Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026

N.C. A&T def. UNCW 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: N.C. A&T 72.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 3:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

N.C. A&T beat visiting UNCW 3-1 (25-17, 17-25, 25-20, 25-19) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. N.C. A&T's Agata Zwierzynska led with 17 kills, and Valeria Estrada added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set1234Sets
UNCW172520191
NC A&T251725253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.433 on 30 swings: Agata Zwierzynska and N.C. A&T edged UNCW.

The match turned twice; each line shows N.C. A&T's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave N.C. A&T 72% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · UNCW 9–11 N.C. A&T

    UNCW scored 5 straight to turn a 9–11 deficit into a 14–11 lead.

    N.C. A&T 73% → 52%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · UNCW 14–11 N.C. A&T

    Down 11–14, N.C. A&T scored 6 straight to lead 17–14.

    N.C. A&T 52% → 77%

N.C. A&T above 50UNCW belowMax swing 4.8%

UNCWN.C. A&T

Sideout %
UNCW 51.6·N.C. A&T 58.5
Break %
UNCW 41.5·N.C. A&T 48.4
Hitting
UNCW .107·N.C. A&T .175
Longest run
UNCW 6·N.C. A&T 6

Tyne Ross
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 15 K, .182, 16.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

N.C. A&T above 50 · UNCW below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.8% NC A&Trally 173 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.8% to N.C. A&T — set 3, UNCW 14-15 NC A&T. Kill by Tyne Ross (set by Kirsten Kemper). NC A&T win probability 64% → 69%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNCW 31.0%69.0% NC A&T

UNCW wins

3-0
6.0%
3-1
10.9%
3-2
14.1%

N.C. A&T wins

3-0
22.6%
3-1
26.5%
3-2
19.9%
UNCW break %
38.5% vs this opp
NC A&T break %
42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Tyne RossKill+4.8%

    Kill by Tyne Ross (set by Kirsten Kemper)

    Set 3 · UNCW 14-15 NC A&T · NC A&T 64% → 69%

  2. 02

    Kill by Agata Zwierzynska (set by Kirsten Kemper)

    Set 3 · UNCW 14-14 NC A&T · NC A&T 59% → 64%

  3. 03
    Tyne RossAttack error+4.7%

    Attack error by Tyne Ross

    Set 3 · UNCW 13-11 NC A&T · UNCW 38% → 43%

  4. 04

    Kill by Lilly Sullivan (set by Gaby Zovko)

    Set 3 · UNCW 14-11 NC A&T · UNCW 43% → 48%

  5. 05
    Gaby ZovkoKill+4.5%

    Kill by Gaby Zovko (set by Annie Harney)

    Set 3 · UNCW 12-11 NC A&T · UNCW 34% → 38%

  6. 06

    Ace by Kirsten Kemper on Lilly Sullivan

    Set 3 · UNCW 14-13 NC A&T · NC A&T 55% → 59%

  7. 07
    Sam VandaAce+4.5%

    Ace by Sam Vanda on Valeria Estrada

    Set 4 · UNCW 17-17 NC A&T · UNCW 12% → 16%

  8. 08

    Ace by Kirsten Kemper on Lilly Sullivan

    Set 3 · UNCW 14-16 NC A&T · NC A&T 69% → 73%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UNCWaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4619.55630111000218
45420.05002440010.57.5
46828-.07110390010.56.5
42210.000100000213
38422.182012210009
2326.167010000004
48526.11500012010.58.5
4000–2111430001
4000–201400000
3307.42900000031.54.5
2001.000001200000
2000–200300000
1012-.500000000000
Team totals4127131.10738613497010581
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417430.43300070031.518.5
415744.18201090010.516.5
47629.034102710007
4236-.16720430233.55.5
4115.0003621700214
3012-.50000001010.50.5
4001.0001211640002
4000–322600002
3000–000000000
2205.400000001224
2114.000000100001
2000–000000000
Team totals4523126.17543710566312992

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UNCW vs N.C. A&T

Season series · N.C. A&T leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UNCW · NC A&T 6

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 6 UNCWNC A&T 4

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 4 UNCWNC A&T 3

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 5 UNCWNC A&T 6

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 UNCWNC A&T 4

Bars above the line = N.C. A&T leads, below = UNCW leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UNCW

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
38%5/13
2
50%8/16
60%12/20
3
67%8/12
43%6/14
4
47%8/17
11%1/9
5
40%8/20
27%3/11
6
55%6/11
47%7/15
All
52%47/91
41%34/82

N.C. A&T

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
27%3/11
2
62%8/13
38%5/13
3
57%8/14
53%9/17
4
80%8/10
43%6/14
5
62%8/13
58%11/19
6
50%7/14
59%10/17
All
59%48/82
48%44/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

173 rallies

#UNCW-NC A&TSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UNCWNC A&T×3Serve errElaina Murphy+1.4
20-2NC A&TNC A&T×3KillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+2.0
30-3NC A&TNC A&T×3Attack errCourtney Graham+1.8
41-3NC A&TUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+1.2
51-4UNCWNC A&T×3KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+1.2
61-5NC A&TNC A&T×3Attack errSam Vanda+1.6
71-6NC A&TNC A&T×3BlockedSam Vandablk Nicole Ellis, Agata Zwierzynska+1.4
82-6NC A&TUNCWServe errLuca Radnai+0.8
92-7UNCWNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+0.9
103-7NC A&TUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+0.8
113-8UNCWNC A&TAttack errElaina Murphy+0.9
123-9NC A&TNC A&TAttack errElaina Murphy+1.1
134-9NC A&TUNCWKillLauren Lewisset Gaby Zovko+0.6
144-10UNCWNC A&T×3KillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+0.7
154-11NC A&TNC A&T×3KillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+0.8
164-12NC A&TNC A&T×3BlockedElaina Murphyblk Luca Radnai, Kirsten Kemper+0.6
175-12NC A&TUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+0.3
186-12UNCWUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Kirsten Kemper+0.6
196-13UNCWNC A&TServe errUNCW+0.5
206-14NC A&TNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Gaby Zovko+0.5
217-14NC A&TUNCWServe errKirsten Kemper+0.2
227-15UNCWNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+0.3
238-15NC A&TUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+0.2
248-16UNCWNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+0.3
259-16NC A&TUNCW×6KillSam Vandaset Lauren Lewis+0.2
2610-16UNCWUNCW×6Attack errTyne Ross+0.5
2711-16UNCWUNCW×6Attack errAgata Zwierzynska+0.8
2812-16UNCWUNCW×6Attack errZariah Winton+1.1
2913-16UNCWUNCW×6AceGaby Zovkoaced Valeria Estrada+1.6
3014-16UNCWUNCW×6BlockedZariah Wintonblk Nadia Wasilewski, Lauren Lewis+2.2
3114-17UNCWNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+1.8
3215-17NC A&TUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+1.5
3315-18UNCWNC A&T×4KillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+1.8
3415-19NC A&TNC A&T×4Bad setLilly Sullivan+2.1
3515-20NC A&TNC A&T×4KillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+1.4
3615-21NC A&TNC A&T×4BlockedNadia Wasilewskiblk Luca Radnai, Tyne Ross+0.8
3716-21NC A&TUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+0.3
3816-22UNCWNC A&T×3Serve errUNCW+0.4
3916-23NC A&TNC A&T×3Attack errMacon Butler+0.3
4016-24NC A&TNC A&T×3AceValeria Estradaaced Sam Vanda+0.1
4117-24NC A&TUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko·
4217-25UNCWNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper·
Set 2
11-0NC A&TUNCW×4KillLilly Sullivanset Gaby Zovko+1.3
22-0UNCWUNCW×4AceCourtney Grahamaced Valeria Estrada+2.0
33-0UNCWUNCW×4Attack errTyne Ross+2.0
44-0UNCWUNCW×4Attack errZariah Winton+2.0
54-1UNCWNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+1.1
65-1NC A&TUNCWAttack errAgata Zwierzynska+1.4
75-2UNCWNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+1.2
86-2NC A&TUNCWKillLilly Sullivanset Gaby Zovko+1.4
96-3UNCWNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+1.2
107-3NC A&TUNCWServe errCharlie Meadoweal+1.4
117-4UNCWNC A&T×3KillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+1.2
127-5NC A&TNC A&T×3Attack errCourtney Graham+2.0
137-6NC A&TNC A&T×3KillTyne Rossset Charlie Meadoweal+2.1
148-6NC A&TUNCWAttack errMikala Sampson+1.6
159-6UNCWUNCWAceNadia Wasilewskiaced Nicole Ellis+2.3
169-7UNCWNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Valeria Estrada+1.3
179-8NC A&TNC A&TAttack errElaina Murphy+2.2
1810-8NC A&TUNCW×3KillGaby Zovko+1.7
1911-8UNCWUNCW×3Attack errLuca Radnai+2.4
2012-8UNCWUNCW×3BlockedTyne Rossblk Gaby Zovko, Lora Cole+2.3
2112-9UNCWNC A&TServe errElaina Murphy+1.3
2213-9NC A&TUNCWKillGaby Zovkoset Addi Vaughn+1.6
2314-9UNCWUNCWKillLilly Sullivanset Gaby Zovko+2.1
2414-10UNCWNC A&TAttack errLilly Sullivan+1.0
2515-10NC A&TUNCWKillLauren Lewisset Gaby Zovko+1.4
2615-11UNCWNC A&TServe errGaby Zovko+1.0
2715-12NC A&TNC A&TAttack errNadia Wasilewski+1.9
2816-12NC A&TUNCWServe errLuca Radnai+1.7
2916-13UNCWNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+1.3
3017-13NC A&TUNCW×3Serve errCharlie Meadoweal+1.7
3118-13UNCWUNCW×3KillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+2.1
3219-13UNCWUNCW×3AceAnnie Harneyaced Zariah Winton+1.5
3319-14UNCWNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Gaby Zovko+0.6
3420-14NC A&TUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+1.0
3521-14UNCWUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+0.8
3621-15UNCWNC A&TServe errNadia Wasilewski+0.2
3722-15NC A&TUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+0.4
3822-16UNCWNC A&TKillMikala Sampsonset Charlie Meadoweal+0.2
3922-17NC A&TNC A&TAttack errElaina Murphy+0.4
4023-17NC A&TUNCW×3KillLilly Sullivanset Gaby Zovko+0.6
4124-17UNCWUNCW×3KillTyne Ross+0.3
4225-17UNCWUNCW×3BlockedLuca Radnaiblk Lilly Sullivan, Lauren Lewis·
Set 3
11-0UNCWUNCWBlockedNicole Ellisblk Lora Cole, Gaby Zovko+3.3
21-1UNCWNC A&TServe errElaina Murphy+2.1
32-1NC A&TUNCWKillLilly Sullivanset Gaby Zovko+2.3
42-2UNCWNC A&TBlockedLilly Sullivanblk Luca Radnai+2.2
53-2NC A&TUNCWKillLora Coleset Gaby Zovko+2.3
63-3UNCWNC A&T×3Serve errAddi Vaughn+2.2
73-4NC A&TNC A&T×3KillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+3.3
83-5NC A&TNC A&T×3BlockedLilly Sullivanblk Luca Radnai+3.1
94-5NC A&TUNCWAttack errZariah Winton+2.0
104-6UNCWNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+2.1
114-7NC A&TNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Luca Radnai+2.9
125-7NC A&TUNCWServe errLuca Radnai+1.8
136-7UNCWUNCWAttack errZariah Winton+3.1
146-8UNCWNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+2.2
156-9NC A&TNC A&TAceCharlie Meadowealaced Annie Harney+3.0
167-9NC A&TUNCWKillLora Coleset Morgan Esmie+1.9
178-9UNCWUNCWAttack errZariah Winton+3.3
188-10UNCWNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.3
199-10NC A&TUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+2.3
209-11UNCWNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.4
2110-11NC A&TUNCW×5KillLora Coleset Gaby Zovko+2.4
2211-11UNCWUNCW×5Attack errKirsten Kemper+4.1
2312-11UNCWUNCW×5KillGaby Zovkoset Annie Harney+4.5
2413-11UNCWUNCW×5Attack errTyne Ross+4.7
2514-11UNCWUNCW×5KillLilly Sullivanset Gaby Zovko+4.7
2614-12UNCWNC A&T×6Attack errGaby Zovko+2.6
2714-13NC A&TNC A&T×6AceKirsten Kemperaced Lilly Sullivan+4.5
2814-14NC A&TNC A&T×6KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+4.8
2914-15NC A&TNC A&T×6KillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+4.8
3014-16NC A&TNC A&T×6AceKirsten Kemperaced Lilly Sullivan+4.5
3114-17NC A&TNC A&T×6KillTyne Rossset Zariah Winton+3.8
3215-17NC A&TUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+2.2
3315-18UNCWNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.6
3416-18NC A&TUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+2.2
3516-19UNCWNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+2.7
3617-19NC A&TUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+2.2
3717-20UNCWNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+2.8
3817-21NC A&TNC A&TAttack errNadia Wasilewski+3.0
3918-21NC A&TUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+1.3
4019-21UNCWUNCWAceNadia Wasilewskiaced Valeria Estrada+3.2
4119-22UNCWNC A&TServe errNadia Wasilewski+3.1
4220-22NC A&TUNCWKillGaby Zovkoset Morgan Esmie+2.0
4320-23UNCWNC A&T×3KillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+3.2
4420-24NC A&TNC A&T×3Attack errLilly Sullivan+2.4
4520-25NC A&TNC A&T×3Attack errLilly Sullivan+0.6
Set 4
11-0NC A&TUNCWServe errZariah Winton+1.9
22-0UNCWUNCWAttack errTyne Ross+2.9
32-1UNCWNC A&TKillLuca Radnaiset Kirsten Kemper+1.8
42-2NC A&TNC A&TAttack errSam Vanda+2.8
53-2NC A&TUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+2.0
64-2UNCWUNCWAttack errTyne Ross+3.0
74-3UNCWNC A&TKillDaja Warrenset Kirsten Kemper+1.9
85-3NC A&TUNCWAttack errTyne Ross+2.1
95-4UNCWNC A&T×3Attack errSam Vanda+1.9
105-5NC A&TNC A&T×3Attack errElaina Murphy+3.0
115-6NC A&TNC A&T×3AceTyne Rossaced Annie Harney+2.9
126-6NC A&TUNCWAttack errElaina Murphy+2.0
136-7UNCWNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+2.0
146-8NC A&TNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+2.8
157-8NC A&TUNCW×3Serve errValeria Estrada+1.8
168-8UNCWUNCW×3Attack errAgata Zwierzynska+3.1
179-8UNCWUNCW×3BlockedAgata Zwierzynskablk Elaina Murphy, Lora Cole+3.4
189-9UNCWNC A&T×4Serve errNadia Wasilewski+2.2
199-10NC A&TNC A&T×4AceCharlie Meadowealaced Annie Harney+3.3
209-11NC A&TNC A&T×4KillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+3.1
219-12NC A&TNC A&T×4KillKirsten Kemperset Charlie Meadoweal+2.7
2210-12NC A&TUNCW×3KillGaby Zovkoset Annie Harney+1.7
2311-12UNCWUNCW×3Attack errLuca Radnai+3.0
2412-12UNCWUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+3.5
2512-13UNCWNC A&TKillLuca Radnaiset Kirsten Kemper+2.4
2612-14NC A&TNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+3.4
2713-14NC A&TUNCWServe errZariah Winton+2.2
2814-14UNCWUNCWKillSam Vandaset Kirsten Kemper+3.9
2914-15UNCWNC A&TServe errMeredith Keefer+2.6
3015-15NC A&TUNCWServe errLuca Radnai+2.7
3115-16UNCWNC A&TAttack errNadia Wasilewski+2.8
3215-17NC A&TNC A&TAttack errLauren Lewis+3.9
3316-17NC A&TUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+2.5
3417-17UNCWUNCWAceSam Vandaaced Valeria Estrada+4.5
3517-18UNCWNC A&T×3Serve errSam Vanda+3.2
3617-19NC A&TNC A&T×3BlockedLauren Lewisblk Daja Warren+4.4
3717-20NC A&TNC A&T×3KillDaja Warrenset Kirsten Kemper+3.6
3818-20NC A&TUNCWKillLilly Sullivanset Elaina Murphy+1.9
3918-21UNCWNC A&T×4Serve errAnnie Harney+2.5
4018-22NC A&TNC A&T×4AceValeria Estrada+2.5
4118-23NC A&TNC A&T×4BlockedElaina Murphyblk Agata Zwierzynska, Luca Radnai+1.3
4218-24NC A&TNC A&T×4KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+0.4
4319-24NC A&TUNCWKillLilly Sullivanset Gaby Zovko+0.1
4419-25UNCWNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Luca Radnai+0.1

Score shown after each rally, UNCW first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).