New Mexico def. Northern Colo. 3–1
(25-20, 23-25, 25-20, 25-16)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4* | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N COLO | 20 | 25 | 20 | 16 | 1 |
| N MEX | 25 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
- * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 8.2% to Northern Colo. — set 2, N COLO 25-23 N MEX. Kill by Gillian Walton (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge). N MEX win probability 52% → 44%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Northern Colo. wins
New Mexico wins
- N COLO break %
- 45.8% vs this opp
- N MEX break %
- 44.2% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Gillian WaltonKill+8.2%
Kill by Gillian Walton (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)
Set 2 · N COLO 25-23 N MEX · N COLO 48% → 56%
- 02Leila BallardAttack error+7.6%
Leila Ballard stuffed by Addison France & Campbell Hollister
Set 3 · N COLO 20-22 N MEX · N MEX 52% → 60%
- 03Gillian WaltonAttack error+6.8%
Gillian Walton stuffed by Reagan Miller & Addison France
Set 3 · N COLO 19-20 N MEX · N MEX 45% → 51%
- 04Addison FranceKill+6.3%
Kill by Addison France (set by Madeleine Miller)
Set 3 · N COLO 20-23 N MEX · N MEX 60% → 66%
- 05Addison RoarkKill+6.2%
Kill by Addison Roark (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)
Set 2 · N COLO 24-22 N MEX · N COLO 45% → 52%
- 06Uliana YastrubKill+6.2%
Kill by Uliana Yastrub (set by Madeleine Miller)
Set 3 · N COLO 20-21 N MEX · N MEX 46% → 52%
- 07Reagan MillerKill+6.1%
Kill by Reagan Miller (set by Madeleine Miller)
Set 3 · N COLO 19-19 N MEX · N MEX 38% → 45%
- 08Mina StanojevicAttack error+5.5%
Mina Stanojevic stuffed by Summer Snead & Alayna Tessena
Set 3 · N COLO 19-17 N MEX · N COLO 60% → 66%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 33 | .273 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | |
| 4 | 11 | 8 | 45 | .067 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | |
| 4 | 9 | 0 | 20 | .450 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 6 | 29 | .034 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 21 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | .300 | 40 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 55 | 25 | 164 | .183 | 49 | 4 | 11 | 66 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 81 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 4 | 46 | .261 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 22 | |
| 4 | 15 | 0 | 22 | .682 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 18.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 34 | .147 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 16 | .188 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | .222 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -.222 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | .375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 53 | 16 | 147 | .252 | 47 | 7 | 4 | 67 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 98 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
20-25
Set 2
25-23
Set 3
20-25
Set 4*
16-25
Bars above the line = New Mexico leads, below = Northern Colo. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Northern Colo.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44%8/18 | 50%6/12 |
| 2 | 46%6/13 | 22%2/9 |
| 3 | 46%6/13 | 50%6/12 |
| 4 | 56%5/9 | 57%8/14 |
| 5 | 45%5/11 | 50%5/10 |
| 6 | 56%5/9 | 38%3/8 |
| All | 48%35/73 | 46%30/65 |
New Mexico
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 80%8/10 | 63%12/19 |
| 2 | 86%6/7 | 53%8/15 |
| 3 | 40%6/15 | 45%5/11 |
| 4 | 45%5/11 | 55%6/11 |
| 5 | 45%5/11 | 29%2/7 |
| 6 | 45%5/11 | 50%5/10 |
| All | 54%35/65 | 52%38/73 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
179 rallies
Rally log
| # | N COLO-N MEX | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | N MEX | N MEX×6 | Attack err | Gillian Walton | blk Addison France, Reagan Miller | +2.4 |
| 2 | 0-2 | N MEX | N MEX×6 | Kill | Reagan Miller | +2.4 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | N MEX | N MEX×6 | Attack err | Leila Ballard | blk Reagan Miller | +2.4 |
| 4 | 0-4 | N MEX | N MEX×6 | Attack err | Alayna Tessena | blk Uliana Yastrub, Reagan Miller | +2.3 |
| 5 | 0-5 | N MEX | N MEX×6 | Ace | N MEX server | aced Alayna Tessena | +2.1 |
| 6 | 0-6 | N MEX | N MEX×6 | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +1.9 |
| 7 | 1-6 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.3 |
| 8 | 1-7 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Uliana Yastrub | set Madeleine Miller | +1.6 |
| 9 | 1-8 | N MEX | N MEX | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +1.7 |
| 10 | 2-8 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.1 |
| 11 | 2-9 | N COLO | N MEX | Attack err | Leila Ballard | +1.4 | |
| 12 | 3-9 | N MEX | N COLO×4 | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Bella LePore | +1.1 |
| 13 | 4-9 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Attack err | Zoe Leonard | +1.6 | |
| 14 | 5-9 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Attack err | Mina Stanojevic | blk Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.9 |
| 15 | 6-9 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Ace | N COLO server | aced Team | +2.2 |
| 16 | 6-10 | N COLO | N MEX | Attack err | Summer Snead | +2.1 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | N MEX | N MEX | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +2.3 |
| 18 | 7-11 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.6 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | N COLO | N COLO | Ace | N COLO server | aced Camila Canedo | +2.3 |
| 20 | 8-12 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Madeleine Miller | +2.2 |
| 21 | 8-13 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Summer Snead | +2.4 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | N MEX | N COLO | Attack err | Madeleine Miller | +1.6 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +2.0 |
| 24 | 10-14 | N MEX | N COLO×6 | Serve err | N MEX server | +1.6 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Bella LePore | +2.3 |
| 26 | 12-14 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Leila Ballard | +2.8 |
| 27 | 13-14 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.1 |
| 28 | 14-14 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Kill | Madeleine Miller | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.4 |
| 29 | 15-14 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Attack err | Mina Stanojevic | blk Alayna Tessena, Maddie Rink | +3.5 |
| 30 | 15-15 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +2.9 |
| 31 | 16-15 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.0 |
| 32 | 16-16 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +3.1 |
| 33 | 16-17 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Leila Ballard | blk Addison France | +4.1 |
| 34 | 17-17 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.2 |
| 35 | 18-17 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +4.2 |
| 36 | 18-18 | N COLO | N MEX×5 | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +3.4 |
| 37 | 18-19 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Kill | Zoe Leonard | set Madeleine Miller | +4.6 |
| 38 | 18-20 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Attack err | Leila Ballard | blk Zoe Leonard, Uliana Yastrub | +4.7 |
| 39 | 18-21 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Ace | N MEX server | aced Bella LePore | +4.2 |
| 40 | 18-22 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Madeleine Miller | +3.2 |
| 41 | 19-22 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.6 |
| 42 | 20-22 | N COLO | N COLO | Attack err | Camila Canedo | +3.1 | |
| 43 | 20-23 | N COLO | N MEX×3 | Attack err | Summer Snead | +3.8 | |
| 44 | 20-24 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Attack err | Summer Snead | blk Mina Stanojevic, Zoe Leonard | +2.9 |
| 45 | 20-25 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Attack err | Alayna Tessena | +1.0 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | N COLO | N MEX | Serve err | N COLO server | +2.1 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Gillian Walton | blk Zoe Leonard, Addison France | +2.6 |
| 3 | 1-2 | N MEX | N COLO | Attack err | Addison France | +2.0 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Madeleine Miller | +2.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | N MEX | N COLO×5 | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.1 |
| 6 | 3-3 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.7 |
| 7 | 4-3 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.7 |
| 8 | 5-3 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Bella LePore | +2.6 |
| 9 | 6-3 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Attack err | Zoe Leonard | blk Maddie Rink | +2.5 |
| 10 | 6-4 | N COLO | N MEX×3 | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Madeleine Miller | +1.9 |
| 11 | 6-5 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Attack err | Gillian Walton | +2.6 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Attack err | Gillian Walton | +2.8 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | N MEX | N COLO×3 | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.4 |
| 14 | 8-6 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Maddie Rink | +2.8 |
| 15 | 9-6 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Uliana Yastrub | +2.7 |
| 16 | 9-7 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +2.0 |
| 17 | 10-7 | N MEX | N COLO | Serve err | N MEX server | +2.2 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Madeleine Miller | +2.1 |
| 19 | 11-8 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | set Madeleine Miller | +2.3 |
| 20 | 11-9 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Madeleine Miller | +2.1 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.4 |
| 22 | 12-10 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Addison France | set Camila Canedo | +2.2 |
| 23 | 13-10 | N MEX | N COLO | Attack err | Uliana Yastrub | blk Alayna Tessena, Summer Snead | +2.4 |
| 24 | 13-11 | N COLO | N MEX | Serve err | N COLO server | +2.2 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.5 |
| 26 | 15-11 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Madeleine Miller | +2.7 |
| 27 | 15-12 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Uliana Yastrub | set Madeleine Miller | +1.9 |
| 28 | 16-12 | N MEX | N COLO×3 | Attack err | Mina Stanojevic | +2.3 | |
| 29 | 17-12 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Attack err | Zoe Leonard | blk Maddie Rink, Leila Ballard | +2.2 |
| 30 | 18-12 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.7 |
| 31 | 18-13 | N COLO | N MEX | Serve err | N COLO server | +0.9 | |
| 32 | 19-13 | N MEX | N COLO×4 | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.3 |
| 33 | 20-13 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Leila Ballard | +1.0 |
| 34 | 21-13 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Bad set | Madeleine Miller | +0.6 | |
| 35 | 22-13 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Attack err | Addison France | blk Alayna Tessena, Maddie Rink | +0.3 |
| 36 | 22-14 | N COLO | N MEX×5 | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +0.1 |
| 37 | 22-15 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +0.2 |
| 38 | 22-16 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Ace | N MEX server | aced Team | +0.3 |
| 39 | 22-17 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +0.6 |
| 40 | 22-18 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +1.1 |
| 41 | 23-18 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Leila Ballard | +1.5 |
| 42 | 23-19 | N COLO | N MEX×4 | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +0.6 |
| 43 | 23-20 | N MEX | N MEX×4 | Kill | Uliana Yastrub | set Madeleine Miller | +1.5 |
| 44 | 23-21 | N MEX | N MEX×4 | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +2.8 |
| 45 | 23-22 | N MEX | N MEX×4 | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +4.9 |
| 46 | 24-22 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Addison Roark | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +6.2 |
| 47 | 24-23 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Addison France | set Reagan Miller | +3.8 |
| 48 | 25-23 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +8.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | N MEX | N MEX | Kill | Reagan Miller | +3.2 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | N COLO | N COLO | Ace | N COLO server | aced Uliana Yastrub | +3.2 |
| 4 | 2-2 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +2.6 |
| 5 | 3-2 | N MEX | N COLO | Attack err | Uliana Yastrub | +2.6 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Madeleine Miller | +2.7 |
| 7 | 4-3 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.7 |
| 8 | 4-4 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Uliana Yastrub | set Madeleine Miller | +2.7 |
| 9 | 5-4 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.8 |
| 10 | 6-4 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.3 |
| 11 | 6-5 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +2.6 |
| 12 | 7-5 | N MEX | N COLO×4 | Bad set | Madeleine Miller | +2.8 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Maddie Rink | +3.2 |
| 14 | 9-5 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Leila Ballard | +2.9 |
| 15 | 10-5 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Kill | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | set Uliana Yastrub | +2.6 |
| 16 | 10-6 | N COLO | N MEX | Serve err | N COLO server | +1.8 | |
| 17 | 11-6 | N MEX | N COLO | Attack err | Addison France | +2.1 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +1.8 |
| 19 | 12-7 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.2 |
| 20 | 13-7 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.2 |
| 21 | 13-8 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +1.4 |
| 22 | 13-9 | N MEX | N MEX | Kill | Addison France | set Camila Canedo | +2.2 |
| 23 | 14-9 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.2 |
| 24 | 14-10 | N COLO | N MEX | Attack err | Gillian Walton | +1.8 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | N MEX | N MEX | Serve err | N MEX server | +2.8 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.7 |
| 27 | 15-12 | N COLO | N MEX | Serve err | N COLO server | +2.3 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Leila Ballard | +3.5 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.3 |
| 30 | 16-14 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +3.0 |
| 31 | 16-15 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Alayna Tessena | blk Madeleine Miller, Reagan Miller | +4.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | N MEX | N COLO | Serve err | N MEX server | +4.0 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Madeleine Miller | set Reagan Miller | +3.7 |
| 34 | 17-17 | N MEX | N MEX | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +5.3 |
| 35 | 18-17 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +4.6 |
| 36 | 19-17 | N COLO | N COLO | Attack err | Mina Stanojevic | blk Summer Snead, Alayna Tessena | +5.5 |
| 37 | 19-18 | N COLO | N MEX×3 | Attack err | Alayna Tessena | blk Reagan Miller, Madeleine Miller | +4.1 |
| 38 | 19-19 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +6.1 |
| 39 | 19-20 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Attack err | Gillian Walton | blk Reagan Miller, Addison France | +6.8 |
| 40 | 20-20 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +5.4 |
| 41 | 20-21 | N COLO | N MEX×5 | Kill | Uliana Yastrub | set Madeleine Miller | +6.2 |
| 42 | 20-22 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Attack err | Leila Ballard | blk Addison France, Campbell Hollister | +7.6 |
| 43 | 20-23 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +6.3 |
| 44 | 20-24 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Ace | N MEX server | aced Alayna Tessena | +3.9 |
| 45 | 20-25 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Attack err | Gillian Walton | blk Uliana Yastrub | +1.3 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | N COLO | N MEX×5 | Serve err | N COLO server | +2.7 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Ace | N MEX server | aced Alayna Tessena | +3.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Attack err | Alayna Tessena | +3.5 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Kill | Campbell Hollister | set Alayna Tessena | +3.5 |
| 6 | 1-5 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Attack err | Alayna Tessena | blk Addison France | +3.3 |
| 7 | 2-5 | N MEX | N COLO | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.5 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +2.8 |
| 9 | 3-6 | N MEX | N COLO×3 | Attack err | Uliana Yastrub | +2.5 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Attack err | Addison France | +3.4 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Ace | N COLO server | aced Camila Canedo | +3.6 |
| 12 | 5-7 | N COLO | N MEX | Serve err | N COLO server | +3.2 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Riley Taylor | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.0 |
| 14 | 6-8 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Madeleine Miller | +3.3 |
| 15 | 7-8 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.1 |
| 16 | 7-9 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Madeleine Miller | +3.4 |
| 17 | 8-9 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.2 |
| 18 | 8-10 | N COLO | N MEX | Serve err | N COLO server | +3.5 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | N MEX | N COLO×3 | Serve err | N MEX server | +3.3 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +4.2 |
| 21 | 11-10 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +4.3 |
| 22 | 11-11 | N COLO | N MEX×4 | Kill | Uliana Yastrub | set Madeleine Miller | +3.6 |
| 23 | 11-12 | N MEX | N MEX×4 | Kill | Addison France | set Mina Stanojevic | +4.6 |
| 24 | 11-13 | N MEX | N MEX×4 | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Madeleine Miller | +4.7 |
| 25 | 11-14 | N MEX | N MEX×4 | Ace | N MEX server | aced Leila Ballard | +4.5 |
| 26 | 12-14 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.3 |
| 27 | 12-15 | N COLO | N MEX×4 | Serve err | N COLO server | +3.8 | |
| 28 | 12-16 | N MEX | N MEX×4 | Kill | Campbell Hollister | set Gillian Walton | +4.2 |
| 29 | 12-17 | N MEX | N MEX×4 | Kill | Campbell Hollister | +3.5 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | N MEX | N MEX×4 | Ace | N MEX server | aced Leila Ballard | +2.7 |
| 31 | 13-18 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.5 |
| 32 | 13-19 | N COLO | N MEX×3 | Serve err | N COLO server | +2.2 | |
| 33 | 13-20 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Attack err | Alayna Tessena | +1.7 | |
| 34 | 13-21 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Attack err | Alayna Tessena | blk Mina Stanojevic | +1.0 |
| 35 | 14-21 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.4 |
| 36 | 14-22 | N COLO | N MEX | Attack err | Summer Snead | +0.7 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.3 |
| 38 | 15-23 | N COLO | N MEX | Kill | Madeleine Miller | set Seenane Brewer | +0.5 |
| 39 | 15-24 | N MEX | N MEX | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +0.2 |
| 40 | 16-24 | N MEX | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.0 |
| 41 | 16-25 | N COLO | N MEX | Serve err | N COLO server | +0.1 | |
Score shown after each rally, Northern Colo. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.