Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 11, 2026Watch on Nebraska Public Media

Creighton def. Xavier 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Creighton 79.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Creighton beat visiting Xavier 3-1 (25-27, 25-18, 25-16, 25-12) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Creighton's Ayden Ames led with 18 kills, and Saige Damrow added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 11

Set1234Sets
XAVIER271816121
CREIGH252525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Saige Damrow served 4 aces, and Creighton needed every one.

The match turned twice; each line shows Creighton's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave Creighton 79% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Xavier 24–24 Creighton

    Xavier closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 27–25 and lead 1–0.

    Creighton 77% → 59%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Xavier 6–5 Creighton

    9 straight Creighton points turned a 5–6 deficit into a 14–6 lead.

    Creighton 70% → 87%

Creighton above 50Xavier belowMax swing 9.7%

XavierCreighton

Sideout %
Xavier 46.5·Creighton 63.5
Break %
Xavier 36.5·Creighton 53.5
Hitting
Xavier .176·Creighton .358
Longest run
Xavier 5·Creighton 9

Cambel Drapeau
3 kills on .429, 5.5 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Creighton above 50 · Xavier below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.7% XAVIERrally 173 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.7% to Xavier — set 1, XAVIER 27-25 CREIGH. Kill by Charlotte Moriarty (set by Macy Hatkevich). CREIGH win probability 69% → 59%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

XAVIER 13.3%86.7% CREIGH

Xavier wins

3-0
1.9%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
7.2%

Creighton wins

3-0
39.3%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
15.8%
XAVIER break %
37.7% vs this opp
CREIGH break %
46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Charlotte Moriarty (set by Macy Hatkevich)

    Set 1 · XAVIER 27-25 CREIGH · XAVIER 31% → 41%

  2. 02
    Katie DaltonBad set+8.3%

    Bad set by Katie Dalton

    Set 1 · XAVIER 25-24 CREIGH · XAVIER 23% → 31%

  3. 03
    Abbey HayesKill+6.2%

    Kill by Abbey Hayes (set by Katie Dalton)

    Set 1 · XAVIER 25-25 CREIGH · CREIGH 69% → 75%

  4. 04
    Cameron SherKill+6.2%

    Kill by Cameron Sher (set by Macy Hatkevich)

    Set 1 · XAVIER 26-25 CREIGH · XAVIER 25% → 31%

  5. 05
    Ashlyn PaymalAttack error+5.7%

    Attack error by Ashlyn Paymal

    Set 1 · XAVIER 23-23 CREIGH · XAVIER 17% → 23%

  6. 06
    Abbey HayesKill+5.3%

    Kill by Abbey Hayes (set by Katie Dalton)

    Set 1 · XAVIER 23-24 CREIGH · CREIGH 77% → 82%

  7. 07

    Kill by Catherine Flaharty (set by Macy Hatkevich)

    Set 1 · XAVIER 24-24 CREIGH · XAVIER 18% → 23%

  8. 08

    Kill by Charlotte Moriarty (set by Kasey Quenichet)

    Set 3 · XAVIER 6-5 CREIGH · XAVIER 27% → 30%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Xavieraway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416847.17012219200018
47429.10301100111.59.5
46213.30800001010.56.5
4529.333000000005
4115.0002900800001
1309.333000100003
47218.278000420007
4001.000500700000
4000–201120000
4000–7011510000
3023-.667000100000
2000–000120000
1112.000000000001
Team totals4622136.1764435571212273
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414330.3670226102117
412126.42300030031.513.5
46112.417000000217
43210.100460070031.54.5
4012-.500001300000
3328.125001201225
418138.4470215012222
4000–3412110004
4000–4121100001
3307.42900100132.55.5
3001.000031000003
Team totals5911134.35853121058331711.5100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Xavier vs Creighton

Season series · Creighton leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 XAVIER · CREIGH 9

Set 1

27-25

Longest run 4 XAVIERCREIGH 4

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 5 XAVIERCREIGH 5

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 XAVIERCREIGH 9

Set 4

12-25

Longest run 2 XAVIERCREIGH 6

Bars above the line = Creighton leads, below = Xavier leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Xavier

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
46%6/13
2
69%9/13
44%7/16
3
64%9/14
31%4/13
4
24%8/33
38%5/13
5
40%6/15
11%1/9
6
63%5/8
40%4/10
All
46%46/99
36%27/74

Creighton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
42%5/12
2
75%9/12
40%6/15
3
64%9/14
31%4/13
4
67%8/12
63%15/24
5
78%7/9
70%16/23
6
45%5/11
58%7/12
All
64%47/74
54%53/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

173 rallies

#XAVIER-CREIGHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0XAVIERXAVIERAceXavieraced Saige Damrow+1.9
22-0XAVIERXAVIERAceXavier+2.1
32-1XAVIERCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+1.4
43-1CREIGHXAVIERServe errCreighton+1.6
53-2XAVIERCREIGHServe errXavier+1.4
64-2CREIGHXAVIERAttack errAbbey Hayes+1.6
74-3XAVIERCREIGHBlockedCharlotte Moriartyblk Abbey Hayes, Eloise Brandewie+1.4
84-4CREIGHCREIGHKillKatie Daltonset Macy Hatkevich+2.0
95-4CREIGHXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+1.6
105-5XAVIERCREIGH×4KillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+1.5
115-6CREIGHCREIGH×4KillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+2.0
125-7CREIGHCREIGH×4KillNora Wurtzset Katie Dalton+1.8
135-8CREIGHCREIGH×4KillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+1.6
146-8CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Jamison Gordon+1.1
156-9XAVIERCREIGH×4Serve errXavier+1.2
166-10CREIGHCREIGH×4BlockedGabrielle Semonablk Nora Wurtz+1.4
176-11CREIGHCREIGH×4BlockedCharlotte Moriartyblk Ashlyn Paymal, Nora Wurtz+1.1
186-12CREIGHCREIGH×4KillAshlyn Paymalset Katie Dalton+0.9
197-12CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Jamison Gordon+0.5
207-13XAVIERCREIGHKillAshlyn Paymalset Katie Dalton+0.6
217-14CREIGHCREIGHAceCreightonaced Catherine Flaharty+0.6
228-14CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.3
239-14XAVIERXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+0.7
249-15XAVIERCREIGHKillAshlyn Paymalset Katie Dalton+0.6
2510-15CREIGHXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Charlotte Moriarty+0.5
2611-15XAVIERXAVIERServe errXavier+0.9
2711-16XAVIERCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+0.8
2812-16CREIGHXAVIERAttack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+0.7
2912-17XAVIERCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+0.8
3012-18CREIGHCREIGHBlockedMargo Kempblk Ayden Ames+0.8
3113-18CREIGHXAVIER×3KillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+0.4
3214-18XAVIERXAVIER×3KillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.9
3315-18XAVIERXAVIER×3Attack errKatie Dalton+1.3
3415-19XAVIERCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+1.2
3516-19CREIGHXAVIERBlockedKatie Daltonblk Margo Kemp+0.9
3616-20XAVIERCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+1.2
3716-21CREIGHCREIGHAttack errCharlotte Moriarty+1.1
3817-21CREIGHXAVIER×4KillGabrielle Semonaset Macy Hatkevich+0.5
3918-21XAVIERXAVIER×4KillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+1.1
4019-21XAVIERXAVIER×4KillCharlotte Moriartyset Kelsey Niesen+1.9
4120-21XAVIERXAVIER×4KillCatherine Flahartyset Macy Hatkevich+3.0
4220-22XAVIERCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+2.8
4321-22CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+2.3
4421-23XAVIERCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+3.1
4522-23CREIGHXAVIERServe errCreighton+2.3
4623-23XAVIERXAVIERAttack errAshlyn Paymal+5.7
4723-24XAVIERCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+5.3
4824-24CREIGHXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Macy Hatkevich+5.3
4925-24XAVIERXAVIERBad setKatie Dalton+8.3
5025-25XAVIERCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+6.2
5126-25CREIGHXAVIERKillCameron Sherset Macy Hatkevich+6.2
5227-25XAVIERXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+9.7
Set 2
11-0CREIGHXAVIERKillGabrielle Semonaset Macy Hatkevich+2.1
21-1XAVIERCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+2.0
31-2CREIGHCREIGHAttack errCameron Sher+2.6
42-2CREIGHXAVIERKillCameron Sherset Kelsey Niesen+2.0
52-3XAVIERCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+1.9
62-4CREIGHCREIGHAceCreightonaced Charlotte Moriarty+2.5
73-4CREIGHXAVIERKillCameron Sherset Macy Hatkevich+1.8
83-5XAVIERCREIGH×5Serve errXavier+1.8
93-6CREIGHCREIGH×5KillEloise Brandewie+2.3
103-7CREIGHCREIGH×5KillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+2.0
113-8CREIGHCREIGH×5KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+1.6
123-9CREIGHCREIGH×5Attack errCharlotte Moriarty+1.3
134-9CREIGHXAVIERServe errCreighton+0.8
144-10XAVIERCREIGH×5KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.9
154-11CREIGHCREIGH×5Bad setMacy Hatkevich+1.0
164-12CREIGHCREIGH×5KillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+0.7
174-13CREIGHCREIGH×5AceCreightonaced Kelsey Niesen+0.4
184-14CREIGHCREIGH×5KillAyden Amesset Sydney Breissinger+0.3
195-14CREIGHXAVIERKillIyanna Battleset Macy Hatkevich+0.1
206-14XAVIERXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Kelsey Niesen+0.3
216-15XAVIERCREIGHKillNora Wurtzset Katie Dalton+0.3
226-16CREIGHCREIGHBlockedCatherine Flahartyblk Ayden Ames, Nora Wurtz+0.2
237-16CREIGHXAVIER×3KillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.1
248-16XAVIERXAVIER×3Bad setKatie Dalton+0.2
259-16XAVIERXAVIER×3KillCatherine Flahartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.4
269-17XAVIERCREIGH×3Attack errCameron Sher+0.4
279-18CREIGHCREIGH×3KillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+0.3
289-19CREIGHCREIGH×3Attack errIyanna Battle+0.1
2910-19CREIGHXAVIER×5Serve errCreighton+0.1
3011-19XAVIERXAVIER×5Bad setKatie Dalton+0.1
3112-19XAVIERXAVIER×5Attack errNora Wurtz+0.2
3213-19XAVIERXAVIER×5Attack errNora Wurtz+0.4
3314-19XAVIERXAVIER×5BlockedAbbey Hayesblk Catherine Flaharty, Margo Kemp+0.7
3414-20XAVIERCREIGHAttack errMargo Kemp+0.8
3515-20CREIGHXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+0.5
3615-21XAVIERCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.7
3715-22CREIGHCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+0.5
3816-22CREIGHXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+0.1
3917-22XAVIERXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Kasey Quenichet+0.4
4017-23XAVIERCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Sydney Breissinger+0.5
4117-24CREIGHCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+0.2
4218-24CREIGHXAVIERAttack errAyden Ames·
4318-25XAVIERCREIGHBad setCharlotte Moriarty+0.1
Set 3
10-1XAVIERCREIGHKillAshlyn Paymalset Katie Dalton+1.8
20-2CREIGHCREIGHKillEloise Brandewie+2.4
31-2CREIGHXAVIERServe errCreighton+1.8
42-2XAVIERXAVIERKillCatherine Flaharty+2.7
52-3XAVIERCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Saige Damrow+1.9
62-4CREIGHCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Saige Damrow+2.5
73-4CREIGHXAVIERServe errCreighton+1.9
84-4XAVIERXAVIERAttack errAbbey Hayes+2.9
94-5XAVIERCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+2.0
105-5CREIGHXAVIERServe errCreighton+2.2
116-5XAVIERXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Kasey Quenichet+3.3
126-6XAVIERCREIGH×9KillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+2.3
136-7CREIGHCREIGH×9BlockedMargo Kempblk Katie Dalton, Cambel Drapeau, Ayden Ames+3.1
146-8CREIGHCREIGH×9Attack errMacy Hatkevich+2.8
156-9CREIGHCREIGH×9AceCreightonaced Kasey Quenichet+2.5
166-10CREIGHCREIGH×9Attack errCharlotte Moriarty+2.1
176-11CREIGHCREIGH×9AceCreightonaced Kasey Quenichet+1.7
186-12CREIGHCREIGH×9KillCambel Drapeauset Katie Dalton+1.3
196-13CREIGHCREIGH×9AceCreightonaced Elouise Czajkowski+1.0
206-14CREIGHCREIGH×9KillCambel Drapeauset Katie Dalton+0.6
217-14CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Kelsey Niesen+0.3
228-14XAVIERXAVIERAceXavieraced Abbey Hayes+0.7
238-15XAVIERCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+0.6
248-16CREIGHCREIGHAttack errQuinci Thomas+0.6
259-16CREIGHXAVIERKillGabrielle Semonaset Jamison Gordon+0.3
269-17XAVIERCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Macy Hatkevich+0.4
2710-17CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.2
2810-18XAVIERCREIGH×3Serve errXavier+0.4
2910-19CREIGHCREIGH×3Attack errCatherine Flaharty+0.3
3010-20CREIGHCREIGH×3AceCreighton+0.1
3111-20CREIGHXAVIERKillGabrielle Semonaset Macy Hatkevich·
3211-21XAVIERCREIGHKillAshlyn Paymalset Katie Dalton+0.1
3312-21CREIGHXAVIER×3Serve errCreighton·
3413-21XAVIERXAVIER×3KillCameron Sherset Macy Hatkevich+0.1
3514-21XAVIERXAVIER×3KillCameron Sherset Macy Hatkevich+0.1
3614-22XAVIERCREIGHKillKatie Daltonset Katie Dalton+0.2
3715-22CREIGHXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+0.1
3815-23XAVIERCREIGHBlockedCharlotte Moriartyblk Katie Dalton, Eloise Brandewie+0.1
3915-24CREIGHCREIGHAttack errQuinci Thomas·
4016-24CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich·
4116-25XAVIERCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton·
Set 4
11-0CREIGHXAVIERServe errCreighton+1.7
21-1XAVIERCREIGHKillNora Wurtzset Katie Dalton+1.6
31-2CREIGHCREIGHAceCreightonaced Cameron Sher+2.1
42-2CREIGHXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+1.6
52-3XAVIERCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+1.5
62-4CREIGHCREIGHBlockedMargo Kempblk Abbey Hayes, Eloise Brandewie+2.0
73-4CREIGHXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+1.5
83-5XAVIERCREIGH×4KillAbbey Hayesset Sydney Breissinger+1.5
93-6CREIGHCREIGH×4KillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+1.8
103-7CREIGHCREIGH×4KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+1.6
113-8CREIGHCREIGH×4AceCreighton+1.3
124-8CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Kelsey Niesen+0.9
134-9XAVIERCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Saige Damrow+0.9
145-9CREIGHXAVIERServe errCreighton+0.9
155-10XAVIERCREIGHBlockedCharlotte Moriartyblk Cambel Drapeau, Katie Dalton+1.0
165-11CREIGHCREIGHBlockedCharlotte Moriartyblk Cambel Drapeau, Ashlyn Paymal+1.0
176-11CREIGHXAVIERKillGabrielle Semonaset Macy Hatkevich+0.6
187-11XAVIERXAVIERKillCameron Sherset Kelsey Niesen+1.2
197-12XAVIERCREIGH×3Serve errXavier+1.0
207-13CREIGHCREIGH×3BlockedGabrielle Semonablk Cambel Drapeau+1.0
217-14CREIGHCREIGH×3AceCreightonaced Cameron Sher+0.7
228-14CREIGHXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.4
238-15XAVIERCREIGHKillAshlyn Paymalset Katie Dalton+0.5
248-16CREIGHCREIGHAceCreightonaced Charlotte Moriarty+0.5
259-16CREIGHXAVIERKillCameron Sherset Macy Hatkevich+0.2
269-17XAVIERCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.3
2710-17CREIGHXAVIERKillMacy Hatkevichset Kelsey Niesen+0.2
2810-18XAVIERCREIGH×6KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.3
2910-19CREIGHCREIGH×6KillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+0.2
3010-20CREIGHCREIGH×6KillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+0.1
3110-21CREIGHCREIGH×6KillKatie Daltonset Sydney Breissinger·
3210-22CREIGHCREIGH×6AceCreightonaced Elouise Czajkowski·
3310-23CREIGHCREIGH×6KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton·
3411-23CREIGHXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Jamison Gordon·
3511-24XAVIERCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton·
3612-24CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Jamison Gordon·
3712-25XAVIERCREIGHKillCambel Drapeauset Katie Dalton·

Score shown after each rally, Xavier first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).