Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 18, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Rice def. Wichita St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Rice 67.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 18, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Rice won at Wichita St. 3-1 (25-18, 17-25, 25-11, 25-17) on Sun, Oct 18, 2026. Rice's Sydnee Peterson led with 17 kills, and Jordan Hummel added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 18

Set1234Sets
RICE251725253
WICHST182511171

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Rice broke it open with a 10–0 run in the third set.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.6 points. Wichita St. peaked at 46% in Set 3. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Rice at 68%.

RiceWichita St.
  • Break %+14.1 pts
    51.637.5

    47 of 91 on serve vs 27 of 72, so Wichita St.'s sideout was 48.4%.

  • Hitting+.123
    .344.221

    56 K / 11 E against 47 K / 16 E.

  • Longest run+5
    105

    From 7–7 in the third set, Rice scored 10 straight to lead 17–7. Final score of the set: 25–11.

Wichita St. above 50Rice belowMax swing 3.6%

RiceWichita St.

Aces
Rice 9·Wichita St. 8
Serve err
Rice 5·Wichita St. 10
Blocks
Rice 9·Wichita St. 62 BS · 14 BA vs 0 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Rice 65·Wichita St. 58

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Wichita St. above 50 · Rice below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.6% RICErally 163 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.6% to Rice — set 3, RICE 7-6 WICHST. Attack error by McKenzie Jones. WICHST win probability 38% → 34%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

RICE 73.4%26.6% WICHST

Rice wins

3-0
25.7%
3-1
28.1%
3-2
19.5%

Wichita St. wins

3-0
4.8%
3-1
9.2%
3-2
12.6%
RICE break %
43.8% vs this opp
WICHST break %
39.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    McKenzie JonesAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by McKenzie Jones

    Set 3 · RICE 7-6 WICHST · RICE 62% → 66%

  2. 02
    Ashlyn SeayKill+3.6%

    Kill by Ashlyn Seay (set by Savannah Skopal)

    Set 3 · RICE 9-7 WICHST · RICE 66% → 69%

  3. 03
    Olivia CoheeKill+3.5%

    Kill by Olivia Cohee (set by Maddie Wilson)

    Set 3 · RICE 0-3 WICHST · WICHST 43% → 46%

  4. 04
    Maddie WilsonKill+3.4%

    Kill by Maddie Wilson (set by Jordan Heatherly)

    Set 3 · RICE 0-2 WICHST · WICHST 40% → 43%

  5. 05

    Ace by Jordan Hummel

    Set 3 · RICE 3-3 WICHST · RICE 59% → 63%

  6. 06

    Ace by Jordan Hummel on Grace Hett

    Set 3 · RICE 2-3 WICHST · RICE 56% → 59%

  7. 07

    Kill by McKenzie Jones (set by Gabi Maas)

    Set 3 · RICE 0-1 WICHST · WICHST 36% → 40%

  8. 08

    Kill by Sydnee Peterson (set by Savannah Skopal)

    Set 3 · RICE 10-7 WICHST · RICE 69% → 73%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Riceaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417341.341101121031.518.5
49116.5000001014312
4113.0004642120010.55.5
4000–101500000
2114.00000020010.51.5
2115.000000000001
414338.2890208202117
4001.0004211620002
4000–010710001
38114.50000010010.58.5
3509.556000101227
2000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5611131.3445295658214992
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410328.25000011010.510.5
47221.2380212002110
48321.2381000004210
49327.222102112010.59.5
48320.25000100031.59.5
4002.0002312900001
45220.15000040010.55.5
4001.0001232500003
4000–121910002
23Gabi MaasL/DS
4000–4011710000
1000–000000000
Team totals4716140.22142810589012671

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Rice vs Wichita St.

Season series · Rice leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 10 RICE · WICHST 5

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 RICEWICHST 4

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 2 RICEWICHST 5

Set 3

25-11

Longest run 10 RICEWICHST 3

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 5 RICEWICHST 4

Bars above the line = Wichita St. leads, below = Rice leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rice

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
53%9/17
2
57%8/14
25%3/12
3
80%8/10
33%4/12
4
54%7/13
50%7/14
5
60%6/10
54%7/13
6
67%6/9
74%17/23
All
63%45/72
52%47/91

Wichita St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
43%6/14
2
64%9/14
18%2/11
3
78%7/9
47%7/15
4
47%7/15
36%4/11
5
25%6/24
30%3/10
6
50%6/12
45%5/11
All
48%44/91
38%27/72

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

163 rallies

#RICE-WICHSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0WICHSTRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal+1.6
21-1RICEWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly+1.6
32-1WICHSTRICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.6
43-1RICERICE×3Attack errMaddie Wilson+2.2
54-1RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.0
64-2RICEWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Jordan Heatherly+1.4
74-3WICHSTWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Jordan Heatherly+2.2
85-3WICHSTRICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Jordan Hummel+1.6
96-3RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.1
107-3RICERICE×3AceDeclan Eastman+1.9
117-4RICEWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Jordan Heatherly+1.2
128-4WICHSTRICEServe errWichita St.+1.3
138-5RICEWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Gabi Maas+1.2
149-5WICHSTRICE×4Serve errWichita St.+1.3
1510-5RICERICE×4KillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.6
1611-5RICERICE×4KillSavannah Skopal+1.3
1712-5RICERICE×4KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+1.0
1812-6RICEWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Addie Oeth+0.5
1913-6WICHSTRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+0.7
2014-6RICERICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+0.7
2114-7RICEWICHSTKillMaddie Wilson+0.3
2214-8WICHSTWICHSTServe errWichita St.+0.7
2315-8WICHSTRICEServe errWichita St.+0.6
2415-9RICEWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+0.4
2516-9WICHSTRICEBlockedDanielle Mooreblk Arissa Smith, Sydnee Peterson+0.6
2616-10RICEWICHSTServe errJordan Hummel+0.4
2717-10WICHSTRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+0.6
2817-11RICEWICHST×4KillJanaya Weitkemperset Jordan Heatherly+0.4
2917-12WICHSTWICHST×4AceJordan Heatherlyaced Declan Eastman+0.8
3017-13WICHSTWICHST×4AceAddie Oethaced Jordan Hummel+1.2
3117-14WICHSTWICHST×4KillJenna Cubbageset Addie Oeth+1.8
3218-14WICHSTRICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.6
3319-14RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.7
3420-14RICERICE×3BlockedJenna Cubbageblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Savannah Skopal+1.0
3520-15RICEWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+0.4
3621-15WICHSTRICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+0.7
3722-15RICERICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+0.4
3823-15RICERICE×3BlockedJanaya Weitkemperblk Arissa Smith, Ashlyn Seay+0.2
3923-16RICEWICHSTKillJenna Cubbageset Addie Oeth·
4023-17WICHSTWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Addie Oeth+0.1
4124-17WICHSTRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+0.1
4224-18RICEWICHSTKillJenna Cubbageset Addie Oeth·
4325-18WICHSTRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Jordan Hummel+0.1
Set 2
10-1RICEWICHSTBlockedKellen Dorotikblk McKenzie Jones, Maddie Wilson+1.4
21-1WICHSTRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.4
31-2RICEWICHSTBlockedSydnee Petersonblk Danielle Moore, Maddie Wilson+1.5
42-2WICHSTRICEAttack errMaddie Wilson+1.4
52-3RICEWICHSTAttack errStephanie Gutierrez+1.5
63-3WICHSTRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+1.4
74-3RICERICEAttack errOlivia Cohee+2.0
84-4RICEWICHST×4KillJanaya Weitkemperset Jordan Heatherly+1.5
94-5WICHSTWICHST×4KillJanaya Weitkemperset Gabi Maas+2.2
104-6WICHSTWICHST×4AceAddie Oethaced Ashlyn Seay+2.3
114-7WICHSTWICHST×4KillJenna Cubbageset Gabi Maas+2.3
125-7WICHSTRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+1.4
136-7RICERICEAttack errJenna Cubbage+2.2
146-8RICEWICHSTBlockedSavannah Skopalblk Olivia Cohee, Janaya Weitkemper+1.7
156-9WICHSTWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Addie Oeth+2.4
167-9WICHSTRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.5
178-9RICERICEBad setMcKenzie Jones+2.3
188-10RICEWICHSTAttack errAshlyn Seay+1.8
199-10WICHSTRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.7
209-11RICEWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Olivia Cohee+1.9
219-12WICHSTWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+2.6
2210-12WICHSTRICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+1.6
2311-12RICERICEKillAmalia Simmons+2.5
2411-13RICEWICHST×5KillDanielle Mooreset Jordan Heatherly+2.0
2511-14WICHSTWICHST×5KillMaddie Wilson+2.8
2611-15WICHSTWICHST×5KillDanielle Mooreset Jordan Heatherly+2.5
2711-16WICHSTWICHST×5KillDanielle Mooreset Jordan Heatherly+2.2
2811-17WICHSTWICHST×5AceAddie Oeth+1.7
2912-17WICHSTRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+0.8
3012-18RICEWICHSTKillDanielle Mooreset Jordan Heatherly+1.2
3113-18WICHSTRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+0.7
3213-19RICEWICHSTBlockedAshlyn Seayblk Janaya Weitkemper, Danielle Moore+1.1
3314-19WICHSTRICEServe errWichita St.+0.6
3414-20RICEWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Addie Oeth+1.0
3515-20WICHSTRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+0.6
3615-21RICEWICHSTServe errSavannah Skopal+0.9
3716-21WICHSTRICEServe errWichita St.+0.5
3816-22RICEWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Addie Oeth+0.8
3916-23WICHSTWICHSTKillDanielle Mooreset Jordan Heatherly+0.5
4017-23WICHSTRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+0.1
4117-24RICEWICHSTAttack errSydnee Peterson+0.2
4217-25WICHSTWICHSTAceGrace Hett+0.1
Set 3
10-1WICHSTWICHST×3KillMcKenzie Jonesset Gabi Maas+3.3
20-2WICHSTWICHST×3KillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+3.4
30-3WICHSTWICHST×3KillOlivia Coheeset Maddie Wilson+3.5
41-3WICHSTRICE×3Serve errWichita St.+2.2
52-3RICERICE×3AceJordan Hummelaced Grace Hett+3.3
63-3RICERICE×3AceJordan Hummel+3.4
73-4RICEWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+2.5
84-4WICHSTRICEBlockedJanaya Weitkemperblk Arissa Smith+2.4
94-5RICEWICHSTKillDanielle Mooreset Jordan Heatherly+2.6
105-5WICHSTRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.5
115-6RICEWICHSTKillJenna Cubbageset Grace Hett+2.6
126-6WICHSTRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+2.5
137-6RICERICEAttack errMcKenzie Jones+3.6
147-7RICEWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Addie Oeth+2.6
158-7WICHSTRICE×10KillAshlyn Seayset Sydnee Peterson+2.6
169-7RICERICE×10KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+3.6
1710-7RICERICE×10KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+3.2
1811-7RICERICE×10AceSavannah Skopalaced McKenzie Jones+2.8
1912-7RICERICE×10KillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+2.3
2013-7RICERICE×10KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+1.8
2114-7RICERICE×10KillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+1.3
2215-7RICERICE×10BlockedMaddie Wilsonblk Ellie Schneider+0.9
2316-7RICERICE×10AceSavannah Skopalaced Gabi Maas+0.5
2417-7RICERICE×10KillAshlyn Seayset Jordan Hummel+0.3
2517-8RICEWICHSTAttack errAmalia Simmons+0.1
2618-8WICHSTRICE×3Serve errWichita St.+0.2
2719-8RICERICE×3AceAshlyn Seayaced Olivia Cohee+0.1
2820-8RICERICE×3KillAmalia Simmonsset Jordan Hummel+0.1
2920-9RICEWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly·
3021-9WICHSTRICEKillEllie Schneiderset Savannah Skopal·
3121-10RICEWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Jordan Heatherly·
3222-10WICHSTRICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal·
3323-10RICERICE×3Attack errOlivia Cohee·
3424-10RICERICE×3BlockedDanielle Mooreblk Arissa Smith, Sydnee Peterson·
3524-11RICEWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Jordan Heatherly·
3625-11WICHSTRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal·
Set 4
11-0RICERICE×4BlockedDanielle Mooreblk Sydnee Peterson, Ellie Schneider+2.7
22-0RICERICE×4BlockedMcKenzie Jonesblk Arissa Smith, Amalia Simmons+2.6
33-0RICERICE×4KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.4
44-0RICERICE×4KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.1
54-1RICEWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly+1.4
65-1WICHSTRICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+1.5
75-2RICEWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Jordan Heatherly+1.4
86-2WICHSTRICEServe errWichita St.+1.5
96-3RICEWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Jordan Heatherly+1.4
106-4WICHSTWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+2.4
117-4WICHSTRICE×5KillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.8
128-4RICERICE×5BlockedOlivia Coheeblk Ellie Schneider, Ashlyn Seay+2.3
139-4RICERICE×5KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+1.9
1410-4RICERICE×5KillEllie Schneiderset Savannah Skopal+1.6
1511-4RICERICE×5KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+1.2
1611-5RICEWICHSTServe errMari Furoyama+0.6
1712-5WICHSTRICE×3Serve errWichita St.+0.8
1813-5RICERICE×3KillEllie Schneiderset Savannah Skopal+0.8
1914-5RICERICE×3AceRice+0.5
2014-6RICEWICHST×4Serve errRice+0.3
2114-7WICHSTWICHST×4AceGrace Hettaced Jordan Hummel+0.5
2214-8WICHSTWICHST×4BlockedAshlyn Seayblk Maddie Wilson, Jenna Cubbage+0.8
2314-9WICHSTWICHST×4AceJanaya Weitkemperaced Sydnee Peterson+1.2
2415-9WICHSTRICE×3KillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+1.0
2516-9RICERICE×3AceRice+1.0
2617-9RICERICE×3Attack errMcKenzie Jones+0.7
2717-10RICEWICHST×3KillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly+0.3
2817-11WICHSTWICHST×3BlockedSydnee Petersonblk Maddie Wilson, Danielle Moore+0.6
2917-12WICHSTWICHST×3AceJanaya Weitkemperaced Ashlyn Seay+1.0
3018-12WICHSTRICE×3KillEllie Schneiderset Savannah Skopal+1.0
3119-12RICERICE×3KillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+0.9
3220-12RICERICE×3KillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+0.5
3320-13RICEWICHSTKillDanielle Mooreset Jordan Heatherly+0.2
3421-13WICHSTRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+0.3
3521-14RICEWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+0.1
3621-15WICHSTWICHSTKillDanielle Mooreset Gabi Maas+0.3
3722-15WICHSTRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+0.4
3822-16RICEWICHSTServe errRice+0.1
3923-16WICHSTRICEServe errWichita St.+0.3
4023-17RICEWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Jordan Heatherly+0.1
4124-17WICHSTRICEKillEllie Schneiderset Savannah Skopal+0.2
4225-17RICERICEAceSavannah Skopalaced Olivia Cohee·

Score shown after each rally, Rice first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).