Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Bradley def. Southern Ill. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Bradley 74.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Bradley won at Southern Ill. 3-1 (25-15, 25-18, 17-25, 25-21) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Bradley's Chloe Parker led with 16 kills, and Maria Drapp added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set1234Sets
BRAD252517253
SIU151825211

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Bradley held Southern Ill. to .084 hitting.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.4 points. Southern Ill. peaked at 24% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. Bradley went in as RallyIQ's 75% pick.

BradleySouthern Ill.
  • Break %+9.0 pts
    44.035.0

    Points won on own serve: 40 of 91 vs 28 of 80. Southern Ill. sided out 56.0% of the time.

  • Hitting+.144
    .228.084

    51 K / 20 E against 40 K / 28 E.

  • Longest run+-1
    56

    5 straight Bradley points in the first set stretched a 6–5 lead to 11–5. Final score of the set: 25–15.

Southern Ill. above 50Bradley belowMax swing 3.4%

BradleySouthern Ill.

Aces
Bradley 2·Southern Ill. 5
Serve err
Bradley 12·Southern Ill. 9
Blocks
Bradley 12·Southern Ill. 82 BS · 20 BA vs 0 BS · 16 BA
Digs
Bradley 69·Southern Ill. 51

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Southern Ill. above 50 · Bradley below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.4% SIUrally 171 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.4% to Southern Ill. — set 4, BRAD 11-12 SIU. Kill by Chloe Anderson (set by Ella McFarland). SIU win probability 15% → 18%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BRAD 71.8%28.2% SIU

Bradley wins

3-0
24.6%
3-1
27.5%
3-2
19.7%

Southern Ill. wins

3-0
5.2%
3-1
9.8%
3-2
13.1%
BRAD break %
44.9% vs this opp
SIU break %
40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Chloe Anderson (set by Ella McFarland)

    Set 4 · BRAD 11-12 SIU · SIU 15% → 18%

  2. 02

    Ace by Eirini Bitsaktsi

    Set 4 · BRAD 13-12 SIU · BRAD 85% → 88%

  3. 03
    Jillian ShaneyfeltAttack error+3.2%

    Attack error by Jillian Shaneyfelt

    Set 4 · BRAD 15-13 SIU · BRAD 88% → 91%

  4. 04

    Kill by Cherlin Antonio (set by Eirini Bitsaktsi)

    Set 4 · BRAD 16-13 SIU · BRAD 91% → 94%

  5. 05
    Gracie FurlongAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Gracie Furlong

    Set 4 · BRAD 8-8 SIU · SIU 11% → 14%

  6. 06
    Chloe ParkerAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Chloe Parker

    Set 4 · BRAD 13-13 SIU · SIU 12% → 15%

  7. 07
    McKenzie MoellerAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by McKenzie Moeller

    Set 4 · BRAD 14-13 SIU · BRAD 85% → 88%

  8. 08

    Kill by Adeline Goedheer (set by Maria Drapp)

    Set 4 · BRAD 12-12 SIU · BRAD 82% → 85%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416632.3130022006319
49319.3160001024413
48217.35300000052.510.5
45728-.0711011030005
4208.2503711210031.54.5
4000–101600000
411232.2810004002112
4000–9141600001
4000–103800000
3000–000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals5120136.228492126952201292
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412341.2200024002113
410934.02911112000011
4509.55600040052.57.5
4317.2862922400216
43311.00010010031.54.5
1149-.333000000212
44318.056202171010.54.5
3000–001200000
2228.00042000010.54.5
2024-.500000000000
2000–101700000
1012-.500000000000
Team totals4028143.0843859512016879

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Bradley vs Southern Ill.

Season series · Bradley leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 BRAD · SIU 6

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 5 BRADSIU 3

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 5 BRADSIU 6

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 BRADSIU 3

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 5 BRADSIU 2

Bars above the line = Southern Ill. leads, below = Bradley leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Bradley

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
27%3/11
2
83%10/12
58%14/24
3
82%9/11
41%7/17
4
64%9/14
25%3/12
5
57%8/14
50%8/16
6
46%6/13
45%5/11
All
65%52/80
44%40/91

Southern Ill.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%10/20
53%9/17
2
50%10/20
23%3/13
3
69%9/13
18%2/11
4
50%9/18
31%4/13
5
70%7/10
44%7/16
6
60%6/10
30%3/10
All
56%51/91
35%28/80

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

171 rallies

#BRAD-SIUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SIUBRAD×3KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.4
22-0BRADBRAD×3Attack errElla Swansiger+1.8
33-0BRADBRAD×3Attack errChloe Anderson+1.6
43-1BRADSIUServe errBradley+1.2
53-2SIUSIUBlockedGracie Furlongblk Carlota Mora, Chloe Anderson+1.8
64-2SIUBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+1.4
75-2BRADBRADAttack errCarlota Mora+1.7
85-3BRADSIUKillCarlota Moraset Ella McFarland+1.3
96-3SIUBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.3
106-4BRADSIUServe errBradley+1.3
116-5SIUSIUAceSouthern Ill.aced Gracie Furlong+1.9
127-5SIUBRAD×5KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.5
138-5BRADBRAD×5KillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+1.8
149-5BRADBRAD×5BlockedNatalie Vanceblk Mairen Mannon, Cherlin Antonio+1.6
1510-5BRADBRAD×5BlockedCarlota Morablk Mairen Mannon, Maria Drapp+1.3
1611-5BRADBRAD×5KillCherlin Antonioset Ava Patchett+1.0
1711-6BRADSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Alexandria Arrington+0.7
1812-6SIUBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+0.8
1912-7BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Alexandria Arrington+0.7
2013-7SIUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+0.8
2113-8BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Alexandria Arrington+0.6
2214-8SIUBRAD×5Serve errSouthern Ill.+0.8
2315-8BRADBRAD×5BlockedMcKenzie Moellerblk Adeline Goedheer, Chloe Parker+0.7
2416-8BRADBRAD×5Attack errMcKenzie Moeller+0.5
2517-8BRADBRAD×5AceMaria Drappaced Jillian Shaneyfelt+0.3
2618-8BRADBRAD×5BlockedChloe Andersonblk Adeline Goedheer+0.2
2718-9BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+0.1
2819-9SIUBRADBlockedCarlota Morablk Adeline Goedheer, Chloe Parker+0.1
2919-10BRADSIUServe errBradley+0.1
3020-10SIUBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+0.1
3120-11BRADSIU×3KillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland·
3220-12SIUSIU×3AceSouthern Ill.+0.1
3320-13SIUSIU×3BlockedChloe Parkerblk Carlota Mora, Beatriz Piaia+0.2
3421-13SIUBRAD×3BlockedCarlota Morablk Chloe Parker, Maria Drapp+0.2
3522-13BRADBRAD×3Attack errMcKenzie Moeller+0.1
3623-13BRADBRAD×3Bad setAlexandria Arrington·
3723-14BRADSIUServe errBradley·
3823-15SIUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Alexandria Arrington·
3924-15SIUBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp·
4025-15BRADBRADAttack errMcKenzie Moeller·
Set 2
11-0BRADBRADBad setElla McFarland+1.5
22-0BRADBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+1.4
32-1BRADSIUKillElla Swansigerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+1.1
42-2SIUSIUBad setMegan DePoorter+1.6
53-2SIUBRAD×3KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.2
64-2BRADBRAD×3Attack errIda Almkvist+1.5
75-2BRADBRAD×3Attack errElla Swansiger+1.3
85-3BRADSIUAttack errChloe Parker+1.0
96-3SIUBRAD×4KillCherlin Antonioset Eirini Bitsaktsi+1.0
107-3BRADBRAD×4KillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+1.2
118-3BRADBRAD×4KillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+1.0
129-3BRADBRAD×4BlockedIda Almkvistblk Mairen Mannon, Chloe Parker+0.8
139-4BRADSIUBlockedChloe Parkerblk Beatriz Piaia, Alexandria Arrington+0.5
149-5SIUSIUKillAlexandria Arringtonset Ella McFarland+0.9
1510-5SIUBRADServe errSouthern Ill.+0.8
1611-5BRADBRADBlockedAlexandria Arringtonblk Mairen Mannon, Maria Drapp+0.8
1711-6BRADSIUServe errBradley+0.5
1812-6SIUBRADAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+0.6
1912-7BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+0.5
2013-7SIUBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+0.6
2113-8BRADSIU×6KillChloe Andersonset Ella McFarland+0.5
2213-9SIUSIU×6AceSouthern Ill.+0.9
2313-10SIUSIU×6KillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland+1.2
2413-11SIUSIU×6Attack errAdeline Goedheer+1.5
2513-12SIUSIU×6AceSouthern Ill.aced Gracie Furlong+1.9
2613-13SIUSIU×6Attack errGracie Furlong+2.2
2714-13SIUBRADServe errSouthern Ill.+1.7
2815-13BRADBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+2.1
2915-14BRADSIUKillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland+1.6
3016-14SIUBRAD×5KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.7
3117-14BRADBRAD×5KillCherlin Antonioset Eirini Bitsaktsi+1.9
3218-14BRADBRAD×5KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.5
3319-14BRADBRAD×5KillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+1.1
3420-14BRADBRAD×5Attack errMcKenzie Moeller+0.7
3520-15BRADSIUKillAlexandria Arringtonset Ella McFarland+0.3
3621-15SIUBRADBlockedAlexandria Arringtonblk Adeline Goedheer, Chloe Parker+0.5
3722-15BRADBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Eirini Bitsaktsi+0.3
3822-16BRADSIUServe errBradley+0.1
3923-16SIUBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+0.2
4024-16BRADBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+0.1
4124-17BRADSIUBlockedCherlin Antonioblk Beatriz Piaia, Ella McFarland·
4224-18SIUSIUAttack errMairen Mannon·
4325-18SIUBRADAttack errElla McFarland·
Set 3
10-1SIUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland+0.9
20-2SIUSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+0.9
31-2SIUBRADKillChloe Parkerset Eirini Bitsaktsi+0.7
41-3BRADSIUAttack errChloe Parker+0.7
52-3SIUBRADServe errSouthern Ill.+0.7
62-4BRADSIUServe errBradley+0.8
73-4SIUBRADKillMaria Drappset Gracie Furlong+0.7
83-5BRADSIUServe errBradley+0.8
94-5SIUBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+0.7
104-6BRADSIU×3KillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+0.8
114-7SIUSIU×3Attack errGracie Furlong+1.1
124-8SIUSIU×3Bad setMegan DePoorter+1.1
135-8SIUBRADServe errSouthern Ill.+0.7
145-9BRADSIU×3KillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland+0.8
155-10SIUSIU×3BlockedAdeline Goedheerblk Jillian Shaneyfelt, Beatriz Piaia+1.0
165-11SIUSIU×3KillBeatriz Piaia+0.9
176-11SIUBRADServe errSouthern Ill.+0.5
186-12BRADSIU×3KillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland+0.7
196-13SIUSIU×3Attack errChloe Parker+0.8
206-14SIUSIU×3KillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+0.6
217-14SIUBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+0.3
228-14BRADBRADKillChloe Parkerset Eirini Bitsaktsi+0.5
238-15BRADSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+0.6
249-15SIUBRAD×3KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+0.4
2510-15BRADBRAD×3KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+0.7
2611-15BRADBRAD×3KillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+0.8
2711-16BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+0.8
2811-17SIUSIUKillElla McFarlandset Chloe Anderson+0.9
2912-17SIUBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+0.5
3012-18BRADSIUServe errBradley+0.7
3113-18SIUBRADKillMaria Drappset Eirini Bitsaktsi+0.4
3213-19BRADSIU×3BlockedGracie Furlongblk Ella Swansiger, Chloe Anderson+0.7
3313-20SIUSIU×3KillChloe Anderson+0.6
3413-21SIUSIU×3AceSouthern Ill.aced Gracie Furlong+0.3
3514-21SIUBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+0.1
3614-22BRADSIUKillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland+0.2
3715-22SIUBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+0.1
3815-23BRADSIUKillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland+0.1
3916-23SIUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp·
4016-24BRADSIUKillJillian Shaneyfeltset Ella McFarland+0.1
4117-24SIUBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp·
4217-25BRADSIUKillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland·
Set 4
10-1BRADSIUServe errBradley+1.9
21-1SIUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Megan DePoorter+1.8
32-1BRADBRADAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+2.3
42-2BRADSIUKillElla McFarlandset McKenzie Moeller+1.8
53-2SIUBRADServe errSouthern Ill.+1.8
63-3BRADSIUKillElla McFarlandset Jillian Shaneyfelt+1.9
74-3SIUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.8
84-4BRADSIUKillJillian Shaneyfeltset Ella McFarland+1.9
95-4SIUBRADAttack errChloe Anderson+1.9
106-4BRADBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Ella McFarland+2.3
116-5BRADSIUKillJillian Shaneyfeltset Isabella Del Real+1.8
127-5SIUBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.8
137-6BRADSIUServe errBradley+1.8
148-6SIUBRADAttack errJillian Shaneyfelt+1.9
158-7BRADSIUKillJillian Shaneyfeltset Ella McFarland+1.9
168-8SIUSIUAttack errGracie Furlong+2.8
179-8SIUBRADServe errSouthern Ill.+2.1
189-9BRADSIUAttack errGracie Furlong+2.2
1910-9SIUBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+2.2
2010-10BRADSIUBlockedGracie Furlongblk Ella McFarland, Chloe Anderson+2.3
2111-10SIUBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+2.3
2211-11BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+2.4
2311-12SIUSIUKillChloe Andersonset Ella McFarland+3.4
2412-12SIUBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+2.5
2513-12BRADBRADAceEirini Bitsaktsi+3.3
2613-13BRADSIUAttack errChloe Parker+2.6
2714-13SIUBRAD×5Attack errMcKenzie Moeller+2.6
2815-13BRADBRAD×5Attack errJillian Shaneyfelt+3.2
2916-13BRADBRAD×5KillCherlin Antonioset Eirini Bitsaktsi+2.8
3017-13BRADBRAD×5BlockedElla Swansigerblk Mairen Mannon, Cherlin Antonio+2.3
3118-13BRADBRAD×5KillCherlin Antonioset Eirini Bitsaktsi+1.7
3218-14BRADSIUAttack errMairen Mannon+1.0
3319-14SIUBRADServe errSouthern Ill.+1.3
3419-15BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+0.9
3520-15SIUBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+1.2
3620-16BRADSIUKillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland+0.8
3720-17SIUSIUAttack errAdeline Goedheer+1.7
3821-17SIUBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Eirini Bitsaktsi+1.8
3921-18BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+1.2
4022-18SIUBRADAttack errJillian Shaneyfelt+1.8
4123-18BRADBRADBlockedMcKenzie Moellerblk Chloe Parker, Adeline Goedheer+1.3
4223-19BRADSIUKillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland+0.4
4324-19SIUBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+0.8
4424-20BRADSIUServe errBradley+0.2
4524-21SIUSIUBlockedCherlin Antonioblk Beatriz Piaia, Ella Swansiger+0.6
4625-21SIUBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.1

Score shown after each rally, Bradley first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).