FinalThu, Oct 8, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Northern Colo. def. Eastern Wash. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Northern Colo. 90.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 8, 6:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Northern Colo. beat visiting Eastern Wash. 3-0 (25-21, 25-21, 25-15) on Thu, Oct 8, 2026. Northern Colo.'s Alayna Tessena led with 20 kills, and Bella LePore added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 8

Set123Sets
E WASH2121150
N COLO2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Alayna Tessena hit .405 with 20 kills as Northern Colo. rolled past Eastern Wash.

Win probability never moved more than 2.1 points on one rally; Eastern Wash. topped out at 17% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Northern Colo. 91% before first serve.

Eastern Wash.Northern Colo.
  • Break %+15.1 pts
    35.650.7

    Points won on own serve: 37 of 73 vs 21 of 59. Eastern Wash. sided out 49.3% of the time.

  • Hitting+.196
    .118.314

    51 K / 13 E against 30 K / 17 E.

Northern Colo. above 50Eastern Wash. belowMax swing 2.1%

Eastern Wash.Northern Colo.

Aces
Eastern Wash. 4·Northern Colo. 4
Serve err
Eastern Wash. 2·Northern Colo. 9
Blocks
Eastern Wash. 4·Northern Colo. 33 BS · 2 BA vs 0 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Eastern Wash. 41·Northern Colo. 57

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Northern Colo. above 50 · Eastern Wash. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.1% N COLOrally 132 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.1% to Northern Colo. — set 1, E WASH 21-23 N COLO. Kill by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge (set by Leila Ballard). N COLO win probability 91% → 93%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

E WASH 7.1%92.9% N COLO

Eastern Wash. wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.1%
3-2
4.2%

Northern Colo. wins

3-0
50.1%
3-1
30.9%
3-2
11.8%
E WASH break %
39.5% vs this opp
N COLO break %
50.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge (set by Leila Ballard)

    Set 1 · E WASH 21-23 N COLO · N COLO 91% → 93%

  2. 02
    Aspyn ReedBlock+2.1%

    Summer Snead stuffed by Aspyn Reed

    Set 1 · E WASH 15-12 N COLO · E WASH 14% → 16%

  3. 03
    Eastern Wash.Ace+2.0%

    Eastern Wash. ace on Leila Ballard

    Set 1 · E WASH 21-22 N COLO · E WASH 7% → 9%

  4. 04
    Summer SneadKill+1.9%

    Kill by Summer Snead (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)

    Set 1 · E WASH 16-16 N COLO · N COLO 87% → 88%

  5. 05
    Reese BetschartAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Reese Betschart

    Set 1 · E WASH 16-15 N COLO · N COLO 85% → 87%

  6. 06
    Aspyn ReedKill+1.8%

    Kill by Aspyn Reed (set by Jailyn Davenport)

    Set 1 · E WASH 16-13 N COLO · E WASH 15% → 17%

  7. 07
    Sidney GrayBlock+1.8%

    Kylie Cackovic stuffed by Sidney Gray

    Set 1 · E WASH 12-9 N COLO · E WASH 13% → 15%

  8. 08
    Kalista LukovichAttack error+1.8%

    Attack error by Kalista Lukovich

    Set 1 · E WASH 16-17 N COLO · N COLO 88% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312640.1500018000012
35526.000000211016
35116.25010010010.55.5
3229.000000011013
3305.60018001000003
3117.00000010111.52.5
3225.000020300004
3001.0004201100002
3001.000101510000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3017110.118244241432457
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
320342.40501211000021
36211.364371070031.58.5
37114.429000000218
36117.29400030010.56.5
3000–401600000
21310-.200000000001
39320.300000000009
3105.200121930003
3000–5022000000
3000–003100000
1102.500000000001
Team totals5113121.314474957406375

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Eastern Wash. vs Northern Colo.

Season series · Northern Colo. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 E WASH · N COLO 4

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 E WASHN COLO 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 E WASHN COLO 4

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 2 E WASHN COLO 4

Bars above the line = Northern Colo. leads, below = Eastern Wash. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Eastern Wash.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
50%7/14
2
46%6/13
22%2/9
3
75%6/8
33%3/9
4
38%6/16
45%5/11
5
75%6/8
25%2/8
6
45%5/11
25%2/8
All
49%36/73
36%21/59

Northern Colo.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
64%9/14
2
64%7/11
46%6/13
3
60%6/10
57%8/14
4
75%6/8
33%3/9
5
67%6/9
54%7/13
6
60%6/10
40%4/10
All
64%38/59
51%37/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#E WASH-N COLOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0E WASHE WASHBlockedKylie Cackovicblk Sidney Gray, Bria Carlisle+1.1
22-0E WASHE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+1.2
32-1E WASHN COLOServe errEastern Wash.+0.9
43-1N COLOE WASHAttack errAlayna Tessena+1.1
53-2E WASHN COLO×3Attack errAspyn Reed+0.9
63-3N COLON COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Jasmine Ogren+1.1
73-4N COLON COLO×3Attack errAspyn Reed+1.0
84-4N COLOE WASHBad setNerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.9
94-5E WASHN COLOServe errEastern Wash.+0.8
105-5N COLOE WASH×3KillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+0.9
116-5E WASHE WASH×3KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.3
127-5E WASHE WASH×3AceEastern Wash.aced Leila Ballard+1.4
137-6E WASHN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.1
148-6N COLOE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.3
159-6E WASHE WASHAttack errGillian Walton+1.6
169-7E WASHN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.1
179-8N COLON COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.4
1810-8N COLOE WASHServe errNorthern Colo.+1.4
1910-9E WASHN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.2
2011-9N COLOE WASHServe errNorthern Colo.+1.4
2112-9E WASHE WASHBlockedKylie Cackovicblk Sidney Gray+1.8
2212-10E WASHN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.3
2312-11N COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.6
2413-11N COLOE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.6
2513-12E WASHN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.3
2614-12N COLOE WASHServe errNorthern Colo.+1.6
2715-12E WASHE WASHBlockedSummer Sneadblk Aspyn Reed+2.1
2815-13E WASHN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.4
2916-13N COLOE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+1.8
3016-14E WASHN COLO×4KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.5
3116-15N COLON COLO×4Attack errReese Betschart+1.9
3216-16N COLON COLO×4KillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.9
3316-17N COLON COLO×4Attack errKalista Lukovich+1.8
3417-17N COLOE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Elle Bruegman+1.6
3517-18E WASHN COLOKillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.6
3617-19N COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Bella LePore+1.7
3718-19N COLOE WASHServe errNorthern Colo.+1.4
3818-20E WASHN COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.5
3918-21N COLON COLOBlockedKalista Lukovichblk Nerea Alvarez-Jorge, Summer Snead+1.5
4019-21N COLOE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+1.0
4119-22E WASHN COLOAttack errKalista Lukovich+1.3
4220-22N COLOE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.0
4321-22E WASHE WASHAceEastern Wash.aced Leila Ballard+2.0
4421-23E WASHN COLO×3KillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Leila Ballard+2.1
4521-24N COLON COLO×3KillSummer Sneadset Bria Carlisle+1.7
4621-25N COLON COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Jasmine Ogren+0.6
Set 2
10-1N COLON COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.6
21-1N COLOE WASHAttack errNerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.6
31-2E WASHN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Jailyn Davenport+0.5
42-2N COLOE WASH×3Serve errNorthern Colo.+0.6
53-2E WASHE WASH×3Attack errAlayna Tessena+0.8
64-2E WASHE WASH×3KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+0.9
74-3E WASHN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.6
84-4N COLON COLOAttack errAspyn Reed+0.7
95-4N COLOE WASHAttack errNerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.7
105-5E WASHN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.6
116-5N COLOE WASHKillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+0.7
126-6E WASHN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Bella LePore+0.7
137-6N COLOE WASHKillJailyn Davenport+0.8
147-7E WASHN COLOAttack errSummer Snead+0.7
157-8N COLON COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.8
168-8N COLOE WASH×3KillKalista Lukovichset Elle Bruegman+0.7
179-8E WASHE WASH×3KillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+1.0
1810-8E WASHE WASH×3Attack errMaddie Rink+1.1
1910-9E WASHN COLO×4KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.8
2010-10N COLON COLO×4KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.9
2110-11N COLON COLO×4BlockedAspyn Reedblk Nerea Alvarez-Jorge, Maddie Rink+0.9
2210-12N COLON COLO×4KillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Jailyn Davenport+0.8
2311-12N COLOE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+0.7
2411-13E WASHN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.7
2511-14N COLON COLOAttack errJudith Bolomboy+0.7
2612-14N COLOE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Elle Bruegman+0.6
2712-15E WASHN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Bella LePore+0.6
2812-16N COLON COLOAttack errAspyn Reed+0.6
2913-16N COLOE WASH×4Serve errNorthern Colo.+0.4
3014-16E WASHE WASH×4AceEastern Wash.+0.7
3115-16E WASHE WASH×4KillJailyn Davenportset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.0
3216-16E WASHE WASH×4Attack errAlayna Tessena+1.2
3316-17E WASHN COLO×4KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.0
3416-18N COLON COLO×4KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.1
3516-19N COLON COLO×4AceNorthern Colo.aced Carlyn Rapozo-Kamoku+0.9
3616-20N COLON COLO×4KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.6
3717-20N COLOE WASHKillReese Betschartset Jailyn Davenport+0.4
3817-21E WASHN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.5
3918-21N COLOE WASHServe errNorthern Colo.+0.4
4019-21E WASHE WASHKillSidney Gray+0.8
4119-22E WASHN COLOKillKylie Cackovicset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.9
4219-23N COLON COLOAttack errBria Carlisle+0.6
4320-23N COLOE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Elle Bruegman+0.3
4421-23E WASHE WASHAttack errKylie Cackovic+0.7
4521-24E WASHN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.9
4621-25N COLON COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Jasmine Ogren+0.4
Set 3
11-0E WASHE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+0.3
21-1E WASHN COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.3
31-2N COLON COLO×3AceNorthern Colo.+0.3
41-3N COLON COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Bella LePore+0.3
52-3N COLOE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+0.2
63-3E WASHE WASHAceEastern Wash.aced Leila Ballard+0.3
73-4E WASHN COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.3
83-5N COLON COLO×3KillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.3
93-6N COLON COLO×3Attack errJudith Bolomboy+0.2
104-6N COLOE WASHKillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+0.2
114-7E WASHN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.2
125-7N COLOE WASHBlockedGillian Waltonblk Judith Bolomboy+0.2
135-8E WASHN COLO×4KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.2
145-9N COLON COLO×4AceNorthern Colo.aced Judith Bolomboy+0.2
155-10N COLON COLO×4Attack errKalista Lukovich+0.2
165-11N COLON COLO×4KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.1
176-11N COLOE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+0.1
186-12E WASHN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.1
197-12N COLOE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+0.1
208-12E WASHE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+0.2
218-13E WASHN COLOAttack errSidney Gray+0.2
228-14N COLON COLOAttack errKalista Lukovich+0.1
239-14N COLOE WASHKillReese Betschartset Bria Carlisle+0.1
249-15E WASHN COLO×3KillRiley Taylorset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.1
259-16N COLON COLO×3AceNorthern Colo.aced Aspyn Reed+0.1
269-17N COLON COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.1
2710-17N COLOE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport·
2810-18E WASHN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Bella LePore·
2911-18N COLOE WASHServe errNorthern Colo.·
3011-19E WASHN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge·
3112-19N COLOE WASHKillJailyn Davenportset Elle Bruegman·
3212-20E WASHN COLOAttack errReese Betschart·
3312-21N COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge·
3413-21N COLOE WASHServe errNorthern Colo.·
3514-21E WASHE WASHAttack errGillian Walton·
3614-22E WASHN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge·
3715-22N COLOE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Carlyn Rapozo-Kamoku·
3815-23E WASHN COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge·
3915-24N COLON COLO×3BlockedKalista Lukovichblk Summer Snead, Nerea Alvarez-Jorge·
4015-25N COLON COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Jasmine Ogren·

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Wash. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).