Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Weber St. def. Northern Colo. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Northern Colo. 54.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 6:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Weber St. beat visiting Northern Colo. 3-1 (25-22, 21-25, 25-16, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Ziya Munyer led Weber St. with 10 kills; Northern Colo.'s Alayna Tessena had a match-high 12.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set1234Sets
N COLO222516171
WEB ST252125253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Weber St. won it at the net: 13.5 blocks, led by Sophia Sparrow.

The match turned twice; each line shows Weber St.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Northern Colo. went in at 55% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Northern Colo. 21–19 Weber St.

    4 straight Weber St. points turned a 19–21 deficit into a 23–21 lead. The match swung to Weber St.

    Weber St. 36% → 58%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Northern Colo. 4–8 Weber St.

    Northern Colo. scored 8 straight to turn a 4–8 deficit into a 12–8 lead.

    Weber St. 76% → 54%

Weber St. above 50Northern Colo. belowMax swing 6.5%

Northern Colo.Weber St.

Sideout %
Northern Colo. 49.5·Weber St. 59.3
Break %
Northern Colo. 40.7·Weber St. 50.5
Hitting
Northern Colo. .093·Weber St. .217
Longest run
Northern Colo. 8·Weber St. 6
Blocks
Northern Colo. 8·Weber St. 13.53 BS · 10 BA vs 1 BS · 25 BA

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Weber St. above 50 · Northern Colo. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.5% WEB STrally 176 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.5% to Weber St. — set 1, N COLO 21-22 WEB ST. Alayna Tessena stuffed by Tennille Gonder & Sophia Sparrow. WEB ST win probability 45% → 51%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

N COLO 52.9%47.1% WEB ST

Northern Colo. wins

3-0
13.7%
3-1
20.0%
3-2
19.2%

Weber St. wins

3-0
11.3%
3-1
17.5%
3-2
18.2%
N COLO break %
44.0% vs this opp
WEB ST break %
43.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Alayna Tessena stuffed by Tennille Gonder & Sophia Sparrow

    Set 1 · N COLO 21-22 WEB ST · WEB ST 45% → 51%

  2. 02

    Kill by Tennille Gonder (set by Bella LePore)

    Set 1 · N COLO 21-23 WEB ST · WEB ST 51% → 58%

  3. 03
    Lexie CarlsonKill+6.0%

    Kill by Lexie Carlson (set by Marly Pratt)

    Set 1 · N COLO 22-24 WEB ST · WEB ST 54% → 60%

  4. 04
    Alayna TessenaAttack error+5.5%

    Attack error by Alayna Tessena

    Set 1 · N COLO 21-21 WEB ST · WEB ST 39% → 45%

  5. 05

    Lexie Carlson stuffed by Summer Snead & Nerea Alvarez-Jorge

    Set 1 · N COLO 20-19 WEB ST · N COLO 54% → 59%

  6. 06
    Lexie CarlsonAttack error+4.9%

    Attack error by Lexie Carlson

    Set 1 · N COLO 21-19 WEB ST · N COLO 59% → 64%

  7. 07
    Summer SneadKill+4.7%

    Kill by Summer Snead

    Set 1 · N COLO 19-19 WEB ST · N COLO 49% → 54%

  8. 08

    Alayna Tessena stuffed by Sophia Sparrow & Lexie Carlson

    Set 1 · N COLO 22-25 WEB ST · WEB ST 60% → 65%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4121353-.019113124010.513.5
47016.438353280212.512.5
48427.148000000219
46320.15000001031.57.5
45213.231312203010.56.5
44513-.07700000111.55.5
42021.0002011200002
4000–010100001
4000–4001300000
33411-.091000200003
31313-.15400000010.51.5
2204.500000000002
1000–000000000
Team totals5034172.0934568688310880
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
49528.1430224006314
410121.42902110031.513.5
47114.42900020195.512.5
46127.18502052031.59.5
4002.0001701410000
34624-.08300010010.54.5
49121.38100251031.510.5
4000–0111300001
4000–4112110001
4000–16001000000
4000–000510000
3001.000000000000
1000–100000000
Team totals4515138.217388871612513.596

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Northern Colo. vs Weber St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 N COLO · WEB ST 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 N COLOWEB ST 6

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 8 N COLOWEB ST 3

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 N COLOWEB ST 5

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 3 N COLOWEB ST 6

Bars above the line = Weber St. leads, below = Northern Colo. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northern Colo.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
44%7/16
2
36%8/22
33%4/12
3
73%8/11
33%4/12
4
35%8/23
20%2/10
5
58%7/12
56%10/18
6
54%7/13
46%6/13
All
49%47/95
41%33/81

Weber St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
50%8/16
2
67%8/12
58%11/19
3
80%8/10
53%9/17
4
47%8/17
47%7/15
5
67%8/12
56%10/18
6
41%7/17
30%3/10
All
59%48/81
51%48/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

176 rallies

#N COLO-WEB STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0N COLON COLOAceNorthern Colo.aced Addison Eastwood+2.4
21-1N COLOWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+1.9
32-1WEB STN COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.9
43-1N COLON COLO×3BlockedRose Mooreblk Summer Snead, Gillian Walton+2.4
54-1N COLON COLO×3KillGillian Walton+2.3
64-2N COLOWEB STBlockedGillian Waltonblk Sophia Sparrow, Rose Moore+1.7
74-3WEB STWEB STAttack errSummer Snead+2.4
85-3WEB STN COLOKillKylie Cackovicset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.0
95-4N COLOWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood+1.9
106-4WEB STN COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.0
116-5N COLOWEB ST×6KillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+2.0
126-6WEB STWEB ST×6Attack errMaddie Rink+2.7
136-7WEB STWEB ST×6KillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+2.8
146-8WEB STWEB ST×6KillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+2.8
156-9WEB STWEB ST×6KillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+2.7
166-10WEB STWEB ST×6Attack errLeila Ballard+2.5
177-10WEB STN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.8
188-10N COLON COLOKillJasmine Ogrenset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.5
198-11N COLOWEB STAttack errMaddie Rink+2.3
209-11WEB STN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Leila Ballard+2.1
2110-11N COLON COLOAceNorthern Colo.aced Marly Pratt+2.9
2210-12N COLOWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+2.5
2311-12WEB STN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.4
2411-13N COLOWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood+2.6
2512-13WEB STN COLOServe errAddison Eastwood+2.4
2612-14N COLOWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood+2.7
2712-15WEB STWEB STBlockedAlayna Tessenablk Rose Moore, Sophia Sparrow, Maggie Larsen+3.2
2813-15WEB STN COLOServe errKatelynn Albano+2.2
2913-16N COLOWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+2.7
3014-16WEB STN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.3
3114-17N COLOWEB STAttack errKylie Cackovic+2.8
3215-17WEB STN COLO×3KillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Jasmine Ogren+2.4
3316-17N COLON COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.6
3417-17N COLON COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+4.1
3517-18N COLOWEB STServe errNorthern Colo.+3.5
3617-19WEB STWEB STAttack errAlayna Tessena+4.4
3718-19WEB STN COLO×4KillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Leila Ballard+3.1
3819-19N COLON COLO×4KillSummer Snead+4.7
3920-19N COLON COLO×4BlockedLexie Carlsonblk Summer Snead, Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+5.1
4021-19N COLON COLO×4Attack errLexie Carlson+4.9
4121-20N COLOWEB ST×4KillZiya Munyerset Morgan Pratt+3.4
4221-21WEB STWEB ST×4Attack errAlayna Tessena+5.5
4321-22WEB STWEB ST×4BlockedAlayna Tessenablk Tennille Gonder, Sophia Sparrow+6.5
4421-23WEB STWEB ST×4KillTennille Gonderset Bella LePore+6.4
4522-23WEB STN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Bella LePore+3.7
4622-24N COLOWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Marly Pratt+6.0
4722-25WEB STWEB STBlockedAlayna Tessenablk Sophia Sparrow, Lexie Carlson+4.5
Set 2
10-1WEB STWEB STAttack errAlayna Tessena+2.5
21-1WEB STN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.0
32-1N COLON COLOBlockedRose Mooreblk Gillian Walton+2.5
42-2N COLOWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood+2.0
52-3WEB STWEB STAttack errGillian Walton+2.6
63-3WEB STN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.1
73-4N COLOWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood+2.2
83-5WEB STWEB STBlockedKylie Cackovicblk Rose Moore, Ziya Munyer+2.7
94-5WEB STN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Bella LePore+2.1
104-6N COLOWEB ST×3KillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+2.2
114-7WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errAlayna Tessena+2.7
124-8WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errMaddie Rink+2.6
135-8WEB STN COLO×8KillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Bella LePore+1.8
146-8N COLON COLO×8KillJasmine Ogrenset Leila Ballard+2.6
157-8N COLON COLO×8AceNorthern Colo.aced Maggie Larsen+2.8
168-8N COLON COLO×8KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.0
179-8N COLON COLO×8Attack errZiya Munyer+3.0
1810-8N COLON COLO×8BlockedRose Mooreblk Alayna Tessena, Maddie Rink+3.0
1911-8N COLON COLO×8KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.8
2012-8N COLON COLO×8KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.6
2112-9N COLOWEB STKillTennille Gonderset Addison Eastwood+1.8
2213-9WEB STN COLOServe errTennille Gonder+2.1
2314-9N COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.2
2414-10N COLOWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+1.4
2515-10WEB STN COLOAttack errLexie Carlson+1.8
2616-10N COLON COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.8
2716-11N COLOWEB STServe errNorthern Colo.+1.0
2817-11WEB STN COLOAttack errLexie Carlson+1.4
2918-11N COLON COLOBlockedLexie Carlsonblk Kylie Cackovic, Summer Snead+1.2
3018-12N COLOWEB ST×3Serve errNorthern Colo.+0.6
3118-13WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errGillian Walton+1.1
3218-14WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errGillian Walton+1.6
3319-14WEB STN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.8
3419-15N COLOWEB STAttack errKylie Cackovic+1.2
3519-16WEB STWEB STKillRose Mooreset Morgan Pratt+2.2
3620-16WEB STN COLOServe errMarly Pratt+2.4
3720-17N COLOWEB STKillTennille Gonderset Marly Pratt+1.7
3820-18WEB STWEB STAceRose Mooreaced Alayna Tessena+3.1
3921-18WEB STN COLOKillRiley Taylorset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.3
4021-19N COLOWEB STKillTennille Gonderset Morgan Pratt+2.5
4122-19WEB STN COLOServe errTennille Gonder+3.5
4222-20N COLOWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Hailee Garcia+2.4
4323-20WEB STN COLOBlockedLexie Carlsonblk Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+3.6
4424-20N COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.7
4524-21N COLOWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Marly Pratt+0.7
4625-21WEB STN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.5
Set 3
10-1N COLOWEB STServe errNorthern Colo.+2.6
20-2WEB STWEB STAttack errAddison Roark+3.2
31-2WEB STN COLOKillRiley Taylorset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.5
41-3N COLOWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Morgan Pratt+2.6
52-3WEB STN COLOKillAddison Roarkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.5
62-4N COLOWEB STKillTennille Gonderset Morgan Pratt+2.7
73-4WEB STN COLOServe errRose Moore+2.6
83-5N COLOWEB STKillRose Mooreset Morgan Pratt+2.8
93-6WEB STWEB STBlockedMaddie Rinkblk Maggie Larsen, Ziya Munyer+3.4
104-6WEB STN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.5
114-7N COLOWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Morgan Pratt+2.8
124-8WEB STWEB STAceZiya Munyeraced Leila Ballard+3.3
135-8WEB STN COLOServe errZiya Munyer+2.3
146-8N COLON COLOAceNorthern Colo.aced Reagan Williams+3.3
156-9N COLOWEB ST×4Serve errNorthern Colo.+2.9
166-10WEB STWEB ST×4BlockedSummer Sneadblk Sophia Sparrow, Rose Moore+3.4
176-11WEB STWEB ST×4KillMaggie Larsenset Marly Pratt+3.0
186-12WEB STWEB ST×4BlockedAlayna Tessenablk Sophia Sparrow+2.6
197-12WEB STN COLOKillAddison Roarkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.6
208-12N COLON COLOAceNorthern Colo.aced Maggie Larsen+2.5
218-13N COLOWEB STServe errNorthern Colo.+2.5
228-14WEB STWEB STAttack errAddison Roark+2.6
239-14WEB STN COLOKillAddison Roarkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.6
249-15N COLOWEB ST×5KillTennille Gonderset Morgan Pratt+2.0
259-16WEB STWEB ST×5KillZiya Munyerset Morgan Pratt+1.9
269-17WEB STWEB ST×5BlockedGillian Waltonblk Ziya Munyer, Tennille Gonder+1.4
279-18WEB STWEB ST×5KillRose Moore+0.9
289-19WEB STWEB ST×5AceMarly Prattaced Alayna Tessena+0.5
2910-19WEB STN COLO×3KillLeila Ballardset Bella LePore+0.2
3011-19N COLON COLO×3KillMaddie Rink+0.4
3112-19N COLON COLO×3KillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.6
3212-20N COLOWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Morgan Pratt+0.8
3313-20WEB STN COLO×3BlockedRose Mooreblk Maddie Rink, Leila Ballard+0.4
3414-20N COLON COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.8
3515-20N COLON COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.3
3615-21N COLOWEB ST×3KillTennille Gonderset Morgan Pratt+1.6
3715-22WEB STWEB ST×3KillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+1.1
3815-23WEB STWEB ST×3KillZiya Munyer+0.5
3916-23WEB STN COLOBlockedMaggie Larsenblk Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.1
4016-24N COLOWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+0.2
4116-25WEB STWEB STAceZiya Munyeraced Summer Snead·
Set 4
11-0WEB STN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Alayna Tessena+2.6
21-1N COLOWEB STBlockedAlayna Tessenablk Sophia Sparrow, Maggie Larsen+2.6
32-1WEB STN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Jasmine Ogren+2.7
42-2N COLOWEB STBlockedAddison Roarkblk Tennille Gonder, Sophia Sparrow+2.7
53-2WEB STN COLOAttack errTennille Gonder+2.7
63-3N COLOWEB ST×4KillRose Mooreset Morgan Pratt+2.8
73-4WEB STWEB ST×4KillRose Mooreset Morgan Pratt+3.6
83-5WEB STWEB ST×4KillZiya Munyer+3.6
93-6WEB STWEB ST×4AceRose Mooreaced Alayna Tessena+3.5
104-6WEB STN COLOServe errRose Moore+2.6
114-7N COLOWEB ST×3Attack errLeila Ballard+2.9
124-8WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errAddison Roark+3.4
134-9WEB STWEB ST×3AceKatelynn Albanoaced Alayna Tessena+3.1
145-9WEB STN COLOBad setMorgan Pratt+2.1
155-10N COLOWEB STServe errNorthern Colo.+2.5
166-10WEB STN COLOKillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.1
177-10N COLON COLOAttack errRose Moore+3.1
187-11N COLOWEB STAttack errAlayna Tessena+2.9
198-11WEB STN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.5
208-12N COLOWEB ST×6KillSophia Sparrowset Morgan Pratt+2.9
218-13WEB STWEB ST×6BlockedAlayna Tessenablk Rose Moore, Sophia Sparrow+3.2
228-14WEB STWEB ST×6BlockedAlayna Tessenablk Sophia Sparrow, Rose Moore+2.7
238-15WEB STWEB ST×6Attack errSummer Snead+2.1
248-16WEB STWEB ST×6AceMaggie Larsenaced Leila Ballard+1.5
258-17WEB STWEB ST×6AceMaggie Larsenaced Leila Ballard+1.0
269-17WEB STN COLO×3KillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.5
2710-17N COLON COLO×3KillSummer Snead+0.9
2811-17N COLON COLO×3AceNorthern Colo.aced Tennille Gonder+1.3
2911-18N COLOWEB STKillRose Mooreset Morgan Pratt+1.5
3011-19WEB STWEB STBad setNerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.2
3112-19WEB STN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.5
3212-20N COLOWEB STKillRose Mooreset Morgan Pratt+0.8
3312-21WEB STWEB STKillTennille Gonder+0.5
3413-21WEB STN COLOKillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.2
3513-22N COLOWEB STKillTennille Gonderset Morgan Pratt+0.3
3614-22WEB STN COLOKillLeila Ballardset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.1
3714-23N COLOWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+0.2
3815-23WEB STN COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.1
3916-23N COLON COLO×3Attack errSophia Sparrow+0.1
4017-23N COLON COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.3
4117-24N COLOWEB STServe errNorthern Colo.+0.5
4217-25WEB STWEB STAttack errAlayna Tessena+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Northern Colo. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).