FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Rice def. Wichita St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Rice 72.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Rice beat visiting Wichita St. 3-0 (25-21, 25-22, 25-19) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Rice's Sydnee Peterson led with 12 kills, and Jordan Hummel added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set123Sets
WICHST2122190
RICE2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Rice won all three sets by six or fewer.

Win probability never moved more than 4.6 points on one rally; Wichita St. topped out at 42% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Rice 73% before first serve.

Wichita St.Rice
  • Break %+11.2 pts
    31.342.5

    31 of 73 on serve vs 20 of 64, so Wichita St.'s sideout was 57.5%.

  • Longest run+0
    66

    6 straight Rice points in the third set stretched a 14–11 lead to 20–11. Final score of the set: 25–19.

Rice above 50Wichita St. belowMax swing 4.6%

Wichita St.Rice

Hitting
Wichita St. .213·Rice .218
Aces
Wichita St. 1·Rice 5
Serve err
Wichita St. 10·Rice 5
Blocks
Wichita St. 7·Rice 42 BS · 10 BA vs 3 BS · 2 BA
Digs
Wichita St. 60·Rice 63

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Rice above 50 · Wichita St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.6% RICErally 137 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.6% to Rice — set 1, WICHST 19-20 RICE. Kill by Kellen Dorotik (set by Ashlyn Seay). RICE win probability 70% → 74%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WICHST 15.9%84.1% RICE

Wichita St. wins

3-0
2.4%
3-1
5.1%
3-2
8.4%

Rice wins

3-0
36.0%
3-1
31.2%
3-2
16.9%
WICHST break %
37.6% vs this opp
RICE break %
45.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Kellen Dorotik (set by Ashlyn Seay)

    Set 1 · WICHST 19-20 RICE · RICE 70% → 74%

  2. 02
    Ashlyn SeayAttack error+4.5%

    Attack error by Ashlyn Seay

    Set 1 · WICHST 19-18 RICE · WICHST 29% → 33%

  3. 03
    Ashlyn SeayKill+4.2%

    Kill by Ashlyn Seay (set by Savannah Skopal)

    Set 1 · WICHST 19-21 RICE · RICE 74% → 79%

  4. 04
    Allie PaulsenAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Allie Paulsen

    Set 2 · WICHST 18-19 RICE · RICE 83% → 86%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kellen Dorotik (set by Savannah Skopal)

    Set 1 · WICHST 19-22 RICE · RICE 79% → 82%

  6. 06
    McKenzie JonesAttack error+3.1%

    Attack error by McKenzie Jones

    Set 1 · WICHST 13-13 RICE · RICE 68% → 71%

  7. 07
    RiceAce+3.1%

    Rice ace on Olivia Cohee

    Set 1 · WICHST 13-14 RICE · RICE 71% → 74%

  8. 08

    Kill by Sydnee Peterson (set by Savannah Skopal)

    Set 2 · WICHST 18-20 RICE · RICE 86% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311321.3810037002112
311227.33310020010.511.5
36017.35300000132.58.5
35320.10000011010.55.5
33225.040301102010.53.5
3000–1501700000
33312.000000001225
3000–112600001
3000–1702700000
23Gabi MaasL/DS
3000–2012010000
Team totals3913122.21339110605210762
Ricehome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312642.14320216010113
38019.421010100009
37218.27800000111.58.5
35415.067000200005
3205.400401270010.53.5
3000–130900003
3001.000001700000
3000–1001800000
28119.368000200008
23411-.091100101014
1102.500000000001
1001.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4617133.218455563132475

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Wichita St. vs Rice

Season series · Rice leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 WICHST · RICE 6

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 6 WICHSTRICE 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 2 WICHSTRICE 3

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 5 WICHSTRICE 6

Bars above the line = Rice leads, below = Wichita St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Wichita St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%5/7
0%0/6
2
100%5/5
55%6/11
3
50%5/10
29%2/7
4
63%5/8
17%1/6
5
50%5/10
29%2/7
6
56%5/9
29%2/7
All
61%30/49
30%13/44

Rice

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%6/7
50%5/10
2
45%5/11
17%1/6
3
83%5/6
44%4/9
4
71%5/7
29%2/7
5
71%5/7
38%3/8
6
83%5/6
44%4/9
All
70%31/44
39%19/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#WICHST-RICESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1WICHSTRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal+1.4
21-1RICEWICHST×6KillOlivia Coheeset Gabi Maas+1.5
32-1WICHSTWICHST×6AceGrace Hett+2.3
43-1WICHSTWICHST×6BlockedKellen Dorotikblk Maddie Wilson, Jenna Cubbage+2.4
54-1WICHSTWICHST×6BlockedSydnee Petersonblk McKenzie Jones, Maddie Wilson+2.5
65-1WICHSTWICHST×6Attack errKellen Dorotik+2.4
76-1WICHSTWICHST×6KillJenna Cubbageset Grace Hett+2.3
86-2WICHSTRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.3
97-2RICEWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+1.7
108-2WICHSTWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Jordan Heatherly+2.1
118-3WICHSTRICEServe errWichita St.+1.2
128-4RICERICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+2.0
139-4RICEWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+1.7
1410-4WICHSTWICHSTAttack errAshlyn Seay+2.1
1510-5WICHSTRICE×3Serve errWichita St.+1.1
1610-6RICERICE×3BlockedJenna Cubbageblk Arissa Smith+2.0
1710-7RICERICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Sydnee Peterson+2.3
1811-7RICEWICHSTKillAllie Paulsenset Addie Oeth+1.9
1911-8WICHSTRICEBlockedJanaya Weitkemperblk Ashlyn Seay+1.6
2011-9RICERICEAceRiceaced Jenna Cubbage+2.6
2112-9RICEWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+2.1
2213-9WICHSTWICHSTAttack errKellen Dorotik+2.9
2313-10WICHSTRICE×5KillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.6
2413-11RICERICE×5AceRice+2.7
2513-12RICERICE×5Attack errOlivia Cohee+3.0
2613-13RICERICE×5Attack errMcKenzie Jones+3.1
2713-14RICERICE×5AceRiceaced Olivia Cohee+3.1
2814-14RICEWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Addie Oeth+2.2
2914-15WICHSTRICEServe errWichita St.+2.2
3015-15RICEWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+2.3
3115-16WICHSTRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+2.3
3216-16RICEWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly+2.4
3316-17WICHSTRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+2.5
3417-17RICEWICHSTKillJenna Cubbageset Jordan Heatherly+2.6
3517-18WICHSTRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+2.7
3618-18RICEWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+2.8
3719-18WICHSTWICHSTAttack errAshlyn Seay+4.5
3819-19WICHSTRICE×4Attack errOlivia Cohee+3.0
3919-20RICERICE×4KillKellen Dorotikset Ashlyn Seay+4.6
4019-21RICERICE×4KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+4.2
4119-22RICERICE×4KillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal+3.2
4220-22RICEWICHSTServe errRice+1.5
4320-23WICHSTRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+2.3
4421-23RICEWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Jenna Cubbage+1.3
4521-24WICHSTRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.3
4621-25RICERICEKillKellen Dorotikset Mari Furoyama+1.1
Set 2
11-0RICEWICHSTAttack errSydnee Peterson+1.3
22-0WICHSTWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+1.9
32-1WICHSTRICEServe errWichita St.+1.2
43-1RICEWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Jordan Heatherly+1.4
53-2WICHSTRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.2
63-3RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.8
74-3RICEWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+1.4
84-4WICHSTRICEServe errWichita St.+1.3
95-4RICEWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+1.4
106-4WICHSTWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Gabi Maas+2.1
116-5WICHSTRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+1.3
127-5RICEWICHSTKillAllie Paulsenset Addie Oeth+1.5
137-6WICHSTRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.4
148-6RICEWICHSTAttack errAshlyn Seay+1.6
158-7WICHSTRICEServe errWichita St.+1.4
169-7RICEWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly+1.6
179-8WICHSTRICEServe errWichita St.+1.4
1810-8RICEWICHSTAttack errSydnee Peterson+1.7
1911-8WICHSTWICHSTBlockedSydnee Petersonblk Janaya Weitkemper, Allie Paulsen+2.4
2011-9WICHSTRICEServe errWichita St.+1.4
2111-10RICERICEBlockedJanaya Weitkemperblk Sydnee Peterson+2.2
2212-10RICEWICHSTKillJenna Cubbageset Addie Oeth+1.8
2312-11WICHSTRICEAttack errOlivia Cohee+1.6
2413-11RICEWICHSTKillAllie Paulsenset Addie Oeth+1.8
2513-12WICHSTRICEAttack errAllie Paulsen+1.6
2613-13RICERICEAttack errMcKenzie Jones+2.5
2714-13RICEWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Addie Oeth+1.9
2815-13WICHSTWICHSTBlockedAshlyn Seayblk McKenzie Jones, Maddie Wilson+2.8
2915-14WICHSTRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.8
3016-14RICEWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+2.1
3116-15WICHSTRICEAttack errMcKenzie Jones+1.8
3216-16RICERICEAceRiceaced Jenna Cubbage+2.9
3317-16RICEWICHSTBlockedArissa Smithblk Maddie Wilson+2.2
3417-17WICHSTRICEBad setJordan Heatherly+2.1
3518-17RICEWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Jordan Heatherly+2.4
3618-18WICHSTRICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.2
3718-19RICERICE×3Attack errAllie Paulsen+3.4
3818-20RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+3.1
3919-20RICEWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+1.9
4019-21WICHSTRICEKillSavannah Skopalset Jordan Hummel+2.3
4119-22RICERICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+2.6
4220-22RICEWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Addie Oeth+1.2
4320-23WICHSTRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+1.8
4421-23RICEWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Addie Oeth+1.0
4521-24WICHSTRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.8
4622-24RICEWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Addie Oeth+0.7
4722-25WICHSTRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.6
Set 3
10-1WICHSTRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal+0.6
21-1RICEWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly+0.7
31-2WICHSTRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+0.6
42-2RICEWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly+0.7
52-3WICHSTRICEServe errWichita St.+0.7
62-4RICERICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+0.9
73-4RICEWICHSTServe errRice+0.6
83-5WICHSTRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+0.6
94-5RICEWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+0.6
105-5WICHSTWICHSTAttack errSydnee Peterson+1.0
115-6WICHSTRICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+0.7
126-6RICEWICHSTServe errRice+0.8
137-6WICHSTWICHSTBlockedKellen Dorotikblk Allie Paulsen, Olivia Cohee+1.2
147-7WICHSTRICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+0.8
158-7RICEWICHSTAttack errSydnee Peterson+0.9
168-8WICHSTRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+0.8
179-8RICEWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+0.9
189-9WICHSTRICEServe errWichita St.+0.8
1910-9RICEWICHSTServe errRice+0.9
2010-10WICHSTRICE×5KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+0.9
2110-11RICERICE×5KillAmalia Simmonsset Sydnee Peterson+1.2
2210-12RICERICE×5KillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+1.2
2310-13RICERICE×5KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.0
2410-14RICERICE×5KillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+0.9
2511-14RICEWICHSTServe errRice+0.5
2611-15WICHSTRICE×6KillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+0.6
2711-16RICERICE×6KillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+0.7
2811-17RICERICE×6KillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+0.5
2911-18RICERICE×6BlockedJenna Cubbageblk Arissa Smith, Savannah Skopal+0.3
3011-19RICERICE×6AceRiceaced Gabi Maas+0.2
3111-20RICERICE×6KillSavannah Skopal+0.1
3212-20WICHST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
3312-21WICHSTRICEAttack errAllie Paulsen·
3413-21RICEWICHST×5KillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth·
3514-21WICHSTWICHST×5KillMcKenzie Jonesset Jenna Cubbage·
3615-21WICHSTWICHST×5BlockedArissa Smithblk Allie Paulsen+0.1
3716-21WICHSTWICHST×5Attack errAmalia Simmons+0.2
3817-21WICHSTWICHST×5KillMcKenzie Jonesset Janaya Weitkemper+0.3
3917-22WICHSTRICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+0.4
4018-22RICEWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Addie Oeth+0.2
4119-22WICHSTWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly+0.5
4219-23WICHSTRICE×3KillMaggie Croftset Savannah Skopal+0.6
4319-24RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+0.4
4419-25RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Wichita St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).