FinalSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Eastern Ill. def. UT Martin 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Eastern Ill. 76.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Eastern Ill. won at UT Martin 3-0 (25-16, 25-19, 25-18) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Eastern Ill.'s Katie Kopshever led with 13 kills, and Ariadna Pereles added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set123Sets
E ILL2525253
UT MAR1619180

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Katie Kopshever hit .458 with 13 kills as Eastern Ill. rolled past UT Martin.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.7 points. UT Martin peaked at 23% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Eastern Ill. at 77%.

Eastern Ill.UT Martin
  • Break %+18.4 pts
    54.836.4

    Points won on own serve: 40 of 73 vs 20 of 55. UT Martin sided out 45.2% of the time.

  • Hitting+.184
    .242.058

    37 kills, 15 errors vs 29 kills, 23 errors.

UT Martin above 50Eastern Ill. belowMax swing 1.7%

Eastern Ill.UT Martin

Aces
Eastern Ill. 9·UT Martin 3
Serve err
Eastern Ill. 6·UT Martin 4
Blocks
Eastern Ill. 9·UT Martin 82 BS · 14 BA vs 0 BS · 16 BA
Digs
Eastern Ill. 44·UT Martin 34

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UT Martin above 50 · Eastern Ill. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.7% UT MARrally 128 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.7% to UT Martin — set 2, E ILL 8-8 UT MAR. Kill by Luli Arcucci (set by Lauren Mariscal). UT MAR win probability 11% → 13%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

E ILL 71.5%28.5% UT MAR

Eastern Ill. wins

3-0
24.3%
3-1
27.4%
3-2
19.7%

UT Martin wins

3-0
5.3%
3-1
9.9%
3-2
13.3%
E ILL break %
45.6% vs this opp
UT MAR break %
41.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Luli ArcucciKill+1.7%

    Kill by Luli Arcucci (set by Lauren Mariscal)

    Set 2 · E ILL 8-8 UT MAR · UT MAR 11% → 13%

  2. 02
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+1.7%

    Point Eastern Ill. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · E ILL 3-1 UT MAR · E ILL 78% → 80%

  3. 03
    UT MartinAce+1.7%

    UT Martin ace on Anna McEwen

    Set 2 · E ILL 2-4 UT MAR · UT MAR 14% → 16%

  4. 04
    Kaeden FoxxKill+1.7%

    Kill by Kaeden Foxx (set by Hannah Hawkins)

    Set 2 · E ILL 11-9 UT MAR · E ILL 88% → 90%

  5. 05

    Jorah Rutter stuffed by Carly Mueller & Sophie Diouf

    Set 2 · E ILL 2-3 UT MAR · UT MAR 13% → 14%

  6. 06
    Eastern Ill.Ace+1.6%

    Eastern Ill. ace on Maddy Gladson

    Set 2 · E ILL 4-4 UT MAR · E ILL 85% → 87%

  7. 07
    Eastern Ill.Ace+1.6%

    Eastern Ill. ace on Lauren Mariscal

    Set 2 · E ILL 6-5 UT MAR · E ILL 87% → 88%

  8. 08
    Sophie DioufAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Sophie Diouf

    Set 1 · E ILL 4-1 UT MAR · E ILL 80% → 81%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313224.4580116002115
35517.000000100216
3218.125011101436
3146-.50000000132.53.5
3103.333021910003
3001.0001310500001
39115.5330002002110
36216.25000020010.56.5
3001.0005321410003
3000–1811410001
Team totals371591.2423696443214975
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312631.19401021052.515.5
37218.27820010010.57.5
34520-.050001120004
3049-.444000000422
3103.3331301500001
2013-.333001000000
32211.000010100425
31011.0003001030001
3000–000620000
3000–001810000
2112.000500000001
1125-.200000000212
1001.000410000001
1000–000000000
Team totals2923104.0582734349016853

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Eastern Ill. vs UT Martin

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 E ILL · UT MAR 3

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 5 E ILLUT MAR 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 E ILLUT MAR 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 5 E ILLUT MAR 3

Bars above the line = UT Martin leads, below = Eastern Ill. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Eastern Ill.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%2/3
60%3/5
2
50%2/4
0%0/2
3
67%2/3
50%2/4
4
33%2/6
71%5/7
5
100%2/2
33%1/3
6
100%1/1
75%3/4
All
58%11/19
56%14/25

UT Martin

SlotSideout %Break %
1
40%2/5
0%0/1
2
100%2/2
33%1/3
3
50%2/4
50%2/4
4
29%2/7
33%1/3
5
67%2/3
67%4/6
6
25%1/4
0%0/2
All
44%11/25
42%8/19

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#E ILL-UT MARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UT MARE ILLServe errUT Martin+1.4
21-1E ILLUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+1.4
32-1UT MARE ILL×5Bad setLauren Mariscal+1.4
43-1E ILL
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.7
54-1E ILLE ILL×5Attack errSophie Diouf+1.6
65-1E ILLE ILL×5BlockedMia Saenzblk Addison Erb+1.4
76-1E ILLE ILL×5KillKatie Kopsheverset Ariadna Pereles+1.2
86-2E ILLUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+0.8
97-2UT MARE ILLKillAbana Teranset Hannah Hawkins+0.9
108-2E ILLE ILLKillAbana Teranset Hannah Hawkins+1.0
118-3E ILLUT MARServe errEastern Ill.+0.6
128-4UT MARUT MARAttack errAddison Erb+1.1
139-4UT MARE ILLAttack errMaddy Gladsonset Abby Freund+0.9
1410-4E ILLE ILLAttack errMaddy Gladson+1.0
1510-5E ILLUT MARServe errEastern Ill.+0.6
1611-5UT MARE ILLServe errUT Martin+0.7
1712-5E ILLE ILLKillKaeden Foxxset Alanys Nieves+0.7
1812-6E ILLUT MAR×3KillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+0.4
1912-7UT MARUT MAR×3Attack errJorah Rutter+0.8
2012-8UT MARUT MAR×3Attack errKaeden Foxx+1.1
2113-8UT MARE ILL×3KillKaeden Foxxset Alanys Nieves+1.0
2214-8E ILLE ILL×3KillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+1.0
2315-8E ILLE ILL×3Attack errLuli Arcucci+0.7
2415-9E ILLUT MAR×3BlockedJorah Rutterblk Luli Arcucci, Rylee Key+0.4
2515-10UT MARUT MAR×3KillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+0.7
2615-11UT MARUT MAR×3Attack errKatie Kopshever+1.1
2716-11UT MARE ILLKillJorah Rutterset Alanys Nieves+1.0
2817-11E ILLE ILLBlockedRylee Keyblk Katie Kopshever, Addison Erb+0.9
2917-12E ILLUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+0.5
3018-12UT MARE ILLKillAddison Erbset Alanys Nieves+0.7
3118-13E ILLUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Lauren Mariscal+0.5
3219-13UT MARE ILL×3KillKatie Kopsheverset Hannah Hawkins+0.7
3320-13E ILLE ILL×3KillKaeden Foxxset Hannah Hawkins+0.5
3421-13E ILLE ILL×3Attack errLuli Arcucci+0.3
3521-14E ILLUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+0.1
3621-15UT MARUT MARKillDylan Sulcerset Lauren Mariscal+0.2
3722-15UT MARE ILLKillKaeden Foxxset Hannah Hawkins+0.3
3823-15E ILLE ILLAceEastern Ill.aced Lauren Mariscal+0.1
3923-16E ILLUT MARServe errEastern Ill.·
4024-16UT MARE ILLKillAbana Teranset Hannah Hawkins+0.1
4125-16E ILLE ILLBlockedCarly Muellerblk Kaeden Foxx, Alana Guibert Rivera·
Set 2
11-0E ILLE ILLKillAlana Guibert Riveraset Alanys Nieves+1.4
21-1E ILLUT MARServe errEastern Ill.+1.1
32-1UT MARE ILLAttack errMaddy Gladsonset Lauren Mariscal+1.1
42-2E ILLUT MAR×3KillMaddy Gladsonset Sophie Diouf+1.1
52-3UT MARUT MAR×3BlockedJorah Rutterblk Carly Mueller, Sophie Diouf+1.6
62-4UT MARUT MAR×3AceUT Martinaced Anna McEwen+1.7
73-4UT MARE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+1.2
84-4E ILLE ILLAceEastern Ill.aced Maddy Gladson+1.6
94-5E ILLUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+1.3
105-5UT MARE ILL×4KillKatie Kopsheverset Hannah Hawkins+1.2
116-5E ILLE ILL×4AceEastern Ill.aced Lauren Mariscal+1.6
127-5E ILLE ILL×4KillKaeden Foxxset Hannah Hawkins+1.5
138-5E ILLE ILL×4KillKaeden Foxxset Hannah Hawkins+1.3
148-6E ILLUT MAR×3KillLuli Arcucci+1.0
158-7UT MARUT MAR×3BlockedAddison Erbblk Luli Arcucci, Carly Mueller+1.5
168-8UT MARUT MAR×3KillLuli Arcucciset Lauren Mariscal+1.7
179-8UT MARE ILLBlockedMaddy Gladsonblk Kaeden Foxx, Addison Erb+1.3
189-9E ILLUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+1.4
1910-9UT MARE ILL×3KillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+1.4
2011-9E ILLE ILL×3KillKaeden Foxxset Hannah Hawkins+1.7
2112-9E ILLE ILL×3Attack errLuli Arcucci+1.5
2212-10E ILLUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+1.1
2313-10UT MARE ILL×3BlockedLuli Arcucciblk Alana Guibert Rivera, Jorah Rutter+1.2
2414-10E ILLE ILL×3KillKatie Kopshever+1.3
2515-10E ILLE ILL×3KillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+1.0
2615-11E ILLUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.6
2715-12UT MARUT MARAceUT Martinaced Ariadna Pereles+1.1
2816-12UT MARE ILLKillAlana Guibert Riveraset Alanys Nieves+1.0
2916-13E ILLUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+0.9
3017-13UT MARE ILLKillJorah Rutterset Alanys Nieves+1.0
3118-13E ILLE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Hannah Hawkins+1.0
3218-14E ILLUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+0.6
3318-15UT MARUT MARAttack errKatie Kopshever+1.1
3419-15UT MARE ILL×3KillAnna McEwenset Hannah Hawkins+1.1
3520-15E ILLE ILL×3BlockedMaddy Gladsonblk Abana Teran, Addison Erb+1.0
3621-15E ILLE ILL×3Attack errCarly Mueller+0.6
3721-16E ILLUT MAR×3Attack errAbana Teranset Ariadna Pereles+0.3
3821-17UT MARUT MAR×3Attack errAddison Erb+0.6
3921-18UT MARUT MAR×3KillLuli Arcucciset Reagan Hamm+1.0
4022-18UT MARE ILLAttack errCarly Muellerset Reagan Hamm+1.1
4123-18E ILLE ILLAceEastern Ill.aced Penny Kirkham+0.8
4223-19E ILLUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Reagan Hamm+0.3
4324-19UT MARE ILLKillAbana Teranset Hannah Hawkins+0.5
4425-19E ILLE ILLAceEastern Ill.aced Abby Freund+0.1
Set 3
11-0UT MARE ILL×5KillJorah Rutterset Alanys Nieves+0.6
22-0E ILLE ILL×5BlockedSophie Dioufblk Katie Kopshever, Alana Guibert Rivera+0.7
33-0E ILLE ILL×5KillJorah Rutterset Ariadna Pereles+0.6
44-0E ILLE ILL×5AceEastern Ill.aced Maddy Gladson+0.6
55-0E ILLE ILL×5KillKatie Kopsheverset Ariadna Pereles+0.5
65-1E ILLUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Reagan Hamm+0.3
75-2UT MARUT MARBlockedJorah Rutterblk Chyler Martin, Carly Mueller+0.5
86-2UT MARE ILLServe errUT Martin+0.4
9–107-3E ILL · UT MAR
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
118-3E ILLE ILL×4KillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves+0.5
129-3E ILLE ILL×4KillAbana Teranset Hannah Hawkins+0.4
1310-3E ILLE ILL×4KillKatie Kopsheverset Hannah Hawkins+0.3
1410-4E ILLUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Reagan Hamm+0.2
1511-4UT MARE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Ariadna Pereles+0.2
1611-5E ILLUT MARKillReagan Hammset Hannah Hawkins+0.2
1712-5UT MARE ILLKillKaeden Foxxset Hannah Hawkins+0.2
1813-5E ILLE ILLAttack errReagan Hamm+0.2
1913-6E ILLUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Reagan Hamm+0.1
2013-7UT MARUT MARBlockedAlana Guibert Riverablk Luli Arcucci, Rylee Key+0.2
2114-7UT MARE ILLKillKaeden Foxxset Hannah Hawkins+0.2
2215-7E ILLE ILLKillJorah Rutterset Ariadna Pereles+0.2
2315-8UT MAR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
2416-8UT MARE ILL×3Attack errRylee Keyset Ida Wiszomirska+0.1
2517-8E ILLE ILL×3BlockedChyler Martinblk Jorah Rutter, Alana Guibert Rivera+0.1
2618-8E ILLE ILL×3AceEastern Ill.aced Luli Arcucci+0.1
2718-9E ILLUT MARBlockedJorah Rutterblk Chyler Martin, Rylee Key·
2819-9UT MARE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Alanys Nieves·
2919-10E ILLUT MARKillChyler Martin·
3020-10UT MARE ILLAttack errCarly Muellerset Ida Wiszomirska·
3120-11E ILLUT MARServe errEastern Ill.·
3220-12UT MARUT MARBlockedAddison Erbblk Luli Arcucci, Carly Mueller·
3321-12UT MARE ILLServe errUT Martin·
3421-13E ILLUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Ida Wiszomirska·
3521-14UT MARUT MARBlockedAbana Teranblk Luli Arcucci, Rylee Key+0.1
3622-14UT MARE ILLAttack errLuli Arcucciset Ida Wiszomirska+0.1
3723-14E ILLE ILLAceEastern Ill.aced Abby Freund·
3823-15E ILLUT MAR×3KillRylee Keyset Ida Wiszomirska·
3923-16UT MARUT MAR×3AceUT Martinaced Hannah Hawkins·
4023-17UT MARUT MAR×3KillLuli Arcucciset Ida Wiszomirska·
4124-17UT MARE ILLKillAbana Teranset Hannah Hawkins+0.1
4224-18E ILLUT MARKillLauren Mariscalset Sophie Diouf·
4325-18UT MARE ILLBlockedChyler Martinblk Alana Guibert Rivera·

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Ill. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).