Gardner-Webb def. Mercer 3–2
(18-25, 19-25, 28-26, 25-20, 15-12)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G WEBB | 18 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
| MERCER | 25 | 25 | 26 | 20 | 12 | 2 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 20.8% to Gardner-Webb — set 5, G WEBB 13-12 MERCER. Attack error by Avery Wilks. MERCER win probability 53% → 32%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Gardner-Webb wins
Mercer wins
- G WEBB break %
- 43.6% vs this opp
- MERCER break %
- 44.2% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Avery WilksAttack error+20.8%
Attack error by Avery Wilks
Set 5 · G WEBB 13-12 MERCER · G WEBB 47% → 68%
- 02Lara MattaAttack error+20.2%
Lara Matta stuffed by Parker LaFontaine & Samia Sayd
Set 5 · G WEBB 14-12 MERCER · G WEBB 68% → 88%
- 03Lara MattaKill+13.5%
Kill by Lara Matta (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 5 · G WEBB 11-12 MERCER · MERCER 53% → 66%
- 04Kiera VazquezKill+13.2%
Kill by Kiera Vazquez (set by Olivia Lefebvre)
Set 5 · G WEBB 12-12 MERCER · G WEBB 34% → 47%
- 05MERCER serverAce+12.6%
Mercer ace on Team
Set 5 · G WEBB 8-9 MERCER · MERCER 50% → 62%
- 06Lara MattaAttack error+11.9%
Lara Matta stuffed by Parker LaFontaine & Samia Sayd
Set 5 · G WEBB 15-12 MERCER · G WEBB 88% → 100%
- 07Joselynn SanjurjoKill+11.9%
Kill by Joselynn Sanjurjo (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 5 · G WEBB 10-11 MERCER · MERCER 53% → 64%
- 08Taylor TimkoAttack error+11.8%
Taylor Timko stuffed by Samia Sayd
Set 5 · G WEBB 8-7 MERCER · G WEBB 48% → 60%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 23 | .087 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | |
| 5 | 6 | 0 | 11 | .545 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| 5 | 8 | 0 | 18 | .444 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 12 | 2 | 34 | .294 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 13.5 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 33 | .182 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 25 | .160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 56 | 21 | 173 | .202 | 50 | 4 | 3 | 86 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 105 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 37 | .216 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | |
| 5 | 14 | 1 | 25 | .520 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 15.5 | |
| 5 | 14 | 9 | 66 | .076 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | |
| 5 | 11 | 2 | 25 | .360 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | .375 | 48 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 19 | .158 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -.250 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 66 | 26 | 190 | .211 | 59 | 13 | 15 | 85 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 108 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
18-25
Set 2
19-25
Set 3
28-26
Set 4
25-20
Set 5
15-12
Bars above the line = Mercer leads, below = Gardner-Webb leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Gardner-Webb
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65%11/17 | 38%5/13 |
| 2 | 58%11/19 | 31%5/16 |
| 3 | 50%11/22 | 35%6/17 |
| 4 | 47%9/19 | 65%17/26 |
| 5 | 56%9/16 | 40%6/15 |
| 6 | 38%6/16 | 53%9/17 |
| All | 52%57/109 | 46%48/104 |
Mercer
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 58%11/19 | 59%13/22 |
| 2 | 65%11/17 | 39%7/18 |
| 3 | 39%9/23 | 42%8/19 |
| 4 | 50%9/18 | 47%8/17 |
| 5 | 64%9/14 | 50%9/18 |
| 6 | 54%7/13 | 47%7/15 |
| All | 54%56/104 | 48%52/109 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
213 rallies
Rally log
| # | G WEBB-MERCER | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Peyton Slone | set Olivia Lefebvre | +1.9 |
| 2 | 1-1 | G WEBB | MERCER×3 | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.9 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +2.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | Samia Sayd | +2.4 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | MERCER | G WEBB×3 | Kill | Nicole Osborne | set Olivia Lefebvre | +1.9 |
| 6 | 3-3 | G WEBB | G WEBB×3 | Attack err | Lara Matta | +2.5 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | G WEBB | G WEBB×3 | Kill | Samia Sayd | set Olivia Lefebvre | +2.6 |
| 8 | 4-4 | G WEBB | MERCER | Serve err | G WEBB server | +2.0 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | Nicole Osborne | +2.6 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Nicole Osborne | set Olivia Lefebvre | +2.1 |
| 11 | 6-5 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Kill | Sarina Galyean | set Olivia Lefebvre | +2.7 |
| 12 | 6-6 | G WEBB | MERCER×4 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.1 |
| 13 | 6-7 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Bad set | Ella Moss | +2.8 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.7 |
| 15 | 6-9 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.6 |
| 16 | 7-9 | MERCER | G WEBB | Attack err | Taylor Timko | blk Parker LaFontaine, Sarina Galyean | +1.9 |
| 17 | 8-9 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Kill | Peyton Slone | set Aleina Manaois | +2.7 |
| 18 | 8-10 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.3 |
| 19 | 8-11 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Joselynn Sanjurjo | +2.8 |
| 20 | 9-11 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Peyton Slone | set Aleina Manaois | +2.0 |
| 21 | 9-12 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.2 |
| 22 | 10-12 | MERCER | G WEBB | Serve err | MERCER server | +2.0 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | G WEBB | MERCER×5 | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.3 |
| 24 | 10-14 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Attack err | Peyton Slone | blk Sammi Bergjans | +2.6 |
| 25 | 10-15 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Attack err | Olivia Lefebvre | blk Sammi Bergjans, Joselynn Sanjurjo | +2.2 |
| 26 | 10-16 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Attack err | Peyton Slone | +1.7 | |
| 27 | 10-17 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Team | +1.2 |
| 28 | 11-17 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Caroline Franklin | set Olivia Lefebvre | +0.6 |
| 29 | 11-18 | G WEBB | MERCER | Attack err | Nicole Osborne | +0.9 | |
| 30 | 11-19 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | MERCER server | aced Nicole Osborne | +0.7 |
| 31 | 12-19 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Caroline Franklin | set Olivia Lefebvre | +0.3 |
| 32 | 12-20 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.5 |
| 33 | 13-20 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Parker LaFontaine | set Olivia Lefebvre | +0.3 |
| 34 | 13-21 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.4 |
| 35 | 14-21 | MERCER | G WEBB | Serve err | MERCER server | +0.2 | |
| 36 | 15-21 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Kill | Parker LaFontaine | +0.4 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Aubri Martin | +0.6 |
| 38 | 16-22 | MERCER | G WEBB×3 | Kill | Sarina Galyean | set Aleina Manaois | +0.2 |
| 39 | 17-22 | G WEBB | G WEBB×3 | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +0.6 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | G WEBB | G WEBB×3 | Kill | Sarina Galyean | set Annabelle Sims | +1.0 |
| 41 | 18-23 | G WEBB | MERCER×3 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.3 |
| 42 | 18-24 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Isabel Sandstrum | +0.7 |
| 43 | 18-25 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | Peyton Slone | +0.2 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Attack err | Lara Matta | blk Caroline Franklin, Samia Sayd | +2.4 |
| 2 | 2-0 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Kill | Samia Sayd | set Olivia Lefebvre | +2.4 |
| 3 | 2-1 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.8 |
| 4 | 3-1 | MERCER | G WEBB | Serve err | MERCER server | +1.9 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Sammi Bergjans | +1.8 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Kiera Vazquez | set Ella Moss | +1.9 |
| 7 | 5-2 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +2.4 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | G WEBB | MERCER | Serve err | G WEBB server | +1.8 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | MERCER | G WEBB | Bad set | Aubri Martin | +1.9 | |
| 10 | 7-3 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Kill | Sarina Galyean | set Ella Moss | +2.3 |
| 11 | 7-4 | G WEBB | MERCER×3 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.6 |
| 12 | 7-5 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | Kiera Vazquez | +2.3 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Nicole Osborne | +2.5 |
| 14 | 8-6 | MERCER | G WEBB | Serve err | MERCER server | +2.1 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Kill | Sarina Galyean | set Aleina Manaois | +2.6 |
| 16 | 9-7 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.9 |
| 17 | 9-8 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | MERCER server | aced Kiera Vazquez | +2.7 |
| 18 | 10-8 | MERCER | G WEBB | Attack err | Joselynn Sanjurjo | blk Sarina Galyean | +2.3 |
| 19 | 10-9 | G WEBB | MERCER×3 | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.1 |
| 20 | 10-10 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.9 |
| 21 | 10-11 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | Emma Kerwin | blk Sammi Bergjans | +3.0 |
| 22 | 11-11 | MERCER | G WEBB×3 | Kill | Emma Kerwin | set Kiera Vazquez | +2.4 |
| 23 | 12-11 | G WEBB | G WEBB×3 | Kill | Emma Kerwin | set Olivia Lefebvre | +3.2 |
| 24 | 13-11 | G WEBB | G WEBB×3 | Attack err | Lara Matta | +3.2 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.3 |
| 26 | 14-12 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Emma Kerwin | set Olivia Lefebvre | +2.6 |
| 27 | 14-13 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.4 |
| 28 | 14-14 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Aubri Martin | +3.4 |
| 29 | 15-14 | MERCER | G WEBB | Serve err | MERCER server | +2.8 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Sammi Bergjans | set Sarah Frager | +2.8 |
| 31 | 16-15 | MERCER | G WEBB | Attack err | Taylor Timko | blk Parker LaFontaine, Samia Sayd | +3.0 |
| 32 | 16-16 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.9 |
| 33 | 17-16 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Sarina Galyean | set Aleina Manaois | +3.2 |
| 34 | 17-17 | G WEBB | MERCER×4 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Taylor Timko | +3.1 |
| 35 | 17-18 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Attack err | Emma Kerwin | +4.2 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +4.2 |
| 37 | 17-20 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Kiera Vazquez | +3.7 |
| 38 | 18-20 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Emma Kerwin | set Aleina Manaois | +2.3 |
| 39 | 19-20 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Kill | Emma Kerwin | set Aleina Manaois | +3.9 |
| 40 | 19-21 | G WEBB | MERCER×5 | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.8 |
| 41 | 19-22 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Attack err | Sarina Galyean | blk Joselynn Sanjurjo | +4.1 |
| 42 | 19-23 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.8 |
| 43 | 19-24 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Bad set | Caroline Franklin | +1.3 | |
| 44 | 19-25 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Team | +0.3 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | MERCER server | aced Emma Kerwin | +1.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Sarina Galyean | set Olivia Lefebvre | +1.2 |
| 3 | 2-1 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Kill | Kiera Vazquez | set Ella Moss | +1.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +1.2 |
| 5 | 3-2 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Kiera Vazquez | set Caroline Franklin | +1.2 |
| 6 | 3-3 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.2 |
| 7 | 3-4 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | +1.6 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | MERCER | G WEBB×4 | Kill | Kiera Vazquez | set Olivia Lefebvre | +1.2 |
| 9 | 5-4 | G WEBB | G WEBB×4 | Attack err | Lara Matta | blk Samia Sayd | +1.6 |
| 10 | 6-4 | G WEBB | G WEBB×4 | Kill | Parker LaFontaine | set Aleina Manaois | +1.7 |
| 11 | 7-4 | G WEBB | G WEBB×4 | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +1.6 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.2 |
| 13 | 8-5 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Kiera Vazquez | set Aleina Manaois | +1.3 |
| 14 | 9-5 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +1.5 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.1 |
| 16 | 10-6 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Emma Kerwin | set Aleina Manaois | +1.2 |
| 17 | 10-7 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.1 |
| 18 | 11-7 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Caroline Franklin | set Aleina Manaois | +1.2 |
| 19 | 11-8 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.1 |
| 20 | 12-8 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Emma Kerwin | set Olivia Lefebvre | +1.3 |
| 21 | 13-8 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Kill | Kiera Vazquez | set Joselynn Sanjurjo | +1.4 |
| 22 | 13-9 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.9 |
| 23 | 13-10 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | MERCER server | aced Isabel Sandstrum | +1.4 |
| 24 | 14-10 | MERCER | G WEBB | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +1.3 | |
| 25 | 15-10 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Bad set | Sammi Bergjans | +1.4 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | G WEBB | MERCER×5 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.9 |
| 27 | 15-12 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +1.4 |
| 28 | 15-13 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.8 |
| 29 | 15-14 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Attack err | Kiera Vazquez | +2.1 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Kiera Vazquez | +2.3 |
| 31 | 16-15 | MERCER | G WEBB×3 | Serve err | MERCER server | +1.9 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | G WEBB | G WEBB×3 | Attack err | Aubri Martin | +2.4 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | G WEBB | G WEBB×3 | Attack err | Lara Matta | blk Parker LaFontaine | +2.2 |
| 34 | 18-16 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Sammi Bergjans | set Aleina Manaois | +1.5 |
| 35 | 18-17 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | Kiera Vazquez | +2.3 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | MERCER | G WEBB | Serve err | MERCER server | +2.1 | |
| 37 | 20-17 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Ace | G WEBB server | aced Avery Wilks | +2.5 |
| 38 | 20-18 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.5 |
| 39 | 20-19 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | Emma Kerwin | +2.6 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | MERCER | G WEBB | Serve err | MERCER server | +2.5 | |
| 41 | 21-20 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.1 |
| 42 | 22-20 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Emma Kerwin | set Aleina Manaois | +2.8 |
| 43 | 22-21 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Sammi Bergjans | set Ella Moss | +2.2 |
| 44 | 23-21 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Caroline Franklin | set Olivia Lefebvre | +3.1 |
| 45 | 24-21 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Kill | Kiera Vazquez | set Olivia Lefebvre | +2.9 |
| 46 | 24-22 | G WEBB | MERCER×4 | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.9 |
| 47 | 24-23 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Attack err | Kiera Vazquez | +2.7 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Avery Wilks | +6.2 | |
| 49 | 24-25 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +6.1 |
| 50 | 25-25 | MERCER | G WEBB | Serve err | MERCER server | +4.7 | |
| 51 | 26-25 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Ace | G WEBB server | aced Team | +6.1 |
| 52 | 26-26 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +4.8 |
| 53 | 27-26 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Sarina Galyean | set Olivia Lefebvre | +4.8 |
| 54 | 28-26 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Bad set | Sammi Bergjans | +6.2 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +3.2 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Sarina Galyean | set Olivia Lefebvre | +2.5 |
| 4 | 3-1 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Attack err | Lara Matta | +3.2 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.4 |
| 6 | 4-2 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Caroline Franklin | set Olivia Lefebvre | +2.6 |
| 7 | 5-2 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Kill | Parker LaFontaine | +3.2 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | G WEBB | MERCER×3 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Aubri Martin | +2.3 |
| 9 | 5-4 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.3 |
| 10 | 5-5 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Bad set | Sarina Galyean | +3.4 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Kiera Vazquez | set Olivia Lefebvre | +2.8 |
| 12 | 6-6 | G WEBB | MERCER×5 | Serve err | G WEBB server | +2.7 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Taylor Timko | +3.6 |
| 14 | 6-8 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Attack err | Kiera Vazquez | blk Avery Wilks | +3.6 |
| 15 | 6-9 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.4 |
| 16 | 6-10 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Bad set | Aleina Manaois | +3.1 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | MERCER | G WEBB | Attack err | Taylor Timko | blk Samia Sayd, Parker LaFontaine | +2.2 |
| 18 | 7-11 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.5 |
| 19 | 8-11 | MERCER | G WEBB×4 | Serve err | MERCER server | +2.2 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | G WEBB | G WEBB×4 | Attack err | Taylor Timko | +3.3 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | G WEBB | G WEBB×4 | Kill | Emma Kerwin | set Aleina Manaois | +3.7 |
| 22 | 11-11 | G WEBB | G WEBB×4 | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +4.1 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.3 |
| 24 | 11-13 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | Samia Sayd | +4.2 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | MERCER | G WEBB | Serve err | MERCER server | +3.1 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.4 |
| 27 | 13-14 | MERCER | G WEBB | Attack err | Sammi Bergjans | +3.2 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Kill | Sarina Galyean | set Olivia Lefebvre | +4.6 |
| 29 | 14-15 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.7 |
| 30 | 15-15 | MERCER | G WEBB | Serve err | MERCER server | +3.7 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | G WEBB | MERCER×3 | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.9 |
| 32 | 15-17 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Isabel Sandstrum | +5.0 |
| 33 | 15-18 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | Sarina Galyean | +4.5 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | MERCER | G WEBB×5 | Kill | Parker LaFontaine | set Olivia Lefebvre | +3.0 |
| 35 | 17-18 | G WEBB | G WEBB×5 | Ace | G WEBB server | aced Team | +4.8 |
| 36 | 18-18 | G WEBB | G WEBB×5 | Kill | Kiera Vazquez | set Aleina Manaois | +5.7 |
| 37 | 19-18 | G WEBB | G WEBB×5 | Kill | Samia Sayd | set Ella Moss | +6.2 |
| 38 | 20-18 | G WEBB | G WEBB×5 | Bad set | Sammi Bergjans | +6.2 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | G WEBB | MERCER | Attack err | Samia Sayd | +4.2 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Samia Sayd | set Aleina Manaois | +5.2 |
| 41 | 22-19 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Kill | Samia Sayd | set Ella Moss | +5.7 |
| 42 | 22-20 | G WEBB | MERCER | Bad set | Aleina Manaois | +3.0 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | MERCER | G WEBB×3 | Serve err | MERCER server | +4.7 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | G WEBB | G WEBB×3 | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +3.5 | |
| 45 | 25-20 | G WEBB | G WEBB×3 | Ace | G WEBB server | aced Team | +2.0 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | Emma Kerwin | blk Sammi Bergjans | +8.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Sarina Galyean | set Olivia Lefebvre | +6.6 |
| 3 | 1-2 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +6.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Caroline Franklin | set Olivia Lefebvre | +6.8 |
| 5 | 2-3 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +7.1 |
| 6 | 2-4 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Aubri Martin | +8.9 |
| 7 | 3-4 | MERCER | G WEBB×3 | Serve err | MERCER server | +6.6 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | G WEBB | G WEBB×3 | Kill | Parker LaFontaine | set Ella Moss | +9.4 |
| 9 | 5-4 | G WEBB | G WEBB×3 | Attack err | Lara Matta | blk Samia Sayd, Parker LaFontaine | +10.0 |
| 10 | 5-5 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +7.7 |
| 11 | 6-5 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Kiera Vazquez | set Aleina Manaois | +8.2 |
| 12 | 6-6 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +8.1 |
| 13 | 6-7 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | MERCER server | aced Team | +11.0 |
| 14 | 7-7 | MERCER | G WEBB | Serve err | MERCER server | +8.6 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | G WEBB | G WEBB | Attack err | Taylor Timko | blk Samia Sayd | +11.8 |
| 16 | 8-8 | G WEBB | MERCER | Attack err | Emma Kerwin | +9.1 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | MERCER server | aced Team | +12.6 |
| 18 | 9-9 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Caroline Franklin | set Aleina Manaois | +9.8 |
| 19 | 9-10 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +10.7 |
| 20 | 10-10 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Sarina Galyean | set Olivia Lefebvre | +10.6 |
| 21 | 10-11 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +11.9 |
| 22 | 11-11 | MERCER | G WEBB | Kill | Caroline Franklin | set Olivia Lefebvre | +11.7 |
| 23 | 11-12 | G WEBB | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +13.5 |
| 24 | 12-12 | MERCER | G WEBB×4 | Kill | Kiera Vazquez | set Olivia Lefebvre | +13.2 |
| 25 | 13-12 | G WEBB | G WEBB×4 | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +20.8 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | G WEBB | G WEBB×4 | Attack err | Lara Matta | blk Parker LaFontaine, Samia Sayd | +20.2 |
| 27 | 15-12 | G WEBB | G WEBB×4 | Attack err | Lara Matta | blk Parker LaFontaine, Samia Sayd | +11.9 |
Score shown after each rally, Gardner-Webb first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.