612-14E ILLUT MARKillMia Saenzset Dylan Sulcer+1.5
2712-15UT MARUT MARAttack errAbana Teran+2.1
2813-15UT MARE ILLKillAbana Teranset Alanys Nieves+1.3
2913-16E ILLUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Lauren Mariscal+1.6
3014-16UT MARE ILL×4KillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+1.3
3115-16E ILLE ILL×4KillEmma Hansonset Alanys Nieves+2.0
3216-16E ILLE ILL×4KillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+2.1
3317-16E ILLE ILL×4Attack errMaddy Gladson+2.1
3417-17E ILLUT MAR×3BlockedKatie Kopsheverblk Carly Mueller, Dylan Sulcer+1.6
3517-18UT MARUT MAR×3Attack errAbana Teran+2.5
3617-19UT MARUT MAR×3KillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+2.7
3718-19UT MARE ILL×3KillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+1.7
3819-19E ILLE ILL×3KillJorah Rutterset Hannah Hawkins+2.6
3920-19E ILLE ILL×3KillJorah Rutterset Ariadna Pereles+2.6
4020-20E ILLUT MARKillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+2.0
4121-20UT MARE ILL×3KillKatie Kopsheverset Hannah Hawkins+2.1
4222-20E ILLE ILL×3AceEastern Ill.aced Penny Kirkham+2.6
4323-20E ILLE ILL×3AceEastern Ill.aced Abby Freund+1.8
4423-21E ILLUT MAR×3BlockedMirea Thederahnblk Carly Mueller, Dylan Sulcer+0.8
4523-22UT MARUT MAR×3Attack errJorah Rutter+2.1
4623-23UT MARUT MAR×3Attack errKatie Kopshever+3.8
4724-23UT MARE ILLKillJorah Rutterset Hannah Hawkins+3.6
4824-24E ILLUT MAR×3KillDylan Sulcerset Lauren Mariscal+3.6
4924-25UT MARUT MAR×3KillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+5.7
5024-26UT MARUT MAR×3Attack errKaeden Foxx+6.8
Set 3
10-1UT MARUT MARBlockedAbana Teranblk Mia Saenz, Sophie Diouf+2.7
21-1UT MARE ILL×3KillAbana Teranset Alanys Nieves+1.9
32-1E ILLE ILL×3KillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+2.5
43-1E ILLE ILL×3KillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+2.3
53-2E ILLUT MARServe errEastern Ill.+1.7
64-2UT MARE ILLKillAbana Teranset Alanys Nieves+1.7
74-3E ILLUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+1.7
85-3UT MARE ILLKillAbana Teranset Alanys Nieves+1.7
96-3E ILLE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Hannah Hawkins+2.1
106-4E ILLUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Lauren Mariscal+1.5
117-4UT MARE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Hannah Hawkins+1.6
127-5E ILLUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+1.6
137-6UT MARUT MARAttack errEmma Hanson+2.5
148-6UT MARE ILLAttack errCarly Mueller+1.9
159-6E ILLE ILLAceEastern Ill.aced Abby Freund+2.3
169-7E ILLUT MAR×5KillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+1.6
179-8UT MARUT MAR×5BlockedAnaya Rawlinsonblk Mia Saenz, Dylan Sulcer+2.7
189-9UT MARUT MAR×5KillLuli Arcucciset Mia Saenz+3.2
199-10UT MARUT MAR×5Attack errJorah Rutter+3.6
209-11UT MARUT MAR×5KillLuli Arcucciset Lauren Mariscal+3.9
2110-11UT MARE ILLKillJorah Rutterset Hannah Hawkins+2.6
2211-11E ILLE ILLAttack errLuli Arcucci+3.6
2311-12E ILLUT MAR×7KillDylan Sulcerset Abby Freund+2.9
2411-13UT MARUT MAR×7KillSophie Dioufset Lauren Mariscal+4.3
2511-14UT MARUT MAR×7Attack errAbana Teran+4.4
2611-15UT MARUT MAR×7Attack errAlana Guibert Rivera+4.2
2711-16UT MARUT MAR×7KillSophie Dioufset Luli Arcucci+3.8
2811-17UT MARUT MAR×7KillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+3.1
2911-18UT MARUT MAR×7Attack errSydney Javes+2.3
3012-18UT MARE ILLKillAlana Guibert Riveraset Alanys Nieves+1.0
3113-18E ILLE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Ariadna Pereles+1.9
3213-19E ILLUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+2.2
3314-19UT MARE ILL×4KillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+1.3
3415-19E ILLE ILL×4KillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+2.5
3516-19E ILLE ILL×4KillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+3.3
3617-19E ILLE ILL×4Attack errRylee Key+4.2
3717-20E ILLUT MARServe errEastern Ill.+4.3
3818-20UT MARE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+3.0
3919-20E ILLE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Anna McEwen+5.4
4019-21E ILLUT MARServe errEastern Ill.+5.2
4120-21UT MARE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Hannah Hawkins+4.0
4221-21E ILLE ILLKillJorah Rutterset Hannah Hawkins+6.9
4321-22E ILLUT MAR×3KillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+6.1
4421-23UT MARUT MAR×3KillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+8.8
4521-24UT MARUT MAR×3Attack errMirea Thederahn+7.0
4622-24UT MARE ILLServe errUT Martin+1.9
4722-25E ILLUT MARKillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+5.0
Set 4
10-1E ILLUT MAR×3Serve errEastern Ill.+3.1
20-2UT MARUT MAR×3BlockedAbana Teranblk Mia Saenz, Sophie Diouf+4.5
30-3UT MARUT MAR×3KillLuli Arcucciset Lauren Mariscal+4.7
41-3UT MARE ILLKillAbana Teranset Alanys Nieves+3.0
52-3E ILLE ILLAceEastern Ill.aced Lauren Mariscal+4.3
62-4E ILLUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+3.5
72-5UT MARUT MARBlockedKatie Kopsheverblk Carly Mueller, Maddy Gladson+5.0
83-5UT MARE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+3.2
93-6E ILLUT MAR×5KillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+3.8
103-7UT MARUT MAR×5BlockedAbana Teranblk Maddy Gladson, Carly Mueller+5.2
113-8UT MARUT MAR×5KillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+5.0
123-9UT MARUT MAR×5KillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+4.7
133-10UT MARUT MAR×5Attack errKatie Kopshever+4.2
144-10UT MARE ILL×3KillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+2.2
155-10E ILLE ILL×3Attack errMaddy Gladson+3.7
166-10E ILLE ILL×3BlockedCarly Muellerblk Emma Hanson, Katie Kopshever+4.2
176-11E ILLUT MAR×3KillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+4.0
186-12UT MARUT MAR×3Bad setHannah Hawkins+4.8
196-13UT MARUT MAR×3KillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+4.1
207-13UT MARE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Hannah Hawkins+2.1
217-14E ILLUT MAR×3KillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+3.0
227-15UT MARUT MAR×3BlockedJorah Rutterblk Luli Arcucci, Mia Saenz+3.2
237-16UT MARUT MAR×3KillDylan Sulcerset Abby Freund+2.3
248-16UT MARE ILLAttack errLuli Arcucci+1.0
259-16E ILLE ILLAttack errMia Saenz+1.9
269-17E ILLUT MAR×3KillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+2.1
279-18UT MARUT MAR×3Attack errKatie Kopshever+1.9
289-19UT MARUT MAR×3KillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+1.1
2910-19UT MARE ILLKillJorah Rutterset Hannah Hawkins+0.4
3010-20E ILLUT MAR×4Serve errEastern Ill.+0.7
3110-21UT MARUT MAR×4BlockedMirea Thederahnblk Mia Saenz, Sophie Diouf+0.4
3210-22UT MARUT MAR×4KillSophie Dioufset Lauren Mariscal+0.2
3310-23UT MARUT MAR×4KillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer·
3411-23UT MARE ILLServe errUT Martin·
3512-23E ILLE ILLAttack errMaddy Gladson·
3612-24E ILLUT MARKillMia Saenzset Dylan Sulcer·
3712-25UT MARUT MARAttack errKatie Kopshever·

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Ill. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).