St. John's (NY) vs Butler: St. John's (NY) Wins 3-2 (Oct 30)

Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026ESPN+

3:2

RallyIQ pre-match: Butler 57.2% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

St. John's (NY) won at Butler 3-2 (25-23, 23-25, 23-25, 25-21, 20-18) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. St. John's (NY)'s Carola Tesoro led with 19 kills, and Rashanny Solano Smith added 27 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 10:45 PM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
STJOHN	25	23	23	25	20	3
BUTLER	23	25	25	21	18	2

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Rashanny Solano smith dug 27 balls to keep St. John's (NY) alive against Butler.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows St. John's (NY)'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, Butler was RallyIQ's 57% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · St. John's (NY) 23–20 Butler
Butler scored 5 straight to turn a 20–23 deficit into a 25–23 lead. The match swung to Butler.
St. John's (NY) 81% → 44%
Turning point 2: Set 4 · St. John's (NY) 18–21 Butler
St. John's (NY)'s low point. St. John's (NY) then won 7 of the next 7 rallies and the set 25–21.
St. John's (NY) 6% → 46%
Turning point 3: Set 5 · St. John's (NY) 17–17 Butler
St. John's (NY) closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 20–18 and win the match 3–2.
St. John's (NY) 45% → >99%

Butler above 50St. John's (NY) belowMax swing 27.8%

St. John's (NY)Butler

Sideout %: St. John's (NY) 56.3·Butler 54.3
Break %: St. John's (NY) 45.7·Butler 43.8
Hitting: St. John's (NY) .188·Butler .124
Longest run: St. John's (NY) 9·Butler 6

Kendall White
7 kills on .190, 8.5 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Butler above 50 · St. John's (NY) below

Biggest swing: 27.8% to St. John's (NY) — set 5, STJOHN 20-18 BUTLER. Kill by Carola Tesoro (set by Amanda Caputi). BUTLER win probability 28% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STJOHN 45.9%54.1% BUTLER

St. John's (NY) wins

3-0

10.9%

3-1

17.1%

3-2

18.0%

Butler wins

3-0

14.3%

3-1

20.4%

3-2

19.3%

STJOHN break %: 42.9% vs this opp
BUTLER break %: 43.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Carola TesoroKill+27.8%
Kill by Carola Tesoro (set by Amanda Caputi)
Set 5 · STJOHN 20-18 BUTLER · STJOHN 72% → 100%
02
Raegan DurbinAttack error+27.0%
Attack error by Raegan Durbin
Set 5 · STJOHN 16-15 BUTLER · STJOHN 45% → 72%
03
Kendall WhiteKill+27.0%
Kill by Kendall White (set by Amanda Caputi)
Set 5 · STJOHN 19-18 BUTLER · STJOHN 45% → 72%
04
Zoe McDonaldKill+26.3%
Kill by Zoe McDonald (set by Sarah Kempf)
Set 5 · STJOHN 13-14 BUTLER · BUTLER 48% → 75%
05
Chase LemmingKill+26.3%
Kill by Chase Lemming (set by Sarah Kempf)
Set 5 · STJOHN 16-17 BUTLER · BUTLER 48% → 75%
06
Raegan DurbinAttack error+21.3%
Attack error by Raegan Durbin
Set 5 · STJOHN 13-12 BUTLER · STJOHN 46% → 67%
07
Zoe McDonaldKill+20.4%
Kill by Zoe McDonald (set by Sarah Kempf)
Set 5 · STJOHN 16-16 BUTLER · BUTLER 28% → 48%
08
Carola TesoroKill+19.7%
Kill by Carola Tesoro (set by Amanda Caputi)
Set 5 · STJOHN 14-14 BUTLER · STJOHN 25% → 45%

Box score

Official NCAA box

St. John's (NY)away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Carola TesoroOH	5	19	10	57	.158	0	0	4	12	2	0	2	1	20
14Chloe' BellMB	5	14	3	23	.478	2	2	0	7	0	2	4	4	20
22Kya HarrisMB	5	3	1	8	.250	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
6Katianna BetancurL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	2	2	1	8	3	0	0	0	2
26Maggie CarcilloS	5	0	0	1	.000	14	0	3	10	0	0	0	0	0
33Sumaiyya HarrisMB	4	1	0	5	.200	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1
7Lejla HadžiredžepovicOH	5	16	8	46	.174	1	0	0	8	0	0	2	1	17
2Kendall WhiteOH	5	7	3	21	.190	0	0	0	3	0	1	1	1.5	8.5
9Rashanny Solano SmithL/DS	5	0	0	1	.000	9	2	6	27	0	0	0	0	2
12Amanda CaputiS	5	0	0	0	–	33	1	1	9	0	0	0	0	1
10Barbara Costa dos SantosOH	3	2	3	12	-.083	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
11Brooke BoylesOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
21Soheila CirelliOH	2	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Martina CapponcelliS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		62	29	176	.188	62	7	16	89	7	4	11	9.5	116

Butlerhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Chase LemmingOH	5	15	8	46	.152	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	16
8Raegan DurbinOH	5	14	6	56	.143	0	0	1	14	2	0	1	0.5	14.5
17Zoe McDonaldMB	5	9	5	26	.154	0	1	2	1	0	2	5	4.5	14.5
14Karen DutroMB	5	10	5	26	.192	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	12
16Elise WardOH	5	6	5	27	.037	2	0	1	14	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
1Sarah KempfS	5	2	1	3	.333	42	2	2	5	0	0	5	2.5	6.5
18Marin ThaxtonDS	5	0	0	1	.000	0	2	3	7	2	0	0	0	2
5Jersey LoyerDS	5	0	0	0	–	2	1	2	27	3	0	0	0	1
6Aesha VogtDS	4	0	0	1	.000	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
7Ellery ReesMB	2	2	4	8	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
4Ava HunterS	2	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		58	34	194	.124	52	7	12	70	7	2	20	12	112

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

St. John's (NY) vs Butler

Season series · St. John's (NY) leads 2-0

Sat, Oct 3, 2026Butler at St. John's (NY) · St. John's (NY) won 3-1Result →
Fri, Oct 30, 2026St. John's (NY) at Butler · St. John's (NY) won 3-2This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 STJOHN · BUTLER 6

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 STJOHNBUTLER 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 9 STJOHNBUTLER 5

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 2 STJOHNBUTLER 6

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 7 STJOHNBUTLER 6

Set 5

20-18

Longest run 3 STJOHNBUTLER 2

Bars above the line = Butler leads, below = St. John's (NY) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

St. John's (NY)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%13/21	42%8/19
2	69%11/16	61%17/28
3	55%11/20	15%2/13
4	44%11/25	31%5/16
5	56%9/16	47%9/19
6	57%8/14	57%12/21
All	56%63/112	46%53/116

Butler

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%12/19	38%6/16
2	42%11/26	40%8/20
3	79%11/14	27%4/15
4	69%11/16	54%13/24
5	43%10/23	48%10/21
6	44%8/18	50%8/16
All	54%63/116	44%49/112

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

228 rallies

#	STJOHN-BUTLER	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+1.9
2	1-1	STJOHN	BUTLER×3	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+1.8
3	1-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Sumaiyya Harris	+2.4
4	1-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic		+2.4
5	2-3	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Maggie Carcillo	+1.8
6	2-4	STJOHN	BUTLER×3	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+1.8
7	2-5	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Kya Harris	blk Sarah Kempf, Zoe McDonald	+2.3
8	2-6	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+2.1
9	3-6	BUTLER	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+1.5
10	4-6	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Ace	St. John's (NY)	aced Raegan Durbin	+2.2
11	5-6	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Ellery Rees		+2.5
12	5-7	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+2.0
13	6-7	BUTLER	STJOHN	Blocked	Ellery Rees	blk Lejla Hadžiredžepovic, Kya Harris	+1.9
14	7-7	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+2.8
15	7-8	STJOHN	BUTLER	Attack err	Carola Tesoro		+2.1
16	7-9	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+2.8
17	8-9	BUTLER	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Katianna Betancur	+2.0
18	9-9	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Ellery Rees		+2.9
19	10-9	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+3.1
20	10-10	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Amanda Caputi	+2.3
21	11-10	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+2.4
22	12-10	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+3.2
23	12-11	STJOHN	BUTLER×4	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+2.3
24	12-12	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Sarah Kempf	+3.3
25	12-13	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Blocked	Chloe' Bell	blk Karen Dutro, Chase Lemming	+3.4
26	12-14	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Chase Lemming		+3.3
27	13-14	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Maggie Carcillo	+2.3
28	14-14	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+3.5
29	14-15	STJOHN	BUTLER	Attack err	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic		+2.8
30	15-15	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Maggie Carcillo	+2.8
31	16-15	STJOHN	STJOHN	Ace	St. John's (NY)	aced Raegan Durbin	+4.0
32	16-16	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+2.9
33	17-16	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+3.2
34	17-17	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Ava Hunter	+3.1
35	17-18	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+4.4
36	18-18	BUTLER	STJOHN	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+3.3
37	18-19	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+3.5
38	18-20	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	Butler	aced Katianna Betancur	+4.6
39	19-20	BUTLER	STJOHN×3	Serve err	Butler		+3.0
40	20-20	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Blocked	Ellery Rees	blk Carola Tesoro, Kendall White, Chloe' Bell	+5.1
41	21-20	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+5.8
42	21-21	STJOHN	BUTLER	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+4.3
43	21-22	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Carola Tesoro		+6.5
44	22-22	BUTLER	STJOHN	Blocked	Karen Dutro	blk Chloe' Bell	+4.8
45	23-22	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Amanda Caputi	+7.9
46	23-23	STJOHN	BUTLER	Attack err	Carola Tesoro		+5.6
47	24-23	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Amanda Caputi	+7.5
48	25-23	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+10.3
Set 2
1	0-1	STJOHN	BUTLER×3	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+1.9
2	0-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Kendall White		+2.5
3	0-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Jersey Loyer	+2.4
4	1-3	BUTLER	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+1.7
5	2-3	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+2.5
6	3-3	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+2.7
7	3-4	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+2.1
8	4-4	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+2.1
9	4-5	STJOHN	BUTLER	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+2.1
10	5-5	BUTLER	STJOHN	Serve err	Butler		+2.2
11	6-5	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Maggie Carcillo	+3.0
12	6-6	STJOHN	BUTLER	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+2.2
13	7-6	BUTLER	STJOHN	Serve err	Butler		+2.3
14	7-7	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Ava Hunter	+2.3
15	7-8	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+3.1
16	8-8	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	+2.3
17	9-8	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+3.3
18	9-9	STJOHN	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+2.4
19	9-10	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+3.3
20	9-11	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+3.2
21	10-11	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+2.3
22	10-12	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Jersey Loyer	+2.5
23	11-12	BUTLER	STJOHN×9	Serve err	Butler		+2.4
24	12-12	STJOHN	STJOHN×9	Blocked	Zoe McDonald	blk Chloe' Bell	+3.5
25	13-12	STJOHN	STJOHN×9	Attack err	Elise Ward		+3.7
26	14-12	STJOHN	STJOHN×9	Kill	Barbara Costa dos Santos	set Amanda Caputi	+3.8
27	15-12	STJOHN	STJOHN×9	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Chloe' Bell	+3.6
28	16-12	STJOHN	STJOHN×9	Attack err	Elise Ward		+3.2
29	17-12	STJOHN	STJOHN×9	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Chloe' Bell, Barbara Costa dos Santos	+2.6
30	18-12	STJOHN	STJOHN×9	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Amanda Caputi	+2.0
31	19-12	STJOHN	STJOHN×9	Attack err	Zoe McDonald		+1.3
32	19-13	STJOHN	BUTLER×3	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+0.6
33	19-14	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+1.2
34	19-15	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+1.7
35	20-15	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+1.9
36	21-15	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+1.6
37	21-16	STJOHN	BUTLER	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+0.6
38	21-17	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Carola Tesoro		+1.4
39	22-17	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Martina Capponcelli	+1.7
40	22-18	STJOHN	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.9
41	22-19	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	blk Sarah Kempf, Karen Dutro	+2.0
42	22-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic		+3.2
43	23-20	BUTLER	STJOHN	Serve err	Butler		+3.9
44	23-21	STJOHN	BUTLER×5	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Karen Dutro	+2.2
45	23-22	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Attack err	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic		+5.1
46	23-23	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+8.1
47	23-24	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Blocked	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	blk Karen Dutro, Elise Ward	+10.5
48	23-25	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Ace	Butler	aced Carola Tesoro	+10.2
Set 3
1	1-0	BUTLER	STJOHN	Serve err	Butler		+2.5
2	1-1	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+2.4
3	1-2	BUTLER	BUTLER	Blocked	Kendall White	blk Chase Lemming, Zoe McDonald	+3.3
4	2-2	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+2.5
5	2-3	STJOHN	BUTLER	Blocked	Carola Tesoro	blk Elise Ward, Zoe McDonald	+2.5
6	3-3	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Amanda Caputi	+2.6
7	3-4	STJOHN	BUTLER	Attack err	Carola Tesoro		+2.6
8	4-4	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Sumaiyya Harris	set Maggie Carcillo	+2.6
9	4-5	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+2.6
10	5-5	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Maggie Carcillo	+2.7
11	5-6	STJOHN	BUTLER×3	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Sarah Kempf	+2.7
12	5-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Bad set	Carola Tesoro		+3.5
13	5-8	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Carola Tesoro	+3.3
14	6-8	BUTLER	STJOHN	Serve err	Butler		+2.3
15	7-8	STJOHN	STJOHN	Blocked	Karen Dutro	blk Kya Harris	+3.5
16	7-9	STJOHN	BUTLER	Attack err	Kendall White		+2.8
17	8-9	BUTLER	STJOHN	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+2.7
18	9-9	STJOHN	STJOHN	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Kendall White	+3.9
19	9-10	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+3.0
20	10-10	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Kya Harris	set Amanda Caputi	+3.1
21	10-11	STJOHN	BUTLER	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+3.2
22	11-11	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Kendall White	set Amanda Caputi	+3.2
23	11-12	STJOHN	BUTLER×6	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+3.3
24	11-13	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Ace	Butler	aced Brooke Boyles	+4.3
25	11-14	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+3.9
26	11-15	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Attack err	Chloe' Bell		+3.4
27	11-16	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Blocked	Carola Tesoro	blk Zoe McDonald, Sarah Kempf	+2.8
28	11-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Ace	Butler	aced Katianna Betancur	+2.1
29	12-17	BUTLER	STJOHN	Serve err	Butler		+1.1
30	12-18	STJOHN	BUTLER	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+1.5
31	13-18	BUTLER	STJOHN	Attack err	Sarah Kempf		+1.0
32	14-18	STJOHN	STJOHN	Ace	St. John's (NY)	aced Marin Thaxton	+2.0
33	14-19	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+2.1
34	15-19	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+1.4
35	16-19	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+2.7
36	16-20	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+2.8
37	17-20	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+2.0
38	17-21	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+2.8
39	18-21	BUTLER	STJOHN	Serve err	Jersey Loyer		+1.9
40	18-22	STJOHN	BUTLER	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+2.8
41	19-22	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Kendall White	set Amanda Caputi	+1.6
42	19-23	STJOHN	BUTLER	Attack err	Carola Tesoro		+2.7
43	20-23	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+1.3
44	21-23	STJOHN	STJOHN	Blocked	Zoe McDonald	blk Chloe' Bell, Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	+3.3
45	21-24	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+4.4
46	22-24	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Amanda Caputi	+1.8
47	23-24	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+5.5
48	23-25	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+9.5
Set 4
1	1-0	STJOHN	STJOHN	Ace	St. John's (NY)	aced Jersey Loyer	+3.1
2	2-0	STJOHN	STJOHN	Ace	St. John's (NY)	aced Jersey Loyer	+3.1
3	2-1	STJOHN	BUTLER×3	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+2.3
4	2-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+3.1
5	2-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+3.2
6	3-3	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Amanda Caputi	+2.4
7	4-3	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Chloe' Bell	+3.3
8	4-4	STJOHN	BUTLER	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+2.5
9	5-4	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+2.6
10	5-5	STJOHN	BUTLER	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+2.5
11	6-5	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+2.6
12	7-5	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Zoe McDonald		+3.5
13	7-6	STJOHN	BUTLER×4	Blocked	Barbara Costa dos Santos	blk Zoe McDonald	+2.5
14	7-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Sarah Kempf	+3.5
15	7-8	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Bad set	Maggie Carcillo		+3.6
16	7-9	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+3.5
17	8-9	BUTLER	STJOHN	Bad set	Elise Ward		+2.6
18	9-9	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Elise Ward		+3.7
19	9-10	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Sarah Kempf	+2.9
20	10-10	BUTLER	STJOHN×4	Serve err	Sarah Kempf		+2.9
21	11-10	STJOHN	STJOHN×4	Ace	St. John's (NY)	aced Jersey Loyer	+4.1
22	12-10	STJOHN	STJOHN×4	Attack err	Elise Ward		+4.1
23	13-10	STJOHN	STJOHN×4	Ace	St. John's (NY)	aced Marin Thaxton	+3.9
24	13-11	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Sarah Kempf	+2.6
25	14-11	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Kendall White	set Amanda Caputi	+3.1
26	15-11	STJOHN	STJOHN	Blocked	Elise Ward	blk Carola Tesoro, Chloe' Bell	+3.7
27	15-12	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+2.2
28	16-12	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Amanda Caputi	+2.8
29	16-13	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+2.3
30	17-13	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+2.9
31	17-14	STJOHN	BUTLER×6	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+2.2
32	17-15	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+3.8
33	17-16	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+4.6
34	17-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Attack err	Soheila Cirelli		+5.2
35	17-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Kill	Sarah Kempf	set Elise Ward	+5.5
36	17-19	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Blocked	Chloe' Bell	blk Zoe McDonald	+5.4
37	18-19	BUTLER	STJOHN	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+3.6
38	18-20	STJOHN	BUTLER	Blocked	Barbara Costa dos Santos	blk Raegan Durbin, Zoe McDonald	+4.3
39	18-21	BUTLER	BUTLER	Blocked	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	blk Karen Dutro, Sarah Kempf	+4.9
40	19-21	BUTLER	STJOHN×7	Kill	Barbara Costa dos Santos	set Maggie Carcillo	+2.7
41	20-21	STJOHN	STJOHN×7	Attack err	Karen Dutro		+5.3
42	21-21	STJOHN	STJOHN×7	Attack err	Karen Dutro		+7.1
43	22-21	STJOHN	STJOHN×7	Kill	Kendall White	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+8.4
44	23-21	STJOHN	STJOHN×7	Attack err	Karen Dutro		+8.3
45	24-21	STJOHN	STJOHN×7	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+6.1
46	25-21	STJOHN	STJOHN×7	Kill	Kendall White	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+1.4
Set 5
1	0-1	STJOHN	BUTLER	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+6.3
2	0-2	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic		+8.3
3	1-2	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Kya Harris	set Amanda Caputi	+6.0
4	1-3	STJOHN	BUTLER	Attack err	Carola Tesoro		+6.4
5	2-3	BUTLER	STJOHN	Serve err	Elise Ward		+6.1
6	2-4	STJOHN	BUTLER	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+6.7
7	3-4	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+6.3
8	3-5	STJOHN	BUTLER	Attack err	Barbara Costa dos Santos		+7.0
9	3-6	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	Aesha Vogt	aced Katianna Betancur	+8.5
10	4-6	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+5.6
11	4-7	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Sarah Kempf	set Elise Ward	+6.6
12	5-7	BUTLER	STJOHN	Attack err	Zoe McDonald		+5.7
13	6-7	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Maggie Carcillo	+9.4
14	6-8	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+8.1
15	7-8	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+7.4
16	8-8	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Kendall White	set Amanda Caputi	+11.8
17	8-9	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+9.6
18	9-9	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+9.5
19	10-9	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Katianna Betancur	+14.2
20	10-10	STJOHN	BUTLER	Attack err	Karen Dutro		+10.4
21	11-10	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+11.9
22	11-11	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Sarah Kempf	+11.5
23	11-12	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Amanda Caputi	+17.5
24	12-12	BUTLER	STJOHN	Serve err	Marin Thaxton		+12.9
25	13-12	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+21.3
26	13-13	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Sarah Kempf	+15.2
27	13-14	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+26.3
28	14-14	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+19.7
29	14-15	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+19.7
30	15-15	BUTLER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+19.7
31	16-15	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+27.0
32	16-16	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+20.4
33	16-17	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+26.3
34	17-17	BUTLER	STJOHN	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+19.7
35	17-18	STJOHN	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+19.7
36	18-18	BUTLER	STJOHN×3	Kill	Kya Harris	set Amanda Caputi	+19.7
37	19-18	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Kendall White	set Amanda Caputi	+27.0
38	20-18	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+27.8

Score shown after each rally, St. John's (NY) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

St. John's (NY) def. Butler 3–2

Rashanny Solano smith dug 27 balls to keep St. John's (NY) alive against Butler.