Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Northern Colo. def. Idaho 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Northern Colo. 90.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Northern Colo. beat visiting Idaho 3-1 (25-10, 23-25, 25-19, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Northern Colo.'s Alayna Tessena led with 19 kills, and Bella Lepore added 11 digs.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set1234Sets
IDAHO102519171
N COLO252325253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 9–0 run in the fourth set broke it open for Northern Colo.

Win probability never moved more than 3.9 points on one rally; Idaho topped out at 26% in Set 3. RallyIQ gave Northern Colo. 91% before first serve.

IdahoNorthern Colo.
  • Break %+17.9 pts
    34.752.6

    On serve: 51/97 against 25/72 (Idaho sideout 47.4%).

  • Hitting+.231
    .173.404

    60 kills, 14 errors vs 38 kills, 19 errors.

  • Longest run+0
    99

    Down 12–13 in the fourth set, Northern Colo. scored 9 straight to lead 21–13. The set finished 25–17.

Northern Colo. above 50Idaho belowMax swing 3.9%

IdahoNorthern Colo.

Aces
Idaho 8·Northern Colo. 9
Serve err
Idaho 10·Northern Colo. 11
Blocks
Idaho 3·Northern Colo. 73 BS · 0 BA vs 2 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Idaho 37·Northern Colo. 45

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Northern Colo. above 50 · Idaho below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.9% IDAHOrally 169 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.9% to Idaho — set 2, IDAHO 25-23 N COLO. Kill by Alaina Armstrong (set by Keira Kleidon). N COLO win probability 89% → 85%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IDAHO 8.5%91.5% N COLO

Idaho wins

3-0
1.1%
3-1
2.5%
3-2
4.9%

Northern Colo. wins

3-0
47.2%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
12.9%
IDAHO break %
39.2% vs this opp
N COLO break %
49.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Alaina Armstrong (set by Keira Kleidon)

    Set 2 · IDAHO 25-23 N COLO · IDAHO 11% → 15%

  2. 02
    IdahoAce+3.9%

    Idaho ace

    Set 3 · IDAHO 18-18 N COLO · IDAHO 15% → 19%

  3. 03

    Sarah Sullivan stuffed by Summer Snead & Alayna Tessena

    Set 3 · IDAHO 18-20 N COLO · N COLO 84% → 88%

  4. 04
    Alayna TessenaAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Alayna Tessena

    Set 3 · IDAHO 16-16 N COLO · IDAHO 15% → 19%

  5. 05

    Kill by Nerea Alvarez-jorge (set by Sarah Sullivan)

    Set 3 · IDAHO 18-19 N COLO · N COLO 81% → 84%

  6. 06
    Northern Colo.Ace+3.1%

    Northern Colo. ace

    Set 3 · IDAHO 13-13 N COLO · N COLO 78% → 82%

  7. 07

    Kill by Alayna Tessena (set by Nerea Alvarez-jorge)

    Set 3 · IDAHO 16-18 N COLO · N COLO 84% → 87%

  8. 08
    Maddie RinkKill+3.0%

    Kill by Maddie Rink (set by Nerea Alvarez-jorge)

    Set 3 · IDAHO 14-15 N COLO · N COLO 81% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Idahoaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
46424.083114611018
48323.217000410008
46110.500000001017
46110.500101111017
46724-.042000010006
4000–2142500004
45215.200000100005
4000–2201410002
4114.000000000001
4000–011200001
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–802400000
Team totals3819110.1733381037930371
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419434.44101453111.521.5
412020.6001111002114
412224.41701022010.513.5
47011.636000000218
4326.167431060010.54.5
4000–011500001
46616.000000300217
4103.33300000111.52.5
4000–6201100002
4000–223200002
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–1021000000
4000–000000000
Team totals6014114.40453911458210798

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Idaho vs Northern Colo.

Season series · Northern Colo. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 IDAHO · N COLO 9

Set 1

10-25

Longest run 2 IDAHON COLO 7

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 9 IDAHON COLO 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 IDAHON COLO 6

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 3 IDAHON COLO 9

Bars above the line = Northern Colo. leads, below = Idaho leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Idaho

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
27%3/11
2
33%9/27
36%5/14
3
58%7/12
18%2/11
4
64%7/11
13%1/8
5
35%7/20
13%1/8
6
50%7/14
65%13/20
All
47%46/97
35%25/72

Northern Colo.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
42%5/12
2
64%9/14
31%4/13
3
100%9/9
65%17/26
4
78%7/9
46%6/13
5
37%7/19
59%10/17
6
75%6/8
56%9/16
All
65%47/72
53%51/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

169 rallies

#IDAHO-N COLOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1IDAHON COLOServe errIdaho+0.7
21-1N COLOIDAHOKillSarah Sullivanset Csenge Krakoczki+0.8
31-2IDAHON COLO×5KillAlayna Tessenaset Bella Lepore+0.7
41-3N COLON COLO×5AceNorthern Colo.aced Keira Kleidon+0.8
51-4N COLON COLO×5Attack errAlaina Armstrong+0.7
61-5N COLON COLO×5KillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+0.6
71-6N COLON COLO×5KillAlayna Tessena+0.5
82-6N COLOIDAHOKillKoen Makaulaset Csenge Krakoczki+0.4
92-7IDAHON COLO×4KillNerea Alvarez-jorgeset Sarah Sullivan+0.4
102-8N COLON COLO×4KillSummer Snead+0.4
112-9N COLON COLO×4KillGillian Waltonset Bella Lepore+0.3
122-10N COLON COLO×4Attack errAlaina Armstrong+0.2
133-10N COLOIDAHOKillKoen Makaulaset Csenge Krakoczki+0.1
143-11IDAHON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+0.2
154-11N COLOIDAHOKillKoen Makaulaset Kiana Greer+0.1
164-12IDAHON COLO×4Serve errIdaho+0.2
174-13N COLON COLO×4KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+0.1
184-14N COLON COLO×4AceNorthern Colo.+0.1
194-15N COLON COLO×4KillKylie Cackovic·
205-15N COLOIDAHOKillKiana Greer·
216-15IDAHOIDAHOBlockedGillian Waltonblk Gabrielle Smith+0.1
226-16IDAHON COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+0.1
237-16N COLOIDAHOKillSarah Sullivanset Csenge Krakoczki·
248-16IDAHOIDAHOAceIdaho+0.1
258-17IDAHON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Bella Lepore+0.1
269-17N COLOIDAHOKillGabrielle Smithset Csenge Krakoczki+0.1
279-18IDAHON COLO×7KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+0.1
289-19N COLON COLO×7AceNorthern Colo.aced Kiana Greer·
299-20N COLON COLO×7KillAlayna Tessenaset Julia Angert·
309-21N COLON COLO×7KillNerea Alvarez-jorge·
319-22N COLON COLO×7AceNorthern Colo.aced Sarah Sullivan·
329-23N COLON COLO×7Attack errAlaina Armstrong·
339-24N COLON COLO×7Attack errKiana Greer·
3410-24N COLOIDAHOServe errNorthern Colo.·
3510-25IDAHON COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-jorge·
Set 2
11-0N COLOIDAHO×3KillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+0.6
22-0IDAHOIDAHO×3AceIdaho+0.8
33-0IDAHOIDAHO×3BlockedNerea Alvarez-jorgeblk Kiana Greer+0.9
43-1IDAHON COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+0.6
53-2N COLON COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Julia Angert+0.8
63-3N COLON COLO×3BlockedSarah Sullivanblk Alayna Tessena+0.7
74-3N COLOIDAHOKillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+0.7
84-4IDAHON COLOKillAddison Roarkset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+0.6
94-5N COLON COLOBlockedKoen Makaulablk Addison Roark+0.7
105-5N COLOIDAHOKillSarah Sullivanset Zola Zuccolo+0.6
115-6IDAHON COLO×4KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+0.6
125-7N COLON COLO×4KillKylie Cackovic+0.6
135-8N COLON COLO×4AceNorthern Colo.+0.6
145-9N COLON COLO×4KillKylie Cackovic+0.5
156-9N COLOIDAHOServe errNorthern Colo.+0.4
167-9IDAHOIDAHOKillGabrielle Smith+0.6
177-10IDAHON COLOKillKylie Cackovicset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+0.5
188-10N COLOIDAHO×9KillGabrielle Smithset Zola Zuccolo+0.5
199-10IDAHOIDAHO×9KillGabrielle Smith+0.7
2010-10IDAHOIDAHO×9Attack errGillian Walton+0.9
2111-10IDAHOIDAHO×9KillAlaina Armstrongset Csenge Krakoczki+1.1
2212-10IDAHOIDAHO×9KillKiana Greer+1.2
2313-10IDAHOIDAHO×9Attack errAlayna Tessena+1.3
2414-10IDAHOIDAHO×9AceIdahoaced Kylie Cackovic+1.3
2515-10IDAHOIDAHO×9KillAlaina Armstrongset Csenge Krakoczki+1.3
2616-10IDAHOIDAHO×9AceIdahoaced Alayna Tessena+1.1
2716-11IDAHON COLO×3Serve errIdaho+0.6
2816-12N COLON COLO×3KillKylie Cackovicset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+0.9
2916-13N COLON COLO×3Attack errGabrielle Smith+1.1
3017-13N COLOIDAHOAttack errKylie Cackovicset Bella Lepore+1.2
3117-14IDAHON COLOServe errIdaho+0.9
3217-15N COLON COLOAttack errSarah Sullivan+1.3
3318-15N COLOIDAHOKillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+1.3
3418-16IDAHON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.0
3518-17N COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.4
3619-17N COLOIDAHO×3BlockedNerea Alvarez-jorgeblk Koen Makaula+1.5
3720-17IDAHOIDAHO×3Attack errAlayna Tessena+1.8
3821-17IDAHOIDAHO×3KillSophie Danielsonset Koen Makaula+1.7
3921-18IDAHON COLOServe errIdaho+0.8
4022-18N COLOIDAHOAttack errGillian Waltonset Bella Lepore+1.4
4122-19IDAHON COLOServe errIdaho+0.7
4223-19N COLOIDAHOKillSophie Danielsonset Zola Zuccolo+1.4
4323-20IDAHON COLOBlockedAlaina Armstrongblk Gillian Walton, Addison Roark+0.6
4423-21N COLON COLOAttack errAlaina Armstrong+1.3
4524-21N COLOIDAHOKillAlaina Armstrongset Zola Zuccolo+2.0
4624-22IDAHON COLOKillMaddie Rink+0.8
4724-23N COLON COLOAttack errAlaina Armstrong+2.0
4825-23N COLOIDAHOKillAlaina Armstrongset Keira Kleidon+3.9
Set 3
10-1IDAHON COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.3
21-1N COLOIDAHO×3Serve errNorthern Colo.+1.5
32-1IDAHOIDAHO×3KillSarah Sullivanset Csenge Krakoczki+2.1
43-1IDAHOIDAHO×3KillKoen Makaulaset Leila Ballard+2.4
53-2IDAHON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.7
64-2N COLOIDAHOKillSarah Sullivanset Csenge Krakoczki+2.0
74-3IDAHON COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.8
85-3N COLOIDAHOServe errNorthern Colo.+2.1
96-3IDAHOIDAHOKillAlaina Armstrong+2.8
106-4IDAHON COLOServe errIdaho+1.9
117-4N COLOIDAHOKillSophie Danielsonset Zola Zuccolo+2.4
127-5IDAHON COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+2.0
138-5N COLOIDAHOKillSophie Danielsonset Zola Zuccolo+2.4
148-6IDAHON COLOAttack errAlaina Armstrongset Keira Kleidon+2.0
159-6N COLOIDAHOServe errNorthern Colo.+2.5
169-7IDAHON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+2.1
1710-7N COLOIDAHOServe errNorthern Colo.+2.6
1810-8IDAHON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Bella Lepore+2.2
1911-8N COLOIDAHOAttack errAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+2.7
2011-9IDAHON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+2.2
2112-9N COLOIDAHOKillKoen Makaulaset Zola Zuccolo+2.8
2212-10IDAHON COLOKillKylie Cackovicset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+2.3
2312-11N COLON COLOKillKylie Cackovicset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+3.0
2413-11N COLOIDAHOAttack errGillian Waltonset Bella Lepore+2.9
2513-12IDAHON COLOKillGillian Waltonset Maddie Rink+2.4
2613-13N COLON COLOAceNorthern Colo.+3.1
2714-13N COLOIDAHOAttack errKylie Cackovicset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+2.8
2814-14IDAHON COLO×3Serve errIdaho+2.5
2914-15N COLON COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+3.0
3014-16N COLON COLO×3KillMaddie Rink+2.7
3115-16N COLOIDAHOKillSarah Sullivanset Csenge Krakoczki+2.2
3216-16IDAHOIDAHOAttack errAlayna Tessena+3.4
3316-17IDAHON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+2.7
3416-18N COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+3.1
3517-18N COLOIDAHOKillSarah Sullivanset Csenge Krakoczki+2.4
3618-18IDAHOIDAHOAceIdaho+3.9
3718-19IDAHON COLO×6KillNerea Alvarez-jorgeset Sarah Sullivan+3.2
3818-20N COLON COLO×6BlockedSarah Sullivanblk Summer Snead, Alayna Tessena+3.5
3918-21N COLON COLO×6BlockedKiana Greerblk Gillian Walton, Summer Snead+2.7
4018-22N COLON COLO×6AceNorthern Colo.aced Koen Makaula+1.8
4118-23N COLON COLO×6KillSummer Snead+0.9
4218-24N COLON COLO×6KillAlayna Tessenaset Leila Ballard+0.3
4319-24N COLOIDAHOKillSarah Sullivanset Csenge Krakoczki+0.1
4419-25IDAHON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+0.1
Set 4
10-1N COLON COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.3
21-1N COLOIDAHOServe errNorthern Colo.+1.1
31-2IDAHON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.0
42-2N COLOIDAHOServe errNorthern Colo.+1.1
52-3IDAHON COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.0
62-4N COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.2
73-4N COLOIDAHOKillSophie Danielsonset Zola Zuccolo+1.0
83-5IDAHON COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.0
94-5N COLOIDAHOServe errNorthern Colo.+1.0
104-6IDAHON COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.0
115-6N COLOIDAHO×3KillAlaina Armstrongset Keira Kleidon+1.1
126-6IDAHOIDAHO×3AceIdahoaced Kylie Cackovic+1.6
137-6IDAHOIDAHO×3Attack errGillian Walton+1.8
147-7IDAHON COLOKillKylie Cackovicset Bella Lepore+1.3
157-8N COLON COLOKillKylie Cackovicset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.6
168-8N COLOIDAHOKillGabrielle Smithset Csenge Krakoczki+1.4
179-8IDAHOIDAHOAceIdahoaced Alayna Tessena+2.0
189-9IDAHON COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.5
1910-9N COLOIDAHOKillKiana Greer+1.7
2010-10IDAHON COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.5
2111-10N COLOIDAHOKillKoen Makaulaset Csenge Krakoczki+1.8
2211-11IDAHON COLOServe errIdaho+1.6
2312-11N COLOIDAHOAttack errGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.9
2412-12IDAHON COLOServe errIdaho+1.7
2513-12N COLOIDAHOServe errNorthern Colo.+2.0
2613-13IDAHON COLO×9KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.8
2713-14N COLON COLO×9AceNorthern Colo.aced Alaina Armstrong+2.1
2813-15N COLON COLO×9KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.9
2913-16N COLON COLO×9Attack errSophie Danielson+1.5
3013-17N COLON COLO×9KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+1.2
3113-18N COLON COLO×9KillKylie Cackovicset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+0.9
3213-19N COLON COLO×9KillKylie Cackovicset Bella Lepore+0.5
3313-20N COLON COLO×9Attack errAllie Ferrin+0.3
3413-21N COLON COLO×9BlockedSophie Danielsonblk Kylie Cackovic, Maddie Rink+0.2
3514-21N COLOIDAHO×3KillAllie Ferrinset Csenge Krakoczki+0.1
3615-21IDAHOIDAHO×3AceIdahoaced Alayna Tessena+0.1
3716-21IDAHOIDAHO×3KillGabrielle Smith+0.3
3816-22IDAHON COLOKillKylie Cackovicset Nerea Alvarez-jorge+0.3
3916-23N COLON COLOAttack errKiana Greer+0.2
4017-23N COLOIDAHOServe errNorthern Colo.·
4117-24IDAHON COLOBlockedKiana Greerblk Maddie Rink, Nerea Alvarez-jorge+0.1
4217-25N COLON COLOAceNorthern Colo.·

Score shown after each rally, Idaho first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).