Final · 5 setsSun, Sep 27, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Iowa St. def. UCF 3–2

Iowa St. beat visiting UCF 3-2 (25-17, 18-25, 19-25, 26-24, 15-13) on Sun, Sep 27, 2026. Nayeli Ti'a led Iowa St. with 20 kills; UCF's Avah Armour had a match-high 23.

Data through · final Sep 27

Set12345Sets
UCF17252524132
IOWAST25181926153

Win probability

Iowa St. above 50 · UCF below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+18.2% IOWASTrally 207 · set 5

Biggest swing: 18.2% to Iowa St. — set 5, UCF 13-15 IOWAST. UCF service error. IOWAST win probability 82% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UCF 41.7%58.3% IOWAST

UCF wins

3-0
9.3%
3-1
15.3%
3-2
17.1%

Iowa St. wins

3-0
16.3%
3-1
22.2%
3-2
19.8%
UCF break %
41.0% vs this opp
IOWAST break %
42.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    UCFService error+18.2%

    UCF service error

    Set 5 · UCF 13-15 IOWAST · IOWAST 82% → 100%

  2. 02
    Alea GoolsbyKill+14.8%

    Kill by Alea Goolsby (set by Ava Martin)

    Set 4 · UCF 24-24 IOWAST · IOWAST 11% → 26%

  3. 03
    Pam McCuneKill+14.2%

    Kill by Pam McCune (set by Nayeli Gonzalez)

    Set 4 · UCF 24-25 IOWAST · IOWAST 26% → 40%

  4. 04
    Alea GoolsbyKill+13.9%

    Kill by Alea Goolsby (set by Rachel Van Gorp)

    Set 5 · UCF 12-14 IOWAST · IOWAST 76% → 90%

  5. 05
    Nayeli GonzalezKill+13.0%

    Kill by Nayeli Gonzalez (set by Ava Martin)

    Set 5 · UCF 8-9 IOWAST · IOWAST 51% → 64%

  6. 06

    Avah Armour stuffed by Nayeli Gonzalez & Pam McCune

    Set 5 · UCF 8-10 IOWAST · IOWAST 64% → 76%

  7. 07
    Kiki HorneAttack error+12.5%

    Attack error by Kiki Horne

    Set 4 · UCF 24-26 IOWAST · IOWAST 40% → 52%

  8. 08
    Nayeli GonzalezKill+12.0%

    Kill by Nayeli Gonzalez (set by Ava Martin)

    Set 5 · UCF 11-13 IOWAST · IOWAST 72% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UCFaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
523565.27723410002127
57112.50000010195.512.5
55215.200001603249
5205.4004910110153.56.5
54416.00000020031.55.5
5316.333114200004
514629.27600030010.514.5
5000–2111700001
5000–111910001
4000–000300000
3012-.500001000000
2000–000000000
Team totals5820150.2535571264452216104
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5201153.17001271010.521.5
515635.2571217002118
57222.2270101004210
56112.417000100428
5002.0003501200000
34210.20000000111.55.5
514841.14620013000014
5001.0001802700000
5000–5002300000
3024-.500000100211
1000–001000000
1000–000100000
Team totals6632180.18961476371148103

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UCF vs Iowa St.

Season series · Iowa St. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UCF · IOWAST 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 UCFIOWAST 5

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 UCFIOWAST 2

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 UCFIOWAST 4

Set 4

24-26

Longest run 5 UCFIOWAST 4

Set 5

13-15

Longest run 3 UCFIOWAST 5

Bars above the line = Iowa St. leads, below = UCF leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UCF

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%13/30
39%7/18
2
61%11/18
43%9/21
3
69%11/16
31%5/16
4
82%9/11
33%5/15
5
53%9/17
55%11/20
6
82%9/11
36%5/14
All
60%62/103
40%42/104

Iowa St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%14/18
45%10/22
2
61%11/18
52%13/25
3
63%10/16
35%6/17
4
53%9/17
18%2/11
5
53%9/17
31%4/13
6
50%9/18
40%6/15
All
60%62/104
40%41/103

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

207 rallies

#UCF-IOWASTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UCFIOWAST×4Serve errUCF+1.7
20-2IOWASTIOWAST×4BlockedAvah Armourblk Pam McCune, Daaliyah Kemp+2.4
30-3IOWASTIOWAST×4AceIowa St.+2.3
40-4IOWASTIOWAST×4AceIowa St.+2.1
51-4IOWASTUCFKillNygeria Hartset Abby Schomers+1.4
61-5UCFIOWASTServe errUCF+1.5
71-6IOWASTIOWASTBlockedFallon Stewartblk Macie Lupkes+1.9
82-6IOWASTUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+1.2
92-7UCFIOWASTKillDaaliyah Kempset Ava Martin+1.3
103-7IOWASTUCFServe errIowa St.+1.2
114-7UCFUCFAttack errAlea Goolsby+2.0
124-8UCFIOWASTKillMacie Lupkesset Ella Florez+1.6
135-8IOWASTUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+1.4
145-9UCFIOWASTKillAlea Goolsbyset Ella Florez+1.6
155-10IOWASTIOWASTAttack errKiki Horne+1.9
166-10IOWASTUCFKillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+1.2
177-10UCFUCFAttack errPam McCune+2.0
187-11UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ella Florez+1.7
198-11IOWASTUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+1.5
208-12UCFIOWASTBlockedAvah Armourblk Pam McCune, Daaliyah Kemp+1.7
218-13IOWASTIOWASTKillNayeli Ti'aset Rachel Van Gorp+2.0
229-13IOWASTUCFServe errIowa St.+1.2
2310-13UCFUCFBlockedNayeli Ti'ablk Nygeria Hart, Ella Chapman+2.1
2410-14UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ava Martin+1.8
2511-14IOWASTUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+1.5
2611-15UCFIOWASTKillMacie Lupkesset Ava Martin+1.8
2712-15IOWASTUCFKillFallon Stewartset Abby Schomers+1.5
2812-16UCFIOWASTKillAlea Goolsby+1.9
2912-17IOWASTIOWASTAceIowa St.aced Sarah Mendoza+2.0
3013-17IOWASTUCF×3KillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+1.1
3114-17UCFUCF×3KillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+2.1
3215-17UCFUCF×3Attack errNayeli Gonzalez+2.8
3315-18UCFIOWASTServe errUCF+2.4
3416-18IOWASTUCFAttack errNayeli Gonzalez+2.0
3516-19UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ella Florez+2.5
3616-20IOWASTIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ava Martin+2.8
3717-20IOWASTUCFKillNygeria Hartset Abby Schomers+1.4
3817-21UCFIOWAST×5Serve errUCF+2.0
3917-22IOWASTIOWAST×5KillNayeli Ti'aset Ava Martin+1.7
4017-23IOWASTIOWAST×5KillNayeli Ti'aset Ava Martin+0.8
4117-24IOWASTIOWAST×5KillNayeli Ti'aset Ava Martin+0.3
4217-25IOWASTIOWAST×5Attack errNygeria Hart·
Set 2
11-0IOWASTUCFKillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+1.7
22-0UCFUCFKillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+2.3
32-1UCFIOWASTKillDaaliyah Kempset Ava Martin+1.6
43-1IOWASTUCFKillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+1.7
54-1UCFUCFBlockedDaaliyah Kempblk Sasha Cohen+2.4
64-2UCFIOWASTKillDaaliyah Kempset Ava Martin+1.6
74-3IOWASTIOWASTAttack errNygeria Hart+2.3
85-3IOWASTUCFKillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+1.8
95-4UCFIOWASTBlockedSasha Cohenblk Daaliyah Kemp, Macie Lupkes+1.7
105-5IOWASTIOWASTKillNayeli Ti'aset Rachel Van Gorp+2.5
116-5IOWASTUCF×4Serve errIowa St.+1.9
127-5UCFUCF×4BlockedAlea Goolsbyblk Nygeria Hart, Ella Chapman+2.6
138-5UCFUCF×4KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+2.6
149-5UCFUCF×4KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+2.4
159-6UCFIOWASTKillAlea Goolsbyset Ella Florez+1.5
1610-6IOWASTUCFAttack errAlea Goolsby+1.8
1710-7UCFIOWASTKillMacie Lupkesset Ella Florez+1.5
1810-8IOWASTIOWASTKillAlea Goolsbyset Abby Schomers+2.4
1911-8IOWASTUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+2.0
2011-9UCFIOWASTServe errUCF+1.8
2111-10IOWASTIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ava Martin+2.8
2212-10IOWASTUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+2.2
2313-10UCFUCFKillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+2.9
2413-11UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ava Martin+1.8
2514-11IOWASTUCFKillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+2.2
2614-12UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Ti'aset Ava Martin+1.9
2715-12IOWASTUCFKillNygeria Hartset Abby Schomers+2.3
2816-12UCFUCFAttack errNayeli Gonzalez+2.8
2916-13UCFIOWASTKillMacie Lupkesset Ava Martin+1.6
3017-13IOWASTUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+2.0
3118-13UCFUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+2.2
3218-14UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Ti'aset Ella Florez+1.1
3319-14IOWASTUCFKillNygeria Hartset Abby Schomers+1.6
3419-15UCFIOWASTBad setFallon Stewart+1.0
3520-15IOWASTUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+1.6
3621-15UCFUCFBlockedNayeli Gonzalezblk Abby Schomers, Ella Chapman+1.4
3721-16UCFIOWASTKillAlea Goolsbyset Ella Florez+0.5
3822-16IOWASTUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.9
3922-17UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ava Martin+0.4
4023-17IOWASTUCFKillKiki Horneset Sarah Mendoza+0.7
4123-18UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Ti'aset Ava Martin+0.2
4224-18IOWASTUCFKillAbby Schomers+0.5
4325-18UCFUCFBlockedMacie Lupkesblk Sasha Cohen+0.1
Set 3
10-1UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ava Martin+2.3
21-1IOWASTUCF×3KillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+2.4
32-1UCFUCF×3Attack errNayeli Ti'a+3.5
43-1UCFUCF×3AceUCF+3.5
53-2UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Ti'aset Nayeli Gonzalez+2.4
63-3IOWASTIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ava Martin+3.5
74-3IOWASTUCFKillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+2.6
84-4UCFIOWASTKillAlea Goolsbyset Ava Martin+2.5
94-5IOWASTIOWASTAttack errNygeria Hart+3.6
105-5IOWASTUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+2.6
115-6UCFIOWASTKillAlea Goolsbyset Ella Florez+2.6
126-6IOWASTUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+2.7
136-7UCFIOWAST×4KillDaaliyah Kempset Ella Florez+2.7
146-8IOWASTIOWAST×4KillNayeli Ti'aset Ella Florez+3.7
156-9IOWASTIOWAST×4KillDaaliyah Kempset Ella Florez+3.5
166-10IOWASTIOWAST×4KillAlea Goolsbyset Ella Florez+3.1
177-10IOWASTUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+2.0
187-11UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Ti'aset Alea Goolsby+2.3
198-11IOWASTUCFKillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+2.0
208-12UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Ti'aset Ava Martin+2.3
219-12IOWASTUCF×3Serve errIowa St.+2.0
2210-12UCFUCF×3BlockedNayeli Ti'ablk Sasha Cohen+3.4
2311-12UCFUCF×3Attack errNayeli Gonzalez+4.0
2411-13UCFIOWASTKillPam McCuneset Ava Martin+3.1
2512-13IOWASTUCF×4Serve errIowa St.+2.9
2613-13UCFUCF×4KillAvah Armourset Alexa Haley+4.6
2714-13UCFUCF×4BlockedAlea Goolsbyblk Avah Armour, Sasha Cohen+5.0
2815-13UCFUCF×4AceUCF+5.0
2915-14UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ava Martin+3.3
3016-14IOWASTUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+3.8
3117-14UCFUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+4.9
3217-15UCFIOWASTKillAlea Goolsbyset Rachel Van Gorp+2.9
3318-15IOWASTUCF×4KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+3.7
3419-15UCFUCF×4BlockedMacie Lupkesblk Ella Chapman+4.3
3520-15UCFUCF×4KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+3.2
3621-15UCFUCF×4KillFallon Stewartset Avah Armour+2.0
3721-16UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Ti'aset Ella Florez+0.7
3821-17IOWASTIOWASTKillDaaliyah Kemp+1.7
3922-17IOWASTUCFAttack errNayeli Ti'a+2.0
4023-17UCFUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+1.4
4123-18UCFIOWASTServe errUCF+0.3
4224-18IOWASTUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.7
4324-19UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Ti'aset Ava Martin+0.1
4425-19IOWASTUCFAttack errAlea Goolsby+0.3
Set 4
11-0IOWASTUCFServe errIowa St.+2.6
21-1UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Ti'aset Ava Martin+2.6
32-1IOWASTUCFServe errIowa St.+2.7
42-2UCFIOWAST×3KillAlea Goolsbyset Ava Martin+2.6
52-3IOWASTIOWAST×3AceIowa St.+3.7
62-4IOWASTIOWAST×3BlockedNygeria Hartblk Nayeli Gonzalez, Taylor Johnson+3.6
73-4IOWASTUCFKillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+2.5
83-5UCFIOWASTServe errUCF+2.6
94-5IOWASTUCFKillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+2.6
105-5UCFUCFBlockedNayeli Ti'ablk Ella Chapman, Nygeria Hart+3.9
115-6UCFIOWASTServe errUCF+2.8
126-6IOWASTUCF×4Attack errNayeli Ti'a+2.9
137-6UCFUCF×4Attack errNayeli Ti'a+4.2
148-6UCFUCF×4BlockedTaylor Johnsonblk Ella Chapman, Avah Armour+4.3
159-6UCFUCF×4AceUCF+4.2
169-7UCFIOWASTServe errUCF+2.7
1710-7IOWASTUCF×3BlockedPam McCuneblk Abby Schomers+3.1
1811-7UCFUCF×3BlockedNayeli Ti'ablk Abby Schomers+4.0
1912-7UCFUCF×3BlockedNayeli Ti'ablk Ella Chapman, Abby Schomers+3.5
2012-8UCFIOWASTKillPam McCuneset Ella Florez+2.0
2113-8IOWASTUCFKillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+2.5
2213-9UCFIOWAST×3KillPam McCuneset Ava Martin+2.0
2313-10IOWASTIOWAST×3Attack errKiki Horne+3.4
2413-11IOWASTIOWAST×3Attack errKiki Horne+4.1
2514-11IOWASTUCFKillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+3.4
2614-12UCFIOWASTKillPam McCuneset Ava Martin+3.0
2715-12IOWASTUCFKillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+3.6
2815-13UCFIOWASTKillAlea Goolsbyset Ava Martin+3.0
2916-13IOWASTUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+3.7
3017-13UCFUCFAttack errTaylor Johnson+4.5
3117-14UCFIOWAST×4Attack errAvah Armour+2.5
3217-15IOWASTIOWAST×4KillNayeli Ti'aset Alea Goolsby+4.4
3317-16IOWASTIOWAST×4KillNayeli Ti'a+5.4
3417-17IOWASTIOWAST×4KillNayeli Ti'aset Ella Florez+6.1
3518-17IOWASTUCFKillFallon Stewartset Avah Armour+4.8
3618-18UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Ti'aset Rachel Van Gorp+4.7
3719-18IOWASTUCF×5KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+5.2
3820-18UCFUCF×5Attack errAlea Goolsby+7.2
3921-18UCFUCF×5AceUCF+6.3
4022-18UCFUCF×5AceUCF+4.6
4123-18UCFUCF×5AceUCFaced Nayeli Ti'a+2.7
4223-19UCFIOWAST×4KillPam McCuneset Ella Florez+0.7
4323-20IOWASTIOWAST×4Attack errElla Chapman+2.0
4423-21IOWASTIOWAST×4Attack errKiki Horne+3.8
4523-22IOWASTIOWAST×4KillNayeli Gonzalezset Ava Martin+6.8
4624-22IOWASTUCFKillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+8.2
4724-23UCFIOWAST×4KillPam McCuneset Ava Martin+4.5
4824-24IOWASTIOWAST×4KillAlea Goolsbyset Ava Martin+14.8
4924-25IOWASTIOWAST×4KillPam McCuneset Nayeli Gonzalez+14.2
5024-26IOWASTIOWAST×4Attack errKiki Horne+12.5
Set 5
10-1IOWASTIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ava Martin+8.6
21-1IOWASTUCFKillAvah Armourset Alexa Haley+6.2
31-2UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ava Martin+6.4
42-2IOWASTUCFKillAvah Armourset Fallon Stewart+6.5
53-2UCFUCFBlockedAlea Goolsbyblk Ella Chapman, Abby Schomers+9.6
63-3UCFIOWASTAttack errAvah Armour+6.7
73-4IOWASTIOWASTKillAlea Goolsbyset Ava Martin+9.7
84-4IOWASTUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+7.0
95-4UCFUCFBlockedAlea Goolsbyblk Abby Schomers, Ella Chapman+10.5
105-5UCFIOWASTServe errUCF+7.3
116-5IOWASTUCFKillAbby Schomers+7.9
126-6UCFIOWASTBlockedKiki Horneblk Daaliyah Kemp, Taylor Johnson+7.7
137-6IOWASTUCFKillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+8.4
147-7UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Ti'aset Ella Florez+8.1
158-7IOWASTUCFBlockedNayeli Ti'ablk Sasha Cohen, Kiki Horne+9.0
168-8UCFIOWAST×5Serve errUCF+8.7
178-9IOWASTIOWAST×5KillNayeli Gonzalezset Ava Martin+13.0
188-10IOWASTIOWAST×5BlockedAvah Armourblk Nayeli Gonzalez, Pam McCune+12.5
198-11IOWASTIOWAST×5Attack errSasha Cohen+10.5
208-12IOWASTIOWAST×5BlockedNatasha Caseyblk Pam McCune, Nayeli Ti'a+7.4
219-12IOWASTUCF×3Attack errNayeli Ti'a+3.0
2210-12UCFUCF×3AceUCF+7.2
2311-12UCFUCF×3Attack errNayeli Gonzalez+11.7
2411-13UCFIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ava Martin+12.0
2512-13IOWASTUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+8.5
2612-14UCFIOWASTKillAlea Goolsbyset Rachel Van Gorp+13.9
2713-14IOWASTUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+7.7
2813-15UCFIOWASTServe errUCF+18.2

Score shown after each rally, UCF first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).