FinalSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Creighton def. Xavier 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Creighton 75.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Creighton won at Xavier 3-0 (25-14, 25-15, 25-17) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Creighton's Trinity Shadd-Ceres led with 16 kills.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set123Sets
CREIGH2525253
XAVIER1415170

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.455 and 16 kills for Trinity Shadd-ceres as Creighton rolled past Xavier.

The biggest single-rally swing was 2.5 points, and Xavier's high was 30% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Creighton went in as RallyIQ's 76% pick.

CreightonXavier
  • Break %+27.0 pts
    56.229.2

    On serve: 41/73 against 14/48 (Xavier sideout 43.8%).

  • Hitting+.262
    .350.088

    Kills and errors: 52–10 vs 27–17.

  • Longest run+3
    74

    Creighton scored 7 straight in the first set to stretch a 15–12 lead to 22–12. The set finished 25–14.

Xavier above 50Creighton belowMax swing 2.5%

CreightonXavier

Aces
Creighton 3·Xavier 2
Serve err
Creighton 6·Xavier 2
Blocks
Creighton 5·Xavier 42 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Creighton 61·Xavier 51

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Xavier above 50 · Creighton below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.5% XAVIERrally 121 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.5% to Xavier — set 1, CREIGH 5-7 XAVIER. Kill by Macy Hatkevich (set by Kelsey Niesen). XAVIER win probability 27% → 30%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CREIGH 80.1%19.9% XAVIER

Creighton wins

3-0
31.7%
3-1
30.2%
3-2
18.2%

Xavier wins

3-0
3.2%
3-1
6.6%
3-2
10.0%
CREIGH break %
45.5% vs this opp
XAVIER break %
39.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Macy Hatkevich (set by Kelsey Niesen)

    Set 1 · CREIGH 5-7 XAVIER · XAVIER 27% → 30%

  2. 02
    Katie DaltonKill+2.4%

    Kill by Katie Dalton (set by Trinity Shadd-Ceres)

    Set 1 · CREIGH 7-7 XAVIER · CREIGH 72% → 74%

  3. 03
    Katie DaltonBad set+2.3%

    Bad set by Katie Dalton

    Set 1 · CREIGH 4-5 XAVIER · XAVIER 25% → 27%

  4. 04

    Kill by Trinity Shadd-Ceres (set by Sydney Breissinger)

    Set 1 · CREIGH 8-7 XAVIER · CREIGH 74% → 77%

  5. 05
    Charlotte MoriartyAttack error+2.1%

    Attack error by Charlotte Moriarty

    Set 1 · CREIGH 9-7 XAVIER · CREIGH 77% → 79%

  6. 06
    Abbey HayesAttack error+2.1%

    Attack error by Abbey Hayes

    Set 1 · CREIGH 4-4 XAVIER · XAVIER 23% → 25%

  7. 07
    Gabrielle SemonaAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Gabrielle Semona

    Set 1 · CREIGH 11-8 XAVIER · CREIGH 79% → 81%

  8. 08

    Ace by Gabrielle Semona on Trinity Shadd-Ceres

    Set 1 · CREIGH 13-11 XAVIER · XAVIER 19% → 20%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
316133.4551015102117
39015.60001340132.512.5
311126.3852002010112
36419.105110140010.57.5
34011.364000100004
33311.0003801800003
3000–3101400001
3000–1011300000
1315.400000000003
Team totals5210120.350463661226575
Xavierhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310534.14700060111.511.5
38121.333000000219
33316.000000200003
32211.0002300500213
31216-.063100410001
1000–000000000
3127-.143010000002
3000–011200001
3001.0002001100000
3000–1002120000
2216.16700100010.52.5
2012-.500000000000
Team totals2717114.088272251316446

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Creighton vs Xavier

Season series · Creighton leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 CREIGH · XAVIER 4

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 7 CREIGHXAVIER 4

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 6 CREIGHXAVIER 3

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 4 CREIGHXAVIER 3

Bars above the line = Xavier leads, below = Creighton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Creighton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
29%2/7
2
86%6/7
57%8/14
3
55%6/11
50%6/12
4
75%6/8
50%6/12
5
71%5/7
69%11/16
6
67%4/6
67%8/12
All
71%34/48
56%41/73

Xavier

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%6/13
25%2/8
2
46%6/13
25%2/8
3
60%6/10
45%5/11
4
38%5/13
25%2/8
5
42%5/12
0%0/5
6
33%4/12
38%3/8
All
44%32/73
29%14/48

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

121 rallies

#CREIGH-XAVIERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0XAVIERCREIGH×3KillAshlyn Paymalset Katie Dalton+1.4
22-0CREIGHCREIGH×3KillEloise Brandewie+1.8
33-0CREIGHCREIGH×3Attack errQuinci Thomas+1.6
43-1CREIGHXAVIERServe errCreighton+1.1
54-1XAVIERCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+1.2
64-2CREIGHXAVIER×4BlockedAbbey Hayesblk Margo Kemp, Macy Hatkevich+1.2
74-3XAVIERXAVIER×4KillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+1.8
84-4XAVIERXAVIER×4Attack errAbbey Hayes+2.1
94-5XAVIERXAVIER×4Bad setKatie Dalton+2.3
105-5XAVIERCREIGHAttack errCharlotte Moriarty+1.6
115-6CREIGHXAVIERAttack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+1.7
125-7XAVIERXAVIERKillMacy Hatkevichset Kelsey Niesen+2.5
136-7XAVIERCREIGH×4KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+1.7
147-7CREIGHCREIGH×4KillKatie Daltonset Trinity Shadd-Ceres+2.4
158-7CREIGHCREIGH×4KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Sydney Breissinger+2.3
169-7CREIGHCREIGH×4Attack errCharlotte Moriarty+2.1
179-8CREIGHXAVIERKillGabrielle Semonaset Macy Hatkevich+1.5
1810-8XAVIERCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+1.6
1911-8CREIGHCREIGHAttack errGabrielle Semona+2.0
2011-9CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+1.3
2112-9XAVIERCREIGHBlockedGabrielle Semonablk Ayden Ames+1.4
2213-9CREIGHCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+1.7
2313-10CREIGHXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Macy Hatkevich+1.1
2413-11XAVIERXAVIERAceGabrielle Semonaaced Trinity Shadd-Ceres+1.9
2514-11XAVIERCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+1.5
2615-11CREIGHCREIGHAceAyden Amesaced Quinci Thomas+1.8
2715-12CREIGHXAVIERServe errCreighton+1.1
2816-12XAVIERCREIGH×7KillAshlyn Paymalset Eloise Brandewie+1.3
2917-12CREIGHCREIGH×7Attack errQuinci Thomas+1.4
3018-12CREIGHCREIGH×7KillKatie Daltonset Macy Hatkevich+0.9
3119-12CREIGHCREIGH×7KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.6
3220-12CREIGHCREIGH×7KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+0.3
3321-12CREIGHCREIGH×7Attack errCameron Sher+0.1
3422-12CREIGHCREIGH×7KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.1
3522-13CREIGHXAVIERBlockedAbbey Hayesblk Margo Kemp, Macy Hatkevich·
3623-13XAVIERCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton·
3723-14CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich·
3824-14XAVIERCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton·
3925-14CREIGHCREIGHKillKatie Daltonset Macy Hatkevich·
Set 2
10-1CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+1.2
21-1XAVIERCREIGHKillAshlyn Paymalset Katie Dalton+1.1
32-1CREIGHCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Eloise Brandewie+1.5
42-2CREIGHXAVIERServe errCreighton+1.1
53-2XAVIERCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+1.1
63-3CREIGHXAVIERAttack errKatie Dalton+1.2
74-3XAVIERCREIGH×3KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+1.1
85-3CREIGHCREIGH×3KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+1.5
96-3CREIGHCREIGH×3KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+1.3
106-4CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.9
117-4XAVIERCREIGH×4KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Abbey Hayes+1.0
128-4CREIGHCREIGH×4KillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+1.2
139-4CREIGHCREIGH×4KillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+1.0
1410-4CREIGHCREIGH×4AceSaige Damrowaced Kelsey Niesen+0.8
1510-5CREIGHXAVIER×3KillCatherine Flahartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.5
1610-6XAVIERXAVIER×3Attack errKatie Dalton+0.9
1710-7XAVIERXAVIER×3KillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+1.1
1811-7XAVIERCREIGH×6KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Saige Damrow+0.9
1912-7CREIGHCREIGH×6BlockedCatherine Flahartyblk Trinity Shadd-Ceres, Ayden Ames+1.0
2013-7CREIGHCREIGH×6KillAyden Ames+0.8
2114-7CREIGHCREIGH×6Attack errCharlotte Moriarty+0.6
2215-7CREIGHCREIGH×6Attack errMargo Kemp+0.4
2316-7CREIGHCREIGH×6BlockedCatherine Flahartyblk Trinity Shadd-Ceres, Ayden Ames+0.2
2416-8CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.1
2516-9XAVIERXAVIERKillQuinci Thomasset Jenna Barhorst+0.2
2617-9XAVIERCREIGHKillAshlyn Paymalset Katie Dalton+0.2
2717-10CREIGHXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+0.2
2817-11XAVIERXAVIERAttack errAbbey Hayes+0.3
2918-11XAVIERCREIGHServe errKasey Quenichet+0.3
3018-12CREIGHXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+0.2
3119-12XAVIERCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.3
3219-13CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Jenna Barhorst+0.2
3320-13XAVIERCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.3
3420-14CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.2
3521-14XAVIERCREIGH×3KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.2
3622-14CREIGHCREIGH×3KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+0.2
3723-14CREIGHCREIGH×3KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton·
3823-15CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich·
3924-15XAVIERCREIGHServe errIyanna Battle·
4025-15CREIGHCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Saige Damrow·
Set 3
11-0XAVIERCREIGH×4KillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+0.6
22-0CREIGHCREIGH×4Bad setMacy Hatkevich+0.8
33-0CREIGHCREIGH×4BlockedCharlotte Moriartyblk Eloise Brandewie+0.7
44-0CREIGHCREIGH×4KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.6
54-1CREIGHXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+0.4
64-2XAVIERXAVIERAceKasey Quenichet+0.7
75-2XAVIERCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.5
85-3CREIGHXAVIERServe errCreighton+0.5
96-3XAVIERCREIGH×3KillAbbey Hayesset Saige Damrow+0.5
107-3CREIGHCREIGH×3Attack errMacy Hatkevich+0.6
118-3CREIGHCREIGH×3Attack errCharlotte Moriarty+0.5
128-4CREIGHXAVIERKillIyanna Battleset Macy Hatkevich+0.3
139-4XAVIERCREIGHAttack errIyanna Battle+0.4
1410-4CREIGHCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Macy Hatkevich+0.4
1510-5CREIGHXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.3
1611-5XAVIERCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+0.3
1712-5CREIGHCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+0.3
1812-6CREIGHXAVIERKillMacy Hatkevichset Quinci Thomas+0.2
1912-7XAVIERXAVIERAttack errJaya Johnson+0.3
2013-7XAVIERCREIGHKillJaya Johnsonset Katie Dalton+0.3
2113-8CREIGHXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+0.3
2214-8XAVIERCREIGHKillJaya Johnsonset Katie Dalton+0.3
2314-9CREIGHXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+0.2
2415-9XAVIERCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+0.3
2515-10CREIGHXAVIER×3KillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+0.2
2615-11XAVIERXAVIER×3BlockedEloise Brandewieblk Charlotte Moriarty, Iyanna Battle+0.5
2715-12XAVIERXAVIER×3KillIyanna Battleset Macy Hatkevich+0.6
2816-12XAVIERCREIGH×3KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.6
2917-12CREIGHCREIGH×3AceAbbey Hayesaced Kelsey Niesen+0.6
3018-12CREIGHCREIGH×3Attack errMacy Hatkevich+0.4
3118-13CREIGHXAVIERBlockedKatie Daltonblk Charlotte Moriarty+0.2
3218-14XAVIERXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.4
3319-14XAVIERCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+0.4
3420-14CREIGHCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+0.4
3520-15CREIGHXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.2
3621-15XAVIERCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+0.2
3721-16CREIGHXAVIERServe errCreighton+0.1
3822-16XAVIERCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+0.2
3923-16CREIGHCREIGHBlockedCatherine Flahartyblk Abbey Hayes, Ayden Ames+0.1
4023-17CREIGHXAVIERServe errCreighton·
4124-17XAVIERCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+0.1
4225-17CREIGHCREIGHKillJaya Johnsonset Katie Dalton·

Score shown after each rally, Creighton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).