FinalSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on FloSports

Elon def. UNCW 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: UNCW 57.8% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Elon won at UNCW 3-0 (25-21, 25-22, 25-16) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Anna Sewell led Elon with 7 kills, and Cameron Lanier added 10 digs.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set123Sets
ELON2525253
UNCW2122160

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Elon broke it open with a 7–0 run in the third set.

No single rally moved win probability more than 6.3 points. UNCW peaked at 58% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. UNCW went in at 58% by RallyIQ.

ElonUNCW
  • Break %+13.0 pts
    50.737.7

    On serve: 37/73 against 23/61 (UNCW sideout 49.3%).

  • Longest run+0
    77

    7 straight Elon points in the third set turned a 1–2 deficit into an 8–2 lead. Final score of the set: 25–16.

UNCW above 50Elon belowMax swing 6.3%

ElonUNCW

Hitting
Elon .202·UNCW .149
Aces
Elon 8·UNCW 2
Serve err
Elon 9·UNCW 14
Blocks
Elon 3·UNCW 40 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Elon 37·UNCW 35

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UNCW above 50 · Elon below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.3% ELONrally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.3% to Elon — set 2, ELON 24-22 UNCW. Elaina Murphy stuffed by April Rice & Catherine Rucker. UNCW win probability 27% → 21%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ELON 39.2%60.8% UNCW

Elon wins

3-0
8.5%
3-1
14.3%
3-2
16.5%

UNCW wins

3-0
17.6%
3-1
23.2%
3-2
19.9%
ELON break %
41.3% vs this opp
UNCW break %
43.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Elaina Murphy stuffed by April Rice & Catherine Rucker

    Set 2 · ELON 24-22 UNCW · ELON 73% → 79%

  2. 02
    ElonAce+5.8%

    Elon ace on Morgan Esmie

    Set 2 · ELON 21-19 UNCW · ELON 68% → 74%

  3. 03
    Gaby ZovkoBad set+5.8%

    Bad set by Gaby Zovko

    Set 2 · ELON 20-19 UNCW · ELON 62% → 68%

  4. 04
    ElonAce+5.1%

    Elon ace on Morgan Esmie

    Set 2 · ELON 23-20 UNCW · ELON 75% → 80%

  5. 05

    Cameron Lanier stuffed by Gaby Zovko & Courtney Graham

    Set 2 · ELON 23-22 UNCW · UNCW 22% → 27%

  6. 06
    Allie SchultzKill+4.9%

    Kill by Allie Schultz (set by Kayla Palmer)

    Set 2 · ELON 25-22 UNCW · ELON 79% → 84%

  7. 07
    Gaby ZovkoAttack error+4.8%

    Attack error by Gaby Zovko

    Set 2 · ELON 18-18 UNCW · ELON 58% → 62%

  8. 08
    UNCWService error+4.7%

    UNCW service error

    Set 2 · ELON 22-20 UNCW · ELON 70% → 75%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Elonaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
35212.250032100219
37215.333000100007
36525.0401021010006
35218.167000100216
3316.33300000010.53.5
3011-1.0001400800000
3415.60090030010.54.5
31011.000123410003
3000–120400002
3001.000212500001
Team totals311484.202288937206375
UNCWhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39421.2381125300010
37620.050002510007
34313.07700300132.56.5
3317.2862803500214
3000–000700000
2117.000000000001
39119.42100100010.59.5
3000–3031310000
2000–010020001
1112.000000000001
1034-.750000010000
1001.000000000000
Team totals342094.1493221435816459

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Elon vs UNCW

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 ELON · UNCW 7

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 5 ELONUNCW 3

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 ELONUNCW 7

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 7 ELONUNCW 2

Bars above the line = UNCW leads, below = Elon leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Elon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
55%6/11
2
70%7/10
42%5/12
3
100%6/6
67%12/18
4
75%6/8
54%7/13
5
40%6/15
40%4/10
6
67%6/9
33%3/9
All
62%38/61
51%37/73

UNCW

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
36%4/11
2
35%6/17
46%6/13
3
50%6/12
0%0/6
4
50%6/12
25%2/8
5
60%6/10
33%3/9
6
45%5/11
57%8/14
All
49%36/73
38%23/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#ELON-UNCWSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UNCWELONKillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+1.8
22-0ELONELONAttack errSam Vanda+2.5
32-1ELONUNCWKillGaby Zovkoset Annie Harney+1.8
43-1UNCWELONServe errUNCW+1.9
53-2ELONUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+1.8
64-2UNCWELONServe errUNCW+2.0
74-3ELONUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+1.9
85-3UNCWELONKillAnna Sewellset April Rice+2.0
95-4ELONUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+1.9
105-5UNCWUNCWBlockedCameron Lanierblk Courtney Graham, Nadia Wasilewski+2.7
116-5UNCWELONAttack errSam Vanda+2.1
126-6ELONUNCWServe errElon+2.0
137-6UNCWELON×5KillCameron Lanierset April Rice+2.1
148-6ELONELON×5Attack errElaina Murphy+2.9
159-6ELONELON×5KillCatherine Ruckerset Gaby Zovko+2.8
1610-6ELONELON×5Attack errCourtney Graham+2.6
1711-6ELONELON×5Attack errElaina Murphy+2.3
1811-7ELONUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+1.4
1912-7UNCWELONKillCameron Lanierset Kayla Palmer+1.8
2012-8ELONUNCWServe errElon+1.4
2113-8UNCWELON×4KillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+1.8
2214-8ELONELON×4KillCameron Lanierset Kayla Palmer+2.0
2315-8ELONELON×4Attack errLauren Lewis+1.5
2416-8ELONELON×4KillAllie Schultzset Cameron Lanier+1.1
2516-9ELONUNCWKillLauren Lewisset Gaby Zovko+0.5
2617-9UNCWELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+0.7
2718-9ELONELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+0.6
2818-10ELONUNCWServe errElon+0.3
2919-10UNCWELONServe errUNCW+0.4
3019-11ELONUNCW×3KillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+0.2
3119-12UNCWUNCW×3KillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+0.4
3219-13UNCWUNCW×3KillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+0.7
3320-13UNCWELONServe errUNCW+0.8
3420-14ELONUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Annie Harney+0.4
3520-15UNCWUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+0.9
3621-15UNCWELONKillApril Rice+1.1
3722-15ELONELONBad setGaby Zovko+0.8
3822-16ELONUNCW×3KillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+0.2
3922-17UNCWUNCW×3Attack errAllie Schultz+0.6
4022-18UNCWUNCW×3AceUNCWaced Casey Brower+1.0
4123-18UNCWELONAttack errSam Vanda+1.4
4224-18ELONELONAttack errCourtney Graham+0.8
4324-19ELONUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+0.1
4424-20UNCWUNCW×3Attack errCatherine Rucker+0.4
4524-21UNCWUNCW×3AceUNCWaced Cameron Lanier+0.8
4625-21UNCWELONKillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+1.5
Set 2
10-1ELONUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+1.9
20-2UNCWUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+2.6
31-2UNCWELONServe errUNCW+1.9
41-3ELONUNCWServe errElon+1.9
52-3UNCWELON×3Serve errUNCW+1.9
63-3ELONELON×3KillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+2.7
74-3ELONELON×3AceElonaced Elaina Murphy+2.9
84-4ELONUNCWKillGaby Zovkoset Elaina Murphy+2.1
95-4UNCWELON×4Attack errNadia Wasilewski+2.2
106-4ELONELON×4KillApril Riceset Shannon O'Laughlin+3.0
117-4ELONELON×4KillCasey Browerset Gaby Zovko+2.9
128-4ELONELON×4KillCameron Lanierset Shannon O'Laughlin+2.8
138-5ELONUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+1.8
149-5UNCWELONKillAnna Sewellset April Rice+2.1
159-6ELONUNCW×7KillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+1.8
169-7UNCWUNCW×7Attack errCaroline Berlekamp+2.8
179-8UNCWUNCW×7KillNadia Wasilewskiset Annie Harney+3.1
189-9UNCWUNCW×7KillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+3.2
199-10UNCWUNCW×7Attack errCameron Lanier+3.3
209-11UNCWUNCW×7KillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+3.2
219-12UNCWUNCW×7Attack errCameron Lanier+3.0
2210-12UNCWELONServe errUNCW+2.0
2310-13ELONUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+2.3
2411-13UNCWELONServe errUNCW+2.1
2511-14ELONUNCW×3KillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+2.4
2611-15UNCWUNCW×3Attack errAllie Schultz+2.8
2711-16UNCWUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+2.2
2812-16UNCWELON×3KillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+1.3
2913-16ELONELON×3BlockedSam Vandablk Allie Schultz, Catherine Rucker+2.3
3014-16ELONELON×3Attack errSam Vanda+3.0
3114-17ELONUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+2.6
3215-17UNCWELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+2.2
3316-17ELONELONAttack errSam Vanda+3.8
3416-18ELONUNCWServe errElon+3.2
3517-18UNCWELONServe errUNCW+2.9
3618-18ELONELONAttack errGaby Zovko+4.8
3718-19ELONUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+3.8
3819-19UNCWELON×3Serve errUNCW+3.8
3920-19ELONELON×3Bad setGaby Zovko+5.8
4021-19ELONELON×3AceElonaced Morgan Esmie+5.8
4121-20ELONUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+3.5
4222-20UNCWELONServe errUNCW+4.7
4323-20ELONELONAceElonaced Morgan Esmie+5.1
4423-21ELONUNCWServe errElon+2.1
4523-22UNCWUNCWBlockedCameron Lanierblk Gaby Zovko, Courtney Graham+5.1
4624-22UNCWELONBlockedElaina Murphyblk April Rice, Catherine Rucker+6.3
4725-22ELONELONKillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+4.9
Set 3
10-1UNCWUNCWAttack errKayla Palmer+1.9
21-1UNCWELONServe errUNCW+1.4
31-2ELONUNCWAttack errAnna Sewell+1.4
42-2UNCWELON×7Serve errUNCW+1.5
53-2ELONELON×7Attack errLilly Sullivan+2.1
64-2ELONELON×7Attack errLily Goyer+2.1
75-2ELONELON×7KillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+2.1
86-2ELONELON×7AceElonaced Elaina Murphy+1.9
97-2ELONELON×7BlockedLilly Sullivanblk Caroline Berlekamp, Allie Schultz+1.8
108-2ELONELON×7AceElonaced Lilly Sullivan+1.6
118-3ELONUNCWServe errElon+1.0
129-3UNCWELONServe errGaby Zovko+1.2
1310-3ELONELONAttack errLilly Sullivan+1.3
1410-4ELONUNCWServe errElon+0.7
1510-5UNCWUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+1.3
1611-5UNCWELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+1.2
1711-6ELONUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+0.9
1812-6UNCWELONKillApril Riceset Lindsey Murphy+1.2
1912-7ELONUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+0.9
2012-8UNCWUNCWBlockedApril Riceblk Courtney Graham+1.5
2113-8UNCWELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+1.4
2213-9ELONUNCWBlockedCameron Lanierblk Gaby Zovko, Courtney Graham+1.1
2314-9UNCWELONAttack errCourtney Graham+1.4
2415-9ELONELONKillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+1.6
2515-10ELONUNCWKillGaby Zovkoset Gaby Zovko+0.8
2615-11UNCWUNCWAttack errCatherine Rucker+1.5
2716-11UNCWELONKillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+1.5
2816-12ELONUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+1.1
2917-12UNCWELONKillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+1.5
3018-12ELONELONAceElonaced Elaina Murphy+1.5
3118-13ELONUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+0.7
3218-14UNCWUNCWAttack errAnna Sewell+1.4
3319-14UNCWELON×3KillApril Riceset Casey Brower+1.4
3420-14ELONELON×3Attack errElaina Murphy+1.3
3521-14ELONELON×3AceElonaced Sam Vanda+0.8
3621-15ELONUNCWKillLily Goyerset Gaby Zovko+0.3
3722-15UNCWELON×3KillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+0.5
3823-15ELONELON×3AceElonaced Annie Harney+0.3
3924-15ELONELON×3KillCameron Lanierset April Rice+0.1
4024-16ELONUNCWServe errElon·
4125-16UNCWELONKillCatherine Ruckerset April Rice·

Score shown after each rally, Elon first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).