Final · 4 setsWed, Sep 2, 2026

Rice def. Tarleton St. 3–1

Rice beat visiting Tarleton St. 3-1 (21-25, 25-22, 25-17, 25-14) on Wed, Sep 2, 2026. Rice's Sydnee Peterson led with 17 kills, and Kaia Mateo added 19 digs.

Data through · final Sep 2

Set1234Sets
TARLET252217141
RICE212525253

Win probability

Rice above 50 · Tarleton St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.0% TARLETrally 174 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.0% to Tarleton St. — set 2, TARLET 14-11 RICE. Tarleton St. ace on Sydnee Peterson. RICE win probability 74% → 70%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TARLET 5.2%94.8% RICE

Tarleton St. wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.5%
3-2
3.1%

Rice wins

3-0
55.0%
3-1
29.8%
3-2
10.0%
TARLET break %
36.0% vs this opp
RICE break %
48.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Tarleton St.Ace+4.0%

    Tarleton St. ace on Sydnee Peterson

    Set 2 · TARLET 14-11 RICE · TARLET 26% → 30%

  2. 02
    Ashlyn SeayAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Ashlyn Seay

    Set 2 · TARLET 13-11 RICE · TARLET 22% → 26%

  3. 03
    RiceAce+3.4%

    Rice ace

    Set 2 · TARLET 14-13 RICE · RICE 72% → 76%

  4. 04
    Sydnee PetersonAttack error+3.3%

    Attack error by Sydnee Peterson

    Set 2 · TARLET 9-5 RICE · TARLET 26% → 29%

  5. 05
    Ellie SchneiderBlock+3.2%

    Jacqui McClain stuffed by Ellie Schneider

    Set 2 · TARLET 14-14 RICE · RICE 76% → 79%

  6. 06

    Kill by Jacqui McClain (set by Kingsley Minus)

    Set 2 · TARLET 12-11 RICE · TARLET 19% → 22%

  7. 07
    Madison FrankKill+3.0%

    Kill by Madison Frank (set by Alexis Massey)

    Set 2 · TARLET 8-5 RICE · TARLET 23% → 26%

  8. 08
    Arissa SmithBlock+2.9%

    Onita Davis stuffed by Arissa Smith

    Set 2 · TARLET 14-15 RICE · RICE 79% → 82%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417746.21722191010.519.5
48427.148000600008
47323.174000520007
44316.06310000111.55.5
4306.500001200003
4001.0002414900001
47316.250100200218
4015-.200110210001
4001.0001500500000
4000–2021910000
Team totals4621141.177464859614378
Ricehome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417743.23310141052.519.5
410121.42911010073.514.5
411116.62500010153.514.5
45319.10500040031.56.5
4000–26101900001
4000–101500000
410627.148122150031.513.5
44113.23100010010.54.5
4000–1822400002
4000–7001420000
1105.200000100001
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
1000–100000000
Team totals5819144.27156666941241396

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 TARLET · RICE 8

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 TARLETRICE 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 5 TARLETRICE 4

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 2 TARLETRICE 4

Set 4

14-25

Longest run 3 TARLETRICE 8

Bars above the line = Rice leads, below = Tarleton St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tarleton St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
42%5/12
2
38%8/21
33%4/12
3
60%6/10
13%1/8
4
86%6/7
50%6/12
5
56%5/9
0%0/6
6
56%5/9
29%2/7
All
54%38/70
32%18/57

Rice

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
33%3/9
2
80%8/10
65%15/23
3
70%7/10
38%5/13
4
60%6/10
25%2/8
5
100%5/5
17%1/6
6
71%5/7
55%6/11
All
68%39/57
46%32/70

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

174 rallies

#TARLET-RICESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TARLETTARLETAttack errSydnee Peterson+0.7
22-0TARLETTARLETBad setKaia Mateo+0.9
32-1TARLETRICEServe errTarleton St.+0.6
43-1RICETARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Alexis Massey+0.7
53-2TARLETRICEBlockedLaNeah Larablk Stephanie Gutierrez, Kellen Dorotik+0.6
64-2RICETARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Alexis Massey+0.7
74-3TARLETRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+0.6
85-3RICETARLET×4KillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+0.7
96-3TARLETTARLET×4Attack errAshlyn Seay+1.1
107-3TARLETTARLET×4KillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+1.2
118-3TARLETTARLET×4Attack errSydnee Peterson+1.2
128-4TARLETRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+0.7
139-4RICETARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+1.0
149-5TARLETRICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+0.7
1510-5RICETARLETBlockedKellen Dorotikblk Onita Davis, Jacqui McClain+1.0
1611-5TARLETTARLETBlockedAshlyn Seayblk Onita Davis, Alyssa Dinh+1.3
1711-6TARLETRICE×3Serve errTarleton St.+0.7
1811-7RICERICE×3Attack errJacqui McClain+1.1
1911-8RICERICE×3KillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+1.1
2012-8RICETARLETKillJacqui McClainset Kingsley Minus+1.1
2113-8TARLETTARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Alexis Massey+1.4
2213-9TARLETRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+0.8
2313-10RICERICEAttack errBreannah Peterson+1.2
2414-10RICETARLET×3KillJacqui McClainset Alexis Massey+1.2
2515-10TARLETTARLET×3Attack errKellen Dorotik+1.5
2616-10TARLETTARLET×3AceTarleton St.aced Jordan Hummel+1.4
2716-11TARLETRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+0.6
2817-11RICETARLETBad setSydnee Peterson+1.0
2917-12TARLETRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+0.6
3018-12RICETARLETKillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+1.0
3119-12TARLETTARLETAttack errAshlyn Seay+1.0
3219-13TARLETRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+0.4
3320-13RICETARLETKillJacqui McClainset Kingsley Minus+0.7
3420-14TARLETRICEKillEllie Schneiderset Savannah Skopal+0.3
3520-15RICERICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+0.7
3621-15RICETARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+0.9
3722-15TARLETTARLETAttack errKellen Dorotik+0.7
3822-16TARLETRICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+0.2
3923-16RICETARLETKillJacqui McClainset Kingsley Minus+0.4
4023-17TARLETRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+0.1
4124-17RICETARLETKillJacqui McClainset Madison Natori Rice-Locket+0.3
4224-18TARLETRICE×4KillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo·
4324-19RICERICE×4Attack errBreannah Peterson+0.1
4424-20RICERICE×4Attack errLaNeah Lara+0.3
4524-21RICERICE×4KillSydnee Petersonset Jordan Hummel+0.5
4625-21RICETARLETKillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+1.0
Set 2
10-1RICERICEBlockedJacqui McClainblk Kellen Dorotik, Arissa Smith+1.5
20-2RICERICEAceRiceaced LaNeah Lara+1.3
31-2RICETARLET×5KillJacqui McClainset Alexis Massey+1.0
42-2TARLETTARLET×5AceTarleton St.aced Jordan Hummel+1.7
53-2TARLETTARLET×5KillLaNeah Laraset Jacqui McClain+2.1
64-2TARLETTARLET×5Attack errSydnee Peterson+2.4
75-2TARLETTARLET×5KillJacqui McClainset Alexis Massey+2.7
85-3TARLETRICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.7
95-4RICERICE×3KillStephanie Gutierrez+2.3
105-5RICERICE×3BlockedAlyssa Dinhblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Sydnee Peterson+2.1
116-5RICETARLET×4KillBreannah Petersonset Alexis Massey+1.8
127-5TARLETTARLET×4KillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+2.7
138-5TARLETTARLET×4KillMadison Frankset Alexis Massey+3.0
149-5TARLETTARLET×4Attack errSydnee Peterson+3.3
159-6TARLETRICE×4Serve errTarleton St.+1.9
169-7RICERICE×4Serve errRice+2.7
17–1910-9TARLET · RICE 2
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.0
2010-10TARLETRICEKillEllie Schneiderset Jordan Hummel+1.8
2110-11RICERICEBad setKingsley Minus+2.3
2211-11RICETARLET×4Serve errRice+1.9
2312-11TARLETTARLET×4KillJacqui McClainset Kingsley Minus+3.1
2413-11TARLETTARLET×4Attack errAshlyn Seay+3.6
2514-11TARLETTARLET×4AceTarleton St.aced Sydnee Peterson+4.0
2614-12TARLETRICE×4KillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+2.3
2714-13RICERICE×4AceRice+3.4
2814-14RICERICE×4BlockedJacqui McClainblk Ellie Schneider+3.2
2914-15RICERICE×4BlockedOnita Davisblk Arissa Smith+2.9
3015-15RICETARLETKillMadison Frankset Leddy Rae Guinn+2.4
3115-16TARLETRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+2.2
3215-17RICERICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+2.7
3316-17RICETARLETKillJacqui McClainset Onita Davis+2.0
3416-18TARLETRICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+2.0
3517-18RICETARLETKillJacqui McClainset Alexis Massey+2.1
3617-19TARLETRICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+2.2
3718-19RICETARLETAttack errSydnee Peterson+2.2
3818-20TARLETRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Stephanie Gutierrez+2.3
3919-20RICETARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Alexis Massey+2.3
4019-21TARLETRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.6
4120-21RICETARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+2.4
4220-22TARLETRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+2.9
4320-23RICERICEBlockedOnita Davisblk Arissa Smith, Ashlyn Seay+2.7
4421-23RICETARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+1.2
4521-24TARLETRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.9
4622-24RICETARLETKillJacqui McClainset Alyssa Dinh+0.8
4722-25TARLETRICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+1.7
Set 3
11-0TARLETTARLETAceTarleton St.+1.7
21-1TARLETRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Sydnee Peterson+1.1
32-1RICETARLETKillJacqui McClainset Alexis Massey+1.3
42-2TARLETRICEServe errTarleton St.+1.1
53-2RICETARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Alexis Massey+1.4
64-2TARLETTARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Alexis Massey+2.1
74-3TARLETRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.3
85-3RICETARLETBad setSavannah Skopal+1.6
95-4TARLETRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+1.4
105-5RICERICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.8
116-5RICETARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+1.5
126-6TARLETRICE×3KillEllie Schneiderset Savannah Skopal+1.3
136-7RICERICE×3BlockedJacqui McClainblk Arissa Smith, Kellen Dorotik+1.7
146-8RICERICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+1.5
157-8RICETARLETAttack errArissa Smith+1.1
167-9TARLETRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+1.1
178-9RICETARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+1.2
189-9TARLETTARLETAttack errSydnee Peterson+2.0
199-10TARLETRICEServe errTarleton St.+1.4
209-11RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Jordan Hummel+1.7
2110-11RICETARLETKillJacqui McClainset Alexis Massey+1.3
2210-12TARLETRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+1.2
2311-12RICETARLETAttack errSydnee Peterson+1.3
2411-13TARLETRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+1.3
2511-14RICERICEBad setAlexis Massey+1.5
2612-14RICETARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Alexis Massey+1.1
2712-15TARLETRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+1.1
2813-15RICETARLETKillMadison Frankset Kingsley Minus+1.1
2913-16TARLETRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Mari Furoyama+1.1
3013-17RICERICEAceRiceaced Madison Natori Rice-Locket+1.2
3114-17RICETARLETKillJacqui McClainset Kingsley Minus+0.8
3214-18TARLETRICEBlockedOnita Davisblk Ashlyn Seay, Arissa Smith+0.9
3315-18RICETARLETServe errRice+0.8
3415-19TARLETRICE×4KillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+0.9
3515-20RICERICE×4KillKellen Dorotikset Jordan Hummel+0.8
3615-21RICERICE×4KillSydnee Petersonset Ashlyn Seay+0.4
3715-22RICERICE×4Bad setAlexis Massey+0.2
3816-22RICETARLETBlockedAshlyn Seayblk Alyssa Dinh+0.1
3916-23TARLETRICEAttack errAlyssa Dinh+0.1
4017-23RICETARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Alexis Massey·
4117-24TARLETRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+0.1
4217-25RICERICEBlockedBreannah Petersonblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Ashlyn Seay·
Set 4
10-1RICERICEAceRiceaced LaNeah Lara+0.9
21-1RICETARLETKillJacqui McClainset Alexis Massey+0.8
31-2TARLETRICE×8Serve errTarleton St.+0.7
41-3RICERICE×8KillSydnee Petersonset Jordan Hummel+0.8
51-4RICERICE×8KillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+0.7
61-5RICERICE×8KillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+0.6
71-6RICERICE×8BlockedJacqui McClainblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Sydnee Peterson+0.4
81-7RICERICE×8BlockedJacqui McClainblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Sydnee Peterson+0.3
91-8RICERICE×8KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+0.2
101-9RICERICE×8Attack errAlyssa Dinh+0.2
112-9RICETARLETKillJacqui McClainset Alexis Massey+0.1
122-10TARLETRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+0.1
132-11RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+0.1
143-11RICETARLETServe errRice+0.1
153-12TARLETRICEServe errTarleton St.+0.1
164-12RICETARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Leddy Rae Guinn+0.1
174-13TARLETRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+0.1
185-13RICETARLETKillLaNeah Laraset Kingsley Minus+0.1
195-14TARLETRICE×3KillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+0.1
205-15RICERICE×3Attack errMadison Natori Rice-Locket+0.1
215-16RICERICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Jordan Hummel·
226-16RICETARLETKillJacqui McClainset Kingsley Minus·
236-17TARLETRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo·
247-17RICETARLET×3Serve errRice·
258-17TARLETTARLET×3Attack errAshlyn Seay·
269-17TARLETTARLET×3KillBreannah Petersonset Alexis Massey·
279-18TARLETRICE×4Serve errTarleton St.·
289-19RICERICE×4BlockedJacqui McClainblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Sydnee Peterson·
299-20RICERICE×4KillAmalia Simmonsset Kaia Mateo·
309-21RICERICE×4KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo·
3110-21RICETARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Alexis Massey·
3210-22TARLETRICEBlockedBreannah Petersonblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Sydnee Peterson·
3310-23RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Jordan Hummel·
3411-23RICETARLET×3KillLaNeah Laraset Jacqui McClain·
3512-23TARLETTARLET×3Attack errEllie Schneider·
3613-23TARLETTARLET×3Attack errStephanie Gutierrez·
3713-24TARLETRICEKillEllie Schneiderset Savannah Skopal·
3814-24RICETARLETServe errRice·
3914-25TARLETRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal·

Score shown after each rally, Tarleton St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).