CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026
1:3
New Mexico logo

HomeMOUNTAIN-WEST

New Mexico def. Northern Colo. 31

(25-20, 23-25, 25-20, 25-16)
Set1234*Sets
N COLO202520161
N MEX252325253
  • * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

N MEX above 50 · N COLO below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100N MEXN COLOBiggest swing +8.2% N COLO · S2 25-23rally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.2% to Northern Colo. — set 2, N COLO 25-23 N MEX. Kill by Gillian Walton (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge). N MEX win probability 52%44%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

N COLO 57.9%42.1% N MEX

Northern Colo. wins

3-0
16.1%
3-1
22.0%
3-2
19.7%

New Mexico wins

3-0
9.5%
3-1
15.5%
3-2
17.2%
N COLO break %
45.8% vs this opp
N MEX break %
44.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01

    Kill by Gillian Walton (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)

    Set 2 · N COLO 25-23 N MEX · N COLO 48%56%

  2. 02
    Leila BallardAttack error+7.6%

    Leila Ballard stuffed by Addison France & Campbell Hollister

    Set 3 · N COLO 20-22 N MEX · N MEX 52%60%

  3. 03
    Gillian WaltonAttack error+6.8%

    Gillian Walton stuffed by Reagan Miller & Addison France

    Set 3 · N COLO 19-20 N MEX · N MEX 45%51%

  4. 04

    Kill by Addison France (set by Madeleine Miller)

    Set 3 · N COLO 20-23 N MEX · N MEX 60%66%

  5. 05
    Addison RoarkKill+6.2%

    Kill by Addison Roark (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)

    Set 2 · N COLO 24-22 N MEX · N COLO 45%52%

  6. 06

    Kill by Uliana Yastrub (set by Madeleine Miller)

    Set 3 · N COLO 20-21 N MEX · N MEX 46%52%

  7. 07
    Reagan MillerKill+6.1%

    Kill by Reagan Miller (set by Madeleine Miller)

    Set 3 · N COLO 19-19 N MEX · N MEX 38%45%

  8. 08
    Mina StanojevicAttack error+5.5%

    Mina Stanojevic stuffed by Summer Snead & Alayna Tessena

    Set 3 · N COLO 19-17 N MEX · N COLO 60%66%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416733.2730048000016
411845.06701112304214
49020.45020130132.511.5
47629.03431192010.58.5
47421.143000000218
43010.30040131301015
4002.000010400001
40004001610000
3103.333000000001
2000000100000
11011.000000000001
1000001000000
1000000000000
Team totals5525164.18349411667210781
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416446.26102011024422
415022.68220000153.518.5
49434.147111200111.511.5
46316.188000411228
4319.2224111800215
2139-.22200120031.52.5
4013-.3332302120003
3308.37500000010.53.5
3000001000000
3000100100000
1000000000000
Team totals5316147.25247746745181498

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 N COLO · N MEX 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 6 N COLON MEX 6

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 5 N COLON MEX 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 N COLON MEX 5

Set 4*

16-25

Longest run 3 N COLON MEX 5

Bars above the line = New Mexico leads, below = Northern Colo. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Northern Colo.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%8/18
50%6/12
2
46%6/13
22%2/9
3
46%6/13
50%6/12
4
56%5/9
57%8/14
5
45%5/11
50%5/10
6
56%5/9
38%3/8
All
48%35/73
46%30/65

New Mexico

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
63%12/19
2
86%6/7
53%8/15
3
40%6/15
45%5/11
4
45%5/11
55%6/11
5
45%5/11
29%2/7
6
45%5/11
50%5/10
All
54%35/65
52%38/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

179 rallies

Rally log

#N COLO-N MEXSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1N MEXN MEX×6Attack errGillian Waltonblk Addison France, Reagan Miller+2.4
20-2N MEXN MEX×6KillReagan Miller+2.4
30-3N MEXN MEX×6Attack errLeila Ballardblk Reagan Miller+2.4
40-4N MEXN MEX×6Attack errAlayna Tessenablk Uliana Yastrub, Reagan Miller+2.3
50-5N MEXN MEX×6AceN MEX serveraced Alayna Tessena+2.1
60-6N MEXN MEX×6KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.9
71-6N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.3
81-7N COLON MEXKillUliana Yastrubset Madeleine Miller+1.6
91-8N MEXN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.7
102-8N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.1
112-9N COLON MEXAttack errLeila Ballard+1.4
123-9N MEXN COLO×4KillGillian Waltonset Bella LePore+1.1
134-9N COLON COLO×4Attack errZoe Leonard+1.6
145-9N COLON COLO×4Attack errMina Stanojevicblk Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.9
156-9N COLON COLO×4AceN COLO serveraced Team+2.2
166-10N COLON MEXAttack errSummer Snead+2.1
176-11N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.3
187-11N MEXN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.6
198-11N COLON COLOAceN COLO serveraced Camila Canedo+2.3
208-12N COLON MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+2.2
218-13N MEXN MEXAttack errSummer Snead+2.4
229-13N MEXN COLOAttack errMadeleine Miller+1.6
239-14N COLON MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+2.0
2410-14N MEXN COLO×6Serve errN MEX server+1.6
2511-14N COLON COLO×6KillAlayna Tessenaset Bella LePore+2.3
2612-14N COLON COLO×6KillAlayna Tessenaset Leila Ballard+2.8
2713-14N COLON COLO×6KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.1
2814-14N COLON COLO×6KillMadeleine Millerset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.4
2915-14N COLON COLO×6Attack errMina Stanojevicblk Alayna Tessena, Maddie Rink+3.5
3015-15N COLON MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.9
3116-15N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.0
3216-16N COLON MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+3.1
3316-17N MEXN MEXAttack errLeila Ballardblk Addison France+4.1
3417-17N MEXN COLOKillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.2
3518-17N COLON COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+4.2
3618-18N COLON MEX×5KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+3.4
3718-19N MEXN MEX×5KillZoe Leonardset Madeleine Miller+4.6
3818-20N MEXN MEX×5Attack errLeila Ballardblk Zoe Leonard, Uliana Yastrub+4.7
3918-21N MEXN MEX×5AceN MEX serveraced Bella LePore+4.2
4018-22N MEXN MEX×5KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+3.2
4119-22N MEXN COLOKillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.6
4220-22N COLON COLOAttack errCamila Canedo+3.1
4320-23N COLON MEX×3Attack errSummer Snead+3.8
4420-24N MEXN MEX×3Attack errSummer Sneadblk Mina Stanojevic, Zoe Leonard+2.9
4520-25N MEXN MEX×3Attack errAlayna Tessena+1.0
Set 2
10-1N COLON MEXServe errN COLO server+2.1
20-2N MEXN MEXAttack errGillian Waltonblk Zoe Leonard, Addison France+2.6
31-2N MEXN COLOAttack errAddison France+2.0
41-3N COLON MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+2.2
52-3N MEXN COLO×5KillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.1
63-3N COLON COLO×5KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.7
74-3N COLON COLO×5KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.7
85-3N COLON COLO×5KillGillian Waltonset Bella LePore+2.6
96-3N COLON COLO×5Attack errZoe Leonardblk Maddie Rink+2.5
106-4N COLON MEX×3KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+1.9
116-5N MEXN MEX×3Attack errGillian Walton+2.6
126-6N MEXN MEX×3Attack errGillian Walton+2.8
137-6N MEXN COLO×3KillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.4
148-6N COLON COLO×3KillLeila Ballardset Maddie Rink+2.8
159-6N COLON COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Uliana Yastrub+2.7
169-7N COLON MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.0
1710-7N MEXN COLOServe errN MEX server+2.2
1810-8N COLON MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+2.1
1911-8N MEXN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Madeleine Miller+2.3
2011-9N COLON MEXKillMadeleine Miller+2.1
2112-9N MEXN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.4
2212-10N COLON MEXKillAddison Franceset Camila Canedo+2.2
2313-10N MEXN COLOAttack errUliana Yastrubblk Alayna Tessena, Summer Snead+2.4
2413-11N COLON MEXServe errN COLO server+2.2
2514-11N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.5
2615-11N COLON COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Madeleine Miller+2.7
2715-12N COLON MEXKillUliana Yastrubset Madeleine Miller+1.9
2816-12N MEXN COLO×3Attack errMina Stanojevic+2.3
2917-12N COLON COLO×3Attack errZoe Leonardblk Maddie Rink, Leila Ballard+2.2
3018-12N COLON COLO×3KillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.7
3118-13N COLON MEXServe errN COLO server+0.9
3219-13N MEXN COLO×4KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.3
3320-13N COLON COLO×4KillAlayna Tessenaset Leila Ballard+1.0
3421-13N COLON COLO×4Bad setMadeleine Miller+0.6
3522-13N COLON COLO×4Attack errAddison Franceblk Alayna Tessena, Maddie Rink+0.3
3622-14N COLON MEX×5KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+0.1
3722-15N MEXN MEX×5KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+0.2
3822-16N MEXN MEX×5AceN MEX serveraced Team+0.3
3922-17N MEXN MEX×5KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+0.6
4022-18N MEXN MEX×5KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.1
4123-18N MEXN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Leila Ballard+1.5
4223-19N COLON MEX×4KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.6
4323-20N MEXN MEX×4KillUliana Yastrubset Madeleine Miller+1.5
4423-21N MEXN MEX×4KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.8
4523-22N MEXN MEX×4KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+4.9
4624-22N MEXN COLOKillAddison Roarkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+6.2
4724-23N COLON MEXKillAddison Franceset Reagan Miller+3.8
4825-23N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+8.2
Set 3
10-1N MEXN MEXKillReagan Miller+3.2
21-1N MEXN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.6
32-1N COLON COLOAceN COLO serveraced Uliana Yastrub+3.2
42-2N COLON MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.6
53-2N MEXN COLOAttack errUliana Yastrub+2.6
63-3N COLON MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+2.7
74-3N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.7
84-4N COLON MEXKillUliana Yastrubset Madeleine Miller+2.7
95-4N MEXN COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.8
106-4N COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.3
116-5N COLON MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.6
127-5N MEXN COLO×4Bad setMadeleine Miller+2.8
138-5N COLON COLO×4KillAlayna Tessenaset Maddie Rink+3.2
149-5N COLON COLO×4KillAlayna Tessenaset Leila Ballard+2.9
1510-5N COLON COLO×4KillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Uliana Yastrub+2.6
1610-6N COLON MEXServe errN COLO server+1.8
1711-6N MEXN COLOAttack errAddison France+2.1
1811-7N COLON MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.8
1912-7N MEXN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.2
2013-7N COLON COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.2
2113-8N COLON MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.4
2213-9N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Camila Canedo+2.2
2314-9N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.2
2414-10N COLON MEXAttack errGillian Walton+1.8
2514-11N MEXN MEXServe errN MEX server+2.8
2615-11N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.7
2715-12N COLON MEXServe errN COLO server+2.3
2815-13N MEXN MEXAttack errLeila Ballard+3.5
2916-13N MEXN COLOKillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.3
3016-14N COLON MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+3.0
3116-15N MEXN MEXAttack errAlayna Tessenablk Madeleine Miller, Reagan Miller+4.4
3217-15N MEXN COLOServe errN MEX server+4.0
3317-16N COLON MEXKillMadeleine Millerset Reagan Miller+3.7
3417-17N MEXN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+5.3
3518-17N MEXN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+4.6
3619-17N COLON COLOAttack errMina Stanojevicblk Summer Snead, Alayna Tessena+5.5
3719-18N COLON MEX×3Attack errAlayna Tessenablk Reagan Miller, Madeleine Miller+4.1
3819-19N MEXN MEX×3KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+6.1
3919-20N MEXN MEX×3Attack errGillian Waltonblk Reagan Miller, Addison France+6.8
4020-20N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+5.4
4120-21N COLON MEX×5KillUliana Yastrubset Madeleine Miller+6.2
4220-22N MEXN MEX×5Attack errLeila Ballardblk Addison France, Campbell Hollister+7.6
4320-23N MEXN MEX×5KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+6.3
4420-24N MEXN MEX×5AceN MEX serveraced Alayna Tessena+3.9
4520-25N MEXN MEX×5Attack errGillian Waltonblk Uliana Yastrub+1.3
Set 4
11-0N COLON COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.3
21-1N COLON MEX×5Serve errN COLO server+2.7
31-2N MEXN MEX×5AceN MEX serveraced Alayna Tessena+3.5
41-3N MEXN MEX×5Attack errAlayna Tessena+3.5
51-4N MEXN MEX×5KillCampbell Hollisterset Alayna Tessena+3.5
61-5N MEXN MEX×5Attack errAlayna Tessenablk Addison France+3.3
72-5N MEXN COLOFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+2.5
82-6N COLON MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.8
93-6N MEXN COLO×3Attack errUliana Yastrub+2.5
104-6N COLON COLO×3Attack errAddison France+3.4
115-6N COLON COLO×3AceN COLO serveraced Camila Canedo+3.6
125-7N COLON MEXServe errN COLO server+3.2
136-7N MEXN COLOKillRiley Taylorset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.0
146-8N COLON MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+3.3
157-8N MEXN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.1
167-9N COLON MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+3.4
178-9N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.2
188-10N COLON MEXServe errN COLO server+3.5
199-10N MEXN COLO×3Serve errN MEX server+3.3
2010-10N COLON COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+4.2
2111-10N COLON COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+4.3
2211-11N COLON MEX×4KillUliana Yastrubset Madeleine Miller+3.6
2311-12N MEXN MEX×4KillAddison Franceset Mina Stanojevic+4.6
2411-13N MEXN MEX×4KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+4.7
2511-14N MEXN MEX×4AceN MEX serveraced Leila Ballard+4.5
2612-14N MEXN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.3
2712-15N COLON MEX×4Serve errN COLO server+3.8
2812-16N MEXN MEX×4KillCampbell Hollisterset Gillian Walton+4.2
2912-17N MEXN MEX×4KillCampbell Hollister+3.5
3012-18N MEXN MEX×4AceN MEX serveraced Leila Ballard+2.7
3113-18N MEXN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.5
3213-19N COLON MEX×3Serve errN COLO server+2.2
3313-20N MEXN MEX×3Attack errAlayna Tessena+1.7
3413-21N MEXN MEX×3Attack errAlayna Tessenablk Mina Stanojevic+1.0
3514-21N MEXN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.4
3614-22N COLON MEXAttack errSummer Snead+0.7
3715-22N MEXN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.3
3815-23N COLON MEXKillMadeleine Millerset Seenane Brewer+0.5
3915-24N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.2
4016-24N MEXN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.0
4116-25N COLON MEXServe errN COLO server+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Northern Colo. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.