Final · 5 setsSun, Sep 6, 2026

Colorado def. Northern Colo. 3–2

Colorado beat visiting Northern Colo. 3-2 (15-25, 25-20, 16-25, 25-9, 15-6) on Sun, Sep 6, 2026. Colorado's Ana Burilovic led with 17 kills, and Tinons Munar Galmes added 11 digs.

Data through · final Sep 6

Set12345Sets
N COLO252025962
COLO15251625153

Win probability

Colorado above 50 · Northern Colo. below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+6.0% N COLOrally 181 · set 5

Biggest swing: 6.0% to Northern Colo. — set 5, N COLO 2-3 COLO. Attack error by Ana Burilovic. COLO win probability 85% → 79%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

N COLO 8.6%91.4% COLO

Northern Colo. wins

3-0
1.1%
3-1
2.6%
3-2
4.9%

Colorado wins

3-0
47.0%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
13.0%
N COLO break %
38.6% vs this opp
COLO break %
49.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ana BurilovicAttack error+6.0%

    Attack error by Ana Burilovic

    Set 5 · N COLO 2-3 COLO · N COLO 15% → 21%

  2. 02
    ColoradoAce+5.7%

    Colorado ace

    Set 5 · N COLO 0-2 COLO · COLO 78% → 84%

  3. 03
    ColoradoService error+5.2%

    Colorado service error

    Set 5 · N COLO 2-5 COLO · COLO 84% → 89%

  4. 04
    Ana BurilovicKill+4.9%

    Kill by Ana Burilovic

    Set 5 · N COLO 0-1 COLO · COLO 73% → 78%

  5. 05
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+4.8%

    Point Colorado (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 5 · N COLO 0-3 COLO · COLO 84% → 89%

  6. 06
    Northern Colo.Service error+4.7%

    Northern Colo. service error

    Set 5 · N COLO 2-4 COLO · COLO 79% → 84%

  7. 07
    Ana BurilovicKill+4.0%

    Kill by Ana Burilovic

    Set 5 · N COLO 2-6 COLO · COLO 89% → 93%

  8. 08
    Cayla PayneAttack error+3.8%

    Attack error by Cayla Payne

    Set 4 · N COLO 4-4 COLO · N COLO 41% → 44%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512526.2690237100014
511627.1851002104213
56215.26700000174.510.5
59625.12030041010.59.5
58520.15000010010.58.5
55210.300351390132.58.5
5000–5111010001
5000–101710000
2012-.500000000000
2000–001100000
Team totals5127125.192454941102161085
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517941.19513070031.521.5
59519.21100000052.511.5
55217.17600020052.57.5
5205.40000010094.56.5
5219.111391050052.55.5
3128-.12500140010.51.5
514422.4550523000019
5000–111300001
5000–001100000
5000–1001110000
4000–100210000
1000–000000000
14Nikki OttL/DS
1000–000000000
Team totals5023121.223431053940281496

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 N COLO · COLO 8

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 6 N COLOCOLO 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 N COLOCOLO 5

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 4 N COLOCOLO 3

Set 4

9-25

Longest run 2 N COLOCOLO 8

Set 5

6-15

Longest run 2 N COLOCOLO 4

Bars above the line = Colorado leads, below = Northern Colo. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northern Colo.

No clean sets to split.

Colorado

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#N COLO-COLOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
1–21-1N COLO · COLO
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
32-1N COLON COLO×6Attack errAna Burilovic+1.1
43-1N COLON COLO×6KillLeila Ballard+1.2
54-1N COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
65-1N COLON COLO×6KillGillian Waltonset Bella LePore+1.4
76-1N COLON COLO×6Attack errSydney Jordan+1.5
86-2N COLOCOLO×4KillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+0.9
96-3COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
106-4COLOCOLO×4Attack errSummer Snead+1.2
116-5COLOCOLO×4Attack errNerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.2
127-5COLON COLO×3KillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.1
13–149-5N COLO 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.1
159-6N COLOCOLOAttack errLeila Ballard+1.0
169-7COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.4
1710-7COLON COLO×3KillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.3
1811-7N COLON COLO×3Attack errAna Burilovic+1.7
1912-7N COLON COLO×3Attack errAna Burilovic+1.7
2012-8N COLOCOLOKillJenna Ylivainioset Avery Bolles+1.0
2113-8COLON COLO×4KillMaddie Rink+1.4
2214-8N COLON COLO×4KillAlayna Tessena+1.6
2315-8N COLON COLO×4BlockedSydney Jordanblk Maddie Rink, Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.4
2416-8N COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
2516-9N COLOCOLOKillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+0.5
2617-9COLON COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.9
2717-10N COLOCOLOKillMaria Splawska+0.5
28–2918-11N COLO · COLO
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
3019-11N COLON COLO×4KillAlayna Tessenaset Bella LePore+0.9
3120-11N COLON COLO×4Attack errLily Dwinell+0.6
3221-11N COLON COLO×4AceNorthern Colo.+0.3
3321-12N COLOCOLO×4Serve errNorthern Colo.+0.1
3421-13COLOCOLO×4AceColorado+0.2
3521-14COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
3621-15COLOCOLO×4AceColorado+0.5
3722-15N COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
3823-15N COLON COLO×4KillSummer Snead+0.4
3924-15N COLON COLO×4AceNorthern Colo.aced Tinons Munar Galmes+0.1
4025-15N COLON COLO×4KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge·
Set 2
10-1N COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+1.4
20-2COLOCOLOAttack errSummer Snead+1.6
31-2N COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.4
41-3N COLOCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+1.3
51-4COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovic+1.5
62-4N COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
73-4N COLON COLOBlockedAna Burilovicblk Maddie Rink, Gillian Walton+1.8
83-5N COLOCOLO×5Serve errNorthern Colo.+1.4
9–103-7COLO 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.8
113-8COLOCOLO×5KillJenna Ylivainio+1.0
12–134-9N COLO · COLO
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
144-10N COLOCOLOKillInes Losadaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.6
155-10COLON COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.6
166-10N COLON COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Jasmine Ogren+1.0
176-11N COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.8
187-11COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.8
197-12N COLOCOLO×3Serve errNorthern Colo.+0.8
20–228-14N COLO · COLO 2
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.0
238-15N COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.4
249-15COLON COLO×4KillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.3
2510-15N COLON COLO×4AceNorthern Colo.aced Peyton Neal+0.7
2611-15N COLON COLO×4KillSummer Snead+1.0
2712-15N COLON COLO×4KillLeila Ballard+1.4
2812-16N COLOCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+1.3
2913-16COLON COLOKillLeila Ballard+1.2
3013-17N COLOCOLOAttack errLeila Ballard+1.3
3114-17N COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
3214-18N COLOCOLOKillInes Losadaset Ana Burilovic+1.4
3315-18COLON COLOKillLeila Ballardset Bella LePore+1.2
3415-19N COLOCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+1.4
3515-20COLOCOLOBlockedAlayna Tessenablk Maria Splawska, Lily Dwinell+1.2
3616-20COLON COLOBlockedInes Losadablk Maddie Rink, Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.7
3716-21N COLOCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+0.9
3816-22COLOCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+0.6
3917-22COLON COLOServe errColorado+0.2
40–4118-23N COLO · COLO
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
4219-23N COLON COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.4
4319-24N COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.6
4420-24COLON COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.2
4520-25N COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.3
Set 3
11-0COLON COLOServe errColorado+1.6
21-1N COLOCOLOServe errNorthern Colo.+1.4
32-1COLON COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.6
43-1N COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
54-1N COLON COLO×3AceNorthern Colo.+2.6
64-2N COLOCOLOServe errNorthern Colo.+1.7
75-2COLON COLOServe errColorado+2.1
86-2N COLON COLOBlockedJenna Ylivainioblk Maddie Rink+2.8
96-3N COLOCOLO×3KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+1.8
106-4COLOCOLO×3KillCayla Payne+2.4
116-5COLOCOLO×3AceColoradoaced Leila Ballard+2.3
127-5COLON COLO×4KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.1
138-5N COLON COLO×4Attack errCayla Payne+2.9
149-5N COLON COLO×4Attack errInes Losada+3.1
1510-5N COLON COLO×4Attack errCayla Payne+3.1
1610-6N COLOCOLO×3KillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+1.9
1710-7COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.6
1810-8COLOCOLO×3KillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.7
1911-8COLON COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Leila Ballard+2.6
20–2112-9N COLO · COLO
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
2213-9N COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.5
2313-10N COLOCOLOKillLily Dwinell+2.1
2414-10COLON COLO×4KillAlayna Tessena+2.9
2515-10N COLON COLO×4Serve errNorthern Colo.+3.5
2616-10N COLON COLO×4KillLeila Ballard+3.1
2717-10N COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.6
2817-11N COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+1.2
2918-11COLON COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.0
3019-11N COLON COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.8
3119-12N COLOCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+0.7
3219-13COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovic+1.3
3320-13N COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.8
3421-13N COLON COLOAttack errAna Burilovic+1.4
3521-14N COLOCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+0.4
3622-14COLON COLOAttack errAna Burilovic+0.9
3722-15COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
3823-15COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.6
3924-15N COLON COLOAttack errInes Losada+0.3
4024-16N COLOCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio·
4125-16COLON COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.9
Set 4
11-0COLON COLOServe errColorado+3.1
21-1N COLOCOLOServe errNorthern Colo.+2.8
31-2COLOCOLOAttack errSummer Snead+3.3
42-2COLON COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.8
52-3N COLOCOLOAttack errNerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.6
62-4COLOCOLOAceColoradoaced Alayna Tessena+3.0
73-4N COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.5
84-4N COLON COLOAttack errCayla Payne+3.8
94-5N COLOCOLO×7KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.8
104-6COLOCOLO×7KillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+3.3
114-7COLOCOLO×7KillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.8
124-8COLOCOLO×7Attack errMaddie Rink+2.3
134-9COLOCOLO×7KillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+1.8
144-10COLOCOLO×7AceColoradoaced Gillian Walton+1.4
15–165-11N COLO · COLO
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
175-12N COLOCOLOBlockedLeila Ballardblk Jenna Ylivainio, Maria Splawska+0.8
185-13COLOCOLOAttack errNerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.7
196-13COLON COLOServe errColorado+0.4
206-14COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
216-15COLOCOLOAceColoradoaced Jasmine Ogren+0.4
227-15COLON COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.2
237-16N COLOCOLO×8KillInes Losada+0.3
247-17COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
257-18COLOCOLO×8Serve errColorado+0.1
26–287-21COLO 3
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
297-22COLOCOLO×8AceColorado·
307-23COLOCOLO×8KillAna Burilovic·
318-23COLON COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorge·
328-24COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
339-24COLON COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge·
349-25N COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.8
Set 5
10-1N COLOCOLO×3KillAna Burilovic+4.9
20-2COLOCOLO×3AceColorado+5.7
3–41-3N COLO · COLO
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
52-3N COLON COLOAttack errAna Burilovic+6.0
62-4N COLOCOLO×4Serve errNorthern Colo.+4.7
72-5COLOCOLO×4Serve errColorado+5.2
82-6COLOCOLO×4KillAna Burilovic+4.0
92-7COLOCOLO×4Attack errAna Burilovic+2.9
103-7COLON COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.8
113-8N COLOCOLO×3KillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+2.2
12–144-10N COLO · COLO 2
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.4
154-11N COLOCOLO×3AceNorthern Colo.aced Bella LePore+0.7
164-12COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
174-13COLOCOLO×3KillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+0.1
185-13COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge·
196-13N COLON COLOBlockedInes Losadablk Maddie Rink, Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.1
206-14N COLOCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+0.1
216-15COLOCOLOAttack errMaddie Rink·

Score shown after each rally, Northern Colo. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).