Bradley vs Illinois State: Illinois State Wins 3-0 (Oct 6)

FinalTue, Oct 6, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Illinois St. 58.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 6, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Illinois St. beat visiting Bradley 3-0 (25-22, 25-8, 25-20) on Tue, Oct 6, 2026. Illinois St.'s Oliwia Caputa led with 13 kills, and Samantha Bunch added 20 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:50 PM CT · final Oct 6

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BRAD	22	8	20	0
ILL ST	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Bradley hit .076. Illinois St. held them there all match.

Win probability never moved more than 7.7 points on one rally; Bradley topped out at 53% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Illinois St. at 58%.

BradleyIllinois St.

Break %+20.8 pts
37.358.1
43 of 74 on serve vs 19 of 51, so Bradley's sideout was 41.9%.
Hitting+.180
.076.256
44 K / 14 E against 22 K / 14 E.
Longest run+7
411
Illinois St. opened the set in the second set with 11 straight points for an 11–0 lead. That set ended 25–8.

Illinois St. above 50Bradley belowMax swing 7.7%

BradleyIllinois St.

Aces: Bradley 1·Illinois St. 7
Serve err: Bradley 6·Illinois St. 13
Blocks: Bradley 5·Illinois St. 40 BS · 10 BA vs 1 BS · 6 BA
Digs: Bradley 51·Illinois St. 58

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Illinois St. above 50 · Bradley below

Biggest swing: 7.7% to Illinois St. — set 1, BRAD 22-23 ILL ST. Kill by Oliwia Caputa (set by Ella Craggs). ILL ST win probability 57% → 64%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BRAD 32.9%67.1% ILL ST

Bradley wins

3-0

6.5%

3-1

11.7%

3-2

14.7%

Illinois St. wins

3-0

21.3%

3-1

25.7%

3-2

20.0%

BRAD break %: 40.5% vs this opp
ILL ST break %: 43.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Oliwia CaputaKill+7.7%
Kill by Oliwia Caputa (set by Ella Craggs)
Set 1 · BRAD 22-23 ILL ST · ILL ST 57% → 64%
02
Abby ReckKill+7.1%
Kill by Abby Reck
Set 1 · BRAD 22-24 ILL ST · ILL ST 64% → 72%
03
Ella CraggsKill+6.4%
Kill by Ella Craggs (set by Maria Drapp)
Set 1 · BRAD 22-22 ILL ST · ILL ST 50% → 57%
04
Cherlin AntonioKill+5.3%
Kill by Cherlin Antonio (set by Maria Drapp)
Set 1 · BRAD 21-19 ILL ST · BRAD 47% → 52%
05
Gracie Furlong&Adeline GoedheerBlock+4.9%
Ruth Ziegler stuffed by Gracie Furlong & Adeline Goedheer
Set 1 · BRAD 19-18 ILL ST · BRAD 41% → 46%
06
Gracie FurlongAttack error+4.4%
Attack error by Gracie Furlong
Set 1 · BRAD 17-18 ILL ST · ILL ST 57% → 62%
07
Cherlin Antonio&Adeline GoedheerBlock+4.3%
Oliwia Caputa stuffed by Cherlin Antonio & Adeline Goedheer
Set 1 · BRAD 22-20 ILL ST · BRAD 49% → 53%
08
Oliwia CaputaKill+4.2%
Kill by Oliwia Caputa (set by Ella Craggs)
Set 1 · BRAD 17-17 ILL ST · ILL ST 53% → 57%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Bradleyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Gracie FurlongOH	3	10	6	36	.111	1	1	1	9	1	1	0.5	11.5
13Adeline GoedheerMB	3	3	0	8	.375	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
12Maria DrappS	3	3	1	6	.333	13	0	2	9	0	1	0.5	3.5
9Ava PatchettL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	10	1	0	0	0
6Megan DePoorterL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0
5Chloe ParkerMB	2	2	1	7	.143	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	2
23Cherlin AntonioOH	3	3	3	20	.000	0	0	0	2	2	3	1.5	4.5
7Eirini BitsaktsiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	10	1	0	0	0
8Maren OuelletteOH	2	1	2	16	-.063	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1
4Mairen MannonMB	2	0	0	7	.000	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	1
17Trixie CarrollOH	2	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
1Hayden BoothS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		22	14	105	.076	20	1	6	51	7	10	5	50

Illinois St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Oliwia CaputaOH	3	13	4	30	.300	0	2	3	6	0	1	1	1.5	16.5
11Jillian GregoryOH	3	9	2	22	.318	0	1	3	6	0	0	0	0	10
18Ayla KlingenbergMB	3	7	1	12	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
16Abby ReckOH	3	6	2	17	.235	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	6
1Ruth ZieglerOPP	3	3	4	14	-.071	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
9Ella CraggsS	3	1	0	2	.500	21	1	2	9	0	0	0	0	2
14Jillian FerrillOH	3	5	1	20	.200	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
3Ella KohnenS	3	0	0	0	–	11	2	2	9	0	0	0	0	2
17Peyton TurnerDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0
5Samantha BunchL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	2	20	0	0	0	0	0
4Madison SmithL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		44	14	117	.256	38	7	13	58	1	1	6	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Bradley vs Illinois St.

Season series · Illinois St. leads 1-0

Tue, Oct 6, 2026Bradley at Illinois St. · Illinois St. won 3-0This match
Tue, Nov 3, 2026Illinois St. at BradleyPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 BRAD · ILL ST 11

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 2 BRADILL ST 5

Set 2

8-25

Longest run 3 BRADILL ST 11

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 BRADILL ST 4

Bars above the line = Illinois St. leads, below = Bradley leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Bradley

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	29%6/21	43%3/7
2	55%6/11	40%4/10
3	50%6/12	33%3/9
4	31%5/16	25%2/8
5	56%5/9	29%2/7
6	60%3/5	50%5/10
All	42%31/74	37%19/51

Illinois St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%6/8	50%5/10
2	55%6/11	70%14/20
3	86%6/7	50%6/12
4	63%5/8	58%7/12
5	50%5/10	58%7/12
6	57%4/7	50%4/8
All	63%32/51	58%43/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#	BRAD-ILL ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ILL ST	BRAD	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+1.8
2	1-1	BRAD	ILL ST	Serve err	Bradley		+1.8
3	2-1	ILL ST	BRAD	Attack err	Ruth Ziegler		+1.9
4	2-2	BRAD	ILL ST	Kill	Ayla Klingenberg	set Ella Craggs	+1.8
5	2-3	ILL ST	ILL ST	Blocked	Cherlin Antonio	blk Oliwia Caputa	+2.5
6	3-3	ILL ST	BRAD	Kill	Maria Drapp		+1.9
7	3-4	BRAD	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Ella Craggs	+1.9
8	4-4	ILL ST	BRAD	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+1.9
9	5-4	BRAD	BRAD	Attack err	Jillian Ferrill		+2.7
10	5-5	BRAD	ILL ST	Kill	Oliwia Caputa	set Jillian Ferrill	+2.0
11	6-5	ILL ST	BRAD	Serve err	Illinois St.		+2.1
12	7-5	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+2.8
13	7-6	BRAD	ILL ST	Serve err	Bradley		+2.0
14	8-6	ILL ST	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Chloe Parker	+2.1
15	8-7	BRAD	ILL ST	Serve err	Bradley		+2.0
16	8-8	ILL ST	ILL ST	Ace	Illinois St.	aced Gracie Furlong	+2.9
17	9-8	ILL ST	BRAD	Serve err	Illinois St.		+2.2
18	9-9	BRAD	ILL ST	Kill	Ayla Klingenberg	set Ella Craggs	+2.2
19	9-10	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Oliwia Caputa		+3.0
20	10-10	ILL ST	BRAD	Serve err	Illinois St.		+2.2
21	11-10	BRAD	BRAD	Attack err	Ruth Ziegler		+3.2
22	11-11	BRAD	ILL ST	Serve err	Bradley		+2.3
23	11-12	ILL ST	ILL ST	Bad set	Maria Drapp		+3.3
24	12-12	ILL ST	BRAD	Kill	Cherlin Antonio	set Maria Drapp	+2.4
25	12-13	BRAD	ILL ST	Kill	Oliwia Caputa	set Ella Craggs	+2.5
26	13-13	ILL ST	BRAD	Serve err	Illinois St.		+2.5
27	13-14	BRAD	ILL ST	Attack err	Gracie Furlong		+2.6
28	14-14	ILL ST	BRAD	Serve err	Illinois St.		+2.6
29	15-14	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+3.8
30	15-15	BRAD	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Samantha Bunch	+2.7
31	16-15	ILL ST	BRAD	Serve err	Illinois St.		+3.0
32	17-15	BRAD	BRAD	Blocked	Jillian Gregory	blk Maria Drapp, Adeline Goedheer	+4.1
33	17-16	BRAD	ILL ST×3	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Ella Kohnen	+2.7
34	17-17	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Kill	Oliwia Caputa	set Ella Craggs	+4.2
35	17-18	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Attack err	Gracie Furlong		+4.4
36	18-18	ILL ST	BRAD	Serve err	Illinois St.		+3.2
37	19-18	BRAD	BRAD	Blocked	Ruth Ziegler	blk Gracie Furlong, Adeline Goedheer	+4.9
38	19-19	BRAD	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Ruth Ziegler	+3.5
39	20-19	ILL ST	BRAD	Serve err	Illinois St.		+3.9
40	21-19	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Cherlin Antonio	set Maria Drapp	+5.3
41	21-20	BRAD	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Ella Craggs	+3.2
42	22-20	ILL ST	BRAD	Blocked	Oliwia Caputa	blk Cherlin Antonio, Adeline Goedheer	+4.3
43	22-21	BRAD	ILL ST×5	Kill	Abby Reck	set Ella Craggs	+3.4
44	22-22	ILL ST	ILL ST×5	Kill	Ella Craggs	set Maria Drapp	+6.4
45	22-23	ILL ST	ILL ST×5	Kill	Oliwia Caputa	set Ella Craggs	+7.7
46	22-24	ILL ST	ILL ST×5	Kill	Abby Reck		+7.1
47	22-25	ILL ST	ILL ST×5	Attack err	Trixie Carroll		+3.9
Set 2
1	0-1	BRAD	ILL ST×11	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Ella Craggs	+1.6
2	0-2	ILL ST	ILL ST×11	Blocked	Gracie Furlong	blk Oliwia Caputa, Ayla Klingenberg	+2.2
3	0-3	ILL ST	ILL ST×11	Kill	Oliwia Caputa	set Samantha Bunch	+2.1
4	0-4	ILL ST	ILL ST×11	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Ella Craggs	+1.9
5	0-5	ILL ST	ILL ST×11	Attack err	Cherlin Antonio		+1.7
6	0-6	ILL ST	ILL ST×11	Blocked	Gracie Furlong	blk Ayla Klingenberg, Ruth Ziegler	+1.4
7	0-7	ILL ST	ILL ST×11	Attack err	Gracie Furlong		+1.2
8	0-8	ILL ST	ILL ST×11	Kill	Ayla Klingenberg	set Ella Craggs	+0.9
9	0-9	ILL ST	ILL ST×11	Bad set	Maria Drapp		+0.7
10	0-10	ILL ST	ILL ST×11	Kill	Oliwia Caputa	set Ella Craggs	+0.5
11	0-11	ILL ST	ILL ST×11	Bad set	Maria Drapp		+0.4
12	1-11	ILL ST	BRAD×3	Serve err	Illinois St.		+0.2
13	2-11	BRAD	BRAD×3	Attack err	Ruth Ziegler		+0.3
14	3-11	BRAD	BRAD×3	Blocked	Oliwia Caputa	blk Cherlin Antonio, Mairen Mannon	+0.5
15	3-12	BRAD	ILL ST	Kill	Oliwia Caputa	set Hayden Booth	+0.5
16	3-13	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Oliwia Caputa	set Ella Craggs	+0.4
17	4-13	ILL ST	BRAD	Serve err	Illinois St.		+0.2
18	4-14	BRAD	ILL ST	Kill	Abby Reck	set Ella Craggs	+0.3
19	4-15	ILL ST	ILL ST	Ace	Illinois St.	aced Cherlin Antonio	+0.2
20	5-15	ILL ST	BRAD	Attack err	Oliwia Caputa		+0.1
21	6-15	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Maria Drapp	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+0.2
22	6-16	BRAD	ILL ST×6	Kill	Oliwia Caputa	set Ella Kohnen	+0.2
23	6-17	ILL ST	ILL ST×6	Ace	Illinois St.	aced Ava Patchett	+0.2
24	6-18	ILL ST	ILL ST×6	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Ella Kohnen	+0.1
25	6-19	ILL ST	ILL ST×6	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Ella Kohnen	·
26	6-20	ILL ST	ILL ST×6	Ace	Illinois St.	aced Eirini Bitsaktsi	·
27	6-21	ILL ST	ILL ST×6	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Ella Kohnen	·
28	7-21	ILL ST	BRAD	Serve err	Illinois St.		·
29	7-22	BRAD	ILL ST×3	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Ella Kohnen	·
30	7-23	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Ace	Illinois St.		·
31	7-24	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Attack err	Chloe Parker		·
32	8-24	ILL ST	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	·
33	8-25	BRAD	ILL ST	Serve err	Bradley		·
Set 3
1	1-0	ILL ST	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.0
2	2-0	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.4
3	2-1	BRAD	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Ella Craggs	+1.0
4	2-2	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Ayla Klingenberg	set Ella Craggs	+1.4
5	3-2	ILL ST	BRAD	Kill	Cherlin Antonio	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+1.1
6	4-2	BRAD	BRAD	Ace	Gracie Furlong	aced Peyton Turner	+1.5
7	4-3	BRAD	ILL ST×4	Kill	Ayla Klingenberg	set Ella Craggs	+1.0
8	4-4	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Attack err	Maren Ouellette		+1.5
9	4-5	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Kill	Ruth Ziegler		+1.5
10	4-6	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Attack err	Cherlin Antonio		+1.4
11	5-6	ILL ST	BRAD	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+1.0
12	6-6	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Maren Ouellette	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+1.5
13	6-7	BRAD	ILL ST×3	Kill	Abby Reck	set Ella Craggs	+1.1
14	6-8	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Ella Kohnen	+1.5
15	6-9	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Ace	Illinois St.	aced Maren Ouellette	+1.4
16	7-9	ILL ST	BRAD	Serve err	Illinois St.		+1.0
17	8-9	BRAD	BRAD	Attack err	Abby Reck		+1.5
18	8-10	BRAD	ILL ST	Bad set	Maria Drapp		+1.2
19	8-11	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Samantha Bunch	+1.5
20	9-11	ILL ST	BRAD	Attack err	Abby Reck		+1.0
21	9-12	BRAD	ILL ST	Kill	Abby Reck	set Ella Kohnen	+1.1
22	10-12	ILL ST	BRAD×3	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.0
23	11-12	BRAD	BRAD×3	Attack err	Jillian Gregory		+1.6
24	12-12	BRAD	BRAD×3	Attack err	Ayla Klingenberg		+1.8
25	12-13	BRAD	ILL ST×3	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Samantha Bunch	+1.4
26	12-14	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Attack err	Maria Drapp		+1.8
27	12-15	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Kill	Oliwia Caputa	set Ella Craggs	+1.7
28	13-15	ILL ST	BRAD	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+1.1
29	13-16	BRAD	ILL ST×3	Serve err	Bradley		+1.3
30	13-17	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Ace	Illinois St.	aced Cherlin Antonio	+1.5
31	13-18	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Kill	Ayla Klingenberg		+1.1
32	14-18	ILL ST	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+0.6
33	14-19	BRAD	ILL ST	Kill	Ayla Klingenberg	set Ella Craggs	+0.8
34	15-19	ILL ST	BRAD	Serve err	Illinois St.		+0.6
35	15-20	BRAD	ILL ST	Kill	Oliwia Caputa	set Ella Craggs	+0.8
36	16-20	ILL ST	BRAD	Blocked	Oliwia Caputa	blk Mairen Mannon, Cherlin Antonio	+0.5
37	16-21	BRAD	ILL ST	Attack err	Maren Ouellette		+0.8
38	16-22	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Ella Kohnen	+0.6
39	17-22	ILL ST	BRAD×4	Kill	Maria Drapp	set Gracie Furlong	+0.2
40	18-22	BRAD	BRAD×4	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+0.5
41	19-22	BRAD	BRAD×4	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Ava Patchett	+0.9
42	20-22	BRAD	BRAD×4	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Ava Patchett	+1.5
43	20-23	BRAD	ILL ST×3	Kill	Abby Reck	set Ella Kohnen	+1.7
44	20-24	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Kill	Oliwia Caputa	set Ella Kohnen	+1.3
45	20-25	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Blocked	Gracie Furlong	blk Jillian Ferrill, Ayla Klingenberg	+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Bradley first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Illinois St. def. Bradley 3–0

Bradley hit .076. Illinois St. held them there all match.