Northern Colo. def. Wichita St. 3–1
Northern Colo. beat Wichita St. 3-1 (25-17, 22-25, 25-22, 25-19) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026 at a neutral site. Northern Colo.'s Alayna Tessena led with 17 kills, and Bella LePore added 22 digs.
Data through · final Sep 5
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WICHST | 17 | 25 | 22 | 19 | 1 |
| N COLO | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 8.1% to Northern Colo. — set 3, WICHST 21-23 N COLO. Point Northern Colo. (not logged in NCAA feed). N COLO win probability 63% → 71%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Wichita St. wins
Northern Colo. wins
- WICHST break %
- 43.2% vs this opp
- N COLO break %
- 44.8% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+8.1%
Point Northern Colo. (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 3 · WICHST 21-23 N COLO · N COLO 63% → 71%
- 02Northern Colo.Service error+7.5%
Northern Colo. service error
Set 3 · WICHST 20-21 N COLO · N COLO 55% → 62%
- 03Gillian WaltonKill+7.4%
Kill by Gillian Walton (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)
Set 3 · WICHST 22-24 N COLO · N COLO 66% → 74%
- 04Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+6.8%
Point Northern Colo. (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 3 · WICHST 20-20 N COLO · N COLO 48% → 55%
- 05Alayna TessenaKill+6.6%
Kill by Alayna Tessena (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)
Set 3 · WICHST 21-22 N COLO · N COLO 56% → 63%
- 06Allie PaulsenKill+6.0%
Kill by Allie Paulsen (set by Addie Oeth)
Set 2 · WICHST 22-21 N COLO · WICHST 25% → 31%
- 07Allie Paulsen&Olivia CoheeBlock+6.0%
Gillian Walton stuffed by Allie Paulsen & Olivia Cohee
Set 2 · WICHST 23-21 N COLO · WICHST 31% → 37%
- 08McKenzie JonesKill+5.8%
Kill by McKenzie Jones (set by Jordan Heatherly)
Set 3 · WICHST 21-21 N COLO · WICHST 38% → 44%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | .261 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | .235 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 3 | 25 | .200 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 4 | 5 | 1 | 9 | .444 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | .000 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 13 | 5 | 30 | .267 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 24 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 21 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -.250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Team totals | 55 | 26 | 138 | .210 | 52 | 2 | 8 | 50 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 83 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 17 | 3 | 35 | .400 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 20 | |
| 4 | 12 | 1 | 22 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 16 | |
| 4 | 11 | 4 | 25 | .280 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 20 | .200 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | .118 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | .214 | 48 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 57 | 15 | 134 | .313 | 54 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 97 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
17-25
Set 2
25-22
Set 3
22-25
Set 4
19-25
Bars above the line = Northern Colo. leads, below = Wichita St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Wichita St.
No clean sets to split.
Northern Colo.
No clean sets to split.
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
180 rallies
| # | WICHST-N COLO | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Kill | Summer Snead | +2.3 | |
| 2–4 | 0-4 | N COLO 3 | NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +6.5 | |||
| 5 | 0-5 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Attack err | Maddie Wilson | +1.8 | |
| 6 | 0-6 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Gillian Walton | +1.6 |
| 7 | 1-6 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | McKenzie Jones | set Jordan Heatherly | +1.1 |
| 8 | 1-7 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | +1.2 | |
| 9 | 2-7 | N COLO | WICHST | Attack err | Alayna Tessena | +1.1 | |
| 10 | 2-8 | WICHST | N COLO×3 | Attack err | Olivia Cohee | +1.2 | |
| 11 | 2-9 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Attack err | Elinor Engel | +1.3 | |
| 12 | 2-10 | N COLO | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.0 | |||
| 13 | 3-10 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Allie Paulsen | set Addie Oeth | +0.6 |
| 14 | 4-10 | WICHST | WICHST | Serve err | Wichita St. | +1.0 | |
| 15–16 | 4-12 | N COLO 2 | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.0 | |||
| 17 | 5-12 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Jenna Cubbage | set Addie Oeth | +0.6 |
| 18 | 5-13 | WICHST | N COLO×3 | Kill | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | set Bella LePore | +0.7 |
| 19–20 | 5-15 | N COLO 2 | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.1 | |||
| 21 | 6-15 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Elinor Engel | +0.2 | |
| 22 | 7-15 | WICHST | WICHST | Ace | Wichita St. | aced Bella LePore | +0.4 |
| 23–24 | 8-16 | WICHST · N COLO | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.2 | |||
| 25 | 8-17 | WICHST | N COLO | Serve err | Wichita St. | +0.4 | |
| 26 | 9-17 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Maddie Wilson | set Jordan Heatherly | +0.3 |
| 27 | 9-18 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.4 |
| 28 | 9-19 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.3 |
| 29 | 10-19 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Olivia Cohee | set Grace Hett | +0.1 |
| 30 | 10-20 | WICHST | N COLO | Attack err | Olivia Cohee | +0.2 | |
| 31 | 11-20 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Elinor Engel | set Addie Oeth | +0.1 |
| 32 | 12-20 | WICHST | WICHST | Serve err | Wichita St. | +0.2 | |
| 33–35 | 14-21 | WICHST 2 · N COLO | NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.1 | |||
| 36 | 14-22 | WICHST | N COLO | Attack err | Elinor Engel | +0.3 | |
| 37 | 14-23 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.1 |
| 38 | 15-23 | N COLO | WICHST×3 | Kill | Maddie Wilson | · | |
| 39 | 16-23 | WICHST | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.1 | |||
| 40 | 17-23 | WICHST | WICHST×3 | Serve err | Wichita St. | +0.2 | |
| 41 | 17-24 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | +0.3 | |
| 42 | 17-25 | N COLO | N COLO | Blocked | Jordan Heatherly | blk Summer Snead, Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.1 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | WICHST | WICHST | Kill | McKenzie Jones | +2.2 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | WICHST | N COLO×3 | Attack err | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.7 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | +2.2 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Blocked | McKenzie Jones | blk Summer Snead, Leila Ballard | +2.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | N COLO | WICHST | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +1.7 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | +1.7 | |
| 7–8 | 4-4 | WICHST 2 | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +4.0 | |||
| 9 | 4-5 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Leila Ballard | +1.8 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Jenna Cubbage | +1.9 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | WICHST | N COLO×5 | Attack err | Olivia Cohee | +1.9 | |
| 12–13 | 5-8 | N COLO 2 | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +4.6 | |||
| 14 | 5-9 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +2.0 | |
| 15 | 5-10 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.8 |
| 16 | 6-10 | N COLO | WICHST | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +1.2 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | WICHST | WICHST | Serve err | Wichita St. | +1.8 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | N COLO | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.6 | |||
| 19 | 8-11 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | McKenzie Jones | set Jordan Heatherly | +1.5 |
| 20 | 8-12 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.7 |
| 21 | 9-12 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Jenna Cubbage | set Jordan Heatherly | +1.5 |
| 22 | 10-12 | WICHST | WICHST | Kill | McKenzie Jones | set Jordan Heatherly | +2.3 |
| 23 | 10-13 | WICHST | N COLO | Serve err | Wichita St. | +2.0 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | N COLO | WICHST | Attack err | Leila Ballard | +1.8 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | +2.1 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | N COLO | N COLO | Ace | Northern Colo. | aced Gabi Maas | +2.3 |
| 27 | 12-15 | N COLO | WICHST | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +1.5 | |
| 28 | 12-16 | N COLO | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.8 | |||
| 29 | 13-16 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Olivia Cohee | set Addie Oeth | +1.5 |
| 30 | 14-16 | WICHST | WICHST | Kill | Danielle Moore | +2.5 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | WICHST | N COLO | Serve err | Wichita St. | +2.3 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Danielle Moore | set Addie Oeth | +2.0 |
| 33 | 15-18 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.4 |
| 34 | 16-18 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Maddie Wilson | set Jordan Heatherly | +2.0 |
| 35–36 | 17-19 | WICHST · N COLO | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.4 | |||
| 37 | 18-19 | WICHST | WICHST | Kill | Jenna Cubbage | set Jordan Heatherly | +3.4 |
| 38 | 18-20 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.2 |
| 39 | 19-20 | N COLO | WICHST | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +2.8 | |
| 40 | 19-21 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | +3.5 | |
| 41 | 20-21 | N COLO | WICHST×5 | Kill | Jenna Cubbage | +3.0 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | WICHST | WICHST×5 | Attack err | Gillian Walton | +5.1 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | WICHST | WICHST×5 | Kill | Allie Paulsen | set Addie Oeth | +6.0 |
| 44 | 23-21 | WICHST | WICHST×5 | Blocked | Gillian Walton | blk Allie Paulsen, Olivia Cohee | +6.0 |
| 45 | 24-21 | WICHST | WICHST×5 | Ace | Wichita St. | +4.5 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.4 |
| 47 | 25-22 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Grace Hett | set Olivia Cohee | +3.3 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Jenna Cubbage | set Grace Hett | +2.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | WICHST | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.6 | |||
| 4 | 3-1 | WICHST | WICHST | Kill | McKenzie Jones | set Gabi Maas | +3.4 |
| 5 | 3-2 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.5 |
| 6 | 4-2 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Jenna Cubbage | set Jordan Heatherly | +2.7 |
| 7 | 4-3 | WICHST | N COLO×4 | Serve err | Wichita St. | +2.6 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Blocked | Jenna Cubbage | blk Gillian Walton, Maddie Rink | +3.4 |
| 9 | 4-5 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Ace | Northern Colo. | aced Grace Hett | +3.4 |
| 10 | 4-6 | N COLO | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +3.4 | |||
| 11 | 5-6 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Jenna Cubbage | set Addie Oeth | +2.6 |
| 12 | 6-6 | WICHST | WICHST | Kill | Danielle Moore | set Addie Oeth | +3.5 |
| 13 | 6-7 | WICHST | N COLO | Attack err | Danielle Moore | +2.8 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | N COLO | N COLO | Ace | Northern Colo. | aced Jenna Cubbage | +3.5 |
| 15 | 7-8 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Olivia Cohee | +2.7 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.8 |
| 17 | 8-9 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Danielle Moore | set Addie Oeth | +2.8 |
| 18 | 8-10 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Leila Ballard | +2.9 |
| 19 | 9-10 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Maddie Wilson | set Jordan Heatherly | +2.8 |
| 20 | 9-11 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | set Bella LePore | +3.0 |
| 21 | 10-11 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Maddie Wilson | +2.9 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | N COLO | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +3.1 | |||
| 23 | 11-12 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Allie Paulsen | set Jordan Heatherly | +3.0 |
| 24 | 12-12 | WICHST | WICHST | Kill | Jenna Cubbage | +4.3 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | WICHST | N COLO | Attack err | Jenna Cubbage | +3.5 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | N COLO | WICHST×4 | Kill | Danielle Moore | set Addie Oeth | +3.5 |
| 27 | 14-13 | WICHST | WICHST×4 | Attack err | Leila Ballard | +4.7 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | WICHST | WICHST×4 | Kill | Allie Paulsen | set Addie Oeth | +4.8 |
| 29 | 16-13 | WICHST | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +4.6 | |||
| 30 | 16-14 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Riley Taylor | +3.1 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | N COLO | WICHST | Attack err | Riley Taylor | +3.7 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | WICHST | WICHST | Blocked | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | blk Maddie Wilson | +4.1 |
| 33 | 18-15 | N COLO | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.5 | |||
| 34 | 19-15 | N COLO | WICHST | Attack err | Maddie Rink | +3.3 | |
| 35 | 19-16 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.4 |
| 36 | 19-17 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set McKenzie Jones | +4.2 |
| 37 | 20-17 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Olivia Cohee | +4.3 | |
| 38 | 20-18 | WICHST | N COLO×4 | Attack err | Olivia Cohee | +3.3 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Attack err | Jenna Cubbage | +5.6 | |
| 40 | 20-20 | N COLO | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +6.8 | |||
| 41 | 20-21 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +7.5 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | McKenzie Jones | set Jordan Heatherly | +5.8 |
| 43 | 21-22 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +6.6 |
| 44–45 | 22-23 | WICHST · N COLO | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +3.4 | |||
| 46 | 22-24 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +7.4 |
| 47 | 22-25 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +5.4 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1–2 | 1-1 | WICHST · N COLO | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | · | |||
| 3 | 1-2 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | +2.3 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | N COLO | WICHST | Attack err | Leila Ballard | +2.4 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | WICHST | N COLO×3 | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.4 |
| 6 | 2-4 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Attack err | Allie Paulsen | +3.0 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Attack err | Danielle Moore | +2.8 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Jenna Cubbage | set Addie Oeth | +2.1 |
| 9 | 3-6 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.3 |
| 10 | 4-6 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Allie Paulsen | +2.2 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Maddie Rink | +2.3 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | N COLO | WICHST | Attack err | Alayna Tessena | +2.2 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.4 |
| 14 | 6-8 | N COLO | WICHST×3 | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +2.2 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | WICHST | WICHST×3 | Blocked | Summer Snead | blk Jenna Cubbage, Maddie Wilson | +3.2 |
| 16 | 8-8 | WICHST | WICHST×3 | Kill | Jordan Heatherly | +3.5 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | WICHST | N COLO | Attack err | Jordan Heatherly | +2.8 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | N COLO | WICHST×3 | Kill | McKenzie Jones | set Jordan Heatherly | +2.8 |
| 19 | 10-9 | WICHST | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +3.8 | |||
| 20 | 11-9 | WICHST | WICHST×3 | Kill | McKenzie Jones | set Gabi Maas | +3.9 |
| 21 | 11-10 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | +2.8 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | N COLO | N COLO | Ace | Northern Colo. | +3.9 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | McKenzie Jones | set Jordan Heatherly | +3.2 |
| 24 | 12-12 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.1 |
| 25 | 13-12 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Danielle Moore | +3.3 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.3 |
| 27 | 13-14 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +4.3 |
| 28 | 14-14 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Olivia Cohee | set Addie Oeth | +3.4 |
| 29 | 14-15 | WICHST | N COLO×6 | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.5 |
| 30 | 14-16 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Kill | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +4.4 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Blocked | Danielle Moore | blk Alayna Tessena, Maddie Rink | +4.0 |
| 32 | 14-18 | N COLO | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +3.3 | |||
| 33 | 14-19 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.5 |
| 34 | 14-20 | N COLO | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.7 | |||
| 35 | 15-20 | N COLO | WICHST×4 | Kill | Maddie Wilson | set Addie Oeth | +0.8 |
| 36 | 16-20 | WICHST | WICHST×4 | Kill | Maddie Wilson | set Jordan Heatherly | +1.6 |
| 37 | 17-20 | WICHST | WICHST×4 | Kill | McKenzie Jones | set Jordan Heatherly | +2.5 |
| 38 | 18-20 | WICHST | WICHST×4 | Kill | Olivia Cohee | set Grace Hett | +3.6 |
| 39 | 18-21 | WICHST | N COLO×3 | Serve err | Wichita St. | +3.7 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +3.5 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Ace | Northern Colo. | aced Grace Hett | +2.0 |
| 42 | 19-23 | N COLO | WICHST | Kill | Olivia Cohee | set Grace Hett | +0.7 |
| 43 | 19-24 | WICHST | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.2 |
| 44 | 19-25 | N COLO | N COLO | Blocked | Maddie Wilson | blk Summer Snead | +0.4 |
Score shown after each rally, Wichita St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).