Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026 · Neutral site

New Mexico def. Northern Colo. 3–1

New Mexico beat Northern Colo. 3-1 (25-20, 23-25, 25-20, 25-16) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026 at a neutral site. New Mexico's Addison France led with 16 kills, and Camila Canedo added 21 digs.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set1234Sets
N COLO202520161
N MEX252325253

Win probability

New Mexico above 50 · Northern Colo. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.8% N MEXrally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.8% to New Mexico — set 3, N COLO 20-22 N MEX. Leila Ballard stuffed by Addison France & Campbell Hollister. N MEX win probability 54% → 62%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

N COLO 55.1%44.9% N MEX

Northern Colo. wins

3-0
14.7%
3-1
20.9%
3-2
19.5%

New Mexico wins

3-0
10.5%
3-1
16.6%
3-2
17.8%
N COLO break %
43.5% vs this opp
N MEX break %
42.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Leila Ballard stuffed by Addison France & Campbell Hollister

    Set 3 · N COLO 20-22 N MEX · N MEX 54% → 62%

  2. 02

    Kill by Gillian Walton (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)

    Set 2 · N COLO 25-23 N MEX · N COLO 46% → 54%

  3. 03

    Gillian Walton stuffed by Reagan Miller & Addison France

    Set 3 · N COLO 19-20 N MEX · N MEX 46% → 53%

  4. 04
    Reagan MillerKill+6.3%

    Kill by Reagan Miller (set by Madeleine Miller)

    Set 3 · N COLO 19-19 N MEX · N MEX 40% → 46%

  5. 05

    Kill by Addison France (set by Madeleine Miller)

    Set 3 · N COLO 20-23 N MEX · N MEX 62% → 68%

  6. 06

    Kill by Uliana Yastrub (set by Madeleine Miller)

    Set 3 · N COLO 20-21 N MEX · N MEX 48% → 54%

  7. 07
    Addison RoarkKill+5.8%

    Kill by Addison Roark (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)

    Set 2 · N COLO 24-22 N MEX · N COLO 44% → 50%

  8. 08

    Mina Stanojevic stuffed by Summer Snead & Alayna Tessena

    Set 3 · N COLO 19-17 N MEX · N COLO 58% → 64%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416733.2730048000016
411845.06701112304214
49020.45020130132.511.5
47629.03431192010.58.5
47421.143000000218
43010.30040131301015
4002.000010400001
4000–4001610000
3103.333000000001
2000–000100000
11011.000000000001
1000–001000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5525164.18349411667210781
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416446.26102011024422
415022.68220000153.518.5
49434.147111200111.511.5
46316.188000411228
4319.2224111800215
2139-.22200120031.52.5
4013-.3332302120003
3308.37500000010.53.5
3000–001000000
3000–100100000
1000–000000000
Team totals5316147.25247746745181498

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 N COLO · N MEX 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 6 N COLON MEX 6

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 5 N COLON MEX 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 N COLON MEX 5

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 3 N COLON MEX 5

Bars above the line = New Mexico leads, below = Northern Colo. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northern Colo.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%8/18
50%6/12
2
46%6/13
22%2/9
3
46%6/13
50%6/12
4
56%5/9
57%8/14
5
45%5/11
50%5/10
6
56%5/9
38%3/8
All
48%35/73
46%30/65

New Mexico

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
63%12/19
2
86%6/7
53%8/15
3
40%6/15
45%5/11
4
45%5/11
55%6/11
5
45%5/11
29%2/7
6
45%5/11
50%5/10
All
54%35/65
52%38/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#N COLO-N MEXSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1N MEXN MEX×6BlockedGillian Waltonblk Addison France, Reagan Miller+2.5
20-2N MEXN MEX×6KillReagan Miller+2.5
30-3N MEXN MEX×6BlockedLeila Ballardblk Reagan Miller+2.4
40-4N MEXN MEX×6BlockedAlayna Tessenablk Uliana Yastrub, Reagan Miller+2.3
50-5N MEXN MEX×6AceNew Mexicoaced Alayna Tessena+2.1
60-6N MEXN MEX×6KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.9
71-6N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.2
81-7N COLON MEXKillUliana Yastrubset Madeleine Miller+1.4
91-8N MEXN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.6
102-8N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.0
112-9N COLON MEXAttack errLeila Ballard+1.2
123-9N MEXN COLO×4KillGillian Waltonset Bella LePore+1.0
134-9N COLON COLO×4Attack errZoe Leonard+1.6
145-9N COLON COLO×4BlockedMina Stanojevicblk Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.9
156-9N COLON COLO×4AceNorthern Colo.+2.2
166-10N COLON MEXAttack errSummer Snead+2.0
176-11N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.3
187-11N MEXN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.4
198-11N COLON COLOAceNorthern Colo.aced Camila Canedo+2.3
208-12N COLON MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+2.0
218-13N MEXN MEXAttack errSummer Snead+2.3
229-13N MEXN COLOAttack errMadeleine Miller+1.4
239-14N COLON MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.8
2410-14N MEXN COLO×6Serve errNew Mexico+1.4
2511-14N COLON COLO×6KillAlayna Tessenaset Bella LePore+2.3
2612-14N COLON COLO×6KillAlayna Tessenaset Leila Ballard+2.8
2713-14N COLON COLO×6KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.3
2814-14N COLON COLO×6KillMadeleine Millerset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.6
2915-14N COLON COLO×6BlockedMina Stanojevicblk Alayna Tessena, Maddie Rink+3.7
3015-15N COLON MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.8
3116-15N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.0
3216-16N COLON MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+3.0
3316-17N MEXN MEXBlockedLeila Ballardblk Addison France+4.2
3417-17N MEXN COLOKillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.1
3518-17N COLON COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+4.4
3618-18N COLON MEX×5KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+3.3
3718-19N MEXN MEX×5KillZoe Leonardset Madeleine Miller+4.8
3818-20N MEXN MEX×5BlockedLeila Ballardblk Zoe Leonard, Uliana Yastrub+4.8
3918-21N MEXN MEX×5AceNew Mexicoaced Bella LePore+4.2
4018-22N MEXN MEX×5KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+3.1
4119-22N MEXN COLOKillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.4
4220-22N COLON COLOAttack errCamila Canedo+3.0
4320-23N COLON MEX×3Attack errSummer Snead+3.5
4420-24N MEXN MEX×3BlockedSummer Sneadblk Mina Stanojevic, Zoe Leonard+2.7
4520-25N MEXN MEX×3Attack errAlayna Tessena+0.8
Set 2
10-1N COLON MEXServe errNorthern Colo.+2.0
20-2N MEXN MEXBlockedGillian Waltonblk Zoe Leonard, Addison France+2.6
31-2N MEXN COLOAttack errAddison France+1.9
41-3N COLON MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+2.0
52-3N MEXN COLO×5KillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.9
63-3N COLON COLO×5KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.7
74-3N COLON COLO×5KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.7
85-3N COLON COLO×5KillGillian Waltonset Bella LePore+2.7
96-3N COLON COLO×5BlockedZoe Leonardblk Maddie Rink+2.6
106-4N COLON MEX×3KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+1.8
116-5N MEXN MEX×3Attack errGillian Walton+2.7
126-6N MEXN MEX×3Attack errGillian Walton+2.9
137-6N MEXN COLO×3KillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.2
148-6N COLON COLO×3KillLeila Ballardset Maddie Rink+2.9
159-6N COLON COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Uliana Yastrub+2.8
169-7N COLON MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.9
1710-7N MEXN COLOServe errNew Mexico+2.1
1810-8N COLON MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+2.0
1911-8N MEXN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Madeleine Miller+2.2
2011-9N COLON MEXKillMadeleine Miller+2.0
2112-9N MEXN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.2
2212-10N COLON MEXKillAddison Franceset Camila Canedo+2.0
2313-10N MEXN COLOBlockedUliana Yastrubblk Alayna Tessena, Summer Snead+2.3
2413-11N COLON MEXServe errNorthern Colo.+2.1
2514-11N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.4
2615-11N COLON COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Madeleine Miller+2.8
2715-12N COLON MEXKillUliana Yastrubset Madeleine Miller+1.7
2816-12N MEXN COLO×3Attack errMina Stanojevic+2.1
2917-12N COLON COLO×3BlockedZoe Leonardblk Maddie Rink, Leila Ballard+2.3
3018-12N COLON COLO×3KillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.6
3118-13N COLON MEXServe errNorthern Colo.+0.8
3219-13N MEXN COLO×4KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.2
3320-13N COLON COLO×4KillAlayna Tessenaset Leila Ballard+1.0
3421-13N COLON COLO×4Bad setMadeleine Miller+0.5
3522-13N COLON COLO×4BlockedAddison Franceblk Alayna Tessena, Maddie Rink+0.2
3622-14N COLON MEX×5KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+0.1
3722-15N MEXN MEX×5KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+0.1
3822-16N MEXN MEX×5AceNew Mexico+0.3
3922-17N MEXN MEX×5KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+0.5
4022-18N MEXN MEX×5KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.0
4123-18N MEXN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Leila Ballard+1.3
4223-19N COLON MEX×4KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.5
4323-20N MEXN MEX×4KillUliana Yastrubset Madeleine Miller+1.4
4423-21N MEXN MEX×4KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.6
4523-22N MEXN MEX×4KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+4.8
4624-22N MEXN COLOKillAddison Roarkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+5.8
4724-23N COLON MEXKillAddison Franceset Reagan Miller+3.3
4825-23N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+7.6
Set 3
10-1N MEXN MEXKillReagan Miller+3.3
21-1N MEXN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.5
32-1N COLON COLOAceNorthern Colo.aced Uliana Yastrub+3.3
42-2N COLON MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.5
53-2N MEXN COLOAttack errUliana Yastrub+2.6
63-3N COLON MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+2.6
74-3N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.6
84-4N COLON MEXKillUliana Yastrubset Madeleine Miller+2.6
95-4N MEXN COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.7
106-4N COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.5
116-5N COLON MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.6
127-5N MEXN COLO×4Bad setMadeleine Miller+2.7
138-5N COLON COLO×4KillAlayna Tessenaset Maddie Rink+3.4
149-5N COLON COLO×4KillAlayna Tessenaset Leila Ballard+3.1
1510-5N COLON COLO×4KillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Uliana Yastrub+2.7
1610-6N COLON MEXServe errNorthern Colo.+1.7
1711-6N MEXN COLOAttack errAddison France+2.1
1811-7N COLON MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.7
1912-7N MEXN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.1
2013-7N COLON COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.3
2113-8N COLON MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.3
2213-9N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Camila Canedo+2.3
2314-9N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.1
2414-10N COLON MEXAttack errGillian Walton+1.7
2514-11N MEXN MEXServe errNew Mexico+2.9
2615-11N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.6
2715-12N COLON MEXServe errNorthern Colo.+2.2
2815-13N MEXN MEXAttack errLeila Ballard+3.6
2916-13N MEXN COLOKillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.2
3016-14N COLON MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.8
3116-15N MEXN MEXBlockedAlayna Tessenablk Madeleine Miller, Reagan Miller+4.5
3217-15N MEXN COLOServe errNew Mexico+3.9
3317-16N COLON MEXKillMadeleine Millerset Reagan Miller+3.6
3417-17N MEXN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+5.5
3518-17N MEXN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+4.5
3619-17N COLON COLOBlockedMina Stanojevicblk Summer Snead, Alayna Tessena+5.8
3719-18N COLON MEX×3BlockedAlayna Tessenablk Reagan Miller, Madeleine Miller+3.9
3819-19N MEXN MEX×3KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+6.3
3919-20N MEXN MEX×3BlockedGillian Waltonblk Reagan Miller, Addison France+7.1
4020-20N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+5.2
4120-21N COLON MEX×5KillUliana Yastrubset Madeleine Miller+5.9
4220-22N MEXN MEX×5BlockedLeila Ballardblk Addison France, Campbell Hollister+7.8
4320-23N MEXN MEX×5KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+6.3
4420-24N MEXN MEX×5AceNew Mexicoaced Alayna Tessena+3.6
4520-25N MEXN MEX×5BlockedGillian Waltonblk Uliana Yastrub+1.1
Set 4
11-0N COLON COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.4
21-1N COLON MEX×5Serve errNorthern Colo.+2.6
31-2N MEXN MEX×5AceNew Mexicoaced Alayna Tessena+3.5
41-3N MEXN MEX×5Attack errAlayna Tessena+3.6
51-4N MEXN MEX×5KillCampbell Hollisterset Alayna Tessena+3.5
61-5N MEXN MEX×5BlockedAlayna Tessenablk Addison France+3.3
72-5N COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.2
82-6N COLON MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.5
93-6N MEXN COLO×3Attack errUliana Yastrub+2.3
104-6N COLON COLO×3Attack errAddison France+3.4
115-6N COLON COLO×3AceNorthern Colo.aced Camila Canedo+3.6
125-7N COLON MEXServe errNorthern Colo.+3.0
136-7N MEXN COLOKillRiley Taylorset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.8
146-8N COLON MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+3.0
157-8N MEXN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.9
167-9N COLON MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+3.1
178-9N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.0
188-10N COLON MEXServe errNorthern Colo.+3.2
199-10N MEXN COLO×3Serve errNew Mexico+3.0
2010-10N COLON COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+4.3
2111-10N COLON COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+4.4
2211-11N COLON MEX×4KillUliana Yastrubset Madeleine Miller+3.4
2311-12N MEXN MEX×4KillAddison Franceset Mina Stanojevic+4.7
2411-13N MEXN MEX×4KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+4.7
2511-14N MEXN MEX×4AceNew Mexicoaced Leila Ballard+4.5
2612-14N MEXN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.0
2712-15N COLON MEX×4Serve errNorthern Colo.+3.5
2812-16N MEXN MEX×4KillCampbell Hollisterset Gillian Walton+4.1
2912-17N MEXN MEX×4KillCampbell Hollister+3.4
3012-18N MEXN MEX×4AceNew Mexicoaced Leila Ballard+2.5
3113-18N MEXN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.2
3213-19N COLON MEX×3Serve errNorthern Colo.+1.8
3313-20N MEXN MEX×3Attack errAlayna Tessena+1.5
3413-21N MEXN MEX×3BlockedAlayna Tessenablk Mina Stanojevic+0.8
3514-21N MEXN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.3
3614-22N COLON MEXAttack errSummer Snead+0.5
3715-22N MEXN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.2
3815-23N COLON MEXKillMadeleine Millerset Seenane Brewer+0.3
3915-24N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.1
4016-24N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge·
4116-25N COLON MEXServe errNorthern Colo.·

Score shown after each rally, Northern Colo. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).