Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Northern Colo. def. Montana 3–1

Northern Colo. beat visiting Montana 3-1 (25-16, 22-25, 25-17, 25-22) on Thu, Sep 24, 2026. Northern Colo.'s Gillian Walton led with 20 kills, and Nerea Alvarez-Jorge added 20 digs.

Data through · final Sep 24

Set1234Sets
MONT162517221
N COLO252225253

Win probability

Northern Colo. above 50 · Montana below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.0% MONTrally 177 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.0% to Montana — set 2, MONT 24-22 N COLO. Kill by Sophia Vella (set by Gracie Cagle). N COLO win probability 88% → 85%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MONT 11.3%88.7% N COLO

Montana wins

3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.5%
3-2
6.2%

Northern Colo. wins

3-0
42.4%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.7%
MONT break %
39.1% vs this opp
N COLO break %
48.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sophia VellaKill+3.0%

    Kill by Sophia Vella (set by Gracie Cagle)

    Set 2 · MONT 24-22 N COLO · MONT 12% → 15%

  2. 02
    Sydney PierceKill+2.7%

    Kill by Sydney Pierce (set by Gracie Cagle)

    Set 3 · MONT 5-3 N COLO · MONT 20% → 23%

  3. 03
    Alayna TessenaAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Alayna Tessena

    Set 2 · MONT 25-22 N COLO · MONT 15% → 17%

  4. 04

    Kill by Delaney Russell (set by Gracie Cagle)

    Set 2 · MONT 23-20 N COLO · MONT 13% → 15%

  5. 05

    Kill by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge (set by Gracie Cagle)

    Set 3 · MONT 5-5 N COLO · N COLO 79% → 82%

  6. 06
    Kaylee PaulsonBlock+2.4%

    Gillian Walton stuffed by Kaylee Paulson

    Set 4 · MONT 17-18 N COLO · MONT 5% → 7%

  7. 07
    Summer SneadKill+2.2%

    Kill by Summer Snead (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)

    Set 2 · MONT 23-22 N COLO · N COLO 86% → 88%

  8. 08
    Sophia VellaKill+2.2%

    Kill by Sophia Vella (set by Gracie Cagle)

    Set 4 · MONT 6-3 N COLO · MONT 11% → 14%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414640.2002119010116
49129.2760000014312
49322.27310020132.511.5
48216.3750224000010
4203.6673501500002
4001.000020400002
46525.04000001111.57.5
4000–1202120002
41011.000602100001
1001.000000000000
Team totals4917138.232457646448880
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420639.35910060010.520.5
416435.34310191010.516.5
410219.42100010132.512.5
4607.8574322200010.58.5
47214.357001101018
44114.214000010004
4519.444011710006
4000–14101710001
4000–001420000
4000–001100000
Team totals6816137.380594766726597

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Montana vs Northern Colo.

Season series · Northern Colo. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MONT · N COLO 7

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 4 MONTN COLO 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 MONTN COLO 3

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 4 MONTN COLO 4

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 4 MONTN COLO 7

Bars above the line = Northern Colo. leads, below = Montana leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Montana

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
40%6/15
2
57%8/14
40%6/15
3
44%8/18
53%9/17
4
62%8/13
11%1/9
5
44%8/18
33%4/12
6
47%7/15
38%5/13
All
51%49/96
38%31/81

Northern Colo.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%11/19
47%8/17
2
57%8/14
53%10/19
3
57%8/14
33%4/12
4
73%8/11
56%10/18
5
80%8/10
58%11/19
6
54%7/13
36%4/11
All
62%50/81
49%47/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

177 rallies

#MONT-N COLOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0N COLOMONTKillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+1.0
21-1MONTN COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Bella LePore+0.9
31-2N COLON COLO×3KillKylie Cackovic+1.1
41-3N COLON COLO×3KillKylie Cackovicset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.0
52-3N COLOMONT×4KillGracie Cagle+0.8
63-3MONTMONT×4BlockedGillian Waltonblk Josie Blazina, Kaylee Paulson+1.2
74-3MONTMONT×4KillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+1.4
85-3MONTMONT×4AceMontana+1.5
95-4MONTN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.1
106-4N COLOMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+1.3
116-5MONTN COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.1
126-6N COLON COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Gracie Cagle+1.4
137-6N COLOMONTKillSophia Vellaset Gracie Cagle+1.2
147-7MONTN COLOKillKylie Cackovicset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.1
157-8N COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Bella LePore+1.3
168-8N COLOMONTKillSydney Pierceset Gracie Cagle+1.1
178-9MONTN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.0
189-9N COLOMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+1.2
1910-9MONTMONTAceMontanaaced Leila Ballard+1.7
2010-10MONTN COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.2
2110-11N COLON COLO×3AceNorthern Colo.+1.5
2210-12N COLON COLO×3KillGillian Waltonset Bella LePore+1.3
2311-12N COLOMONTAttack errAlayna Tessena+1.1
2411-13MONTN COLOServe errMontana+1.1
2512-13N COLOMONTKillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+1.1
2612-14MONTN COLO×4KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.1
2712-15N COLON COLO×4KillKylie Cackovicset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.2
2812-16N COLON COLO×4KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.0
2912-17N COLON COLO×4KillGillian Waltonset Bella LePore+0.7
3013-17N COLOMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Madeline Sanderson+0.4
3113-18MONTN COLOAttack errKaylee Paulson+0.5
3213-19N COLON COLOAttack errDelaney Russell+0.5
3314-19N COLOMONTKillSydney Pierceset Gracie Cagle+0.2
3415-19MONTMONTKillSydney Pierceset Gracie Cagle+0.5
3515-20MONTN COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.5
3615-21N COLON COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.4
3715-22N COLON COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.2
3816-22N COLOMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Delaney Russell+0.1
3916-23MONTN COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.1
4016-24N COLON COLO×3BlockedDelaney Russellblk Nerea Alvarez-Jorge, Summer Snead·
4116-25N COLON COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge·
Set 2
11-0MONTMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+0.9
21-1MONTN COLOBad setGracie Cagle+0.6
31-2N COLON COLOKillSummer Snead+0.8
42-2N COLOMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+0.6
52-3MONTN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.6
63-3N COLOMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Delaney Russell+0.7
73-4MONTN COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.6
84-4N COLOMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+0.7
94-5MONTN COLOAttack errKaylee Paulson+0.6
105-5N COLOMONTKillSydney Pierceset Gracie Cagle+0.7
115-6MONTN COLOAttack errDelaney Russell+0.7
125-7N COLON COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.8
136-7N COLOMONT×4Attack errSummer Snead+0.6
147-7MONTMONT×4Attack errSummer Snead+0.9
158-7MONTMONT×4AceMontanaaced Jasmine Ogren+1.1
169-7MONTMONT×4KillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+1.2
179-8MONTN COLO×3KillNerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.8
189-9N COLON COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.1
199-10N COLON COLO×3AceNorthern Colo.aced Madeline Sanderson+1.0
2010-10N COLOMONT×3Serve errNorthern Colo.+0.8
2111-10MONTMONT×3BlockedGillian Waltonblk Josie Blazina, Sophia Vella+1.2
2212-10MONTMONT×3KillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+1.4
2312-11MONTN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.9
2412-12N COLON COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.2
2513-12N COLOMONTBlockedKylie Cackovicblk Josie Blazina, Sophia Vella+1.1
2613-13MONTN COLOServe errMontana+1.0
2713-14N COLON COLOAceNorthern Colo.aced Kaylee Paulson+1.2
2814-14N COLOMONT×4KillKaylee Paulsonset Sophia Vella+1.0
2915-14MONTMONT×4AceMontanaaced Kylie Cackovic+1.5
3016-14MONTMONT×4KillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+1.7
3117-14MONTMONT×4AceMontanaaced Alayna Tessena+1.8
3217-15MONTN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.1
3318-15N COLOMONTKillSophia Vellaset Gracie Cagle+1.5
3418-16MONTN COLOKillLeila Ballardset Alayna Tessena+1.1
3519-16N COLOMONTAttack errMaddie Rink+1.6
3620-16MONTMONTAceMontanaaced Jasmine Ogren+1.8
3720-17MONTN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.9
3821-17N COLOMONTKillDelaney Russellset Annika Wright+1.5
3921-18MONTN COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.9
4021-19N COLON COLO×3KillGillian Waltonset Bella LePore+1.6
4121-20N COLON COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.0
4222-20N COLOMONTKillDelaney Russellset Annika Wright+2.2
4323-20MONTMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+2.5
4423-21MONTN COLOBlockedDelaney Russellblk Gillian Walton, Summer Snead+1.1
4523-22N COLON COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.2
4624-22N COLOMONTKillSophia Vellaset Gracie Cagle+3.0
4725-22MONTMONTAttack errAlayna Tessena+2.6
Set 3
11-0N COLOMONTBlockedAlayna Tessenablk Sophia Vella+1.8
21-1MONTN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.6
32-1N COLOMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+1.8
42-2MONTN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.6
53-2N COLOMONTKillSophia Vellaset Gracie Cagle+1.9
63-3MONTN COLOAttack errKaylee Paulson+1.7
74-3N COLOMONTKillSophia Vellaset Gracie Cagle+1.9
85-3MONTMONTKillSydney Pierceset Gracie Cagle+2.7
95-4MONTN COLO×4Serve errMontana+1.9
105-5N COLON COLO×4KillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Gracie Cagle+2.4
115-6N COLON COLO×4KillAlayna Tessenaset Bella LePore+2.2
125-7N COLON COLO×4KillAlayna Tessenaset Bella LePore+2.0
136-7N COLOMONTKillAnnika Wright+1.6
146-8MONTN COLOAttack errSydney Pierce+1.6
157-8N COLOMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+1.7
167-9MONTN COLOServe errMontana+1.6
177-10N COLON COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.8
188-10N COLOMONTKillGracie Cagleset Annika Wright+1.4
198-11MONTN COLO×4KillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.4
208-12N COLON COLO×4KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.5
218-13N COLON COLO×4KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.2
228-14N COLON COLO×4Attack errDelaney Russell+0.9
239-14N COLOMONTServe errNorthern Colo.+0.6
249-15MONTN COLOAttack errSophia Vella+0.7
2510-15N COLOMONTKillSophia Vellaset Gracie Cagle+0.6
2610-16MONTN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Bella LePore+0.7
2710-17N COLON COLOAttack errKaylee Paulson+0.6
2811-17N COLOMONTKillSophia Vellaset Gracie Cagle+0.3
2911-18MONTN COLO×4KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.4
3011-19N COLON COLO×4Attack errKaylee Paulson+0.3
3111-20N COLON COLO×4Bad setDelaney Russell+0.2
3211-21N COLON COLO×4AceNorthern Colo.aced Madeline Sanderson+0.1
3312-21N COLOMONTKillSydney Pierceset Gracie Cagle·
3412-22MONTN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge·
3512-23N COLON COLOBlockedSydney Pierceblk Alayna Tessena, Summer Snead·
3613-23N COLOMONTKillDelaney Russellset Annika Wright·
3713-24MONTN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorge·
3814-24N COLOMONT×4Serve errNorthern Colo.·
3915-24MONTMONT×4Attack errGillian Walton·
4016-24MONTMONT×4KillSophia Vellaset Gracie Cagle·
4117-24MONTMONT×4KillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle·
4217-25MONTN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge·
Set 4
10-1MONTN COLOBlockedDelaney Russellblk Summer Snead+1.1
20-2N COLON COLOKillGillian Waltonset Bella LePore+1.3
31-2N COLOMONTAttack errGillian Walton+1.0
42-2MONTMONTBlockedAlayna Tessenablk Josie Blazina+1.5
52-3MONTN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Gillian Walton+1.1
63-3N COLOMONT×4BlockedGillian Waltonblk Delaney Russell+1.3
74-3MONTMONT×4Attack errGillian Walton+1.8
85-3MONTMONT×4KillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+2.0
96-3MONTMONT×4KillSophia Vellaset Gracie Cagle+2.2
106-4MONTN COLO×7KillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.5
116-5N COLON COLO×7KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.9
126-6N COLON COLO×7KillLeila Ballardset Bella LePore+1.9
136-7N COLON COLO×7KillAlayna Tessenaset Bella LePore+1.7
146-8N COLON COLO×7KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.5
156-9N COLON COLO×7KillGillian Waltonset Bella LePore+1.3
166-10N COLON COLO×7Attack errSophia Vella+1.1
177-10N COLOMONTKillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+0.8
187-11MONTN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.9
198-11N COLOMONTKillSydney Pierceset Gracie Cagle+0.8
209-11MONTMONTAttack errMaddie Rink+1.4
219-12MONTN COLOServe errMontana+1.1
2210-12N COLOMONTServe errNorthern Colo.+1.1
2311-12MONTMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+1.8
2411-13MONTN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Bella LePore+1.4
2512-13N COLOMONTServe errNorthern Colo.+1.5
2612-14MONTN COLOServe errMontana+1.5
2712-15N COLON COLOKillGillian Waltonset Bella LePore+1.7
2813-15N COLOMONTKillDelaney Russellset Annika Wright+1.2
2914-15MONTMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+2.0
3014-16MONTN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.7
3115-16N COLOMONTKillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+1.7
3215-17MONTN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.8
3315-18N COLON COLOBlockedJosie Blazinablk Maddie Rink+1.9
3416-18N COLOMONTBlockedLeila Ballardblk Josie Blazina, Sophia Vella+1.3
3517-18MONTMONTBlockedGillian Waltonblk Kaylee Paulson+2.4
3617-19MONTN COLO×3KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.0
3717-20N COLON COLO×3KillLeila Ballard+2.1
3817-21N COLON COLO×3Attack errSophia Vella+1.5
3918-21N COLOMONTServe errNorthern Colo.+0.8
4018-22MONTN COLOKillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.1
4119-22N COLOMONTKillSydney Pierceset Annika Wright+0.7
4220-22MONTMONTAceMontanaaced Bella LePore+1.7
4320-23MONTN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.9
4420-24N COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.2
4521-24N COLOMONTServe errNorthern Colo.+0.3
4622-24MONTMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+1.0
4722-25MONTN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.7

Score shown after each rally, Montana first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).