Butler vs Creighton Volleyball: Creighton Wins 3-0 (Oct 9)

FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Creighton 91.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Creighton beat visiting Butler 3-0 (25-17, 25-18, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Abbey Hayes led Creighton with 11 kills; Butler's Chase Lemming had a match-high 12.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 9

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BUTLER	17	18	20	0
CREIGH	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Creighton swept Butler, and no set was closer than 5 points.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.1 points. Butler peaked at 10% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Creighton 91% before first serve.

ButlerCreighton

Break %+18.5 pts
28.146.6
On serve: 34/73 against 16/57 (Butler sideout 53.4%).
Hitting+.176
.108.284
41 K / 10 E against 30 K / 19 E.
Longest run+4
37
Creighton scored 7 straight in the second set to turn a 7–8 deficit into a 14–8 lead. Final score of the set: 25–18.

Creighton above 50Butler belowMax swing 1.1%

ButlerCreighton

Aces: Butler 3·Creighton 7
Serve err: Butler 6·Creighton 11
Blocks: Butler 1·Creighton 70 BS · 2 BA vs 1 BS · 12 BA
Digs: Butler 53·Creighton 46

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Creighton above 50 · Butler below

Biggest swing: 1.1% to Butler — set 1, BUTLER 3-2 CREIGH. Attack error by Trinity Shadd-Ceres. CREIGH win probability 91% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BUTLER 7.0%93.0% CREIGH

Butler wins

3-0

0.8%

3-1

2.0%

3-2

4.1%

Creighton wins

3-0

50.4%

3-1

30.9%

3-2

11.7%

BUTLER break %: 36.2% vs this opp
CREIGH break %: 47.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Trinity Shadd-CeresAttack error+1.1%
Attack error by Trinity Shadd-Ceres
Set 1 · BUTLER 3-2 CREIGH · BUTLER 9% → 10%
02
CreightonAce+1.0%
Creighton ace on Chase Lemming
Set 1 · BUTLER 4-5 CREIGH · CREIGH 91% → 92%
03
Chase LemmingKill+0.9%
Kill by Chase Lemming (set by Ava Hunter)
Set 1 · BUTLER 4-3 CREIGH · BUTLER 9% → 10%
04
CreightonAce+0.9%
Creighton ace on Chase Lemming
Set 1 · BUTLER 4-6 CREIGH · CREIGH 92% → 93%
05
Ayden AmesAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Ayden Ames
Set 2 · BUTLER 7-6 CREIGH · BUTLER 5% → 5%
06
Eloise BrandewieKill+0.8%
Kill by Eloise Brandewie (set by Katie Dalton)
Set 1 · BUTLER 4-4 CREIGH · CREIGH 90% → 91%
07
Eloise BrandewieKill+0.8%
Kill by Eloise Brandewie (set by Nora Wurtz)
Set 2 · BUTLER 8-9 CREIGH · CREIGH 95% → 96%
08
ButlerService error+0.8%
Butler service error
Set 1 · BUTLER 3-3 CREIGH · CREIGH 90% → 91%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Butleraway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
3Chase LemmingOH	3	12	5	27	.259	0	0	1	6	2	0	0	12
16Elise WardOH	3	5	2	15	.200	0	2	0	4	0	0	0	7
17Zoe McDonaldMB	3	4	3	14	.071	1	1	1	2	0	0	0	5
8Raegan DurbinOH	3	4	7	26	-.115	1	0	1	8	4	1	0.5	4.5
13Carly SlusserMB	3	3	0	10	.300	0	0	0	1	1	1	0.5	3.5
4Ava HunterS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	14	0	2	10	0	0	0	0
10Maria NixOH	3	2	1	8	.125	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
1Sarah KempfS	3	0	0	1	.000	10	0	0	8	0	0	0	0
5Jersey LoyerDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	13	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	19	102	.108	29	3	6	53	7	2	1	55

Creightonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Abbey HayesOH	3	11	2	23	.391	1	1	3	6	1	0	0	0	12
10Eloise BrandewieMB	3	8	0	20	.400	2	0	0	3	0	0	4	2	10
22Ashlyn PaymalOH	3	6	2	17	.235	1	0	0	2	0	0	4	2	8
19Nora WurtzMB	3	3	2	10	.100	1	3	3	2	0	1	2	2	8
5Katie DaltonS	3	4	2	9	.222	26	1	1	4	0	0	2	1	6
0Trinity Shadd-CeresOH	3	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	1
9Ayden AmesMB	3	8	1	25	.280	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	8
13Saige DamrowL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	2	1	16	0	0	0	0	2
24Sydney BreissingerDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	2	10	0	0	0	0	0
3Peyton CarlsonDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	10	109	.284	37	7	11	46	3	1	12	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Butler vs Creighton

Season series · Creighton leads 1-0

Fri, Oct 9, 2026Butler at Creighton · Creighton won 3-0This match
Sun, Nov 8, 2026Creighton at ButlerPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 BUTLER · CREIGH 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 BUTLERCREIGH 5

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 2 BUTLERCREIGH 7

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 BUTLERCREIGH 5

Bars above the line = Creighton leads, below = Butler leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Butler

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	42%8/19	0%0/8
2	50%7/14	33%4/12
3	55%6/11	36%4/11
4	46%6/13	25%2/8
5	60%6/10	14%1/7
6	100%6/6	45%5/11
All	53%39/73	28%16/57

Creighton

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	82%9/11	53%8/15
2	70%7/10	30%3/10
3	64%7/11	50%7/14
4	86%6/7	54%7/13
5	75%6/8	54%7/13
6	60%6/10	25%2/8
All	72%41/57	47%34/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#	BUTLER-CREIGH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Saige Damrow	+0.6
2	1-1	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+0.7
3	1-2	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	+0.7
4	2-2	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+0.7
5	3-2	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Trinity Shadd-Ceres		+1.1
6	3-3	BUTLER	CREIGH	Serve err	Butler		+0.8
7	4-3	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+0.9
8	4-4	BUTLER	CREIGH×5	Kill	Eloise Brandewie	set Katie Dalton	+0.8
9	4-5	CREIGH	CREIGH×5	Ace	Creighton	aced Chase Lemming	+1.0
10	4-6	CREIGH	CREIGH×5	Ace	Creighton	aced Chase Lemming	+0.9
11	4-7	CREIGH	CREIGH×5	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+0.8
12	4-8	CREIGH	CREIGH×5	Blocked	Raegan Durbin	blk Nora Wurtz	+0.6
13	5-8	CREIGH	BUTLER	Attack err	Nora Wurtz		+0.5
14	5-9	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Ayden Ames	set Saige Damrow	+0.5
15	6-9	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+0.5
16	6-10	BUTLER	CREIGH	Blocked	Raegan Durbin	blk Nora Wurtz, Ashlyn Paymal	+0.5
17	7-10	CREIGH	BUTLER	Serve err	Creighton		+0.5
18	7-11	BUTLER	CREIGH×3	Serve err	Butler		+0.5
19	7-12	CREIGH	CREIGH×3	Blocked	Elise Ward	blk Eloise Brandewie, Ashlyn Paymal	+0.5
20	7-13	CREIGH	CREIGH×3	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Eloise Brandewie	+0.4
21	8-13	CREIGH	BUTLER	Blocked	Ashlyn Paymal	blk Raegan Durbin, Carly Slusser	+0.2
22	9-13	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+0.5
23	9-14	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Eloise Brandewie	set Ashlyn Paymal	+0.4
24	9-15	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Abbey Hayes		+0.4
25	10-15	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+0.2
26	10-16	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Eloise Brandewie	set Katie Dalton	+0.3
27	11-16	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+0.2
28	11-17	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Eloise Brandewie	set Katie Dalton	+0.3
29	11-18	CREIGH	CREIGH	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+0.2
30	12-18	CREIGH	BUTLER	Attack err	Katie Dalton		+0.1
31	12-19	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Nora Wurtz	set Katie Dalton	+0.2
32	12-20	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Ayden Ames	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
33	13-20	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	·
34	14-20	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	Butler	aced Abbey Hayes	+0.1
35	14-21	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Ayden Ames	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
36	15-21	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+0.1
37	15-22	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Nora Wurtz	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
38	16-22	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	·
39	16-23	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
40	16-24	CREIGH	CREIGH	Bad set	Ava Hunter		·
41	17-24	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	·
42	17-25	BUTLER	CREIGH	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Katie Dalton, Eloise Brandewie	·
Set 2
1	0-1	CREIGH	CREIGH	Ace	Creighton	aced Raegan Durbin	+0.6
2	1-1	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+0.5
3	1-2	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	+0.4
4	2-2	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+0.5
5	3-2	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	Butler	aced Trinity Shadd-Ceres	+0.8
6	3-3	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Sydney Breissinger	+0.5
7	4-3	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Jersey Loyer	+0.6
8	4-4	BUTLER	CREIGH	Serve err	Butler		+0.5
9	5-4	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+0.6
10	5-5	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Ayden Ames	set Katie Dalton	+0.6
11	5-6	CREIGH	CREIGH	Blocked	Raegan Durbin	blk Nora Wurtz, Ashlyn Paymal	+0.7
12	6-6	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.6
13	7-6	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Ayden Ames		+0.9
14	7-7	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Nora Wurtz	set Katie Dalton	+0.6
15	8-7	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Ava Hunter	+0.7
16	8-8	BUTLER	CREIGH×7	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Katie Dalton	+0.6
17	8-9	CREIGH	CREIGH×7	Kill	Eloise Brandewie	set Nora Wurtz	+0.8
18	8-10	CREIGH	CREIGH×7	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Nora Wurtz	+0.7
19	8-11	CREIGH	CREIGH×7	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+0.6
20	8-12	CREIGH	CREIGH×7	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Katie Dalton	+0.5
21	8-13	CREIGH	CREIGH×7	Ace	Creighton	aced Raegan Durbin	+0.4
22	8-14	CREIGH	CREIGH×7	Ace	Creighton	aced Carly Slusser	+0.3
23	9-14	CREIGH	BUTLER	Serve err	Creighton		+0.2
24	10-14	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Ashlyn Paymal		+0.3
25	10-15	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Eloise Brandewie	+0.3
26	11-15	CREIGH	BUTLER	Serve err	Creighton		+0.2
27	11-16	BUTLER	CREIGH	Attack err	Ava Hunter		+0.3
28	12-16	CREIGH	BUTLER	Serve err	Creighton		+0.2
29	13-16	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.5
30	13-17	BUTLER	CREIGH×3	Attack err	Maria Nix		+0.4
31	13-18	CREIGH	CREIGH×3	Bad set	Sarah Kempf		+0.4
32	13-19	CREIGH	CREIGH×3	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+0.2
33	14-19	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.1
34	14-20	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Ayden Ames	set Katie Dalton	+0.2
35	14-21	CREIGH	CREIGH	Ace	Creighton	aced Raegan Durbin	+0.1
36	15-21	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	·
37	15-22	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
38	16-22	CREIGH	BUTLER	Attack err	Ashlyn Paymal		·
39	16-23	BUTLER	CREIGH	Serve err	Butler		+0.1
40	16-24	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Katie Dalton	·
41	17-24	CREIGH	BUTLER	Serve err	Creighton		·
42	18-24	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	·
43	18-25	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Katie Dalton	·
Set 3
1	0-1	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Katie Dalton	+0.2
2	0-2	CREIGH	CREIGH	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+0.2
3	1-2	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser		+0.2
4	1-3	BUTLER	CREIGH	Blocked	Raegan Durbin	blk Ashlyn Paymal, Eloise Brandewie	+0.2
5	1-4	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Katie Dalton	set Saige Damrow	+0.2
6	2-4	CREIGH	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Abbey Hayes		+0.2
7	3-4	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Katie Dalton		+0.3
8	4-4	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Trinity Shadd-Ceres	+0.3
9	4-5	BUTLER	CREIGH×5	Kill	Eloise Brandewie	set Katie Dalton	+0.2
10	4-6	CREIGH	CREIGH×5	Kill	Katie Dalton	set Sydney Breissinger	+0.3
11	4-7	CREIGH	CREIGH×5	Kill	Eloise Brandewie	set Katie Dalton	+0.2
12	4-8	CREIGH	CREIGH×5	Kill	Ayden Ames	set Katie Dalton	+0.2
13	4-9	CREIGH	CREIGH×5	Ace	Creighton	aced Raegan Durbin	+0.2
14	5-9	CREIGH	BUTLER	Serve err	Creighton		+0.1
15	6-9	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+0.2
16	6-10	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Katie Dalton	set Abbey Hayes	+0.2
17	7-10	CREIGH	BUTLER	Serve err	Creighton		+0.2
18	8-10	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Nora Wurtz		+0.3
19	8-11	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Katie Dalton	set Sydney Breissinger	+0.2
20	9-11	CREIGH	BUTLER×3	Serve err	Creighton		+0.2
21	10-11	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Jersey Loyer	+0.3
22	11-11	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Raegan Durbin	+0.4
23	11-12	BUTLER	CREIGH	Serve err	Butler		+0.3
24	12-12	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Ava Hunter	+0.4
25	12-13	BUTLER	CREIGH	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+0.3
26	13-13	CREIGH	BUTLER	Serve err	Creighton		+0.4
27	14-13	BUTLER	BUTLER	Bad set	Katie Dalton		+0.6
28	14-14	BUTLER	CREIGH×5	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Katie Dalton	+0.4
29	14-15	CREIGH	CREIGH×5	Blocked	Zoe McDonald	blk Katie Dalton, Eloise Brandewie	+0.5
30	14-16	CREIGH	CREIGH×5	Attack err	Zoe McDonald		+0.4
31	14-17	CREIGH	CREIGH×5	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Katie Dalton	+0.4
32	14-18	CREIGH	CREIGH×5	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+0.3
33	15-18	CREIGH	BUTLER	Serve err	Creighton		+0.2
34	15-19	BUTLER	CREIGH	Attack err	Zoe McDonald		+0.2
35	15-20	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Eloise Brandewie	set Maria Nix	+0.2
36	16-20	CREIGH	BUTLER	Serve err	Creighton		+0.1
37	16-21	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Ayden Ames	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
38	17-21	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Zoe McDonald	+0.1
39	17-22	BUTLER	CREIGH	Serve err	Butler		+0.1
40	17-23	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
41	18-23	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	·
42	19-23	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Jersey Loyer	+0.1
43	19-24	BUTLER	CREIGH	Kill	Ayden Ames	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
44	20-24	CREIGH	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	·
45	20-25	BUTLER	CREIGH	Attack err	Elise Ward		·

Score shown after each rally, Butler first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Creighton def. Butler 3–0

Creighton swept Butler, and no set was closer than 5 points.