Final · 4 setsSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Robert Morris def. Cleveland St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Cleveland St. 55.8% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Robert Morris won at Cleveland St. 3-1 (21-25, 25-23, 25-18, 25-20) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Robert Morris' Layla Todd led with 18 kills, and Anahi Alvarado added 21 digs.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set1234Sets
ROBMOR212525253
CLE ST252318201

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Lauren Decker, and Robert Morris needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Robert Morris's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, Cleveland St. was RallyIQ's 56% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Robert Morris 14–16 Cleveland St.

    9 straight Robert Morris points turned a 14–16 deficit into a 23–16 lead. The match swung to Robert Morris.

    Robert Morris 37% → 72%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Robert Morris 11–15 Cleveland St.

    4 straight Robert Morris points erased an 11–15 deficit: 15–15.

    Robert Morris 56% → 72%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Robert Morris 17–18 Cleveland St.

    Down 17–18, Robert Morris scored 4 straight to lead 21–18.

    Robert Morris 67% → 92%

Cleveland St. above 50Robert Morris belowMax swing 7.2%

Robert MorrisCleveland St.

Sideout %
Robert Morris 52.9·Cleveland St. 47.4
Break %
Robert Morris 52.6·Cleveland St. 47.1
Hitting
Robert Morris .189·Cleveland St. .140
Longest run
Robert Morris 9·Cleveland St. 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Cleveland St. above 50 · Robert Morris below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.2% ROBMORrally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.2% to Robert Morris — set 2, ROBMOR 25-23 CLE ST. Attack error by Bryn VanVleet. CLE ST win probability 62% → 55%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ROBMOR 46.8%53.2% CLE ST

Robert Morris wins

3-0
11.2%
3-1
17.4%
3-2
18.2%

Cleveland St. wins

3-0
13.9%
3-1
20.1%
3-2
19.2%
ROBMOR break %
42.9% vs this opp
CLE ST break %
43.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Bryn VanVleetAttack error+7.2%

    Attack error by Bryn VanVleet

    Set 2 · ROBMOR 25-23 CLE ST · ROBMOR 38% → 45%

  2. 02
    Layla ToddAce+6.9%

    Ace by Layla Todd on Audrey Ellis

    Set 4 · ROBMOR 19-18 CLE ST · ROBMOR 72% → 79%

  3. 03

    Bryn VanVleet stuffed by Addyson Butts & Natalie Stepanovich

    Set 4 · ROBMOR 20-18 CLE ST · ROBMOR 79% → 86%

  4. 04
    Bryn VanVleetKill+6.3%

    Kill by Bryn VanVleet (set by Vayda Delventhal)

    Set 4 · ROBMOR 17-18 CLE ST · CLE ST 26% → 33%

  5. 05
    Layla ToddAce+6.0%

    Ace by Layla Todd on Audrey Ellis

    Set 4 · ROBMOR 21-18 CLE ST · ROBMOR 86% → 92%

  6. 06
    JeriLynn KoehlerAttack error+6.0%

    Attack error by JeriLynn Koehler

    Set 4 · ROBMOR 17-16 CLE ST · ROBMOR 72% → 78%

  7. 07
    Layla ToddKill+5.7%

    Kill by Layla Todd (set by Kenlee Barnard)

    Set 3 · ROBMOR 18-16 CLE ST · ROBMOR 51% → 57%

  8. 08
    Addison KoppelmanAttack error+5.7%

    Attack error by Addison Koppelman

    Set 3 · ROBMOR 17-16 CLE ST · ROBMOR 46% → 51%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418646.26112012312222
49221.3330006002110
47214.3570001006310
48332.15600010031.59.5
45931-.1291421430009
4000–27011700000
47017.41200020052.59.5
4000–10212110002
4012-.50014011000000
4000–000100000
4000–000000000
1001.000000000000
Team totals5423164.18953858581181096
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
47327.14810170254.511.5
410749.0610002002111
48318.27800000111.59.5
48325.200200200008
4219.111152070010.54.5
1000–000200000
414426.3850001000014
4049-.444132510003
4001.0001221260002
4003.0007111610001
4000–0001200000
3114.00019011000001
2000–00010031.51.5
Team totals5026171.1404687778312986

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Robert Morris vs Cleveland St.

Season series · Robert Morris leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 ROBMOR · CLE ST 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 5 ROBMORCLE ST 5

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 3 ROBMORCLE ST 4

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 9 ROBMORCLE ST 4

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 ROBMORCLE ST 5

Bars above the line = Cleveland St. leads, below = Robert Morris leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Robert Morris

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%9/22
46%6/13
2
53%9/17
68%19/28
3
53%8/15
56%10/18
4
70%7/10
50%7/14
5
64%7/11
53%8/15
6
50%6/12
0%0/7
All
53%46/87
53%50/95

Cleveland St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
53%8/15
2
32%8/25
59%13/22
3
50%8/16
38%5/13
4
44%7/16
47%7/15
5
70%7/10
30%3/10
6
60%6/10
42%5/12
All
47%45/95
47%41/87

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#ROBMOR-CLE STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ROBMORROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+2.5
21-1ROBMORCLE ST×4KillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+1.8
31-2CLE STCLE ST×4KillBryn VanVleetset Allison Salazar+2.5
41-3CLE STCLE ST×4KillBryn VanVleetset Allison Salazar+2.5
51-4CLE STCLE ST×4AceCleveland St.aced Lauren Decker+2.3
62-4CLE STROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+1.6
72-5ROBMORCLE STKillJazen Debinaset Allison Salazar+1.8
83-5CLE STROBMORAttack errBryn VanVleet+1.7
94-5ROBMORROBMORKillAddyson Buttsset Kenlee Barnard+2.5
104-6ROBMORCLE ST×5KillBryn VanVleetset Julia Jozefov+1.9
114-7CLE STCLE ST×5Attack errLayla Todd+2.5
124-8CLE STCLE ST×5Attack errLayla Todd+2.3
134-9CLE STCLE ST×5KillAlyssa Cerovacset Vayda Delventhal+2.0
144-10CLE STCLE ST×5KillAlyssa Cerovacset Vayda Delventhal+1.7
155-10CLE STROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+1.0
166-10ROBMORROBMORBlockedAlyssa Cerovacblk Addyson Butts, Natalie Stepanovich+1.7
176-11ROBMORCLE STServe errRobert Morris+1.5
187-11CLE STROBMORKillNatalie Stepanovichset Isabelle Jackson+1.3
197-12ROBMORCLE ST×3KillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+1.5
207-13CLE STCLE ST×3AceCleveland St.aced Anahi Alvarado+1.7
217-14CLE STCLE ST×3AceCleveland St.+1.3
228-14CLE STROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Isabelle Jackson+0.7
238-15ROBMORCLE STKillJazen Debinaset Allison Salazar+0.9
248-16CLE STCLE STKillJazen Debinaset Allison Salazar+0.8
259-16CLE STROBMORKillNatalie Stepanovichset Isabelle Jackson+0.4
269-17ROBMORCLE STServe errRobert Morris+0.6
279-18CLE STCLE STAttack errLauren Decker+0.5
2810-18CLE STROBMOR×5KillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+0.2
2911-18ROBMORROBMOR×5KillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+0.4
3012-18ROBMORROBMOR×5Attack errBryn VanVleet+0.7
3113-18ROBMORROBMOR×5Attack errBryn VanVleet+1.0
3214-18ROBMORROBMOR×5KillLayla Toddset Anahi Alvarado+1.5
3314-19ROBMORCLE STAttack errTia Schultz+1.5
3415-19CLE STROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+1.0
3515-20ROBMORCLE STAttack errLayla Todd+1.5
3615-21CLE STCLE STAceCleveland St.aced Lauren Decker+1.3
3716-21CLE STROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+0.5
3817-21ROBMORROBMORKillLayla Toddset Anahi Alvarado+1.1
3917-22ROBMORCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+1.3
4017-23CLE STCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+0.9
4118-23CLE STROBMOR×3Serve errCleveland St.+0.2
4219-23ROBMORROBMOR×3BlockedAlyssa Cerovacblk Addyson Butts, Natalie Stepanovich+0.6
4320-23ROBMORROBMOR×3KillLauren Deckerset Isabelle Jackson+1.3
4420-24ROBMORCLE STKillAllison Salazarset Addison Koppelman+1.8
4521-24CLE STROBMORAttack errJazen Debina+0.5
4621-25ROBMORCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+1.3
Set 2
11-0CLE STROBMOR×3Serve errCleveland St.+1.7
22-0ROBMORROBMOR×3AceLauren Deckeraced Audrey Ellis+2.4
33-0ROBMORROBMOR×3KillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+2.3
43-1ROBMORCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Allison Salazar+1.6
54-1CLE STROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+1.8
64-2ROBMORCLE ST×3KillBryn VanVleetset Allison Salazar+1.6
74-3CLE STCLE ST×3BlockedLayla Toddblk Allison Salazar, Julia Jozefov+2.4
84-4CLE STCLE ST×3BlockedAddyson Buttsblk Julia Jozefov+2.5
95-4CLE STROBMORKillLayla Toddset Anahi Alvarado+1.9
105-5ROBMORCLE STKillAllison Salazarset Vayda Delventhal+1.9
116-5CLE STROBMORServe errAddison Koppelman+2.0
126-6ROBMORCLE STBlockedAddyson Buttsblk Julia Jozefov+1.9
137-6CLE STROBMORKillNatalie Stepanovichset Isabelle Jackson+2.0
147-7ROBMORCLE ST×3KillJeriLynn Koehlerset Isabelle Jackson+2.0
157-8CLE STCLE ST×3KillAlyssa Cerovacset Jazen Debina+2.7
167-9CLE STCLE ST×3Attack errIsabelle Jackson+2.7
178-9CLE STROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Isabelle Jackson+1.9
188-10ROBMORCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+2.0
198-11CLE STCLE STBlockedKeira Hornungblk JeriLynn Koehler+2.6
209-11CLE STROBMOR×3KillLayla Toddset Lauren Decker+1.8
2110-11ROBMORROBMOR×3BlockedJazen Debinablk Keira Hornung, Layla Todd+2.7
2211-11ROBMORROBMOR×3AceLauren Deckeraced Vayda Delventhal+3.0
2311-12ROBMORCLE STAttack errLayla Todd+2.3
2411-13CLE STCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Jazen Debina+3.0
2512-13CLE STROBMOR×3Serve errVayda Delventhal+2.1
2613-13ROBMORROBMOR×3KillAddyson Buttsset Kenlee Barnard+3.2
2714-13ROBMORROBMOR×3AceAnahi Alvaradoaced Audrey Ellis+3.4
2814-14ROBMORCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Vayda Delventhal+2.5
2915-14CLE STROBMOR×3KillAddyson Buttsset Kenlee Barnard+2.7
3016-14ROBMORROBMOR×3BlockedBryn VanVleetblk Natalie Stepanovich, Addyson Butts+3.6
3117-14ROBMORROBMOR×3KillLayla Toddset Anahi Alvarado+3.4
3217-15ROBMORCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Allison Salazar+2.1
3318-15CLE STROBMOR×3Attack errJulia Jozefov+2.6
3419-15ROBMORROBMOR×3KillNatalie Stepanovichset Anahi Alvarado+2.9
3520-15ROBMORROBMOR×3KillLauren Deckerset Anahi Alvarado+2.2
3620-16ROBMORCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Julia Jozefov+1.0
3721-16CLE STROBMORKillAddyson Buttsset Isabelle Jackson+1.6
3821-17ROBMORCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Fiona Cooper+0.9
3921-18CLE STCLE STAttack errLauren Decker+1.9
4022-18CLE STROBMORServe errFiona Cooper+2.2
4123-18ROBMORROBMORAttack errJeriLynn Koehler+1.7
4223-19ROBMORCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Fiona Cooper+0.5
4324-19CLE STROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+1.0
4424-20ROBMORCLE ST×4KillJazen Debinaset Fiona Cooper+0.2
4524-21CLE STCLE ST×4KillBryn VanVleetset Fiona Cooper+0.8
4624-22CLE STCLE ST×4Attack errLayla Todd+1.8
4724-23CLE STCLE ST×4KillJazen Debinaset Fiona Cooper+4.1
4825-23CLE STROBMORAttack errBryn VanVleet+7.2
Set 3
11-0ROBMORROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+3.3
21-1ROBMORCLE ST×4KillJazen Debinaset Fiona Cooper+2.4
31-2CLE STCLE ST×4Attack errLauren Decker+3.3
41-3CLE STCLE ST×4AceAudrey Ellisaced Layla Todd+3.3
51-4CLE STCLE ST×4Attack errLauren Decker+3.1
62-4CLE STROBMORServe errAudrey Ellis+2.2
72-5ROBMORCLE ST×4KillJazen Debinaset Fiona Cooper+2.4
82-6CLE STCLE ST×4BlockedTia Schultzblk Bryn VanVleet, Julia Jozefov+2.9
92-7CLE STCLE ST×4BlockedKeira Hornungblk Bryn VanVleet, Julia Jozefov+2.6
102-8CLE STCLE ST×4Attack errKeira Hornung+2.2
113-8CLE STROBMOR×5KillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+1.4
124-8ROBMORROBMOR×5Attack errBryn VanVleet+2.3
135-8ROBMORROBMOR×5BlockedJazen Debinablk Layla Todd, Addyson Butts+2.7
146-8ROBMORROBMOR×5AceAnahi Alvaradoaced Audrey Ellis+3.2
157-8ROBMORROBMOR×5KillLayla Toddset Anahi Alvarado+3.6
167-9ROBMORCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Fiona Cooper+2.8
178-9CLE STROBMOR×3KillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+2.7
189-9ROBMORROBMOR×3KillLayla Toddset Isabelle Jackson+4.0
1910-9ROBMORROBMOR×3KillAddyson Buttsset Isabelle Jackson+4.2
2010-10ROBMORCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Fiona Cooper+3.1
2111-10CLE STROBMORKillAddyson Buttsset Isabelle Jackson+3.2
2212-10ROBMORROBMORBlockedAlyssa Cerovacblk Natalie Stepanovich, Addyson Butts+4.4
2312-11ROBMORCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Fiona Cooper+3.0
2413-11CLE STROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Layla Todd+3.4
2513-12ROBMORCLE ST×3KillAlyssa Cerovacset Vayda Delventhal+3.1
2613-13CLE STCLE ST×3Attack errLauren Decker+4.6
2713-14CLE STCLE ST×3KillJazen Debinaset Fiona Cooper+4.8
2814-14CLE STROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Isabelle Jackson+3.6
2914-15ROBMORCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Fiona Cooper+3.7
3014-16CLE STCLE STAceAudrey Ellisaced Layla Todd+4.9
3115-16CLE STROBMOR×9Attack errAddison Koppelman+3.4
3216-16ROBMORROBMOR×9KillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+5.3
3317-16ROBMORROBMOR×9Attack errAddison Koppelman+5.7
3418-16ROBMORROBMOR×9KillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+5.7
3519-16ROBMORROBMOR×9KillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+5.2
3620-16ROBMORROBMOR×9BlockedAddison Koppelmanblk Tia Schultz, Keira Hornung+4.2
3721-16ROBMORROBMOR×9AceLauren Deckeraced Audrey Ellis+3.0
3822-16ROBMORROBMOR×9KillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+1.7
3923-16ROBMORROBMOR×9KillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+0.8
4023-17ROBMORCLE STAttack errLauren Decker+0.2
4124-17CLE STROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+0.4
4224-18ROBMORCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+0.1
4325-18CLE STROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+0.2
Set 4
11-0CLE STROBMORAttack errAllison Salazar+2.6
22-0ROBMORROBMORAceLauren Deckeraced Addison Koppelman+3.5
32-1ROBMORCLE STServe errLauren Decker+2.5
42-2CLE STCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Fiona Cooper+3.6
53-2CLE STROBMORKillTia Schultzset Anahi Alvarado+2.7
63-3ROBMORCLE STServe errAnahi Alvarado+2.7
74-3CLE STROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+2.8
84-4ROBMORCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Fiona Cooper+2.7
94-5CLE STCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehler+3.8
105-5CLE STROBMORKillLayla Toddset Isabelle Jackson+2.8
115-6ROBMORCLE ST×3KillJeriLynn Koehlerset Fiona Cooper+2.9
125-7CLE STCLE ST×3BlockedLauren Deckerblk Sariyah Glanton, Julia Jozefov+3.8
135-8CLE STCLE ST×3BlockedLauren Deckerblk Julia Jozefov, Sariyah Glanton+3.6
146-8CLE STROBMORKillNatalie Stepanovichset Isabelle Jackson+2.5
156-9ROBMORCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Vayda Delventhal+2.7
167-9CLE STROBMORKillNatalie Stepanovichset Anahi Alvarado+2.5
178-9ROBMORROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+3.8
188-10ROBMORCLE ST×5KillFiona Cooperset Audrey Ellis+3.1
198-11CLE STCLE ST×5KillJulia Jozefovset Fiona Cooper+3.9
208-12CLE STCLE ST×5KillAlyssa Cerovacset Fiona Cooper+3.5
218-13CLE STCLE ST×5AceAddison Koppelmanaced Layla Todd+2.9
228-14CLE STCLE ST×5AceAddison Koppelmanaced Lauren Decker+2.3
239-14CLE STROBMOR×3Serve errAddison Koppelman+1.3
2410-14ROBMORROBMOR×3Attack errAddison Koppelman+2.4
2511-14ROBMORROBMOR×3BlockedAlyssa Cerovacblk Keira Hornung, Tia Schultz+3.0
2611-15ROBMORCLE STServe errLauren Decker+2.7
2712-15CLE STROBMOR×4Attack errJulia Jozefov+2.3
2813-15ROBMORROBMOR×4Attack errJeriLynn Koehler+3.8
2914-15ROBMORROBMOR×4BlockedFiona Cooperblk Layla Todd+4.6
3015-15ROBMORROBMOR×4Bad setFiona Cooper+5.3
3115-16ROBMORCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Fiona Cooper+4.1
3216-16CLE STROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+4.1
3317-16ROBMORROBMORAttack errJeriLynn Koehler+6.0
3417-17ROBMORCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Vayda Delventhal+4.4
3517-18CLE STCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Vayda Delventhal+6.3
3618-18CLE STROBMOR×4KillLayla Toddset Isabelle Jackson+4.6
3719-18ROBMORROBMOR×4AceLayla Toddaced Audrey Ellis+6.9
3820-18ROBMORROBMOR×4BlockedBryn VanVleetblk Addyson Butts, Natalie Stepanovich+6.9
3921-18ROBMORROBMOR×4AceLayla Toddaced Audrey Ellis+6.0
4021-19ROBMORCLE STBlockedLauren Deckerblk JeriLynn Koehler, Sariyah Glanton+3.2
4122-19CLE STROBMORKillAddyson Buttsset Isabelle Jackson+4.7
4222-20ROBMORCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Fiona Cooper+3.1
4323-20CLE STROBMOR×3KillNatalie Stepanovichset Anahi Alvarado+4.9
4424-20ROBMORROBMOR×3Attack errJulia Jozefov+3.8
4525-20ROBMORROBMOR×3KillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+1.2

Score shown after each rally, Robert Morris first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).