FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on FloSports

Elon def. William & Mary 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Elon 60.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Elon beat visiting William & Mary 3-0 (25-19, 25-16, 25-22) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Elon's Anna Sewell led with 14 kills, and Cameron Lanier added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set123Sets
WM&MRY1916220
ELON2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.684 and 14 kills for Anna Sewell as Elon rolled past William & Mary.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.8 points. William & Mary peaked at 38% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Elon went in as RallyIQ's 60% pick.

William & MaryElon
  • Break %+13.8 pts
    42.456.2

    On serve: 41/73 against 25/59 (William & Mary sideout 43.8%).

  • Hitting+.144
    .146.290

    41 K / 14 E against 31 K / 17 E.

  • Longest run+0
    66

    Elon scored 6 straight in the third set to stretch an 11–9 lead to 17–9. Final score of the set: 25–22.

Elon above 50William & Mary belowMax swing 2.8%

William & MaryElon

Aces
William & Mary 2·Elon 6
Serve err
William & Mary 7·Elon 7
Blocks
William & Mary 5·Elon 83 BS · 4 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs
William & Mary 29·Elon 39

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Elon above 50 · William & Mary below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.8% ELONrally 132 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.8% to Elon — set 2, WM&MRY 11-13 ELON. Ava Crabtree stuffed by Catherine Rucker. ELON win probability 78% → 81%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WM&MRY 47.9%52.1% ELON

William & Mary wins

3-0
11.6%
3-1
17.9%
3-2
18.4%

Elon wins

3-0
13.4%
3-1
19.6%
3-2
19.1%
WM&MRY break %
43.2% vs this opp
ELON break %
43.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ava Crabtree stuffed by Catherine Rucker

    Set 2 · WM&MRY 11-13 ELON · ELON 78% → 81%

  2. 02
    April RiceBad set+2.7%

    Bad set by April Rice

    Set 2 · WM&MRY 9-8 ELON · WM&MRY 24% → 26%

  3. 03
    Olivia WestfortAttack error+2.7%

    Attack error by Olivia Westfort

    Set 2 · WM&MRY 9-10 ELON · ELON 76% → 78%

  4. 04
    Ally BoldenAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Ally Bolden

    Set 2 · WM&MRY 11-14 ELON · ELON 81% → 84%

  5. 05
    Cameron LanierAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Cameron Lanier

    Set 2 · WM&MRY 8-8 ELON · WM&MRY 21% → 24%

  6. 06
    Cameron LanierAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Cameron Lanier

    Set 2 · WM&MRY 7-8 ELON · WM&MRY 19% → 21%

  7. 07
    Anna SewellKill+2.3%

    Kill by Anna Sewell (set by Cameron Lanier)

    Set 1 · WM&MRY 0-2 ELON · ELON 62% → 64%

  8. 08
    Ava CrabtreeAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Ava Crabtree

    Set 2 · WM&MRY 11-15 ELON · ELON 84% → 86%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36111.45500010111.57.5
37014.500000100007
33117.118000330003
33613-.231002200003
32412-.16700021010.52.5
3103.3331301700001
35113.30800100111.56.5
3001.000611600001
3000–112200001
3000–600310000
24210.20000010111.55.5
1022-1.000000000000
1000–000100000
Team totals311796.146262729634557
Elonhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313731.194111161010.514.5
314119.6841001000014
37215.3331015006310
3308.37501120174.58.5
33315.000000000003
3102.5001321300003
3001.000021300002
3012-.5001600200000
3000–601700000
3000–001000000
Team totals411493.2903867392114875

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

William & Mary vs Elon

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 WM&MRY · ELON 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 4 WM&MRYELON 5

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 5 WM&MRYELON 5

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 6 WM&MRYELON 6

Bars above the line = Elon leads, below = William & Mary leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

William & Mary

SlotSideout %Break %
1
24%4/17
0%0/3
2
50%4/8
20%1/5
3
80%4/5
33%2/6
4
67%4/6
50%4/8
5
50%4/8
50%4/8
6
40%2/5
33%2/6
All
45%22/49
36%13/36

Elon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%4/5
77%10/13
2
100%4/4
56%5/9
3
67%4/6
56%5/9
4
33%4/12
33%2/6
5
100%4/4
33%2/6
6
60%3/5
50%3/6
All
64%23/36
55%27/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#WM&MRY-ELONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1WM&MRYELON×4BlockedAudrey Brckablk Allie Schultz, Catherine Rucker+1.8
20-2ELONELON×4KillAnna Sewellset Cameron Lanier+2.3
30-3ELONELON×4KillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+2.1
40-4ELONELON×4Attack errAva Crabtree+2.0
51-4ELONWM&MRYBad setAnna Sewell+1.4
61-5WM&MRYELON×5KillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+1.5
71-6ELONELON×5KillAnna Sewellset April Rice+1.8
81-7ELONELON×5Bad setShylah Swope+1.5
91-8ELONELON×5Bad setShylah Swope+1.3
101-9ELONELON×5KillAnna Sewellset Casey Brower+1.0
112-9ELONWM&MRYServe errElon+0.6
123-9WM&MRYWM&MRYKillShylah Swopeset April Rice+1.0
133-10WM&MRYELONKillAnna Sewellset April Rice+0.9
144-10ELONWM&MRY×4KillDevereaux Hoxsieset Shylah Swope+0.8
155-10WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errCaroline Berlekamp+1.3
166-10WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillDevereaux Hoxsieset April Rice+1.6
177-10WM&MRYWM&MRY×4AceWilliam & Maryaced Cameron Lanier+2.0
187-11WM&MRYELONServe errWilliam & Mary+1.7
198-11ELONWM&MRYServe errElon+1.5
208-12WM&MRYELONKillCameron Lanierset Casey Brower+1.8
218-13ELONELONAceElonaced Katherine Arnason+1.9
229-13ELONWM&MRYServe errElon+1.2
2310-13WM&MRYWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Regan Hill+2.0
2410-14WM&MRYELON×3Serve errWilliam & Mary+1.8
2510-15ELONELON×3AceElonaced Avery Horejsi+2.0
2610-16ELONELON×3KillAnna Sewellset Casey Brower+1.5
2711-16ELONWM&MRYServe errElon+0.9
2811-17WM&MRYELON×3Serve errWilliam & Mary+1.1
2911-18ELONELON×3Attack errSophia Van Name+1.0
3011-19ELONELON×3AceElonaced Audrey Brcka+0.6
3112-19ELONWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+0.3
3212-20WM&MRYELONServe errWilliam & Mary+0.4
3313-20ELONWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset April Rice+0.2
3414-20WM&MRYWM&MRYBad setApril Rice+0.5
3514-21WM&MRYELONKillAnna Sewellset April Rice+0.6
3615-21ELONWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+0.3
3716-21WM&MRYWM&MRYBlockedApril Riceblk Teagan Pocius+0.6
3816-22WM&MRYELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+0.8
3917-22ELONWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Avery Horejsi+0.4
4017-23WM&MRYELONKillCameron Lanierset Casey Brower+0.7
4117-24ELONELONAceElonaced Katherine Arnason+0.3
4218-24ELONWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield·
4319-24WM&MRYWM&MRYBlockedCameron Lanierblk Audrey Brcka, Teagan Pocius+0.1
4419-25WM&MRYELONKillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+0.2
Set 2
10-1ELONELON×4Attack errTeagan Pocius+2.1
20-2ELONELON×4BlockedAva Crabtreeblk Catherine Rucker, Allie Schultz+2.1
30-3ELONELON×4KillCatherine Rucker+1.9
40-4ELONELON×4BlockedAva Crabtreeblk Catherine Rucker, Allie Schultz+1.8
51-4ELONWM&MRYKillAva Crabtreeset Cate Hatfield+1.3
62-4WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errAllie Schultz+1.9
72-5WM&MRYELONKillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+1.5
83-5ELONWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+1.5
93-6WM&MRYELONKillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+1.6
104-6ELONWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Avery Horejsi+1.5
114-7WM&MRYELONKillAnna Sewellset April Rice+1.6
124-8ELONELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+1.9
135-8ELONWM&MRY×5Attack errCameron Lanier+1.3
146-8WM&MRYWM&MRY×5KillKatherine Arnasonset Avery Horejsi+2.0
157-8WM&MRYWM&MRY×5Attack errCameron Lanier+2.3
168-8WM&MRYWM&MRY×5Attack errCameron Lanier+2.5
179-8WM&MRYWM&MRY×5Bad setApril Rice+2.7
189-9WM&MRYELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+2.0
199-10ELONELONAttack errOlivia Westfort+2.7
2010-10ELONWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Shylah Swope+2.1
2110-11WM&MRYELONKillCameron Lanierset Casey Brower+2.1
2211-11ELONWM&MRYKillAva Crabtreeset Shylah Swope+2.1
2311-12WM&MRYELON×5BlockedAlly Boldenblk Catherine Rucker, Allie Schultz+2.2
2411-13ELONELON×5BlockedAva Crabtreeblk Catherine Rucker+2.8
2511-14ELONELON×5Attack errAlly Bolden+2.6
2611-15ELONELON×5Attack errAva Crabtree+2.2
2711-16ELONELON×5KillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+1.8
2812-16ELONWM&MRYKillAva Crabtreeset Cate Hatfield+1.1
2912-17WM&MRYELONServe errWilliam & Mary+1.4
3013-17ELONWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Avery Horejsi+1.0
3113-18WM&MRYELONServe errWilliam & Mary+1.4
3213-19ELONELONKillAnna Sewellset April Rice+1.2
3314-19ELONWM&MRYServe errElon+0.6
3414-20WM&MRYELONKillAnna Sewellset April Rice+0.9
3514-21ELONELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+0.7
3615-21ELONWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+0.3
3715-22WM&MRYELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+0.4
3815-23ELONELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+0.2
3916-23ELONWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Shylah Swope·
4016-24WM&MRYELONAttack errAva Crabtree+0.1
4116-25ELONELONKillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer·
Set 3
10-1WM&MRYELONKillKayla Palmerset Anna Sewell+1.0
20-2ELONELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+1.3
31-2ELONWM&MRYServe errElon+1.0
41-3WM&MRYELONKillCameron Lanierset Kayla Palmer+1.0
52-3ELONWM&MRY×3KillTeagan Pociusset Teagan Pocius+1.0
63-3WM&MRYWM&MRY×3AceWilliam & Mary+1.4
74-3WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errCaroline Berlekamp+1.4
84-4WM&MRYELON×4Serve errWilliam & Mary+1.1
94-5ELONELON×4AceElon+1.4
104-6ELONELON×4AceElonaced Katherine Arnason+1.4
114-7ELONELON×4KillCameron Lanierset Casey Brower+1.3
125-7ELONWM&MRYServe errElon+0.9
136-7WM&MRYWM&MRYBlockedCameron Lanierblk Olivia Westfort+1.4
146-8WM&MRYELON×4KillCameron Lanierset Allie Schultz+1.1
156-9ELONELON×4KillAllie Schultzset Shylah Swope+1.4
166-10ELONELON×4BlockedSophia Van Nameblk Cameron Lanier, Catherine Rucker+1.2
176-11ELON
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
187-11ELONWM&MRY×3KillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+0.7
198-11WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errAllie Schultz+1.1
209-11WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+1.3
219-12WM&MRYELON×6KillCameron Lanierset April Rice+1.1
229-13ELONELON×6Attack errKatherine Arnason+1.3
239-14ELONELON×6KillCameron Lanierset Kayla Palmer+1.1
249-15ELONELON×6Bad setShylah Swope+0.9
259-16ELONELON×6KillCameron Lanierset Kayla Palmer+0.6
269-17ELONELON×6BlockedAudrey Brckablk Allie Schultz, Catherine Rucker+0.4
2710-17ELONWM&MRYAttack errCameron Lanier+0.2
2810-18WM&MRYELONBlockedAudrey Brckablk Catherine Rucker, Allie Schultz+0.3
2911-18ELONWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+0.2
3012-18WM&MRYWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Avery Horejsi+0.4
3112-19WM&MRYELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+0.4
3212-20ELONELONKillAnna Sewell+0.3
3313-20ELONWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+0.1
3414-20WM&MRYWM&MRYBlockedAnna Sewellblk Sophia Van Name+0.3
3514-21WM&MRYELONKillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+0.3
3614-22ELONELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+0.2
3715-22ELONWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+0.1
3815-23WM&MRYELONKillAnna Sewellset April Rice+0.1
3916-23ELONWM&MRY×6KillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield·
4017-23WM&MRYWM&MRY×6KillSophia Van Nameset Avery Horejsi+0.1
4118-23WM&MRYWM&MRY×6Attack errCaroline Berlekamp+0.2
4219-23WM&MRYWM&MRY×6KillSophia Van Nameset Shylah Swope+0.4
4320-23WM&MRYWM&MRY×6KillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+0.7
4421-23WM&MRYWM&MRY×6BlockedCameron Lanierblk Sophia Van Name, Olivia Westfort+1.3
4521-24WM&MRYELONBad setShylah Swope+1.8
4622-24ELONWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Shylah Swope+0.7
4722-25WM&MRYELONKillCatherine Ruckerset April Rice+1.7

Score shown after each rally, William & Mary first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).