Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 25, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Western Ky. def. New Mexico St. 3–1

Western Ky. won at New Mexico St. 3-1 (25-22, 19-25, 25-21, 25-23) on Fri, Sep 25, 2026. Western Ky.'s Kaira Knox led with 18 kills, and Tayler Baron added 21 digs.

Data through · final Sep 25

Set1234Sets
W KY251925253
NM ST222521231

Win probability

New Mexico St. above 50 · Western Ky. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.2% W KYrally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.2% to Western Ky. — set 4, W KY 25-23 NM ST. Kill by Alivia Skidmore (set by Kate Rush). NM ST win probability 5% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W KY 81.0%19.0% NM ST

Western Ky. wins

3-0
32.5%
3-1
30.5%
3-2
18.0%

New Mexico St. wins

3-0
3.0%
3-1
6.3%
3-2
9.7%
W KY break %
45.0% vs this opp
NM ST break %
38.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Alivia Skidmore (set by Kate Rush)

    Set 4 · W KY 25-23 NM ST · W KY 95% → 100%

  2. 02
    Jaelynn KohliBlock+3.4%

    Alivia Skidmore stuffed by Jaelynn Kohli

    Set 3 · W KY 10-10 NM ST · NM ST 22% → 26%

  3. 03
    Tess FuquaKill+3.2%

    Kill by Tess Fuqua (set by Makayla Martinez)

    Set 4 · W KY 24-23 NM ST · NM ST 2% → 5%

  4. 04
    Jaelynn KohliKill+3.2%

    Kill by Jaelynn Kohli (set by Makayla Martinez)

    Set 4 · W KY 11-12 NM ST · NM ST 12% → 15%

  5. 05
    Jaelynn KohliKill+3.2%

    Kill by Jaelynn Kohli (set by Paige Nelson)

    Set 4 · W KY 14-14 NM ST · NM ST 9% → 12%

  6. 06

    Kill by Alivia Skidmore

    Set 3 · W KY 12-10 NM ST · W KY 77% → 80%

  7. 07
    Kaira KnoxKill+3.0%

    Kill by Kaira Knox (set by Kate Rush)

    Set 4 · W KY 16-14 NM ST · W KY 90% → 93%

  8. 08
    Jaelynn KohliAttack error+3.0%

    Attack error by Jaelynn Kohli

    Set 4 · W KY 13-12 NM ST · W KY 87% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418431.45210680010.518.5
415735.2290025000015
412020.60020000010.512.5
410122.4092020002111
43010.300472350010.55.5
4001.000001710000
44217.11800030212.56.5
4000–1001010000
4000–4012110000
2000–000000000
2000–000000000
Team totals6214136.3535721559726594
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412327.3330001010113
411430.23320030010.511.5
48128.25012181010.510.5
47113.46200020010.57.5
41011.0002400400001
2025-.400101000000
410021.47600010010.510.5
41011.0001823800003
4000–5132310001
34212.167023700006
3000–000100000
3000–000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5413138.2975171158214391

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Western Ky. vs New Mexico St.

Season series · Western Ky. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 W KY · NM ST 3

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 W KYNM ST 3

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 2 W KYNM ST 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 W KYNM ST 3

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 4 W KYNM ST 3

Bars above the line = New Mexico St. leads, below = Western Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Western Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%12/16
38%6/16
2
71%10/14
44%8/18
3
56%10/18
44%8/18
4
56%9/16
25%3/12
5
67%8/12
40%6/15
6
50%8/16
43%6/14
All
62%57/92
40%37/93

New Mexico St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%11/19
41%7/17
2
50%10/20
31%5/16
3
67%10/15
29%4/14
4
64%9/14
38%6/16
5
50%8/16
50%8/16
6
89%8/9
38%5/13
All
60%56/93
38%35/92

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

185 rallies

#W KY-NM STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0W KYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Eliza McKnight+1.6
22-0W KYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+1.5
32-1W KYNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Tess Fuqua+1.1
43-1NM STW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.1
54-1W KYW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.4
64-2W KYNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.0
75-2NM STW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.0
85-3W KYNM STServe errWestern Ky.+1.0
96-3NM STW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.0
106-4W KYNM STServe errWestern Ky.+1.0
116-5NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Lilli Saldivar+1.6
127-5NM STW KY×3KillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.2
138-5W KYW KY×3Attack errLilli Saldivar+1.5
149-5W KYW KY×3KillKate Rushset Katrina Catalan+1.3
159-6W KYNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.8
1610-6NM STW KYServe errNew Mexico St.+0.9
1710-7W KYNM STServe errWestern Ky.+0.9
1810-8NM STNM STAttack errAlivia Skidmore+1.5
1911-8NM STW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+1.1
2011-9W KYNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.1
2112-9NM STW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.2
2212-10W KYNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.1
2313-10NM STW KY×3BlockedLilli Saldivarblk Sonja Laaksonen, Eliza McKnight+1.2
2414-10W KYW KY×3Bad setPaige Nelson+1.4
2515-10W KYW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Faith Young+1.1
2615-11W KYNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+0.6
2716-11NM STW KYKillSonja Laaksonenset Tayler Baron+0.8
2816-12W KYNM ST×3Serve errWestern Ky.+0.6
2916-13NM STNM ST×3AceNew Mexico St.+1.2
3016-14NM STNM ST×3BlockedFaith Youngblk Tess Fuqua, Ashley Herman+1.7
3117-14NM STW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.4
3218-14W KYW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.6
3318-15W KYNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.9
3419-15NM STW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.1
3520-15W KYW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.0
3620-16W KYNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+0.5
3720-17NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Maggie Lightheart+1.1
3821-17NM STW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.1
3921-18W KYNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+0.8
4022-18NM STW KYKillJaelynn Kohliset Makayla Martinez+1.1
4123-18W KYW KYAttack errMaggie Lightheart+0.8
4223-19W KYNM STServe errWestern Ky.+0.2
4324-19NM STW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.4
4424-20W KYNM ST×3KillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+0.1
4524-21NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+0.4
4624-22NM STNM ST×3AceNew Mexico St.aced Cali Foster+1.0
4725-22NM STW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.6
Set 2
11-0NM STW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+0.8
21-1W KYNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+0.9
32-1NM STW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+0.9
42-2W KYNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+0.9
52-3NM STNM STKillSadie Ross+1.4
63-3NM STW KYServe errNew Mexico St.+1.0
73-4W KYNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.1
84-4NM STW KYServe errNew Mexico St.+1.0
94-5W KYNM STServe errWestern Ky.+1.1
105-5NM STW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.0
115-6W KYNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.1
125-7NM STNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.7
136-7NM STW KYServe errNew Mexico St.+1.1
146-8W KYNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.3
157-8NM STW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Eliza McKnight+1.1
167-9W KYNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.3
178-9NM STW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.2
188-10W KYNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+1.4
198-11NM STNM ST×3AceNew Mexico St.aced Tayler Baron+1.9
208-12NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.9
219-12NM STW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.1
229-13W KYNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.4
2310-13NM STW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.1
2411-13W KYW KYKillSonja Laaksonenset Tayler Baron+1.8
2511-14W KYNM STServe errWestern Ky.+1.6
2611-15NM STNM STAttack errSonja Laaksonen+2.0
2712-15NM STW KYServe errNew Mexico St.+1.1
2813-15W KYW KYAttack errTess Fuqua+1.9
2913-16W KYNM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+1.7
3013-17NM STNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.2
3114-17NM STW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.1
3214-18W KYNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+1.6
3315-18NM STW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.1
3415-19W KYNM ST×3Serve errWestern Ky.+1.6
3515-20NM STNM ST×3BlockedKaira Knoxblk Maggie Lightheart, Mia Fox+1.8
3615-21NM STNM ST×3KillMia Fox+1.2
3716-21NM STW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.4
3817-21W KYW KYKillSonja Laaksonenset Kaira Knox+0.9
3917-22W KYNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.2
4018-22NM STW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+0.5
4118-23W KYNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.0
4218-24NM STNM STAttack errSonja Laaksonen+0.6
4319-24NM STW KYBad setMaggie Lightheart+0.1
4419-25W KYNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.2
Set 3
10-1W KYNM STServe errWestern Ky.+2.1
21-1NM STW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.9
32-1W KYW KYBlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Sonja Laaksonen+2.6
42-2W KYNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.9
53-2NM STW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.8
64-2W KYW KY×3Bad setMia Fox+2.4
75-2W KYW KY×3Attack errSadie Ross+2.2
85-3W KYNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.5
95-4NM STNM STAttack errKaira Knox+2.5
106-4NM STW KY×3Serve errNew Mexico St.+1.8
117-4W KYW KY×3KillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+2.3
128-4W KYW KY×3KillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.9
138-5W KYNM ST×3Attack errKaira Knox+1.3
148-6NM STNM ST×3AceNew Mexico St.+2.2
158-7NM STNM ST×3KillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.7
169-7NM STW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+2.0
179-8W KYNM STKillSadie Rossset Katrina Catalan+2.0
1810-8NM STW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+2.0
1910-9W KYNM STServe errWestern Ky.+2.1
2010-10NM STNM STBlockedAlivia Skidmoreblk Jaelynn Kohli+3.4
2111-10NM STW KY×4KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+2.4
2212-10W KYW KY×4KillAlivia Skidmore+3.1
2313-10W KYW KY×4AceKate Rushaced Maggie Lightheart+2.7
2414-10W KYW KY×4AceKate Rushaced Makayla Martinez+2.2
2514-11W KYNM STBad setKennedy Cherry+1.4
2615-11NM STW KY×4KillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.6
2716-11W KYW KY×4BlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Sonja Laaksonen+1.7
2817-11W KYW KY×4KillSonja Laaksonen+1.2
2918-11W KYW KY×4KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+0.7
3018-12W KYNM STKillPaige Nelsonset Makayla Martinez+0.3
3119-12NM STW KYServe errNew Mexico St.+0.5
3219-13W KYNM STKillSadie Rossset Paige Nelson+0.3
3319-14NM STNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.7
3420-14NM STW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.7
3520-15W KYNM STServe errWestern Ky.+0.4
3621-15NM STW KYKillKate Rushset Cali Foster+0.6
3721-16W KYNM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+0.3
3821-17NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.+0.9
3922-17NM STW KYServe errNew Mexico St.+1.0
4022-18W KYNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.5
4122-19NM STNM STAttack errAlivia Skidmore+1.4
4223-19NM STW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Tayler Baron+1.6
4324-19W KYW KYAttack errTess Fuqua+1.0
4424-20W KYNM STServe errWestern Ky.+0.2
4524-21NM STNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+0.6
4625-21NM STW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.0
Set 4
11-0NM STW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+1.4
21-1W KYNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.5
31-2NM STNM STAttack errAlivia Skidmore+2.3
42-2NM STW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.5
53-2W KYW KYKillKaira Knox+2.1
63-3W KYNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.6
74-3NM STW KYAttack errSadie Ross+1.5
84-4W KYNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.6
94-5NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.+2.5
105-5NM STW KYServe errNew Mexico St.+1.7
116-5W KYW KYKillFaith Young+2.3
126-6W KYNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Tess Fuqua+1.7
136-7NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.6
147-7NM STW KY×4KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.8
158-7W KYW KY×4KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+2.4
169-7W KYW KY×4Attack errTess Fuqua+2.2
1710-7W KYW KY×4Bad setKatrina Catalan+2.0
1810-8W KYNM STServe errWestern Ky.+1.3
1910-9NM STNM STAttack errAlivia Skidmore+2.3
2011-9NM STW KYAttack errTess Fuqua+1.7
2111-10W KYNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.7
2211-11NM STNM ST×3Attack errAlivia Skidmore+2.8
2311-12NM STNM ST×3KillJaelynn Kohliset Makayla Martinez+3.2
2412-12NM STW KY×3KillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+2.1
2513-12W KYW KY×3Attack errJaelynn Kohli+3.0
2614-12W KYW KY×3Serve errWestern Ky.+2.7
2714-13W KYNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.9
2814-14NM STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+3.2
2915-14NM STW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+2.3
3016-14W KYW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+3.0
3117-14W KYW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+2.5
3217-15W KYNM STServe errWestern Ky.+1.6
3317-16NM STNM STAttack errKaira Knox+2.9
3418-16NM STW KYServe errNew Mexico St.+2.3
3519-16W KYW KYBlockedMia Foxblk Faith Young, Kaira Knox+2.7
3619-17W KYNM STKillSadie Rossset Paige Nelson+1.6
3720-17NM STW KYKillKaira Knoxset Faith Young+2.0
3821-17W KYW KYBlockedSadie Rossblk Kate Rush, Faith Young+2.0
3921-18W KYNM STServe errWestern Ky.+0.9
4021-19NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.2
4122-19NM STW KYKillKate Rushset Tayler Baron+2.2
4223-19W KYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+1.9
4323-20W KYNM STAttack errAlivia Skidmore+0.6
4423-21NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.aced Kennedy Cherry+1.8
4524-21NM STW KYServe errNew Mexico St.+2.3
4624-22W KYNM STKillKatrina Catalanset Makayla Martinez+0.9
4724-23NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Makayla Martinez+3.2
4825-23NM STW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+5.2

Score shown after each rally, Western Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).