Western Ky. def. New Mexico St. 3–2
Western Ky. won at New Mexico St. 3-2 (19-25, 19-25, 25-20, 25-21, 20-18) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Western Ky.'s Kaira Knox led with 22 kills, and Tayler Baron added 19 digs.
Data through · final Sep 26
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W KY | 19 | 19 | 25 | 25 | 20 | 3 |
| NM ST | 25 | 25 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 2 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 24.0% to New Mexico St. — set 5, W KY 14-14 NM ST. Kaira Knox stuffed by Ashley Herman & Maggie Lightheart. NM ST win probability 15% → 39%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Western Ky. wins
New Mexico St. wins
- W KY break %
- 45.0% vs this opp
- NM ST break %
- 38.3% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Ashley Herman&Maggie LightheartBlock+24.0%
Kaira Knox stuffed by Ashley Herman & Maggie Lightheart
Set 5 · W KY 14-14 NM ST · NM ST 15% → 39%
- 02Maggie LightheartAttack error+21.4%
Attack error by Maggie Lightheart
Set 5 · W KY 20-18 NM ST · W KY 79% → 100%
- 03
- 04Western Ky.Service error+17.5%
Western Ky. service error
Set 5 · W KY 15-15 NM ST · NM ST 21% → 39%
- 05New Mexico St.Service error+17.5%
New Mexico St. service error
Set 5 · W KY 16-15 NM ST · W KY 61% → 79%
- 06Tess FuquaKill+17.5%
Kill by Tess Fuqua (set by Katrina Catalan)
Set 5 · W KY 16-16 NM ST · NM ST 21% → 39%
- 07Alivia SkidmoreKill+17.5%
Kill by Alivia Skidmore (set by Kate Rush)
Set 5 · W KY 17-16 NM ST · W KY 61% → 79%
- 08Western Ky.Service error+17.5%
Western Ky. service error
Set 5 · W KY 17-17 NM ST · NM ST 21% → 39%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 22 | 8 | 43 | .326 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | |
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 45 | .200 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | |
| 5 | 11 | 3 | 21 | .381 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .529 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| 5 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .250 | 63 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .462 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -.333 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | |
| Team totals | 73 | 26 | 162 | .290 | 67 | 5 | 21 | 54 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 108 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 13 | 2 | 24 | .458 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 15.5 | |
| 5 | 11 | 1 | 16 | .625 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 14.5 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 28 | .214 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 32 | .156 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 31 | .097 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 30 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | .111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 7.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 56 | 19 | 150 | .247 | 51 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 109 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Western Ky. vs New Mexico St.
Season series · Western Ky. leads 2-0
- Fri, Sep 25, 2026Western Ky. at New Mexico St. · Western Ky. won 3-1Result →
- Sat, Sep 26, 2026Western Ky. at New Mexico St. · Western Ky. won 3-2This match
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
19-25
Set 2
19-25
Set 3
25-20
Set 4
25-21
Set 5
20-18
Bars above the line = New Mexico St. leads, below = Western Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Western Ky.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 56%14/25 | 20%3/15 |
| 2 | 60%12/20 | 52%13/25 |
| 3 | 79%11/14 | 37%7/19 |
| 4 | 67%10/15 | 23%3/13 |
| 5 | 59%10/17 | 33%5/15 |
| 6 | 50%9/18 | 52%11/21 |
| All | 61%66/109 | 39%42/108 |
New Mexico St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 59%13/22 | 48%10/21 |
| 2 | 50%12/24 | 35%7/20 |
| 3 | 85%11/13 | 42%8/19 |
| 4 | 71%10/14 | 15%2/13 |
| 5 | 53%10/19 | 41%7/17 |
| 6 | 63%10/16 | 47%9/19 |
| All | 61%66/108 | 39%43/109 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
217 rallies
| # | W KY-NM ST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +1.8 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NM ST | NM ST | Blocked | Kaira Knox | blk Mia Fox, Maggie Lightheart | +2.0 |
| 3 | 1-2 | NM ST | W KY | Blocked | Jaelynn Kohli | blk Alivia Skidmore, Eliza McKnight | +1.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | W KY | W KY | Attack err | Mia Fox | +1.8 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | W KY | NM ST | Attack err | Kaira Knox | +1.4 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Sadie Ross | +2.1 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Sonja Laaksonen | set Kate Rush | +1.4 |
| 8 | 3-5 | W KY | NM ST | Blocked | Faith Young | blk Mia Fox | +1.6 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +1.4 |
| 10 | 4-6 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +1.6 |
| 11 | 4-7 | NM ST | NM ST | Ace | New Mexico St. | +2.3 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Sonja Laaksonen | set Kate Rush | +1.4 |
| 13 | 5-8 | W KY | NM ST×3 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Makayla Martinez | +1.7 |
| 14 | 5-9 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Attack err | Kennedy Cherry | +2.4 | |
| 15 | 5-10 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Attack err | Alivia Skidmore | +2.3 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +1.3 |
| 17 | 7-10 | W KY | W KY | Blocked | Jaelynn Kohli | blk Kate Rush, Eliza McKnight | +2.1 |
| 18 | 7-11 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +1.8 |
| 19 | 7-12 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +2.3 |
| 20 | 8-12 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +1.3 |
| 21 | 8-13 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +1.7 | |
| 22 | 8-14 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Alivia Skidmore | +2.1 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +1.0 |
| 24 | 9-15 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +1.5 |
| 25 | 9-16 | NM ST | NM ST | Blocked | Kaira Knox | blk Sadie Ross, Mia Fox | +1.6 |
| 26 | 10-16 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +0.7 |
| 27 | 10-17 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Sadie Ross | set Paige Nelson | +1.1 |
| 28 | 11-17 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +0.7 |
| 29 | 11-18 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Sadie Ross | set Katrina Catalan | +1.1 |
| 30 | 12-18 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +0.6 |
| 31 | 12-19 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Sadie Ross | +1.0 |
| 32 | 13-19 | NM ST | W KY | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +0.5 | |
| 33 | 13-20 | W KY | NM ST×3 | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Katrina Catalan | +0.9 |
| 34 | 13-21 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Attack err | Alivia Skidmore | +0.7 | |
| 35 | 13-22 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Mia Fox | set Makayla Martinez | +0.3 |
| 36 | 14-22 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kate Rush | set Maggie Lightheart | +0.1 |
| 37 | 14-23 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Paige Nelson | +0.2 |
| 38 | 15-23 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | · |
| 39 | 15-24 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +0.1 |
| 40 | 16-24 | NM ST | W KY×4 | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | · |
| 41 | 17-24 | W KY | W KY×4 | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | · |
| 42 | 18-24 | W KY | W KY×4 | Kill | Sonja Laaksonen | set Kate Rush | +0.1 |
| 43 | 19-24 | W KY | W KY×4 | Blocked | Sadie Ross | blk Kaira Knox | +0.2 |
| 44 | 19-25 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +0.3 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +2.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | W KY | NM ST×4 | Serve err | Western Ky. | +1.9 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Attack err | Eliza McKnight | +2.9 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Attack err | Alivia Skidmore | +3.1 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +3.3 |
| 6 | 2-4 | NM ST | W KY | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +2.1 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | +3.0 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +2.4 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +3.5 |
| 10 | 4-6 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +2.2 |
| 11 | 4-7 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Sadie Ross | set Paige Nelson | +2.6 |
| 12 | 5-7 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +2.2 |
| 13 | 5-8 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +2.7 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | NM ST | W KY | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +2.3 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | W KY | NM ST×4 | Kill | Sadie Ross | set Katrina Catalan | +2.8 |
| 16 | 6-10 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +3.8 |
| 17 | 6-11 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Ace | New Mexico St. | +3.6 | |
| 18 | 6-12 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Ace | New Mexico St. | +3.2 | |
| 19 | 7-12 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Tayler Baron | +1.7 |
| 20 | 7-13 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +2.3 |
| 21 | 8-13 | NM ST | W KY | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +1.7 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | W KY | W KY | Attack err | Jaelynn Kohli | +2.8 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +2.7 |
| 24 | 10-14 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +2.0 |
| 25 | 11-14 | W KY | W KY | Serve err | Western Ky. | +3.3 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +3.1 |
| 27 | 12-15 | NM ST | W KY | Attack err | Sadie Ross | +2.4 | |
| 28 | 12-16 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +3.2 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +2.4 |
| 30 | 13-17 | W KY | NM ST×4 | Serve err | Western Ky. | +3.3 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Attack err | Kaira Knox | +3.8 | |
| 32 | 13-19 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Blocked | Faith Young | blk Ashley Herman | +2.9 |
| 33 | 13-20 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Kill | Sadie Ross | set Makayla Martinez | +1.9 |
| 34 | 14-20 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +0.7 |
| 35 | 14-21 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +1.2 |
| 36 | 14-22 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | +0.8 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | NM ST | W KY×5 | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +0.2 | |
| 38 | 16-22 | W KY | W KY×5 | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +0.5 |
| 39 | 17-22 | W KY | W KY×5 | Bad set | Katrina Catalan | +0.9 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | W KY | W KY×5 | Ace | Western Ky. | +1.6 | |
| 41 | 19-22 | W KY | W KY×5 | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +2.6 |
| 42 | 19-23 | W KY | NM ST×3 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Makayla Martinez | +3.4 |
| 43 | 19-24 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Blocked | Izzy Van De Wiele | blk Tess Fuqua | +2.3 |
| 44 | 19-25 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Attack err | Alivia Skidmore | +0.6 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NM ST | NM ST | Blocked | Alivia Skidmore | blk Tess Fuqua | +2.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +1.9 |
| 3 | 1-2 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +2.1 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NM ST | W KY | Attack err | Tess Fuqua | +1.9 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +2.2 |
| 6 | 3-3 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +2.0 |
| 7 | 3-4 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +2.2 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | NM ST | W KY | Attack err | Sadie Ross | +2.0 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +2.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +2.1 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kate Rush | set Tayler Baron | +2.0 |
| 12 | 7-5 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +2.6 |
| 13 | 7-6 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +1.9 |
| 14 | 7-7 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Alivia Skidmore | +3.1 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +2.1 |
| 16 | 8-8 | W KY | NM ST×3 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Paige Nelson | +2.3 |
| 17 | 8-9 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +3.6 |
| 18 | 8-10 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Blocked | Alivia Skidmore | blk Jaelynn Kohli, Mia Fox | +3.8 |
| 19 | 9-10 | NM ST | W KY×4 | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | +2.5 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | W KY | W KY×4 | Kill | Sonja Laaksonen | +3.6 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | W KY | W KY×4 | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | +3.4 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | W KY | W KY×4 | Ace | Western Ky. | +3.1 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +2.2 |
| 24 | 13-11 | NM ST | W KY×3 | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +2.3 |
| 25 | 14-11 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Sonja Laaksonen | set Kate Rush | +2.8 |
| 26 | 15-11 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +2.3 |
| 27 | 15-12 | W KY | NM ST×3 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +1.4 |
| 28 | 15-13 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Blocked | Sonja Laaksonen | blk Maggie Lightheart, Ashley Herman | +2.6 |
| 29 | 15-14 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Tayler Baron | +3.4 |
| 30 | 16-14 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +2.6 |
| 31 | 16-15 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +2.6 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +2.7 |
| 33 | 17-16 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Sadie Ross | set Katrina Catalan | +2.7 |
| 34 | 17-17 | NM ST | NM ST | Ace | New Mexico St. | +4.7 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | NM ST | W KY×4 | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +3.4 |
| 36 | 19-17 | W KY | W KY×4 | Attack err | Ashley Herman | +4.5 | |
| 37 | 20-17 | W KY | W KY×4 | Blocked | Tess Fuqua | blk Izzy Van De Wiele, Alivia Skidmore | +3.6 |
| 38 | 21-17 | W KY | W KY×4 | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +2.5 |
| 39 | 21-18 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +1.2 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | NM ST | NM ST | Ace | New Mexico St. | +2.8 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kate Rush | +2.7 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | W KY | NM ST | Attack err | Alivia Skidmore | +1.9 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | NM ST | W KY×3 | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +2.8 |
| 44 | 24-20 | W KY | W KY×3 | Ace | Western Ky. | aced Maggie Lightheart | +2.0 |
| 45 | 25-20 | W KY | W KY×3 | Attack err | Jaelynn Kohli | +0.5 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Izzy Van De Wiele | set Kate Rush | +3.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +2.8 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +2.6 |
| 4 | 3-1 | W KY | W KY | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | +3.5 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | W KY | NM ST×4 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +2.5 |
| 6 | 3-3 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Attack err | Kaira Knox | +4.0 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Blocked | Izzy Van De Wiele | blk Mia Fox | +4.5 |
| 8 | 3-5 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Attack err | Izzy Van De Wiele | +4.9 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +3.2 |
| 10 | 4-6 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Sadie Ross | set Paige Nelson | +3.6 |
| 11 | 5-6 | NM ST | W KY×3 | Kill | Sonja Laaksonen | set Kate Rush | +3.2 |
| 12 | 6-6 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Sonja Laaksonen | +4.6 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +4.4 |
| 14 | 7-7 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Sadie Ross | set Katrina Catalan | +3.3 |
| 15 | 7-8 | NM ST | NM ST | Blocked | Faith Young | blk Tess Fuqua, Ashley Herman | +5.1 |
| 16 | 8-8 | NM ST | W KY×3 | Blocked | Sadie Ross | blk Kate Rush | +3.4 |
| 17 | 9-8 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +4.7 |
| 18 | 10-8 | W KY | W KY×3 | Ace | Western Ky. | aced Sadie Ross | +4.3 |
| 19 | 10-9 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +3.1 |
| 20 | 11-9 | NM ST | W KY×3 | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +3.1 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | W KY | W KY×3 | Bad set | Katrina Catalan | +3.9 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | W KY | W KY×3 | Blocked | Ashley Herman | blk Izzy Van De Wiele | +3.2 |
| 23 | 13-10 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Makayla Martinez | +2.0 |
| 24 | 14-10 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +2.3 |
| 25 | 14-11 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +2.0 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +2.3 |
| 27 | 16-11 | W KY | W KY | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | +2.5 | |
| 28 | 16-12 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +1.4 |
| 29 | 16-13 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +2.8 |
| 30 | 17-13 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +2.4 |
| 31 | 17-14 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +2.0 |
| 32 | 18-14 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +2.5 |
| 33 | 19-14 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Tayler Baron | +2.5 |
| 34 | 19-15 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Katrina Catalan | +1.2 |
| 35 | 20-15 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kate Rush | set Kate Rush | +1.7 |
| 36 | 20-16 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +1.1 | |
| 37 | 21-16 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +1.6 |
| 38 | 21-17 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +1.0 | |
| 39 | 22-17 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +1.5 |
| 40 | 22-18 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +0.8 |
| 41 | 23-18 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +1.3 |
| 42 | 23-19 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +0.5 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Kaira Knox | +1.6 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +2.1 |
| 45 | 24-21 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Makayla Martinez | +0.6 |
| 46 | 25-21 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +0.3 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +6.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +5.8 |
| 3 | 2-1 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +8.1 |
| 4 | 2-2 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +6.0 |
| 5 | 3-2 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +5.9 |
| 6 | 4-2 | W KY | W KY | Ace | Western Ky. | +7.7 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +5.4 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +5.6 |
| 9 | 5-4 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +5.6 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | NM ST | W KY×3 | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +5.9 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +7.1 |
| 12 | 8-4 | W KY | W KY×3 | Attack err | Ashley Herman | +5.5 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +3.1 |
| 14 | 9-5 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +3.9 |
| 15 | 9-6 | W KY | NM ST×3 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +3.0 |
| 16 | 9-7 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Ace | New Mexico St. | +6.3 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Paige Nelson | +9.1 |
| 18 | 10-8 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +7.6 |
| 19 | 10-9 | W KY | NM ST×3 | Serve err | Western Ky. | +7.0 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Attack err | Kaira Knox | +13.2 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +16.5 |
| 22 | 11-11 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +11.0 |
| 23 | 12-11 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +16.8 |
| 24 | 12-12 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +12.0 |
| 25 | 13-12 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Izzy Van De Wiele | +13.9 |
| 26 | 14-12 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +16.9 |
| 27 | 14-13 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Sadie Ross | set Paige Nelson | +6.7 |
| 28 | 14-14 | NM ST | NM ST | Blocked | Kaira Knox | blk Ashley Herman, Maggie Lightheart | +24.0 |
| 29 | 15-14 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +17.5 |
| 30 | 15-15 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +17.5 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | NM ST | W KY | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +17.5 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | W KY | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +17.5 |
| 33 | 17-16 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +17.5 |
| 34 | 17-17 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +17.5 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +17.5 |
| 36 | 18-18 | W KY | NM ST | Serve err | Western Ky. | +17.5 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | NM ST | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +17.5 |
| 38 | 20-18 | W KY | W KY | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | +21.4 | |
Score shown after each rally, Western Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).