FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwaySOUTHLAND

3:0

HomeUAC-

A&M-Corpus Christi def. Tarleton St. 3–0

(25-22, 25-18, 25-21)

Set	1*	2	3*	Sets
TAMUCC	25	25	25	3
TARLET	22	18	21	0

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TARLET above 50 · TAMUCC below

Biggest swing: 4.2% to A&M-Corpus Christi — set 1, TAMUCC 21-18 TARLET. A&M-Corpus Christi ace on LaNeah Lara. TARLET win probability 47% → 43%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TAMUCC 43.6%56.4% TARLET

A&M-Corpus Christi wins

3-0

10.0%

3-1

16.1%

3-2

17.5%

Tarleton St. wins

3-0

15.4%

3-1

21.4%

3-2

19.6%

TAMUCC break %: 43.5% vs this opp
TARLET break %: 44.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
TAMUCC serverAce+4.2%
A&M-Corpus Christi ace on LaNeah Lara
Set 1 · TAMUCC 21-18 TARLET · TAMUCC 53% → 57%
02
Breannah PetersonAttack error+3.9%
Attack error by Breannah Peterson
Set 1 · TAMUCC 17-15 TARLET · TAMUCC 47% → 51%
03
LaNeah LaraKill+3.9%
Kill by LaNeah Lara (set by Leddy Rae Guinn)
Set 1 · TAMUCC 19-18 TARLET · TARLET 47% → 51%
04
Erin HerrmannKill+3.9%
Kill by Erin Herrmann (set by Alexis Massey)
Set 1 · TAMUCC 16-15 TARLET · TAMUCC 43% → 47%
05
Ally SalehKill+3.8%
Kill by Ally Saleh (set by Ava Hight)
Set 1 · TAMUCC 19-16 TARLET · TAMUCC 52% → 55%
06
Madison Natori Rice-LocketAttack error+3.8%
Madison Natori Rice-Locket stuffed by Kaitlyn Aleshire & Ava Hight
Set 1 · TAMUCC 24-21 TARLET · TAMUCC 57% → 61%
07
Ally SalehKill+3.8%
Kill by Ally Saleh (set by Ava Hight)
Set 1 · TAMUCC 20-18 TARLET · TAMUCC 49% → 53%
08
Tatum MasonKill+3.7%
Kill by Tatum Mason (set by Ava Hight)
Set 1 · TAMUCC 23-20 TARLET · TAMUCC 56% → 59%

Official NCAA box

Box score

A&M-Corpus Christiaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Ally SalehOH	3	12	5	25	.280	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	12.5
16Kaitlyn AleshireMB	3	8	2	16	.375	0	1	2	3	0	1	2	2	11
7Erin HerrmannMB	3	8	0	15	.533	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	9
2Kenna BuchananOH	3	6	2	14	.286	0	1	1	6	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
17Ava HightS	3	5	0	9	.556	35	0	1	5	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
11Hadley BurgerOH	3	1	0	5	.200	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	1
5Tatum MasonOH	3	8	2	19	.316	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
6Madison MorrowOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	3	3	2	0	0	0	0	3
13Brooklyn JaegerOH	3	0	1	2	-.500	1	2	0	10	0	0	0	0	2
1Kenrie PruittL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	12	105	.343	38	7	7	38	1	1	8	5	75

Tarleton St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
3LaNeah LaraOH	3	11	4	24	.292	0	0	0	2	2	1	0.5	11.5
4Breannah PetersonOPP	3	7	5	18	.111	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
23Alyssa DinhMB	3	7	2	15	.333	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
9Madison FrankMB	3	4	1	8	.375	2	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	5.5
5Alexis MasseyS	3	0	0	0	–	18	0	1	7	0	0	0	0
21Madison Natori Rice-LocketOH	1	2	2	7	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2
14Jacqui McClainOH	3	6	0	12	.500	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6
11Onita DavisMB	3	2	1	9	.111	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	3
19Alexa EarleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	1
13Kingsley MinusS	3	0	0	2	.000	7	0	0	12	0	0	0	0
8Leddy Rae GuinnDS	3	0	0	0	–	8	0	0	12	1	0	0	0
Team totals		39	15	95	.253	37	1	3	38	7	12	6	61

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 TAMUCC · TARLET 4

Set 1*

25-22

Longest run 6 TAMUCCTARLET 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 5 TAMUCCTARLET 4

Set 3*

25-21

Longest run 4 TAMUCCTARLET 3

Bars above the line = Tarleton St. leads, below = A&M-Corpus Christi leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

A&M-Corpus Christi

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%2/2	0%0/2
2	50%2/4	50%2/4
3	67%2/3	60%3/5
4	40%2/5	67%4/6
5	67%2/3	33%1/3
6	100%1/1	80%4/5
All	61%11/18	56%14/25

Tarleton St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%2/2	0%0/1
2	50%2/4	0%0/2
3	40%2/5	50%2/4
4	33%2/6	33%1/3
5	67%2/3	60%3/5
6	20%1/5	33%1/3
All	44%11/25	39%7/18

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

136 rallies

Rally log

#	TAMUCC-TARLET	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	TARLET	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+2.4
2	1-1	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Kenna Buchanan	set Brooklyn Jaeger	+1.9
3	1-2	TAMUCC	TARLET	Serve err	TAMUCC server		+1.9
4	2-2	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Ally Saleh	set Ava Hight	+1.9
5	3-2	TAMUCC	TAMUCC	Kill	Ally Saleh	set Ava Hight	+2.5
6	3-3	TAMUCC	TARLET×4	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Alexis Massey	+2.0
7	3-4	TARLET	TARLET×4	Attack err	Ally Saleh	blk Breannah Peterson, Madison Frank	+2.5
8	3-5	TARLET	TARLET×4	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Leddy Rae Guinn	+2.5
9	3-6	TARLET	TARLET×4	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Leddy Rae Guinn	+2.4
10	4-6	TARLET	TAMUCC	Attack err	LaNeah Lara		+1.8
11	4-7	TAMUCC	TARLET×3	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+1.9
12	4-8	TARLET	TARLET×3	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Onita Davis	+2.2
13	4-9	TARLET	TARLET×3	Attack err	Tatum Mason	blk Onita Davis, Madison Frank	+1.9
14	5-9	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Erin Herrmann	set Ava Hight	+1.3
15	6-9	TAMUCC	TAMUCC	Ace	TAMUCC server	aced LaNeah Lara	+2.0
16	6-10	TAMUCC	TARLET	Serve err	TAMUCC server		+1.8
17	7-10	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Tatum Mason	set Ava Hight	+1.6
18	8-10	TAMUCC	TAMUCC	Ace	TAMUCC server	aced Team	+2.4
19	8-11	TAMUCC	TARLET×3	Attack err	Madison Frank		+2.1
20	8-12	TARLET	TARLET×3	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Alexa Earle	+2.4
21	8-13	TARLET	TARLET×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.0
22	9-13	TARLET	TAMUCC	Attack err	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	blk Tatum Mason, Kaitlyn Aleshire	+1.3
23	10-13	TAMUCC	TAMUCC	Kill	Ava Hight	set Ava Hight	+2.1
24	10-14	TAMUCC	TARLET	Attack err	Kaitlyn Aleshire		+2.0
25	11-14	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Kaitlyn Aleshire	set Ava Hight	+1.7
26	11-15	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Alexis Massey	+2.0
27	12-15	TARLET	TAMUCC×6	Kill	Ally Saleh	set Ava Hight	+1.7
28	13-15	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×6	Ace	TAMUCC server	aced Madison Natori Rice-Locket	+2.7
29	14-15	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×6	Kill	Ally Saleh	set Ava Hight	+3.2
30	15-15	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×6	Kill	Erin Herrmann	set Ava Hight	+3.6
31	16-15	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×6	Kill	Erin Herrmann	set Alexis Massey	+3.9
32	17-15	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×6	Attack err	Breannah Peterson		+3.9
33	17-16	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Alexis Massey	+2.8
34	18-16	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Ava Hight		+3.3
35	19-16	TAMUCC	TAMUCC	Kill	Ally Saleh	set Ava Hight	+3.8
36	19-17	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+2.4
37	19-18	TARLET	TARLET	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Leddy Rae Guinn	+3.9
38	20-18	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Ally Saleh	set Ava Hight	+3.8
39	21-18	TAMUCC	TAMUCC	Ace	TAMUCC server	aced LaNeah Lara	+4.2
40	21-19	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	Madison Frank	set Kingsley Minus	+2.5
41	22-19	TARLET	TAMUCC	Serve err	TARLET server		+3.5
42	22-20	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Kingsley Minus	+2.4
43	23-20	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Tatum Mason	set Ava Hight	+3.7
44	23-21	TAMUCC	TARLET	Attack err	Kenna Buchanan	blk Onita Davis, Alyssa Dinh	+2.2
45	24-21	TARLET	TAMUCC	Attack err	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	blk Kaitlyn Aleshire, Ava Hight	+3.8
46	24-22	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+1.6
47	25-22	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Ava Hight		+3.6
Set 2
1	0-1	TAMUCC	TARLET	Attack err	Ally Saleh		+2.0
2	1-1	TARLET	TAMUCC×3	Kill	Kaitlyn Aleshire	set Ava Hight	+2.0
3	2-1	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×3	Attack err	Alyssa Dinh		+2.6
4	3-1	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×3	Kill	Ally Saleh	set Ava Hight	+2.7
5	3-2	TAMUCC	TARLET×3	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+2.0
6	3-3	TARLET	TARLET×3	Attack err	Ally Saleh	blk Breannah Peterson, Alyssa Dinh	+2.7
7	3-4	TARLET	TARLET×3	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Alexis Massey	+2.7
8	4-4	TARLET	TAMUCC×3	Attack err	LaNeah Lara		+2.1
9	5-4	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×3	Attack err	Alyssa Dinh		+2.8
10	6-4	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×3	Kill	Erin Herrmann	set Ava Hight	+2.9
11	6-5	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Alexis Massey	+2.2
12	6-6	TARLET	TARLET	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Alexis Massey	+2.9
13	7-6	TARLET	TAMUCC×4	Kill	Tatum Mason	set Ava Hight	+2.4
14	8-6	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×4	Bad set	Alexis Massey		+3.0
15	9-6	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×4	Kill	Kenna Buchanan	set Erin Herrmann	+2.9
16	10-6	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×4	Attack err	Breannah Peterson		+2.7
17	10-7	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Alexis Massey	+1.9
18	11-7	TARLET	TAMUCC	Attack err	Onita Davis	blk Kenna Buchanan, Erin Herrmann	+2.2
19	12-7	TAMUCC	TAMUCC	Attack err	LaNeah Lara		+2.5
20	12-8	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Leddy Rae Guinn	+1.6
21	12-9	TARLET	TARLET	Ace	TARLET server	aced Kenna Buchanan	+2.5
22	13-9	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Kaitlyn Aleshire	set Ava Hight	+2.3
23	13-10	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	Jacqui McClain	set Kingsley Minus	+2.0
24	14-10	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Kaitlyn Aleshire	set Ava Hight	+2.4
25	14-11	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	Jacqui McClain	set Kingsley Minus	+2.0
26	15-11	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Kaitlyn Aleshire	set Ava Hight	+2.4
27	15-12	TAMUCC	TARLET	Serve err	TAMUCC server		+2.0
28	16-12	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Erin Herrmann	set Ava Hight	+2.5
29	17-12	TAMUCC	TAMUCC	Kill	Ally Saleh		+2.6
30	17-13	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Alexis Massey	+1.5
31	18-13	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Ally Saleh	set Ava Hight	+2.1
32	19-13	TAMUCC	TAMUCC	Kill	Tatum Mason		+1.9
33	19-14	TAMUCC	TARLET×4	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Leddy Rae Guinn	+1.0
34	19-15	TARLET	TARLET×4	Kill	Madison Frank		+1.8
35	19-16	TARLET	TARLET×4	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Leddy Rae Guinn	+2.5
36	19-17	TARLET	TARLET×4	Kill	Onita Davis	set Kingsley Minus	+3.3
37	20-17	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Kenna Buchanan	set Ava Hight	+3.4
38	20-18	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	Madison Frank	set Kingsley Minus	+2.6
39	21-18	TARLET	TAMUCC×5	Kill	Kaitlyn Aleshire	set Ava Hight	+3.6
40	22-18	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×5	Kill	Kenna Buchanan	set Ava Hight	+3.4
41	23-18	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×5	Kill	Ava Hight	set Hadley Burger	+2.1
42	24-18	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×5	Attack err	Madison Frank	blk Kaitlyn Aleshire	+0.9
43	25-18	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×5	Kill	Kenna Buchanan	set Ava Hight	+0.2
Set 3
1	0-1	TARLET	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+1.8
2	1-1	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Kaitlyn Aleshire	set Ava Hight	+1.4
3	1-2	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	Jacqui McClain	set Madison Frank	+1.5
4	2-2	TARLET	TAMUCC	Attack err	Breannah Peterson		+1.5
5	2-3	TAMUCC	TARLET	Serve err	TAMUCC server		+1.5
6	3-3	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Ally Saleh	set Ava Hight	+1.5
7	4-3	TAMUCC	TAMUCC	Attack err	LaNeah Lara		+2.0
8	4-4	TAMUCC	TARLET	Serve err	TAMUCC server		+1.5
9	4-5	TARLET	TARLET	Attack err	Ally Saleh	blk LaNeah Lara, Madison Frank	+2.0
10	5-5	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Erin Herrmann	set Ava Hight	+1.6
11	6-5	TAMUCC	TAMUCC	Kill	Tatum Mason	set Erin Herrmann	+2.1
12	6-6	TAMUCC	TARLET	Serve err	TAMUCC server		+1.6
13	7-6	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Erin Herrmann	set Ava Hight	+1.7
14	8-6	TAMUCC	TAMUCC	Ace	TAMUCC server	aced Alexa Earle	+2.2
15	8-7	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	Jacqui McClain	set Leddy Rae Guinn	+1.6
16	8-8	TARLET	TARLET	Attack err	Kenna Buchanan		+2.2
17	9-8	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Tatum Mason	set Ava Hight	+1.8
18	9-9	TAMUCC	TARLET×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.8
19	9-10	TARLET	TARLET×3	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Alexis Massey	+2.3
20	9-11	TARLET	TARLET×3	Bad set	Ava Hight		+2.3
21	10-11	TARLET	TAMUCC×4	Serve err	TARLET server		+1.7
22	11-11	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×4	Attack err	Breannah Peterson		+2.4
23	12-11	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×4	Kill	Ally Saleh	set Ava Hight	+2.5
24	13-11	TAMUCC	TAMUCC×4	Bad set	Alexis Massey		+2.5
25	13-12	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Alexis Massey	+1.9
26	14-12	TARLET	TAMUCC	Serve err	TARLET server		+2.1
27	14-13	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Alexis Massey	+1.9
28	15-13	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Ava Hight	set Leddy Rae Guinn	+2.2
29	16-13	TAMUCC	TAMUCC	Kill	Tatum Mason	set Ava Hight	+2.6
30	16-14	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	Madison Frank	set Alexis Massey	+1.8
31	16-15	TARLET	TARLET	Bad set	Ava Hight		+2.7
32	17-15	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Ally Saleh	set Ava Hight	+2.4
33	18-15	TAMUCC	TAMUCC	Ace	TAMUCC server	aced Jacqui McClain	+2.8
34	18-16	TAMUCC	TARLET	Serve err	TAMUCC server		+1.8
35	19-16	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Tatum Mason	set Ava Hight	+2.3
36	19-17	TAMUCC	TARLET	Attack err	Brooklyn Jaeger		+1.9
37	20-17	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Kenna Buchanan	set Onita Davis	+2.5
38	20-18	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	Jacqui McClain	set Leddy Rae Guinn	+1.9
39	21-18	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Hadley Burger	set Ava Hight	+2.6
40	22-18	TAMUCC	TAMUCC	Ace	TAMUCC server	aced Leddy Rae Guinn	+2.5
41	22-19	TAMUCC	TARLET	Kill	Jacqui McClain	set Alexis Massey	+1.1
42	23-19	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Kaitlyn Aleshire	set Ava Hight	+1.9
43	24-19	TAMUCC	TAMUCC	Attack err	Breannah Peterson	blk Erin Herrmann, Ally Saleh	+1.2
44	24-20	TAMUCC	TARLET	Attack err	Ally Saleh	blk Breannah Peterson, Alyssa Dinh	+0.2
45	24-21	TARLET	TARLET	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Madison Frank	+0.7
46	25-21	TARLET	TAMUCC	Kill	Erin Herrmann	set Ava Hight	+1.2

Score shown after each rally, A&M-Corpus Christi first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.