FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayUAC-

0:3

HomeAMERICAN

UTSA def. Tarleton St. 3–0

(25-19, 25-12, 25-13)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TARLET	19	12	13	0
UTSA	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UTSA above 50 · TARLET below

Biggest swing: 2.1% to Tarleton St. — set 1, TARLET 11-8 UTSA. Brooke Elliott stuffed by Jacqui McClain & Alyssa Dinh. UTSA win probability 84% → 81%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TARLET 12.0%88.0% UTSA

Tarleton St. wins

3-0

1.7%

3-1

3.7%

3-2

6.6%

UTSA wins

3-0

41.2%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.1%

TARLET break %: 38.6% vs this opp
UTSA break %: 47.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Brooke ElliottAttack error+2.1%
Brooke Elliott stuffed by Jacqui McClain & Alyssa Dinh
Set 1 · TARLET 11-8 UTSA · TARLET 16% → 19%
02
TARLET serverAce+1.9%
Tarleton St. ace on Giada Obregon
Set 1 · TARLET 10-8 UTSA · TARLET 15% → 16%
03
Sydney BryantKill+1.8%
Kill by Sydney Bryant (set by Valeria Ortiz)
Set 1 · TARLET 11-10 UTSA · UTSA 83% → 85%
04
Breannah PetersonAttack error+1.8%
Breannah Peterson stuffed by Caroline Tredwell & Sydney Bryant
Set 1 · TARLET 11-11 UTSA · UTSA 85% → 86%
05
TARLET serverAce+1.7%
Tarleton St. ace on Giada Obregon
Set 1 · TARLET 9-8 UTSA · TARLET 13% → 15%
06
UTSA serverAce+1.7%
UTSA ace on Alexa Earle
Set 1 · TARLET 11-12 UTSA · UTSA 86% → 88%
07
Sydney BryantKill+1.7%
Kill by Sydney Bryant (set by Alyssa Manitzas)
Set 1 · TARLET 13-15 UTSA · UTSA 88% → 90%
08
Isabella ArroyaveAttack error+1.5%
Isabella Arroyave stuffed by Breannah Peterson & Alyssa Dinh
Set 1 · TARLET 8-8 UTSA · TARLET 11% → 13%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Tarleton St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
4Breannah PetersonOPP	3	5	7	25	-.080	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
3LaNeah LaraOH	3	5	7	25	-.080	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5
23Alyssa DinhMB	3	3	2	12	.083	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
14Jacqui McClainOH	3	2	1	8	.125	0	1	2	3	1	2	1	4
5Alexis MasseyS	3	0	0	0	–	14	2	2	4	0	0	0	2
9Madison FrankMB	3	0	1	7	-.143	1	0	1	3	0	1	0.5	0.5
11Onita DavisMB	3	9	5	20	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9
8Leddy Rae GuinnDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	16	1	0	0	1
13Kingsley MinusS	3	0	0	2	.000	12	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
19Alexa EarleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	0
21Madison Natori Rice-LocketOH	2	3	3	13	.000	0	1	2	3	1	0	0	4
Team totals		27	26	112	.009	27	5	8	39	4	8	4	44

UTSAhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Sydney BryantOH	3	11	1	29	.345	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	12
6Isabella ArroyaveOH	3	6	1	17	.294	0	2	1	10	2	1	0	1	9
7Ledisi KpeaMB	3	5	2	8	.375	0	0	0	2	0	2	4	4	9
4Caroline TredwellMB	3	4	0	7	.571	2	2	2	4	0	0	2	1	7
23Brooke ElliottOPP	3	2	2	8	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
21Valeria OrtizS	3	0	0	1	.000	14	0	1	12	0	0	0	0	0
9Gigi MasonOPP	3	8	0	19	.421	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	9.5
3Alyssa ManitzasL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	2	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	1
0Giada ObregonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	0
12Megan HawkinsS	3	0	0	0	–	14	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	6	90	.344	33	4	6	50	5	4	12	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 TARLET · UTSA 8

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 5 TARLETUTSA 4

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 3 TARLETUTSA 8

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 3 TARLETUTSA 6

Bars above the line = UTSA leads, below = Tarleton St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Tarleton St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	40%4/10
2	25%6/24	13%1/8
3	45%5/11	40%4/10
4	44%4/9	29%2/7
5	67%4/6	0%0/4
6	33%4/12	43%3/7
All	41%30/73	30%14/46

UTSA

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	38%3/8
2	78%7/9	63%12/19
3	67%6/9	68%13/19
4	67%4/6	43%3/7
5	67%4/6	56%5/9
6	80%4/5	64%7/11
All	70%32/46	59%43/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

119 rallies

Rally log

#	TARLET-UTSA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	TARLET	UTSA	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.8
2	1-1	UTSA	TARLET	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.9
3	1-2	TARLET	UTSA	Kill	Alyssa Manitzas	set Sydney Bryant	+0.9
4	1-3	UTSA	UTSA	Kill	Ledisi Kpea	set Brooke Elliott	+1.1
5	2-3	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Alexis Massey	+0.8
6	3-3	TARLET	TARLET	Ace	TARLET server	aced Isabella Arroyave	+1.3
7	3-4	TARLET	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.9
8	4-4	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Alexis Massey	+1.0
9	4-5	TARLET	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.9
10	5-5	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	Onita Davis	set Kingsley Minus	+1.0
11	5-6	TARLET	UTSA	Serve err	TARLET server		+1.0
12	5-7	UTSA	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+1.2
13	6-7	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	Onita Davis	set Kingsley Minus	+0.9
14	6-8	TARLET	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.9
15	7-8	UTSA	TARLET×5	Kill	Onita Davis	set Kingsley Minus	+1.0
16	8-8	TARLET	TARLET×5	Attack err	Isabella Arroyave	blk Breannah Peterson, Alyssa Dinh	+1.5
17	9-8	TARLET	TARLET×5	Ace	TARLET server	aced Giada Obregon	+1.7
18	10-8	TARLET	TARLET×5	Ace	TARLET server	aced Giada Obregon	+1.9
19	11-8	TARLET	TARLET×5	Attack err	Brooke Elliott	blk Jacqui McClain, Alyssa Dinh	+2.1
20	11-9	TARLET	UTSA×4	Kill	Brooke Elliott	set Valeria Ortiz	+1.3
21	11-10	UTSA	UTSA×4	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+1.8
22	11-11	UTSA	UTSA×4	Attack err	Breannah Peterson	blk Caroline Tredwell, Sydney Bryant	+1.8
23	11-12	UTSA	UTSA×4	Ace	UTSA server	aced Alexa Earle	+1.7
24	12-12	UTSA	TARLET	Attack err	Brooke Elliott	blk Jacqui McClain, Alyssa Dinh	+1.4
25	12-13	TARLET	UTSA	Attack err	LaNeah Lara		+1.3
26	13-13	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+1.4
27	13-14	TARLET	UTSA	Attack err	Breannah Peterson		+1.4
28	13-15	UTSA	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Alyssa Manitzas	+1.7
29	14-15	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+1.3
30	14-16	TARLET	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Megan Hawkins	+1.3
31	14-17	UTSA	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+1.4
32	15-17	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Kingsley Minus	+1.0
33	15-18	TARLET	UTSA	Kill	Isabella Arroyave	set Megan Hawkins	+1.1
34	16-18	UTSA	TARLET	Serve err	UTSA server		+1.0
35	16-19	TARLET	UTSA×3	Attack err	Onita Davis		+1.2
36	16-20	UTSA	UTSA×3	Attack err	Jacqui McClain		+1.1
37	16-21	UTSA	UTSA×3	Attack err	Madison Natori Rice-Locket		+0.7
38	17-21	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	Onita Davis	set Kingsley Minus	+0.3
39	17-22	TARLET	UTSA	Serve err	TARLET server		+0.5
40	18-22	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Alexis Massey	+0.3
41	18-23	TARLET	UTSA	Serve err	TARLET server		+0.4
42	19-23	UTSA	TARLET	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.2
43	19-24	TARLET	UTSA	Attack err	LaNeah Lara		+0.3
44	19-25	UTSA	UTSA	Attack err	Breannah Peterson		+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Alexis Massey	+0.7
2	1-1	TARLET	UTSA	Kill	Isabella Arroyave	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.6
3	1-2	UTSA	UTSA	Attack err	Madison Natori Rice-Locket		+0.8
4	2-2	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Alexis Massey	+0.7
5	2-3	TARLET	UTSA	Serve err	TARLET server		+0.6
6	3-3	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+0.7
7	3-4	TARLET	UTSA	Kill	Ledisi Kpea	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.6
8	4-4	UTSA	TARLET	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.7
9	4-5	TARLET	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.7
10	5-5	UTSA	TARLET×3	Attack err	Ledisi Kpea		+0.7
11	6-5	TARLET	TARLET×3	Kill	Onita Davis	set Madison Frank	+1.1
12	7-5	TARLET	TARLET×3	Kill	Onita Davis	set Kingsley Minus	+1.2
13	7-6	TARLET	UTSA×6	Attack err	Onita Davis		+0.8
14	7-7	UTSA	UTSA×6	Attack err	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	blk Caroline Tredwell, Gigi Mason	+1.1
15	7-8	UTSA	UTSA×6	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+1.0
16	7-9	UTSA	UTSA×6	Kill	Isabella Arroyave		+0.9
17	7-10	UTSA	UTSA×6	Attack err	Onita Davis		+0.8
18	7-11	UTSA	UTSA×6	Kill	Isabella Arroyave	set Megan Hawkins	+0.6
19	8-11	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	Onita Davis	set Kingsley Minus	+0.4
20	8-12	TARLET	UTSA	Kill	Isabella Arroyave	set Megan Hawkins	+0.5
21	9-12	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Kingsley Minus	+0.5
22	9-13	TARLET	UTSA×8	Serve err	TARLET server		+0.5
23	9-14	UTSA	UTSA×8	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.5
24	9-15	UTSA	UTSA×8	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.4
25	9-16	UTSA	UTSA×8	Ace	UTSA server	aced Leddy Rae Guinn	+0.2
26	9-17	UTSA	UTSA×8	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.1
27	9-18	UTSA	UTSA×8	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.1
28	9-19	UTSA	UTSA×8	Attack err	Alyssa Dinh		+0.0
29	9-20	UTSA	UTSA×8	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.0
30	10-20	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+0.0
31	11-20	TARLET	TARLET	Ace	TARLET server	aced Team	+0.0
32	11-21	TARLET	UTSA×4	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.0
33	11-22	UTSA	UTSA×4	Ace	UTSA server	aced Madison Natori Rice-Locket	+0.0
34	11-23	UTSA	UTSA×4	Attack err	LaNeah Lara	blk Ledisi Kpea, Brooke Elliott	+0.0
35	11-24	UTSA	UTSA×4	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.0
36	12-24	UTSA	TARLET	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.0
37	12-25	TARLET	UTSA	Attack err	Breannah Peterson	blk Ledisi Kpea, Sydney Bryant	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	TARLET	UTSA	Kill	Isabella Arroyave	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.3
2	1-1	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+0.3
3	1-2	TARLET	UTSA×5	Serve err	TARLET server		+0.3
4	1-3	UTSA	UTSA×5	Attack err	LaNeah Lara	blk Ledisi Kpea, Brooke Elliott	+0.4
5	1-4	UTSA	UTSA×5	Ace	UTSA server	aced Jacqui McClain	+0.3
6	1-5	UTSA	UTSA×5	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.3
7	1-6	UTSA	UTSA×5	Kill	Sydney Bryant		+0.2
8	2-6	UTSA	TARLET×3	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Alexis Massey	+0.2
9	3-6	TARLET	TARLET×3	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Alexis Massey	+0.3
10	4-6	TARLET	TARLET×3	Attack err	Sydney Bryant	blk Breannah Peterson, Madison Frank	+0.3
11	4-7	TARLET	UTSA	Attack err	Madison Frank	blk Ledisi Kpea	+0.3
12	4-8	UTSA	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.3
13	5-8	UTSA	TARLET×3	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Alexis Massey	+0.2
14	6-8	TARLET	TARLET×3	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Kingsley Minus	+0.3
15	7-8	TARLET	TARLET×3	Attack err	Ledisi Kpea		+0.4
16	7-9	TARLET	UTSA×5	Attack err	LaNeah Lara		+0.3
17	7-10	UTSA	UTSA×5	Kill	Ledisi Kpea	set Megan Hawkins	+0.4
18	7-11	UTSA	UTSA×5	Kill	Ledisi Kpea		+0.3
19	7-12	UTSA	UTSA×5	Attack err	LaNeah Lara	blk Gigi Mason	+0.2
20	7-13	UTSA	UTSA×5	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.2
21	8-13	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	Onita Davis	set Kingsley Minus	+0.1
22	8-14	TARLET	UTSA	Kill	Ledisi Kpea	set Megan Hawkins	+0.1
23	8-15	UTSA	UTSA	Attack err	Onita Davis	blk Isabella Arroyave	+0.1
24	9-15	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	Jacqui McClain	set Kingsley Minus	+0.1
25	10-15	TARLET	TARLET	Kill	Onita Davis	set Kingsley Minus	+0.1
26	10-16	TARLET	UTSA	Serve err	TARLET server		+0.1
27	10-17	UTSA	UTSA	Attack err	Onita Davis		+0.1
28	11-17	UTSA	TARLET	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.1
29	11-18	TARLET	UTSA	Kill	Brooke Elliott	set Caroline Tredwell	+0.1
30	11-19	UTSA	UTSA	Attack err	Breannah Peterson		+0.1
31	12-19	UTSA	TARLET	Kill	Jacqui McClain	set Alexis Massey	+0.0
32	13-19	TARLET	TARLET	Ace	TARLET server	aced Isabella Arroyave	+0.1
33	13-20	TARLET	UTSA×6	Serve err	TARLET server		+0.1
34	13-21	UTSA	UTSA×6	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Caroline Tredwell	+0.0
35	13-22	UTSA	UTSA×6	Attack err	Breannah Peterson		+0.0
36	13-23	UTSA	UTSA×6	Attack err	LaNeah Lara	blk Ledisi Kpea, Brooke Elliott	+0.0
37	13-24	UTSA	UTSA×6	Attack err	Alyssa Dinh	blk Ledisi Kpea	+0.0
38	13-25	UTSA	UTSA×6	Attack err	Breannah Peterson		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Tarleton St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.