UNCW vs Stony Brook Volleyball: UNCW Wins 3-1 (Oct 30, 2026)

Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026FloSportsPrime Video

3:1

RallyIQ pre-match: Stony Brook 78.2% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 4:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UNCW won at Stony Brook 3-1 (27-29, 25-15, 25-15, 25-23) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Sam Vanda led UNCW with 15 kills; Stony Brook's Ella Sanders had a match-high 16.

Data through Nov 3, 11:35 PM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
UNCW	27	25	25	25	3
STONY	29	15	15	23	1

Match story · written from the play-by-play

RallyIQ gave UNCW 22%. UNCW won anyway.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows UNCW's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, Stony Brook was RallyIQ's 78% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · UNCW 27–26 Stony Brook
Down 26–27, Stony Brook scored 3 straight to lead 29–27.
UNCW 32% → 12%
Turning point 2: Set 4 · UNCW 19–16 Stony Brook
5 straight Stony Brook points turned a 16–19 deficit into a 21–19 lead. The match swung to Stony Brook.
UNCW 83% → 48%
Turning point 3: Set 4 · UNCW 21–23 Stony Brook
4 of the last 4 rallies went to UNCW, enough to take the set 25–23 and win the match 3–1.
UNCW 44% → >99%

Stony Brook above 50UNCW belowMax swing 20.0%

UNCWStony Brook

Sideout %: UNCW 63.9·Stony Brook 51.5
Break %: UNCW 48.5·Stony Brook 36.1
Hitting: UNCW .276·Stony Brook .146
Longest run: UNCW 6·Stony Brook 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Stony Brook above 50 · UNCW below

Biggest swing: 20.0% to UNCW — set 4, UNCW 25-23 STONY. Kill by Sam Vanda (set by Gaby Zovko). STONY win probability 20% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNCW 29.1%70.9% STONY

UNCW wins

3-0

5.5%

3-1

10.2%

3-2

13.5%

Stony Brook wins

3-0

23.9%

3-1

27.2%

3-2

19.8%

UNCW break %: 42.0% vs this opp
STONY break %: 46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Sam VandaKill+20.0%
Kill by Sam Vanda (set by Gaby Zovko)
Set 4 · UNCW 25-23 STONY · UNCW 80% → 100%
02
Sam VandaBlock+17.5%
Mercedes Motton stuffed by Sam Vanda
Set 4 · UNCW 24-23 STONY · UNCW 62% → 80%
03
Mopelola OjoAttack error+11.9%
Attack error by Mopelola Ojo
Set 4 · UNCW 23-23 STONY · UNCW 51% → 62%
04
Ella SandersKill+8.1%
Kill by Ella Sanders (set by Rayanne Wheat)
Set 4 · UNCW 19-20 STONY · STONY 36% → 45%
05
Nadia WasilewskiAttack error+7.9%
Attack error by Nadia Wasilewski
Set 4 · UNCW 19-19 STONY · STONY 29% → 36%
06
Quinn AndersonKill+7.5%
Kill by Quinn Anderson (set by Taryn Su)
Set 1 · UNCW 27-28 STONY · STONY 74% → 82%
07
Elaina MurphyAttack error+7.4%
Attack error by Elaina Murphy
Set 4 · UNCW 19-21 STONY · STONY 45% → 52%
08
Sam VandaKill+7.2%
Kill by Sam Vanda (set by Gaby Zovko)
Set 4 · UNCW 17-15 STONY · UNCW 67% → 74%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UNCWaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Sam VandaOH	4	15	7	47	.170	4	1	1	13	1	1	1	1.5	17.5
16Elaina MurphyOH	4	11	6	29	.172	4	1	1	10	3	0	2	1	13
14Courtney GrahamMB	4	10	3	22	.318	1	0	2	4	0	0	4	2	12
10Gaby ZovkoS	4	9	0	13	.692	43	3	2	10	0	0	0	0	12
18Lauren LewisMB	4	5	0	7	.714	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
17Addi VaughnS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	0
7Nadia WasilewskiOH	4	9	2	33	.212	1	0	1	4	0	0	2	1	10
20Annie HarneyDS	4	1	0	1	1.000	4	1	2	12	1	0	0	0	2
5Morgan EsmieDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Macon ButlerOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		60	18	152	.276	57	6	9	64	5	2	10	7	102

Stony Brookhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Ella SandersOH	4	16	3	39	.333	1	2	2	13	2	0	2	1	19
10Mercedes MottonMB	4	8	5	27	.111	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
7Ayanna Pierre LouisMB	4	4	3	16	.063	1	0	1	1	0	0	5	2.5	6.5
5Damisi OsiboduMB	4	4	3	13	.077	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
1Rayanne WheatS	4	2	0	4	.500	22	1	1	11	0	0	0	0	3
14Quinn AndersonOH	2	4	2	13	.154	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
9Taryn SuS	4	0	1	1	-1.000	17	1	1	7	0	0	0	0	1
18Zayda FuertezL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	1	2	16	0	0	0	0	1
12Avari AmstutzOH	3	4	2	16	.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
3Carey-Jean BlockL/DS	3	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	10	2	0	0	0	2
11Mopelola OjoMB	2	2	3	7	-.143	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	4
6Leimaile LasikeMB	2	3	4	10	-.100	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
19Madison CignaL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		49	27	151	.146	44	5	7	67	6	1	16	9	82

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UNCW vs Stony Brook

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Fri, Oct 30, 2026UNCW at Stony Brook · UNCW won 3-1This match
Sat, Oct 31, 2026UNCW at Stony Brook · Stony Brook won 3-2Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UNCW · STONY 5

Set 1

27-29

Longest run 4 UNCWSTONY 5

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 4 UNCWSTONY 3

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 6 UNCWSTONY 2

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 5 UNCWSTONY 5

Bars above the line = Stony Brook leads, below = UNCW leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UNCW

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	90%9/10	46%6/13
2	42%8/19	33%4/12
3	80%8/10	20%2/10
4	55%6/11	61%11/18
5	86%6/7	33%3/9
6	55%6/11	57%8/14
All	63%43/68	45%34/76

Stony Brook

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%8/16	11%1/9
2	80%8/10	38%5/13
3	62%8/13	43%6/14
4	40%6/15	50%7/14
5	43%6/14	14%1/7
6	75%6/8	45%5/11
All	55%42/76	37%25/68

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

184 rallies

#	UNCW-STONY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	STONY	STONY	Blocked	Elaina Murphy	blk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Mercedes Motton	+1.7
2	1-1	STONY	UNCW	Serve err	Stony Brook		+1.4
3	1-2	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+1.3
4	2-2	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Courtney Graham	set Gaby Zovko	+1.4
5	3-2	UNCW	UNCW	Attack err	Quinn Anderson		+2.0
6	3-3	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Rayanne Wheat	+1.5
7	4-3	STONY	UNCW×3	Kill	Lauren Lewis	set Gaby Zovko	+1.6
8	5-3	UNCW	UNCW×3	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Annie Harney	+2.2
9	6-3	UNCW	UNCW×3	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Elaina Murphy	+2.2
10	6-4	UNCW	STONY×3	Serve err	Gaby Zovko		+1.6
11	6-5	STONY	STONY×3	Ace	Taryn Su	aced Sam Vanda	+2.1
12	6-6	STONY	STONY×3	Kill	Quinn Anderson	set Taryn Su	+2.1
13	7-6	STONY	UNCW×4	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+1.8
14	8-6	UNCW	UNCW×4	Blocked	Leimaile Lasike	blk Lauren Lewis, Elaina Murphy	+2.4
15	9-6	UNCW	UNCW×4	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+2.4
16	10-6	UNCW	UNCW×4	Kill	Lauren Lewis	set Gaby Zovko	+2.4
17	10-7	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Quinn Anderson	set Taryn Su	+1.6
18	11-7	STONY	UNCW×4	Attack err	Leimaile Lasike		+2.0
19	12-7	UNCW	UNCW×4	Attack err	Ella Sanders		+2.3
20	13-7	UNCW	UNCW×4	Blocked	Ella Sanders	blk Nadia Wasilewski, Courtney Graham	+2.1
21	14-7	UNCW	UNCW×4	Blocked	Leimaile Lasike	blk Courtney Graham, Elaina Murphy	+1.7
22	14-8	UNCW	STONY×4	Serve err	Annie Harney		+1.0
23	14-9	STONY	STONY×4	Blocked	Courtney Graham	blk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Ella Sanders	+1.5
24	14-10	STONY	STONY×4	Attack err	Sam Vanda		+1.9
25	14-11	STONY	STONY×4	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+2.2
26	15-11	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Courtney Graham	set Gaby Zovko	+2.2
27	15-12	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Leimaile Lasike	set Taryn Su	+1.7
28	16-12	STONY	UNCW×4	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+2.2
29	17-12	UNCW	UNCW×4	Kill	Courtney Graham	set Gaby Zovko	+2.5
30	18-12	UNCW	UNCW×4	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+2.0
31	19-12	UNCW	UNCW×4	Attack err	Mercedes Motton		+1.4
32	19-13	UNCW	STONY×5	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.6
33	19-14	STONY	STONY×5	Kill	Mercedes Motton		+1.2
34	19-15	STONY	STONY×5	Ace	Ella Sanders	aced Elaina Murphy	+1.7
35	19-16	STONY	STONY×5	Kill	Quinn Anderson		+2.2
36	19-17	STONY	STONY×5	Kill	Ayanna Pierre Louis	set Rayanne Wheat	+2.8
37	20-17	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Annie Harney	+3.0
38	20-18	UNCW	STONY	Bad set	Gaby Zovko		+2.2
39	21-18	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+3.1
40	21-19	UNCW	STONY	Serve err	Gaby Zovko		+2.2
41	22-19	STONY	UNCW	Serve err	Stony Brook		+3.3
42	22-20	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Leimaile Lasike	set Taryn Su	+2.2
43	22-21	STONY	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+4.0
44	23-21	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+4.6
45	23-22	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+3.2
46	23-23	STONY	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Zayda Fuertez	+6.2
47	24-23	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+6.6
48	24-24	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Leimaile Lasike	set Taryn Su	+6.6
49	25-24	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Courtney Graham	set Gaby Zovko	+6.6
50	25-25	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+6.6
51	26-25	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+6.6
52	26-26	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Ayanna Pierre Louis	set Rayanne Wheat	+6.6
53	27-26	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+6.6
54	27-27	UNCW	STONY×3	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Rayanne Wheat	+6.6
55	27-28	STONY	STONY×3	Kill	Quinn Anderson	set Taryn Su	+7.5
56	27-29	STONY	STONY×3	Attack err	Sam Vanda		+6.5
Set 2
1	1-0	UNCW	UNCW×3	Kill	Lauren Lewis	set Ayanna Pierre Louis	+1.4
2	2-0	UNCW	UNCW×3	Blocked	Ayanna Pierre Louis	blk Lauren Lewis	+1.5
3	3-0	UNCW	UNCW×3	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+1.6
4	3-1	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Rayanne Wheat	+1.1
5	4-1	STONY	UNCW	Serve err	Stony Brook		+1.3
6	5-1	UNCW	UNCW	Attack err	Courtney Graham		+1.7
7	5-2	UNCW	STONY×3	Blocked	Courtney Graham	blk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Mercedes Motton	+1.1
8	5-3	STONY	STONY×3	Blocked	Elaina Murphy	blk Mercedes Motton, Damisi Osibodu	+1.5
9	5-4	STONY	STONY×3	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Ayanna Pierre Louis	+1.6
10	6-4	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+1.4
11	6-5	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Rayanne Wheat	+1.2
12	7-5	STONY	UNCW×4	Kill	Courtney Graham	set Gaby Zovko	+1.4
13	8-5	UNCW	UNCW×4	Kill	Courtney Graham		+1.8
14	9-5	UNCW	UNCW×4	Blocked	Leimaile Lasike	blk Sam Vanda, Courtney Graham	+1.8
15	10-5	UNCW	UNCW×4	Ace	Elaina Murphy		+1.7
16	10-6	UNCW	STONY	Serve err	Elaina Murphy		+1.1
17	11-6	STONY	UNCW	Attack err	Carey-Jean Block		+1.4
18	11-7	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Damisi Osibodu	set Taryn Su	+1.1
19	11-8	STONY	STONY	Ace	Zayda Fuertez	aced Annie Harney	+1.6
20	12-8	STONY	UNCW×3	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+1.6
21	13-8	UNCW	UNCW×3	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Annie Harney	+1.8
22	14-8	UNCW	UNCW×3	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+1.6
23	14-9	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Ayanna Pierre Louis	set Taryn Su	+0.9
24	14-10	STONY	STONY	Kill	Carey-Jean Block	set Rayanne Wheat	+1.4
25	15-10	STONY	UNCW×4	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+1.5
26	16-10		UNCW	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.6
27	17-10	UNCW	UNCW×4	Bad set	Rayanne Wheat		+1.2
28	18-10	UNCW	UNCW×4	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Nadia Wasilewski	+0.9
29	18-11	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Carey-Jean Block	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.4
30	19-11	STONY	UNCW×3	Attack err	Mercedes Motton		+0.6
31	20-11	UNCW	UNCW×3	Kill	Courtney Graham	set Gaby Zovko	+0.5
32	21-11	UNCW	UNCW×3	Blocked	Avari Amstutz	blk Nadia Wasilewski, Courtney Graham	+0.2
33	21-12	UNCW	STONY	Serve err	Annie Harney		+0.1
34	22-12	STONY	UNCW	Serve err	Stony Brook		+0.1
35	22-13	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Rayanne Wheat	·
36	23-13	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+0.1
37	23-14	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Avari Amstutz	set Leimaile Lasike	·
38	23-15	STONY	STONY	Blocked	Sam Vanda	blk Leimaile Lasike, Damisi Osibodu	+0.1
39	24-15	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Annie Harney	set Courtney Graham	+0.1
40	25-15	UNCW	UNCW	Attack err	Damisi Osibodu		·
Set 3
1	1-0	STONY	UNCW	Attack err	Mercedes Motton		+2.2
2	2-0	UNCW	UNCW	Ace	Annie Harney	aced Ella Sanders	+3.0
3	2-1	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Rayanne Wheat	+2.2
4	3-1	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Annie Harney	+2.5
5	3-2	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Mopelola Ojo	set Rayanne Wheat	+2.2
6	4-2	STONY	UNCW×4	Attack err	Ella Sanders		+2.5
7	5-2	UNCW	UNCW×4	Attack err	Damisi Osibodu		+3.3
8	6-2	UNCW	UNCW×4	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+3.3
9	7-2	UNCW	UNCW×4	Attack err	Avari Amstutz		+3.2
10	7-3	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Avari Amstutz	set Rayanne Wheat	+2.1
11	7-4	STONY	STONY	Blocked	Sam Vanda	blk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Damisi Osibodu	+2.9
12	8-4	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Elaina Murphy	+2.8
13	8-5	UNCW	STONY	Attack err	Sam Vanda		+2.3
14	9-5	STONY	UNCW×6	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+2.8
15	10-5	UNCW	UNCW×6	Ace	Gaby Zovko	aced Carey-Jean Block	+3.4
16	11-5	UNCW	UNCW×6	Attack err	Ayanna Pierre Louis		+3.1
17	12-5	UNCW	UNCW×6	Ace	Gaby Zovko	aced Carey-Jean Block	+2.7
18	13-5	UNCW	UNCW×6	Kill	Lauren Lewis	set Gaby Zovko	+2.2
19	14-5	UNCW	UNCW×6	Ace	Gaby Zovko		+1.7
20	14-6	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+0.9
21	15-6	STONY	UNCW×3	Attack err	Mopelola Ojo		+1.3
22	16-6	UNCW	UNCW×3	Attack err	Taryn Su		+1.1
23	17-6	UNCW	UNCW×3	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+0.7
24	17-7	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Zayda Fuertez	+0.3
25	18-7	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Sam Vanda	+0.5
26	18-8	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.2
27	18-9	STONY	STONY	Blocked	Sam Vanda	blk Mopelola Ojo	+0.5
28	19-9	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+0.6
29	20-9	UNCW	UNCW	Kill	Courtney Graham	set Gaby Zovko	+0.4
30	20-10	UNCW	STONY	Serve err	Nadia Wasilewski		+0.1
31	21-10	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Sam Vanda	+0.2
32	21-11	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Damisi Osibodu	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.1
33	22-11	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Elaina Murphy	+0.2
34	22-12	UNCW	STONY	Serve err	Courtney Graham		·
35	23-12	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Elaina Murphy	+0.1
36	23-13	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Damisi Osibodu	set Taryn Su	·
37	23-14	STONY	STONY	Attack err	Sam Vanda		+0.1
38	24-14	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Lauren Lewis	set Gaby Zovko	+0.1
39	24-15	UNCW	STONY	Blocked	Nadia Wasilewski	blk Mopelola Ojo, Ella Sanders	·
40	25-15	STONY	UNCW	Attack err	Mopelola Ojo		·
Set 4
1	1-0	UNCW	UNCW	Bad set	Taryn Su		+3.9
2	1-1	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Ayanna Pierre Louis	set Taryn Su	+2.9
3	2-1	STONY	UNCW	Attack err	Ayanna Pierre Louis		+3.2
4	2-2	UNCW	STONY	Blocked	Elaina Murphy	blk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Mopelola Ojo	+3.0
5	3-2	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+3.3
6	3-3	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+3.1
7	4-3	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Sam Vanda	+3.4
8	5-3	UNCW	UNCW	Attack err	Mercedes Motton		+4.5
9	5-4	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Rayanne Wheat	set Zayda Fuertez	+3.3
10	6-4	STONY	UNCW	Serve err	Stony Brook		+3.7
11	6-5	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Damisi Osibodu	set Rayanne Wheat	+3.4
12	7-5	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Sam Vanda	+3.8
13	7-6	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Avari Amstutz	set Taryn Su	+3.5
14	8-6	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+3.9
15	9-6	UNCW	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+5.1
16	9-7	UNCW	STONY	Serve err	Sam Vanda		+3.5
17	10-7	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+4.2
18	10-8	UNCW	STONY×3	Attack err	Elaina Murphy		+3.6
19	10-9	STONY	STONY×3	Ace	Rayanne Wheat	aced Elaina Murphy	+4.9
20	10-10	STONY	STONY×3	Attack err	Courtney Graham		+4.9
21	11-10	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+4.2
22	11-11	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+4.0
23	11-12	STONY	STONY	Attack err	Elaina Murphy		+5.0
24	12-12	STONY	UNCW	Serve err	Stony Brook		+4.1
25	13-12	UNCW	UNCW	Kill	Courtney Graham	set Gaby Zovko	+5.8
26	13-13	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Mopelola Ojo	set Rayanne Wheat	+4.3
27	14-13	STONY	UNCW	Serve err	Stony Brook		+4.8
28	14-14	UNCW	STONY	Serve err	Courtney Graham		+4.5
29	15-14	STONY	UNCW	Attack err	Damisi Osibodu		+5.1
30	15-15	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Avari Amstutz	set Taryn Su	+4.7
31	16-15	STONY	UNCW×3	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+5.3
32	17-15	UNCW	UNCW×3	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+7.2
33	18-15	UNCW	UNCW×3	Ace	Sam Vanda	aced Ella Sanders	+7.1
34	18-16	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+4.4
35	19-16	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+5.9
36	19-17	UNCW	STONY×5	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+4.5
37	19-18	STONY	STONY×5	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+7.0
38	19-19	STONY	STONY×5	Attack err	Nadia Wasilewski		+7.9
39	19-20	STONY	STONY×5	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+8.1
40	19-21	STONY	STONY×5	Attack err	Elaina Murphy		+7.4
41	20-21	STONY	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+5.1
42	20-22	UNCW	STONY	Kill	Rayanne Wheat	set Ella Sanders	+6.3
43	20-23	STONY	STONY	Ace	Ella Sanders	aced Elaina Murphy	+6.0
44	21-23	STONY	UNCW×5	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Sam Vanda	+2.9
45	22-23	UNCW	UNCW×5	Kill	Courtney Graham	set Gaby Zovko	+6.9
46	23-23	UNCW	UNCW×5	Attack err	Mopelola Ojo		+11.9
47	24-23	UNCW	UNCW×5	Blocked	Mercedes Motton	blk Sam Vanda	+17.5
48	25-23	UNCW	UNCW×5	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+20.0

Score shown after each rally, UNCW first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

UNCW def. Stony Brook 3–1

RallyIQ gave UNCW 22%. UNCW won anyway.