Western Ky. def. New Mexico St. 3–1
Western Ky. won at New Mexico St. 3-1 (25-22, 19-25, 25-21, 25-23) on Fri, Sep 25, 2026. Western Ky.'s Kaira Knox led with 18 kills, and Tayler Baron added 21 digs.
Data through · final Sep 25
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W KY | 25 | 19 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| NM ST | 22 | 25 | 21 | 23 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 5.2% to Western Ky. — set 4, W KY 25-23 NM ST. Kill by Alivia Skidmore (set by Kate Rush). NM ST win probability 5% → 0%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Western Ky. wins
New Mexico St. wins
- W KY break %
- 45.0% vs this opp
- NM ST break %
- 38.3% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Alivia SkidmoreKill+5.2%
Kill by Alivia Skidmore (set by Kate Rush)
Set 4 · W KY 25-23 NM ST · W KY 95% → 100%
- 02Jaelynn KohliBlock+3.4%
Alivia Skidmore stuffed by Jaelynn Kohli
Set 3 · W KY 10-10 NM ST · NM ST 22% → 26%
- 03Tess FuquaKill+3.2%
Kill by Tess Fuqua (set by Makayla Martinez)
Set 4 · W KY 24-23 NM ST · NM ST 2% → 5%
- 04Jaelynn KohliKill+3.2%
Kill by Jaelynn Kohli (set by Makayla Martinez)
Set 4 · W KY 11-12 NM ST · NM ST 12% → 15%
- 05Jaelynn KohliKill+3.2%
Kill by Jaelynn Kohli (set by Paige Nelson)
Set 4 · W KY 14-14 NM ST · NM ST 9% → 12%
- 06
- 07
- 08Jaelynn KohliAttack error+3.0%
Attack error by Jaelynn Kohli
Set 4 · W KY 13-12 NM ST · W KY 87% → 90%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 18 | 4 | 31 | .452 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 18.5 | |
| 4 | 15 | 7 | 35 | .229 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | |
| 4 | 12 | 0 | 20 | .600 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 1 | 22 | .409 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | .300 | 47 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | .118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 62 | 14 | 136 | .353 | 57 | 2 | 15 | 59 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 94 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 12 | 3 | 27 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | |
| 4 | 11 | 4 | 30 | .233 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 1 | 28 | .250 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .462 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -.400 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 10 | 0 | 21 | .476 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | .167 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 54 | 13 | 138 | .297 | 51 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 91 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Western Ky. vs New Mexico St.
Season series · Western Ky. leads 2-0
- Fri, Sep 25, 2026Western Ky. at New Mexico St. · Western Ky. won 3-1This match
- Sat, Sep 26, 2026Western Ky. at New Mexico St. · Western Ky. won 3-2Result →
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-22
Set 2
19-25
Set 3
25-21
Set 4
25-23
Bars above the line = New Mexico St. leads, below = Western Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Western Ky.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 75%12/16 | 38%6/16 |
| 2 | 71%10/14 | 44%8/18 |
| 3 | 56%10/18 | 44%8/18 |
| 4 | 56%9/16 | 25%3/12 |
| 5 | 67%8/12 | 40%6/15 |
| 6 | 50%8/16 | 43%6/14 |
| All | 62%57/92 | 40%37/93 |
New Mexico St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 58%11/19 | 41%7/17 |
| 2 | 50%10/20 | 31%5/16 |
| 3 | 67%10/15 | 29%4/14 |
| 4 | 64%9/14 | 38%6/16 |
| 5 | 50%8/16 | 50%8/16 |
| 6 | 89%8/9 | 38%5/13 |
| All | 60%56/93 | 38%35/92 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
185 rallies
| # | W KY-NM ST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Eliza McKnight | +1.6 |
| 2 | 2-0 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +1.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Tess Fuqua | +1.1 |
| 4 | 3-1 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +1.1 |
| 5 | 4-1 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +1.4 |
| 6 | 4-2 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +1.0 |
| 7 | 5-2 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +1.0 |
| 8 | 5-3 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +1.0 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +1.0 |
| 10 | 6-4 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +1.0 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Lilli Saldivar | +1.6 |
| 12 | 7-5 | NM ST | W KY×3 | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +1.2 |
| 13 | 8-5 | W KY | W KY×3 | Attack err | Lilli Saldivar | +1.5 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Kate Rush | set Katrina Catalan | +1.3 |
| 15 | 9-6 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +0.8 |
| 16 | 10-6 | NM ST | W KY | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +0.9 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +0.9 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Alivia Skidmore | +1.5 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +1.1 |
| 20 | 11-9 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +1.1 |
| 21 | 12-9 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +1.2 |
| 22 | 12-10 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +1.1 |
| 23 | 13-10 | NM ST | W KY×3 | Blocked | Lilli Saldivar | blk Sonja Laaksonen, Eliza McKnight | +1.2 |
| 24 | 14-10 | W KY | W KY×3 | Bad set | Paige Nelson | +1.4 | |
| 25 | 15-10 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Faith Young | +1.1 |
| 26 | 15-11 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +0.6 |
| 27 | 16-11 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Sonja Laaksonen | set Tayler Baron | +0.8 |
| 28 | 16-12 | W KY | NM ST×3 | Serve err | Western Ky. | +0.6 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Ace | New Mexico St. | +1.2 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Blocked | Faith Young | blk Tess Fuqua, Ashley Herman | +1.7 |
| 31 | 17-14 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +1.4 |
| 32 | 18-14 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +1.6 |
| 33 | 18-15 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +0.9 |
| 34 | 19-15 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +1.1 |
| 35 | 20-15 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +1.0 |
| 36 | 20-16 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Katrina Catalan | +0.5 |
| 37 | 20-17 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Maggie Lightheart | +1.1 |
| 38 | 21-17 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +1.1 |
| 39 | 21-18 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Paige Nelson | +0.8 |
| 40 | 22-18 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Makayla Martinez | +1.1 |
| 41 | 23-18 | W KY | W KY | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | +0.8 | |
| 42 | 23-19 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +0.2 | |
| 43 | 24-19 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +0.4 |
| 44 | 24-20 | W KY | NM ST×3 | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +0.1 |
| 45 | 24-21 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Makayla Martinez | +0.4 |
| 46 | 24-22 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Ace | New Mexico St. | aced Cali Foster | +1.0 |
| 47 | 25-22 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +1.6 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +0.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Paige Nelson | +0.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +0.9 |
| 4 | 2-2 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +0.9 |
| 5 | 2-3 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Sadie Ross | +1.4 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | NM ST | W KY | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +1.0 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +1.1 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NM ST | W KY | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +1.0 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +1.1 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +1.0 |
| 11 | 5-6 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +1.1 |
| 12 | 5-7 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +1.7 |
| 13 | 6-7 | NM ST | W KY | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +1.1 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +1.3 |
| 15 | 7-8 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Eliza McKnight | +1.1 |
| 16 | 7-9 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +1.3 |
| 17 | 8-9 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +1.2 |
| 18 | 8-10 | W KY | NM ST×3 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Makayla Martinez | +1.4 |
| 19 | 8-11 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Ace | New Mexico St. | aced Tayler Baron | +1.9 |
| 20 | 8-12 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +1.9 |
| 21 | 9-12 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +1.1 |
| 22 | 9-13 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +1.4 |
| 23 | 10-13 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +1.1 |
| 24 | 11-13 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Sonja Laaksonen | set Tayler Baron | +1.8 |
| 25 | 11-14 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +1.6 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Sonja Laaksonen | +2.0 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | NM ST | W KY | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +1.1 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | W KY | W KY | Attack err | Tess Fuqua | +1.9 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +1.7 |
| 30 | 13-17 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +2.2 |
| 31 | 14-17 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +1.1 |
| 32 | 14-18 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Katrina Catalan | +1.6 |
| 33 | 15-18 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +1.1 |
| 34 | 15-19 | W KY | NM ST×3 | Serve err | Western Ky. | +1.6 | |
| 35 | 15-20 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Blocked | Kaira Knox | blk Maggie Lightheart, Mia Fox | +1.8 |
| 36 | 15-21 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Mia Fox | +1.2 | |
| 37 | 16-21 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +0.4 |
| 38 | 17-21 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Sonja Laaksonen | set Kaira Knox | +0.9 |
| 39 | 17-22 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +1.2 |
| 40 | 18-22 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +0.5 |
| 41 | 18-23 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +1.0 |
| 42 | 18-24 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Sonja Laaksonen | +0.6 | |
| 43 | 19-24 | NM ST | W KY | Bad set | Maggie Lightheart | +0.1 | |
| 44 | 19-25 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +0.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +2.1 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +1.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | W KY | W KY | Blocked | Jaelynn Kohli | blk Sonja Laaksonen | +2.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +1.9 |
| 5 | 3-2 | NM ST | W KY×3 | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +1.8 |
| 6 | 4-2 | W KY | W KY×3 | Bad set | Mia Fox | +2.4 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | W KY | W KY×3 | Attack err | Sadie Ross | +2.2 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +1.5 |
| 9 | 5-4 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Kaira Knox | +2.5 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | NM ST | W KY×3 | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +1.8 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +2.3 |
| 12 | 8-4 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +1.9 |
| 13 | 8-5 | W KY | NM ST×3 | Attack err | Kaira Knox | +1.3 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Ace | New Mexico St. | +2.2 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +2.7 |
| 16 | 9-7 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +2.0 |
| 17 | 9-8 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Sadie Ross | set Katrina Catalan | +2.0 |
| 18 | 10-8 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +2.0 |
| 19 | 10-9 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +2.1 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | NM ST | NM ST | Blocked | Alivia Skidmore | blk Jaelynn Kohli | +3.4 |
| 21 | 11-10 | NM ST | W KY×4 | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +2.4 |
| 22 | 12-10 | W KY | W KY×4 | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | +3.1 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | W KY | W KY×4 | Ace | Kate Rush | aced Maggie Lightheart | +2.7 |
| 24 | 14-10 | W KY | W KY×4 | Ace | Kate Rush | aced Makayla Martinez | +2.2 |
| 25 | 14-11 | W KY | NM ST | Bad set | Kennedy Cherry | +1.4 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | NM ST | W KY×4 | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +1.6 |
| 27 | 16-11 | W KY | W KY×4 | Blocked | Jaelynn Kohli | blk Sonja Laaksonen | +1.7 |
| 28 | 17-11 | W KY | W KY×4 | Kill | Sonja Laaksonen | +1.2 | |
| 29 | 18-11 | W KY | W KY×4 | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +0.7 |
| 30 | 18-12 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Paige Nelson | set Makayla Martinez | +0.3 |
| 31 | 19-12 | NM ST | W KY | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +0.5 | |
| 32 | 19-13 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Sadie Ross | set Paige Nelson | +0.3 |
| 33 | 19-14 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +0.7 |
| 34 | 20-14 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +0.7 |
| 35 | 20-15 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +0.4 | |
| 36 | 21-15 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kate Rush | set Cali Foster | +0.6 |
| 37 | 21-16 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +0.3 |
| 38 | 21-17 | NM ST | NM ST | Ace | New Mexico St. | +0.9 | |
| 39 | 22-17 | NM ST | W KY | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +1.0 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +0.5 |
| 41 | 22-19 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Alivia Skidmore | +1.4 | |
| 42 | 23-19 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Tayler Baron | +1.6 |
| 43 | 24-19 | W KY | W KY | Attack err | Tess Fuqua | +1.0 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +0.2 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +0.6 |
| 46 | 25-21 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +1.0 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +1.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Paige Nelson | +1.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Alivia Skidmore | +2.3 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +1.5 |
| 5 | 3-2 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | +2.1 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +1.6 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NM ST | W KY | Attack err | Sadie Ross | +1.5 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +1.6 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NM ST | NM ST | Ace | New Mexico St. | +2.5 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | NM ST | W KY | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +1.7 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | +2.3 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Tess Fuqua | +1.7 |
| 13 | 6-7 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +2.6 |
| 14 | 7-7 | NM ST | W KY×4 | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +1.8 |
| 15 | 8-7 | W KY | W KY×4 | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +2.4 |
| 16 | 9-7 | W KY | W KY×4 | Attack err | Tess Fuqua | +2.2 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | W KY | W KY×4 | Bad set | Katrina Catalan | +2.0 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +1.3 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Alivia Skidmore | +2.3 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | NM ST | W KY | Attack err | Tess Fuqua | +1.7 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | W KY | NM ST×3 | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +1.7 |
| 22 | 11-11 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Attack err | Alivia Skidmore | +2.8 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Makayla Martinez | +3.2 |
| 24 | 12-12 | NM ST | W KY×3 | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +2.1 |
| 25 | 13-12 | W KY | W KY×3 | Attack err | Jaelynn Kohli | +3.0 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | W KY | W KY×3 | Serve err | Western Ky. | +2.7 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +1.9 |
| 28 | 14-14 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +3.2 |
| 29 | 15-14 | NM ST | W KY×3 | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +2.3 |
| 30 | 16-14 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +3.0 |
| 31 | 17-14 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +2.5 |
| 32 | 17-15 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +1.6 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Kaira Knox | +2.9 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | NM ST | W KY | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +2.3 | |
| 35 | 19-16 | W KY | W KY | Blocked | Mia Fox | blk Faith Young, Kaira Knox | +2.7 |
| 36 | 19-17 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Sadie Ross | set Paige Nelson | +1.6 |
| 37 | 20-17 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Faith Young | +2.0 |
| 38 | 21-17 | W KY | W KY | Blocked | Sadie Ross | blk Kate Rush, Faith Young | +2.0 |
| 39 | 21-18 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +0.9 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +2.2 |
| 41 | 22-19 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kate Rush | set Tayler Baron | +2.2 |
| 42 | 23-19 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +1.9 |
| 43 | 23-20 | W KY | NM ST | Attack err | Alivia Skidmore | +0.6 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | NM ST | NM ST | Ace | New Mexico St. | aced Kennedy Cherry | +1.8 |
| 45 | 24-21 | NM ST | W KY | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +2.3 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Katrina Catalan | set Makayla Martinez | +0.9 |
| 47 | 24-23 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Makayla Martinez | +3.2 |
| 48 | 25-23 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +5.2 |
Score shown after each rally, Western Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).