North Texas def. Tarleton St. 3–0
North Texas beat visiting Tarleton St. 3-0 (25-14, 25-23, 25-14) on Thu, Sep 17, 2026. North Texas' Jahniya Jackson led with 17 kills, and Alessandra Romo added 17 digs.
Data through · final Sep 17
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TARLET | 14 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| NO TEX | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 3.6% to North Texas — set 2, TARLET 22-24 NO TEX. Attack error by Onita Davis. NO TEX win probability 91% → 95%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Tarleton St. wins
North Texas wins
- TARLET break %
- 40.1% vs this opp
- NO TEX break %
- 46.7% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Onita DavisAttack error+3.6%
Attack error by Onita Davis
Set 2 · TARLET 22-24 NO TEX · NO TEX 91% → 95%
- 02North TexasAce+3.5%
North Texas ace on Jacqui McClain
Set 2 · TARLET 21-22 NO TEX · NO TEX 87% → 91%
- 03Jahniya JacksonKill+3.4%
Kill by Jahniya Jackson (set by Sidney Soria)
Set 2 · TARLET 23-25 NO TEX · NO TEX 93% → 97%
- 04Onita DavisKill+3.3%
Kill by Onita Davis (set by Alexis Massey)
Set 2 · TARLET 21-19 NO TEX · TARLET 15% → 18%
- 05Lillian CroshawKill+3.3%
Kill by Lillian Croshaw (set by Sidney Soria)
Set 2 · TARLET 21-21 NO TEX · NO TEX 84% → 87%
- 06Jahniya JacksonKill+3.1%
Kill by Jahniya Jackson (set by Sidney Soria)
Set 2 · TARLET 22-23 NO TEX · NO TEX 88% → 91%
- 07Reagan BedellAttack error+3.1%
Attack error by Reagan Bedell
Set 2 · TARLET 20-19 NO TEX · TARLET 12% → 15%
- 08LaNeah LaraKill+2.7%
Kill by LaNeah Lara (set by Alexis Massey)
Set 2 · TARLET 22-22 NO TEX · TARLET 9% → 12%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 9 | 3 | 19 | .316 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 24 | .125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .125 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -.143 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | -.111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 25 | 17 | 93 | .086 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 51 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 17 | 2 | 29 | .517 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 19.5 | |
| 3 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .533 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .714 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 9 | 22 | -.182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | .200 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 21 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 13 | .385 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 20 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 48 | 16 | 98 | .327 | 47 | 6 | 6 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
14-25
Set 2
23-25
Set 3
14-25
Bars above the line = North Texas leads, below = Tarleton St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Tarleton St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 64%7/11 | 30%3/10 |
| 2 | 41%7/17 | 42%5/12 |
| 3 | 70%7/10 | 22%2/9 |
| 4 | 67%6/9 | 13%1/8 |
| 5 | 60%6/10 | 0%0/6 |
| 6 | 31%5/16 | 25%2/8 |
| All | 52%38/73 | 25%13/53 |
North Texas
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 57%8/14 | 67%12/18 |
| 2 | 78%7/9 | 50%7/14 |
| 3 | 78%7/9 | 53%8/15 |
| 4 | 100%6/6 | 25%2/8 |
| 5 | 86%6/7 | 40%4/10 |
| 6 | 75%6/8 | 25%2/8 |
| All | 75%40/53 | 48%35/73 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
126 rallies
| # | TARLET-NO TEX | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Jahniya Jackson | set Sidney Soria | +1.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NO TEX | TARLET | Serve err | North Texas | +1.3 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | TARLET | NO TEX×3 | Kill | Lillian Croshaw | set Sidney Soria | +1.2 |
| 4 | 1-3 | NO TEX | NO TEX×3 | Kill | Jocelyn Jourdan | set Olivia Branum | +1.5 |
| 5 | 1-4 | NO TEX | NO TEX×3 | Attack err | LaNeah Lara | +1.3 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | Onita Davis | set Alexis Massey | +1.0 |
| 7 | 3-4 | TARLET | TARLET | Attack err | Jahniya Jackson | +1.6 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Loredana Fouonji | set Olivia Branum | +1.2 |
| 9 | 3-6 | NO TEX | NO TEX | Ace | North Texas | aced Leddy Rae Guinn | +1.4 |
| 10 | 4-6 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | Madison Frank | set Alexis Massey | +1.1 |
| 11 | 4-7 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Reagan Bedell | set Alessandra Romo | +1.1 |
| 12 | 5-7 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | LaNeah Lara | set Kingsley Minus | +1.1 |
| 13 | 5-8 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Jocelyn Jourdan | set Olivia Branum | +1.1 |
| 14 | 6-8 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | Madison Frank | set Kingsley Minus | +1.1 |
| 15 | 6-9 | TARLET | NO TEX×7 | Kill | Reagan Bedell | set Alessandra Romo | +1.2 |
| 16 | 6-10 | NO TEX | NO TEX×7 | Kill | Addison Achilles | set Sidney Soria | +1.3 |
| 17 | 6-11 | NO TEX | NO TEX×7 | Blocked | Madison Natori Rice-Locket | blk Addison Achilles, Jahniya Jackson | +1.1 |
| 18 | 6-12 | NO TEX | NO TEX×7 | Kill | Lillian Croshaw | set Sidney Soria | +0.8 |
| 19 | 6-13 | NO TEX | NO TEX×7 | Attack err | Alyssa Dinh | +0.6 | |
| 20 | 6-14 | NO TEX | NO TEX×7 | Ace | North Texas | aced Jacqui McClain | +0.4 |
| 21 | 6-15 | NO TEX | NO TEX×7 | Blocked | Madison Natori Rice-Locket | blk Addison Achilles, Jahniya Jackson | +0.3 |
| 22 | 7-15 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | Jacqui McClain | set Kingsley Minus | +0.1 |
| 23 | 8-15 | TARLET | TARLET | Ace | Tarleton St. | aced Dakota Mitchell | +0.3 |
| 24 | 8-16 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Jahniya Jackson | set Sidney Soria | +0.3 |
| 25 | 8-17 | NO TEX | NO TEX | Ace | North Texas | aced Jacqui McClain | +0.2 |
| 26 | 9-17 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | Onita Davis | set Alexis Massey | +0.1 |
| 27 | 9-18 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Loredana Fouonji | set Sidney Soria | +0.2 |
| 28 | 10-18 | NO TEX | TARLET | Serve err | North Texas | +0.1 | |
| 29 | 10-19 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Jocelyn Jourdan | set Olivia Branum | +0.1 |
| 30 | 11-19 | NO TEX | TARLET | Attack err | Reagan Bedell | +0.1 | |
| 31 | 11-20 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Jocelyn Jourdan | set Olivia Branum | +0.1 |
| 32 | 12-20 | NO TEX | TARLET | Blocked | Reagan Bedell | blk Madison Natori Rice-Locket, Madison Frank | +0.1 |
| 33 | 12-21 | TARLET | NO TEX×3 | Kill | Reagan Bedell | set Olivia Branum | +0.1 |
| 34 | 12-22 | NO TEX | NO TEX×3 | Kill | Reagan Bedell | set Olivia Branum | · |
| 35 | 12-23 | NO TEX | NO TEX×3 | Attack err | Madison Frank | · | |
| 36 | 13-23 | NO TEX | TARLET | Serve err | North Texas | · | |
| 37 | 14-23 | TARLET | TARLET | Attack err | Reagan Bedell | · | |
| 38 | 14-24 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Lillian Croshaw | set Sidney Soria | · |
| 39 | 14-25 | NO TEX | NO TEX | Kill | Lillian Croshaw | set Sidney Soria | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | Jacqui McClain | set Alyssa Dinh | +1.0 |
| 2 | 2-0 | TARLET | TARLET | Ace | Tarleton St. | aced Lillian Croshaw | +1.4 |
| 3 | 2-1 | TARLET | NO TEX | Serve err | Tarleton St. | +1.0 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | NO TEX | NO TEX | Kill | Lillian Croshaw | set Alessandra Romo | +1.3 |
| 5 | 3-2 | NO TEX | TARLET | Attack err | Lillian Croshaw | +1.1 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | TARLET | TARLET | Blocked | Jahniya Jackson | blk Onita Davis, Madison Frank | +1.5 |
| 7 | 4-3 | TARLET | NO TEX | Serve err | Tarleton St. | +1.1 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | NO TEX | TARLET | Serve err | North Texas | +1.2 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | TARLET | TARLET | Bad set | Sidney Soria | +1.6 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Jahniya Jackson | set Sidney Soria | +1.1 |
| 11 | 6-5 | NO TEX | NO TEX | Kill | Jahniya Jackson | set Olivia Branum | +1.5 |
| 12 | 7-5 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | LaNeah Lara | set Kingsley Minus | +1.3 |
| 13 | 7-6 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Jahniya Jackson | set Olivia Branum | +1.2 |
| 14 | 8-6 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | Madison Natori Rice-Locket | set Kingsley Minus | +1.3 |
| 15 | 8-7 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Loredana Fouonji | set Olivia Branum | +1.2 |
| 16 | 9-7 | NO TEX | TARLET | Blocked | Jocelyn Jourdan | blk Alyssa Dinh, Jacqui McClain | +1.4 |
| 17 | 10-7 | TARLET | TARLET | Attack err | Reagan Bedell | +1.8 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Jocelyn Jourdan | set Olivia Branum | +1.2 |
| 19 | 10-9 | NO TEX | NO TEX | Kill | Reagan Bedell | set Olivia Branum | +1.7 |
| 20 | 11-9 | NO TEX | TARLET | Blocked | Reagan Bedell | blk Onita Davis, Alyssa Dinh | +1.5 |
| 21 | 11-10 | TARLET | NO TEX | Serve err | Tarleton St. | +1.3 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | NO TEX | NO TEX | Blocked | Onita Davis | blk Addison Achilles, Jahniya Jackson | +1.7 |
| 23 | 12-11 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | Onita Davis | set Leddy Rae Guinn | +1.5 |
| 24 | 12-12 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Addison Achilles | set Sidney Soria | +1.4 |
| 25 | 12-13 | NO TEX | NO TEX | Attack err | LaNeah Lara | +1.8 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | NO TEX | TARLET | Serve err | North Texas | +1.4 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Loredana Fouonji | set Sidney Soria | +1.4 |
| 28 | 14-14 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | LaNeah Lara | set Kingsley Minus | +1.5 |
| 29 | 14-15 | TARLET | NO TEX×3 | Blocked | Jacqui McClain | blk Jocelyn Jourdan, Loredana Fouonji | +1.5 |
| 30 | 14-16 | NO TEX | NO TEX×3 | Attack err | Madison Frank | +1.8 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | NO TEX | NO TEX×3 | Blocked | Madison Natori Rice-Locket | blk Reagan Bedell, Loredana Fouonji | +1.5 |
| 32 | 15-17 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | Madison Frank | set Kingsley Minus | +1.0 |
| 33 | 16-17 | TARLET | TARLET | Attack err | Reagan Bedell | +1.8 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Jahniya Jackson | set Olivia Branum | +1.5 |
| 35 | 17-18 | NO TEX | TARLET | Attack err | Jocelyn Jourdan | +1.5 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Jahniya Jackson | set Olivia Branum | +1.6 |
| 37 | 18-19 | NO TEX | TARLET×4 | Blocked | Reagan Bedell | blk Onita Davis, Alyssa Dinh | +1.5 |
| 38 | 19-19 | TARLET | TARLET×4 | Bad set | Sidney Soria | +2.6 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | TARLET | TARLET×4 | Attack err | Reagan Bedell | +3.1 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | TARLET | TARLET×4 | Kill | Onita Davis | set Alexis Massey | +3.3 |
| 41 | 21-20 | TARLET | NO TEX×3 | Attack err | Onita Davis | +2.1 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | NO TEX | NO TEX×3 | Kill | Lillian Croshaw | set Sidney Soria | +3.3 |
| 43 | 21-22 | NO TEX | NO TEX×3 | Ace | North Texas | aced Jacqui McClain | +3.5 |
| 44 | 22-22 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | LaNeah Lara | set Alexis Massey | +2.7 |
| 45 | 22-23 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Jahniya Jackson | set Sidney Soria | +3.1 |
| 46 | 22-24 | NO TEX | NO TEX | Attack err | Onita Davis | +3.6 | |
| 47 | 23-24 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | LaNeah Lara | set Alexis Massey | +1.6 |
| 48 | 23-25 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Jahniya Jackson | set Sidney Soria | +3.4 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Jahniya Jackson | set Alessandra Romo | +0.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NO TEX | TARLET | Blocked | Addison Achilles | blk Alyssa Dinh, LaNeah Lara | +0.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | TARLET | TARLET | Kill | Onita Davis | set Alexis Massey | +0.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | TARLET | NO TEX×4 | Kill | Jahniya Jackson | set Sidney Soria | +0.5 |
| 5 | 2-3 | NO TEX | NO TEX×4 | Ace | North Texas | aced Jacqui McClain | +0.7 |
| 6 | 2-4 | NO TEX | NO TEX×4 | Ace | North Texas | aced Alexa Earle | +0.6 |
| 7 | 2-5 | NO TEX | NO TEX×4 | Kill | Jahniya Jackson | set Dakota Mitchell | +0.5 |
| 8 | 3-5 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | Jacqui McClain | set Alexis Massey | +0.4 |
| 9 | 3-6 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Jahniya Jackson | set Olivia Branum | +0.4 |
| 10 | 4-6 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | Onita Davis | set Alexis Massey | +0.4 |
| 11 | 4-7 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Jocelyn Jourdan | set Olivia Branum | +0.4 |
| 12 | 4-8 | NO TEX | NO TEX | Kill | Loredana Fouonji | set Olivia Branum | +0.5 |
| 13 | 5-8 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | Jacqui McClain | set Addison Achilles | +0.4 |
| 14 | 5-9 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Jocelyn Jourdan | set Olivia Branum | +0.4 |
| 15 | 6-9 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | LaNeah Lara | set Kingsley Minus | +0.4 |
| 16 | 6-10 | TARLET | NO TEX×4 | Serve err | Tarleton St. | +0.4 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | NO TEX | NO TEX×4 | Blocked | LaNeah Lara | blk Lillian Croshaw, Loredana Fouonji | +0.4 |
| 18 | 6-12 | NO TEX | NO TEX×4 | Kill | Jahniya Jackson | set Sidney Soria | +0.3 |
| 19 | 6-13 | NO TEX | NO TEX×4 | Kill | Jahniya Jackson | set Dakota Mitchell | +0.2 |
| 20 | 7-13 | NO TEX | TARLET | Serve err | North Texas | +0.1 | |
| 21 | 7-14 | TARLET | NO TEX×3 | Kill | Jahniya Jackson | set Sidney Soria | +0.2 |
| 22 | 7-15 | NO TEX | NO TEX×3 | Kill | Lillian Croshaw | set Sidney Soria | +0.2 |
| 23 | 7-16 | NO TEX | NO TEX×3 | Blocked | LaNeah Lara | blk Addison Achilles, Lillian Croshaw | +0.1 |
| 24 | 8-16 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | Onita Davis | set Alexis Massey | · |
| 25 | 8-17 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Lillian Croshaw | set Sidney Soria | +0.1 |
| 26 | 8-18 | NO TEX | NO TEX | Attack err | Jacqui McClain | · | |
| 27 | 9-18 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | Onita Davis | set Alexis Massey | · |
| 28 | 9-19 | TARLET | NO TEX | Attack err | Leila Paraoan | · | |
| 29 | 10-19 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | Onita Davis | set Alexis Massey | · |
| 30 | 10-20 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Alexa Hayes | set Olivia Branum | · |
| 31 | 10-21 | NO TEX | NO TEX | Kill | Alexa Hayes | · | |
| 32 | 11-21 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | Madison Natori Rice-Locket | set Kingsley Minus | · |
| 33 | 11-22 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Alexa Hayes | set Olivia Branum | · |
| 34 | 12-22 | NO TEX | TARLET | Blocked | Reagan Bedell | blk Madison Natori Rice-Locket, Madison Frank | · |
| 35 | 12-23 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Lillian Croshaw | set Sidney Soria | · |
| 36 | 12-24 | NO TEX | NO TEX | Attack err | Madison Natori Rice-Locket | · | |
| 37 | 13-24 | NO TEX | TARLET | Kill | LaNeah Lara | set Kingsley Minus | · |
| 38 | 14-24 | TARLET | TARLET | Attack err | Reese Watters | · | |
| 39 | 14-25 | TARLET | NO TEX | Kill | Jahniya Jackson | set Sidney Soria | · |
Score shown after each rally, Tarleton St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).