FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on FloSports

William & Mary def. Elon 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Elon 64.3% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

William & Mary won at Elon 3-0 (25-21, 26-24, 25-19) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. William & Mary's Devereaux Hoxsie led with 11 kills, and Avery Horejsi added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set123Sets
WM&MRY2526253
ELON2124190

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Down 7–13 in the second, William & Mary took the set and then the match.

The match turned twice. Numbers are William & Mary's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ had Elon at 64% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · William & Mary 7–6 Elon

    Down 6–7, Elon scored 7 straight to lead 13–7. The match swung to Elon.

    William & Mary 60% → 42%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · William & Mary 23–23 Elon

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to William & Mary, enough to take the set 26–24 and lead 2–0.

    William & Mary 57% → 81%

Elon above 50William & Mary belowMax swing 12.2%

William & MaryElon

Sideout %
William & Mary 64.6·Elon 54.7
Break %
William & Mary 45.3·Elon 35.4
Hitting
William & Mary .374·Elon .243
Longest run
William & Mary 3·Elon 7

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Elon above 50 · William & Mary below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+12.2% WM&MRYrally 140 · set 3

Biggest swing: 12.2% to William & Mary — set 2, WM&MRY 26-24 ELON. Attack error by Cameron Lanier. ELON win probability 31% → 19%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WM&MRY 47.9%52.1% ELON

William & Mary wins

3-0
11.6%
3-1
17.9%
3-2
18.4%

Elon wins

3-0
13.4%
3-1
19.6%
3-2
19.1%
WM&MRY break %
43.2% vs this opp
ELON break %
43.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Cameron LanierAttack error+12.2%

    Attack error by Cameron Lanier

    Set 2 · WM&MRY 26-24 ELON · WM&MRY 69% → 81%

  2. 02

    Ace by Olivia Westfort on Cameron Lanier

    Set 2 · WM&MRY 25-24 ELON · WM&MRY 57% → 69%

  3. 03

    Kill by Caroline Berlekamp (set by April Rice)

    Set 2 · WM&MRY 23-24 ELON · ELON 43% → 51%

  4. 04

    Kill by Devereaux Hoxsie (set by Shylah Swope)

    Set 2 · WM&MRY 24-24 ELON · WM&MRY 49% → 57%

  5. 05

    Kill by Caroline Berlekamp (set by April Rice)

    Set 2 · WM&MRY 22-23 ELON · ELON 42% → 49%

  6. 06
    Audrey BrckaKill+6.5%

    Kill by Audrey Brcka (set by Shylah Swope)

    Set 2 · WM&MRY 23-23 ELON · WM&MRY 51% → 57%

  7. 07
    Anna SewellAttack error+5.6%

    Attack error by Anna Sewell

    Set 2 · WM&MRY 20-20 ELON · WM&MRY 52% → 58%

  8. 08
    Allie SchultzKill+5.5%

    Kill by Allie Schultz (set by Kayla Palmer)

    Set 2 · WM&MRY 21-22 ELON · ELON 42% → 48%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311418.3892014010112
39216.43802110010.511.5
36117.294100400006
3508.625111200006
3000–121600002
3000–1821500002
310317.41200000031.511.5
36213.308000000217
3012-.5001912200001
3000–2001420000
1000–000100000
Team totals471391.374448739216476
Elonhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310430.2000123300011
310217.4710002002111
39110.80000000010.59.5
37324.167000100218
36421.09510120010.56.5
3001.0001710200001
3012-.5001800000000
3000–002920000
3000–200730000
2000–000000000
1012-.500000100000
Team totals4216107.243382527806364

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

William & Mary vs Elon

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 WM&MRY · ELON 7

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 3 WM&MRYELON 3

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 3 WM&MRYELON 7

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 3 WM&MRYELON 4

Bars above the line = Elon leads, below = William & Mary leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

William & Mary

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
43%6/14
2
62%8/13
27%3/11
3
78%7/9
56%9/16
4
46%6/13
40%4/10
5
67%6/9
50%6/12
6
100%6/6
50%6/12
All
65%42/65
45%34/75

Elon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
36%4/11
2
44%7/16
18%2/11
3
58%7/12
46%6/13
4
60%6/10
50%7/14
5
50%6/12
14%1/7
6
60%6/10
33%3/9
All
55%41/75
35%23/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

140 rallies

#WM&MRY-ELONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1WM&MRYELONServe errWilliam & Mary+1.7
21-1ELONWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+1.8
31-2WM&MRYELONKillCaroline Berlekampset Kayla Palmer+1.8
42-2ELONWM&MRYServe errAllie Schultz+1.8
52-3WM&MRYELONKillCaroline Berlekampset Allie Schultz+1.8
63-3ELONWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+1.8
73-4WM&MRYELONKillCameron Lanierset Lindsey Murphy+1.8
84-4ELONWM&MRY×3KillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+1.9
95-4WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errCameron Lanier+2.6
106-4WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+2.6
116-5WM&MRYELON×3KillCatherine Ruckerset April Rice+1.9
126-6ELONELON×3Attack errSophia Van Name+2.6
136-7ELONELON×3KillCameron Lanierset Allie Schultz+2.6
147-7ELONWM&MRY×3KillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+2.0
158-7WM&MRYWM&MRY×3AceWilliam & Maryaced Lindsey Murphy+2.8
169-7WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errAllie Schultz+2.9
179-8WM&MRYELONServe errWilliam & Mary+2.1
1810-8ELONWM&MRY×3KillAudrey Brckaset Avery Horejsi+2.3
1911-8WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errCatherine Rucker+2.9
2012-8WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errCatherine Rucker+2.7
2112-9WM&MRYELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+1.8
2213-9ELONWM&MRY×3KillKatherine Arnasonset Shylah Swope+2.2
2314-9WM&MRYWM&MRY×3AceWilliam & Maryaced Casey Brower+2.5
2415-9WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errCaroline Berlekamp+2.1
2515-10WM&MRYELONServe errWilliam & Mary+1.2
2615-11ELONELONAttack errDevereaux Hoxsie+1.9
2716-11ELONWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+2.0
2817-11WM&MRYWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Devereaux Hoxsie+2.0
2917-12WM&MRYELONAttack errCate Hatfield+1.1
3017-13ELONELONAttack errTeagan Pocius+1.9
3118-13ELONWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+2.0
3218-14WM&MRYELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+1.4
3318-15ELONELONAttack errSophia Van Name+2.4
3419-15ELONWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+2.5
3519-16WM&MRYELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+1.8
3620-16ELONWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+2.6
3720-17WM&MRYELONKillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+1.8
3821-17ELONWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Shylah Swope+2.6
3921-18WM&MRYELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+1.7
4022-18ELONWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+2.6
4123-18WM&MRYWM&MRYBlockedAllie Schultzblk Devereaux Hoxsie+2.0
4223-19WM&MRYELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+0.6
4323-20ELONELONBlockedOlivia Westfortblk Caroline Berlekamp, Anna Sewell+1.5
4424-20ELONWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+2.3
4524-21WM&MRYELONKillAnna Sewellset April Rice+0.7
4625-21ELONWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+1.7
Set 2
10-1ELONELON×4KillCameron Lanierset Lindsey Murphy+2.6
20-2ELONELON×4Attack errKatherine Arnason+2.5
30-3ELONELON×4KillAllie Schultzset April Rice+2.4
40-4ELONELON×4KillCaroline Berlekamp+2.2
51-4ELONWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+1.6
61-5WM&MRYELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+1.7
72-5ELONWM&MRY×3KillDevereaux Hoxsieset Shylah Swope+1.6
83-5WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errCameron Lanier+2.3
94-5WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+2.6
104-6WM&MRYELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+2.1
115-6ELONWM&MRY×3KillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+2.1
126-6WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+3.0
137-6WM&MRYWM&MRY×3BlockedAllie Schultzblk Sophia Van Name, Teagan Pocius+3.2
147-7WM&MRYELON×7KillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+2.4
157-8ELONELON×7KillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+3.1
167-9ELONELON×7BlockedDevereaux Hoxsieblk Allie Schultz, Catherine Rucker+3.0
177-10ELONELON×7KillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+2.8
187-11ELONELON×7BlockedSophia Van Nameblk Catherine Rucker, Anna Sewell+2.5
197-12ELONELON×7Attack errTeagan Pocius+2.1
207-13ELONELON×7AceCameron Lanieraced Avery Horejsi+1.7
218-13ELONWM&MRYServe errCameron Lanier+1.0
228-14WM&MRYELONKillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+1.3
239-14ELONWM&MRY×3KillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+1.0
2410-14WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillOlivia Westfortset Kayla Palmer+1.7
2511-14WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillSophia Van Nameset Audrey Brcka+2.3
2611-15WM&MRYELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+2.1
2712-15ELONWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Katherine Arnason+1.8
2812-16WM&MRYELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+2.1
2913-16ELONWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+1.8
3013-17WM&MRYELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+2.2
3114-17ELONWM&MRY×3Attack errApril Rice+1.8
3215-17WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillDevereaux Hoxsieset Avery Horejsi+3.0
3316-17WM&MRYWM&MRY×3AceCate Hatfieldaced Cameron Lanier+3.8
3416-18WM&MRYELONServe errCate Hatfield+3.4
3516-19ELONELONKillCatherine Rucker+3.8
3617-19ELONWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+2.5
3717-20WM&MRYELONKillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+3.1
3818-20ELONWM&MRY×3Serve errCameron Lanier+2.5
3919-20WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+4.4
4020-20WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errAnna Sewell+5.6
4120-21WM&MRYELONKillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+4.9
4221-21ELONWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+4.9
4321-22WM&MRYELONKillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+5.5
4422-22ELONWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Shylah Swope+5.5
4522-23WM&MRYELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+6.6
4623-23ELONWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+6.5
4723-24WM&MRYELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+8.4
4824-24ELONWM&MRY×3KillDevereaux Hoxsieset Shylah Swope+8.4
4925-24WM&MRYWM&MRY×3AceOlivia Westfortaced Cameron Lanier+11.4
5026-24WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errCameron Lanier+12.2
Set 3
11-0WM&MRYWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Shylah Swope+2.1
21-1WM&MRYELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+1.6
31-2ELONELONAttack errOlivia Westfort+2.0
42-2ELONWM&MRYServe errCasey Brower+1.6
52-3WM&MRYELON×4KillAllie Schultzset April Rice+1.6
62-4ELONELON×4Attack errDevereaux Hoxsie+2.0
72-5ELONELON×4AceKayla Palmeraced Avery Horejsi+1.9
82-6ELONELON×4KillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+1.7
93-6ELONWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Shylah Swope+1.2
103-7WM&MRYELONServe errCate Hatfield+1.4
114-7ELONWM&MRY×3KillKatherine Arnasonset Ava Crabtree+1.3
125-7WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillSophia Van Name+1.9
136-7WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errAnna Sewell+2.1
146-8WM&MRYELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+1.7
157-8ELONWM&MRY×3KillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+1.7
168-8WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+2.4
179-8WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errEllie Hunt+2.6
189-9WM&MRYELONServe errDevereaux Hoxsie+2.0
1910-9ELONWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+2.1
2011-9WM&MRYWM&MRYBlockedAllie Schultzblk Sophia Van Name, Olivia Westfort+2.7
2111-10WM&MRYELONKillAnna Sewellset April Rice+2.0
2212-10ELONWM&MRY×3KillSophia Van Nameset Shylah Swope+2.2
2313-10WM&MRYWM&MRY×3AceAva Crabtreeaced Lindsey Murphy+2.8
2414-10WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillAudrey Brckaset April Rice+2.6
2514-11WM&MRYELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+1.7
2614-12ELONELONKillCatherine Ruckerset April Rice+2.5
2715-12ELONWM&MRYServe errCasey Brower+2.3
2815-13WM&MRYELONAttack errDevereaux Hoxsie+2.0
2916-13ELONWM&MRY×3KillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+2.4
3017-13WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errCameron Lanier+2.8
3118-13WM&MRYWM&MRY×3AceOlivia Westfortaced Lindsey Murphy+2.3
3218-14WM&MRYELONServe errOlivia Westfort+1.3
3319-14ELONWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Devereaux Hoxsie+1.8
3419-15WM&MRYELONKillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+1.2
3520-15ELONWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+1.8
3620-16WM&MRYELONKillCaroline Berlekampset Kayla Palmer+1.1
3720-17ELONELONKillAllie Schultzset April Rice+2.1
3821-17ELONWM&MRYBlockedAnna Sewellblk Sophia Van Name, Teagan Pocius+2.3
3922-17WM&MRYWM&MRYAceShylah Swopeaced Cameron Lanier+2.0
4022-18WM&MRYELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+0.8
4123-18ELONWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Shylah Swope+1.4
4224-18WM&MRYWM&MRYAceAva Crabtreeaced Casey Brower+0.8
4324-19WM&MRYELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+0.1
4425-19ELONWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+0.3

Score shown after each rally, William & Mary first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).