UNCW vs N.C. A&T Volleyball: N.C. A&T Wins 3-0 (Oct 16)

FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: N.C. A&T 72.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

N.C. A&T beat visiting UNCW 3-0 (25-21, 25-22, 28-26) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. N.C. A&T's Agata Zwierzynska led with 16 kills, and Valeria Estrada added 12 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 11:35 PM CT · final Oct 16

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UNCW	21	22	26	0
NC A&T	25	25	28	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

16 kills in 3 sets for Agata Zwierzynska. N.C. A&T swept UNCW.

Win probability never moved more than 4.7 points on one rally; UNCW topped out at 32% in Set 1. N.C. A&T went in as RallyIQ's 72% pick.

UNCWN.C. A&T

Hitting+.099
.141.240
Kills and errors: 46–21 vs 34–20.

N.C. A&T above 50UNCW belowMax swing 4.7%

UNCWN.C. A&T

Aces: UNCW 8·N.C. A&T 2
Serve err: UNCW 9·N.C. A&T 6
Blocks: UNCW 8·N.C. A&T 62 BS · 12 BA vs 3 BS · 6 BA
Digs: UNCW 33·N.C. A&T 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

N.C. A&T above 50 · UNCW below

Biggest swing: 4.7% to N.C. A&T — set 1, UNCW 20-22 NC A&T. Ace by Charlie Meadoweal on Elaina Murphy. NC A&T win probability 74% → 79%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNCW 31.0%69.0% NC A&T

UNCW wins

3-0

6.0%

3-1

10.9%

3-2

14.1%

N.C. A&T wins

3-0

22.6%

3-1

26.5%

3-2

19.9%

UNCW break %: 38.5% vs this opp
NC A&T break %: 42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Charlie MeadowealAce+4.7%
Ace by Charlie Meadoweal on Elaina Murphy
Set 1 · UNCW 20-22 NC A&T · NC A&T 74% → 79%
02
Lily Goyer&Lilly SullivanBlock+4.3%
Tyne Ross stuffed by Lily Goyer & Lilly Sullivan
Set 3 · UNCW 25-24 NC A&T · UNCW 6% → 10%
03
UNCWAce+4.3%
UNCW ace on Tyne Ross
Set 1 · UNCW 19-19 NC A&T · UNCW 25% → 29%
04
Sam VandaAttack error+4.3%
Attack error by Sam Vanda
Set 2 · UNCW 21-23 NC A&T · NC A&T 87% → 91%
05
Agata ZwierzynskaAttack error+4.1%
Attack error by Agata Zwierzynska
Set 2 · UNCW 21-21 NC A&T · UNCW 12% → 17%
06
Tyne RossKill+4.0%
Kill by Tyne Ross (set by Agata Zwierzynska)
Set 3 · UNCW 26-27 NC A&T · NC A&T 92% → 96%
07
Tyne RossKill+3.6%
Kill by Tyne Ross (set by Kirsten Kemper)
Set 3 · UNCW 26-28 NC A&T · NC A&T 96% → 100%
08
Zariah WintonKill+3.5%
Kill by Zariah Winton (set by Kirsten Kemper)
Set 1 · UNCW 21-23 NC A&T · NC A&T 76% → 80%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UNCWaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Sam VandaOH	3	12	9	34	.088	2	4	2	4	0	0	1	0.5	16.5
10Gaby ZovkoS	3	7	0	9	.778	23	1	0	10	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
16Elaina MurphyOH	3	3	5	15	-.133	2	2	1	6	2	1	1	1.5	6.5
18Lauren LewisMB	3	2	0	4	.500	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	5
7Nadia WasilewskiOH	3	2	3	14	-.071	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
14Courtney GrahamMB	2	2	1	10	.100	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2
20Annie HarneyDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	8	0	0	0	0	1
17Addi VaughnS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
2Macon ButlerOH	2	5	2	9	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
12Lilly SullivanMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	2
6Lily GoyerMB	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
5Morgan EsmieDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	20	99	.141	32	8	9	33	2	2	12	8	69

N.C. A&Thome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Tyne RossOH	3	15	6	38	.237	0	0	0	8	2	0	2	1	16
19Agata ZwierzynskaOH	3	16	3	25	.520	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	16
2Zariah WintonOH	3	10	7	25	.120	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10
8Nicole EllisMB	3	3	1	5	.400	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	3	6
15Luca RadnaiMB	3	2	4	9	-.222	3	1	1	3	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
12Kirsten KemperOH	3	0	0	1	.000	38	0	1	7	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
6Charlie MeadowealS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	0	7	0	0	0	0	1
1Madison MullinsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	3	1	0	0	0	0
4Valeria EstradaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	12	3	0	0	0	0
16Eden EyassuL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	21	104	.240	46	2	6	42	8	3	6	6	78

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UNCW vs N.C. A&T

Season series · N.C. A&T leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 16, 2026UNCW at N.C. A&T · N.C. A&T won 3-0This match
Sat, Oct 17, 2026UNCW at N.C. A&T · N.C. A&T won 3-1Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 UNCW · NC A&T 4

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 UNCWNC A&T 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 UNCWNC A&T 4

Set 3

26-28

Longest run 7 UNCWNC A&T 3

Bars above the line = N.C. A&T leads, below = UNCW leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UNCW

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%6/10	25%2/8
2	67%6/9	14%1/7
3	86%6/7	14%1/7
4	50%5/10	57%8/14
5	71%5/7	17%1/6
6	50%4/8	29%2/7
All	63%32/51	31%15/49

N.C. A&T

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%6/8	50%4/8
2	86%6/7	40%4/10
3	86%6/7	33%3/9
4	43%6/14	14%1/7
5	83%5/6	50%5/10
6	71%5/7	29%2/7
All	69%34/49	37%19/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

147 rallies

#	UNCW-NC A&T	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UNCW	NC A&T×3	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.4
2	0-2	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Attack err	Elaina Murphy		+2.0
3	0-3	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Luca Radnai	+1.8
4	1-3	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Courtney Graham	set Gaby Zovko	+1.2
5	1-4	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Luca Radnai	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.2
6	1-5	NC A&T	NC A&T	Ace	Luca Radnai	aced Elaina Murphy	+1.6
7	2-5	NC A&T	UNCW	Serve err	Luca Radnai		+1.0
8	2-6	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.1
9	3-6	NC A&T	UNCW×3	Kill	Lauren Lewis	set Gaby Zovko	+1.0
10	4-6	UNCW	UNCW×3	Attack err	Zariah Winton		+1.8
11	5-6	UNCW	UNCW×3	Attack err	Tyne Ross		+2.1
12	5-7	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Zariah Winton	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.5
13	6-7	NC A&T	UNCW	Serve err	N.C. A&T		+1.5
14	6-8	UNCW	NC A&T	Bad set	Nadia Wasilewski		+1.5
15	7-8	NC A&T	UNCW	Serve err	N.C. A&T		+1.6
16	8-8	UNCW	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Elaina Murphy	+2.6
17	8-9	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Luca Radnai	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.8
18	9-9	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+1.8
19	10-9	UNCW	UNCW	Blocked	Tyne Ross	blk Elaina Murphy, Lauren Lewis	+2.9
20	10-10	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.9
21	11-10	NC A&T	UNCW	Blocked	Luca Radnai	blk Lauren Lewis	+2.1
22	11-11	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+2.0
23	11-12	NC A&T	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Luca Radnai	+2.9
24	12-12	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+2.0
25	12-13	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+2.0
26	13-13	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+2.1
27	13-14	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Nicole Ellis	set Kirsten Kemper	+2.1
28	13-15	NC A&T	NC A&T	Blocked	Elaina Murphy	blk Nicole Ellis	+3.0
29	14-15	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+1.9
30	14-16	UNCW	NC A&T	Serve err	UNCW		+2.1
31	15-16	NC A&T	UNCW	Blocked	Luca Radnai	blk Sam Vanda, Lauren Lewis	+2.0
32	15-17	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Kirsten Kemper	+2.2
33	15-18	NC A&T	NC A&T	Blocked	Sam Vanda	blk Luca Radnai, Tyne Ross	+2.8
34	16-18	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+1.6
35	17-18	UNCW	UNCW	Ace	UNCW	aced Madison Mullins	+3.1
36	17-19	UNCW	NC A&T	Serve err	UNCW		+2.5
37	18-19	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+2.2
38	19-19	UNCW	UNCW	Ace	UNCW	aced Tyne Ross	+4.3
39	19-20	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+3.1
40	20-20	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Courtney Graham	set Gaby Zovko	+3.2
41	20-21	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+3.5
42	20-22	NC A&T	NC A&T	Ace	Charlie Meadoweal	aced Elaina Murphy	+4.7
43	21-22	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Sam Vanda	+2.5
44	21-23	UNCW	NC A&T×3	Kill	Zariah Winton	set Kirsten Kemper	+3.5
45	21-24	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Attack err	Sam Vanda		+3.4
46	21-25	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.1
Set 2
1	1-0	NC A&T	UNCW×3	Blocked	Tyne Ross	blk Lauren Lewis, Nadia Wasilewski	+1.3
2	2-0	UNCW	UNCW×3	Attack err	Zariah Winton		+1.9
3	3-0	UNCW	UNCW×3	Attack err	Luca Radnai		+2.0
4	3-1	UNCW	NC A&T	Serve err	Annie Harney		+1.2
5	4-1	NC A&T	UNCW	Blocked	Agata Zwierzynska	blk Elaina Murphy	+1.4
6	5-1	UNCW	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+2.0
7	5-2	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.2
8	6-2	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko		+1.4
9	7-2	UNCW	UNCW	Ace	Elaina Murphy	aced Valeria Estrada	+1.9
10	7-3	UNCW	NC A&T	Attack err	Courtney Graham		+1.1
11	8-3	NC A&T	UNCW	Attack err	Zariah Winton		+1.3
12	8-4	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Zariah Winton	set Charlie Meadoweal	+1.1
13	8-5	NC A&T	NC A&T	Attack err	Sam Vanda		+1.8
14	9-5	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Addi Vaughn	+1.5
15	9-6	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.2
16	10-6	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+1.5
17	10-7	UNCW	NC A&T×4	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.2
18	10-8	NC A&T	NC A&T×4	Blocked	Elaina Murphy	blk Luca Radnai	+2.1
19	10-9	NC A&T	NC A&T×4	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Valeria Estrada	+2.2
20	10-10	NC A&T	NC A&T×4	Attack err	Nadia Wasilewski		+2.3
21	11-10		UNCW	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.7
22	11-11	UNCW	NC A&T×3	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.6
23	11-12	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Attack err	Elaina Murphy		+2.4
24	11-13	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Kill	Zariah Winton	set Kirsten Kemper	+2.2
25	12-13	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Macon Butler	set Gaby Zovko	+1.4
26	12-14	UNCW	NC A&T×3	Serve err	Nadia Wasilewski		+1.5
27	12-15	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+2.0
28	12-16	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Attack err	Macon Butler		+1.6
29	13-16	NC A&T	UNCW×3	Attack err	Agata Zwierzynska		+0.9
30	14-16	UNCW	UNCW×3	Ace	Elaina Murphy	aced Valeria Estrada	+1.8
31	15-16	UNCW	UNCW×3	Attack err	Tyne Ross		+2.3
32	15-17	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.8
33	16-17	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+1.7
34	17-17	UNCW	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Courtney Graham	+3.0
35	17-18	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Zariah Winton	set Kirsten Kemper	+2.1
36	17-19	NC A&T	NC A&T	Blocked	Sam Vanda	blk Nicole Ellis, Kirsten Kemper	+3.0
37	18-19	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Elaina Murphy	+1.8
38	18-20	UNCW	NC A&T	Attack err	Nadia Wasilewski		+2.1
39	19-20	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Annie Harney	+1.9
40	19-21	UNCW	NC A&T	Serve err	Sam Vanda		+2.3
41	20-21	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+2.0
42	21-21	UNCW	UNCW	Attack err	Agata Zwierzynska		+4.1
43	21-22	UNCW	NC A&T×3	Attack err	Macon Butler		+3.2
44	21-23	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Attack err	Sam Vanda		+4.3
45	21-24	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Kill	Zariah Winton	set Kirsten Kemper	+2.7
46	22-24	NC A&T	UNCW	Attack err	Zariah Winton		+0.7
47	22-25	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Zariah Winton	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.6
Set 3
1	0-1	UNCW	NC A&T×3	Serve err	Elaina Murphy		+0.6
2	0-2	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Kill	Zariah Winton	set Luca Radnai	+0.9
3	0-3	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Attack err	Sam Vanda		+0.8
4	1-3	NC A&T	UNCW	Attack err	Zariah Winton		+0.5
5	1-4	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+0.6
6	2-4	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Lauren Lewis	set Gaby Zovko	+0.6
7	3-4	UNCW	UNCW	Ace	Gaby Zovko		+0.9
8	3-5	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+0.7
9	4-5	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+0.7
10	4-6	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Nicole Ellis	set Kirsten Kemper	+0.7
11	5-6	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+0.7
12	5-7	UNCW	NC A&T×3	Serve err	Annie Harney		+0.7
13	5-8	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Kirsten Kemper	+0.9
14	5-9	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Madison Mullins	+0.8
15	6-9	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+0.5
16	7-9	UNCW	UNCW	Attack err	Tyne Ross		+0.9
17	7-10	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Madison Mullins	+0.7
18	7-11	NC A&T	NC A&T	Attack err	Sam Vanda		+0.8
19	8-11	NC A&T	UNCW	Serve err	Kirsten Kemper		+0.5
20	8-12	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Kirsten Kemper	+0.6
21	9-12	NC A&T	UNCW	Blocked	Zariah Winton	blk Lily Goyer, Gaby Zovko	+0.5
22	9-13	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+0.6
23	9-14	NC A&T	NC A&T	Attack err	Elaina Murphy		+0.7
24	10-14	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Addi Vaughn	+0.4
25	10-15	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+0.5
26	11-15	NC A&T	UNCW	Attack err	Nicole Ellis		+0.4
27	11-16	UNCW	NC A&T×3	Kill	Nicole Ellis	set Kirsten Kemper	+0.5
28	11-17	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Kirsten Kemper	+0.5
29	11-18	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Blocked	Nadia Wasilewski	blk Tyne Ross, Nicole Ellis	+0.3
30	12-18	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Macon Butler	set Gaby Zovko	+0.1
31	12-19	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Kirsten Kemper	+0.2
32	13-19	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Macon Butler	set Gaby Zovko	+0.1
33	13-20	UNCW	NC A&T	Serve err	Lilly Sullivan		+0.2
34	14-20	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Sam Vanda	+0.1
35	14-21	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+0.1
36	15-21	NC A&T	UNCW	Attack err	Luca Radnai		+0.1
37	15-22	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Zariah Winton	set Kirsten Kemper	+0.1
38	16-22	NC A&T	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	·
39	16-23	UNCW	NC A&T	Attack err	Sam Vanda		+0.1
40	17-23	NC A&T	UNCW×7	Kill	Lilly Sullivan	set Gaby Zovko	·
41	18-23	UNCW	UNCW×7	Ace	Sam Vanda	aced Valeria Estrada	+0.1
42	19-23	UNCW	UNCW×7	Blocked	Zariah Winton	blk Lauren Lewis, Lilly Sullivan	+0.2
43	20-23	UNCW	UNCW×7	Ace	Sam Vanda		+0.4
44	21-23	UNCW	UNCW×7	Ace	Sam Vanda	aced Tyne Ross	+0.8
45	22-23	UNCW	UNCW×7	Kill	Macon Butler	set Gaby Zovko	+1.7
46	23-23	UNCW	UNCW×7	Kill	Macon Butler	set Lauren Lewis	+3.0
47	23-24	UNCW	NC A&T	Kill	Zariah Winton	set Kirsten Kemper	+2.6
48	24-24	NC A&T	UNCW	Serve err	N.C. A&T		+2.6
49	25-24	UNCW	UNCW	Blocked	Tyne Ross	blk Lily Goyer, Lilly Sullivan	+4.3
50	25-25	UNCW	NC A&T	Blocked	Sam Vanda	blk Nicole Ellis	+3.0
51	26-25	NC A&T	UNCW	Serve err	N.C. A&T		+3.0
52	26-26	UNCW	NC A&T×3	Serve err	Addi Vaughn		+3.0
53	26-27	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Agata Zwierzynska	+4.0
54	26-28	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Kirsten Kemper	+3.6

Score shown after each rally, UNCW first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

N.C. A&T def. UNCW 3–0

16 kills in 3 sets for Agata Zwierzynska. N.C. A&T swept UNCW.