Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Bradley def. Southern Ill. 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Bradley 85.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Bradley beat visiting Southern Ill. 3-2 (25-23, 27-29, 25-20, 26-28, 15-7) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Bradley's Gracie Furlong led with 21 kills, and Maria Drapp added 32 digs.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set12345Sets
SIU2329202872
BRAD25272526153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Maria Drapp set 56 assists as Bradley outlasted Southern Ill.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Bradley's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave Bradley 86% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Southern Ill. 19–18 Bradley

    5 straight Bradley points turned an 18–19 deficit into a 23–19 lead.

    Bradley 71% → 90%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Southern Ill. 24–21 Bradley

    Bradley scored 4 straight to turn a 21–24 deficit into a 25–24 lead.

    Bradley 70% → 94%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Southern Ill. 25–25 Bradley

    Southern Ill. closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 28–26 and level the match at 2–2.

    Bradley 88% → 69%

Bradley above 50Southern Ill. belowMax swing 9.9%

Southern Ill.Bradley

Sideout %
Southern Ill. 58.1·Bradley 63.9
Break %
Southern Ill. 36.1·Bradley 41.9
Hitting
Southern Ill. .133·Bradley .162
Longest run
Southern Ill. 7·Bradley 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Bradley above 50 · Southern Ill. below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+9.9% SIUrally 225 · set 5

Biggest swing: 9.9% to Southern Ill. — set 4, SIU 28-26 BRAD. Kill by McKenzie Moeller (set by Lillian Dempkey). BRAD win probability 79% → 69%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SIU 17.0%83.0% BRAD

Southern Ill. wins

3-0
2.6%
3-1
5.5%
3-2
8.8%

Bradley wins

3-0
34.8%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
17.3%
SIU break %
39.1% vs this opp
BRAD break %
46.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by McKenzie Moeller (set by Lillian Dempkey)

    Set 4 · SIU 28-26 BRAD · SIU 21% → 31%

  2. 02

    Ella Swansiger stuffed by Mairen Mannon & Cherlin Antonio

    Set 4 · SIU 24-24 BRAD · BRAD 76% → 86%

  3. 03
    Mairen MannonAttack error+9.0%

    Attack error by Mairen Mannon

    Set 4 · SIU 26-25 BRAD · SIU 12% → 21%

  4. 04
    Ella NiglKill+7.8%

    Kill by Ella Nigl (set by Maria Drapp)

    Set 4 · SIU 24-25 BRAD · BRAD 86% → 94%

  5. 05
    Ella NiglKill+7.0%

    Kill by Ella Nigl (set by Maria Drapp)

    Set 4 · SIU 26-26 BRAD · BRAD 79% → 86%

  6. 06

    Kill by Ella Swansiger (set by Alexandria Arrington)

    Set 4 · SIU 27-26 BRAD · SIU 14% → 21%

  7. 07

    McKenzie Moeller stuffed by Dakota Elliott & Ella Nigl

    Set 5 · SIU 0-2 BRAD · BRAD 74% → 81%

  8. 08

    Kill by Ella Swansiger (set by Alexandria Arrington)

    Set 2 · SIU 29-27 BRAD · SIU 14% → 20%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5141060.06700212010115
513542.19000131031.514.5
55213.2311114024410
57017.412211070010.58.5
54213.15400020031.55.5
5000–0011400000
58433.121000400219
5001.0002112900001
5000–5012720000
3149-.33300000010.51.5
Team totals5227188.133483882431410107
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5211575.08021370111.523.5
517941.1951001002118
510222.36400000254.514.5
5111031.03200010052.513.5
510429.2070003004212
55012.4175600320031.56.5
5000–0211200002
5000–9132110001
5000–1031410000
5000–002100000
Team totals7440210.1626941292332013118

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Southern Ill. vs Bradley

Season series · Bradley leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 SIU · BRAD 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 SIUBRAD 3

Set 2

29-27

Longest run 3 SIUBRAD 3

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 SIUBRAD 5

Set 4

28-26

Longest run 7 SIUBRAD 4

Set 5

7-15

Longest run 2 SIUBRAD 5

Bars above the line = Bradley leads, below = Southern Ill. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern Ill.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%13/20
29%5/17
2
57%12/21
33%6/18
3
67%12/18
29%5/17
4
61%11/18
31%5/16
5
52%11/21
54%13/24
6
47%9/19
31%5/16
All
58%68/117
36%39/108

Bradley

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%13/22
45%9/20
2
75%12/16
48%11/23
3
69%11/16
20%3/15
4
58%11/19
42%8/19
5
65%11/17
39%7/18
6
61%11/18
50%11/22
All
64%69/108
42%49/117

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

225 rallies

#SIU-BRADSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SIUBRADKillDakota Elliottset Maria Drapp+1.0
21-1BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Alexandria Arrington+1.1
31-2SIUBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+1.0
42-2BRADSIUAttack errCherlin Antonio+1.1
52-3SIUBRADBlockedIda Almkvistblk Ella Nigl, Mairen Mannon+1.0
63-3BRADSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Cherlin Antonio+1.1
73-4SIUBRADKillMaria Drappset Ava Patchett+1.0
84-4BRADSIUBlockedMairen Mannonblk Ida Almkvist, Beatriz Piaia+1.1
94-5SIUBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+1.1
105-5BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.2
116-5SIUSIUAttack errDakota Elliott+1.7
126-6SIUBRADKillDakota Elliottset Maria Drapp+1.2
136-7BRADBRADKillGracie Furlongset Eirini Bitsaktsi+1.6
147-7BRADSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Lillian Dempkey+1.3
157-8SIUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Eirini Bitsaktsi+1.2
168-8BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Alexandria Arrington+1.3
178-9SIUBRAD×3KillElla Niglset Maria Drapp+1.2
188-10BRADBRAD×3KillElla Niglset Maria Drapp+1.5
198-11BRADBRAD×3Attack errIda Almkvist+1.3
209-11BRADSIUAttack errElla Nigl+1.0
219-12SIUBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+1.0
2210-12BRADSIUServe errBradley+1.0
2310-13SIUBRADAttack errIda Almkvist+1.0
2410-14BRADBRADAceBradleyaced Jillian Shaneyfelt+1.1
2511-14BRADSIUKillIda Almkvistset Lillian Dempkey+0.8
2611-15SIUBRADBad setNatalie Vance+0.9
2712-15BRADSIU×4KillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+0.8
2813-15SIUSIU×4Attack errGracie Furlong+1.4
2914-15SIUSIU×4KillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.8
3015-15SIUSIU×4Attack errGracie Furlong+2.3
3115-16SIUBRADServe errSouthern Ill.+1.7
3216-16BRADSIU×3Attack errElla Nigl+1.9
3317-16SIUSIU×3Attack errGracie Furlong+2.8
3418-16SIUSIU×3KillElla Swansigerset Alexandria Arrington+3.1
3518-17SIUBRADBlockedMcKenzie Moellerblk Ella Nigl, Dakota Elliott+2.0
3619-17BRADSIUKillChloe Andersonset Alexandria Arrington+2.6
3719-18SIUBRADServe errSouthern Ill.+2.1
3820-18BRADSIUKillChloe Andersonset Alexandria Arrington+2.8
3920-19SIUBRADKillElla Niglset Maria Drapp+2.3
4021-19BRADSIUKillIda Almkvistset Alexandria Arrington+3.1
4121-20SIUBRAD×3KillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+2.4
4221-21BRADBRAD×3KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+3.8
4321-22BRADBRAD×3AceBradleyaced Ella Swansiger+4.0
4422-22BRADSIUAttack errMairen Mannon+3.1
4522-23SIUBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+3.6
4623-23BRADSIUServe errBradley+3.6
4723-24SIUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+4.5
4823-25BRADBRADKillGracie Furlongset Eirini Bitsaktsi+5.1
Set 2
11-0BRADSIUAttack errElla Nigl+0.8
22-0SIUSIUAttack errGracie Furlong+1.2
32-1SIUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+0.8
43-1BRADSIU×3Serve errBradley+0.9
54-1SIUSIU×3KillElla Swansigerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+1.3
65-1SIUSIU×3BlockedCherlin Antonioblk Ella Swansiger, Beatriz Piaia+1.3
75-2SIUBRADKillElla Niglset Maria Drapp+0.9
85-3BRADBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Eirini Bitsaktsi+1.2
96-3BRADSIU×3Serve errBradley+1.1
107-3SIUSIU×3AceSouthern Ill.+1.4
118-3SIUSIU×3KillIda Almkvistset Jillian Shaneyfelt+1.4
128-4SIUBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+0.8
138-5BRADBRADAttack errNatalie Vance+1.2
149-5BRADSIUKillIda Almkvistset Lillian Dempkey+1.1
159-6SIUBRAD×3KillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+0.9
169-7BRADBRAD×3Attack errBeatriz Piaia+1.3
179-8BRADBRAD×3Attack errMcKenzie Moeller+1.3
1810-8BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.2
1910-9SIUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.0
2011-9BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.2
2111-10SIUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.1
2212-10BRADSIUAttack errElla Nigl+1.3
2313-10SIUSIUBlockedGracie Furlongblk Ida Almkvist, Chloe Anderson+1.7
2413-11SIUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Eirini Bitsaktsi+1.1
2514-11BRADSIUKillElla Swansigerset Alexandria Arrington+1.4
2614-12SIUBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+1.1
2715-12BRADSIUKillElla Swansigerset Alexandria Arrington+1.4
2815-13SIUBRAD×3KillElla Niglset Eirini Bitsaktsi+1.2
2915-14BRADBRAD×3BlockedNatalie Vanceblk Mairen Mannon, Cherlin Antonio+1.7
3015-15BRADBRAD×3BlockedIda Almkvistblk Maria Drapp, Mairen Mannon+1.7
3116-15BRADSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Lillian Dempkey+1.5
3216-16SIUBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+1.3
3317-16BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.6
3417-17SIUBRADKillMaria Drappset Gracie Furlong+1.4
3517-18BRADBRADAttack errChloe Anderson+1.9
3618-18BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.5
3719-18SIUSIUAttack errGracie Furlong+2.3
3819-19SIUBRADKillDakota Elliottset Maria Drapp+1.7
3919-20BRADBRADAttack errElla Swansiger+2.2
4020-20BRADSIUAttack errGracie Furlong+1.8
4120-21SIUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.8
4221-21BRADSIUKillElla Swansigerset Alexandria Arrington+2.0
4322-21SIUSIUAttack errDakota Elliott+3.3
4422-22SIUBRADAttack errElla Swansiger+2.3
4523-22BRADSIUBlockedCherlin Antonioblk Beatriz Piaia, Ella Swansiger+3.1
4623-23SIUBRADServe errSouthern Ill.+2.8
4724-23BRADSIUAttack errCherlin Antonio+3.9
4824-24SIUBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+3.9
4925-24BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Alexandria Arrington+3.9
5025-25SIUBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+3.9
5126-25BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Alexandria Arrington+3.9
5226-26SIUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+3.9
5326-27BRADBRADKillMaria Drappset Cherlin Antonio+4.4
5427-27BRADSIU×3KillElla Swansigerset Alexandria Arrington+3.2
5528-27SIUSIU×3KillIda Almkvist+5.0
5629-27SIUSIU×3KillElla Swansigerset Alexandria Arrington+6.1
Set 3
11-0SIUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Alexandria Arrington+2.5
21-1SIUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.8
31-2BRADBRADBlockedMcKenzie Moellerblk Dakota Elliott, Ella Nigl+2.2
42-2BRADSIUKillElla Swansigerset Alexandria Arrington+1.8
52-3SIUBRADKillElla Niglset Maria Drapp+1.7
63-3BRADSIUServe errBradley+1.9
73-4SIUBRADKillMairen Mannonset Alexandria Arrington+1.7
83-5BRADBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Eirini Bitsaktsi+2.1
94-5BRADSIUServe errBradley+1.7
104-6SIUBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+1.6
115-6BRADSIU×3KillIda Almkvistset Lillian Dempkey+1.7
126-6SIUSIU×3BlockedMairen Mannonblk Beatriz Piaia+2.6
137-6SIUSIU×3BlockedMairen Mannonblk McKenzie Moeller+3.0
147-7SIUBRADServe errSouthern Ill.+2.1
157-8BRADBRADBlockedMcKenzie Moellerblk Maria Drapp, Dakota Elliott+2.7
168-8BRADSIUAttack errGracie Furlong+2.2
179-8SIUSIUAceSouthern Ill.aced Ava Patchett+3.2
189-9SIUBRADKillDakota Elliottset Maria Drapp+2.3
1910-9BRADSIUBlockedGracie Furlongblk Chloe Anderson, Natalie Vance+2.6
2010-10SIUBRADBad setAlexandria Arrington+2.4
2111-10BRADSIUAttack errCherlin Antonio+2.7
2211-11SIUBRADServe errSouthern Ill.+2.5
2312-11BRADSIUKillChloe Andersonset Alexandria Arrington+2.8
2413-11SIUSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Alexandria Arrington+4.0
2513-12SIUBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+2.7
2614-12BRADSIUKillElla Swansigerset Alexandria Arrington+3.2
2714-13SIUBRADAttack errBeatriz Piaia+2.8
2814-14BRADBRADKillMairen Mannon+3.8
2915-14BRADSIU×4KillIda Almkvistset Lillian Dempkey+3.3
3016-14SIUSIU×4Attack errMairen Mannon+4.6
3117-14SIUSIU×4Attack errGracie Furlong+4.7
3218-14SIUSIU×4KillBeatriz Piaiaset Lillian Dempkey+4.5
3318-15SIUBRAD×4BlockedNatalie Vanceblk Gracie Furlong+2.5
3418-16BRADBRAD×4Attack errMcKenzie Moeller+4.0
3518-17BRADBRAD×4BlockedNatalie Vanceblk Gracie Furlong, Dakota Elliott+4.5
3618-18BRADBRAD×4KillGracie Furlong+4.9
3719-18BRADSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+4.3
3819-19SIUBRAD×5KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+3.9
3919-20BRADBRAD×5KillDakota Elliottset Maria Drapp+5.2
4019-21BRADBRAD×5Attack errMcKenzie Moeller+4.6
4119-22BRADBRAD×5KillGracie Furlongset Eirini Bitsaktsi+3.5
4219-23BRADBRAD×5Attack errMcKenzie Moeller+2.1
4320-23BRADSIUKillAlexandria Arringtonset Lillian Dempkey+0.8
4420-24SIUBRADBlockedChloe Andersonblk Dakota Elliott+1.4
4520-25BRADBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Eirini Bitsaktsi+0.5
Set 4
11-0BRADSIUServe errBradley+1.5
22-0SIUSIUAttack errCherlin Antonio+2.1
32-1SIUBRAD×4KillDakota Elliottset Maria Drapp+1.4
42-2BRADBRAD×4KillElla Niglset Maria Drapp+1.9
52-3BRADBRAD×4AceBradleyaced Jillian Shaneyfelt+1.7
62-4BRADBRAD×4Attack errElla Swansiger+1.6
73-4BRADSIUKillIda Almkvistset Alexandria Arrington+1.2
83-5SIUBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+1.2
94-5BRADSIUKillAlexandria Arringtonset Beatriz Piaia+1.3
104-6SIUBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+1.2
115-6BRADSIU×7Serve errBradley+1.3
126-6SIUSIU×7KillBeatriz Piaia+2.0
137-6SIUSIU×7Attack errMairen Mannon+2.3
148-6SIUSIU×7Attack errGracie Furlong+2.5
159-6SIUSIU×7KillAlexandria Arringtonset Jillian Shaneyfelt+2.7
1610-6SIUSIU×7Attack errMairen Mannon+2.7
1711-6SIUSIU×7KillAlexandria Arringtonset Lillian Dempkey+2.6
1811-7SIUBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+1.6
1911-8BRADBRADKillDakota Elliottset Maria Drapp+2.3
2012-8BRADSIUServe errBradley+2.2
2112-9SIUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.7
2213-9BRADSIUKillChloe Andersonset Lillian Dempkey+2.3
2313-10SIUBRADAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+1.8
2413-11BRADBRADAceBradley+2.6
2514-11BRADSIUKillElla Swansigerset Alexandria Arrington+2.5
2615-11SIUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+3.1
2715-12SIUBRADKillDakota Elliottset Maria Drapp+1.8
2815-13BRADBRADAttack errElla Swansiger+2.8
2916-13BRADSIUAttack errMairen Mannon+2.7
3016-14SIUBRADServe errJillian Shaneyfelt+2.1
3117-14BRADSIUBlockedCherlin Antonioblk Beatriz Piaia+2.8
3218-14SIUSIUKillAlexandria Arringtonset Lillian Dempkey+3.4
3318-15SIUBRADServe errLillian Dempkey+1.9
3419-15BRADSIUKillAlexandria Arringtonset Jillian Shaneyfelt+2.7
3520-15SIUSIUAttack errGracie Furlong+2.9
3620-16SIUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.3
3721-16BRADSIUKillAlexandria Arringtonset Lillian Dempkey+2.2
3821-17SIUBRAD×4KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.2
3921-18BRADBRAD×4KillElla Niglset Maria Drapp+2.3
4021-19BRADBRAD×4BlockedMcKenzie Moellerblk Dakota Elliott+3.2
4121-20BRADBRAD×4KillMaria Drappset Eirini Bitsaktsi+4.1
4222-20BRADSIUAttack errGracie Furlong+4.4
4323-20SIUSIUAceAlexandria Arringtonaced Eirini Bitsaktsi+5.0
4423-21SIUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+2.1
4524-21BRADSIUServe errBradley+4.1
4624-22SIUBRAD×4KillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+1.6
4724-23BRADBRAD×4KillCherlin Antonio+4.4
4824-24BRADBRAD×4BlockedElla Swansigerblk Mairen Mannon, Cherlin Antonio+9.4
4924-25BRADBRAD×4KillElla Niglset Maria Drapp+7.8
5025-25BRADSIUBlockedCherlin Antonioblk Chloe Anderson, Ella Swansiger+5.8
5126-25SIUSIUAttack errMairen Mannon+9.0
5226-26SIUBRADKillElla Niglset Maria Drapp+7.0
5327-26BRADSIUKillElla Swansigerset Alexandria Arrington+7.0
5428-26SIUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+9.9
Set 5
10-1SIUBRAD×3KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+5.3
20-2BRADBRAD×3BlockedMcKenzie Moellerblk Dakota Elliott, Ella Nigl+6.5
30-3BRADBRAD×3KillDakota Elliottset Maria Drapp+5.5
41-3BRADSIUKillElla Swansigerset Alexandria Arrington+4.0
51-4SIUBRADKillMaria Drappset Gracie Furlong+4.3
62-4BRADSIUServe errBradley+4.1
72-5SIUBRAD×5KillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+4.4
82-6BRADBRAD×5KillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+4.7
92-7BRADBRAD×5KillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+3.5
102-8BRADBRAD×5KillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+2.3
112-9BRADBRAD×5KillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+1.4
123-9BRADSIUServe errBradley+0.7
134-9SIUSIUBlockedCherlin Antonioblk Beatriz Piaia, Alexandria Arrington+1.5
144-10SIUBRADServe errLillian Dempkey+1.6
155-10BRADSIUAttack errGracie Furlong+1.0
166-10SIUSIUAttack errMairen Mannon+2.3
176-11SIUBRAD×4BlockedMcKenzie Moellerblk Mairen Mannon, Maria Drapp+2.4
186-12BRADBRAD×4Bad setLillian Dempkey+1.7
196-13BRADBRAD×4KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+0.7
206-14BRADBRAD×4Bad setLillian Dempkey+0.2
217-14BRADSIUAttack errGracie Furlong·
227-15SIUBRADKillDakota Elliottset Maria Drapp+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Southern Ill. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).