Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 10, 2026

AwayASUN

1:3

HomeBIG-EAST

Butler def. Bellarmine 3–1

(25-14, 25-18, 25-27, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
BELLAR	14	18	27	18	1
BUTLER	25	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BUTLER above 50 · BELLAR below

Biggest swing: 3.8% to Bellarmine — set 3, BELLAR 27-25 BUTLER. Kill by Erika Smith (set by Maddie Carnes). BUTLER win probability 92% → 88%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

BELLAR 22.2%77.8% BUTLER

Bellarmine wins

3-0

3.7%

3-1

7.5%

3-2

10.9%

Butler wins

3-0

29.5%

3-1

29.6%

3-2

18.8%

BELLAR break %: 39.4% vs this opp
BUTLER break %: 45.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Erika SmithKill+3.8%
Kill by Erika Smith (set by Maddie Carnes)
Set 3 · BELLAR 27-25 BUTLER · BELLAR 8% → 12%
02
Raegan DurbinAttack error+3.4%
Raegan Durbin stuffed by Maddie Carnes & Erika Smith
Set 3 · BELLAR 26-25 BUTLER · BELLAR 5% → 8%
03
BUTLER serverAce+3.0%
Butler ace on Abby Julius
Set 3 · BELLAR 24-25 BUTLER · BUTLER 94% → 97%
04
Natalie BlandKill+2.5%
Kill by Natalie Bland (set by Maddie Carnes)
Set 4 · BELLAR 2-0 BUTLER · BELLAR 14% → 17%
05
Erika SmithKill+2.5%
Kill by Erika Smith (set by Maddie Carnes)
Set 3 · BELLAR 24-23 BUTLER · BELLAR 6% → 8%
06
BELLAR serverService error+2.5%
Bellarmine service error
Set 3 · BELLAR 24-24 BUTLER · BUTLER 92% → 94%
07
Mary HermanKill+2.4%
Kill by Mary Herman (set by Maddie Carnes)
Set 4 · BELLAR 1-0 BUTLER · BELLAR 12% → 14%
08
Zoe McDonaldKill+2.3%
Kill by Zoe McDonald (set by Kaylee Finnegan)
Set 4 · BELLAR 2-2 BUTLER · BUTLER 85% → 87%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Bellarmineaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Mady YadenOH	4	13	10	38	.079	1	0	0	3	1	1	2	2	15
20Mary HermanMB	4	7	5	17	.118	0	0	3	5	0	1	2	2	9
3Erika SmithMB	4	7	6	21	.048	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	8
2Natalie BlandOH	4	5	5	27	.000	1	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	5
9Maddie HaganOH	4	4	2	22	.091	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	4
7Maddie CarnesS	4	2	0	10	.200	28	1	5	10	0	0	2	1	4
11Abby JuliusOH	4	1	3	9	-.222	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	1
24Ava LongDS	4	0	0	1	.000	0	0	4	4	0	0	0	0	0
12Abbie LyttleDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	0	0
4Payton ParsonsL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	27	1	0	0	0	0
6Emily CookL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Mya WhiteOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	31	145	.055	35	1	17	64	6	2	8	6	77

Butlerhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Zoe McDonaldMB	4	9	0	19	.474	0	1	4	4	0	2	6	5	15
11Sawyer JonesOH	4	7	4	18	.167	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	9.5
8Raegan DurbinOH	4	7	4	31	.097	0	0	0	14	1	0	3	1.5	8.5
3Chase LemmingOH	4	6	5	27	.037	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6
4Ava HunterS	4	1	1	2	.000	15	1	4	3	0	0	0	0	2
7Ellery ReesMB	3	4	0	9	.444	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	6
10Maria NixOH	4	4	5	16	-.063	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
5Jersey LoyerDS	4	0	0	0	–	5	1	2	21	0	0	0	0	1
18Marin ThaxtonDS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	4	5	0	0	0	0	1
1Sarah KempfS	3	0	0	0	–	8	1	1	9	0	0	0	0	1
9Kaylee FinneganS	2	0	0	1	.000	8	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
14Karen DutroMB	1	4	1	7	.429	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
15Taylor WathenOH	1	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
6Aesha VogtDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		43	21	135	.163	37	6	15	62	1	2	22	13	100

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 BELLAR · BUTLER 6

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 BELLARBUTLER 6

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 4 BELLARBUTLER 4

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 3 BELLARBUTLER 4

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 4 BELLARBUTLER 5

Bars above the line = Butler leads, below = Bellarmine leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Bellarmine

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	43%9/21	44%7/16
2	82%9/11	25%3/12
3	39%9/23	18%2/11
4	75%9/12	18%2/11
5	56%9/16	44%7/16
6	44%7/16	33%4/12
All	53%52/99	32%25/78

Butler

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	59%10/17	50%8/16
2	75%9/12	53%10/19
3	82%9/11	50%9/18
4	90%9/10	50%9/18
5	47%8/17	25%3/12
6	73%8/11	50%8/16
All	68%53/78	47%47/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

177 rallies

Rally log

#	BELLAR-BUTLER	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden		+1.5
2	1-1	BELLAR	BUTLER	Serve err	BELLAR server		+1.4
3	1-2	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+1.8
4	2-2	BUTLER	BELLAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+1.4
5	2-3	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+1.3
6	3-3	BUTLER	BELLAR	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+1.4
7	3-4	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+1.4
8	4-4	BUTLER	BELLAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+1.5
9	4-5	BELLAR	BUTLER×3	Serve err	BELLAR server		+1.4
10	4-6	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Natalie Bland		+1.8
11	4-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Erika Smith		+1.6
12	5-7	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+1.2
13	5-8	BELLAR	BUTLER×3	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+1.2
14	5-9	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Erika Smith	blk Ellery Rees, Raegan Durbin	+1.4
15	5-10	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Ava Hunter	+1.2
16	6-10	BUTLER	BELLAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.8
17	7-10	BELLAR	BELLAR	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+1.3
18	7-11	BELLAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Mary Herman		+1.1
19	8-11	BUTLER	BELLAR	Attack err	Sawyer Jones	blk Mady Yaden, Mary Herman	+1.0
20	8-12	BELLAR	BUTLER	Bad set	Natalie Bland		+1.1
21	9-12	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+1.0
22	10-12	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Hagan	set Payton Parsons	+1.7
23	10-13	BELLAR	BUTLER×6	Attack err	Natalie Bland	blk Sawyer Jones, Zoe McDonald	+1.4
24	10-14	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Ace	BUTLER server	aced Natalie Bland	+1.6
25	10-15	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Kill	Zoe McDonald		+1.2
26	10-16	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+0.9
27	10-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Attack err	Mary Herman		+0.6
28	10-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Attack err	Natalie Bland	blk Maria Nix, Zoe McDonald	+0.4
29	11-18	BUTLER	BELLAR	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+0.2
30	11-19	BELLAR	BUTLER	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.2
31	12-19	BUTLER	BELLAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.1
32	12-20	BELLAR	BUTLER	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.2
33	13-20	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+0.1
34	13-21	BELLAR	BUTLER×3	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Sarah Kempf	+0.2
35	13-22	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Ava Long	+0.1
36	13-23	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Erika Smith	blk Ellery Rees, Raegan Durbin	+0.0
37	14-23	BUTLER	BELLAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.0
38	14-24	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.0
39	14-25	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Jersey Loyer	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	BELLAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Mady Yaden		+1.0
2	0-2	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	BUTLER server	aced Mady Yaden	+1.3
3	1-2	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Hagan	set Mady Yaden	+0.9
4	1-3	BELLAR	BUTLER	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.9
5	2-3	BUTLER	BELLAR	Attack err	Maria Nix		+1.0
6	2-4	BELLAR	BUTLER×3	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+1.0
7	2-5	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Maria Nix	+1.2
8	2-6	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Natalie Bland	blk Zoe McDonald, Maria Nix	+1.0
9	3-6	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Erika Smith	set Maddie Carnes	+0.7
10	3-7	BELLAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Natalie Bland		+0.8
11	4-7	BUTLER	BELLAR×4	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.7
12	5-7	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+1.2
13	6-7	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Attack err	Maria Nix	blk Mady Yaden	+1.4
14	7-7	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+1.6
15	7-8	BELLAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Mady Yaden		+1.2
16	8-8	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+1.3
17	8-9	BELLAR	BUTLER	Serve err	BELLAR server		+1.2
18	9-9	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+1.3
19	9-10	BELLAR	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Mady Yaden	blk Ellery Rees, Sawyer Jones	+1.3
20	9-11	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Mady Yaden	blk Sawyer Jones, Zoe McDonald	+1.6
21	9-12	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Mary Herman		+1.4
22	9-13	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Zoe McDonald		+1.2
23	10-13	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.8
24	10-14	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+0.9
25	11-14	BUTLER	BELLAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.8
26	11-15	BELLAR	BUTLER×3	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.9
27	11-16	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	BUTLER server	aced Natalie Bland	+1.0
28	11-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Bad set	Maddie Carnes		+0.7
29	12-17	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Payton Parsons	+0.4
30	12-18	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.5
31	13-18	BUTLER	BELLAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.3
32	13-19	BELLAR	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Mady Yaden		+0.5
33	13-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Erika Smith		+0.4
34	13-21	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	BUTLER server	aced Payton Parsons	+0.2
35	14-21	BUTLER	BELLAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.1
36	14-22	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+0.1
37	14-23	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Taylor Wathen	set Ava Hunter	+0.0
38	15-23	BUTLER	BELLAR×4	Attack err	Sawyer Jones	blk Mady Yaden, Mary Herman	+0.0
39	16-23	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Attack err	Sawyer Jones		+0.0
40	17-23	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Attack err	Taylor Wathen		+0.1
41	18-23	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+0.1
42	18-24	BELLAR	BUTLER	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.2
43	18-25	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Mady Yaden		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Ellery Rees		+0.7
2	1-1	BUTLER	BELLAR×3	Bad set	Ava Hunter		+0.5
3	2-1	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Raegan Durbin	+0.8
4	3-1	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Attack err	Sawyer Jones		+0.8
5	3-2	BELLAR	BUTLER	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.6
6	4-2	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Payton Parsons	+0.6
7	5-2	BELLAR	BELLAR	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+0.9
8	5-3	BELLAR	BUTLER	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.6
9	6-3	BUTLER	BELLAR×3	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+0.7
10	7-3	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Attack err	Maria Nix		+0.9
11	8-3	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+0.9
12	8-4	BELLAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Abby Julius	blk Zoe McDonald, Maria Nix	+0.5
13	9-4	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Erika Smith	set Maddie Carnes	+0.7
14	9-5	BELLAR	BUTLER	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.5
15	10-5	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Erika Smith	set Maddie Carnes	+0.7
16	10-6	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.5
17	11-6	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Erika Smith	set Maddie Carnes	+0.7
18	11-7	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Ava Hunter	+0.5
19	11-8	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Mady Yaden		+0.8
20	12-8	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.8
21	12-9	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+0.6
22	13-9	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.8
23	13-10	BELLAR	BUTLER×4	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+0.6
24	13-11	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Maddie Hagan		+1.0
25	13-12	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Bad set	Maddie Carnes		+1.1
26	13-13	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Mary Herman		+1.1
27	14-13	BUTLER	BELLAR	Attack err	Raegan Durbin	blk Mary Herman	+0.9
28	14-14	BELLAR	BUTLER×4	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Jersey Loyer	+0.8
29	14-15	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Ace	BUTLER server	aced Team	+1.1
30	14-16	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+1.0
31	14-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Abby Julius	blk Zoe McDonald	+0.9
32	15-17	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Hagan	set Abby Julius	+0.6
33	16-17	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Abby Julius	set Zoe McDonald	+1.0
34	16-18	BELLAR	BUTLER	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.8
35	17-18	BUTLER	BELLAR	Attack err	Raegan Durbin	blk Maddie Carnes, Erika Smith	+0.8
36	18-18	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+1.4
37	18-19	BELLAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Erika Smith	blk Ellery Rees, Raegan Durbin	+1.0
38	19-19	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Carnes	set Natalie Bland	+1.1
39	20-19	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Jersey Loyer	+1.8
40	20-20	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Ava Hunter	+1.2
41	21-20	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+1.5
42	21-21	BELLAR	BUTLER	Serve err	BELLAR server		+1.3
43	22-21	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+1.7
44	22-22	BELLAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Maddie Hagan		+1.5
45	23-22	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Hagan	set Payton Parsons	+2.0
46	23-23	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.8
47	24-23	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Erika Smith	set Maddie Carnes	+2.5
48	24-24	BELLAR	BUTLER	Serve err	BELLAR server		+2.5
49	24-25	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	BUTLER server	aced Abby Julius	+3.0
50	25-25	BUTLER	BELLAR×3	Serve err	BUTLER server		+2.2
51	26-25	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Attack err	Raegan Durbin	blk Maddie Carnes, Erika Smith	+3.4
52	27-25	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Erika Smith	set Maddie Carnes	+3.8
Set 4
1	1-0	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+2.4
2	2-0	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+2.5
3	2-1	BELLAR	BUTLER×5	Serve err	BELLAR server		+1.7
4	2-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Kaylee Finnegan	+2.3
5	2-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Attack err	Mady Yaden	blk Sawyer Jones, Zoe McDonald	+2.2
6	2-4	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Attack err	Mary Herman	blk Zoe McDonald	+2.1
7	2-5	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.9
8	3-5	BUTLER	BELLAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+1.3
9	3-6	BELLAR	BUTLER	Serve err	BELLAR server		+1.4
10	3-7	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Abby Julius		+1.7
11	4-7	BUTLER	BELLAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+1.1
12	4-8	BELLAR	BUTLER×3	Serve err	BELLAR server		+1.2
13	4-9	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Maria Nix	set Ava Hunter	+1.4
14	4-10	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Erika Smith		+1.1
15	5-10	BUTLER	BELLAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.7
16	5-11	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Ava Hunter	set Jersey Loyer	+0.8
17	6-11	BUTLER	BELLAR×4	Kill	Maddie Carnes	set Marin Thaxton	+0.7
18	7-11	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Attack err	Maria Nix		+1.2
19	8-11	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Attack err	Ava Hunter		+1.6
20	9-11	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Attack err	Maria Nix		+2.1
21	9-12	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Ava Hunter	+1.6
22	10-12	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Erika Smith	set Maddie Carnes	+1.6
23	10-13	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.7
24	10-14	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Mady Yaden		+1.9
25	11-14	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+1.2
26	11-15	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.4
27	12-15	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+1.3
28	13-15	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+2.2
29	13-16	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.9
30	14-16	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+1.7
31	14-17	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+2.0
32	15-17	BUTLER	BELLAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+1.8
33	15-18	BELLAR	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+2.0
34	16-18	BUTLER	BELLAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+1.8
35	16-19	BELLAR	BUTLER×3	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Ava Hunter	+2.1
36	16-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Mady Yaden	blk Karen Dutro, Sawyer Jones	+2.2
37	16-21	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.4
38	17-21	BUTLER	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.6
39	18-21	BELLAR	BELLAR	Attack err	Karen Dutro		+1.4
40	18-22	BELLAR	BUTLER×4	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Marin Thaxton	+1.6
41	18-23	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Jersey Loyer	+1.1
42	18-24	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Maddie Carnes	+0.4
43	18-25	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Bellarmine first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.