Final · 4 setsFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Robert Morris def. Cleveland St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Robert Morris 57.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Robert Morris beat visiting Cleveland St. 3-1 (25-20, 25-18, 17-25, 25-16) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Robert Morris' Lauren Decker led with 14 kills, and Anahi Alvarado added 16 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set1234Sets
CLE ST201825161
ROBMOR252517253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Down 6–10 in the first, Robert Morris took the set, dropped the third, and won the match 3–1.

The match turned twice; each line shows Robert Morris's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Robert Morris went in as RallyIQ's 57% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Cleveland St. 12–8 Robert Morris

    8 straight Robert Morris points turned an 8–12 deficit into a 16–12 lead. The match swung to Robert Morris.

    Robert Morris 46% → 69%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Cleveland St. 4–4 Robert Morris

    6 straight Robert Morris points broke a 4–4 tie and made it 10–4.

    Robert Morris 79% → 95%

Robert Morris above 50Cleveland St. belowMax swing 3.4%

Cleveland St.Robert Morris

Sideout %
Cleveland St. 47.3·Robert Morris 55.0
Break %
Cleveland St. 45.0·Robert Morris 52.7
Hitting
Cleveland St. .139·Robert Morris .212
Longest run
Cleveland St. 6·Robert Morris 9

Lauren Decker
14 kills on .500, 15 points; 4 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Robert Morris above 50 · Cleveland St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.4% ROBMORrally 171 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.4% to Robert Morris — set 1, CLE ST 12-13 ROBMOR. Attack error by Alyssa Cerovac. ROBMOR win probability 57% → 60%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CLE ST 38.0%62.0% ROBMOR

Cleveland St. wins

3-0
8.1%
3-1
13.7%
3-2
16.1%

Robert Morris wins

3-0
18.3%
3-1
23.7%
3-2
20.0%
CLE ST break %
42.0% vs this opp
ROBMOR break %
44.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Alyssa CerovacAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Alyssa Cerovac

    Set 1 · CLE ST 12-13 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 57% → 60%

  2. 02

    Kill by Natalie Stepanovich (set by Layla Todd)

    Set 1 · CLE ST 12-14 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 60% → 63%

  3. 03

    Ace by Addyson Butts on Laila Mossey

    Set 1 · CLE ST 12-12 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 53% → 57%

  4. 04
    Addison KoppelmanAttack error+3.3%

    Attack error by Addison Koppelman

    Set 4 · CLE ST 4-6 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 81% → 84%

  5. 05
    Bryn VanVleetKill+3.2%

    Kill by Bryn VanVleet (set by Vayda Delventhal)

    Set 4 · CLE ST 1-0 ROBMOR · CLE ST 21% → 24%

  6. 06
    Layla ToddKill+3.2%

    Kill by Layla Todd (set by Kenlee Barnard)

    Set 4 · CLE ST 1-2 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 78% → 81%

  7. 07
    Lauren DeckerKill+3.1%

    Kill by Lauren Decker (set by Jazen Debina)

    Set 4 · CLE ST 4-7 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 84% → 88%

  8. 08

    Ace by Addyson Butts on Alyssa Cerovac

    Set 1 · CLE ST 12-11 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 50% → 53%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413847.1060001002114
49115.5331010012211
45216.18800050334.59.5
47115.40024121100008
4000–003510000
3104.25010010010.51.5
45415.06721281010.56.5
4000–9001700000
2228.000000000002
2226.000000100002
21510-.40000022010.51.5
2000–000300000
2000–000220000
1011-1.000000000000
Team totals4526137.1393728566410979
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414224.5000138000015
410627.148221130010.512.5
47428.10700030153.510.5
44517-.05903320153.510.5
48221.2860000004210
4011-1.00019011000000
48218.33300010132.510.5
4001.0001700700000
4000–8001620000
1000–000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals5122137.21246686123181292

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Cleveland St. vs Robert Morris

Season series · Robert Morris leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 CLE ST · ROBMOR 9

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 CLE STROBMOR 8

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 4 CLE STROBMOR 9

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 6 CLE STROBMOR 4

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 2 CLE STROBMOR 6

Bars above the line = Robert Morris leads, below = Cleveland St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Cleveland St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%9/12
30%3/10
2
53%8/15
40%6/15
3
35%7/20
61%11/18
4
41%7/17
36%4/11
5
54%7/13
46%6/13
6
36%5/14
46%6/13
All
47%43/91
45%36/80

Robert Morris

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
30%3/10
2
47%8/17
47%8/17
3
58%7/12
36%4/11
4
58%7/12
63%12/19
5
44%7/16
65%13/20
6
75%6/8
57%8/14
All
55%44/80
53%48/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

171 rallies

#CLE ST-ROBMORSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ROBMORCLE STServe errKenlee Barnard+1.8
21-1CLE STROBMOR×4KillTia Schultzset Anahi Alvarado+1.8
31-2ROBMORROBMOR×4KillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+2.5
41-3ROBMORROBMOR×4KillKeira Hornungset Allison Salazar+2.4
51-4ROBMORROBMOR×4KillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+2.3
62-4ROBMORCLE ST×4Serve errLauren Decker+1.6
73-4CLE STCLE ST×4Attack errLayla Todd+2.4
84-4CLE STCLE ST×4KillBryn VanVleetset Vayda Delventhal+2.6
95-4CLE STCLE ST×4AceAddison Koppelmanaced Anahi Alvarado+2.7
105-5CLE STROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+2.0
116-5ROBMORCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Allison Salazar+2.0
127-5CLE STCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+2.8
137-6CLE STROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+2.0
148-6ROBMORCLE ST×3KillAllison Salazarset Addison Koppelman+2.1
159-6CLE STCLE ST×3KillAllison Salazar+2.8
1610-6CLE STCLE ST×3KillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+2.6
1710-7CLE STROBMORBlockedAlyssa Cerovacblk Natalie Stepanovich+1.7
1810-8ROBMORROBMORAttack errAddison Koppelman+2.6
1911-8ROBMORCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+2.2
2012-8CLE STCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Vayda Delventhal+2.7
2112-9CLE STROBMOR×8KillNatalie Stepanovichset Isabelle Jackson+1.7
2212-10ROBMORROBMOR×8AceAddyson Buttsaced Alyssa Cerovac+2.7
2312-11ROBMORROBMOR×8AceAddyson Buttsaced Alyssa Cerovac+3.1
2412-12ROBMORROBMOR×8AceAddyson Buttsaced Laila Mossey+3.3
2512-13ROBMORROBMOR×8Attack errAlyssa Cerovac+3.4
2612-14ROBMORROBMOR×8KillNatalie Stepanovichset Layla Todd+3.4
2712-15ROBMORROBMOR×8KillLauren Deckerset Allison Salazar+3.1
2812-16ROBMORROBMOR×8BlockedSophie Skidmoreblk Natalie Stepanovich, Keira Hornung+2.6
2913-16ROBMORCLE STKillSophie Skidmoreset Allison Salazar+1.5
3013-17CLE STROBMORKillNatalie Stepanovichset Isabelle Jackson+1.9
3114-17ROBMORCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Sariyah Glanton+1.5
3215-17CLE STCLE STBlockedLauren Deckerblk Julia Jozefov+2.8
3315-18CLE STROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+2.5
3416-18ROBMORCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+2.1
3516-19CLE STROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Allison Salazar+2.6
3617-19ROBMORCLE STAttack errKenlee Barnard+2.1
3717-20CLE STROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+2.7
3817-21ROBMORROBMORAttack errJulia Jozefov+2.8
3918-21ROBMORCLE STKillAllison Salazarset Vayda Delventhal+1.3
4019-21CLE STCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehler+2.8
4119-22CLE STROBMOR×3KillNatalie Stepanovichset Isabelle Jackson+3.0
4219-23ROBMORROBMOR×3KillLauren Deckerset Isabelle Jackson+2.6
4319-24ROBMORROBMOR×3AceLayla Toddaced Laila Mossey+1.2
4420-24ROBMORCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+0.2
4520-25CLE STROBMORAttack errSophie Skidmore+0.5
Set 2
10-1CLE STROBMORServe errCleveland St.+1.7
21-1ROBMORCLE STKillSariyah Glantonset Allison Salazar+1.7
31-2CLE STROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+1.7
42-2ROBMORCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Allison Salazar+1.7
52-3CLE STROBMOR×9KillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+1.7
62-4ROBMORROBMOR×9KillAddyson Buttsset Isabelle Jackson+2.3
72-5ROBMORROBMOR×9KillLayla Toddset Anahi Alvarado+2.2
82-6ROBMORROBMOR×9KillNatalie Stepanovichset Anahi Alvarado+2.0
92-7ROBMORROBMOR×9BlockedBryn VanVleetblk Natalie Stepanovich, Addyson Butts+1.8
102-8ROBMORROBMOR×9Attack errJulia Jozefov+1.5
112-9ROBMORROBMOR×9KillLayla Toddset Isabelle Jackson+1.2
122-10ROBMORROBMOR×9KillAddyson Buttsset Isabelle Jackson+0.9
132-11ROBMORROBMOR×9Attack errSophie Butler+0.7
143-11ROBMORCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+0.4
153-12CLE STROBMORAttack errAlyssa Cerovac+0.5
164-12ROBMORCLE STKillAllison Salazarset Addison Koppelman+0.3
175-12CLE STCLE STAttack errNatalie Stepanovich+0.6
185-13CLE STROBMORKillAddyson Buttsset Isabelle Jackson+0.6
196-13ROBMORCLE STServe errAddyson Butts+0.4
206-14CLE STROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Anahi Alvarado+0.6
216-15ROBMORROBMORBlockedAlyssa Cerovacblk Tia Schultz+0.6
227-15ROBMORCLE STAttack errKeira Hornung+0.3
237-16CLE STROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Anahi Alvarado+0.4
247-17ROBMORROBMORBad setSariyah Glanton+0.3
258-17ROBMORCLE STServe errLauren Decker+0.1
268-18CLE STROBMORBlockedBryn VanVleetblk Tia Schultz, Keira Hornung+0.2
278-19ROBMORROBMORBlockedBryn VanVleetblk Tia Schultz, Addyson Butts+0.1
289-19ROBMORCLE ST×4Attack errLayla Todd·
2910-19CLE STCLE ST×4Bad setKenlee Barnard+0.1
3011-19CLE STCLE ST×4BlockedAddyson Buttsblk Julia Jozefov+0.2
3112-19CLE STCLE ST×4BlockedTia Schultzblk Bryn VanVleet, Julia Jozefov+0.3
3212-20CLE STROBMORServe errCleveland St.+0.4
3313-20ROBMORCLE STAttack errLayla Todd+0.2
3414-20CLE STCLE STBlockedAddyson Buttsblk Alyssa Cerovac, Julia Jozefov+0.4
3514-21CLE STROBMOR×3KillLayla Toddset Isabelle Jackson+0.5
3614-22ROBMORROBMOR×3KillLauren Deckerset Anahi Alvarado+0.3
3714-23ROBMORROBMOR×3BlockedAlyssa Cerovacblk Addyson Butts, Natalie Stepanovich+0.1
3815-23ROBMORCLE ST×3Serve errLayla Todd·
3916-23CLE STCLE ST×3KillSophie Skidmoreset Allison Salazar+0.1
4017-23CLE STCLE ST×3Attack errAddyson Butts+0.1
4117-24CLE STROBMORKillNatalie Stepanovichset Isabelle Jackson+0.2
4218-24ROBMORCLE STServe errAddyson Butts·
4318-25CLE STROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Isabelle Jackson+0.1
Set 3
11-0ROBMORCLE ST×5KillBryn VanVleetset Allison Salazar+1.0
22-0CLE STCLE ST×5KillBryn VanVleetset Vayda Delventhal+1.4
33-0CLE STCLE ST×5KillBryn VanVleetset Allison Salazar+1.4
44-0CLE STCLE ST×5KillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+1.4
55-0CLE STCLE ST×5KillAllison Salazarset Vayda Delventhal+1.2
65-1CLE STROBMOR×4KillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+0.8
75-2ROBMORROBMOR×4KillLayla Toddset Anahi Alvarado+1.2
85-3ROBMORROBMOR×4AceLauren Deckeraced Addison Koppelman+1.4
95-4ROBMORROBMOR×4KillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+1.5
106-4ROBMORCLE ST×6Serve errLauren Decker+1.2
117-4CLE STCLE ST×6KillJazen Debinaset Vayda Delventhal+1.5
128-4CLE STCLE ST×6KillBryn VanVleetset Vayda Delventhal+1.5
139-4CLE STCLE ST×6Attack errLauren Decker+1.3
1410-4CLE STCLE ST×6AceAllison Salazaraced Anahi Alvarado+1.1
1511-4CLE STCLE ST×6KillJazen Debinaset Allison Salazar+0.9
1611-5CLE STROBMOR×4Serve errCleveland St.+0.5
1711-6ROBMORROBMOR×4KillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+0.9
1811-7ROBMORROBMOR×4BlockedBryn VanVleetblk Tia Schultz, Addyson Butts+1.1
1911-8ROBMORROBMOR×4BlockedJazen Debinablk Layla Todd, Addyson Butts+1.3
2012-8ROBMORCLE STBlockedTia Schultzblk JeriLynn Koehler, Bryn VanVleet+1.1
2113-8CLE STCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+1.4
2213-9CLE STROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+0.8
2313-10ROBMORROBMORAttack errAddison Koppelman+1.3
2414-10ROBMORCLE STKillAddison Koppelmanset JeriLynn Koehler+1.2
2514-11CLE STROBMOR×3Serve errCleveland St.+1.0
2614-12ROBMORROBMOR×3AceLayla Toddaced Audrey Ellis+1.6
2714-13ROBMORROBMOR×3Attack errJazen Debina+1.9
2815-13ROBMORCLE ST×6KillAddison Koppelmanset Allison Salazar+1.5
2916-13CLE STCLE ST×6Bad setIsabelle Jackson+2.0
3017-13CLE STCLE ST×6KillJulia Jozefov+1.7
3118-13CLE STCLE ST×6BlockedAddyson Buttsblk Julia Jozefov+1.4
3219-13CLE STCLE ST×6BlockedNatalie Stepanovichblk Julia Jozefov, Addison Koppelman+1.0
3320-13CLE STCLE ST×6KillAllison Salazarset Isabelle Jackson+0.6
3420-14CLE STROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Isabelle Jackson+0.2
3521-14ROBMORCLE ST×3Serve errAddyson Butts+0.4
3622-14CLE STCLE ST×3KillAllison Salazarset Vayda Delventhal+0.3
3723-14CLE STCLE ST×3Attack errLayla Todd+0.1
3823-15CLE STROBMORServe errCleveland St.·
3923-16ROBMORROBMORBlockedBryn VanVleetblk Keira Hornung, Tia Schultz·
4024-16ROBMORCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Allison Salazar+0.1
4124-17CLE STROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard·
4225-17ROBMORCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Allison Salazar·
Set 4
11-0CLE STCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Vayda Delventhal+3.2
21-1CLE STROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+2.3
31-2ROBMORROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+3.2
42-2ROBMORCLE STAttack errTia Schultz+2.3
52-3CLE STROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+2.3
63-3ROBMORCLE STAttack errTia Schultz+2.4
73-4CLE STROBMORServe errCleveland St.+2.4
84-4ROBMORCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Allison Salazar+2.4
94-5CLE STROBMOR×6Serve errCleveland St.+2.5
104-6ROBMORROBMOR×6Attack errAddison Koppelman+3.3
114-7ROBMORROBMOR×6KillLauren Deckerset Jazen Debina+3.1
124-8ROBMORROBMOR×6KillLauren Deckerset Layla Todd+2.8
134-9ROBMORROBMOR×6KillLauren Deckerset Isabelle Jackson+2.5
144-10ROBMORROBMOR×6Attack errJeriLynn Koehler+2.1
155-10ROBMORCLE STKillAddison Koppelmanset Natalie Stepanovich+1.2
165-11CLE STROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Isabelle Jackson+1.5
175-12ROBMORROBMORAttack errAddison Koppelman+1.6
186-12ROBMORCLE STKillAddison Koppelmanset Allison Salazar+0.9
196-13CLE STROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Isabelle Jackson+1.1
206-14ROBMORROBMORKillTia Schultzset Anahi Alvarado+1.1
217-14ROBMORCLE STKillAddison Koppelmanset Allison Salazar+0.6
227-15CLE STROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+0.8
238-15ROBMORCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Allison Salazar+0.5
248-16CLE STROBMORBlockedBryn VanVleetblk Tia Schultz, Keira Hornung+0.7
259-16ROBMORCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+0.5
269-17CLE STROBMOR×3KillAddyson Buttsset Kenlee Barnard+0.7
279-18ROBMORROBMOR×3Attack errBryn VanVleet+0.6
289-19ROBMORROBMOR×3BlockedBryn VanVleetblk Addyson Butts+0.3
2910-19ROBMORCLE STBlockedAddyson Buttsblk JeriLynn Koehler+0.1
3011-19CLE STCLE STBlockedLayla Toddblk JeriLynn Koehler, Sariyah Glanton+0.2
3111-20CLE STROBMORServe errCleveland St.+0.3
3211-21ROBMORROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Isabelle Jackson+0.2
3312-21ROBMORCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar·
3412-22CLE STROBMORKillNatalie Stepanovichset Isabelle Jackson+0.1
3513-22ROBMORCLE STAttack errKeira Hornung·
3613-23CLE STROBMORKillNatalie Stepanovichset Isabelle Jackson+0.1
3714-23ROBMORCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar·
3814-24CLE STROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard·
3915-24ROBMORCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Allison Salazar·
4016-24CLE STCLE STAttack errLayla Todd·
4116-25CLE STROBMORAttack errAllison Salazar·

Score shown after each rally, Cleveland St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).