FinalSun, Nov 8, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Creighton def. Butler 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Creighton 88.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 8, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Creighton won at Butler 3-0 (25-20, 25-14, 25-19) on Sun, Nov 8, 2026. Creighton's Trinity Shadd-Ceres led with 11 kills, and Saige Damrow added 9 digs.

Data through · final Nov 8

Set123Sets
CREIGH2525253
BUTLER2014190

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Creighton swept Butler, and no set was closer than 5 points.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.0 points. Butler peaked at 16% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Creighton 89% before first serve.

CreightonButler
  • Break %+18.4 pts
    54.836.4

    On serve: 40/73 against 20/55 (Butler sideout 45.2%).

  • Hitting+.260
    .319.059

    41 kills, 12 errors vs 28 kills, 22 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    65

    Down 4–7 in the third set, Creighton scored 6 straight to lead 10–7. Final score of the set: 25–19.

Butler above 50Creighton belowMax swing 2.0%

CreightonButler

Aces
Creighton 5·Butler 5
Serve err
Creighton 8·Butler 6
Blocks
Creighton 7·Butler 42 BS · 10 BA vs 2 BS · 4 BA
Digs
Creighton 44·Butler 35

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Butler above 50 · Creighton below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.0% BUTLERrally 128 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.0% to Butler — set 1, CREIGH 11-12 BUTLER. Butler ace on Sydney Breissinger. BUTLER win probability 13% → 14%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CREIGH 89.5%10.5% BUTLER

Creighton wins

3-0
43.5%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.3%

Butler wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-2
5.9%
CREIGH break %
47.0% vs this opp
BUTLER break %
37.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    ButlerAce+2.0%

    Butler ace on Sydney Breissinger

    Set 1 · CREIGH 11-12 BUTLER · BUTLER 13% → 14%

  2. 02
    Chase LemmingKill+1.9%

    Kill by Chase Lemming (set by Ava Hunter)

    Set 1 · CREIGH 8-10 BUTLER · BUTLER 14% → 16%

  3. 03
    Elise WardAttack error+1.8%

    Attack error by Elise Ward

    Set 1 · CREIGH 17-15 BUTLER · CREIGH 88% → 90%

  4. 04
    Ava HunterBad set+1.8%

    Bad set by Ava Hunter

    Set 1 · CREIGH 13-12 BUTLER · CREIGH 87% → 89%

  5. 05
    Trinity Shadd-CeresAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Trinity Shadd-Ceres

    Set 1 · CREIGH 8-9 BUTLER · BUTLER 12% → 14%

  6. 06
    Ellery ReesAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Ellery Rees

    Set 1 · CREIGH 10-10 BUTLER · CREIGH 85% → 87%

  7. 07

    Kill by Trinity Shadd-Ceres (set by Katie Dalton)

    Set 1 · CREIGH 20-17 BUTLER · CREIGH 90% → 92%

  8. 08

    Kill by Sydney Breissinger (set by Saige Damrow)

    Set 1 · CREIGH 11-10 BUTLER · CREIGH 87% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311727.14830162010.511.5
39217.4120001012211
37116.37500131132.59.5
36115.333021800008
3315.4003100700214
2408.500000300215
3000–321900002
31011.000001710001
2000–102000000
1000–011000001
1002.000000000000
Team totals411291.3193858445210775
Butlerhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37828-.036100330007
36314.214012500007
3107.143111101013
3001.0001000800000
2229.000000000002
1000–001000000
39326.23100010111.510.5
32410-.200000100002
3001.00091050010.51.5
3001.000011500001
3000–210610001
2000–001000000
1124-.250000000212
Team totals2822101.059235635524453

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Creighton vs Butler

Season series · Creighton leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 CREIGH · BUTLER 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 CREIGHBUTLER 5

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 4 CREIGHBUTLER 2

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 6 CREIGHBUTLER 5

Bars above the line = Butler leads, below = Creighton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Creighton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
0%0/5
2
86%6/7
60%9/15
3
50%6/12
50%6/12
4
60%6/10
57%8/14
5
50%5/10
72%13/18
6
83%5/6
44%4/9
All
64%35/55
55%40/73

Butler

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%6/12
36%4/11
2
43%6/14
14%1/7
3
50%6/12
50%6/12
4
28%5/18
40%4/10
5
56%5/9
44%4/9
6
63%5/8
17%1/6
All
45%33/73
36%20/55

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#CREIGH-BUTLERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BUTLERBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Kaylee Finnegan+1.3
20-2BUTLERBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Kaylee Finnegan+1.5
31-2BUTLERCREIGH×5Serve errButler+1.0
42-2CREIGHCREIGH×5Attack errKaren Dutro+1.3
53-2CREIGHCREIGH×5Attack errRaegan Durbin+1.2
64-2CREIGHCREIGH×5KillAshlyn Paymalset Katie Dalton+1.1
75-2CREIGHCREIGH×5BlockedKaren Dutroblk Eloise Brandewie+0.9
85-3CREIGHBUTLERKillKaren Dutroset Kaylee Finnegan+0.7
95-4BUTLERBUTLERKillElise Wardset Kaylee Finnegan+1.1
106-4BUTLERCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.8
117-4CREIGHCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+1.0
127-5CREIGHBUTLERKillZoe McDonaldset Kaylee Finnegan+0.7
138-5BUTLERCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+0.7
148-6CREIGHBUTLER×5KillRaegan Durbinset Ava Hunter+0.7
158-7BUTLERBUTLER×5KillChase Lemming+1.2
168-8BUTLERBUTLER×5KillEllery Reesset Jersey Loyer+1.5
178-9BUTLERBUTLER×5Attack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+1.7
188-10BUTLERBUTLER×5KillChase Lemmingset Ava Hunter+1.9
199-10BUTLERCREIGH×3KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+1.2
2010-10CREIGHCREIGH×3Attack errEllery Rees+1.7
2111-10CREIGHCREIGH×3KillSydney Breissingerset Saige Damrow+1.6
2211-11CREIGHBUTLERKillChase Lemmingset Ava Hunter+1.2
2311-12BUTLERBUTLERAceButleraced Sydney Breissinger+2.0
2412-12BUTLERCREIGHServe errButler+1.3
2513-12CREIGHCREIGHBad setAva Hunter+1.8
2613-13CREIGHBUTLERKillKaren Dutroset Ava Hunter+1.4
2714-13BUTLERCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+1.3
2814-14CREIGHBUTLERServe errCreighton+1.4
2915-14BUTLERCREIGHAttack errRaegan Durbin+1.4
3015-15CREIGHBUTLERServe errCreighton+1.5
3116-15BUTLERCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Trinity Shadd-Ceres+1.4
3217-15CREIGHCREIGHAttack errElise Ward+1.8
3317-16CREIGHBUTLERKillElise Wardset Kaylee Finnegan+1.3
3418-16BUTLERCREIGHAttack errRaegan Durbin+1.4
3518-17CREIGHBUTLERKillEllery Reesset Ava Hunter+1.4
3619-17BUTLERCREIGH×3KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+1.5
3720-17CREIGHCREIGH×3KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+1.6
3821-17CREIGHCREIGH×3AceSaige Damrowaced Raegan Durbin+1.1
3921-18CREIGHBUTLERKillChase Lemmingset Ava Hunter+0.5
4022-18BUTLERCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+0.8
4122-19CREIGHBUTLERAttack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+0.5
4223-19BUTLERCREIGHKillAshlyn Paymalset Katie Dalton+0.7
4323-20CREIGHBUTLERKillChase Lemmingset Kaylee Finnegan+0.4
4424-20BUTLERCREIGHKillAshlyn Paymalset Katie Dalton+0.6
4525-20CREIGHCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+0.2
Set 2
10-1CREIGHBUTLERKillElise Wardset Katie Dalton+0.7
21-1BUTLERCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Saige Damrow+0.6
31-2CREIGHBUTLERKillElise Wardset Ava Hunter+0.7
42-2BUTLERCREIGHServe errButler+0.6
52-3CREIGHBUTLERServe errCreighton+0.7
63-3BUTLERCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.6
73-4CREIGHBUTLERServe errCreighton+0.7
84-4BUTLERCREIGH×4KillKatie Daltonset Saige Damrow+0.7
95-4CREIGHCREIGH×4KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+0.9
106-4CREIGHCREIGH×4AceSaige Damrow+0.8
117-4CREIGHCREIGH×4KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+0.7
127-5CREIGHBUTLERServe errCreighton+0.5
137-6BUTLERBUTLERAceButleraced Trinity Shadd-Ceres+0.8
148-6BUTLERCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+0.6
158-7CREIGHBUTLERKillElise Wardset Ava Hunter+0.6
168-8BUTLERBUTLERAceButleraced Trinity Shadd-Ceres+1.0
179-8BUTLERCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+0.7
189-9CREIGHBUTLERBlockedAyden Amesblk Zoe McDonald+0.8
1910-9BUTLERCREIGH×4KillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+0.7
2011-9CREIGHCREIGH×4BlockedRaegan Durbinblk Eloise Brandewie, Ashlyn Paymal+0.9
2112-9CREIGHCREIGH×4KillAshlyn Paymalset Nora Wurtz+0.8
2213-9CREIGHCREIGH×4Attack errRaegan Durbin+0.6
2313-10CREIGHBUTLERServe errCreighton+0.4
2414-10BUTLERCREIGHServe errButler+0.5
2515-10CREIGHCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+0.5
2615-11CREIGHBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Kaylee Finnegan+0.3
2716-11BUTLERCREIGH×4KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+0.3
2817-11CREIGHCREIGH×4KillTrinity Shadd-Ceres+0.3
2918-11CREIGHCREIGH×4AceAbbey Hayesaced Jersey Loyer+0.2
3019-11CREIGHCREIGH×4Attack errEllery Rees+0.1
3119-12CREIGHBUTLERKillChase Lemmingset Kaylee Finnegan·
3220-12BUTLERCREIGHKillKatie Daltonset Trinity Shadd-Ceres+0.1
3320-13CREIGHBUTLERAttack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres·
3421-13BUTLERCREIGH×4KillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+0.1
3522-13CREIGHCREIGH×4KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton·
3623-13CREIGHCREIGH×4BlockedElise Wardblk Ayden Ames, Ashlyn Paymal·
3724-13CREIGHCREIGH×4AceIvy Leuckaced Raegan Durbin·
3824-14CREIGHBUTLERServe errCreighton·
3925-14BUTLERCREIGHServe errButler·
Set 3
10-1BUTLERBUTLERKillChase Lemmingset Raegan Durbin+0.4
21-1BUTLERCREIGHAttack errElise Ward+0.3
31-2CREIGHBUTLERAttack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+0.3
42-2BUTLERCREIGH×3KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.3
53-2CREIGHCREIGH×3KillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+0.4
64-2CREIGHCREIGH×3KillKatie Daltonset Trinity Shadd-Ceres+0.4
74-3CREIGHBUTLER×5KillElise Wardset Ava Hunter+0.3
84-4BUTLERBUTLER×5AceButler+0.4
94-5BUTLERBUTLER×5BlockedEloise Brandewieblk Chase Lemming, Carly Slusser+0.5
104-6BUTLERBUTLER×5BlockedEloise Brandewieblk Chase Lemming+0.6
114-7BUTLERBUTLER×5Attack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+0.6
125-7BUTLERCREIGH×6KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.4
136-7CREIGHCREIGH×6Attack errChase Lemming+0.5
147-7CREIGHCREIGH×6KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+0.5
158-7CREIGHCREIGH×6KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+0.5
169-7CREIGHCREIGH×6Attack errEllery Rees+0.4
1710-7CREIGHCREIGH×6AceAbbey Hayesaced Raegan Durbin+0.4
1810-8CREIGHBUTLERKillChase Lemmingset Jersey Loyer+0.3
1911-8BUTLERCREIGH×3KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.3
2012-8CREIGHCREIGH×3BlockedCarly Slusserblk Ayden Ames+0.3
2113-8CREIGHCREIGH×3BlockedEllery Reesblk Trinity Shadd-Ceres, Ayden Ames+0.2
2213-9CREIGHBUTLER×4KillRaegan Durbinset Kaylee Finnegan+0.1
2313-10BUTLERBUTLER×4AceButleraced Ayden Ames+0.3
2413-11BUTLERBUTLER×4Attack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+0.4
2513-12BUTLERBUTLER×4KillRaegan Durbinset Jersey Loyer+0.5
2614-12BUTLERCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+0.4
2714-13CREIGHBUTLERAttack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+0.4
2815-13BUTLERCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+0.4
2915-14CREIGHBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Zoe McDonald+0.4
3016-14BUTLERCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+0.4
3117-14CREIGHCREIGHAttack errChase Lemming+0.5
3217-15CREIGHBUTLERServe errCreighton+0.3
3318-15BUTLERCREIGHServe errButler+0.4
3419-15CREIGHCREIGHKillEloise Brandewie+0.4
3519-16CREIGHBUTLER×3Attack errKatie Dalton+0.2
3619-17BUTLERBUTLER×3BlockedAbbey Hayesblk Carly Slusser, Ava Hunter+0.4
3719-18BUTLERBUTLER×3KillChase Lemmingset Ava Hunter+0.6
3820-18BUTLERCREIGHBlockedChase Lemmingblk Katie Dalton, Eloise Brandewie+0.5
3920-19CREIGHBUTLERKillCarly Slusserset Ava Hunter+0.5
4021-19BUTLERCREIGH×5Attack errRaegan Durbin+0.6
4122-19CREIGHCREIGH×5Attack errCarly Slusser+0.6
4223-19CREIGHCREIGH×5BlockedRaegan Durbinblk Katie Dalton, Ayden Ames+0.4
4324-19CREIGHCREIGH×5KillAyden Amesset Ava Hunter+0.1
4425-19CREIGHCREIGH×5Attack errRaegan Durbin·

Score shown after each rally, Creighton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).