Final · 4 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026

UC Davis def. Northern Colo. 3–1

UC Davis won at Northern Colo. 3-1 (20-25, 25-20, 25-15, 25-18) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. UC Davis' Brooke Hibino led with 19 kills, and Ximena Cordero Barr added 13 digs.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set1234Sets
UC DAV202525253
N COLO252015181

Win probability

Northern Colo. above 50 · UC Davis below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.9% N COLOrally 173 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.9% to Northern Colo. — set 2, UC DAV 13-13 N COLO. Attack error by Isabella Umpierre. N COLO win probability 47% → 51%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UC DAV 70.8%29.2% N COLO

UC Davis wins

3-0
23.8%
3-1
27.1%
3-2
19.8%

Northern Colo. wins

3-0
5.5%
3-1
10.2%
3-2
13.5%
UC DAV break %
44.6% vs this opp
N COLO break %
40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Isabella UmpierreAttack error+3.9%

    Attack error by Isabella Umpierre

    Set 2 · UC DAV 13-13 N COLO · N COLO 47% → 51%

  2. 02
    UC DavisAce+3.8%

    UC Davis ace

    Set 2 · UC DAV 15-13 N COLO · UC DAV 52% → 56%

  3. 03

    Leila Ballard stuffed by Isabella Umpierre & Ally Chandler

    Set 2 · UC DAV 19-16 N COLO · UC DAV 56% → 60%

  4. 04

    Kill by Gillian Walton (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)

    Set 2 · UC DAV 13-12 N COLO · N COLO 44% → 47%

  5. 05
    Maddie RinkKill+3.3%

    Kill by Maddie Rink (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)

    Set 1 · UC DAV 17-21 N COLO · N COLO 43% → 46%

  6. 06
    Mia StarrKill+3.3%

    Kill by Mia Starr (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)

    Set 2 · UC DAV 23-20 N COLO · UC DAV 60% → 63%

  7. 07

    Kill by Isabella Umpierre (set by Ximena Cordero Barr)

    Set 2 · UC DAV 18-16 N COLO · UC DAV 53% → 56%

  8. 08
    Isabella UmpierreAttack error+3.2%

    Attack error by Isabella Umpierre

    Set 4 · UC DAV 5-7 N COLO · N COLO 19% → 22%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419339.4100004010120
49521.1900302022315
4307.429391460010.54.5
44318.056000210004
42011.182000100002
2022-1.000101000000
413843.11601390212.516.5
4000–043400004
4000–0211000002
4000–2111330001
Team totals5021141.20642121351454795
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411436.19401173010.512.5
47215.333010100008
47321.19000010010.57.5
45221.1432121111017
45113.308000100216
4439.11127021210004
4000–4021630000
3000–000310000
2000–000100000
2000–001300000
1000–011000001
1022-1.000000000000
1011-1.000000000000
1000–000100000
Team totals3918118.1783349571214378

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 UC DAV · N COLO 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 UC DAVN COLO 5

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 3 UC DAVN COLO 5

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 5 UC DAVN COLO 3

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 7 UC DAVN COLO 4

Bars above the line = Northern Colo. leads, below = UC Davis leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UC Davis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%9/22
50%7/14
2
64%9/14
53%10/19
3
80%8/10
43%6/14
4
47%8/17
62%13/21
5
75%6/8
65%11/17
6
63%5/8
33%3/9
All
57%45/79
53%50/94

Northern Colo.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
53%8/15
2
42%8/19
50%9/18
3
57%8/14
27%3/11
4
30%7/23
27%3/11
5
50%6/12
53%8/15
6
46%6/13
33%3/9
All
47%44/94
43%34/79

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

173 rallies

#UC DAV-N COLOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UC DAVN COLO×5KillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.7
20-2N COLON COLO×5AceNorthern Colo.aced Gianna Bogan+2.3
30-3N COLON COLO×5BlockedAlly Chandlerblk Gillian Walton, Summer Snead+2.4
40-4N COLON COLO×5Attack errBreeze Czapinski+2.3
50-5N COLON COLO×5Attack errGianna Bogan+2.2
61-5N COLOUC DAV×3Serve errNorthern Colo.+1.4
72-5UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errGillian Walton+2.1
83-5UC DAVUC DAV×3BlockedAlayna Tessenablk Ally Chandler, Mia Starr+2.3
93-6UC DAVN COLOServe errUC Davis+1.9
104-6N COLOUC DAVServe errNorthern Colo.+1.7
114-7UC DAVN COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.9
124-8N COLON COLOAttack errAlly Chandler+2.5
135-8N COLOUC DAV×3Serve errNorthern Colo.+1.6
146-8UC DAVUC DAV×3KillBrooke Hibinoset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.4
157-8UC DAVUC DAV×3KillBrooke Hibinoset Breeze Czapinski+2.5
167-9UC DAVN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.1
177-10N COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessena+2.8
188-10N COLOUC DAVServe errNorthern Colo.+1.8
199-10UC DAVUC DAVAceUC Davis+2.7
209-11UC DAVN COLOServe errUC Davis+2.2
219-12N COLON COLOAttack errBreeze Czapinski+3.0
2210-12N COLOUC DAVBlockedNerea Alvarez-Jorgeblk Isabella Umpierre+1.9
2310-13UC DAVN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.3
2411-13N COLOUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.0
2511-14UC DAVN COLO×3KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.4
2611-15N COLON COLO×3KillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.9
2711-16N COLON COLO×3KillLeila Ballardset Bella LePore+2.5
2812-16N COLOUC DAVAttack errSummer Snead+1.4
2912-17UC DAVN COLOServe errUC Davis+1.9
3012-18N COLON COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.0
3113-18N COLOUC DAV×3Serve errNorthern Colo.+0.9
3214-18UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errMaddie Rink+1.8
3315-18UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errGillian Walton+2.4
3415-19UC DAVN COLOAttack errAlly Chandler+2.4
3516-19N COLOUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.7
3617-19UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+3.0
3717-20UC DAVN COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.0
3817-21N COLON COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.3
3917-22N COLON COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.2
4018-22N COLOUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.8
4119-22UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.8
4219-23UC DAVN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.4
4320-23N COLOUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.1
4420-24UC DAVN COLOBlockedIsabella Umpierreblk Summer Snead, Alayna Tessena+2.1
4520-25N COLON COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.9
Set 2
11-0N COLOUC DAVServe errNorthern Colo.+2.0
22-0UC DAVUC DAVKillMia Starrset Mia Starr+2.5
32-1UC DAVN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.9
42-2N COLON COLOAttack errBrooke Hibino+2.8
53-2N COLOUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.0
64-2UC DAVUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.6
74-3UC DAVN COLOServe errUC Davis+2.0
85-3N COLOUC DAV×3KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.0
96-3UC DAVUC DAV×3AceUC Davis+2.5
107-3UC DAVUC DAV×3Bad setGillian Walton+2.2
117-4UC DAVN COLOBlockedIsabella Umpierreblk Leila Ballard+1.5
127-5N COLON COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Leila Ballard+2.4
138-5N COLOUC DAV×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.9
149-5UC DAVUC DAV×3KillGianna Bogan+2.3
1510-5UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errAlayna Tessena+1.9
1610-6UC DAVN COLOAttack errIsabella Umpierre+1.2
1711-6N COLOUC DAVServe errNorthern Colo.+1.4
1812-6UC DAVUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.5
1912-7UC DAVN COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.9
2012-8N COLON COLOAceNorthern Colo.aced Ximena Cordero Barr+1.6
2113-8N COLOUC DAVServe errNorthern Colo.+1.5
2213-9UC DAVN COLO×5Serve errUC Davis+1.2
2313-10N COLON COLO×5KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.2
2413-11N COLON COLO×5Bad setMia Starr+2.7
2513-12N COLON COLO×5KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.3
2613-13N COLON COLO×5Attack errIsabella Umpierre+3.9
2714-13N COLOUC DAVServe errNorthern Colo.+2.9
2815-13UC DAVUC DAVAceUC Davis+3.8
2915-14UC DAVN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Bella LePore+2.7
3016-14N COLOUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.9
3116-15UC DAVN COLOServe errUC Davis+2.8
3217-15N COLOUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+3.0
3317-16UC DAVN COLOServe errUC Davis+2.9
3418-16N COLOUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Ximena Cordero Barr+3.2
3519-16UC DAVUC DAVBlockedLeila Ballardblk Isabella Umpierre, Ally Chandler+3.8
3619-17UC DAVN COLOKillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.3
3720-17N COLOUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Ximena Cordero Barr+2.9
3820-18UC DAVN COLOServe errUC Davis+2.3
3921-18N COLOUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+3.0
4021-19UC DAVN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.3
4122-19N COLOUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+3.2
4222-20UC DAVN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Leila Ballard+2.2
4323-20N COLOUC DAV×3KillMia Starrset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.3
4424-20UC DAVUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.4
4525-20UC DAVUC DAV×3KillAllie Caldwell+0.7
Set 3
11-0UC DAVUC DAVAceUC Davisaced Bella LePore+2.9
21-1UC DAVN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.2
32-1N COLOUC DAV×5KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.2
43-1UC DAVUC DAV×5KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.8
54-1UC DAVUC DAV×5Attack errGillian Walton+2.6
65-1UC DAVUC DAV×5KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.3
76-1UC DAVUC DAV×5AceUC Davisaced Leila Ballard+2.0
86-2UC DAVN COLOKillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.3
96-3N COLON COLOAttack errBrooke Hibino+2.2
107-3N COLOUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Ximena Cordero Barr+1.8
117-4UC DAVN COLOServe errUC Davis+1.6
128-4N COLOUC DAV×3BlockedNerea Alvarez-Jorgeblk Isabella Umpierre+1.8
139-4UC DAVUC DAV×3AceUC Davisaced Bella LePore+2.1
1410-4UC DAVUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.7
1510-5UC DAVN COLO×3Serve errUC Davis+1.0
1610-6N COLON COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.8
1710-7N COLON COLO×3Attack errIsabella Umpierre+2.3
1811-7N COLOUC DAVBad setNerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.9
1912-7UC DAVUC DAVAceUC Davisaced Bella LePore+2.1
2012-8UC DAVN COLOServe errUC Davis+1.3
2113-8N COLOUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.6
2214-8UC DAVUC DAVBad setNerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.7
2314-9UC DAVN COLOServe errUC Davis+1.0
2415-9N COLOUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.2
2515-10UC DAVN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.9
2616-10N COLOUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.2
2717-10UC DAVUC DAVAceUC Davisaced Alayna Tessena+1.1
2817-11UC DAVN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.5
2918-11N COLOUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.8
3018-12UC DAVN COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.5
3119-12N COLOUC DAV×5KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.7
3220-12UC DAVUC DAV×5AceUC Davisaced Jenna Baller+0.5
3321-12UC DAVUC DAV×5Attack errRiley Taylor+0.2
3422-12UC DAVUC DAV×5KillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+0.1
3523-12UC DAVUC DAV×5AceUC Davisaced Alayna Tessena·
3623-13UC DAVN COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge·
3723-14N COLON COLO×3Attack errIsabella Umpierre·
3823-15N COLON COLO×3Attack errGianna Bogan·
3924-15N COLOUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr·
4025-15UC DAVUC DAVBad setNerea Alvarez-Jorge·
Set 4
11-0N COLOUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.8
21-1UC DAVN COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Mia Starr+1.9
31-2N COLON COLO×3AceNorthern Colo.aced Ximena Cordero Barr+2.7
41-3N COLON COLO×3Attack errIsabella Umpierre+2.9
52-3N COLOUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.0
63-3UC DAVUC DAVBad setAlayna Tessena+2.7
73-4UC DAVN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.1
83-5N COLON COLOAttack errBrooke Hibino+3.0
94-5N COLOUC DAVAttack errAlayna Tessena+2.1
105-5UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.9
115-6UC DAVN COLOServe errUC Davis+2.3
125-7N COLON COLOAttack errIsabella Umpierre+3.2
136-7N COLOUC DAV×5KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.2
147-7UC DAVUC DAV×5KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+3.0
158-7UC DAVUC DAV×5KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+3.0
169-7UC DAVUC DAV×5Attack errNerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.8
1710-7UC DAVUC DAV×5KillGianna Bogan+2.6
1810-8UC DAVN COLOKillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.8
1910-9N COLON COLOAttack errAlly Chandler+2.8
2011-9N COLOUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.2
2112-9UC DAVUC DAVAceUC Davisaced Alayna Tessena+2.7
2212-10UC DAVN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Bella LePore+1.9
2312-11N COLON COLOAttack errGianna Bogan+3.0
2413-11N COLOUC DAV×7KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+2.4
2514-11UC DAVUC DAV×7KillMia Starrset Maddie Rink+2.9
2615-11UC DAVUC DAV×7BlockedMaddie Rinkblk Ally Chandler+2.4
2716-11UC DAVUC DAV×7Attack errAddison Roark+1.9
2817-11UC DAVUC DAV×7KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.4
2918-11UC DAVUC DAV×7BlockedLeila Ballardblk Ally Chandler+0.9
3019-11UC DAVUC DAV×7AceUC Davisaced Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.5
3119-12UC DAVN COLO×4KillNerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.2
3219-13N COLON COLO×4Attack errAlly Chandler+0.5
3319-14N COLON COLO×4AceNorthern Colo.aced Ximena Cordero Barr+0.8
3419-15N COLON COLO×4KillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Mia Starr+1.3
3520-15N COLOUC DAVAttack errAlayna Tessena+1.3
3621-15UC DAVUC DAVBlockedAddison Roarkblk Brooke Hibino+1.1
3721-16UC DAVN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.4
3822-16N COLOUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.7
3922-17UC DAVN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.3
4023-17N COLOUC DAVKillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+0.6
4124-17UC DAVUC DAVServe errUC Davis+0.2
4224-18UC DAVN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Bella LePore·
4325-18N COLOUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+0.1

Score shown after each rally, UC Davis first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).